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St Albans City and District Council Housing Land …...West Hall. Connolly House. Former Nurses...

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St Albans City and District Council Housing Land Supply Position – 1 April 2016 Baseline (Published July 2016) This paper records the St Albans City and District housing land supply and housing trajectory position at a 1 April 2016 base date. St Albans Housing Trajectory is normally published in December in the Authority’s Monitoring Report, but the trajectory has been published early this year due to preparation work for the submission of the Strategic Local Plan (SLP). The following two charts and tables show the land supply position with and without an implemented Strategic Local Plan. Chart 1 shows the land supply as calculated for the SLP and includes proposed Broad Locations. Chart 2 shows the land supply as calculated for the Authorities Monitoring Report and does not include proposed Broad Locations. Further below are the 1 April 2016 baseline Housing Land Supply Schedule and an explanation of the windfall calculations used within the SLP housing trajectory.
Transcript
Page 1: St Albans City and District Council Housing Land …...West Hall. Connolly House. Former Nurses Accom 645-6 610 35 Redevelopment of the church for a Local Centre and flats. Redevelopment

St Albans City and District Council Housing Land Supply Position – 1 April 2016 Baseline (Published July 2016) This paper records the St Albans City and District housing land supply and housing trajectory position at a 1 April 2016 base date. St Albans Housing Trajectory is normally published in December in the Authority’s Monitoring Report, but the trajectory has been published early this year due to preparation work for the submission of the Strategic Local Plan (SLP). The following two charts and tables show the land supply position with and without an implemented Strategic Local Plan. Chart 1 shows the land supply as calculated for the SLP and includes proposed Broad Locations. Chart 2 shows the land supply as calculated for the Authorities Monitoring Report and does not include proposed Broad Locations. Further below are the 1 April 2016 baseline Housing Land Supply Schedule and an explanation of the windfall calculations used within the SLP housing trajectory.

Page 2: St Albans City and District Council Housing Land …...West Hall. Connolly House. Former Nurses Accom 645-6 610 35 Redevelopment of the church for a Local Centre and flats. Redevelopment

Chart 1 (SLP)

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Page 3: St Albans City and District Council Housing Land …...West Hall. Connolly House. Former Nurses Accom 645-6 610 35 Redevelopment of the church for a Local Centre and flats. Redevelopment

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Page 4: St Albans City and District Council Housing Land …...West Hall. Connolly House. Former Nurses Accom 645-6 610 35 Redevelopment of the church for a Local Centre and flats. Redevelopment

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Page 5: St Albans City and District Council Housing Land …...West Hall. Connolly House. Former Nurses Accom 645-6 610 35 Redevelopment of the church for a Local Centre and flats. Redevelopment

April 2016 Housing Land Supply Schedule

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Page 6: St Albans City and District Council Housing Land …...West Hall. Connolly House. Former Nurses Accom 645-6 610 35 Redevelopment of the church for a Local Centre and flats. Redevelopment

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Page 7: St Albans City and District Council Housing Land …...West Hall. Connolly House. Former Nurses Accom 645-6 610 35 Redevelopment of the church for a Local Centre and flats. Redevelopment

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Page 8: St Albans City and District Council Housing Land …...West Hall. Connolly House. Former Nurses Accom 645-6 610 35 Redevelopment of the church for a Local Centre and flats. Redevelopment

Ref

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Page 9: St Albans City and District Council Housing Land …...West Hall. Connolly House. Former Nurses Accom 645-6 610 35 Redevelopment of the church for a Local Centre and flats. Redevelopment

Ref

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, P

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L

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Ref

PP

S

ite

Na

me

Est Units

to be Built

Losses

Net Comp

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

2025

2026

2027

2028

2029

2030

2031

Co

mm

en

ts

TB

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09

5

/20

12

/12

38

H

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l,

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bro

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11

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4

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21

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9

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DP

DL

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PP

S

ite

Na

me

Est Units

to be Built

Losses

Net Comp

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

2025

2026

2027

2028

2029

2030

2031

Co

mm

en

ts

TB

A1

15

5

/20

15

/15

95

3

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0,

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en

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. P

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S

ite

Na

me

Est Units

to be Built

Losses

Net Comp

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

2025

2026

2027

2028

2029

2030

2031

Co

mm

en

ts

TB

A1

S

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A

5/2

01

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6

Bu

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5

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) R

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to b

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me

nd

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to S

10

6.

GF

23

0

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5. Where full, outline or reserved matters at post-committee resolution subject to S106 negotiations

RS

10

2

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, (F

ire

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0

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arb

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rea

. P

DL

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S

ite

Na

me

Est Units

to be Built

Losses

Net Comp

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

2025

2026

2027

2028

2029

2030

2031

Co

mm

en

ts

TB

A2

5

/20

15

/09

90

H

arp

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54

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6. With application submitted

TB

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4

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L

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ite

Na

me

Est Units

to be Built

Losses

Net Comp

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

2025

2026

2027

2028

2029

2030

2031

Co

mm

en

ts

TB

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e 5

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70

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7. With pre-application discussions occurring

TB

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4

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us

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dja

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ap

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6

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or

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PD

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TB

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PD

L

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ite

Na

me

Est Units

to be Built

Losses

Net Comp

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

2025

2026

2027

2028

2029

2030

2031

Co

mm

en

ts

TB

A1

4

C

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C

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(W

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S

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va

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ted

. P

DL

TB

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mp

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rea

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8 Allocation only

RS

46

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ca

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n’s

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elo

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a

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PD

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RS

95

22

2 L

on

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2

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for

ho

us

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tim

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22

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Page 16: St Albans City and District Council Housing Land …...West Hall. Connolly House. Former Nurses Accom 645-6 610 35 Redevelopment of the church for a Local Centre and flats. Redevelopment

Ref

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S

ite

Na

me

Est Units

to be Built

Losses

Net Comp

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

2025

2026

2027

2028

2029

2030

2031

Co

mm

en

ts

9. SHLAA Sites & other sites

TB

A1

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B

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. In

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PP

S

ite

Na

me

Est Units

to be Built

Losses

Net Comp

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

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2023

2024

2025

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2028

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PP

S

ite

Na

me

Est Units

to be Built

Losses

Net Comp

2017

2018

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2020

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Page 19: St Albans City and District Council Housing Land …...West Hall. Connolly House. Former Nurses Accom 645-6 610 35 Redevelopment of the church for a Local Centre and flats. Redevelopment

Ref

PP

S

ite

Na

me

Est Units

to be Built

Losses

Net Comp

2017

2018

2019

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Page 20: St Albans City and District Council Housing Land …...West Hall. Connolly House. Former Nurses Accom 645-6 610 35 Redevelopment of the church for a Local Centre and flats. Redevelopment

Ref

PP

S

ite

Na

me

Est Units

to be Built

Losses

Net Comp

2017

2018

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Ref

PP

S

ite

Na

me

Est Units

to be Built

Losses

Net Comp

2017

2018

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Page 22: St Albans City and District Council Housing Land …...West Hall. Connolly House. Former Nurses Accom 645-6 610 35 Redevelopment of the church for a Local Centre and flats. Redevelopment

Five Year Land Supply

Total 5 year supply at 1.04.2016 2,420

Land supply at 436 dpa + 5% 5.28

Land supply at 586 dpa + 5% 3.93

Land supply at 6619 dpa + 5% 3.72

The revocation of the East of England Plan left St Albans District Council without a definitive housing target. In a Court of Appeal Decision in December 2013 (the Hunston Case) judges decided that, in the absence of a Development Plan figure, the most-up-to date figures for full objectively assessed needs should be used. It is therefore considered that the 2014 based Household Projection figures (1991-2039), published by the Department for Communities and Local Government (DCLG) in July 2016 is the figure to use for this purpose. This, as a proxy for full, objectively assessed needs for housing, without any moderation, is 619. In December 2015 the Council approved for the SLP a “full objectively assessed needs” figure of 436 dwellings per annum. The SHMA 5 year net migration-lead figure is 586 dwellings per annum. Estimated Windfall Calculations NPPF Annex 2: Glossary - Windfall sites - Sites which have not been specifically identified as available in the Local Plan process. They normally comprise previously-developed sites that have unexpectedly become available. NPPF paragraph 48 - Local planning authorities may make an allowance for windfall sites in the five-year supply if they have compelling evidence that such sites have consistently become available in the local area and will continue to provide a reliable source of supply. Any allowance should be realistic having regard to the Strategic Housing Land Availability Assessment, historic windfall delivery rates and expected future trends, and should not include residential gardens. Large Sites Windfall on large sites was calculated to be 38 per annum. This figure was calculated by counting the number of completions on sites not previously recorded in the Council’s published 5 year land supply information (Authority’s Monitoring Reports), starting at the earliest point at which SADC data was recorded in this way, which was April 2007. The supply information included all “estimated” sites that the local planning authority considered deliverable. The actual delivery has been examined across the subsequent years’ corresponding completions data. This calculation gave a total over 9 years of 338 completions, an average of 38 per annum. This figure does not include garden land.

Page 23: St Albans City and District Council Housing Land …...West Hall. Connolly House. Former Nurses Accom 645-6 610 35 Redevelopment of the church for a Local Centre and flats. Redevelopment

Past Completions

Year Large Sites

2007-08 0

2008-09 17

2009-10 9

2010-11 14

2011-12 52

2012-13 20

2013-14 44

2014-15 64

2015-16 118

Total 338

Annual Average 38

Small Sites The NPPF requires exclusion of garden land from this estimate. 39% of outstanding small permissions are on garden land, leaving 61% PDL. The average number of completions per annum on small sites in the last five years is 58. Taking 61% of 58 gives a rounded figure of 35. This figure added to the average completions from Conversions (29) is 64. Past Completions

Year Small Conversions

11-12 86 35

12-13 57 -4

13-14 52 29

14-15 17 33

15-16 76 50

Total 288 143

Annual Average

58 29

In summary, the average PDL completions = 102 per annum (Large 38 + Conversions &

Small 64) For future five year land supply purposes it is conservatively assumed that windfalls should be taken into account on a rising scale of this average, that is 50% assumed completions in the first year, 75% in the second, 85% in the third, 90% in the fourth and up to 100% by the fifth and subsequent years.

Page 24: St Albans City and District Council Housing Land …...West Hall. Connolly House. Former Nurses Accom 645-6 610 35 Redevelopment of the church for a Local Centre and flats. Redevelopment

Estimated Future Windfall Completions

Large Small Sites & Conversions

Total

Year 1 19 32 51

Year 2 29 48 77

Year 3 32 54 87

Year 4 34 58 92

Year 5 38 64 102

Total 5 year completions 408


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