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Stakeholder Presentation Lancaster Rapid Transit Feasibility Study

23rd June 2016

Study Overview

• Description of Study:

– Feasibility Study for a Rapid Transit Route from South

Lancaster to Lancaster City Centre to Morecambe and

Heysham

• Key Aims of the study:

– Set and prioritise objectives

– Appraise different options

– Develop potential options

– Confirm optimal options / packages

– Investigate to what extent a rapid transit service can operate in

an integrated way with the Park and Ride service

2

The Study Corridor

3

Four Sections

• Heysham to Morecambe

• Morecambe to Lancaster

• Lancaster City Centre

• South Lancaster

Travel trends within the corridor

4

• Almost 2000 people travel between

Morecambe and Lancaster for work by car

(2011 Census)

• The bus mode share for Heysham to

Lancaster University is 11%, compared to

31% from Central Lancaster

• The overall cycle to work mode share from

Heysham is 3%, from Morecambe is 6%

and from Lancaster is 7%. The national

average is 3%.

Existing Bus Service

Provision & Frequency

5

• Majority of services

provided by Stagecoach

• Services don’t always stick

to main roads / direct

routes

• Peak frequency up to one

bus every 3 / 4 minutes

• End to end journey times

can be up to ~1 hour 20

minutes

Stakeholder Workshop

• Early Stakeholder Workshop held March 2016

• Stakeholders informed then voted on Study

Objectives

• Objectives were prioritised and then weighting

added to the top two when appraising Options

6

0.00%

5.00%

10.00%

15.00%

20.00%

25.00%

30.00%

35.00%33.55%

12.26%

20.00%

11.61%

0.65%

7.10% 3.87%

10.97%

Option Generation

• Initial list of Options generated, including:

– Soft Measures (Low Cost)

– Soft Measures (Medium / High Cost)

– Tram / Train

– Monorail

– Bus Rapid Transit

– Recasting of existing bus network

7

Initial Option Appraisal

• Each Option appraised

using an Appraisal Tool

• Scored against:

– Weighted Objectives

– Deliverability

– Feasibility

– Cost

8

Corridor Wide Options Ranked and Sifted

9

Option Option Summary Appraisal

Score

Deliverability Practical

Feasibility

Cost

05 Bus Rapid Transit 15 Deliverable Potential

Issues £5-20m

03 Tram / Train

14 Deliverable,

but with

challenges

Potential

Issues >£20m

04 Monorail

9 Very difficult

to deliver Not Feasible >£50m

06 Recasting of existing bus network

9 Deliverable,

but with

challenges

Feasible <£250k

02 Soft measures - Med/High Cost 5 Deliverable Feasible £250k -

£1m

01 Soft measures - Low Cost 4 Deliverable Feasible <£250k

BRT Options Selected for Final Appraisal

10

• BRT Option

top scoring, rail

options to be

considered in

another study

• Various BRT

packages then

appraised for

each section of

the Corridor

• Low,

• Medium &

• High Cost

Option

Number

Option Summary

7 Heysham to Morecambe section - Low Cost Measures. May include Bus Priority through

signals, i.e. a Hurry Call and revisions to existing bus routings.

8 Heysham to Morecambe section - Medium Cost Measures. May include physical bus priority

measures such as short sections of bus lanes on existing carriageway of the A589 and signal

priority.

9 Heysham to Morecambe section - High Cost Measures. May include remodelling of junctions

to reduce delays and section of bus lanes / junction bypass lanes along the A589.

10 Morecambe to Lancaster section - Low Cost Measures. May include, Bus Priority through

signals, i.e. a Hurry Call

11 Morecambe to Lancaster section - Medium Cost Measures. May include bus lanes / priority on

Morecambe Road, relocated / improved Morecambe Bus Station and improved PT access to White

Lund.

12 Morecambe to Lancaster section - High Cost Measures. May include all Medium Cost

Measures as well as a new bridge over the River Lune (potentially bus and cycle only) and could

also include bus gate at West Road.

13

Lancaster section - Low Cost Measures. May include contraflow sections to accommodate more

direct bus movements, Bus Priority through signals, i.e. a Hurry Call.

14 Lancaster section - Medium Cost Measures. May include revisions to the existing gyratory to

accommodate more direct bus movements, physical bus priority measures.

15 Lancaster section - High Cost Measures. May include significant remodelling of the city centre,

including the gyratory, to give greatest priority to walkers, cyclists and buses.

16 Lancaster City Centre to South Lancaster and University Section - Low Cost Measures. May

include Bus Priority through signals, i.e. a Hurry Call.

17 Lancaster City Centre to South Lancaster and University Section - Medium Cost Measures.

May include physical bus priority measures (e.g A6 / Pointer roundabout), Bus lanes on A6.

18 Lancaster City Centre to South Lancaster and University Section - High Cost Measures. May

include a new 'future proofing' planned residential and commercial development areas, i.e. linking

A6 / A588 Ashton Road via public transport orientated access options.

Bus Rapid Transit Selected For Further Appraisal

• Ranked list created

following appraisal of

each Option

• Medium or High

Cost Options chosen

for further

development for

each section

• Low cost Options do

not generate

required benefits

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Option Option Summary Appraisal

Score

Deliverability Practical

Feasibility

Cost

18 Lancaster City Centre to South Lancaster and

University Section - High Cost Measures

16 Deliverable,

but with

challenges

Potential

issues

£250k -

£1m

15 Lancaster section - High Cost Measures 15 Deliverable,

but with

challenges

Potential

issues

£1m -

£5m

12 Morecambe to Lancaster section - High Cost

Measures

15 Deliverable,

but with

challenges

Potential

issues

>£20m

11 Morecambe to Lancaster section - Medium

Cost Measures

13 Deliverable,

but with

challenges

Feasible £1m -

£5m

08 Heysham to Morecambe section - Medium

Cost Measures

7 Deliverable,

but with

challenges

Potential

issues

£250k -

£1m

09 Heysham to Morecambe section - High Cost

Measures

7 Deliverable,

but with

challenges

Potential

issues

£1m -

£5m

14 Lancaster section - Medium Cost Measures 7 Deliverable,

but with

challenges

Potential

issues

£250k -

£1m

17 Lancaster City Centre to South Lancaster and

University Section - Medium Cost Measures

7 Deliverable Potential

issues

£250k -

£1m

16 Lancaster City Centre to South Lancaster and

University Section - Low Cost Measures

5 Deliverable Feasible <£250k

10 Morecambe to Lancaster section - Low Cost

Measures

4 Deliverable Feasible <£250k

07 Heysham to Morecambe section - Low Cost

Measures

3 Deliverable,

but with

challenges

Potential

issues

<£250k

13 Lancaster section - Low Cost Measures 2 Deliverable Feasible <£250k

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• Additional data sourced to

allow more detailed

appraisal of Options:

– Heysham – M6 Link Road

Traffic Model

– Detailed mapping

– TRACC Accessibility Analysis

– 2011 Census

– Accident Statistics

– Lancaster Air Quality Action

Plan

– Development Plans

Further Data Analysis Undertaken

Future Routing Developed / Refined

• Corridor further defined to

focus Option development

• Most direct routes between:

– Heysham to Morecambe

– Morecambe to Lancaster

– Lancaster City Centre

– Lancaster CC to Lancaster

South

– Cognisance of existing X2

service between Heysham

South & Lancaster

• Also considered Jct 34 P&R

link and potential new Lune

Bridge link 13

BRT Option Development – Heysham to Morecambe

• Medium Cost Package:

– ‘Green Wave’ signal

readjustments at:

• Oxcliffe Road

• Regent Road

• Central Drive

– Raised kerb bus stop access

– Real-time passenger

information

– Improved cycle facilities

14

BRT Option Development – Heysham to Morecambe

• High Cost Package

– As medium with:

– Reconfiguration of junctions

– Sections of bus lane

– Bus-gates / junction bypass lanes

15

BRT Option Development – Morecambe to Lancaster

• Medium Cost Package:

– Several sections of bus

lanes

• Central Drive

• Lancaster Road

• Morecambe Road

– Signal junction priority

– Bus interchange

improvements

16

BRT Option Development – Morecambe to Lancaster

• High Cost Package

– Medium package plus:

– New Lune crossing – PT &

walk / cycle only

– Bus-gate at West Road /

Lancaster Station

– Serves new Luneside

developments

– Serves Lancaster Rail

Station

– Serves Lancaster Castle

– Could serve future P&R

services 17

BRT Option Development – Lancaster City Centre

For a separate study but

indicative measures:

• Medium Cost Package:

– Re-visiting traffic circulation

/ priority in some areas:

• Bus-gates

• Bus lanes

– Signal junction priority

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BRT Option Development – Lancaster City Centre

• High Cost Package

– Significant remodelling of city

centre:

• Revisions to gyratory

system to give highest

priority to buses,

pedestrians and cyclists

• Removal of one-way

system for buses

• Consideration of

congestion charging / low

emission zone scheme

19

BRT Option Development – Lancaster to Lancaster South

• Medium Cost Package:

– Priority to buses at signals

– Sections of bus lanes on A6 south of Pointer Roundabout

20

BRT Option Development – Lancaster to Lancaster South

• High Cost Package

– Bus priority arrangements at Pointer Roundabout

– Sections of bus lane on Ashton Road

– Bus priority infrastructure through strategic

development sites

21 * Indicative alignment only

Option Journey time saving estimates

Section Option Time saving

• Heysham to Morecambe - Medium Cost 60 seconds

• Heysham to Morecambe - High Cost 120 seconds

• Morecambe to Lancaster - Medium Cost 130 seconds

• Morecambe to Lancaster - High Cost 430 seconds

• Lancaster City Centre - Medium Cost 180 seconds

• Lancaster City Centre - High Cost 300 seconds

• Lancaster CC to Lancaster South – Medium 55 seconds

• Lancaster CC to Lancaster South - High 105 seconds

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Option Cost estimates

Section Option High level cost

• Heysham to Morecambe - Medium Cost £100-250k

• Heysham to Morecambe - High Cost £250-500k

• Morecambe to Lancaster - Medium Cost £500-1000k

• Morecambe to Lancaster - High Cost £10-20 million

• Lancaster City Centre - Medium Cost £250-500k

• Lancaster City Centre - High Cost £1-5 million

• Lancaster CC to Lancaster South – Medium £100-250k

• Lancaster CC to Lancaster South - High £1-5 million

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Option Combinations

• There are 16 different combinations of Option

packages, i.e:

– Medium, medium, medium, medium

– High, medium, medium, medium

– Etc.

• Different combinations of packages will have

different collective costs and benefits

• Allows cherry picking of ‘best’ overall package,

but makes appraisal complicated!

• Therefore packages appraised individually & as

packages

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Example Time Benefit / Cost estimates of Packages

• A package of all medium cost options:

– Time Savings ~ 7 minutes

– Package Cost ~ £1.3 million

• A package of two medium and two high cost options:

– Time Savings ~ 10 minutes

– Package Cost ~ £2.7 million

• A package of all high cost options:

– Time Savings ~ 16 minutes

– Package Cost ~ £12.8 million

25

Testing of Packages – Improving Access to Employment

/ Services in Lancaster – Medium Cost

TRACC analysis – All Medium Cost Packages:

• Before

26

• After

TRACC analysis comparison –

All Medium Cost Packages:

27

Population within 30 mins

journey time:

Now: 60,886

All medium (current pop.): 62,193

All medium (future pop.): 66,559

Additional(current pop): 1,307

Additional(future pop): 5,673

Testing of Packages – Improving Access to Employment

/ Services in Lancaster – Medium Cost

TRACC analysis – All High Cost:

• Before

28

• After

Testing of Packages – Improving Access to Employment

/ Services in Lancaster – High Cost

TRACC analysis comparison –

All High:

29

Population within 30 mins

journey time:

Now: 60,886

All high (current pop.): 65,485

All high(future pop.): 69,956

Additional(current pop): 4,600

Additional(future pop): 9,070

Testing of Packages – Improving Access to Employment

/ Services in Lancaster – High Cost

Other objectives assessed:

• Safety: Investigation in accident hotspots

• High PT mode share = less vehicles on network so

likely lower accident potential

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• Enhance sustainable modes:

– all option packages support or enhance walk / cycle

accessibility through design, particularly with:

• Morecambe interchange

• Lune Bridge

• Link through future South Lancaster development

• Maximise interchange opportunities:

– all option packages support or enhance interchange with bus,

rail, P&R and walking / cycling, particularly with:

• Morecambe interchange

• Lune Bridge

– Improve overall environment / future proof:

– All options, combined with new Link Road, should increase PT

model share = less vehicles = improved air quality

• BRT vehicles should be latest Euro standard 31

Other objectives assessed:

Way Forward / Next Steps

• Investigate funding opportunities

• Discuss with Working Group

• Further develop chosen package

• Develop Business Case

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