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STRATEGIC UPDATE PRESENTED BY Paula Gold-Williams, President & CEO March 6, 2018 Informational Update 1
Transcript
Page 1: STRATEGIC UPDATE - CPS Energy · watts of energy MWh Megawatt hour Unit for measuring power that is equivalent to one million watts; equal to 1,000 kilowatt hours (Kwh) PPA Purchase

STRATEGIC UPDATE

PRESENTED BYPaula Gold-Wil l iams,

Pres ident & CEO

March 6, 2018

I n f o r m a t i o n a l U pda t e

1

Page 2: STRATEGIC UPDATE - CPS Energy · watts of energy MWh Megawatt hour Unit for measuring power that is equivalent to one million watts; equal to 1,000 kilowatt hours (Kwh) PPA Purchase

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AGENDA

PART 1: THOUGHT LEADERSHIP / FLEXIBLE PATH

PART 2: POTENTIAL SOLAR OPTION FOR COSA

Page 3: STRATEGIC UPDATE - CPS Energy · watts of energy MWh Megawatt hour Unit for measuring power that is equivalent to one million watts; equal to 1,000 kilowatt hours (Kwh) PPA Purchase

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WE HAD:

• Great External Speakers

• Updates from our Sr. Chiefs

• City & State Congressional Guests

• Social Media

• PRESS CONFERENCE on Smart City

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4

2ND ANNUAL FUTURE OF ENERGY SYMPOSIUM

Paula Gold-Williams kicked off the 2nd Annual Future of Energy Symposium Dr. Cris Eugster hosted a panel on

energy & its foundational role for our smart city with guests Dr. Massoud Amin and Clint Vince

Mayor Ron Nirenberg discussed our path for moving our city forward, thru focuses on climate, renewables & other emerging topics.

Page 5: STRATEGIC UPDATE - CPS Energy · watts of energy MWh Megawatt hour Unit for measuring power that is equivalent to one million watts; equal to 1,000 kilowatt hours (Kwh) PPA Purchase

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2ND ANNUAL FUTURE OF ENERGY SYMPOSIUM

Dr. Cavanagh explained how federal policy on home appliances has supported energy conservation. Then he & I discussed how gas is an important value proposition for SA.

“FELECIA TALKS:” Our Chief Customer Engagement Officer (CCEO) explained how the voice of the customer was anchoring our path forward.

Page 6: STRATEGIC UPDATE - CPS Energy · watts of energy MWh Megawatt hour Unit for measuring power that is equivalent to one million watts; equal to 1,000 kilowatt hours (Kwh) PPA Purchase

Now: Renewables and Traditional Generation

Future: Renewables and Energy Storage

DEVELOPING A FLEXIBLE FUTURE

Traditional power plants play an important role in firming up renewables until energy storage reaches utility scale

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Currently not economical.

Page 7: STRATEGIC UPDATE - CPS Energy · watts of energy MWh Megawatt hour Unit for measuring power that is equivalent to one million watts; equal to 1,000 kilowatt hours (Kwh) PPA Purchase

WHY FLEXIBLE?

• Predictable customer load

• Predictable customer growth

• Consistent generation levels

Traditional(Historical)

40+ Year Baseload Assets

Traditional Power Plants

Flexible(Future)

• Energy Efficiency

o Equipment using less energy

o Declining use per customer

• More Potential for Renewables

o Intermittency in generation

o Renewables serving off-peak hours

• New technologies on the horizon

Need Ability to AdaptFlexible Generation Path

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Page 8: STRATEGIC UPDATE - CPS Energy · watts of energy MWh Megawatt hour Unit for measuring power that is equivalent to one million watts; equal to 1,000 kilowatt hours (Kwh) PPA Purchase

WILL CONSIDER & ASSESS:• Moving up shut down of JK Spruce 1 to 2030 from 2047

• Removing the JK Spruce 1 coal unit SCR* from business plan & budget• Extending life of Combined Cycle plants (AVR & Rio Nogales) additional 8 years• Adding 4,100 MW of renewables by 2040 (in addition to current 1,600 = 5,700

MW)• Adding 550 MW of battery storage (duration increased from 1 to 4 hours

discharge)

• Including Flexible Generation build in smaller increments to fill remaining load forecast gap– MAJOR CONSIDERATION: “Price to Beat” based on Natural Gas Combined Cycle (NGCC) - $

per MWh & capacity factor

FLEX PLAN KEY ASSUMPTIONS

The Flexible Generation Path allows for updates in strategic direction as technologies & customer needs change

* Selective Catalytic Reduction (Reduces NOx)8

Page 9: STRATEGIC UPDATE - CPS Energy · watts of energy MWh Megawatt hour Unit for measuring power that is equivalent to one million watts; equal to 1,000 kilowatt hours (Kwh) PPA Purchase

14% 11% 9%

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2018Traditional

2040Traditional

2040Flexible Plan

Nameplate Mix

Storage/TechRenewablesFlex GenGasCoalNuclear

FLEXIBLE PATH STRATEGY - CAPACITY MIX

Natural Gas combined cycle provides the baseline pivot within the Flexible Path Strategy. Will adjust our plan when competing technology provides more benefit.

Under the new Flexible Path Strategy, we have multiple options.

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TWH

CY

Flexible Plan

Nuclear Coal Gas Flex Gen Renewables MrktPurch

FLEXIBLE PATH STRATEGY – ALL GEN MIX (TWh)

A flexible path strategy with renewable and market purchase options.

Market purchases could be renewables.

While we’re not projecting to be long in generation, especially if Distributed Generation materializes, we will ensure that a balanced portfolio approach is maintained.

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Page 11: STRATEGIC UPDATE - CPS Energy · watts of energy MWh Megawatt hour Unit for measuring power that is equivalent to one million watts; equal to 1,000 kilowatt hours (Kwh) PPA Purchase

ELECTRIC VEHICLES (EVs)

• U.S. EV sales are growing, but are only about 1% of total U.S. vehicle sales.

• EV sales are predicted to be over 50% of new car sales by 2040.

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

140,000

160,000

180,000

200,000

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

# o

f EV

Sal

es

U.S. EV Sales

OTHER NEW OPPORTUNITY!

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Page 12: STRATEGIC UPDATE - CPS Energy · watts of energy MWh Megawatt hour Unit for measuring power that is equivalent to one million watts; equal to 1,000 kilowatt hours (Kwh) PPA Purchase

ELECTRIC VEHICLE PILOT NETWORK

146 Charging Stations!

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Page 13: STRATEGIC UPDATE - CPS Energy · watts of energy MWh Megawatt hour Unit for measuring power that is equivalent to one million watts; equal to 1,000 kilowatt hours (Kwh) PPA Purchase

ELECTRIC VEHICLE CHARGING STATION LOCATIONS

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Cit

y &

Co

un

ty • Libraries

• Public Garages

• County Services

• Community College

• Port SA

Edu

cati

on • UTSA

• ACCD

Ad

dit

ion

al L

oca

tio

ns • Hospital &

Medical Clinics

• Grocery Stores & Malls

• Entertainment

• Workplace

Page 14: STRATEGIC UPDATE - CPS Energy · watts of energy MWh Megawatt hour Unit for measuring power that is equivalent to one million watts; equal to 1,000 kilowatt hours (Kwh) PPA Purchase

ELECTRIC VEHICLE CHALLENGES

• Unauthorized commercial EV charging stations are operating in the Greater San Antonio Area, creating the following risks:

• Customers being charged high rates for use of these stations

• Creates potential public and employee safety hazards if the interconnection is not set up properly

• Owners of these stations violate the law by reselling electricity in the area powered by CPS Energy

• CPS Energy is currently developing a framework for installation of charging stations by authorized vendors where they are needed

12

Page 15: STRATEGIC UPDATE - CPS Energy · watts of energy MWh Megawatt hour Unit for measuring power that is equivalent to one million watts; equal to 1,000 kilowatt hours (Kwh) PPA Purchase

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MORE ROOFLESS SOLAR!

• Phase 1 sold out quickly, customer feedback very positive

• Seeking vendor to build up to 5 MW in CPS Energy territory

• Encouraging innovative approaches

RFP responses received February 26, 2018

Target to award contract by June 2018

Page 16: STRATEGIC UPDATE - CPS Energy · watts of energy MWh Megawatt hour Unit for measuring power that is equivalent to one million watts; equal to 1,000 kilowatt hours (Kwh) PPA Purchase

TENTATIVE RFP TIMELINE

2/26 3/6Early April

3/7-3/28

Proposals Due

Minimum RequirementsPre-Screening

Completed

Short List to Steering

Committee

VendorRecommendation

Award Contract

End of April May-June

Technical Evaluation

Short List InterviewsContract

Negotiations

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Page 17: STRATEGIC UPDATE - CPS Energy · watts of energy MWh Megawatt hour Unit for measuring power that is equivalent to one million watts; equal to 1,000 kilowatt hours (Kwh) PPA Purchase

Thank You

Page 18: STRATEGIC UPDATE - CPS Energy · watts of energy MWh Megawatt hour Unit for measuring power that is equivalent to one million watts; equal to 1,000 kilowatt hours (Kwh) PPA Purchase

COSA’S PATHWAY TO 100% RENEWABLES

FOR CITY FACILITIESPRESENTED BY:

Cris Eugster

Chief Operating Officer

March 6, 2018

In fo rmat iona l Update

Page 19: STRATEGIC UPDATE - CPS Energy · watts of energy MWh Megawatt hour Unit for measuring power that is equivalent to one million watts; equal to 1,000 kilowatt hours (Kwh) PPA Purchase

TABLE OF CONTENTS• DIVERSIFICATION & CREATIVITY

• THE VISION AND CAPABILITIES

• COSA’S USAGE

• PATHWAY TO SUCCESS

• GETTING TO 100% RENEWABLE

• NEXT STEPS

2

Page 20: STRATEGIC UPDATE - CPS Energy · watts of energy MWh Megawatt hour Unit for measuring power that is equivalent to one million watts; equal to 1,000 kilowatt hours (Kwh) PPA Purchase

DIVERSIFICATION & CREATIVITYOur strategic strength in energy diversification &its continual focus on being creative positions us to be able to support COSA’s &other local governments’ environmental & climate goals!

3

Page 21: STRATEGIC UPDATE - CPS Energy · watts of energy MWh Megawatt hour Unit for measuring power that is equivalent to one million watts; equal to 1,000 kilowatt hours (Kwh) PPA Purchase

THE VISION

• We are the ideal strategic partner to deliver solutions to meet this goal & achieve a green energy supply for COSA facilities

• We can provide options & flexible approaches with our broad renewable portfolio & programs

4

Page 22: STRATEGIC UPDATE - CPS Energy · watts of energy MWh Megawatt hour Unit for measuring power that is equivalent to one million watts; equal to 1,000 kilowatt hours (Kwh) PPA Purchase

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Solara 110 MW

Pearl 50 MW

Sirius 110 MW

Helios 95 MWEclipse 40 MW

Sinkin 1&2 20 MW

Somerset 11 MW

Alamo 1 40 MW

Alamo 2 - 4.4 MW

Alamo 3 - 5.5 MW

Blue Wing14 MWSweetwater 3 &4

341 MW

Desert Sky 1&2 161 MW

Cedro Hill 150 MW

Los Vientos 200 MW

Penascal 77 MW

Papalote Creek 130 MW

Ivory 50 MW

-Wind Farms

-Solar Farms

Legend:

Community Solar 1 MW

LARGE SOLAR & WIND PORTFOLIO

Residential Solar• 88 MW

homeowner owned

• 5 MW Solar Host installed and in-flight

• 1 MW Community Solar installed

• 5 MW Community Solar RFP

Page 23: STRATEGIC UPDATE - CPS Energy · watts of energy MWh Megawatt hour Unit for measuring power that is equivalent to one million watts; equal to 1,000 kilowatt hours (Kwh) PPA Purchase

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#1 IN SOLAR IN TEXASAlamo 7 Solar Farm 106.4 MW – Haskell, Texas

Alamo 6 Solar Farm 110.2 MW – Pecos County, Texas

CPS Energy has over 500 MW of Solar

Page 24: STRATEGIC UPDATE - CPS Energy · watts of energy MWh Megawatt hour Unit for measuring power that is equivalent to one million watts; equal to 1,000 kilowatt hours (Kwh) PPA Purchase

ADDITIONAL PROGRAMS

7

Energy EfficiencySolar Host & Roofless Solar

WeatherizationElectric Charging

Solar Rebates

Page 25: STRATEGIC UPDATE - CPS Energy · watts of energy MWh Megawatt hour Unit for measuring power that is equivalent to one million watts; equal to 1,000 kilowatt hours (Kwh) PPA Purchase

CURRENT COSA USAGE

• City Facilities: ~1,200

• Annual Average Usage: ~225,000 MWh

• Current Renewable Procurement: ~3,350 MWh• Renewable % of total load: 1.5%

• Includes direct renewable pricing & COSA-owned on-site

• Solar Host participation ~300 kW

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Page 26: STRATEGIC UPDATE - CPS Energy · watts of energy MWh Megawatt hour Unit for measuring power that is equivalent to one million watts; equal to 1,000 kilowatt hours (Kwh) PPA Purchase

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COSA’S PATH TO 100% RENEWABLE/SOLAR

Synthetic New Renewable Generation

• Synthetic• Written Structural

Transactions

There are many pathways to success

Hybrid RenewablesSolarWind

+Traditional Generation

RenewablesSolarWind

+Energy Storage

Short Term Very Long Term

RECs* PPAs**

Physical Assets

Rebated Non-Rebated

* RECs: Renewable Energy Credits** PPAs: Purchased Power Agreements

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10

CPS ENERGY WILL FIRM UP RENEWABLES

NOW: RENEWABLES & TRADITIONAL GEN. FUTURE: RENEWABLES + ENERGY STORAGE

Traditional generation is playing the role of “virtual storage” for renewable energy until energy storage technology scales up.

Page 28: STRATEGIC UPDATE - CPS Energy · watts of energy MWh Megawatt hour Unit for measuring power that is equivalent to one million watts; equal to 1,000 kilowatt hours (Kwh) PPA Purchase

PATHWAY TO SUCCESS

• Utilize CPS Energy Renewable Energy Credits (RECs) tied to our solar & wind farms

• Flexible build out of rooftop solar on COSA facilities supported by solar rebate

• Ability to integrate new technologies & opportunities in the future

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Page 29: STRATEGIC UPDATE - CPS Energy · watts of energy MWh Megawatt hour Unit for measuring power that is equivalent to one million watts; equal to 1,000 kilowatt hours (Kwh) PPA Purchase

Build 3 MW Solar (example)

Upfront Capital Cost

- CPS Energy Rebate

= Net Capital Cost

ROOFTOP SOLAR + CPS ENERGY RECSGETTING TO 100% RENEWABLE IN 2018

CPS Energy RECs(example)

Value of CPS RECs

x 216,500 MWh

= Cost Per Year

e- +

Purchase of RECs added to electric bill 12

Rooftop solar requires capital investment

Page 30: STRATEGIC UPDATE - CPS Energy · watts of energy MWh Megawatt hour Unit for measuring power that is equivalent to one million watts; equal to 1,000 kilowatt hours (Kwh) PPA Purchase

On Site Gen

CPS Energy RECs

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100% RENEWABLE COSA CAN CONTROL THE PROGRAM

CPS Energy RECs

On Site Gen

2018 2018

Small On-Site Buildout Aggressive On-Site Buildout

COSA can be 100% renewable quickly with the ability to scale using the CPS Energy portfolio

2%

15%

98% 85%

2%

100%

98%

or

Page 31: STRATEGIC UPDATE - CPS Energy · watts of energy MWh Megawatt hour Unit for measuring power that is equivalent to one million watts; equal to 1,000 kilowatt hours (Kwh) PPA Purchase

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ROOFTOP SOLAR + RECSFLEXIBLE OPTIONS

Benefits

• RECs are tied to physical CPS Energy solar and wind farms

• Ability to achieve 100% renewable in the short-term

• Blend of on-site generation supplemented with CPS Energy renewable portfolio

• Utility cost savings from solar production to offset the cost of RECS

• Flexibility to slow down or speed up on-site generation based on changing solar panel costs

• Ability to adjust approach at any time

Page 32: STRATEGIC UPDATE - CPS Energy · watts of energy MWh Megawatt hour Unit for measuring power that is equivalent to one million watts; equal to 1,000 kilowatt hours (Kwh) PPA Purchase

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NEXT STEPS

• Meet with COSA about path forward

• Finalize proposal to COSA

• Begin internal process to support transaction

Page 33: STRATEGIC UPDATE - CPS Energy · watts of energy MWh Megawatt hour Unit for measuring power that is equivalent to one million watts; equal to 1,000 kilowatt hours (Kwh) PPA Purchase

Thank You

Page 34: STRATEGIC UPDATE - CPS Energy · watts of energy MWh Megawatt hour Unit for measuring power that is equivalent to one million watts; equal to 1,000 kilowatt hours (Kwh) PPA Purchase

GLOSSARY

17

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18

DEFINITIONS

Acronym Term Definition

MW MegawattA measure of the capability to produce one million watts of energy

MWh Megawatt hourUnit for measuring power that is equivalent to one million watts; equal to 1,000 kilowatt hours (Kwh)

PPAPurchase Power Agreement

A contract between two parties, one who generates electricity and one who purchases the energy

RECRenewable Energy Credit

Tradeable, non-tangible energy commodity representing proof that 1 MWh of electricity was generated from an eligible renewable energy source

SyntheticA virtual PPA where the buyer receives RECs directly from the renewable generator but does not take physical delivery of power.


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