State Budget Outlook for the 2010-12 Biennium

*State Budget Outlook for the 2010-12 Biennium

Prepared byJames J. Regimbal, Jr.Fiscal Analytics, Ltd.February 2010

*SFC Forecast-9.2%-2.7%

Chart1

13687

14834

15566

15767

14315

13921.8

14451.4

15181.4

Official

Budgeted General Fund Revenues in FY 2012 Less Than FY 2007 ($ mil.)

Education

FY 2010 Education Changes

FY 2010 Original Distribution incl. lottery$6,543,818,612

Technical: ADM, Sales Tax, Census, and Lottery Revisions($185,964,023)

Benefit & Compensation Changes($74,289,696)

Modify Lottery to Support GF Programs($55,805,042)

Set Support Position Cap at 4.03 Instructional Positions per Support Position($340,934,092)

Remove School Construction Grants($27,499,997)

Transfer Literary Fund Balances($55,000,000)

Use SFSF to Offset General Fund Programs($68,922,916)

Other September 8 Reductions($296,962)

Total Adopted FY10 K-12$5,735,105,885

Change from Original($808,712,727)

% Change from Original-12.4%

Appropriated ARRA Stimulus$365,187,984

Adopted Total with ARRA Funding$6,100,293,869

$ Change with ARRA Funding($443,524,743)

% Change with ARRA-6.8%

debt

Total Debt Service as a Percent of Revenue

20023.0%

20033.0%

20042.9%

20052.5%

20062.6%

20072.9%

20083.1%

20094.1%

20104.5%

20114.9%

20125.0%

20135.0%

20145.0%

20155.0%

20165.0%

20174.9%

20184.9%

debt

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Total Debt Service as a Percent of Revenue

Total Debt Service as a Percent of RevenuePrior to the August 19 Revenue Revisions

medicaid

Medicaid Forecast

Optimistic GrowthBaseline GrowthPessimistic Growth

1.071.071.091.091.111.11

20092010201120122011201220112012

GF$2,211.2$2,270.0$2,778.3$3,386.1$2,850.6$3,530.0$2,919.9$3,676.4

Special Rev$310.3$303.8$300.0$295.0$295.0$290.0$290.0$285.0

Federal$2,751.4$3,120.5$3,338.9$3,572.7$3,401.3$3,707.5$3,463.8$3,844.8

Federal ARRA369594322031903190

Extra FMAP097400400400

Total Federal$3,120.4$3,758.8$3,700.9$3,572.7

Total$5,641.9$6,335.7$6,779.2$7,253.7$6,905.9$7,527.4$7,032.6$7,806.2

12.3%7.00%7.00%

Baseline GF Increase$508.3$1,116.1$580.6$1,260.0$649.9$1,406.4

$1,624.3$1,840.5$2,056.3

Policy Changes329691

Baseline Scenario

FY 2010% GrowthFY 2011% GrowthFY 2012% Growth

14315.1Total GF Revenues$14,079.4-1.6%$14,618.03.8%$15,389.25.3%

406.5GF Transfers$415.32.2%$328.5-20.9%$339.03.2%

14721.6Total General Fund$14,494.7-1.5%$14,946.53.1%$15,728.25.2%

Direct Aid to K-12$5,148$5,208$5,227Legislative and Executive Dept's$94$94

Medicaid$2,220$2,778$3,386Judicial Dept.$407$407

Other Health & Human Serv.$1,619$1,600$1,600Planned GF Debt Service$645$684

Higher & Other Education$1,794$1,623$1,623Admin., Finance (w/o debt), & Tech$815$815

Public Safety$1,687$1,710$1,710Commerce and Trade, Agr., Nat. Res.$238$238

Car Tax Reimbursement$950$950$950K-12 Direct Aid$5,148$5,148

All Other*$2,225$2,290$2,329K-12 Rebenchmarking: 7-22-09 DOE draft$60$79

Total$15,643$16,159$16,825Higher & Other Education$1,623$1,623

Medicaid (7% annual growth)$2,781$3,388

Projected Budget Gap-$1,213-$1,097Other HHS$1,600$1,600

Public Safety$1,710$1,710

* Administration, finance, commerce & trade, natural resources, judicial, executive, legislative, capital outlayTransportation$41$41$2,240

Central Appr. (incl. car tax), Capital$1,000$1,000

$16,162

Optimistic Scenario

FY 2010%FY 2011%FY 2012%

14315.1Total GF Revenues$14,315.10.0%$15,145.45.8%$15,980.07.3%

406.5GF Transfers$415.32.2%$415.30.0%$415.30.0%

14721.6Total General Fund$14,730.40.1%$15,560.75.6%$16,395.35.4%

Change from Baseline$235.7$614.2$667.1$1,517.0

Direct Aid to K-12 (incl. Rebench)$5,148.2$5,208$5,227Legislative and Executive Dept's$94$94

Medicaid$2,220.4$2,778.3$3,386.1Judicial Dept.$407$407

Other Health & Human Serv.$1,618.6$1,600$1,600Planned GF Debt Service$645$684

Higher & Other Education$1,794.1$1,623$1,623Admin., Finance (w/o debt), & Tech$815$815

Public Safety$1,686.7$1,710$1,710Commerce and Trade, Agr., Nat. Res.$238$238

Car Tax Reimbursement$950.0$950.0$950.0K-12 Direct Aid$5,148$5,148

All Other*$2,224.7$2,290$2,329K-12 Rebenchmarking: 7-22-09 DOE draft$60$79

Total$15,642.7$16,159$16,825Higher & Other Education$1,623$1,623


Projected Budget Gap($598.3)($429.5)

* Administration, finance, commerce & trade, natural resources, judicial, executive, legislative, capital outlayOther HHS$1,600$1,600

Pessimistic Scenario

FY 2010%FY 2011%FY 2012%

14315.1Total GF Revenues$13,800.0-3.6%$14,050.01.8%$14,750.05.0%

406.5GF Transfers$415.32.2%$328.5-20.9%$339.03.2%

14721.6Total General Fund$14,215.3-1.5%$14,378.51.1%$15,089.04.9%

Change from Baseline-$279.4-$568.0-$639.2-$1,486.6

Direct Aid to K-12 (incl. Rebench)$5,148.2$5,208$5,227

Medicaid$2,220.4$2,778.3$3,386.1

Other Health & Human Serv.$1,618.6$1,600$1,600

Higher & Other Education$1,794.1$1,623$1,623

Public Safety$1,686.7$1,710$1,710

Car Tax Reimbursement$950.0$950.0$950.0

All Other*$2,224.7$2,290$2,329

Total$15,642.7$16,159$16,825

Projected Budget Gap($1,780.5)($1,735.8)

* Administration, finance, commerce & trade, natural resources, judicial, executive, legislative, capital outlay

FY 2011FY 2012

General Fund Revenues Baseline$14,947$15,728

General Fund Revenues Optimistic$15,561$16,395

General Fund Revenues Pessimistic$14,379$15,089

Appropriations:

Direct Aid to K-12 (incl. Rebench)$5,346$5,661$5,286$5,582137.8433.9296.1$315

Medicaid GF @ 7% utlization growth$2,817$3,427

Other Health & Human Serv.$1,600$1,600

Higher & Other Education$1,805$1,841$1,8061840.5218.5183

Public Safety$1,710$1,7101622.4

Car Tax Reimbursement$950$950

All Other *$2,245$2,275

Total$16,473$17,463

Projected Budget Gap Baseline($1,527)($1,735)($3,262)

Projected Budget Gap Optimistic($913)($1,068)($1,981)

Projected Budget Gap Pessimistic($2,095)($2,374)($4,469)

* Includes: legislative, executive, juduicial, admin & finance, commerce & trade,

natural resources, central appropriations, capital outlay

Medicaid Expenditure Forecast

($ Mil. at 7% Utilization growth)

FY 2010FY 2011FY 2012

GF$2,273$2,817$3,427

Special Rev$304$301$298

Federal*$3,759$3,661$3,528

Total Medicaid @ 7% Growth$6,336$6,779$7,254

Medicaid GF as Percent of Total GF15.7%18.8%21.8%

ARRA Stimulus Funding *$685$367$0

* Assumes FMAP remains at 61.59% thru CY 2010 than returns to 50% in CY 2011

ARRA Stimulus Funding ($ Mil.)

FY 10 ARRA*FY 11 ARRA*FY 11 GF BackfillFY 12 ARRAFY 12 GF Backfill

Medicaid$685$367$318$0$685

K-12 Public Education$434$296$138$0$434

Higher Education$219$36$183$0$219

Sheriffs (Bryne Justice)$23$0$23$0$23

SFSF General$109$0$109$0$109

Total$1,470$699$771$0$1,470

FY 2010FY 2011FY 2012

Current Services Medicaid GF Forecast @ 7% Growth$2,273$2,817$3,427

Total General Fund Revenues Baseline$14,495$14,947$15,728

Total General Fund Revenues Optimistic$14,730$15,561$16,395

Total General Fund Revenues Pessimistic$14,215$14,379$15,089

Medicaid GF as Percent of Total GF - Baseline15.7%18.8%21.8%

Medicaid GF as Percent of Total GF - Optimistic15.4%18.1%20.9%

Medicaid GF as Percent of Total GF - Pessimistic16.0%19.6%22.7%

Invoice - Analysis of 2010-12 Medicaid Budget Scenarios

Virginia Hospital and Healthcare Association

ActivityHours

Prepare Chart for Initial Meeting1.5

Initial Meeting 9-162.0

Review and edit Ingram ARRA-FMAP Model1.5

Discuss Medicaid Forecast with Mike Tweedy - DPB1.0

Prepare Medicaid Budget Scenario Analysis7.0

Discuss Analysis with Chris B. on 9-281.0

Edit Scenarios and add detail1.0

Total Hours15.0

at $150/hour$2,250.00

Medicaid Enrollment % of Population - 2006Medicaid Expenditures - Per capita FY 07

United States20%$1,061319676.9301,290,332

Virginia11%$6394962.97,769,089

Colorado12%$60529284,842,770

Georgia19%$7367008.99,523,297

Indiana16%$8085120.26,335,862

Maryland14%$9675435.65,618,899

Massachussetts19%$1,592102956,467,915

North Carolina19%$1,0879829.59,041,594

Tennessee25%$1,1597129.56,149,116

Washington19%$8985790.86,449,511

Wisconsin18%$8824937.15,598,893

Virginia

65 and Over994,359

85 and Over135,299

65 and Over1,404,580

85 and Over172,393

65 and Over1,843,988

85 and Over250,366

Comparison of Medicaid FPL Eligibility Limits (%)

U.S MinimumVANCMDKYWVATN

Adults in Family412437116361773

Pregnant Women133185185250185150250

Children 0-1133133200300185150185

Children 1-5133133200300150133133

Children 6-18100133100300150100100

Aged 230,621,601 251,791,598 266,814,363 302,692,499 319,292,076 347,873,339 431,474,729 467,264,319 523,403,841 541,316,407 565,668,504 577,528,482 614,385,459

Blind 2,790,477 3,131,059 3,491,827 3,836,746 3,923,812 4,270,823 5,204,019 5,093,835 5,889,723 6,017,890 5,897,761 5,962,972 6,099,567

Disabled 187,844,438 210,554,108 240,453,526 274,960,775 296,141,410 330,334,873 412,084,931 484,553,903 578,808,373 615,826,006 709,576,129 750,770,926 795,087,159

Children Under 21 43,533,601 48,719,170 49,164,961 56,175,685 71,226,518 113,274,466 174,583,806 229,914,537 300,713,873 286,282,586 336,849,539 282,912,245 255,958,949

Adults with Children 54,358,090 64,736,362 72,190,501 81,796,322 94,225,959 112,899,857 164,351,694 203,477,654 240,076,230 220,111,584 223,373,578 173,130,753 158,881,968

Other Title XIX Recipients

2000200120022003200420052006

Blind/Disabled$1,132$1,261$1,327$1,450$1,629$1,767$1,928

Aged$698$775$795$829$947$1,006$960

Children$380$433$495$579$664$815$920

Adults$200$193$236$369$220$341$387

Total Expenditures$2,411$2,663$2,853$3,226$3,459$3,929$4,195

19992000200120022003200420052006200720082009201020112012

Blind/Disabled882.2$942$1,101$1,112$1,190$1,628$1,767$1,928$1,960$2,123

Aged627.9$672$791$804$855$947$1,006$960$879$9160.610029309

Low Income Children268.4$245$307$301$309$637$784$887$925$1,009

Low Inc. Caretaker Adults69.6$58$59$54$52$154$252$285$285$311

Low Inc. Pregnant Women78.4$74$74$67$65$94$122$135$137$140

19992000200120022003200420052006200720082009201020112012

Total Expenditures2240.12498.22762.53355.633423593.34079.54428.94702.44981.4$5,390.0058396306.126810.6096

11.5%10.6%21.5%-0.4%7.5%13.5%8.6%6.2%5.9%8.2%8.3%8.0%8.0%9.3%

medicaid

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Virginia

Growth in Virginia's Elderly Population

GF

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Blind/Disabled

Aged

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Adults

Annual Expenditures for Medicaidby Eligibility Category

FY 10 cuts

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Blind/Disabled

Aged

Low Income Children

Low Inc. Pregnant Women

Low Inc. Caretaker Adults

Fiscal Year

$ mil.

Medicaid Expenditures by Identifiable Eligibility Category

Outlook

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Total Expenditures

Fiscal Year

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Total Medicaid Expenditures in Virginia(Actual Avg Growth Rate 1999-2009 = 9%)

FY 10 Changes

August 19, 2009 Interim Forecast

FY 2009 Actual% GrowthEst. FY 2010% GrowthFY 2011% GrowthFY 2012% Growth

10114.8Individual Income$9,481.1-6.3%$9,310.8-1.8%$9,838.25.7%$10,375.65.5%

3075.5Sales Taxes$2,903.4-5.6%$2,892.0-0.4%$2,783.1-3.8%$2,885.93.7%

807.9Corporate Income$648.0-19.8%$662.22.2%$781.918.1%$861.610.2%

$1,768.8All Other GF Revenues$1,282.6-27.5%$1,214.4-5.3%$1,214.80.0%$1,266.14.2%

15767Total GF Revenues$14,315.1-9.2%$14,079.4-1.6%$14,618.03.8%$15,389.25.3%

812.5GF Transfers$406.5-50.0%$415.32.2%$328.5-20.9%$339.03.2%

16579.5Total General Fund$14,721.6-11.2%$14,494.7-1.5%$14,946.53.1%$15,728.25.2%

FY 2009 Actual% GrowthEst. FY 2010% Growth

10114.8Individual Income$9,481.1-6.3%$9,310.8-1.8%

3075.5Sales Taxes$2,903.4-5.6%$2,892.0-0.4%

807.9Corporate Income$648.0-19.8%$662.22.2%

$1,768.8All Other GF Revenues$1,282.6-27.5%$1,214.4-5.3%

15767Total GF Revenues$14,315.1-9.2%$14,079.4-1.6%

812.5GF Transfers$406.5-50.0%$415.32.2%

16579.5Total General Fund$14,721.6-11.2%$14,494.7-1.5%15.0%

15.68%

FY 2010%FY 2011%FY 2012%

0.6613065898Individual Income$9,310.8-1.8%$9,838.25.7%$10,375.65.5%

0.2054064804Sales Taxes$2,892.0-0.4%$2,783.1-3.8%$2,885.93.7%

0.0470332543Corporate Income$662.22.2%$781.918.1%$861.610.2%

0.0862536756All Other GF Revenues$1,214.4-5.3%$1,214.80.0%$1,266.14.2%

Total GF Revenues$14,079.4-1.6%$14,618.03.8%$15,389.25.3%

GF Transfers$415.32.2%$328.5-20.9%$339.03.2%

Total General Fund$14,494.7-1.5%$14,946.53.1%$15,728.25.2%

Total GF Revenue

1977$1,923

1978$1,923

1979$2,115

1980$2,345

1981$2,580

1982$2,796

1983$2,976

1984$3,398

1985$3,791

1986$4,132

1987$4,590

1988$5,054

1989$5,479

1990$5,496

1991$5,472

1992$5,623Growth

1993$6,134% of GFForecast %% Thru Oct.

1994$6,503Individual Income Taxes66.1%-1.8%-8.6%

Withholding66.2%2.1%-3.9%

Estimated Payments13.7%-16.8%-24.8%

Refunds-13.8%-1.2%25.9%

1995$6,881Sales Taxes20.5%-0.4%-5.8%

1996$7,356Corporate Income Taxes4.7%2.2%-9.2%

1997$7,949All Other8.6%-5.3%-7.4%

1998$8,774Total GF Revenues100.0%-1.6%-7.6%

1999$9,703

2000$10,788

2001$11,105-7.4%

2002$10,679

2003$10,867FY 2009FY 2010

2004$11,918total$14,315.114079.4-1.6%

2005$13,6874848.9$4,482.0-7.6%0.3183374292

2006$14,834$9,466.2$9,597.41.4%

2007$15,566

2008$15,767

2009$14,315withholding$9,138.19331.82.1%

2010$14,079$2,981.92865.2-3.9%0.3070361559

2011$14,618$6,156.2$6,466.65.0%

2012$15,389

GF Revenue

1990$5,496

1991$5,472

1992$5,623

1993$6,134

1994$6,503

1995$6,881

1996$7,356

1997$7,949

1998$8,774

1999$9,703

2000$10,788

2001$11,105

2002$10,679

2003$10,867

2004$11,918

2005$13,687

2006$14,834

2007$15,566

2008$15,767

2009$14,315

2010$14,079

2011$14,618

2012$15,389

GF Revenue

2000$10,788

2001$11,105

2002$10,679

2003$10,867

2004$11,918

2005$13,687

2006$14,834

2007$15,566

2008$15,767

2009$14,315

2010$14,079

2011$14,618

2012$15,389

OfficialSFC

2005$13,687

2006$14,834

2007$15,566

2008$15,767

2009$14,315

2010$14,079$13,870

2011$14,618$14,327

2012$15,389$15,125

11.749

Official

2005$13,687

2006$14,834

2007$15,566

2008$15,767

2009$14,315

2010$13,922

2011$14,451

2012$15,181

FY 10 Changes

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GF Revenue

Fiscal Year

Virginia General Fund Revenue

Local Revenue

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Fiscal Year

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Virginia General Fund Revenue

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SFC

Fiscal Year

$ Mil.

GF Revenues Not Expected to Exceed FY 06 Until FY 12

forecast

Governor's FY 10 Reduction Plan

FY 10 GF Budget Shortfall ($ Millions)$1,350.5

Appropriation Changes:GF ReductionRevenue/TransfersTotal GF Savings

Legislative and Executive Dept's($1.6)$0.0$1.6

Judicial Dept.$0.0$0.0$0.0

Admin., Finance, & Tech($44.5)$11.0$55.5

Commerce and Trade, Agr., Nat. Res.($20.8)$4.0$24.8

K-12 Direct Aid($171.7)$0.0$171.7

Higher & Other Education($209.8)$0.0$209.8

Medicaid($97.0)$0.0$97.0

Other HHS($106.2)$9.2$115.3

Public Safety($68.3)$62.3$130.6

Transportation($14.3)$3.2$17.5

Central Appr. (incl. car tax), Capital($120.2)$39.7$159.8

Total Appropriation Changes($854.3)$129.4$983.7

Misc. Transfers$18.4$18.4

Addititional Balances$68.1$68.1

Rainy Day Fund Withdrawal$283.0$283.0

Total GF Changes($854.3)$498.9$1,353.2

Revised GF Balance$2.7

* Major K-12 GF changes include ($ mil.):

Supplant with SFSF FY 11 funding($68.9)

Supplant GF with Literary Fund Balances($55.0)

Adjust sales tax revenue($37.6)

Supplant GF with Lottery funding($9.9)

AgencyProgramAmountLocal Aid General Fund Reductions for FY 10

State Bd of ElectionsGeneral registrar salaries(608,190)State Bd of Elections(739,267)

State Bd of ElectionsAssistance for electoral bd members(131,077)Compensation Bd(30,423,297)

Compensation BdDirectors of Finance reduction(310,651)Housing & Community Dev(2,457,314)

Compensation BdCommissioners of Revenue reduction(536,748)Agriculture(100,000)

Compensation BdTreasurers reduction(530,681)K-12 Direct Aid(171,677,628)

Compensation BdCircuit Court Clerks' reductdion(1,481,378)Library of VA(868,931)

Compensation BdCommonwealth's Attorneys reduction(2,522,576)Aging(500,000)

Compensation Bd4.7% cut on all offices(25,041,263)CSA(36,631,792)

AgricultureFarmland preservation funding(100,000)Rehabilitative Services(51,000)

Housing & Community DevSupplemental funding for PDCs(29,542)Health(1,008,014)

Housing & Community DevFunding for PDCs(212,759)Conservation & Recreation(588,455)

Direct aid to public educCareer Switcher Mentoring grants(32,939)Historic Resources(275,500)

Library of VAState aid for public libraries(868,931)DEQ(465,000)

AgingIndividual care services funding(500,000)DCJS(14,751,398)

CSAParental agreements(5,000,000)Juvenile Justice(2,521,052)

Rehabilitative ServicesLong term employment support services(51,000)Commission for the Arts(729,606)

HealthWater Supply Assistance Grant program(250,000)School efficiency review program(75,993)

Conservation & RecreationSoil & Water Conservation Districts(587,455)Jail diversion funding(300,000)

Historic ResourcesStatewide survey program(85,500)Community mental health programs(4,500,000)

DEQLocal water supply planning grants(10,000)CSB Community-based services(12,203,180)-0.0684378181

DEQLitter control grants(255,000)Close Roanoke City & Richmond City armories(115,000)

DCJSCourt appointed special advocate grants(145,657)Non-retirement contributions for teachers(8,110,000)

DCJSSexual assault crisis center awards(45,000)Retirement contributions for teachers(51,318,250)(59,428,250)-0.2552678858

DCJSVA Cares program(247,151)(340,410,677)

DCJSRegional training academy awards(640,983)

DCJSSchool Resource Officer awards(134,383)

Juvenile JusticeLocal progams pass-through(2,521,052)

Kaine PlanSUBTOTAL-DPB recognized cuts(42,879,916)

Housing & Community DevLynchburg Regional Research Center(150,000)

Housing & Community DevSoutheast Rural Community Action Pgm(126,248)

Housing & Community DevEnterprise Zone grants(1,250,000)

Housing & Community DevSouthwest VA water construction grants(238,765)

Housing & Community DevHomeless Intervention Prevention grants(450,000)

Direct aid to public educSFSF Switch(68,922,916)

Direct aid to public educSales tax revenue adjustment(37,600,000)

Direct aid to public educLiterary Fund balances(55,000,000)

Direct aid to public educLottery money(9,900,000)

Direct aid to public educSupplemental programs(221,773)

Commission for the ArtsGrant programs(729,606)

DPBSchool efficiency review program(75,993)

Behavioral HealthJail diversion funding(300,000)

Grants to LocalitiesCommunity mental health programs(4,500,000)

Grants to LocalitiesCSB Community-based services(12,203,180)

CSA(31,631,792)

HealthHealth Districts(500,000)

Health"4 for Life" -- local share(258,014)

DSSAuxiliary Grant program(400,000)

Conservation & RecreationRappahannock River Basin Commission(1,000)

Historic ResourcesCivil War Battlefield Preservation grant(190,000)

DEQVA Water Facilities Revolving Loan program(200,000)

Military AffairsClose Roanoke City & Richmond City armories(115,000)

DCJSAid to local police departments ('599')(13,672,607)

Central AppropriationsNon-retirement contributions for teachers(8,110,000)

Central AppropriationsRetirement contributions for teachers(51,318,250)

Other Local Aid ProgramsSUBTOTAL-Items not recognized by DPB(298,065,144)

SFC

Official

General Fund Revenues in FY 2012 Less Than FY 2007

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Local expend

GF Budget Outlook ($ Millions)

FY 2011FY 2012FY 2011FY 2012Biennium

Aug. 19 Revenue Forecast (3.8%, 5.3%)$14,618$15,389House Appropriations Committee:

Transfers$329$339Resources Available, incl. Transfers$14,646.5 - 14,696.5$15,488.2 - 15,518.2$30,074.7 - 30,174.7

Total Est. GF Available$14,947$15,728HAC Base Budget$15,130.8$15,123.5$30,254.3

Current Service Appropriations:Mandatory Spending Drivers$873.5$1,700.0$2,573.5

K-12 Direct Aid (incl. rebenchmarking)$5,346$5,661HAC Budget Gap($1,307.8 - 1,357.8)($1,305.3 - 1,355.3)($2,613.0 - 2,713.0)

Higher & Other Education$1,805$1,842

Medicaid (7% annual growth)$2,817$3,427Senate Finance Committee:

Other HHS$1,566$1,566Resources Available, incl. Transfers$14,671.3$15,480.3$30,151.6

Public Safety$1,710$1,710SFC Base Budget$15,385.6$15,385.6$30,771.2

Car Tax$950$950Mandatory Spending Drivers$1,027.6$1,885.4$2,913.0

Planned GF Debt Service$600$630SFC Budget Gap($1,741.9)($1,709.7)($3,532.6)

All Other **$1,645$1,645

Total Expenditures$16,439$17,430Plus Federal Stimulus Education Backfill($329.3)($652.3)($981.6)

Projected Budget Gap($1,492)($1,702)

** All Other includes Legislative, Executive, Judicial, Admin, Finance, Commerce & Trade,

Nat. Res., Capital, Central Appropriations

GF Budget Outlook ($ Millions)

FY 2011FY 2012

Gov. Aug. 19 Revenue Forecast (3.8%, 5.3%)$14,618$15,389

Transfers$329$339

Total Est. GF Available$14,947$15,728

Current Service Appropriations*

Legislative and Executive Dept's$94$94

Judicial Dept.$407$407

Planned GF Debt Service$600$630

Admin., Finance (w/o debt), & Tech$815$815

Commerce and Trade, Agr., Nat. Res.$238$238

K-12 Direct Aid$5,286$5,582296.1433.9296.1137.8

K-12 Rebenchmarking: 7-22-09 DOE draft$60$79$5,346$5,661218.5

Higher & Other Education$1,805$1,84235.5218.5218.5


Other HHS$1,424$1,424

Public Safety$1,710$1,710

Transportation$41$41

Central Appr. (incl. car tax), Capital$1,000$1,000$2,245$2,275

Total Expenditures$16,297$17,288

Projected Budget Gap($1,350)($1,560)693.6

* Assumes carryforward savings from Sept. 8 reduction plan

$2,245

GF Budget Outlook ($ Millions)FY 2010FY 2011FY 2012FY 2010FY 2011FY 2012Comments

Gov. Aug. Forecast (-1.6%, 3.8%, 5.3%)*$14,079$14,618$15,38914940.67815687.711916472.097495Revenue Estimates

Transfers$415$329$339FA Est. GF Revenue14,688,000,00015,422,400,00016,193,500,000

Rainy Day Fund Withdrawal (1/2 of bal.)$287Transfers441,800,000400,000,000400,000,000

Total Est. GF Available$14,781$14,947$15,728$166$781$947Unexpended Balances158,000,00000

Expenditures (FY10 Adopted):TOTAL Estimated GF15,287,800,00015,822,400,00016,593,500,000

Legislative and Executive Dept's$96$96$960.0060346095Chapter 781 Spending

Judicial Dept.$407$407$407Legislative Department68,309,41468,309,41468,309,414

Planned GF Debt Service**$507$645$6840.03200028281,504,683,7361,543,283,736Judicial Department407,012,317407,012,317407,012,317

Admin., Finance (w/o debt), & Tech$859$859$8590.0542174416Executive Offices27,334,46727,334,46727,334,467

Commerce and Trade, Agr., Nat. Res.$258$258$2580.0162545026Ofc of Administration676,471,924676,471,924676,471,9241,366,373,5261,504,683,7361,543,283,736

K-12 Direct Aid ***$5,320$5,320$5,3200.3357782728Ofc of Agric & Forestry45,034,75745,034,75745,034,757

K-12 Rebenchmarking: 7-22-09 DOE draft$60$79Ofc of Commerce & Trade114,202,067114,202,067114,202,067

Higher & Other Education$1,832$1,832$1,8326330.4856985.10925Direct Aid to Education5,319,941,5005,319,941,5005,319,941,500

Medicaid$2,317$2,800$3,2000.1462659078Education Rebenchmarking0400,000,000400,000,000does not restore cuts

Other HHS$1,628$1,659$1,6940.1027429986All Other K-1262,855,54562,855,54562,855,545level funded

Public Safety$1,755$1,755$1,7550.1364581683Higher & Other Education1,769,349,5441,769,349,5441,769,349,544

Transportation$41$41$41Treasury Bd Debt Service507,189,790645,500,000684,100,000

Central Appr. (incl. car tax), Capital)$824$1,051$1,051Other Finance174,528,421174,528,421174,528,421

Total Expenditures$15,844$16,782$17,275Medicaid2,317,380,1172,792,380,1173,192,380,117$300 M + $750 M

Projected Scenario Gap($1,062)($1,835)($1,547)Comprehensive Services315,840,564347,424,620382,167,08210% increase per yr

Other H&H Services1,311,980,1131,311,980,1131,311,980,1131,659,404,7331,694,147,195

* $300 mil. FY09 shortfall means carryforward balance, unappr. balance, and ARRA reserve unavailable for FY10Ofc of Natural Resources98,317,97998,317,97998,317,979

** Includes G.O. VPBA, VCBA, Long-term Leases, Regional Jail debt

*** Does not include lottery, assumes support cost reduction in baseOfc of Public Safety1,754,984,2481,754,984,2481,754,984,248

Ofc of Technology8,183,3918,183,3918,183,391

Ofc ot Transportation40,985,58440,985,58440,985,584

CA-Car Tax Relief950,000,000950,000,000950,000,000

CA-BRAC019,500,00019,500,000

CA-Other Econ Dev Items05,700,0005,700,000

FY 2010FY 2011FY 2012CommentsCA-Aid to Localities(50,000,000)(50,000,000)(50,000,000)continue cuts

Revenue EstimatesCA-All Other Items10,258,32524,723,63924,723,639

FA Est. GF Revenue$14,688,000,000$15,422,400,000$16,193,500,000CA-Health Care & Retirement(87,203,333)51,000,00051,000,000

Transfers$441,800,000$400,000,000$400,000,000Independent Agencies275,464275,464275,464

Unexpended Balances$158,000,000$0$0Non-states000824,130,4561,051,199,1031,051,199,103

TOTAL Estimated GF$15,287,800,000$15,822,400,000$16,593,500,000Capital800,00050,000,00050,000,000pre-plannng/engineering

Chapter 781 SpendingTOTAL EXPENDITUES15,844,032,19817,115,995,11117,589,337,573

Legislative Department$68,309,414$68,309,414$68,309,414

Judicial Department$407,012,317$407,012,317$407,012,317Projected Budget Gap(556,232,198)(1,293,595,111)(995,837,573)

Executive Offices$27,334,467$27,334,467$27,334,467

Ofc of Administration$676,471,924$676,471,924$676,471,924

Ofc of Agric & Forestry$45,034,757$45,034,757$45,034,757

Ofc of Commerce & Trade$114,202,067$114,202,067$114,202,067

Direct Aid to Education$5,319,941,500$5,319,941,500$5,319,941,500

Education Rebenchmarking$0$400,000,000$400,000,000does not restore cuts

All Other K-12$62,855,545$62,855,545$62,855,545level funded

Higher & Other Education$1,769,349,544$1,769,349,544$1,769,349,544

Treasury Bd Debt Service$507,189,790$645,500,000$684,100,000

Other Finance$174,528,421$174,528,421$174,528,421

Medicaid$2,317,380,117$2,792,380,117$3,192,380,117$300 M + $750 M

Comprehensive Services$315,840,564$347,424,620$382,167,08210% increase per yr

Other H&H Services$1,311,980,113$1,311,980,113$1,311,980,113

Ofc of Natural Resources$98,317,979$98,317,979$98,317,979

Ofc of Public Safety$1,754,984,248$1,754,984,248$1,754,984,248

Ofc of Technology$8,183,391$8,183,391$8,183,391

Ofc ot Transportation$40,985,584$40,985,584$40,985,584

CA-Car Tax Relief$950,000,000$950,000,000$950,000,000

CA-BRAC$0$19,500,000$19,500,000

CA-Other Econ Dev Items$0$5,700,000$5,700,000

CA-Aid to Localities-$50,000,000-$50,000,000-$50,000,000continue cuts

CA-All Other Items$10,258,325$24,723,639$24,723,639

CA-Health Care & Retirement-$87,203,333$51,000,000$51,000,000

Independent Agencies$275,464$275,464$275,464

Non-states$0$0$0

Capital$800,000$50,000,000$50,000,000pre-plannng/engineering

TOTAL EXPENDITUES$15,844,032,198$17,115,995,111$17,589,337,573

Projected Budget Gap-$556,232,198-$1,293,595,111-$995,837,573

Growth in General Fund Debt Service Costs

FY 2000$198

FY 2010 Budgeted$507

Current Projected FY 2011$646


GF Budget Outlook ($ Millions)FY 2010FY 2011FY 2012

FA Est. Revenue Growth (2%,5%,5%)*$14,750$15,338$16,105

Transfers$442$400$400

Rainy Day Fund Withdrawal$275

Total Est. GF Available$15,467$15,738$16,505

Expenditures (FY10 Adopted):

Legislative and Executive Dept's$96$96$96

Judicial Dept.$407$407$407

Planned GF Debt Service**$507$645$684

Admin., Finance (incl. debt) & Tech$859$859$859

Commerce and Trade, Agr., Nat. Res.$258$258$258

K-12 Direct Aid ***$5,320$5,320$5,320

K-12 Rebenchmarking?$400$400

Higher & Other Education$1,832$1,832$1,832

Medicaid$2,317$2,800$3,200

Other HHS$1,628$1,659$1,694

Public Safety$1,755$1,755$1,755

Transportation$41$41$41

Central Appr. (incl. car tax), Indep. Agency, Non-State, Capital)$824$1,051$1,051

Total Expenditures$15,844$17,122$17,596

Projected Scenario Gap($377)($1,385)($1,092)

* $300 mil. FY09 shortfall means carryforward balance, unappr. balance, and ARRA reserve unavailable for FY10; $150 mil. in FY 10 one-time revenues

** Includes G.O. VPBA, VCBA, Long-term Leases, Regional Jail debt

*** Does not include lottery, assumes support cost reduction in base

GF Budget Outlook ($ Millions)FY 2010

FA Est. Revenue Growth (2%,5%,5%)*

Transfers

Rainy Day Fund Withdrawal

Total Est. GF Available


Legislative and Executive Dept's$96-$2$94


Planned GF Debt Service**$507$507

Admin., Finance (no debt) & Tech$859-$45$815

Commerce and Trade, Agr., Nat. Res.$258-$21$237

K-12 Direct Aid ***$5,320-$172$5,148

K-12 Rebenchmarking?$0

Higher & Other Education$1,832-$210$1,622

Medicaid$2,317-$97$2,220

Other HHS$1,628-$106$1,522

Public Safety$1,755-$68$1,687

Transportation$41-$14$27

Central Appr. (incl. car tax), Indep. Agency, Non-State, Capital)$824-$120$704

Total Expenditures$15,844-$854$14,989

Local expend

0

0

0

0

Includes G.O., VPBA, VCBA, Long-term Leases and Regional Jail Agreements


$ Millions

state aid programs

Summary of Governor's September 2009

Proposed Budget Actions

FY 2010

General Fund Revenue Shortfall($1,350.5)

Revenue Stabilization Withdrawal$283.0

Other One-Actions:$524.6

Agency Pledged Balances$140.2

Sale of Corrections Facilities$25.0

Fire Programs Fund Balance$26.0

Federal Stimulus Waiver for Higher Education$91.5

VRS Employer Retirement Rate Suspension (incl. NGF)$104.1

VRS non-Retirement Benefit Rate Suspension (incl. NGF)$30.9

Medicaid Additional Federal Stimulus Match Rate$97.0

Additional Lottery Profits for K-12$9.9

Local Aid GF Reductions:$256.9

K-12 Sales Tax$37.6

Literary Fund Supplant for Teacher Retirement$55.0

Supplant With FY 11 Federal K-12 Stimulus Waiver$68.9

Constitutional Officers$30.4

Aid to Police Departments (HB 599)$13.7

Other (CSA, CSB, VJCCCA)$51.3

Operating Budget Reductions:$288.7

Net Higher Education Reductions$105.3

Close Corrections Facilities$11.6

One Day Employee Furlough$16.3

Indigent Care Funding$7.0

Mental Health Treatment Centers$6.3

Economic Development/Tourism$3.1

Other Agency Reductions (incl. deferred expenses)$139.1

Total Actions$1,353.2


Proposed Budget Actions

FY 2010

General Fund Revenue Shortfall($1,350.5)

Revenue Stabilization Withdrawal$283.0

Other One-Actions:$524.6

Agency Pledged Balances$140.2

Sale of Corrections Facilities$25.0

Fire Programs Fund Balance$26.0

Federal Stimulus Waiver for Higher Education$91.5

VRS Employer Retirement Rate Suspension (incl. NGF)$104.1

VRS non-Retirement Benefit Rate Suspension (incl. NGF)$30.9

Medicaid Additional Federal Stimulus Match Rate$97.0

Additional Lottery Profits for K-12$9.9


Proposed Budget Actions (continued)

Local Aid GF Reductions:$256.9

K-12 Sales Tax$37.6

Literary Fund Supplant for Teacher Retirement$55.0

Supplant With FY 11 Federal K-12 Stimulus Waiver$68.9

Constitutional Officers$30.4

Aid to Police Departments (HB 599)$13.7

Other (CSA, CSB, VJCCCA)$51.3

Operating Budget Reductions:$288.7

Net Higher Education Reductions$105.3

Close Corrections Facilities$11.6

One Day Employee Furlough$16.3

Indigent Care Funding$7.0

Mental Health Treatment Centers$6.3

Economic Development/Tourism$3.1

Other Agency Reductions (incl. deferred expenses)$139.1

Total Actions$1,353.2

tax cuts

Permits, Privilege Fees, and

General Property TaxesOther Local Taxes (Exhibit B-2)Regulatory LicensesFines and ForfeituresCharges for ServicesRevenue from Use of Money and PropertyMiscellaneous

TotalTotal

PublicPersonal PropertyMachineryRental

RealServiceandMerchants'PerPercent ofPerPercent ofPerPercent ofPerPercent ofPerPercent ofand Sale ofPerPercent ofPerPercent ofTotal Local

No.LocalityPropertyCorporationsGeneralMobile HomeToolsCapitalPenaltiesInterestAmountCapitaRevenueAmountCapitaRevenueAmountCapitaRevenueAmountCapitaRevenueAmountCapitaRevenueInterestPropertyAmountCapitaRevenueAmountCapitaRevenueRevenueNo.

170.0Grand Total$7,840,391,515$238,608,282$1,419,425,705$7,406,042$201,121,680$10,653,845$57,990,325$27,408,938$9,803,006,332$1,271.1261.77$3,478,208,317$451.0121.92$198,521,304$25.741.25$95,570,486$12.390.60$1,492,857,687$193.579.41$370,299,807$117,507,448$487,807,255$63.253.07$313,052,847$40.591.97$15,869,024,228170.0

Total

EmergencyCommunication

Local SalesConsumerBusinessFranchiseMotor VehicleBankRecordationHotel and MotelRestaurantCoal, Oil,TelephoneSales andOtherPerPercent

No.Localityand Use TaxesUtility TaxesLicense TaxesLicense TaxesLicense TaxesStock Taxesand Will TaxesTobacco TaxesAdmission TaxesRoom TaxesFood Taxesand Gas TaxesService TaxesUse TaxesLocal TaxesAmountCapitaof AverageNo.

FY 2008

Real Property$8,385,328,3280.5035482064

Personal and Other Property Taxes$2,044,288,1660.1227617571

Local Option Sales Tax$1,041,259,6870.0625287916

BPOL$659,016,1780.0395746477

Consumer Utility/Communication Sales$743,672,1720.0446583334

Meals Tax$397,410,2790.0238649252

All Other Taxes *$691,178,7250.0415060441

Service Charges, Fees, Fines, Interest, Misc.$2,690,330,2210.1615572944

$16,652,483,756

FranchiseRestaurant

License TaxesFood Taxes

Motor Vehicle

License Taxes

Bank

Stock Taxes

Recordation

and Will Taxes

Tobacco Taxes

Admission Taxes

Hotel and Motel

Room Taxes

Coal, Oil,

and Gas Taxes

Emergency

Telephone

Service Taxes

Communication

Sales and

Use Taxes

Counties

Real Property$5,892,465,710

Personal and Other Property Taxes$1,420,518,744

Local Option Sales Tax$631,044,658

BPOL$350,149,176

Consumer Utility/Communication Sales$394,212,787

Meals Tax$83,049,946

All Other Taxes *$407,862,040

Service Charges, Fees, Fines, Interest, Misc.$1,672,945,812

$10,852,248,873

Cities


Personal and Other Property Taxes$607,992,456


BPOL$283,810,902


Meals Tax$274,075,620


Service Charges, Fees, Fines, Interest, Misc.$966,458,286

$5,536,908,572

Local Revenue

199010.44%5,204,503,067

19917.52%5,747,760,015

19923.41%6,179,858,248

19933.76%6,390,534,925

19946.79%6,630,867,036

19956.62%7,081,292,508

19964.79%7,549,820,269

19976.68%$7,911,147,590

19985.92%$8,439,556,274

19994.57%$8,939,330,544

20004.30%$9,348,008,727

20015.00%$9,750,242,637

20025.02%$10,237,314,447

20036.31%$10,751,262,555

20047.78%$11,429,845,209

20058.79%$12,319,618,689

20069.67%$13,401,925,537

20077.97%$14,697,503,759

20084.94%$15,869,024,228

20091.10%$16,652,483,756

2010-2.90%

* Projected from VML/VACO 2009 Survey

Total Local RevenueFairfax County

199010.44%

19917.52%

19923.41%

19933.76%

19946.79%

19956.62%

19964.79%

19976.68%

19985.92%

19994.57%

20004.30%

20015.00%

20025.02%

20036.31%

20047.78%

20058.79%

20069.67%

20077.97%

20084.94%$3,311,851,686

20091.10%0.9

2010-2.90%

tax cuts

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Total Local Revenue in FY 08 = $16.65 bil.

Local Revenue Sources (FY 08)

Local Sales Tax7%

Personal and Business Property Taxes12%

LCI

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

County local revenue in FY0 = $10.85 bil.

Counties

County Local Revenue Sources (FY 08)


state budget

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Cities' Local Revenue in FY 08 = $5.54 bil.

Cities

City Local Revenue Sources ( FY 08)

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Local Revenue

Fiscal Year

Local General Fund Revenue Annual Growth Rate*

$ Millions

FY 2009 Revenue/Transfer Shortfall($973.6)

Balancing Actions

Rainy Day Fund$400.0

Bond existing GF capital projects$250.0

Agency Reductions:

Improved business practices and reduce discretionary expenses$113.4

Transfer of NGF balances and NGF resources$66.5

Reduce or eliminate current services$31.7

Reduce personnel costs$27.2

Reduce aid to localities$16.3

Reduce or eliminate aid to nonstate agencies$11.0

Reversion of capital outlay balances$10.6

Reduce aid to individuals$1.6

New fees or GF revenue$0.6

Subtotal Agency Reductions$279.0

Literary Fund balances$51.3

Delay State and local employee 2% raises$44.7

Capture FY 2008 GF balances$40.7

Balances from August reduction plan$24.4

K-12 sales tax adjustment$20.7

HB 599 payments tied to GF revenue growth$7.7

Revert excess Tuition Moderation Fund$6.2

Total$1,124.7

Balance Forward to FY 2010$151.1

$ Millions


Balancing Actions

Rainy Day Fund *$400.0

Bond existing GF capital projects *$250.0

Agency Reductions and August Reduction Plan$287.1

Delay state and state-supported local employee 2% raises$44.7


Revert excess Hi Ed Tuition Moderation Fund$6.2

Local Aid Reductions:



Agency aid to locality reductions (primarily CSB admin.)$16.3


Subtotal Local Aid Reductions:$96.0

Total Plan Reductions$1,124.7


* Needs General Assembly approval

OctoberSFC ScenarioFA Scenario

FY 2010 Shortfall($1,510.0)($2,028.0)($1,900.0)

Medicaid and Other Cost Increases$0.0($350.0)($200.0)

Balance Forward to FY 2010$151.1$0.0$50.0

Carryforward of FY 2009 Savings$350.0$350.0$350.0

Eliminate 2% Teacher Salary Supplement$77.6$77.6$77.6

Elim. State and State-Supported Local Employee Raises$189.4$189.4$189.4

Other Balances??$100.0

Higher Education Reductions (11% of GF)??$125.0

Medicaid and Other H&HS Savings (24% of GF)??$300.0

Other K-12 Reductions (35% of GF)??$400.0

Additional State Agency Reductions (20% of GF)??$200.0

Use Rainy Day Fund in FY10???

Car Tax/Revenues???

Shortfall Remaining($741.9)($1,411.0)($308.0)

Major "One Times" More Than Half of Strategies

to Close the 2008-10 Budget Gap

GF Millions $


Sales Tax Acceleration/LPC Adjust/Tax Amnesty$186

Bonded Debt for GF Capital$355

Delay 4th Q VRS Retirement/Benefit Payments*$135

State Employee Furlough*$16

Sell Prison/Transfer Fire Programs Fund to GF$51

Enhanced ARRA SFSF Medicaid Match$1,059

ARRA SFSF - Flexible Funds$219

ARRA SFSF - Education$652

Total Major "One-time" Budget Strategies$3,446

* Includes NGF agency transfer to GF

Survey growth rate

General Fund Revenue* Impact on Budgets ($ Bil.)

FY09FY10

Official GF Revenue Forecast (FY 09 = 2.0%, FY10 = 6.8%)$16.09$17.19

Likely Revised GF Revenue Growth (-3.5%, 2.0%)$15.22$15.52

Difference($0.87)($1.67)

* Does not include GF transfers


FY09FY10

Official GF Revenue Forecast (FY 09: 2.0%, FY10: 6.8%)$16.09$17.19

Oct. Revised GF Revenue Growth (-4.0%, 3.0%)$15.14$15.68

Oct. Difference($0.95)($1.51)

SFC Forecast$14.97$15.14

SFC Difference($1.12)($2.05)

* Does not include GF transfers revisions of -$23 and -$34 mil.

FY00FY01FY02FY03FY04FY05FY06FY07FY08FY09FY10 est.General Fund Revenue* Change ($ Bil.)

2008 Adopted11.2%2.9%-3.8%1.8%9.7%14.8%8.4%4.9%1.3%2.2%6.8%FY09FY10

2009 Introduced1.3%-3.5%3.6%Last Yr's GF Revenue Forecast (FY 09: 2.0%, FY10: 6.8%)$16.09$17.19

2009 Adopted1.3%-7.3%4.4%December Introduced$15.02$15.62

Aug. '09 Interim1.3%-9.2%-1.6%Adopted Re-forecast$14.61$15.26

General Fund Revenue* ($ Bil.)Most Likely$14.40$14.69

FY09FY10Change from Last Yr (FY 09: -8.8%, FY10: 2.0%)($1.69)($2.50)

Last Yr's GF Revenue Forecast (FY 09: 2.0%, FY10: 6.8%)$16.09$17.19

December Introduced$15.02$15.62* Note: Does not include $490 mil. in Revenue Stabilization funds from Ch. 879

2009 Session Adopted Re-forecast$14.61$15.26

Current Most Likely$14.44$14.73

Change from Last Yr (FY 09: -8.8%, FY10: 2.0%)($1.65)($2.46)

* Note: Does not include rainy day funds, transfers, or balances

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

0000

0000

0000

0000

0000

0000

0000

0000

0000

0000

0000

2008 Adopted

2009 Introduced

2009 Adopted

Aug. '09 Interim

General Fund Revenue Forecast Changes Since Last Year

FY 08Annualized

FY 1998FY 2008% of TotalGrowth Rate

General Government$543.50$979.704.0%6.1%$982.5

Judicial Admin$211.40$423.801.7%7.2%$423.7

Public Safety$1,786.60$3,879.4015.7%8.1%$3,893.0

Public Works$894.60$1,500.606.1%5.3%$1,499.4

Health & Welfare$1,407.80$2,758.2011.2%7.0%$2,769.4

Education$7,039.10$13,345.5054.1%6.6%$13,338.0

Parks and Rec$474.20$906.703.7%6.7%$907.0

Community Development$339.30$850.203.4%9.6%$848.6

Total$12,699.10$24,646.70100.0%6.9%$24,646.9

VFC

FY 08Annualized1,9982,008

FY 1998FY 2008% of TotalGrowth RateCharlottesvilleDanvilleFredericksburgHamptonHopewellLynchburgMartinsvilleNewport NewsNorfolkPetersburgPortsmouthRichmondRoanokeStauntonWinchesterCharlottesvilleDanvilleFredericksburgHamptonHopewellLynchburgMartinsvilleNewport NewsNorfolkPetersbburgPortsmouthRichmondRoanokeStauntonWinchester

General Government$109,868,357$188,377,5764.1%5.6%189,457,5044,941,0432,683,9892,136,54712,238,9412,175,0507,037,8001,422,90911,786,62115,334,6651,921,46712,069,29823,687,5528,802,8961,746,0721,883,50710,243,0173,986,3535,047,98222,238,8353,617,07710,670,1432,808,73520,745,74627,962,5963,423,66112,172,34646,358,89312,258,0682,921,0453,923,079

Judicial Admin$47,460,058$86,504,6901.9%6.2%86,611,0761,455,6811,454,8261,323,5573,163,461740,6833,022,5241,173,7714,958,2388,734,9152,153,4743,839,74810,369,6403,021,502881,7941,166,2443,091,0902,874,9453,345,9146,884,3051,707,4385,633,2651,871,4409,604,52014,733,0722,828,8147,001,76916,550,1656,213,4461,672,6252,491,882

Public Safety$508,658,506$907,474,67219.6%6.0%910,929,91415,215,01515,759,08110,161,57339,961,32110,315,10528,384,2926,852,17159,971,45798,389,76815,646,59036,727,012119,620,85937,207,3935,369,8109,077,05935,551,88625,318,42021,714,49978,464,34114,933,42347,705,7739,702,170108,003,513172,811,64728,452,88573,269,682194,480,83762,293,47213,542,42921,229,695

Public Works$244,821,698$394,032,5628.5%4.9%395,006,9968,097,77610,950,2506,088,63127,134,6804,413,75916,187,1064,201,80828,987,99043,790,8875,281,78816,502,50240,763,13922,643,4356,505,0713,272,87613,252,02213,471,7909,708,33228,983,4556,244,56824,325,2336,558,18543,542,713101,581,34910,403,60128,624,94866,971,02523,078,3208,109,2329,177,789

Health & Welfare$383,120,851$687,917,35114.8%6.0%686,111,09417,173,56510,526,6995,695,54639,483,7474,882,34418,560,0292,249,44157,038,99259,658,73712,111,87027,052,09485,146,17731,075,4346,790,4035,675,77340,382,74020,042,71511,467,61565,528,4217,997,65645,964,0465,237,32781,817,188119,071,74120,565,71142,106,162145,429,87460,456,05812,198,0069,652,091

Education$1,285,383,669$1,964,354,03242.4%4.3%1,958,284,84139,814,10148,257,15417,458,173136,310,82227,114,10259,888,54018,397,698196,188,249237,376,01136,626,212108,484,565222,434,99093,535,89718,824,50924,672,64667,762,37410,445,94034,873,209235,639,34441,069,31994,153,55927,157,891328,260,282373,415,16551,193,404163,172,553310,359,094148,807,70330,949,61647,094,579

Parks and Rec$119,432,129$203,899,5894.4%5.5%204,007,3295,812,9174,375,9962,134,61615,069,7721,407,9315,454,406730,06215,522,61427,448,6841,835,0107,706,43122,276,7856,508,4721,600,4791,547,95410,861,9751,213,4834,134,95833,154,4332,517,1049,871,1591,908,88131,262,72547,465,8353,683,68913,869,41525,184,56011,445,1753,219,9204,106,277

Community Development$67,502,692$202,198,7174.4%11.6%202,284,7012,122,4091,022,4721,274,67612,103,210635,7688,196,1561,539,28010,377,08011,795,0881,091,7921,931,60110,203,5633,996,968663,812548,8177,826,373107,5622,727,34121,907,911838,4625,337,7292,759,00626,367,50023,466,6781,264,02214,565,67980,935,7039,591,8242,236,9642,265,963

Total$2,766,247,960$4,634,759,189100.0%5.3%4,636,335,10794,632,50795,030,46746,273,319285,465,95451,684,742146,730,85336,567,140384,831,241502,528,75576,668,203214,313,251534,502,705206,791,99742,381,95047,844,876188,971,47777,461,20893,019,850492,801,04578,925,047243,660,90758,003,635649,604,187880,508,083121,815,787354,782,554886,270,151334,144,06674,849,83799,941,355

2008 Growth2009 Growth

Real Property Assessments (106)6.6%1.6%

Personal Property Assessments (92)2.5%-3.7%

FY 09 Budgeted GrowthFY 09 Expected GrowthFY 10 Budgeted Growth

Real Property Tax Revenues (115)N/A4.5%0.5%

General Fund Revenues (104)2.2%1.1%-2.9%

Local Revenues Are Declining

State Aid Base for "Flexible" Local Aid ReductionMajor Categories of State Aid to Localities

FY 2010 GF Appropriations

% of Total

FY 10 State GFGF Flex. BaseVFC % of $Original GF AppropriationCurrent GF Appropriation% Change% of State Aid to Localities% of GF

Compensation Board:K-12 Direct Education Aid$5,930,513,050$5,148,221,622-13.2%71.0%34.3%

Regional Jails$104,643,4508.6%23.8%Car Tax$950,000,000$950,000,0000.0%13.1%6.3%

Local Jails$148,309,01712.2%38.0%Compensation Board$666,153,186$600,400,897-9.9%8.3%4.0%

Jail Per Diems$79,508,4076.5%39.4%Comprehensive Services Act$323,640,564$279,208,772-13.7%3.8%1.9%

Local Law Enforcement$89,662,0397.4%0.0%HB 599$205,001,876$183,623,320-10.4%2.5%1.2%

Local Courts$57,761,0514.8%23.1%DJJ Juvenile Confinement/Treatment$50,787,956$48,266,904-5.0%0.7%0.3%

Court Clerks$30,045,2932.5%15.4%Recordation Tax Distribution$40,000,000$40,000,0000.0%0.6%0.3%

Commonwealth Attorneys$51,096,0114.2%29.6%DCJS Admin. of Justice$21,908,828$23,408,8286.8%0.3%0.2%

Commiss. Of Rev/Finance$15,631,5241.3%13.8%Public Library Aid$17,378,628$16,509,697-5.0%0.2%0.1%

Treasurers$10,572,4330.9%20.6%State Board of Elections$7,392,674$6,653,407-10.0%0.1%0.0%

Subtotal Compensation Board$587,229,22548.4%24.7%Rolling Stock Tax$4,970,000$5,670,00014.1%0.1%0.0%

DSS General Relief$3,458,455$3,458,4550.0%0.0%0.0%

Flexible State Aid Reduction($50,000,000)($50,000,000)0.0%-0.7%-0.3%

Comprehensive Services Act$290,320,40523.9%32.7%Subtotal$8,171,205,217$7,255,421,902-11.2%100.0%48.4%

Community Service Boards$256,463,596$227,360,416-11.3%3.1%1.5%

HB 599 Aid$192,314,96215.8%40.5%Total GF Appropriations$17,589,000,000$14,991,000,000-14.8%100.0%

DJJ Juvenile Confinement/Alternative Treatment$50,200,9284.1%31.6%

Recordation Tax Distribution$40,000,0003.3%8.8%

DCJS Admin. of Justice$21,202,6811.7%29.5%$8,171,205,217$7,255,421,902

Public Library Aid$17,184,9621.4%14.8%

State Board of Elections$7,626,9890.6%12.7%

Rolling Stock Tax Distribution$4,592,4610.4%14.1%

Dept. of Social Services General Relief$3,458,4550.3%38.5%

Total Base for "Flexible" Local Cuts$1,214,131,068100.0%28.7%Major Categories of State Aid to Localities


Original GF AppropriationIntroduced GF Appropriation% Change% of State Aid to Localities% of GF

$1,160,680,510K-12 Direct Education Aid$5,930,513,050$4,769,832,540-19.6%65.7%31.8%

Car Tax$950,000,000$950,000,0000.0%13.1%6.3%

Compensation Board$666,153,186$600,400,897-9.9%8.3%4.0%

Comprehensive Services Act$323,640,564$279,208,772-13.7%3.8%1.9%


HB 599$205,001,876$183,623,320-10.4%2.5%1.2%

DJJ Juvenile Confinement/Treatment$50,787,956$48,266,904-5.0%0.7%0.3%

Recordation Tax Distribution$40,000,000$40,000,0000.0%0.6%0.3%

Public Library Aid$17,378,628$16,509,697-5.0%0.2%0.1%


Major Categories of State Aid to Localities


Original GF AppropriationCurrent GF Appropriation% Change% of State Aid to Localities% of GF

K-12 Direct Education Aid$5,930,513,050$6,029,476,8841.7%83.1%40.2%

Car Tax$950,000,000$950,000,0000.0%13.1%6.3%

Compensation Board$666,153,186$473,005,983-29.0%6.5%3.2%

Comprehensive Services Act$323,640,564$279,208,772-13.7%3.8%1.9%


HB 599$205,001,876$180,824,184-11.8%2.5%1.2%

DJJ Juvenile Confinement/Treatment$50,787,956$48,266,904-5.0%0.7%0.3%

Recordation Tax Distribution$40,000,000$40,000,0000.0%0.6%0.3%

Public Library Aid$17,378,628$16,509,697-5.0%0.2%0.1%

Flexible State Aid Reduction($50,000,000)-$50,000,0000.0%-0.7%-0.3%

Tax Reforms Have Cost the General Fund Budget $1.9 Billion Since 1999

FY Implemented2008-10 ($ Mil.)

Car Tax Relief1999($1,900)

Historic Rehab Tax Credit1999($92)

Low Income Tax Relief2000 and 2007($125)

Land Preservation Tax Credit2003($300)

2004 Tax Reforms2005$1,600

Add'l Reduced Sales Tax on Food2006($381)

Shift Insurance Premiums and Recordation Taxes for Transportation2009($400)

Estate Tax Repeal2009($280)

Total($1,878)

1998-20002008-20101998-20002008-2010

COMPOSITECOMPOSITECOMPOSITECOMPOSITE

DIVISIONINDEXINDEXDifferenceDIVISIONINDEXINDEXDifference

NORTHAMPTON.31290.54820.2353CULPEPER.40780.43400.0262

FREDERICKSBURG.63280.79430.1615VIRGINIA BEACH.34660.37040.0238

LANCASTER.63840.78240.1440WARREN.40730.42850.0212

HIGHLAND.55530.67740.1221GLOUCESTER.32450.34560.0211

WESTMORELAND.39750.51670.1192BUCHANAN.26680.28240.0156

COLONIAL BEACH.30290.41540.1125ORANGE.42450.43950.0150

MIDDLESEX.57560.67770.1021FREDERICK.39970.41190.0122

MADISON.39200.48780.0958STAFFORD.35300.36290.0099

NORTHUMBERLAND.63650.73060.0941SHENANDOAH.39660.40560.0090

RAPPAHANNOCK.70890.80000.0911GRAYSON.25340.26070.0073

CLARKE.52410.61120.0871MANASSAS.45570.46180.0061

CHARLOTTESVILLE.53100.60910.0781GREENE.31770.32240.0047

FAUQUIER.60000.67110.0711GOOCHLAND.79750.80000.0025

NELSON.50380.57080.0670PAGE.32520.32630.0011

ROCKBRIDGE.40670.47280.0661ARLINGTON.80000.80000.0000

ACCOMACK.31850.37520.0567BATH.80000.80000.0000

MATHEWS.48290.53370.0508ALEXANDRIA.80000.80000.0000

CAROLINE.33160.38170.0501FALLS CHURCH.80000.80000.0000

MANASSAS PARK.33880.38400.0452WILLIAMSBURG.80000.80000.0000

FAIRFAX COUNTY.71990.76500.0451FAIRFAX CITY.80000.80000.0000

CHARLES CITY.37560.41620.0406WASHINGTON.33480.3340(0.0008)

KING GEORGE.36820.40750.0393FRANKLIN COUNTY.38990.3885(0.0014)

PRINCE WILLIAM.41580.44370.0279BLAND.26520.2608(0.0044)

CULPEPER.40780.43400.0262

VIRGINIA BEACH.34660.37040.0238

WARREN.40730.42850.0212

GLOUCESTER.32450.34560.0211

BUCHANAN.26680.28240.0156

ORANGE.42450.43950.0150

FREDERICK.39970.41190.0122

STAFFORD.35300.36290.0099

SHENANDOAH.39660.40560.0090

GRAYSON.25340.26070.0073

MANASSAS.45570.46180.0061

GREENE.31770.32240.0047

GOOCHLAND.79750.80000.0025

PAGE.32520.32630.0011

ARLINGTON.80000.80000.0000

BATH.80000.80000.0000

ALEXANDRIA.80000.80000.0000

FALLS CHURCH.80000.80000.0000

WILLIAMSBURG.80000.80000.0000

FAIRFAX CITY.80000.80000.0000

WASHINGTON.33480.3340(0.0008)

FRANKLIN COUNTY.38990.3885(0.0014)

BLAND.26520.2608(0.0044)

RICHMOND CITY.43200.4272(0.0048)

WINCHESTER.54390.5382(0.0057)

BRUNSWICK.26850.2616(0.0069)

LOUDOUN.67770.6708(0.0069)

RICHMOND COUNTY.34670.3384(0.0083)

AMELIA.33340.3206(0.0128)

ALBEMARLE.63630.6232(0.0131)

FLOYD.33910.3234(0.0157)

POQUOSON.33840.3190(0.0194)

LUNENBURG.23460.2132(0.0214)

KING AND QUEEN.40850.3868(0.0217)

LEXINGTON.42570.4040(0.0217)

SPOTSYLVANIA.39130.3695(0.0218)

PORTSMOUTH.23350.2112(0.0223)

STAUNTON.40750.3849(0.0226)

WYTHE.31630.2929(0.0234)

MONTGOMERY.37440.3496(0.0248)

YORK.38940.3632(0.0262)

FRANKLIN CITY.29480.2686(0.0262)

FLUVANNA.39680.3685(0.0283)

AUGUSTA.35860.3299(0.0287)

ISLE OF WIGHT.39850.3697(0.0288)

SUFFOLK.32760.2983(0.0293)

LEE.18610.1552(0.0309)

PETERSBURG.23190.2008(0.0311)

POWHATAN.41310.3790(0.0341)

NOTTOWAY.25630.2221(0.0342)

BUCKINGHAM.27580.2414(0.0344)

BOTETOURT.39630.3606(0.0357)

NORFOLK.29470.2588(0.0359)

NEWPORT NEWS.29010.2531(0.0370)

TAZEWELL.26910.2318(0.0373)

NEW KENT.44450.4066(0.0379)

SCOTT.22310.1849(0.0382)

PRINCE EDWARD.31460.2733(0.0413)

NORTON.35120.3095(0.0417)

COVINGTON.34750.3051(0.0424)

CRAIG.32150.2790(0.0425)

ROCKINGHAM.36440.3204(0.0440)

RUSSELL.25200.2079(0.0441)

WISE.22450.1798(0.0447)

BEDFORD COUNTY.39430.3494(0.0449)

PULASKI.31840.2730(0.0454)

APPOMATTOX.29080.2436(0.0472)

ESSEX.45440.4071(0.0473)

HOPEWELL.27120.2236(0.0476)

WAYNESBORO.38080.3330(0.0478)

SOUTHAMPTON.30630.2578(0.0485)

DICKENSON.24430.1957(0.0486)

CARROLL.29630.2470(0.0493)

CHARLOTTE.25110.2017(0.0494)

DINWIDDIE.29620.2462(0.0500)

AMHERST.31680.2642(0.0526)

HAMPTON.28850.2358(0.0527)

CHESAPEAKE.35600.3025(0.0535)

BEDFORD CITY.33500.2802(0.0548)

MECKLENBURG.33980.2848(0.0550)

PRINCE GEORGE.27360.2173(0.0563)

SUSSEX.33690.2799(0.0570)

RADFORD.34120.2837(0.0575)

BUENA VISTA.25010.1924(0.0577)

COLONIAL HEIGHTS.48710.4289(0.0582)

LYNCHBURG.39150.3327(0.0588)

CHESTERFIELD.40620.3447(0.0615)

PATRICK.30130.2392(0.0621)

PITTSYLVANIA.28680.2245(0.0623)

GILES.31970.2571(0.0626)

GREENSVILLE.25390.1895(0.0644)

SMYTH.26780.2023(0.0655)

HANOVER.47740.4118(0.0656)

CAMPBELL.30100.2340(0.0670)

HENRY.30160.2304(0.0712)

DANVILLE.31220.2394(0.0728)

ROANOKE CITY.41570.3420(0.0737)

CUMBERLAND.33420.2601(0.0741)

BRISTOL.44280.3664(0.0764)

JAMES CITY.60880.5286(0.0802)

KING WILLIAM.38110.2918(0.0893)

SALEM.44130.3518(0.0895)

HENRICO.52250.4319(0.0906)

WEST POINT.33270.2418(0.0909)

ROANOKE COUNTY.42800.3349(0.0931)

HALIFAX.33130.2380(0.0933)

ALLEGHANY.31570.2210(0.0947)

EMPORIA.35430.2573(0.0970)

GALAX.36850.2618(0.1067)

MARTINSVILLE.33600.2249(0.1111)

LOUISA.66260.5396(0.1230)

SURRY.80000.6641(0.1359)

HARRISONBURG.54770.4099(0.1378)

Changes to the FY 2010 General Fund BudgetFinalAnnualized

CH. 879FinalFY 1998-00 GF% GFFY 2008-10 GF% GF% GrowthFY 2000FY 2010

FY 1998-00 GF% GFFY 2008-10 GF% GFFY 2008-10 GFOriginalFinal% ChangeDirect Aid to K-12*$7,053.132.8%$11,788.236.1%5.3%11787.6239023782General Fund Debt Service191.4498.8$496.42009 to 2010

Legislative Dept$95.300.44%Legislative Dept$138.20.39%$136.7Legislative Dept$69.1$68.3-1.1%0.0044762065Medicaid$2,428.611.3%$4,528.613.9%6.4%4516.2650644793Revenues$16,081,581,565$15,755,406,016

Judicial Dept.$451.602.10%Judicial Dept.$810.42.28%$814.9Judicial Dept.$406.5$407.00.1%0.0266704848Other Health & Human Serv.$1,753.38.2%$3,228.99.9%6.3%3229.8248369249Operating$16,192,469,335$15,843,232,198

Executive Offices$37.800.18%Executive Offices$64.50.18%$56.4Executive Offices$32.3$25.7-20.3%0.001685376Higher & Other Education$3,143.814.6%$3,784.511.6%2.7%3794.8686606255Capital-$249,450,000$800,000

Admin., Finance & Technology$2,070.209.64%Admin., Finance & Tech$2,807.97.91%$2,714.1Admin., Finance & Tech$1,430.4$1,322.8-7.5%0.086682188Public Safety$2,333.610.9%$3,541.110.8%4.3%3555.2447221893Net$138,562,230-$88,626,182$49,936,048

Commerce and Trade, Ag$318.001.48%Commerce and Trade, Ag$364.11.03%$332.7Commerce and Trade, Ag$178.7$149.0-16.6%0.0097636476All Other$4,761.122.2%$5,776.417.7%2.0%5775.3672317891

Direct Aid to K-12 *$7,053.1032.85%Direct Aid to K-12$12,576.335.44%$11,788.2Direct Aid to K-12$5,930.5$5,148.2-13.2%0.3373517187Total*$21,473.5100.0%$32,647.8100.0%4.3%32652.246130154

Higher & Other Education$3,143.8014.64%Higher & Other Education$4,122.511.62%$3,784.5Higher & Other Education$2,060.8$1,794.2-12.9%0.1175680785

Medicaid19.47%Medicaid$5,190.014.63%$4,528.6DMAS Medicaid$2,672.1$2,220.4-16.9%0.1454966977* Includes Lottery Profits

Health & Human Serv.$4,181.901.32%Other HHS$3,405.89.60%$3,228.9Other HHS$1,723.4$1,618.7-6.1%0.1060672879

Natural Resources$282.4010.87%Natural Resources$231.80.65%$208.1Natural Resources$111.9$89.0-20.5%0.005833288

Public Safety$2,333.600.43%Public Safety$3,660.310.32%$3,541.1Public Safety$1,828.2$1,686.7-7.7%0.1105238361

Transportation **$92.006.58%Transportation$82.00.23%$82.0Transportation$41.0$26.7-34.8%0.0017509038

Other (Central Appr., Ind. Ag., Non-S, Capital)$1,413.80Other (Central Appr., Ind. Ag., Non-S, Capital)$2,027.75.71%$1,431.5Other (Central Appr., Ind. Ag., Non-S, Capital)$1,104.1$704.0-36.2%0.0461302864

100.00%

Appropriations ($ mil.)$21,473.5GF Appropriations ($ mil.)$35,481.5100.0%$32,647.8GF Appropriations ($ mil.)$17,588.97$15,260.7-13.2%

balance forward

* Includes Lottery profits fundState General Fund Spending

Direct Aid to K-1234%

DMAS Medicaid15%

FinalAnnualizedHigher Education12%

FY 1998-00 GF% GFFY 2008-10 GF% GF% GrowthARRAOther Health and Human Services11%

Direct Aid to K-12*$7,053.1032.8%$11,788.236.1%5.3%$11,787.6365.2Public Safety11%

Medicaid$2,428.611.3%$4,528.613.9%6.4%$4,516.3966.8Car Tax Reimbursement6%

Other Health & Human Serv.$1,753.38.2%$3,228.99.9%6.3%$3,229.817.1Debt Service3%

Higher & Other Education$3,143.8014.6%$3,784.511.6%1.9%$3,794.9126.7All Other9%

Public Safety$2,333.6010.9%$3,541.110.8%4.3%$3,555.223.3

All Other$4,761.1022.2%$5,776.417.7%2.0%$5,775.4

Total*$21,473.5100.0%$32,647.8100.0%4.3%$32,652.22633.8

* Includes Lottery Profits

FinalAnnualized

FY 1998-00 GF% GFFY 2008-10 GF% GF% GrowthARRA

Direct Aid to K-12*$7,053.1032.8%$12,153.435.6%5.6%$12,162.4365.2

Medicaid$2,428.611.3%$5,495.416.1%8.5%$5,491.1966.8

Other Health & Human Serv.$1,753.38.2%$3,246.09.5%6.4%$3,260.317.1

Higher & Other Education$3,143.8014.6%$3,911.211.5%2.2%$3,908.1126.7

Public Safety$2,333.6010.9%$3,564.410.4%4.3%$3,555.223.3

All Other$4,761.1022.2%$5,776.416.9%2.0%$5,775.4

Total*$21,473.5100.0%$34,146.9100.0%4.7%$34,154.1

* Includes Lottery Profits

OriginalFinal

FY 2010FY 2010% ChangeARRA

Direct Aid to K-12$5,930.5$5,148.2-13.2%

Medicaid$2,672.1$2,220.4-16.9%

Other Health & Human Serv.$1,723.4$1,521.6-11.7%

Higher & Other Education$2,060.8$1,794.1-12.9%

Public Safety$1,828.2$1,686.7-7.7%

Car Tax Reimbursement$950.0$950.00.0%

All Other*$2,424.0$1,668.0-31.2%

Total$17,589.0$14,989.0-14.8%

* Administration, finance, commerce & trade, natural resources, judicial, executive, legislative, capital outlay,

and central appropriations

GF Budget Outlook ($ Millions)FY 2010

FA Est. Revenue Growth (2%,5%,5%)*

Transfers

Rainy Day Fund Withdrawal

Total Est. GF Available


Legislative and Executive Dept's$96-$2$94


Planned GF Debt Service**$507$507

Admin., Finance (no debt) & Tech$859-$45$815

Commerce and Trade, Agr., Nat. Res.$258-$21$237

K-12 Direct Aid ***$5,320-$172$5,148

K-12 Rebenchmarking?$0

Higher & Other Education$1,832-$210$1,622

Medicaid$2,317-$97$2,220

Other HHS$1,628-$106$1,522

Public Safety$1,755-$68$1,687

Transportation$41-$14$27

Central Appr. (incl. car tax), Indep. Agency, Non-State, Capital)$824-$120$704

Total Expenditures$15,844-$854$14,989

0

0

* 10% anualized growth in G.O., VCBA, and VPBA debt.

General Fund Debt Service

$ millions

Ten Year Growth in General Fund Debt Service Costs

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

State General Fund Spending

FY 2010 State General Fund Appropriations

Direct Aid to K-1234%

MBD0051F40F.xls

GF

% of GF RevenuesOfficial Growth EstimateActual Growth Thru April

Individual Income Taxes:

Witholding62.6%2.5%2.3%

Non-Witholding16.1%-17.9%-16.9%

Refunds-12.4%7.4%13.1%

Net Individual66.3%-4.1%-4.5%

Sales Taxes20.3%-3.7%-4.8%

Corporate Income4.7%-15.2%-22.7%

All Other GF8.7%-33.0%

Total GF100.0%-7.3%-8.6%

1393771

932355

-0.3310558191

Outlook

FY 2010 AdoptedFY 2011FY 2012FY 2010FY 2011FY 2012Comments

FA Est. GF Revenue (2%,5%,5%)*$14,728$15,464$16,23714727.67815464.061916237.264995Revenue Estimates

Transfers$442$400$400FA Est. GF Revenue14,688,000,00015,422,400,00016,193,500,000

Unexpended Balances *$158Transfers441,800,000400,000,000400,000,000

Total Est. GF Available$15,328$15,864$16,637Unexpended Balances158,000,00000

Expenditures:TOTAL Estimated GF15,287,800,00015,822,400,00016,593,500,000

Legislative and Executive Dept's$96$96$96Chapter 781 Spending

Judicial Dept.$407$407$407Legislative Department68,309,41468,309,41468,309,414

Planned GF Debt Service***$507$645$6841,504,683,7361,543,283,736Judicial Department407,012,317407,012,317407,012,317

Admin., Finance (incl. debt) & Tech$859$859$859Executive Offices27,334,46727,334,46727,334,467

Commerce and Trade, Agr., Nat. Res.$258$258$258Ofc of Administration676,471,924676,471,924676,471,9241,366,373,5261,504,683,7361,543,283,736

K-12 Direct Aid **$5,320$5,320$5,320Ofc of Agric & Forestry45,034,75745,034,75745,034,757

K-12 Rebenchmarking?$400$400Ofc of Commerce & Trade114,202,067114,202,067114,202,067

Higher & Other Education$1,832$1,832$1,8326330.4856985.10925Direct Aid to Education5,319,941,5005,319,941,5005,319,941,500

Medicaid$2,317$2,800$3,200Education Rebenchmarking0400,000,000400,000,000does not restore cuts

Other HHS$1,628$1,659$1,694All Other K-1262,855,54562,855,54562,855,545level funded

Public Safety$1,755$1,755$1,755Higher & Other Education1,769,349,5441,769,349,5441,769,349,544

Transportation$41$41$41Treasury Bd Debt Service507,189,790645,500,000684,100,000

Central Appr. (incl. car tax), Indep. Agency, Non-State, Capital)$824$1,051$1,051Other Finance174,528,421174,528,421174,528,421

Total Expenditures$15,844$17,122$17,596Medicaid2,317,380,1172,792,380,1173,192,380,117$300 M + $750 M

Projected Scenario Gap($516)($1,258)($959)Comprehensive Services315,840,564347,424,620382,167,08210% increase per yr

Other H&H Services1,311,980,1131,311,980,1131,311,980,1131,659,404,7331,694,147,195

* $175 mil. FY09 shortfall assumed; $139 mil. balance now unavailable, includes $49 m. unappropriated balance and $109 mil. unexpended ARRAOfc of Natural Resources98,317,97998,317,97998,317,979

** G.O. VPBA, VCBA, Long-term Leases, Regional JailsOfc of Public Safety1,754,984,2481,754,984,2481,754,984,248

*** Does not include lottery, assumes support cost reduction in baseOfc of Technology8,183,3918,183,3918,183,391

Ofc ot Transportation40,985,58440,985,58440,985,584

CA-Car Tax Relief950,000,000950,000,000950,000,000

CA-BRAC019,500,00019,500,000

CA-Other Econ Dev Items05,700,0005,700,000

FY 2010FY 2011FY 2012CommentsCA-Aid to Localities(50,000,000)(50,000,000)(50,000,000)continue cuts

Revenue EstimatesCA-All Other Items10,258,32524,723,63924,723,639

FA Est. GF Revenue$14,688,000,000$15,422,400,000$16,193,500,000CA-Health Care & Retirement(87,203,333)51,000,00051,000,000

Transfers$441,800,000$400,000,000$400,000,000Independent Agencies275,464275,464275,464

Unexpended Balances$158,000,000$0$0Non-states000824,130,4561,051,199,1031,051,199,103

TOTAL Estimated GF$15,287,800,000$15,822,400,000$16,593,500,000Capital800,00050,000,00050,000,000pre-plannng/engineering

Chapter 781 SpendingTOTAL EXPENDITUES15,844,032,19817,115,995,11117,589,337,573

Legislative Department$68,309,414$68,309,414$68,309,414

Judicial Department$407,012,317$407,012,317$407,012,317Projected Budget Gap(556,232,198)(1,293,595,111)(995,837,573)

Executive Offices$27,334,467$27,334,467$27,334,467

Ofc of Administration$676,471,924$676,471,924$676,471,924

Ofc of Agric & Forestry$45,034,757$45,034,757$45,034,757

Ofc of Commerce & Trade$114,202,067$114,202,067$114,202,067

Direct Aid to Education$5,319,941,500$5,319,941,500$5,319,941,500

Education Rebenchmarking$0$400,000,000$400,000,000does not restore cuts

All Other K-12$62,855,545$62,855,545$62,855,545level funded

Higher & Other Education$1,769,349,544$1,769,349,544$1,769,349,544

Treasury Bd Debt Service$507,189,790$645,500,000$684,100,000

Other Finance$174,528,421$174,528,421$174,528,421

Medicaid$2,317,380,117$2,792,380,117$3,192,380,117$300 M + $750 M

Comprehensive Services$315,840,564$347,424,620$382,167,08210% increase per yr

Other H&H Services$1,311,980,113$1,311,980,113$1,311,980,113

Ofc of Natural Resources$98,317,979$98,317,979$98,317,979

Ofc of Public Safety$1,754,984,248$1,754,984,248$1,754,984,248

Ofc of Technology$8,183,391$8,183,391$8,183,391

Ofc ot Transportation$40,985,584$40,985,584$40,985,584

CA-Car Tax Relief$950,000,000$950,000,000$950,000,000

CA-BRAC$0$19,500,000$19,500,000

CA-Other Econ Dev Items$0$5,700,000$5,700,000

CA-Aid to Localities-$50,000,000-$50,000,000-$50,000,000continue cuts

CA-All Other Items$10,258,325$24,723,639$24,723,639

CA-Health Care & Retirement-$87,203,333$51,000,000$51,000,000

Independent Agencies$275,464$275,464$275,464

Non-states$0$0$0

Capital$800,000$50,000,000$50,000,000pre-plannng/engineering

TOTAL EXPENDITUES$15,844,032,198$17,115,995,111$17,589,337,573

Projected Budget Gap-$556,232,198-$1,293,595,111-$995,837,573


FY 2000$198

FY 2010 Budgeted$507



Outlook

0

0

0

0

Includes G.O., VPBA, VCBA, Long-term Leases and Regional Jail Agreements


$ Millions

FY 10 Changes

Adopted Changes

FY 2010 Shortfall($1,930.0)-1928.07

Medicaid and Other Cost Increases$0.0


Carryforward of FY 2009 Savings$350.0

Eliminate 2% Teacher Salary Supplement$77.6

Elim. State and State-Supported Local Employee Raises$189.4

Other Balances?

Higher Education Reductions (11% of GF)?

Medicaid and Other H&HS Savings (24% of GF)?

Other K-12 Reductions (35% of GF)?

Additional State Agency Reductions (20% of GF)?

Shortfall Remaining($1,161.9)

Local Revenue

Permits, Privilege Fees, and

General Property TaxesOther Local Taxes (Exhibit B-2)Regulatory LicensesFines and ForfeituresCharges for ServicesRevenue from Use of Money and PropertyMiscellaneous

TotalTotal

PublicPersonal PropertyMachineryRental

RealServiceandMerchants'PerPercent ofPerPercent ofPerPercent ofPerPercent ofPerPercent ofand Sale ofPerPercent ofPerPercent ofTotal Local

No.LocalityPropertyCorporationsGeneralMobile HomeToolsCapitalPenaltiesInterestAmountCapitaRevenueAmountCapitaRevenueAmountCapitaRevenueAmountCapitaRevenueAmountCapitaRevenueInterestPropertyAmountCapitaRevenueAmountCapitaRevenueRevenueNo.

170.0Grand Total$7,840,391,515$238,608,282$1,419,425,705$7,406,042$201,121,680$10,653,845$57,990,325$27,408,938$9,803,006,332$1,271.1261.77$3,478,208,317$451.0121.92$198,521,304$25.741.25$95,570,486$12.390.60$1,492,857,687$193.579.41$370,299,807$117,507,448$487,807,255$63.253.07$313,052,847$40.591.97$15,869,024,228170.0

Total

EmergencyCommunication

Local SalesConsumerBusinessFranchiseMotor VehicleBankRecordationHotel and MotelRestaurantCoal, Oil,TelephoneSales andOtherPerPercent

No.Localityand Use TaxesUtility TaxesLicense TaxesLicense TaxesLicense TaxesStock Taxesand Will TaxesTobacco TaxesAdmission TaxesRoom TaxesFood Taxesand Gas TaxesService TaxesUse TaxesLocal TaxesAmountCapitaof AverageNo.

FY 2008

Real Property$8,385,328,3280.5035482064

Personal and Other Property Taxes$2,044,288,1660.1227617571

Local Option Sales Tax$1,041,259,6870.0625287916

BPOL$659,016,1780.0395746477

Consumer Utility/Communication Sales$743,672,1720.0446583334

Meals Tax$397,410,2790.0238649252

All Other Taxes *$691,178,7250.0415060441

Service Charges, Fees, Fines, Interest, Misc.$2,690,330,2210.1615572944

$16,652,483,756

FranchiseRestaurant

License TaxesFood Taxes

Motor Vehicle

License Taxes

Bank

Stock Taxes

Recordation

and Will Taxes

Tobacco Taxes

Admission Taxes

Hotel and Motel

Room Taxes

Coal, Oil,

and Gas Taxes

Emergency

Telephone

Service Taxes

Communication

Sales and

Use Taxes

Counties


Personal and Other Property Taxes$1,420,518,744


BPOL$350,149,176


Meals Tax$83,049,946


Service Charges, Fees, Fines, Interest, Misc.$1,672,945,812

$10,852,248,873

Cities


Personal and Other Property Taxes$607,992,456


BPOL$283,810,902


Meals Tax$274,075,620


Service Charges, Fees, Fines, Interest, Misc.$966,458,286

$5,536,908,572

Local Revenue

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Total Local Revenue in FY 08 = $16.65 bil.

Local Revenue Sources (FY 08)

Local Sales Tax7%


spending cuts

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

County local revenue in FY0 = $10.85 bil.

Counties

County Local Revenue Sources (FY 08)


forecast

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Cities' Local Revenue in FY 08 = $5.54 bil.

Cities

City Local Revenue Sources ( FY 08)

Local expend

$ Millions


Balancing Actions

Rainy Day Fund$400.0

Bond existing GF capital projects$250.0

Agency Reductions:

Improved business practices and reduce discretionary expenses$113.4

Transfer of NGF balances and NGF resources$66.5

Reduce or eliminate current services$31.7

Reduce personnel costs$27.2

Reduce aid to localities$16.3

Reduce or eliminate aid to nonstate agencies$11.0

Reversion of capital outlay balances$10.6

Reduce aid to individuals$1.6

New fees or GF revenue$0.6

Subtotal Agency Reductions$279.0


Delay State and local employee 2% raises$44.7


Balances from August reduction plan$24.4



Revert excess Tuition Moderation Fund$6.2

Total$1,124.7


$ Millions


Balancing Actions

Rainy Day Fund *$400.0

Bond existing GF capital projects *$250.0

Agency Reductions and August Reduction Plan$287.1

Delay state and state-supported local employee 2% raises$44.7


Revert excess Hi Ed Tuition Moderation Fund$6.2

Local Aid Reductions:



Agency aid to locality reductions (primarily CSB admin.)$16.3


Subtotal Local Aid Reductions:$96.0

Total Plan Reductions$1,124.7


* Needs General Assembly approval

OctoberSFC ScenarioFA Scenario

FY 2010 Shortfall($1,510.0)($2,028.0)($1,900.0)

Medicaid and Other Cost Increases$0.0($350.0)($200.0)

Balance Forward to FY 2010$151.1$0.0$50.0

Carryforward of FY 2009 Savings$350.0$350.0$350.0

Eliminate 2% Teacher Salary Supplement$77.6$77.6$77.6

Elim. State and State-Supported Local Employee Raises$189.4$189.4$189.4

Other Balances??$100.0

Higher Education Reductions (11% of GF)??$125.0

Medicaid and Other H&HS Savings (24% of GF)??$300.0

Other K-12 Reductions (35% of GF)??$400.0

Additional State Agency Reductions (20% of GF)??$200.0

Use Rainy Day Fund in FY10???

Car Tax/Revenues???

Shortfall Remaining($741.9)($1,411.0)($308.0)

Strategies Used to Close the 2008-10 Budget Gap

GF Millions $


Tax Policy/Other Revenue Items$450

Budget Reductions$1,925

Bonded Debt for GF Capital$355

Enhanced Medicaid Match$996

Other ARRA Flexible Funds$110

state aid programs


FY09FY10

Official GF Revenue Forecast (FY 09 = 2.0%, FY10 = 6.8%)$16.09$17.19

Likely Revised GF Revenue Growth (-3.5%, 2.0%)$15.22$15.52

Difference($0.87)($1.67)

* Does not include GF transfers


FY09FY10

Official GF Revenue Forecast (FY 09: 2.0%, FY10: 6.8%)$16.09$17.19

Oct. Revised GF Revenue Growth (-4.0%, 3.0%)$15.14$15.68

Oct. Difference($0.95)($1.51)

SFC Forecast$14.97$15.14

SFC Difference($1.12)($2.05)

* Does not include GF transfers revisions of -$23 and -$34 mil.

FY00FY01FY02FY03FY04FY05FY06FY07FY08FY09 est.FY10 est.General Fund Revenue* Change ($ Bil.)

Last Year11.2%2.9%-3.8%1.8%9.7%14.8%8.4%4.9%1.3%2.2%6.8%FY09FY10

Dec. Intro.1.3%-3.5%3.6%Last Yr's GF Revenue Forecast (FY 09: 2.0%, FY10: 6.8%)$16.09$17.19

Adopted Budget1.3%-7.3%4.4%December Introduced$15.02$15.62

Latest Likely1.3%-8.8%2.0%Adopted Re-forecast$14.61$15.26

Most Likely$14.40$14.69

Change from Last Yr (FY 09: -8.8%, FY10: 2.0%)($1.69)($2.50)

* Note: Does not include $490 mil. in Revenue Stabilization funds from Ch. 879

state aid programs

0000

0000

0000

0000

0000

0000

0000

0000

0000

0000

0000

Last Year

Dec. Intro.

Adopted Budget

Latest Likely

General Fund Revenue Forecast Changes Since Last Year

tax cuts

FY 08Annualized

FY 1998FY 2008% of TotalGrowth Rate

General Government$543.50$979.704.0%6.1%$982.5

Judicial Admin$211.40$423.801.7%7.2%$423.7

Public Safety$1,786.60$3,879.4015.7%8.1%$3,893.0

Public Works$894.60$1,500.606.1%5.3%$1,499.4

Health & Welfare$1,407.80$2,758.2011.2%7.0%$2,769.4

Education$7,039.10$13,345.5054.1%6.6%$13,338.0

Parks and Rec$474.20$906.703.7%6.7%$907.0

Community Development$339.30$850.203.4%9.6%$848.6

Total$12,699.10$24,646.70100.0%6.9%$24,646.9

VFC

FY 08Annualized1,9982,008

FY 1998FY 2008% of TotalGrowth RateCharlottesvilleDanvilleFredericksburgHamptonHopewellLynchburgMartinsvilleNewport NewsNorfolkPetersburgPortsmouthRichmondRoanokeStauntonWinchesterCharlottesvilleDanvilleFredericksburgHamptonHopewellLynchburgMartinsvilleNewport NewsNorfolkPetersbburgPortsmouthRichmondRoanokeStauntonWinchester

General Government$109,868,357$188,377,5764.1%5.6%189,457,5044,941,0432,683,9892,136,54712,238,9412,175,0507,037,8001,422,90911,786,62115,334,6651,921,46712,069,29823,687,5528,802,8961,746,0721,883,50710,243,0173,986,3535,047,98222,238,8353,617,07710,670,1432,808,73520,745,74627,962,5963,423,66112,172,34646,358,89312,258,0682,921,0453,923,079

Judicial Admin$47,460,058$86,504,6901.9%6.2%86,611,0761,455,6811,454,8261,323,5573,163,461740,6833,022,5241,173,7714,958,2388,734,9152,153,4743,839,74810,369,6403,021,502881,7941,166,2443,091,0902,874,9453,345,9146,884,3051,707,4385,633,2651,871,4409,604,52014,733,0722,828,8147,001,76916,550,1656,213,4461,672,6252,491,882

Public Safety$508,658,506$907,474,67219.6%6.0%910,929,91415,215,01515,759,08110,161,57339,961,32110,315,10528,384,2926,852,17159,971,45798,389,76815,646,59036,727,012119,620,85937,207,3935,369,8109,077,05935,551,88625,318,42021,714,49978,464,34114,933,42347,705,7739,702,170108,003,513172,811,64728,452,88573,269,682194,480,83762,293,47213,542,42921,229,695

Public Works$244,821,698$394,032,5628.5%4.9%395,006,9968,097,77610,950,2506,088,63127,134,6804,413,75916,187,1064,201,80828,987,99043,790,8875,281,78816,502,50240,763,13922,643,4356,505,0713,272,87613,252,02213,471,7909,708,33228,983,4556,244,56824,325,2336,558,18543,542,713101,581,34910,403,60128,624,94866,971,02523,078,3208,109,2329,177,789

Health & Welfare$383,120,851$687,917,35114.8%6.0%686,111,09417,173,56510,526,6995,695,54639,483,7474,882,34418,560,0292,249,44157,038,99259,658,73712,111,87027,052,09485,146,17731,075,4346,790,4035,675,77340,382,74020,042,71511,467,61565,528,4217,997,65645,964,0465,237,32781,817,188119,071,74120,565,71142,106,162145,429,87460,456,05812,198,0069,652,091

Education$1,285,383,669$1,964,354,03242.4%4.3%1,958,284,84139,814,10148,257,15417,458,173136,310,82227,114,10259,888,54018,397,698196,188,249237,376,01136,626,212108,484,565222,434,99093,535,89718,824,50924,672,64667,762,37410,445,94034,873,209235,639,34441,069,31994,153,55927,157,891328,260,282373,415,16551,193,404163,172,553310,359,094148,807,70330,949,61647,094,579

Parks and Rec$119,432,129$203,899,5894.4%5.5%204,007,3295,812,9174,375,9962,134,61615,069,7721,407,9315,454,406730,06215,522,61427,448,6841,835,0107,706,43122,276,7856,508,4721,600,4791,547,95410,861,9751,213,4834,134,95833,154,4332,517,1049,871,1591,908,88131,262,72547,465,8353,683,68913,869,41525,184,56011,445,1753,219,9204,106,277

Community Development$67,502,692$202,198,7174.4%11.6%202,284,7012,122,4091,022,4721,274,67612,103,210635,7688,196,1561,539,28010,377,08011,795,0881,091,7921,931,60110,203,5633,996,968663,812548,8177,826,373107,5622,727,34121,907,911838,4625,337,7292,759,00626,367,50023,466,6781,264,02214,565,67980,935,7039,591,8242,236,9642,265,963

Total$2,766,247,960$4,634,759,189100.0%5.3%4,636,335,10794,632,50795,030,46746,273,319285,465,95451,684,742146,730,85336,567,140384,831,241502,528,75576,668,203214,313,251534,502,705206,791,99742,381,95047,844,876188,971,47777,461,20893,019,850492,801,04578,925,047243,660,90758,003,635649,604,187880,508,083121,815,787354,782,554886,270,151334,144,06674,849,83799,941,355

Sheet1

State Aid Base for "Flexible" Local Aid ReductionMajor Categories of State Aid to Localities

FY 2010 GF Appropriations (Ch. 879)

% of Total

FY 10 State GFGF Flex. BaseVFC % of $Original GF AppropriationCurrent GF Appropriation% Change% of State Aid to Localities% of Total GF

Compensation Board:K-12 Direct Education Aid*$6,391,513,050$5,750,141,500-10.0%72.4%35.5%

Regional Jails$104,643,4508.6%23.8%Car Tax$950,000,000$950,000,0000.0%12.0%5.3%

Local Jails$148,309,01712.2%38.0%Compensation Board$666,153,186$631,050,421-5.3%7.9%3.7%

Jail Per Diems$79,508,4076.5%39.4%Comprehensive Services Act$323,640,564$315,840,564-2.4%4.0%1.8%

Local Law Enforcement$89,662,0397.4%0.0%HB 599$205,001,876$197,295,927-3.8%2.5%1.1%

Local Courts$57,761,0514.8%23.1%DJJ Juvenile Confinement/Treatment$50,787,956$50,787,9560.0%0.6%0.3%

Court Clerks$30,045,2932.5%15.4%Recordation Tax Distribution$40,000,000$40,000,0000.0%0.5%0.2%

Commonwealth Attorneys$51,096,0114.2%29.6%DCJS Admin. of Justice$21,908,828$23,408,8286.8%0.3%0.1%

Commiss. Of Rev/Finance$15,631,5241.3%13.8%Public Library Aid$17,378,628$17,378,6280.0%0.2%0.1%

Treasurers$10,572,4330.9%20.6%State Board of Elections$7,392,674$7,392,6740.0%0.1%0.0%

Subtotal Compensation Board$587,229,22548.4%24.7%Rolling Stock Tax$4,970,000$5,670,00014.1%0.1%0.0%

DSS General Relief$3,458,455$3,458,4550.0%0.0%0.0%


Comprehensive Services Act$290,320,40523.9%32.7%Subtotal$8,632,205,217$7,942,424,953-8.0%100.0%47.9%

HB 599 Aid$192,314,96215.8%40.5%Total GF Appropriations*$18,019,470,000$16,274,230,000-9.7%100.0%

DJJ Juvenile Confinement/Alternative Treatment$50,200,9284.1%31.6%

Recordation Tax Distribution$40,000,0003.3%8.8%* Includes Lottery Proceeds

DCJS Admin. of Justice$21,202,6811.7%29.5%$8,632,205,217$7,942,424,953

Public Library Aid$17,184,9621.4%14.8%

State Board of Elections$7,626,9890.6%12.7%

Rolling Stock Tax Distribution$4,592,4610.4%14.1%

Dept. of Social Services General Relief$3,458,4550.3%38.5%

Total Base for "Flexible" Local Cuts$1,214,131,068100.0%28.7%

state budget

Tax Reforms Have Cost the General Fund Budget $1.9 Billion Since 1999

FY Implemented2008-10 ($ Mil.)

Car Tax Relief1999($1,900)

Historic Rehab Tax Credit1999($92)

Low Income Tax Relief2000 and 2007($125)

Land Preservation Tax Credit2003($300)

2004 Tax Reforms2005$1,600

Add'l Reduced Sales Tax on Food2006($381)

Shift Insurance Premiums and Recordation Taxes for Transportation2009($400)

Estate Tax Repeal2009($280)

Total($1,878)

1998-20002008-20101998-20002008-2010

COMPOSITECOMPOSITECOMPOSITECOMPOSITE

DIVISIONINDEXINDEXDifferenceDIVISIONINDEXINDEXDifference

NORTHAMPTON.31290.54820.2353CULPEPER.40780.43400.0262

FREDERICKSBURG.63280.79430.1615VIRGINIA BEACH.34660.37040.0238

LANCASTER.63840.78240.1440WARREN.40730.42850.0212

HIGHLAND.55530.67740.1221GLOUCESTER.32450.34560.0211

WESTMORELAND.39750.51670.1192BUCHANAN.26680.28240.0156

COLONIAL BEACH.30290.41540.1125ORANGE.42450.43950.0150

MIDDLESEX.57560.67770.1021FREDERICK.39970.41190.0122

MADISON.39200.48780.0958STAFFORD.35300.36290.0099

NORTHUMBERLAND.63650.73060.0941SHENANDOAH.39660.40560.0090

RAPPAHANNOCK.70890.80000.0911GRAYSON.25340.26070.0073

CLARKE.52410.61120.0871MANASSAS.45570.46180.0061

CHARLOTTESVILLE.53100.60910.0781GREENE.31770.32240.0047

FAUQUIER.60000.67110.0711GOOCHLAND.79750.80000.0025

NELSON.50380.57080.0670PAGE.32520.32630.0011

ROCKBRIDGE.40670.47280.0661ARLINGTON.80000.80000.0000

ACCOMACK.31850.37520.0567BATH.80000.80000.0000

MATHEWS.48290.53370.0508ALEXANDRIA.80000.80000.0000

CAROLINE.33160.38170.0501FALLS CHURCH.80000.80000.0000

MANASSAS PARK.33880.38400.0452WILLIAMSBURG.80000.80000.0000

FAIRFAX COUNTY.71990.76500.0451FAIRFAX CITY.80000.80000.0000

CHARLES CITY.37560.41620.0406WASHINGTON.33480.3340(0.0008)

KING GEORGE.36820.40750.0393FRANKLIN COUNTY.38990.3885(0.0014)

PRINCE WILLIAM.41580.44370.0279BLAND.26520.2608(0.0044)

CULPEPER.40780.43400.0262

VIRGINIA BEACH.34660.37040.0238

WARREN.40730.42850.0212

GLOUCESTER.32450.34560.0211

BUCHANAN.26680.28240.0156

ORANGE.42450.43950.0150

FREDERICK.39970.41190.0122

STAFFORD.35300.36290.0099

SHENANDOAH.39660.40560.0090

GRAYSON.25340.26070.0073

MANASSAS.45570.46180.0061

GREENE.31770.32240.0047

GOOCHLAND.79750.80000.0025

PAGE.32520.32630.0011

ARLINGTON.80000.80000.0000

BATH.80000.80000.0000

ALEXANDRIA.80000.80000.0000

FALLS CHURCH.80000.80000.0000

WILLIAMSBURG.80000.80000.0000

FAIRFAX CITY.80000.80000.0000

WASHINGTON.33480.3340(0.0008)

FRANKLIN COUNTY.38990.3885(0.0014)

BLAND.26520.2608(0.0044)

RICHMOND CITY.43200

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State Budget Outlook for the 2010-12 Biennium

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