STRATEGIC AND TACTICAL CHALLENGES FOR WATER MANAGEMENT IN THE CHESAPEAKE BAY WATERSHED Douglas Beegle, Distinguished Professor of Agronomy
Dept. of Plant Science
Penn State University
Chesapeake Bay Health
Chesapeake Bay Program
Ag Nutrient Management for Environmental Protection in the Chesapeake Bay
• What is causing the problem?
– Tactical - Management • Mismanagement
– Environmental – Economic
» Assumption: Economics should solve the problem . . . but that’s not happening?
• On the farm focus • Regulations • Education
– Strategic - Systemic • Economics are driving the problem,
not the solution • Structure of agricultural systems • Regional nutrient imbalance • Beyond the farm focus
• Solutions must address both strategic and tactical issues
Traditional Animal Ag Nutrient Flows
Crops
Local Animals
Soil
¼
¾
Manure
Fertilizer
$
In 1881 the PA
Supreme Court
ruled that manure
was part of the
“realty” of the
farm.
Why is there a pollution problem with nutrients?
• Prior to WW II, most farms relatively feed self-sufficient traditional farms – Main source of N was legumes and manure
• Nitrate plants built for explosives in WW II – Converted to fertilizer production after the war
– Enabled grain production on farms without animal manure and legumes to supply N
• Facilitated specialization – Specialization
• Farms in the “corn belt” grew corn
• Farms in places like PA fed that corn to animals
– Concentration of ag industries
$
Contemporary Animal Ag Nutrient Flow
Soil
Crops
Feed mill
$
- $
¼
-$
Animals
¾
Manure ? ? ?
Global
Externality $?
(~ $900 M/yr) Shortle, et al, 2013
Nutrient Imbalance
Maguire et al., 2007
Bay Watershed Model
• PA Nutrient Management Act
• PA Clean Streams Law
• Federal Clean Water Act: AFO/CAFO
• Chesapeake Bay TMDL
• Bay Watershed Model
All focus on changing on-farm management!
On-farm management has been at the core of Bay restoration efforts
Progress in the Chesapeake Bay
• BMP based programs – Significant progress. . . But
not enough progress
– Relatively low hanging fruit
– Progress may be slowing
– Economic of going forward with this same approach are not sustainable
• Strategic approaches – Real progress requires
strategic approaches that address the fundamental underlying systemic problem
• Nutrient Imbalance
– Internalize the environmental costs
Chesapeake Bay Program
Strategic Conflict Between Economic Production and the Environmental Protection
Social Pressure
Non-Market Env.
Outputs
Adapted from Lanyon, 2000
Food
Economic Forces
Market
Current Policy
Response
BM
Ps
Economic externality!
Some Public
Funding
Farm
Production
Decisions
$
Contemporary Animal Ag Nutrient Flow
Soil
Crops
Feed mill
$
- $
¼
-$
Animals
¾
Manure ? ? ?
Global
Externality $?
(~ $900 M/yr) Shortle, et al, 2013
Env.
Strategic Solution to Food Production and the Environment
Production
Decisons
Economic Power Economic/Social Signals
Adapted from Lanyon, 2000
Market BMPs
We need to internalize the environmental
costs of food production . . . Somehow?
Food
Outputs
Contemporary Animal Ag Nutrient Flow
Soil
Crops
Feed mill
Global
¼
Externality $?
Animals
¾
Manure ? ? ?
$
Addressing the Real Solution to the Nutrient Management Problem?
• This is not an just agricultural issue it is a food issue
Producing food in a way that causes less pollution is more expensive . . . How are we going to pay that cost?
• Will require changes and restructuring in our food systems – In government policy – On the farm – In the home/grocery store
• Nutrient management is a complex socioeconomic/environmental problem within a complex ecosystem – Limited Resources
• Balance Idealism & Realism • Cost/benefits - Targeting
– Understand variability and uncertainty – Continued emphasis on science and education
• More emphasis strategic issues
Summary • Understand and address both the systemic and management issues
• Major progress has been made in many segments of the food production system resulting in significant improvements in water quality
– Improved agronomic efficiency
– Improved animal production efficiency
– Improved nutrient management systems
• Integrate nutrient management into systems focusing on outcomes not activities
– Set the objectives and give managers the freedom to come up with solutions
– Encourage individual innovation
– Don’t dictate practices, especially one size fits all prescriptions
• Greater emphasis on solutions to the systemic issues
– Relieve the strategic conflict between production and the environment
– Encourage public and private strategic innovation
Douglas Beegle
Pennsylvania Nutrient Management Program
http://panutrientmgmt.cas.psu.edu
Penn State Extension Crop Management Team
http://cmeg.psu.edu
Penn State Extension
http://extension.psu.edu