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SQM THIRD QUARTER 2017 RESULTS
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Page 1: SQMs1.q4cdn.com/793210788/files/doc_presentations/2017/11/SQM... · water soluble, and fast absorption ... • 2017 market size estimate ~ 63 million MT ... 2016-2019 (first stage

SQMTHIRD QUARTER 2017 RESULTS

Page 2: SQMs1.q4cdn.com/793210788/files/doc_presentations/2017/11/SQM... · water soluble, and fast absorption ... • 2017 market size estimate ~ 63 million MT ... 2016-2019 (first stage

Statements in this presentation concerning theCompany’s business outlook or future economicperformances, anticipated profitability, revenues,expenses, or other financial items, anticipated costsynergies and product or service line growth, togetherwith other statements that are not historical facts, are“forward-looking statements” as that term is definedunder Federal Securities Laws.

Any forward-looking statements are estimates, reflectingthe best judgment of SQM based on currently availableinformation and involve a number of risks, uncertaintiesand other factors that could cause actual results to differmaterially from those stated in such statements.

Risks, uncertainties, and factors that could affect theaccuracy of such forward-looking statements areidentified in the public filing made with the Securities andExchange Commission, and forward-looking statementsshould be considered in light of those factors.

SQM

Important Notice

2

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3

Potassium S p e c i a l t y P l a n t N u t r i e n t s

Iodine & Derivatives

Lithium & Derivatives

Industrial Chemicals

FERTILIZERS

SQM at a Glance

R e v e n u e L T M 1 : U S $ 2 . 1 b i l l i o n | E B I T D A L T M : U S $ 8 9 2 m i l l i o n | E B I T D A M a r g i n L T M : ~ 4 2 %

N F D / E B I T D A : . 3 | M o o d y ´ s : B a a 1 | S t a n d a r d a n d P o o r ´ s : B B B

SPECIALTY CHEMICALS

19%32%

12%

29%

5%9%17%

7%

61%

5%

Revenue Gross Profit

Contribution to Revenue vs. Gross Profit 9M20172

1 Twelve months ended September 30, 20172 Excluding “Others”

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• High concentrations of potassium and lithium

• High evaporation rates

• Production rights are pursuant to a lease agreement with CORFO until 2030

• Technology and experience to efficiently operate

Caliche Ore

Technology and experience to efficiently operate

• Caliche ore is only found in Chile

• The world’s largest deposits of nitrates and iodine

• Proprietary mining rights pursuant to exploitation concessions

Salar Brines

Sodium nitrate + Potassium chloride = Potassium nitrate + (Sodium chloride)

+NaNO3

KCl = KNO3

Sustainable Operations in the North of Chile

4

Natural Resources and Experience

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Review of Results

US

$ M

illio

n

US

$ M

illio

n

Revenue Contribution 9M2017/9M2016

Gross Profit Contribution 9M2017/9M2016

Impact of higher volumes outweighs lower prices in iodine and industrial chemical business lines. Prices increased in lithium and potassium business lines.

5

1,386

1,583

24 16

127 38 5

(13)

1,100

1,300

1,500

1,700

406

385 385 394

511 525 546

546

0

(21)

9

117 14 21 0

200

300

400

500

600

700

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Lithium and Derivatives

27% Market Share1

51.0k MT LTM2 Sales Volumes

US$642 mm LTM Revenues

61% Contribution to LTM Gross Profit

SQM Lithium Projects

Argentina

Australia

• Minera Exar, 50/50 JV

• Caucharí-Olaroz, Jujuy

• Capacity 25,000 MT (I stage 2019) + 25,000 (II stage)

• Total CAPEX (stage I+II) ~US$675 million

• Mt. Holland integrated project, 50/50 JV

• Capacity 40,000 MT in 2022

• Initial investment US$110 million

Chile

LITHIUM CARBONATE

• Current capacity 48,000 MT

• Expansion to 63,000 in 2018

• CAPEX ~US$50 million

LITHIUM HYDROXIDE

• Current capacity 6,000 MT

• Expansion to 13,500 MT in 2018

• CAPEX ~US$30 million

Lithium Carbonate & Hydroxide

61 As of December 31, 20162 Twelve months ended September 30, 2017

Demand expected to double every 5 yearsDemand growth is based on xEVs growth

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Lithium Demand

E V O L U T I O N

Demand

expected to

double

every 5

years

Source: SQM

88 116 116 11668

126 146 16852

280

400

540

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

2017 2025 Scenario 1 2025 Scenario 2 2025 Scenario 3

Demand forecast final application (kTM-LCE)

ElectricVehicle (EV)

208

500

650

800

Demand

growth is

based on

EVs growth

Key assumptions 2025Scenario 1

2025Scenario 2

2025Scenario 3

Total vehicles, million units 100 100 100

Electric Vehicle (EV), penetration 8% 10% 12%

Avg. LCE, kg/vehicle 35 40 45

Other batteries, % growth 8% 10% 12%

Others, % growth 3.5% 3.5% 3.5%

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Lithium Supply

The largest

concentration of

new projects is in

Australia (11) and

Argentina (7)

Source: SQM (includes expansions of current producers)

Projects Status

State Projects Total capacity

(kTMLCE)

Country N

Upcoming Start-up / Construction

9 133 AustraliaChile

CanadaArgentina

Brazil

32121

Advanced Plant pilot or DFS

9 149 ArgentinaChile

AustraliaBrazil

BoliviaOther

114111

Possible Announced or PFS

20 325 AustraliaArgentina

ChinaSerbia

CanadaChileOther

4451123

Total 38 607 (includes SQM expansion)

Current projects

Upcoming projects

Advanced projects

Possible projects

N E W P R O J E C T S

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Iodine and Derivatives

• Lowest-cost producer

• Main uses: X-ray contrast media - 23%, pharmaceuticals –13%, LCD - 12%.

• Expansion to 14,000 MT per year by end-2018

• Average prices in 9M2017 ~20 US$

• Expected sales volumes in 2017 ~12,500 MT

• Global demand in 2017 is expected to be ~34,900 MT (~3% annual growth)

29% Market Share1

12.4k MT LTM2 Sales Volumes

US$247 mm LTM Revenues

6% Contribution to LTM Gross Profit

Iodine

91 As of December 31, 2016 2 Twelve months ended September 30, 2017

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Specialty Plant Nutrients

46% KNO3 Market Share1

902k MT LTM2 Sales Volumes

US$648 mm LTM Revenues

17% Contribution to LTM Gross Profit

• Potassium nitrate (KNO3) provides unique benefits: chlorine-free, water soluble, and fast absorption

• Water soluble segment grows at ~5% per year

SQM competitive advantage:

• Access to reserves of both potassium and nitrates

• Developed distribution network and diverse customer base

• Current production capacity: 1 million MT/year, expansion

to 1.5 million MT/year in 2018

Potassium Nitrate (KNO3)

101 As of December 31, 2016 2 Twelve months ended September 30, 2017

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Potassium Chloride & Sulfate

Potassium

<3% Market Share1

1.5 million MT LTM2 Sales Volumes

US$408 mm LTM Revenues

9% Contribution to LTM Gross Profit

• MOP is the most common used potassium based fertilizer

• 2017 market size estimate ~ 63 million MT

• Major players in Belarus, Canada and Russia

• Slight Price recovery seen in 1H2017, average prices in 9M2017 ~US$278/MT

SQM competitive advantage:

• Low-cost producer of MOP

• Flexibility to produce MOP, SOP and KNO3 depending on market needs

• Effective production capacity: 2 million MT/year (including KCL for KNO3 production), expected sales in 2017 ~1.3 million MT

• Sintukola project in Republic of Congo (Kore Potash Ltd), US$20 million investment for 18% ownership stake. Feasibility study results in 2018

111 As of December 31, 2016 2 Twelve months ended September 30, 2017

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Solar Salts

Industrial Chemicals

179k MT LTM1 Sales Volumes

US$142 mm LTM Revenues

7% Contribution to LTM Gross Profit

• Various traditional uses for industrial nitrates related to glass, metal treatment and explosives

• Solar Salts:

• A 50MW parabolic CSP plant with 7.5 hours of indirect storage requires ~30k MT of

solar salts

• Solar salts expected installed capacity of Concentrated Solar Power (CSP) to reach

~20GW by 2020 and supply 12% of world electricity by 2050

• Project being developed in Europe, Northern and Southern Africa, Middle East, Chile,

China and Australia

• Prices remain flat in 2017 compared to 2016

• Sales volumes expected to be over 90k MT in 2017

SQM competitive advantage:

• Operational flexibility with certain industrial sodium and potassium nitrate products

• Production of both potassium nitrate and sodium nitrate, the two raw materials in

solar salts production12

1 Twelve months ended September 30, 2017

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2016-2018: Lithium Hydroxide Expansion to 13.5k MT: ~US$30 million

2017-2018: Potassium Nitrate Expansion to 1.5m MT: ~US$100 million

2017-2018: Lithium Carbonate Expansion to 63k MT: ~US$50 million

2017-2018: Iodine capacity expansion to 14k MT: ~US$30 million

2016-2019 (first stage 25k MT): Chaucharí – Olaroz project inArgentina - ~US$425 million + ~US$250 million (pre VAT) for stages Iand II, respectively. (50/50 JV: SQM will be responsible for 50% of theinvestment).

2017-2022: Mt. Holland project in Australia (50/50 JV, 40k MT)~US$110 million initial stage, total investment TBD

Historical Maintenance CAPEX: ~US$100 million

Capex

13

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14

Ownership Structure1

Other Relevant Topics

Dividend Policy2

2017 Net Income distribution in 3 interim & 1 final dividend

100% 80% 60%

(a) 𝑐𝑎𝑠ℎ+𝑜𝑡ℎ𝑒𝑟 𝑐𝑢𝑟𝑟𝑒𝑛𝑡 𝑓𝑖𝑛𝑎𝑛𝑐𝑖𝑎𝑙 𝑎𝑠𝑠𝑒𝑡𝑠

𝑐𝑢𝑟𝑟𝑒𝑛𝑡 𝑓𝑖𝑛𝑎𝑛𝑐𝑖𝑎𝑙 𝑙𝑖𝑎𝑏𝑖𝑙𝑖𝑡𝑖𝑒𝑠≥ 2.5 2.0 1.5

(b)𝑡𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝑙𝑖𝑎𝑏𝑖𝑙𝑖𝑡𝑖𝑒𝑠

𝑡𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝑒𝑞𝑢𝑖𝑡𝑦≤ 1.1 1.2 1.3

If none of the above parameters is met: 50% of 2017 Net Income

1As of September 30, 2017 2Please see the full version on our website at www.sqm.com

21%

32%

32%

15%

Bank of New York (ADRS)

Potash Corp

Pampa Group and Kowa Group

Other Chile

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SQMC O N T A C T I N F O R M A T I O N :

• G e r a r d o I l l a n e s : V P o f F i n a n c eg e r a r d o . i l l a n e s @ s q m . c o m

• K e l l y O ’ B r i e n : H e a d o f I n v e s t o r R e l a t i o n s k e l l y . o b r i e n @ s q m . c o m

• I r i n a A x e n o v a : I n v e s t o r R e l a t i o n s i r i n a . a x e n o v a @ s q m . c o m


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