State of Connecticut Judicial BranchCourt Support Services Division

RBA Report Card – Adult ProbationNovember 10, 2010

Update to the Criminal Justice Policy Advisory Commission

How Much Do We Do?

3

Adult Probation Caseloads2009-2010

26,845

34,56332,493 32,029 31,521

29,164 28,47127,59127,102

56,187 56,774 56,77555,418 55,321

54,497 53,43552,94852,529

-

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

Jan-09

Mar-09

May-09

Jul-09

Sep-09

Nov-09

Jan-10

Mar-10

May-10

Jul-10

Sep-10

Month-Year

Nu

mb

er

Active Supervision

Total Supervision

• The number of probationers on active caseloads has decreased by 22 percent since January 2010, while the total supervision caseload has decreased by only six percent

• Total probation intake decreased in FY 2010 by five percent to 26,900 from a five year average of 28,304

• The average caseload of a supervision officer in January 2009 was 91;today the average is 65

How Well Do We Do It?

5

Adult Probation Treatment Timeliness2009-2010

92%

78%

69%

53%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

2009 Q1 2010 Q2 2010 Q3 2010

Time Period

Percen

t

• Probation Officers are required to make timely referrals that result in probationers starting treatment within 30 days following the completion of a case plan

• The performance in this metric has increased by 39 percentage points over the 2009 performance

6

Adult Probation Technical Violation Rate2007-2010

30%32%

34%

38%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

2007 2008 2009 2010

Year

Percen

t

• Technical violation rates have trended lower compared to previous years, showing a reduction of over 20 percent from 2007-2010

• Programs such as the Technical Violation Units and more consistent application of policy and procedure have contributed to this trend

Is Anyone Better Off?

8

Adult Probation Successful Completion Rate2007-2010

64%63%

59%

64%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

2007 2008 2009 2010

Year

Percen

t

• Completion of probation without warrant activity has consistently been at or above the established goal in 2010

• Nationally, the rate of successful completion of probation is 59-62 percent (Bureau of Justice Statistics)

9

42%41%

41%

44%

41%

44%46%

44%45%46%46%47%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

2007 2008 2009 Jan-10

Feb-10

Mar-10

Apr-10

May-10

Jun-10

Jul-10

Aug-10

Sep-10

Year

Percen

t

• A one percentage point drop in the re-arrest rate, sustained over a full year, results in approximately 280 fewer persons recidivating annually. A five percentage point drop results in 1,400 fewer recidivists (based on ~28,000 new probationers annually)

Adult Probation 24-month Rearrest Rate2007-2010

10

34%

38%

45%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

50%

2007 2008 2009Year

Pe

rce

nt

• 12-month re-arrest rates for clients who complete AIC services is generally declining

• A Legislative Program Review and Investigations Committee study in 2004 found that 44 percent of AIC participants were re-arrested within 12 months

AIC Completer 12-month Rearrest Rate2007-2009