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Back Matter Source: Operations Research, Vol. 15, No. 4, Special Applications Issue (Jul. - Aug., 1967), pp. 778-xxiv Published by: INFORMS Stable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/168291 . Accessed: 09/05/2014 12:19 Your use of the JSTOR archive indicates your acceptance of the Terms & Conditions of Use, available at . http://www.jstor.org/page/info/about/policies/terms.jsp . JSTOR is a not-for-profit service that helps scholars, researchers, and students discover, use, and build upon a wide range of content in a trusted digital archive. We use information technology and tools to increase productivity and facilitate new forms of scholarship. For more information about JSTOR, please contact [email protected]. . INFORMS is collaborating with JSTOR to digitize, preserve and extend access to Operations Research. http://www.jstor.org This content downloaded from 195.78.109.78 on Fri, 9 May 2014 12:19:28 PM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions
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Page 1: Special Applications Issue || Back Matter

Back MatterSource: Operations Research, Vol. 15, No. 4, Special Applications Issue (Jul. - Aug., 1967), pp.778-xxivPublished by: INFORMSStable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/168291 .

Accessed: 09/05/2014 12:19

Your use of the JSTOR archive indicates your acceptance of the Terms & Conditions of Use, available at .http://www.jstor.org/page/info/about/policies/terms.jsp

.JSTOR is a not-for-profit service that helps scholars, researchers, and students discover, use, and build upon a wide range ofcontent in a trusted digital archive. We use information technology and tools to increase productivity and facilitate new formsof scholarship. For more information about JSTOR, please contact [email protected].

.

INFORMS is collaborating with JSTOR to digitize, preserve and extend access to Operations Research.

http://www.jstor.org

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Page 2: Special Applications Issue || Back Matter

Announcements

SCHEDULE OF FUTURE SOCIETY MEETINGS

No. Dates Location Chairman Deadline for abstracts(a)

32 Nov. 1-3, 1967 Chicago THOMAS E. CAYWOOD June 1, 1967 Caywood-Schiller, Associates 401 N. Michigan Ave. Chicago, Illinois 60611

33 May 1-3, 1968 San Francisco ERNEST KOENIGSBERG Dec. 1, 1967 Matson Research Corp. 215 Market Street San Francisco, Calif. 94105

34 Nov. 6-9,1968 Philadelphia LEO ROGIN June 1, 1968 Air Warfare Research Dept. NADC Johnsville, Pa. 18974

35 June 18-20, 1969 Denver GEORGE W. MORGENTHALER Jan. 1, 1969 The Martin Company P.O. Box 179 Denver, Colorado 80201

(a) Abstracts of papers should be submitted to the Chairman of the desired meeting.

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Page 3: Special Applications Issue || Back Matter

SYSTEM ARCHITECTURE

What will it mean to you?

ARINC Research, in the late fifties, pioneered the organization and development of system effectiveness concepts. These concepts vitally influence today's system managers in government and industry, providing them with a quantitative means for measuring overall effectiveness.

Today, ARINC Research is applying and refining a new discipline which employs advanced techniques of science, engineering, and management to guide the creation and use of optimum systems. Optimum to the user's needs ... and to his resources. We call this new discipline System Architecture.*

It is an exciting new career field for the creative engineer or scientist who would welcome the opportunity to practice in a thoroughly professional, objective environ- ment with a top-flight technical team, free of any manufacturer's interest. If you are an operations analyst, mathematician, programmer/analyst, or systems engineer who is thoroughly familiar with advanced techniques of operations research in one of the following areas: communications, command and control, navigation, guidance and display systems, digital computers, radar; contact the Manager, Personnel Serv- ices. Learn of the many challenging career opportunities now being offered nation- wide by ARINC Research.

4 =l RESEARCH CORPORATION

A subsidiary of Aeronautical Radio, Inc., 2551 Riva Road, Annapolis, Maryland * 1222 East Normandy Place, Santa Ana, Calif. An equal opportunity employer *You may obtain further information regarding system architecture and a list of reports which indicate the scope of activities of ARINC Research over the years by writing: H. J. Kennedy, Manager, Advanced Research and Development, at Annapolis

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Page 4: Special Applications Issue || Back Matter

ORSA PUBLICATIONS

OPERATIONS RESEARCH

The Journal of the Operations Research Society of America has a circulation of over 10,000. OPERATIONS RESEARCH and the semiannual BULLETIN are included in the annual membership dues of the Society. Nonmember subscrip- tion is $10.00, and includes the BULLETIN ($7.50 outside US and Canada).

INTERNATIONAL ABSTRACTS IN OPERATIONS RESEARCH

This journal covers operations-research literature published in 1961 and subse- quent years on a continuing basis. It appears bimonthly, with the volume coin- ciding with the calendar year. Subscription for IAOR is included in the annual dues of members. The current nonmember subscription is $12.50 in the US and Canada, and $10.00 elsewhere.

TRANSPORTATION SCIENCE

This new quarterly journal (first issue released February 1967) is published by the Transportation Section of ORSA. Scientific work on transportation processes will be published. Yearly subscription to ORSA members is $6.00; nonmembers $9.00.

Applications for membership are sent from ORSA business office upon request.

Annual dues are $12.50

- -?clip and mail_---_

OPERATIONS RESEARCH SOCIETY OF AMERICA

428 EAST PRESTON STREET/BALTIMORE, MD. 21202

El OPERATIONS RESEARCH (including the BULLETIN)- 1 year nonmember $10.00

ED INTERNATIONAL ABSTRACTS-1 year nonmember $12.50

El TRANSPORTATION SCIENCE- L 1 year nonmember $9.00

D 1 year ORSA member $6.00

El MEMBERSHIP APPLICATION

Check enclosed E Bill me El

NAME

STREET

CITY _STATE _ ZIP

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Page 5: Special Applications Issue || Back Matter

B~~oeing-Wichita Offers Career Appointments

for Operations Analysts

The appointments will carry the responsibility forconducting studies of cost effectiveness and systems optimization of strategic and military derivatives of commercial aircraft and communicating the results of evaluations to management and to the customer. The methods used to make evaluations will vary with each study and include computer simulation, war games, and complex mathematical analysis. In order to evaluate the operational worth of a product it is necessary to use inputs from a wide variety of technologies. In addition to mathematical skills a degree in engineering or physics would be helpful.

For complete information write in confidence or call collect Area Code 316 MUrray 7-2239 Monday through Friday, 8:00 AM to 4:30 PM, CDT

~ G W W/B 4 G. A. Caywood, Dept. A7S,

\ Boeing Professional Employment Center \ Wichita, Kansas 67210/

/~~~~~X

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Page 6: Special Applications Issue || Back Matter

-Exceptional Opportunities for Problem Solvers

Lambda Corporation needs several highly qualified individuals to augment its staff of systems and operations analysts.

Lambda specializes in solving problems requiring a variety of analytical approaches and computational techniques. The group's activities encom- pass such areas as model building, optimization, simulation, application of the theory of games, and cost-effectiveness methodology. While con- tinuing to work on problems for high-level agencies of the Department of Defense, it is expanding into other areas of great national concern.

We invite inquiries ranging from those who are now completing their graduate studies to experienced senior analysts. Candidates must have a sound, advanced education in one of the quantitative sciences, know the role of a computer, and above all, be centrally interested in problem solv- ing and have a high potential for creative, independent work.

For this kind of exceptional person, there are exceptional career rewards at Lambda. Please write to J. N. Killalea, Assistant to the President.

LAMBDA An Equal Opportunity Employer 1501 Wilson Boulevard

A Arlington, Virginia 22209

OPERATIONS ANALYSTS SYSTEM DESIGNERS SYSTEM ANALYSTS MATHEMATICIANS

PROGRAMMERS If you are considering the next step in your career, contact us for selective, coin- prehensive exploration of the opportunities available to you. BOTH SCIENTIFIC AND COMMERCIAL APPLICATIONS ARE REPRE- SENTED WITHIN THE REQUIREMENTS OF OUR COMPANY CLIENTS. OUTSTANDING PROFESSIONAL APPOINTMENTS AT JUNIOR, INTER- MEDIATE, AND SENIOR LEVELS FOR THOSE WHOSE ABILITY AND POTENTIAL FOR GROWTH IS CLEAR-CUT. BOTH MANAGERS AND INDIVIDUAL CONTRIBUTORS WILL FIND SUITABLE POSITIONS AMONG THE INDUSTRIAL LEADERS WHO UTILIZE OUR CONSULTING SERVICES.

salaries from $8,000-$25,000 Our client companies assume all fees

Resumes or telephone responses are handled confidentially.

GRIFFING, INC. Staffing Consultants

806 15th St. N.W., Suite 519, Washington, D.C. 202-737-4754 430 Cambridge Ave., Palo Alto, California, 415-327-1366

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Page 7: Special Applications Issue || Back Matter

The value today of systems analysis, operations research, and cost-effec- tiveness analysis techniques to military systems development pro- grams is unquestioned. But further, they have proven nota-

bly effective in solving both the day-to-day and the unusual problems of business, and in _

redirecting business operations toward higher objectives. The CONSULTEC Division of NUS

Corporation applies these proven techniques to assist industry managers who would optimize

their business operations in marketing, organization, finance or production.

*CONSULTEC, because of its independent nature and broad staff background, is an organization productive of new ideas and innovations in many areas of science, tech- nology and economics, serving commercial and industrial enterprises, government agencies, cooperatives, international organizations, and developing nations. CONSULTEc has a continuing need for people experienced in systems analysis, operations research, cost-effectiveness and engineering. These people will help us to continue providing advanced technological achievement to industry and government ... wherever the need exists.

Write to John W. Locke, Director of Systems Analysis,

CONSULTEC DIVISION, NUS CORPORATION 1725 K Street, N.W., Washington, D. C. 20006 * An equal opportunity employer, M&F

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Page 8: Special Applications Issue || Back Matter

-.4A Problem?

LET THE SOCIETY PUBLICATIONS SERVE YOU.

Write or Telephone

C. P. CHADSEY, Advertising Manager

OPERATIONS RESEARCH

Research Analysis Corporation McLean, Virginia, 22101 Telephone: 703-893-5121

?VIOVING?

If so, please share the information with the Business Office so that you will not miss any of your ORSA publications. Send us your old address, your new address, and your new (current) business affiliation. Please in- clude your ZIP code.

Operations Research Society of America

428 East Preston Street Baltimore, Maryland 21202

xviii

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Page 9: Special Applications Issue || Back Matter

If your forte is... DEFINING PROBLEMS

MODELING PROBLEMS SOLVING PROBLEMS

WE 1 1 | .. ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~. .

J

...

consider ORI Areas of Career We'll give you all the problems you wish, in fields ranging Opportunity at ORI: from astronautics to undersea warfare . . . from

transportation systems analysis to the economic impact * Economic Analysis of federal programs.

* Communications Operations Research Incorporated is a private profit-making System Engineerig .organization staffed and managed by professionals like

Systems Engineering yourself. Our record is one of growth and accomplishment. * Astronautics Our environment is one in which the individual enjoys

swift recognition and rewards for his achievement, and * Human Engineering every opportunity for personal and professional growth.

* Undersea Warfare Salaries and benefit programs are liberal. Please check the listed areas of career opportunity at ORI.

a Mathematical If you are experienced in one or more of them and hold Simulation a degree (preferably advanced) in engineering, science,

mathematics/statistics or economics, we would like to hear * M\/lanagement from you. You may send your resume in complete Information Systems confidence to: Mr. Carlton Robinson, Professional Staffing, Design Operations Research Incorporated, 1400 Spring Street,

Silver Spring, Maryland (suburb of Washington, D. C.). I Transportation An equal opportunity employer M&F.

Systems Analysis

? Computer Usage OPERATIONS RESEARCH INCORPORATED WASHINGTON * BOSTON * SANTA MONICA

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Page 10: Special Applications Issue || Back Matter

TECHNOMETRICS Volume 9 August, 1967 Number 3

TABLE OF CONTENTS

A Two-STAGE SUBSAMPLING PROCEDURE FOR RANKING MEANS OF FINITE

POPULATIONS WITH AN APPLICATION TO BULK SAMPLING PROBLEMS

R. E. Bechhofer

SAMPLING MIXTURES OF PARTICLES Martin Knott

ESTIMATION OF VARIANCE COMPONENTS IN TWO-STAGE NESTED DESIGNS

WITH COMPOSITE SAMPLES Keith Kussmaul and R. L. Anderson

ESTIMATION OF SPECTRA AFTER HARD CLIPPING OF GAUSSIAN TIME

PROCESSES Melvin Hinich

THE DETERMINATION OF SINGLE SAMPLING ATTRIBUTE PLANS WITH

GIVEN PRODUCER'S AND CONSUMER'S RISK A. Hald

VARIABLES SAMPLING PLANS BASED ON THE NORMAL DISTRIBUTION

D. B. Owen

CLASSICAL AND INVERSE REGRESSION METHODS OF CALIBRATION

Richard G. Krutchkoff AN APPLICATION OF NUMERICAL INTEGRATION TECHNIQUES TO STATIS-

TICAL TOLERANCING David H. Evans

NOTES

METHODS OF OBTAINING THE AVERAGE SAMPLE RUN LENGTH OF CUMU-

LATIVE SUM SCHEMES WHEN THE CUMULATED PARAMETER IS NON-

NORMAL Kenneth W. Kemp CONFIDENCE INTERVAL FOR THE AVAILABILITY RATIO

Truman Lewis and H. L. Gray THREE DIMENSIONAL MODELS OF EXTREME VERTICES DESIGNS FOR FOUR

COMPONENT MIXTURES W. J. Diamond

ON THE DISTRIBUTION OF THE BIVARIATE RANGE

T. Cacoullos and H. DeCicco

A NOTE ON THE GRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF MULTIDIMENSIONAL CONTIN-

GENCY TABLES D. R. Cox and Elizabeth Lauh

QUERIES

DEGREES OF FREEDOM FOR CHI-SQUARE Answered by H. Chernoff ADDITIONAL RESPONSES TO QUERY 20

BOOK REVIEWS

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Page 11: Special Applications Issue || Back Matter

IBM programs: effective tools for

management science

IBM computer programs can significantly Faster simulation results expand your management science capabili- The new General Purpose Simulation Sys- ties. They are powerful tools for statistical tern gives you an easy-to-use tool for sim- analysis, network processing, simulation ulation of complex business systems and and optimization. They reduce program- analysis of environments that are difficult ming time. Their sole objective is to make to describe mathematically. Use it to ana- your operations more effective. lyze proposed new operations or changes

to existing business procedures. Flexible tool for statistical analysis Send us this coupon for more informa- For example, the Statistical System is a tion on how IBM SYSTEM/360 programs collection of four major programs. Use it and 1130 Computing System programs for stepwise regression analysis. For fac- can add to your professional impact. tor analysis. For analysis of variance. For orthogonal polynomial curve fitting.

Greater optimization capability | IBM Data Processing Division, Dept. 805-022 Mathematical Programming System pro- 112 East Post Road, White Plains, N. Y. 10601 vides faster solutions to your linear pro- Send me more information on the managementI gramming problems-from production I science programs I have checked below. planning and product blending to resource n 1130 Statistical System allocation and military strategies. MPS I a SYSTEM/360 Mathematical Programming I is extremely flexible. It lets you pose alter- I System nate strategies with a few simple condi- I Z SYSTEM/360 Project Management System I

I O SYSTEM/360 Project Control System l tonal statements. And its solutions are In 1130 Project Control System available in both primal and dual forms, I SYSTEM/360 General Purpose Simulation both subject to post-optimal analysis. Simn- System plified control is provided with a new com- 0 1130 Linear Programming System mand language. N__

|NAME|

Improve project control POSITION

For PERT/Time, PERT/Cost and network I processing use Project Management Sys- I COMPANY I tem and Project Control System. Their DIVISION_____________

modular design permits ready tailoring ADDRESS of management action reports to your I specific requirements without expensive CITY STATE ..ZIP__

reprogramming. L?I

xxi

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Page 12: Special Applications Issue || Back Matter

MANAGEMENT SCIENCE JOURNAL OF THE INSTITUTE OF MANAGEMENT SCIENCES

PUBLISHED QUARTERLY SINCE OCTOBER 1954 IT BECAME A BIMONTHLY WITH THE FIRST ISSUE OF VOLUME 11 IN SEPTEMBER 1964

Editor-in-Chief: Professor R. M. Thrall, University of Michigan

A NEW MANAGERIAL SECTION, incorporating MANAGEMENT TECH- NOLOGY and the TIMS BULLETIN, HAS BEEN PUBLISHED EVERY OTHER MONTH STARTING IN FEBRUARY 1965 ALTERNATELY WITH THE SCIENCES SECTION.

Editor-in-Chief, Managerial Section: Professor Martin K. Starr, Columbia University

Editor-in-Chief, Bulletin Section: Joseph E. Hoagbin, University of Michigan

Chairman of the Editorial Board: Professor C. West Churchman, University of California, Berkeley

AND IT NOW IS A MONTHLY JOURNAL.

Subscription price $20.00 per year

For membership and subscription information write to

THE INSTITUTE OF MANAGEMENT SCIENCES BOX 273

PLEASANTVILLE, NEW YORK 10570

Make TIMS your information center for new ideas in the Management Sciences

xxii

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Page 13: Special Applications Issue || Back Matter

Careers in

Operations Research

The Data Systems Division of Litton Industries offers opportunities to conduct and direct studies towards defining future military system charac- teristics and evaluating pro- posed system concepts and designs by simulation and analytical techniques.

These studies typically include: mission analysis; requirements analysis; analysis of organizational and doctrinal implications, informational networks, required interfaces and systems evaluation and refinement through cost and effectiveness analysis.

Candidates must have a

degree in mathematics, engi- neering or physics and experi- ence in operations research and system analysis. They should be familiar with stochastic processes and economical but realistic Monte Carlo simula- tion of complex man/hardware/ software systems. Experience in tactical, military command and control and information processing systems is desirable.

Call or send resume to: Mr. L. 0. Harrold, (213) 781-821 1, Ext. 2726, Data Systems Divi- sion, 15800 Strathern, Van Nuys, California 91409. An Equal Opportunity Employer, M/F.

W LITTON INDUSTRIES DATA SYSTEMS DIVISION

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Page 14: Special Applications Issue || Back Matter

ENJOY THE RIGORS OF DEMANDING PROJECT DEADLINES?

DO YOU have the imagination and resourcefulness to engage in a wide variety of assignments in Operations Research and Systems Analysis?

DO YOU have the inclination to originate your own ideas and to pursue them independently? Can You?

CAN YOU work closely with other professionals whose training and approach may be different?

CAN YOU interpret and present the implications and limitations of your analyses?

CAN YOU write in concise, readable English that presents the essence of your findings and analyses to management?-and appropriate technical description and documentation, as well? If so, you may be eligible for acceptance as a member of the growing

group of

OPERATIONS ANALYSTS

at

RESEARCH TRIANGLE INSTITUTE.

current interests include

CIVIL DEFENSE MEDICINE EDUCATION POLITICAL SCIENCE

ECONOMICS CHEMISTRY COSTING

STRUCTURAL ENGINEERING PUBLIC HEALTH PHYSICS

INFORMATION SYSTEMS WEAPONS EFFECTS TEXTILE INDUSTRY

Write about your qualifications and contract research experience to:

Dr. Edgar A. Parsons, Director

R Operations Research and Economics Division Research Triangle Institute P. 0. Box 12194 Research Triangle Park North Carolina 27709

A separately operated, nonprofit organization, RTI is a part of the Research Triangle family that includes the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Duke University in Durham, and North Carolina State University at Raleigh. The Institute's eight research divisions and 300-man staff occupy modern laboratory and office buildings on a 200-acre campus midway between the three universities.

An Equal Opportunity Employer

xxiv

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Page 15: Special Applications Issue || Back Matter

Volume 11 in Publications in Operations Research

HANDBOOK OF THE POISSON DISTRIBUTION

By FRANK A. HAIGHT, University of California, Los Angeles. An eminently practical compendium of all the information that has ever been published on the Poisson distribution together with all the gen- eralizations and modifications of the Poisson idea-both theoretical and applied.

1967 168 pages $9.50

Previously published volumes in the series

No. 1: QUEUES, INVENTORIES AND MAINTENANCE The Analysis of Operational Systems with Variable Supply and Demand

By PHILIP MORSE. 1958. 202 pages. $6.95.

No. 2: FINITE QUEUING TABLES By LESLIE G. PECK and R. NICHOLS HAZELWOOD. 1958. 210 pages. 38.95.

No. 3: EFFICIENCY IN GOVERNMENT THROUGH SYSTEMS ANALYSIS: With Emphasis on Water Resource Development

By ROLAND M. McKEAN. 1958. 336 pages. $9.95.

No. 5: PROGRESS IN OPERATIONS RESEARCH Volume I Edited by RUSSELL L. ACKOFF. 1961. 505 pages. $12.95.

No. 6: STATISTICAL MANAGEMENT OF INVENTORY SYS- TEMS

By HARVEY M. WAGNER. 1962. 235 pages. $8.95.

No. 7: PRICE, OUTPUT, AND INVENTORY POLICY A-Study in the Economics of the Firm and Industry

By EDWIN S. MILLS. 1962. 271 pages. $9.50.

No. 9: PROGRESS IN OPERATIONS RESEARCH Volume II Edited by DAVID B. HERTZ and ROGER T. EDDISON. 1964. 455 pages.

$11.00.

No. 10: DECISION AND VALUE THEORY By PETER C. FISHBURN. 1964. 451 pages. $14.95.

No. 12: OPERATIONS RESEARCH IN SELLERS' COMPETI- TION: A Stochastic Microtheory

By S. SANKAR SENGUPTA. 1967. Approx. 256 pages. $9.95.

No. 13: BAYESIAN DECISION PROBLEMS AND MARKOV CHAINS

By J. J. MARTIN. 1967. In press.

JOHN WILEY & SONS, Inc., 605 Third Avenue, New York, N.Y. 10016

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Page 16: Special Applications Issue || Back Matter

Contents OPERATIONS RESEARCH

Volume 15 July-August Number 4

SPECIAL APPLICATIONS ISSUE .................................... 591

GEORGE W. MORGENTHALER-On the Selection of Unmanned Probes and Launch Vehicles for Exploration of the Solar System ........ 592

W. EDWARD CUSHEN -C. S. Pierce on Benefit-Cost Analysis of Sci- entific Activity ........................................... 641

C. S. PEIRCE-Note on the Theory of the Economy of Research ......... 643

HEBER D. BOULAND-Truck Queues at Country Grain Elevators ....... 649

A. H. PACKER-Simulation and Adaptive Forecasting as Applied to Inventory Control .......................................... 660

J. A. JOSEPH-Heuristic Approach to Nonstandard Form Assignment Problems................................................. 680

ROBERT S. LEDLEY-Computer Aids to Clinical Treatment Evaluation. . 694

M. ORR AND R. H. SPOHN-A Multivariate Statistical Model for Indirect Bomb Damage Assessment .................................. 706

SIDNEY W. HESS-The Use of Models in Marketing Timing Decisions. . 720

JAMES G. ABERT, MURRAY KAMRASS, AND JOSEPH NAVARRO-Eval- uating Arcraft Requirements in the Light of Varying or Uncertain Mission Mixes ............................................. 738

DAVID A. WISMER-On the Uses of Industrial Dynamic Models ...... 752

THE ANALYST'S BOOKSHELF ..................................... 768

REVIEWS...................................................... 768

Booss RECEIVED ............................................. 776

NOTES......................................................... 777

ANNOUNCEMENT................................................ 778

Composed and Printed by Waverly Press Inc.

Baltimore, Maryland. 21202

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