Statewide Listening Session Higher Education Educational ... · Economic Imperative • The #1...

Statewide Listening Session Higher Education Educational Attainment

November 29, 2018

9 Locations in Wyoming

Welcome to Wyoming!

• Listening Sessions in 9 locations: Casper, Cheyenne, Gillette, Laramie, Riverton, Rock Springs, Powell, Sheridan, Torrington– And ENDOW FB Live: www.facebook.com/ENDOWyo/

• Goals of the Listening Sessions– Ground the state’s higher education strategic planning process in the

needs of local communities, including those of students, families, educators, and employers.

– Gather feedback on key barriers to higher education in different regions of the state.

– Identify promising practices and local solutions that could inform the state’s approach to long-term strategic planning.

2

Facilitator and Agenda

• Facilitators: Western Interstate Commission on Higher Education, Lumina Strategy Labs, WY Community College Commission, National Center for Higher Education Management Systems, and WY Department of Education

• WY Higher Education Attainment Goals per Executive Order 2018-1: – 67% by 2025– 82% by 2040

• Order of the Forum:– Governor Matt Mead– ENDOW Vice Chair Bill Schilling

– Local Context Bill Schilling– Wyoming regional data overview by NCHEMS– Q&A

3

Presenter

Presentation Notes

Be sure to emphasize that this is the beginning of a conversation. First thank the college or university for hosting and making a big commitment to this work. Thank WICHE, Lumina Strategy Labs, NCHEMS, and WDE for working together to help Wyoming and the Educational Attainment Executive Council pull this off in 9 different locations simultaneously tonight.

Governor Matt Mead

4

• Please see the corresponding video from Governor Matt Mead on educational attainment.

ENDOW Vice Chair Bill Schilling

5

• Please see the corresponding video from ENDOW Vice Chair Bill Schilling on educational attainment.

WHY Educational Attainment Matters to Business

• Local Business person shares both the state and regional business economic perspective on educational attainment

6

National Center for Higher Education Management Systems

nchems.org • higheredinfo.org

Wyoming Environmental Scan DataSelected Exhibits

November 29, 2018

Data provided by NCHEMS, ITIF, WICHE, Georgetown University CEW, Strada, Lumina Foundation, OECD, and SHEEO

Comparing Wyoming with Nations and Other States in the Percentage of Young Adult Degree Attainment (Ages 25-34)

U.S. States % OECD CountryKorea (70)

60 Canada, Japan

58Massachusetts

56Lithuania

Minnesota 54New York

52 United KingdomNew Jersey, North Dakota Luxembourg

Connecticut, New Hampshire, Illinois 50Virginia, Colorado Australia

Rhode Island, Nebraska, Pennsylvania, Maryland 48 SwitzerlandIowa, Wisconsin, South Dakota United States, Israel, Sweden

Washington, Vermont 46Kansas Denmark, Netherlands

Utah, Maine 44 Belgium, FranceOregon, Missouri, California Poland, New Zealand, Iceland, Slovenia

North Carolina, Montana, Ohio, Hawaii 42 LatviaDelaware, Wyoming, Michigan Finland, Estonia, Greece, Spain

Florida 40Indiana, Georgia Austria

Tennessee, South Carolina 38Texas, Kentucky, Idaho

Arizona 36Alaska, Alabama, Oklahoma Portugal

West Virginia, New Mexico, Mississippi 34Louisiana Slovak RepublicArkansas 32 Czech Republic

Nevada 30 Germany, Turkey, Hungary

28 Costa Rica, Columbia

26Italy

24

22Mexico

20

Source: 2017 OECD Education at a Glance (for year 2016); 2016 American Community Survey8

Presenter

Presentation Notes

This is a two-sided chart. The right side indicates the higher education attainment percentage comparing to other countries (using a consistent measure). The left side indicates how the states compare using a consistent definition.

Percent of Residents Ages 25-64 With A High-Quality Certificate or Higher

9

56.2

55.7

54.0

53.8

53.3

52.2

51.2

51.0

50.7

50.6

50.6

50.3

49.7

49.5

49.5

48.4

48.4

48.2

48.2

48.0

47.7

47.6

47.4

46.9

46.9

46.8

46.7

46.3

45.7

45.7

45.7

45.3

44.6

44.6

44.1

44.0

43.7

43.6

43.2

43.1

42.2

42.0

41.9

41.8

40.7

40.6

39.9

37.9

37.5

34.8

34.7

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Mas

sach

uset

tsCo

lora

doM

inne

sota

Conn

ectic

utW

ashi

ngto

nVi

rgin

iaN

ew Je

rsey

Illin

ois

Kans

asM

aryl

and

New

Ham

pshi

reN

ew Y

ork

Arizo

naN

orth

Dak

ota

Uta

hW

iscon

sinCa

lifor

nia

Wyo

min

gN

ebra

ska

Geo

rgia

Verm

ont

Iow

aN

orth

Car

olin

aFl

orid

aO

rego

nRh

ode

Isla

ndU

nite

d St

ates

Haw

aii

Sout

h Da

kota

Loui

siana

Penn

sylv

ania

Alas

kaN

ew M

exic

oKe

ntuc

kyO

hio

Mon

tana

Mic

higa

nM

aine

Dela

war

eM

issou

riTe

xas

Sout

h Ca

rolin

aIn

dian

aO

klah

oma

Tenn

esse

eId

aho

Arka

nsas

Alab

ama

Miss

issip

piN

evad

aW

est V

irgin

ia

Certificate-holder data is the best available estimate based on Georgetown CEW updated calculations using SIPP 2008 Wave 12 data (2012) and IPEDS (2014). Found in Stronger Nation 2016 report; Data for percent of residents with an associates and higher from U.S. Census Bureau, 2016 American Community Survey; Table B15001

Presenter

Presentation Notes

Wyoming’s adult population sits at 48.5% with an associate degree or higher credential. Wyoming’s population includes 52.5% of the adult population that does not have an associate degree or higher. When certificates and high quality credentials are included such as EMS and journeymen, this percentage is estimated to only change a couple of percentage points with roughly 50% with no industry recognized credential.

Wyoming Regions

10

Presenter

Presentation Notes

These are the regions for discussion tonight. These are the regions identified by the Wyoming Workforce Development Council and they coincide with the community college regions. As we discuss the local region, we will be referencing both the local community, but also all the communities within the designated region.

Click to edit Master title style

Economic Imperative • The #1 predictor of

economic and social mobility is education

• Lifetime earnings are more than $1.2 million more for bachelor’s level and the margin is increasing

• Educational attainment is highly correlated with a New Economy

Wyoming in a New Economy• The U.S. economy has grown

by more than 11.5 million jobs since 2011 for workers with education beyond high school and only 80,000 jobs were created for a high school diploma or less

• By 2025, 65-67% of all jobs in the United States will require education beyond high school

• By 2025 65% of all jobs in WYOMING will require education beyond high school

11

Presenter

Presentation Notes

This is a combination of information including Center on Education and the Workforce by Carnevale and Smith as well as the New State Economy Index by the Information Technology and Innovation Foundation that benchmarks 25 indicators to measure state economies for competitive market adaptability. It might be helpful to highlight this issue was identified by ENDOW and this is what lead to the attainment goals. The Netflix versus Blockbuster comparison is what is in the ENDOW report. Do we want to adapt as Netflix and take a huge share of the emerging market or do we want to be Blockbuster, which has one store left in the US and was bankrupted?

Percentage of Jobs in 2020 that Will Require a Postsecondary Education, by State

Source: Georgetown University Center on Education and the Workforce,Projections of Jobs and Education Requirements through 2020; 2013

74%

74%

72%

72%

71%

71%

71%

70%

70%

70%

70%

70%

70%

69%

69%

69%

68%

68%

68%

68%

68%

67%

67%

67%

66%

66%

66%

65%

65%

65%

65%

65%

64%

64%

64%

63%

63%

63%

62%

62%

62%

62%

62%

62%

62%

61%

59%

58%

56%

55%

45%

50%

55%

60%

65%

70%

75%

Min

neso

taCo

lora

doM

assa

chus

etts

Nor

th D

akot

aRh

ode

Isla

ndKa

nsas

Neb

rask

aO

rego

nIll

inoi

sW

ashi

ngto

nM

ichi

gan

Conn

ectic

utHa

wai

iM

onta

naM

aryl

and

New

Yor

kAr

izona

Iow

aN

ew Je

rsey

New

Ham

pshi

reId

aho

Calif

orni

aN

orth

Car

olin

aVi

rgin

iaM

issou

riM

aine

Alas

kaVe

rmon

tG

eorg

iaSo

uth

Dako

taFl

orid

aW

yom

ing

Ohi

oO

klah

oma

Uta

hDe

law

are

New

Mex

ico

Penn

sylv

ania

Alab

ama

Texa

sIn

dian

aW

iscon

sinN

evad

aKe

ntuc

kySo

uth

Caro

lina

Miss

issip

piAr

kans

asTe

nnes

see

Loui

siana

Wes

t Virg

inia

National Average = 65%

12

Presenter

Presentation Notes

This data includes high quality credentials such as community college welding certificates and CNAs. When adding in other non-credit credentials in Wyoming such as journeymen and EMTs, the required post-secondary is almost 67%. In short, our attainment goal is set at 67%, which is quite accurate for projected need. This does not include the increase in 100,000 jobs that ENDOW proposes, which will further support this target.

Wyoming Metrics Impacting Current and Future Economic Adaptability

• Out-migration and in-migration is flat. Wyoming Out-migration of the under 35 age is 60%. (39th Rank)

• Wyoming’s out-migrating and in-migration cannot solve the attainment gap. Other states are recruiting our young people and we have not been successful in recruiting others to our state.

• Only 27% of the bachelor degree holders in WY are from WY; Only 39% of the associate degree holders in WY are from WY.

• WY has a high percentage of adults 25-64 in the workforce at almost 80%. (18th Rank)

• WY is #2 in income without a post-secondary credential

13Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2016 American Community Survey One-Year Public Use Microdata Sample.

Presenter

Presentation Notes

This is 2016 US Census Bureau data from the 210 American Community Microdata Sample. WY is 39th in out-migration meaning that we have more out-migration and lower in-migration than other states. Only ND and AK in our region more out-migration than in-migration. WY in-migration does not have the same attainment rate as our youth out-migration. CO and ID and other surrounding WICHE states have a positive in-migration of post-secondary credentialed adults. The vast majority of working aged adults are in the workplace at almost 80%, which is in the top 20 of states. However, WY is #2 in income without a post-secondary credential. This may seem positive on the surface, but has mid-term and long-term negative consequences.

Source: ITIF 2017 States New Economy Index

2017 State New Economy Index – Overall Index Scores

96.6

84.7

84.5

81.7

80.4

78.9

78.3

77.6

77.3

76.4

74.5

72.6

71.4

71.4

70.6

69.2

67.5

66.8

66.8

66.7

66.5

65.6

64.4

62.7

62.7

61.3

60.4

59.9

59 58.5

57.5

57.4

56.9

55.9

55.8

55.3

55.2

54.8

51.8

50.5

50.1

49.5

49.5

49.1

48.2

47.9

47.6

47.1

44.1

42.8

37.9

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

Mas

sach

uset

tsCa

lifor

nia

Was

hing

ton

Virg

inia

Dela

war

eM

aryl

and

Colo

rado

New

Jers

eyU

tah

Conn

ectic

utN

ew Y

ork

Min

neso

taO

rego

nN

ew H

amps

hire

Mic

higa

nIll

inoi

sTe

xas

Verm

ont

Geo

rgia

Rhod

e Is

land

Arizo

naN

orth

Car

olin

aPe

nnys

lvan

iaFl

orid

aU

S Av

erag

eO

hio

Wisc

onsin

Neb

rask

aM

issou

riId

aho

Kans

asN

evad

aTe

nnes

see

Indi

ana

New

Mex

ico

Sout

h Ca

rolin

aM

aine

Iow

aN

orth

Dak

ota

Kent

ucky

Haw

aii

Sout

h Da

kota

Alas

kaM

onta

naAl

abam

aO

kalh

oma

Loui

siana

Wyo

min

gW

est V

irgin

iaAr

kans

asM

ississ

ippi

14

Presenter

Presentation Notes

It is well accepted that we are in the midst of a disruptive economy where work is dramatically shifting. The New Economy Index has been accurate since 1999. Those states that are doing well and emerging with an adaptive economy are those that have been investing in higher education attainment and new economy markets. It is also well documented that new economy markets are generated primarily from bachelors level attainment and higher. The index indexes 25 indicators in 5 categories of: Knowledge Jobs, Globalization, Economic Dynamism, Digital Economy, and Innovation Capacity. Wyoming is ranked 47 out of 50 states and has moved lower by two in only 4 years (index is out of 100). Only WV, AR, and MS are below WY.

Wyoming Rankings in the New Economy Index, 2017

Source: ITIF, The 2017 State new Economy Index,

505050

49484848

474747

4645

4444

4341

4030

2621

1817

1312

93

Information Technology JobsHigh-Wage Traded ServicesIndustry Investment in R&D

Non-Industry Investment in R&DManagerial, Professional, and…

Manufacturing Value AddedHigh-Tech Jobs

OverallFast-Growing Firms

E-GovernmentScientists and EngineersInternal Migration of US…

Export Focus of ManufacturingBroadband Telecommunications

Venture CapitalInitial Public Offerings

Foreign Direct InvestmentWorkforce Education

Inventor PatentsHigh-Tech Exports

Movement Toward a Green…Health IT

Business ChurningPatents

Online AgricultureImmigration of Knowledge…

Presenter

Presentation Notes

Wyoming’s ranking in key New Economy Indices for disruptive economy adaptability. As a state we are well poised for Movement toward online agriculture ranking #9, but we are 48th in Manufacturing Value Added and 50th in IT. The full report can be found as an open document at ITIF.org.

Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates, 2016; NCES, IPEDS Fall 2016 Residency and Migration File; ef2016c Provisional Release Data File. Note: Actual high school graduate numbers for 2016 not available from NCES Common Core of Data. WICHE High School Graduate Projections for 2016 substituted.

Percent of High School Graduates Directly Out of High School Going Directly to College, 2016

16

78%

74%

73%

71%

71%

71%

70%

70%

70%

69%

68%

68%

68%

66%

66%

65%

65%

65%

65%

65%

64%

64%

63%

63%

63%

63%

62%

62%

62%

62%

62%

61%

61%

60%

60%

59%

59%

59%

58%

58%

57%

56%

56%

55%

54%

53%

51%

49%

47%

44%

44%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

Miss

issip

piCo

nnec

ticut

Mas

sach

uset

tsN

ew Y

ork

New

Jers

eyLo

uisia

naDe

law

are

Min

neso

taTe

nnes

see

New

Mex

ico

Sout

h Ca

rolin

aSo

uth

Dako

taVi

rgin

iaAl

abam

aIo

wa

Nor

th D

akot

aG

eorg

iaM

aryl

and

Neb

rask

aKa

nsas

Mic

higa

nN

orth

Car

olin

aIll

inoi

sCa

lifor

nia

Nat

ion

Arka

nsas

Penn

sylv

ania

Rhod

e Is

land

Flor

ida

Ohi

oHa

wai

iIn

dian

aN

ew H

amps

hire

Colo

rado

Kent

ucky

Okl

ahom

aW

iscon

sinM

issou

riW

est V

irgin

iaTe

xas

Mai

neW

yom

ing

Nev

ada

Mon

tana

Arizo

naVe

rmon

tW

ashi

ngto

nO

rego

nU

tah

Idah

oAl

aska

Presenter

Presentation Notes

When you add to this that WY has a high HS graduation rate, but we have slipped in HS graduates matriculating to college. This includes ANY college awarding a post-secondary credential and includes in-state and out-of-state. WY is one of only 3 states where the percentage of students going from HS to college after graduation has gone DOWN. We are currently at 56%, which is DOWN from 2010 at 64%. The rest of the states have been increasing the overall percentage.

Wyoming FACTS by the Numbers

• Working population in Wyoming is approximately 310,000 and only 148,000 hold a post-secondary credential

• To meet the attainment goals, Wyoming would need to increase the number of credentials by 60,000 by 2025

• Wyoming HS only graduate about 5,400 students per year with only 3,100 going on to post-secondary

• WY ranks #2 in income without a higher education credential indicating that it will be one of the most likely negatively impacted states in a disruptive economy with higher displaced workers

17

Wyoming and Educational Attainment

18

• The number of higher education credentials needed for the economy by 2025 notably exceeds the number of students even attempting to obtain such a credential currently

• Wyoming currently has 52.5% or 162,000 adults ages 25-64 who have NOT obtained a post-secondary credential

• Estimated 87,500 adults in Wyoming or 28% of Wyoming’s population ages 25-64 have some college, but no degree

• Serving the adult population through attainment of a certificate or degree will have ripple effects for long-term higher education attainment

• Partnering with business and industry will be critical to Wyoming’s ability to meet the goals and be prepared for a New Economy

Presenter

Presentation Notes

Currently, there are about 30,000 credit students enrolled in the community colleges. Not all of those are seeking a credential. Additionally, UW currently has about 10,000 students in undergraduate programs working toward a bachelors. Other combined post-secondary programs in the state that award an industry recognized credential is estimated at less than 2,000 (This value needs to be verified, which is part of the work of the Educational Attainment Executive Council.) This must be more than a numbers game to reach an attainment goal. The goal is set for a purpose and the data indicates that it is a fairly accurate estimate. This effort must be more than identifying what would could “count” as a credential, but rather how do we achieve credentials that will support the state’s ability to adapt and thrive economically. Examples of what not to use “CPR certificate” while required for certain positions, the certificate is not what leads to a career and living wage. However, a journeymen electrician credential does lead to a career and a livable wage AND career adaptability over time.

Forum Discussion with Regional Area

– How do we create a stronger college-going culture for our k12? How do we do that for our adult populations? Business owners?

– Why is Wyoming having a challenge with attainment? What is creating the dynamic in this region?

– What ideas or solutions might we explore or implement to create a college-going and college completion culture in:

– K12?– Adults?– Businesses?

– What do we need to consider in the 5-year and 10-year educational master plans?

19

Presenter

Presentation Notes

The exact same questions. Let them know that you want to here from them. This is about Wyoming and how we proceed together. They can also write on their agendas and return to you tonight. They can keep them and return to the email address. They can also submit any comments they would like via [email protected].

Contact email for feedback

• If anyone would like to respond to the questions via email or if they would like to provide any other comments on this topic, please do so:

– [email protected]

20

Next Steps

• Review all the information

• Compile the information for the February Educational Attainment Executive Council and WICHE meeting

• Information will be available on the Wyoming Community College Commission website: communitycolleges.wy.edu

• Develop 5-year and 10-year Educational Master Plans to achieve the attainment goals November 2019

21

Presenter

Presentation Notes

Regular reports will be made at the WCCC commission meetings, ENDOW Council, and other public forums to ensure the public is kept up to speed with the progress and to ensure that the work is in alignment with the expectations of the Governor and ENDOW.

THANK YOU!!

• On behalf of the Educational Attainment Executive Council and the WICHE Attainment Taskforce,

• THANK YOU for coming and sharing your thoughts and ideas. Together we will chart Wyoming’s directions!

» [email protected]

22

Date post:	26-Jul-2020
Category:	Documents
Upload:	others
View:	0 times
Download:	0 times

Statewide Listening Session Higher Education Educational ... · Economic Imperative • The #1...

Documents