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SPP.org 1
ICT Construction Plan Evaluation and Reliability Assessment Part 1Entergy Transmission Summit
July 29, 2008Astor Crown PlazaNew Orleans, Louisiana
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Presentation Overview
• Background, Assumptions, Procedures
• Base Plan Study Areas
• Contingency Scan of Long-Term Models
1. Near-Term (2009/2013 Models)
2. Long-Term (2017 Model)
• Low Hydro Sensitivity
• Areas Showing Up In Real-Time
• Next Steps
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Assumptions for Construction Plan Contingency Scan
• Models
• Base Case 2007-Series (Update 2)
• Near-term: Summer Peak 2009 and 2013.
• Longer-term: Summer Peak 2017.
• Model Changes
• The latest confirmed transmission service reservations were modeled.
• Newly in-service equipment was modeled.
• All 2009 Draft Construction Plan Projects were added in the year following the in-service year, including Supplemental upgrades.
• 2008 Base Plan upgrades were not included if they were not also in the Draft Construction Plan.
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Assumptions for Construction Plan Contingency Scan
• Monitored Elements and N-1 Contingencies
• All facilities within Entergy footprint including embedded areas and ties to external areas, plus CLECO and LUS at 69 kV and higher.
• First-tier areas at 345 kV and higher.
• NERC Category A:
• Thermal Limits: <100% of Rate A
• Voltage Limits: +/- 5% of Nominal
• NERC Category B:
• Thermal Limits: <100% of Rate A
• Voltage Limits: +5% / -8% of Nominal
• For elements outside the limits, the analysis was repeated for the breaker-to-breaker contingency.
• Elements that were still outside the limits were flagged.
• Elements that were within the limits, but for which the Consequential Load >100 MW were flagged. (“100 MW Rule”)
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Results for Category A
Thermal Overloads
Nominal kV Level 2009 2013 2017
69 0 0 5
115 0 0 1
161 0 0 1
TOTAL 0 0 7
Undervoltages
Nominal kV Level 2009 2013 2017
69 2 4 4
115 0 0 2
138 8 0 0
161 0 0 1
230 0 0 1
500 0 0 0
TOTAL 10 4 8
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Project is not included in
either model
Code for Base Plan and Construction Plan Projects Indicated on Maps
BP08-036 = Project Number from 2008 Base PlanCP(2011) = 2008 Construction Plan and Expected In-Service YearDCP(2011) = 2009 Draft Construction Plan and In-Service Year
Map Legend
BP08-036 CP(2011)
DCP(2011)
Background Color Indicates Projects’ Inclusion In Case
Project is in 2013 model
only
Project is in both 2009 &
2013 models
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Arkansas
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BP08-036 CP(2011)
DCP(2011)
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BP08-003CP(?)
DCP(?)
BP08-002NANA
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BP08-012NANA
BP08-011NANA
BP08-047CP(2011)
DCP(2011)
NANA
DCP(2010)
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BP08-004NANA
BP08-005NANA
(Supplemental)CP(2008)
NA
BP08-001NA
DCP(2013)
BP08-047A-DCP(2008)
DCP(2008)
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BP08-013NANA
BP08-014NANA
BP08-007NANA
BP08-005NANA
BP08-004NANA
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BP08-027NANA
(Supplemental)CP(2010)
DCP(2010)
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BP08-034CP(2008)
DCP(2008)BP08-035CP(2009)
DCP(2009)
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BP08-010CP(2008)
DCP(2008)
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BP08-052CP(2011)
DCP(2011)
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Mississippi
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BP08-020NANA
BP08-058CP(2009)
DCP(2009)
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BP08-061CP(2012)
DCP(2012)
NANA
DCP(2009)
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BP08-046CP(2012)
DCP(2012)
NANA
DCP(2011)
BP08-057CP(2011)
DCP(2011)
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BP08-019NANA
BP08-057CP(2011)
DCP(2011)
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Louisiana
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BP08-052CP(2011)
DCP(2011)
BP08-063CP(2010)
DCP(2010)
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BP08-030NANA
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BP08-049CP(2008)
DCP(2008)
BP08-050CP(2010)
DCP(2010)
BP08-051CP(2010)
DCP(2010)
SPP.org 30
BP08-055CP(2008)
DCP(2008) BP08-062CP(2008)
DCP(2008)
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BP08-054CP(2009)
DCP(2009)
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BP08-028NANA
BP08-029NANA
BP08-032CP(2009)
DCP(2009)
NANA
DCP(2012)
(Supplemental)CP(2009)
DCP(2009)
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NANA
DCP (2010)
BP08-031NANA
BP08-048CP(2010)
DCP(2010)
BP08-037CP(2008)
DCP(2008)
BP08-023NANA
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BP08-021NANA
NANA
DCP (2011)BP08-023
NANA
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Texas
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CP(2012)CP(2012)
BP08-024CP(2008)
DCP(2008)
BP08-053CP(2008)
DCP(2008)
NANA
DCP(2012)
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NANA
DCP(2010)
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BP08-042CP(2009)
DCP(2009)
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BP08-043A/BCP(2011/12)
DCP(2011/12)
BP08-041CP(2010)
DCP(2009/11)
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BP08-026CP(2009)
DCP(2009)