CILT Scottish Region Annual Dinner
27 August 2012
Catherine Weetman
Supply chains for a “One Planet World” economy –
re-thinking and re-design
―the significant problems we have created….
cannot be solved at the same level of thinking we
were at when we created them‖
Albert Einstein
C Weetman | CILT Scotland | Sep 2012 Page 2 one planet world
Catherine Weetman MSc, FCILT > 25 years in manufacturing and logistics
Current Position:
Product Implementation Director, DHL Supply Chain (formerly Exel)
Vice-Chair, Enviroment & Sustainability Forum, Chartered Institute of Logistics
and Transport UK
Education:
MSc Logistics and Distribution, Cranfield University, UK
Career:
DHL Supply Chain (formerly Exel) - Project & Implementation Manager, Retail
Appleton Thorn Limited (now Solving Efeso) - Senior Consultant
Kellogg Company Europe - Distribution Planning Manager, Europe
United Transport Logistics - Project Manager, Commercial Department
Tesco Stores Limited - Project Manager, Distribution Productivity
Warner‘s (UK) Limited - Work Study Engineer
This presentation is a personal viewpoint and does not represent the opinion of Deutsche Post DHL
All logos, trade marks and brand names used belong to the respective owners
C Weetman | CILT Scotland | Sep 2012 Page 3 one planet world
Agenda
?
Re-think Re-
design Demand
supply
Conclusions?
Sustainable = enough, for all, for ever
C Weetman | CILT Scotland | Sep 2012 Page 4 one planet world
We would need 3 planets if the whole world
consumed at the same rate as the UK
The earth is full….
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A growing population
World Population (billions)
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
-10000 -8000 -6000 -4000 -2000 0 2000
Billio
n
World Population (billions)
BC ADAD1
‗Consumers‘ forecast to
increase from 1.8bn to
4.8bn by 2030
Source: US Census International
1.8bn
3bn
World 7,041,584,973
US Census 25 Sep 2012
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The linear economy dominates
Source Richard Crookes http://www.ellenmacarthurfoundation.org/education/publications
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‗Novel‘ compounds
Benefits of the Chemical IndustryGood news for chemists?
Source: Waste as a Future Feedstock, James Clark,
Green Chemistry Centre of Excellence, University of York, UK. www.greenchemistry.net
Or ‗weapons of mass
destruction‘?
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Energy and fossil fuels
Source: Sense & Sustainability, Ken Webster
& Craig Johnson, 2010
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Future history?
Source: Sense & Sustainability, Ken Webster
& Craig Johnson, 2010
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Commodity prices increasing
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Rare earth minerals
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2-4 litres
Daily drinking
Water – a typical person‘s use – global view
Source UN Water
http://www.unwater.org/statistics
_use.html
Source – IGD ‘Embedded Water in Food Production
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
14000
16000
Wheat,1kilogram
Rice, 1kilogram
Beef, 1kilogram
Pint ofbeer
(568ml)
Litre ofmilk
Leathershoes
Cotton t-shirt,
medium
Litres
Water Footprint examples
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Importing our Water Footprint….
Source – Water Footprint Network 2008 Chapagain, A. K. and S. Orr (2008) UK Water Footprint: The impact of the UK's food and fibre consumption on global water resources, Vol 1
UK average consumption
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
Litres per day
Lit
res p
er
day
Household use Crops & LivestockOther products
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Food affordability is a growing problem
Source: UN Food & Agriculture Organisation
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Oil based
Water intensive
Chemical run-off
Chemical residues
Soil degradation
Disease
Waste
The ‗Green Revolution‘
―Environmental degradation due to unsustainable human
practices and activities now seriously endangers the entire
production platform of the planet.‖
Source: UNEP Rapid Response Assessment – The Environmental
Food Crisis
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We would need 3 planets if the whole world
consumed at the same rate as the UK
The earth is full….
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Easter Island
De-forestation
Over-hunting Over-harvesting
Climate change
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The Millennium Ecosystem Assessment…..
‗At the heart of this assessment is a stark warning.
Human activity is putting such strain on the natural
functions of Earth that the ability of the planet’s
ecosystems to sustain future generations can no longer
be taken for granted.
The provision of food, fresh water, energy, and materials to a
growing population has come at considerable cost to the complex
systems of plants, animals, and biological processes that make the
planet habitable.‘ Millennium Ecosystem Assessment, Living Beyond Our Means: Natural Assets and
Human Well-being, Statement from the Board. www.maweb.org
Millenium Ecosystem Assessment – 1300 scientists and experts from 95 countries
Commissioned by the United Nations. Report commenced 2001, published 2005
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Source: Ellen MacArthur Foundation – Richard Crookes drawings
?
Re-think Re-
design Demand
supply
Conclusions?
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Triple constraints
Cost
Population
Resources
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Agenda
?
Re-think Re-
design Demand
supply
Conclusions?
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Business models emerging
Mass customisation Shared ownership Dematerialisation
Biomimicry Natural capital Cradle to cradle Zero waste
Up-cycling Additive Manufacturing Feebates Eco-design
Closed Loop 3D printing Recycling
Design for Disassembly Collaborative consumption
Re-distribution Bio-capacity investment
Product:Service systems Mass customisation
Local ownership Re-use Biodegradable PSS
D4D Community Shared Agriculture Time banks
TEEB The Economics of Ecology and Biodiversity Re-manufacturing
Cooperatives Open Sourcing Integrated Renewable Energy
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Waste Hierarchy
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From ―take, make, waste‖ to closed loop
Enable easy separation of biological nutrients
(natural fibres, wood, food etc) from technical
nutrients (metals, minerals, plastics) at the end of
the product life – with as little energy as possible
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Cradle to cradle example – Desso carpets
Technical cycle
Biological cycle
Source: www.desso.com Cradle to Cradle® brochure
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Ford
Towards a “harmless” car?
―….. C2C (Cradle to Cradle) and Ford were back under the spotlight once more as the
company unveiled its ―Model U‖ concept car, having carried out an extensive research
and development campaign with the help of MBDC. Sourcing existing materials to prove
the feasibility of the idea, the team came up with a vehicle powered by a hydrogen
engine and including Milliken & Co. polyester upholstery fabric, a ―technical nutrient‖
made from chemicals chosen for their human and environmental health qualities, and
capable of perpetual recycling.
The car top is made from a
potential “biological nutrient,‖ a
corn-based biopolymer from Cargill
Dow that can be composted after use.
Source: http://media.ford.com/article_display.cfm?article_id=14047
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Waste Hierarchy
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Additive Layer Manufacturing / 3D Printing
"It's new materials, it's new design
processes, it's a new way of looking
at manufacturing,"
Ian Risk, Head of Innovation Works at
EADS, UK. Source BBC.co.uk
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Product Service Systems
Product Oriented PSS - ownership of the product is transferred to the
consumer and additional services, eg maintenance contracts, are provided.
Result Oriented PSS - products are replaced by services, eg, voicemail
replacing answering machines
Use Oriented PSS - ownership is retained by the service provider, who
sells the functions of the product, via sharing, pooling, and leasing,
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Waste Hierarchy
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Re-distribution
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Waste Hierarchy
Sense & Sustainability, Ken Webster and Craig Johnson, 2010
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ReEntry® 2.0
Upcycling and Remanufacturing
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The future will be unimaginable!
Mass customisation Shared ownership
Biomimicry Natural capital Cradle to cradle Zero waste
Up-cycling Additive Manufacturing Feebates
Closed Loop 3D printing Recycling
Design for Disassembly Collaborative consumption
Re-distribution Bio-capacity investment
Product:Service systems Time banks
Local ownership Re-use Biodegradable PSS
D4D Community Shared Agriculture
TEEB Integrated Renewable Energy Re-manufacturing
Cooperatives The Economics of Ecology and Biodiversity Open Sourcing
"I think there is a world market for maybe 5 computers."
- Thomas Watson, chairman of IBM, 1943
"There is no reason anyone would want a computer in their home."
- Ken Olson, president, chairman and founder of DEC
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Agenda
?
Re-think Re-
design Demand
supply
Conclusions?
C Weetman | CILT Scotland | Sept 2012 Page 36 one planet world
Conclusion
―EVERY FEW hundred years in Western history there occurs a sharp
transformation. Within a few short decades, society--its world view, its basic
values, its social and political structure, its arts, its key institutions—rearranges
itself. Fifty years later there is a new world. And the people born then cannot
even imagine the world in which their grandparents lived and into which their
own parents were born.‖
Peter F Drucker, The Post-Capitalist World, Harvard Business Review 1992
―Whatever you do will be insignificant, but it is very
important that you do it‖
Mahatma Gandhi
one planet world
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Linking up….
CILT Environment and Sustainability Forum on LinkedIn