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Statistics- Quality Control Recognizing and Managing Variation

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    Slide

    18-1

    2/10/2012

    Chapter 18

    Quality Control: Recognizing and

    Managing Variation

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    Slide

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    2/10/2012

    Processes Control

    Process

    Any business activity transforms inputs into outputs

    e.g., manufacturing products

    e.g., restaurant meals

    e.g., information processing

    Statistical Process Control

    Use of statistical methods to monitor the functioning of

    a process Fix when necessary, otherwise leave it alone!

    Detect problems and fix them before defects are produced

    Variation is due to different causes

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    Causes of Variation

    Assignable Cause of Variation

    Due to identifiable causes, e.g.

    Dust contamination

    Incomplete training of workers

    Random Cause of Variation

    Due to causes not worth identifying, e.g.

    Even a process that is in control and working properly still

    shows some variation in its results

    Perhaps there is no reason to ensure that each cookie has the

    exactsame number of chocolate chips in it, so long as there are

    enough!

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    In Control

    A Process is In a StateofStatisticalControl(or,

    Simply, In Control)

    When all assignable causes of variation have been

    identified and eliminated

    Only random causes of variation remain

    What to do with a Process that is In Control?

    Monitor it with control charts Leave it alone, so long as it stays in control

    Fix it when it goes outofcontrol

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    The Pareto Diagram

    Pareto Diagram Shows Where to Focus Attention

    For a group of defective components

    Each defect is classified according to its cause

    Pareto Diagram displays the causes in order from mostfrequent to least frequent

    Also shows the cumulativepercentage of defects (e.g., due to

    the top 3 causes)

    Pareto Diagram includes a bar chart, showing the

    number of defects due to each cause, most to least

    Together with their cumulative sum

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    Example: Pareto Diagram

    Defect Causes and FrequenciesSolder joint: 37 defects, Plastic case: 86 defects,

    Power supply: 194 defects, Dirt: 8 defects, Shock: 1 defect

    0

    100

    200

    300 97.2%

    59.5%

    85.9%

    100%

    Power

    supply

    Plastic

    case

    Solder

    joint

    Dirt ShockNumbero

    fdefectiveitems

    Percentofdefectiveitems

    Fig 18.1.1

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    Control Chart

    Displays successive measurements of a process,

    together with

    Center line

    Control limits (upper and lower)

    To Help You Decide if the Process is In Control

    A hypothesis test

    H0: The process is in control

    H1: The process is notin control

    Thefalse alarmrate (type I error) How often will you intervene when the system is really OK?

    The 5% level is too high

    In quality control, 3W limits are often used (as compared to 2W)

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    AProcess that is In Control

    IfProcess is In Control,

    Control chart stays within the control limits

    Variation within the control limits is to be expected

    Variation should be random, without systematic patterns

    0 5 10 15 20 25

    Group Number

    Meas

    urement Upper control limit

    Lower control limit

    Center line

    Data

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    AProcess that is NotIn Control

    If Control Chart Extends Beyond a Control Limit

    Or if there is a systematic pattern within the limits

    Then the Process is NotIn Control

    0 5 10 15 20 25

    Group Number

    Meas

    urement

    0 5 10 15 20 25

    Group Number

    Meas

    urement

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    X-Bar Chart

    A Control Chart for Averages ofSuccessive

    Measurements

    Tells you about the stability of thesize of measurement

    Often taken in groups of4 or5 at a time Control Chart plots the averages of successive groups

    Center line is the grand mean of all measurements

    Unless an externalstandard is given

    Upper and lower limits are found using multipliers

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    R Chart

    A Control Chart for Ranges ofSuccessive

    Measurements

    Tells you about stability of the variability of process

    Range is largest minus smallest

    Often taken in groups of4 or5 at a time

    Control Chart plots the ranges of successive groups

    Center line is the mean range for all groups

    Unless an external standard is given

    Upper and lower limits are found using multipliers

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    Example: Weight of Detergent

    25 Groups of

    5 measurements

    each

    Find averageand range

    for each group

    Plot with

    center line andcontrol limits

    Its In Control!

    15.8

    15.9

    16.0

    16.1

    16.2

    16.3

    16.4

    0 10 20 30Group Number

    Averages

    0.00.10.20.30.4

    0.50.60.7

    0 10 20 30Group Number

    Ranges

    Fig 18.3.1

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    Percentage Chart

    A Control Chart for the Percent Defective

    Tells you about the stability of the defectrate

    Plot the percent defective for successive samples

    How to choose n, the sample size?

    You should expect at least 5defective items in a sample

    Center line is the average defect rate

    Unless an externalstandard is given

    Upper and lower limits are set at 3binomial standard

    deviations above and below the center line

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    Example: Purchase Order Errors

    25batches ofn = 300purchase orders each

    Find percent defective for each batch

    Plot with center line and control limits

    Its not in control

    0%

    5%

    10%

    0 10 20

    Group Number

    Percentofpurchase

    orders

    inerror

    Fig 18.4.1


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