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Front Matter Source: Operations Research, Vol. 12, No. 6, Special Transportation Science Issue (Nov. - Dec., 1964), pp. i-xii Published by: INFORMS Stable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/168167 . Accessed: 08/05/2014 11:23 Your use of the JSTOR archive indicates your acceptance of the Terms & Conditions of Use, available at . http://www.jstor.org/page/info/about/policies/terms.jsp . JSTOR is a not-for-profit service that helps scholars, researchers, and students discover, use, and build upon a wide range of content in a trusted digital archive. We use information technology and tools to increase productivity and facilitate new forms of scholarship. For more information about JSTOR, please contact [email protected]. . INFORMS is collaborating with JSTOR to digitize, preserve and extend access to Operations Research. http://www.jstor.org This content downloaded from 169.229.32.137 on Thu, 8 May 2014 11:23:03 AM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions
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Front MatterSource: Operations Research, Vol. 12, No. 6, Special Transportation Science Issue (Nov. - Dec.,1964), pp. i-xiiPublished by: INFORMSStable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/168167 .

Accessed: 08/05/2014 11:23

Your use of the JSTOR archive indicates your acceptance of the Terms & Conditions of Use, available at .http://www.jstor.org/page/info/about/policies/terms.jsp

.JSTOR is a not-for-profit service that helps scholars, researchers, and students discover, use, and build upon a wide range ofcontent in a trusted digital archive. We use information technology and tools to increase productivity and facilitate new formsof scholarship. For more information about JSTOR, please contact [email protected].

.

INFORMS is collaborating with JSTOR to digitize, preserve and extend access to Operations Research.

http://www.jstor.org

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OPERATIONS

The Journal of the Operations Research Society of America

November-December 1964

VOLUME 12 NUMBER 6 ',

Pages 807-1076 \ I9A2

<1952s

Special Transportation Science Issue

PUBLISHED BIMONTHLY BY THE

OPERATIONS RESEARCH SOCIETY OF AMERICA

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OPERATIONS RESEARCH

The Journal of the Operations Research Society of America

EDITOR

THOMAs E. CAYWOOD Peat, Marwick, Caywood, Schifler & Co. 203 N. Wabash Ave., Chicago, Ill. 60601

ASSOCIATE EDITORS

RUSSELL L. AcKoFF, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia Penns lvania WILLIAM W. COOPER, Carnegie Institute of Technology, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania GEORGE B. DANTZIG, The Rand Corporation, Santa Monica, California WALTER L. DEEMER, Operations Analysis Office, Hq., U.S.A.F., Washington, D. C. ROBERT DORFMAN, Harvard University, Cambridge, Massachusetts JOSEPH H. ENGEL, Operations Evaluation Group, Washington, D. C. CHARLES GOODEVE, British Iron & Steel Assn., London W1, England JOSEPH O. HARRISON, JR., Research Analysis Corporation, Bethesda Maryland G. RONALD HERD, Kaman Aircraft Corporation, Bethesda, Maryland ROBERT HERMAN, General Motors Research Laboratories, Warren, Michigan WILLIAM J. HORVATH, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan HUGH J. MISER, The MITRE Corporation, Box 208, Bedford, Massachusetts THORNTON PAGE, Wesleyan University, Middletown, Connecticut E. W. PAXSON, The Rand Corporation, Santa Monica, California WILLIAM J. PLATT Stauiord Research Institute, Menlo Park, California PAUL RANDOLPH, Purdue University, Lafayette, Indiana ANDREW SCHULTZ, JR., Cornell University, Ithaca, New York GEORGE SHORTLEY, Booz * Allen Applied Research Inc., Bethesda, Maryland LAJOS TAKkCS, Columbia University, New York, New York R. M. THRALL, Editor, Management Science, Univ. of Mich., Ann Arbor, Mich. ROBERT S. WEINBERG, International Business Machines Corp., New York, N. Y. PETER B. WILSON, Canadian National Railways, Montreal, Quebec

MANUSCRIPTS of papers and Letters to the Editor should be submitted to the Editor or to one of the Associate Editors. Submission of a manuscript is considered to be a representation that it has been neither copyrighted nor pub.. wished, that it is not being submitted for publication elsewhere, and that, if the work results from a military contract, it has been released for open publication. Material for the Analyst's Bookshelf should be submitted to HUGH J. MISER, Analyst's Bookshelf Editor, The MITRE Corporation, Box 208, Bedford, Mas- sachusetts. Announcements should be sent to the Editor.

MANAGING EDITOR AND ADVERTISING MANAGER

CHARLES P. CHADSEY Research Analysis Corporation

McLean, Virginia 22101

Copyright ? 1964 by the Operations Research Societ of America. Published bimonthly by the Operations Research Society of America at Mount

Royal and Guilford Avenues, Baltimore, Maryland, 21202. Second-class postage paid at the Post Office at Baltimore, Maryland. Subscriptions and orders for back issues should be addressed to the Business Manager,

NORVELL E. MILLER, III, Mount Royal and Guilford Aves., Baltimore, Md.21202. Subscription Rate: $10.00 per volume (outside U. S. and Canada, $7.50 per volume).

Back volumes through 1959, $9.00. Single copies of back issues through 1959, $1.50; 1960, $2.00 per issue.

Reprints of individual articles are not available from the SOCIETY.

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Exceptional Opportunities for

EXPERIENCED OPERATIONS RESEARCHERS

As a result of our Firm's continuing expansion of its OPERATIONS RESEARCH capability, we have need for thoroughly seasoned practitioners in all phases of OPERATIONS RESEARCH consulting-from initial client contact through the implementation phase.

We are so sure of the merits of what we have to offer that we invite you to get in touch with us to explore how your talents and our needs can be combined to great mutual advantage.

For our part, we offer opportunity to use to the full your skill and versatility, in many industrial and business contexts. This means the challenge to meet high standards of professional performance, with commensurate rewards -in job satisfaction-in association with other highly- qualified professionals from our own and other disciplines and in other and more usual ways.

We'd prefer to hear from you now-but are always on the lookout for the right men. Write to the personal attention of:

Dr. E. Leonard Arnoff Principal and

Director of Operations Research

Ernst & Ernst Cleveland, Ohio 44114

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DECOMPOSITION OF LINEAR II ESEARCH

TRI\ PROGRAMS

ssI \UT A few copies of the lecture notes, prepared

for MATHEMATICA's well known course,

are available at a special reduced price of

$12.50 for ORSA-TIMS members.

RESEARCH TRIANGLE PARK The notes consist of original papers by

NORTH CAROLINA M. L. Balinski, W. J. Baumol, T. Fabian, R.

E. Quandt, A. W. Tucker, P. Wolfe and A.

excellent opportunities Yaspan. Examples; dictionary of L. P. terms.

immediately available Approximately 300 pages, 8/1 x 11 size.

ORDER YOUR COPY FROM

OPERA TIONS ANAL YSTS IMAGINATION and resourcefulness are MATHEMATICA needed at all levels for expanding programs in civil and military defense, information- management systems, transportation, tex- 70 Nassau Street

tile and other types of industrial operations Princeton, N.J. 08540 research. Unusual opportunities are of- fered experienced operations analysts and exceptionally well-qualified recent gradu- ates in mathematics, statistics, engineering, WANTED the physical sciences, and economics. Abil- ity to write fluently is essential. SENIOR STATISTICIAN STIMULATING environment for profes- sional and cultural development is provided Qualifications: Must have PhD in Statistics.

by close association with the Triangle uni- 0 to 5 years experience. Should have under-

versities: Duke, University of North Caro- graduate work in chemistry, chemical engi-

lina, and North Carolina State. Nearby peering or other physical science. Related

mountains and beaches enhance pleasant industrial experience may be substituted.

living conditions. Must be oriented to the use of computers.

APPLY-but only if prepared to meet the Duties: Will serve as plant consultant and continuing challenges of interdisciplinary specialist in applied industrial statistics.

continuing challenges of ! nterdisciplinary Applications are in QC methods, designed

projects and deadlines! 1 experiments for chemical engineering, chem-

istry and other technology. Will be closely

For further information, associated with department activities in in-

please write: dustrial process and management systems simulation.

Dr. Edgar A. Parsons, Director The position is in a research and production

Operations Research Division facility of the Rocky Flats Division of The Dow Chemical Company located approxi- mately fifteen miles northwest of Denver,

RESEARCH TRIANGLE Cora.

Please send resume to:

I N STITUTE Technical Employment THlE DOW CHEMICAL COMPANY

Box 490, Durham, North Carolina P. 0. Box 888 Golden, Colorado 80402

An independent non-profit research organi- operatingg Contractor for the Atomic nation located on its own campus in North ( Energy Commission) Carolina's Research Triangle Park. An Equal Opportunity Employer

"An equal opportunity employer" Can Consider only U. S. Citizens

ii

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PROFILE OF A CNA PROFESSIONAL A CNA analyst is a professional of superior competence. He may be a mathematician, a physical scientist, an economist, or a research engineer. He is a member of the Center for Naval Analyses of The Franklin Institute. CNA is a private scientific organization engaged in operations research, systems evaluation, and broad-based studies for the United States Navy. CNA professionals work on current operational problems with the Operations Evaluation Group; on problems of cost effectiveness and force requirements of the mid-range future with the Naval Warfare Analysis Group; on studies of naval problems of the long- range future with the Institute of Naval Studies; or on parametric studies or development of new methodologies in CNA's Research Group. The CNA analyst has unusual analytical ability. His imagination is tempered by reality. He is capable of independent effort, but is amenable to inter-disciplinary research. He wants to apply his talents and knowledge to the nation's security. A few CNA staff appointments are available. For additional information, write:

Director CENTER FOR NAVAL ANALYSES Dept. RSJ 1401 Wilson Blvd., Arlington 9, Va.

CENTER FOR NAVAL ANALYSES OF THE FRANKLIN INSTITUTE

OEG * Operations Evaluation Group INS - Institute of Naval Studies NAVWAG * Naval Warfare Analysis Group An equal opportunity employer

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C AAREER APPOINTMENTS

IN OPERATIONS ANALYSIS The Applied Physics Laboratory of The Johns Hopkins Univer- sity now offers highly attractive career appointments to the professional staff of its Military Operations Analysis Group. The atmosphere within the Group is one of imagination, origi- nality of thought, informality and independence . . . there is a minimum of formal organization. Staff members will enjoy a freedom to define and redefine problems and methods of solu- tion, working individually for the most part, in an essentially academic atmosphere.

The Group receives its assignments from other divisions at APL, the APL management and the Navy, although a considerable number of projects are self-generated by Group members. Cur- rent problem areas include anti-air warfare, Marine Corps tactical operations, tactical data systems, strategic weapons sys- tems, weapon control, radar systems analysis, and operational readiness.

Respondents must have a degree in one of the physical sciences and three or more years experience in a scientific or technical field. Creativeness should be balanced by a practical-minded atti- tude, and the ability to function effectively with scant supervision.

APL's modern facilities are located in Silver Spring, Md., a residential suburb of Washington, D. C., affording a choice of city, suburban or country living. The area is known for its high living standards, excellent public schools and extensive oppor- tunities for graduate study.

Direct your inquiry to: Professional Staff Appointments

The Applied Physics Laboratory . The Johns Hopkins University 8681 Georgia Avenue, Silver Spring, Maryland (Suburb of Washington, D. C.)

ALL QUALIFIED APPLICANTS WILL RECEIVE CONSIDERAl ION FOR EMPLOYMEN WITHOUT REGARD TO RACE. CREED, COLOR, OR NATIONAL ORIGIN.

iv

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Where is a good landing site7 In formulating a statistical model of good lunar landing sites, Bellcomm must consider four probabilities

These probabilities are Bellcomm is doing systems engineering on Project Apollo for Headquarters,

1. Objects (craters, boulders, etc.) greater Mnned Space flh Natioaltero- than one meter within area of the landing n and Space Adinitration. Iell-

nautics an d S pace AdmiZn istration . If Bell1- structure. comm's problems interest you, address

2. Slopes greater than 10 degrees. your resume to Mr. N. W. Smusyn, Per-

less -than 10 bs/sq. in. sonnel Director, Bellcomm, Inc., Room 3. Bearing strength less than 1Q Ibs /s In 1208-H, 1100 17th St., N.W., Washington,

4. Surface layer with low bearing strength D.C. 20036. Bellcomm is an equal oppor- and depth greater than one meter. tunity employer.

Technical common sense says no land- ing on the moon should be attempted Bellcomm, Inc until information of this type is available. A Bell System Company

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OPERATIONS RESEARCH|

| ~SCIENTISTS|

All degree levels are sought to fill the needs of the many employers in every conceivable field who have adopted this technique for the solution of the varied problems that beset the many facets of all in- dustry.

Professional men well qualified in mathematics, statistics, economics and in the physical, engineering and biological sciences are highly de- sirable.

Submit your resume and outline your career objectives and let us help you reach your goal.

BARNEY CORRIGAN, Director Theoretical Sciences Division

CADILLAC ASSOCIATES, INC. 29 E. Madison Bldg. FI 6-9400 Chicago 2, Illinois

"Where More Executives Find Their Positions Thaan Anywhere Else in the World."

operations

research Prefer Master's Degree but will consider Bachelor's Degree in Business Admin-

istration or Mathematics with emphasis on statistics.

Should have some experience with retail, mail order or other type of business

confronted with wide seasonal demand functions or extensive inventories.

Experience involving scientific inventory management or computer simulation

systems would be ideal.

Will utilize operations research procedures in the improvement of sales fore-

casting and inventory management control techniques.

Starting salary commensurate with education and experience.

Reply by resume to:

R. Kubic

SPIEGEL, INC.

1061 W. 35th St.

Chicago, Ill., 60609 Vi

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Operations Research and IDA

Washington is the decision-making center of the free world. In that center, IDA functions as a scientific adviser to the Joint Chiefs of Staff and the Director of Defense Research and Engineering as well as other key offices in the Pentagon. The operations research activities of our organization are centered in the Weapons Systems Evalu- ation Division, but extend also to the Research and Engi- neering Support Division and the Economic and Political Studies Division. In seeking optimum solutions we ad- _____ dress ourselves not only to the technical performance of competitive weapons systems, but also to their political California Institute and economic implications, the strategy they would per- of Technology

. . . 1 . . - ,. .

~~~~~~~~~~Case Institu4te mit or demand, logistics problems in their use, feasibility, of Technology and probable lifetime. * In a world in which the com- University of Chicago plexities and exigencies of our nation's defense and foreign Columbia University policy continue to increase and grow more critical, IDA's University of Illinois programs must also continue to expand. We invite M/assachusetts Institute qualified operations research analysts, scientists and en- University of Michigan gineers to investigate both short term (two to three years) Pennsylvania State and permanent appointments. Respondents should possess University

Princeton University an advanced degree, and those valuable intangibles called Stanfor University creativity' and 'originality.' * A career at IDA can Tulane Unive rsity

present a challenge of satisfying proportions and provide a reward of substance. Write us; we may well have mutual interests. * Institute for Defense Analyses, 1666 Con- necticut Avenue, N.W., Washington 9, D. C.

An equal opportunity employer.

Vil,

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Announce Appointment# For

L0 XNTHE OPERATIONS FIANKLIN

INSTITUTE ANALYSTS LABORATORIES

The Operations Research Division of The Franklin Institute is ex- panding its professional staff in the area of military operations analysis. The design of systems involving the interaction of men and machines are of particular interest. Positions are open for operations research sci- entists with experience in the analysis, simulation, and synthesis of problems associated with the control of military operations.

Current projects include the analysis of military command, control and communication systems, the assessment of air traffic control sys- tems, and the development of mathematical models for psychomotor performance in control tasks.

Staff members of the laboratories work as members of interdiscipli- nary teams in close collaboration with Psychologists, Mathematicians, and military and civilian government personnel.

The Franklin Institute is a non-profit scientific institution located in center city Philadelphia. Good housing, cultural institutions, univer- sities, and recreational facilities are all conveniently located. Thee Appointments Offer MR. EZRA S. KRENDEL, Technical Director Exceptional Opportunities. OPERATIONS RESEARCH DIVISION For Information- WRITE TO: THE FRANKLIN INSTITUTE

Philadelphia S, Pa. An Equal Opportunity Employer

Off Press... Forthcoming... QUANTITATIVE APPROACHES

LINEAR PROGRAMMING: Meth- TO MANAGEMENT ods and Applications, Second Edi- By RICHARD I. LEVIN and C. A. tion KIRKPATRICK, University of By SAUL I. GASS, International North Carolina. McGraw-Hill Series Business Machines, Inc. 272 pages,

in Information Processing and Com- $8.95.

M puters. Available in January. Treats the most common techniques

A comprehensive treatment of the of operations research which can be major features of linear programming, understood by persons who have had including the new areas of integer pro- only high school algebra. Outstanding gramming and decomposition al- for its simplicity and clarity. gorithm.

QUANTITATIVE METHODS: A Survey and Guide for Managers

LINEAR PROGRAMMING: An In- By BILLY E. GOETZ, Massachu- troductory Analysis setts Institute of Technology. Avail- By N. PAUL LOOMBA, Lehigh Uni- able in the Spring. versity. 284 pages, $7.95. A remarkable book both in its re-

freshing style and its coverage. Intro- Describes, analyzes, and explains the duces managers who had studied only basic elements of linear programming. high school algebra to the mathe- An extensive background in mathe- matical approach to managerial matics is not required. decision.

Examination copies available on request

McGRAW-HILL BOOK COMPANY 330 West 42nd Street/New York, N.Y. 10036

viii

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MAN AND HUMAN PROGRESS ... ONE IN A SERIES

7,

"Peace is not achieved merelyb desiring it. May 27, 1959. For official Washington and In the national interest, the much of the free world, it was a day of mourn- Research Analysis Corpo- ing . . . the day of John Foster Dulles' funeral. ration applies scientific

Ironically, it was also the deadline, set forth thought to major military, in an ultimatum six months earlier by Nikita

technical, ecoobmic aond

Khrushchev, for the West to get out of Berlin. proliticand polmutdsciplinary But because Dulles had stood firm-as he had RAC invites scientists and in so many earlier showdowns between West- engineers with advanced ern determination and Communist expansion- degrees and superior capa- ism-May 27, 1959 was a carefree spring day bilities to investigate its in Berlin, nothing more, nothing less. career opportunities; please

Dulles, often stressing that peace is not to send your resume to Mr. be ha simpy fo the antin fouht al his John G. Burke, Professional be ha sipyfr th watig fogh al hi

Staffing, Research Analysis life for a just and moral peace, a peace foundedl Corporation, McLean, Vir- on interdependence of nations and the dignity ginia 22101 (suburb of of man. We have not yet achieved his objec- ahnton D. C.). An tives. But time has both vindicated his judg- equal opportu- ment and affirmed the remarkable breadth of nity employer. < his accomplishment. RESEARCH ANALYSIS CORPORATION

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___________________________ WEAPONS SYSTEMS

___________________________ ANALYSTS

STANFORD RESEARCH INSTITUTE SR

has several openings for Senior Weapons Systems Analysts. Activities involve engineering analyses and evaluations of advanced design alternatives on a variety of existing and newly proposed weapons systems, with special emphasis on Air and Ballistic Missile De- fense Systems. Opportunities exist to participate both individually and as team members on highly challenging research programs.

* In addition to a broad advanced systems background, experience in one or more of the following areas is of immediate interest: Nuclear Weapons Effect, Re-entry

| Physics and Decoy Discrimination, Radar Systems, Radar Signal and Data Proc- essing, Missile Guidance & Electronics, Computer Simulation and Missile Systems Cost Evaluation.

* Engineers, Physicists and Mathematicians, preferably with advanced degrees and with broad systems backgrounds, or specialists in the areas mentioned who desire to apply their experience to systems problems, are invited to submit resumes. Industrial level salaries and benefits are provided.

For further information, I STANFORD RESEARCH 333 Ravenswood -an equal

please contact: R. B. Cantu INSTITUT E Menlo Park, opportunity

Operations Research Analyst Lederle Laboratories is beginning the design of its third generation of data processing systems, a management information system which spans the entire manufacturing operation and places data on tap for many operations research applications. The Operations Research Analyst filling the current opening will design new production control systems, working with systems analysts, and later phase into organic growth of operations research applications at Lederle. This is a ground-floor opportunity in a large organization having sustained interest and high po- tential for new management methods. The position requires advanced capability in the mathematics of production system design, and an ability to communicate effectively. Problems in forecasting, statistical inventory control, optimum production scheduling, capital and man-power allocation are to be solved with the theoretical methods of operations research, plus a common sense approach toward making systems work. The candidates background can be either: PhD in Mathematics and Operations Research, or, MS in Mathematics with 3 years plus in creative operations analysis work.

Reply giving salary requirements to: R.W.M. LETTS, Manager Operations Analysis

LEDERLE LABORATORIES Division of AMERICAN CYANAMID COMPANY

Pearl River, New York An Equal Opportunity Employery z

x

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His business is quiet. He's a General Motors development engineer and his job is to help see to it that every GM car operates as smoothly and quietly as advanced technology and human skill can reasonably achieve. His work takes him into an anechoic chamber at the Milford Proving Ground where walls made of glass-fiber-wedges up to a yard deep absorb 99 percent of the sound made by a car in operation.

In this room GM cars are "road proved" on a chassis dynamometer under many driving conditions and at varying speeds. Every signifi- cant noise, no matter how slight, is studied, charted, evaluated. Object: quiet. This man and others like him never stop striving to reach that goal.

Highly refined laboratory setups like the Milford anechoic rooms contribute vitally to the constant improvement of General Motors cars. But they would be valueless without the knowledge and experience of the men who use them. People, after all, are the key to the continuing excellence of GM products. General Motors owes its position in industry to the dedication and ability of a great many exceptional people.

GENEBAL MOTORS IS PEOPLE... Making Better Things ForYou

X1

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Operations Research Society of America

1964-1965

OFFICERS OF THE SOCIETY

GEORGE E. KIMBALL, President GEORGE SHORTLEY, Vice-President Arthur D. Little, Inc. Booz, Allen Applied Research, Inc. 35 Acorn Park 4815 Rugby Avenue Cambridge, Massachusetts 02140 Bethesda, Maryland 20014

JOSEPH H. ENGEL, Secretary JOHN E. WALSH, Treasurer Operations Evaluation Group System Development Corporation Center for Naval Analyses 2500 Colorado Avenue 1401 Wilson Boulevard Santa Monica, California 90406 Arlington, Virginia 22209

COUNCIL OF THE SOCIETY

1963-65 Past President, HUGH J. MISER, The MITRE Corporation, Box 208, Bed- ford, Massachusetts

1964-66 Past President, ALEXANDER M. MOOD, Office of Education, Washington, D.C. 20202

1962-65 ROGER R. CRANE ANDREW W. MARSHALL Touche, Ross, Bailey & Smart The RAND Corporation 80 Pine Street 1700 Main Street New York, N. Y. 10005 Santa Monica, Calif. 90401

1963-66 WALTER E. CUSHEN LESLIE C. EDIE Institute for Applied Port of New York Authority

Technology 111 Eighth Avenue National Bureau of Standards New York, N. Y. 10011 Washington, D. C. 20234

1964-67 MURRAY GEISLER DAVID B. HERTZ The RAND Corporation McKinsey & Co., Inc. 1700 Main Street 270 Park Avenue Santa Monica, Calif. 90401 New York, N.Y. 10017

CHAIRMEN OF STANDING COMMITTEES

Membership Committee Education Committee NEWTON A. ABLAHAT HARVEY M. WAGNER

General Electric Company Dept. of Industrial Engineering 777 14th Street, N. W. Stanford University Washington, D. C. 20005 Stanford, California

Publications Committee Nominating Committee ROBERT E. MACHOL GEORGES BRIGHAM

Dept. of System Engineering Arthur Andersen & Co. College of Engineering 601 Norton Building University of Illinois Seattle, Washington 98104 Chicago, Illinois

CHAIRMEN OF OTHER COMMITTEES

Lanchester Prize Committee Representative to IFORS ALEXANDER M. MOOD HUGH J. MISER

Sections Committee Representative to the NRC ROBERT MIRSKY ROBERT F. RINEHART

Meetings Committee Representatives to the AAAS PAUL STILLSON RALPH W. GERARD

21 Marinero Circle ELLIS A. JOHNSON Tiburon, California

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