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Sponsored by Supply on demand Adapting to change in consumption and delivery models A report from the Economist Intelligence Unit
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Sponsored by

Supply on demand Adapting to change

in consumptionand delivery models

A report from the Economist Intelligence Unit

© The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 20131

Supply on demand Adapting to change in consumption and delivery models

About the report 2

Executive summary 3

Consumers want convenience and value, and they want it now 5

Reasons to be cheerful 7

What is cheap, reliable and everywhere? 11

Growing pains 14

Conclusion 16

Appendix: survey results 17

Contents

1

2

3

4

5

© The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 20132

Supply on demand Adapting to change in consumption and delivery models

About the report

Supply on demand: Adapting to change in consumption and delivery models is an Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU) report sponsored by Zuora. It delves into the shifting attitudes among business executives towards new consumption and delivery models, the drivers of change, and how companies are adapting to accommodate the trend.

To shed light on this topic, the EIU surveyed 293 business executives in July-August 2013. Nearly two-fifths of the survey sample (39%) are based in the US, 31% in the UK and 30% in Australia. They hail from 18 sectors, with financial services, professional services, technology, and healthcare, pharmaceuticals and biotechnology especially prominent in the sample. The respondents are relatively senior—61% hold C-suite positions—and they work in organisations of different sizes, with 54% posting annual revenue of US$500m or more.

To complement the survey findings, the EIU also conducted in-depth interviews with senior executives and industry experts. We would like to thank all survey respondents, as well as the following executives (listed alphabetically) for their time and insights:

l Thomas Amos, co-founder, Sidekicker

l Giles Andrews, CEO, Zopa

l James Beshara, founder, Crowdtilt

l John Compton, manager, Streetclub by B&Q (Kingfisher)

l Chris Fletcher, research director, Gartner

l Saar Gillai, senior VP and general manager, HP Converged Cloud

l Ed Lee, mayor, San Francisco

l Ann Mack, director of Trendspotting, JWT Worldwide

l Paul Marsden, consumer psychologist

l John Mewett, marketing director, Screwfix (Kingfisher)

l Mark Norman, CEO, Zipcar (Avis)

l Aleyn Smith-Gillespie, associate director, Carbon Trust Advisory Services

The report was written by Sarah Fister Gale and edited by Zoe Tabary of the Economist Intelligence Unit.

© The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 20133

Supply on demand Adapting to change in consumption and delivery models

Under the impact of advances in technology, economic pressures and shifting cultural norms, consumers are looking for cheaper goods and more convenient ways of accessing them. New models of personal ownership are gaining attention in many industries based on the idea that people are increasingly interested in consuming and paying for temporary or limited access to goods and services, rather than purchasing them outright.

Judging by this Economist Intelligence Unit survey, businesses are responding by changing how they price and deliver goods and services, with subscription-based models in which companies offer ongoing access to a product or service for a periodic fee; rental models that give consumers temporary use of a product or service; and sharing models that allow groups of people to jointly share ownership of a product or service among the preferred options.

Advances in technology are enabling this trend, both by giving consumers greater insight into where and how they can access products and services, and by allowing businesses to rapidly ramp up new sales models at relatively low costs.

Businesses believe that these new models will enable new revenue opportunities, better differentiation from competitors, and access to new customer segments. They will also create new

opportunities for businesses to engage with customers on a more regular basis and foster stronger relationships.

For consumers, reduced transaction costs and more convenient use of goods and services should be the biggest benefits. But adapting to these new consumption and delivery trends will not be easy, and they will not impact every product or business in the same way. Financial constraints, technological complexity, shifting regulations and the need for new marketing strategies and extensive change management are just a few of the challenges that companies must address to succeed in this transition.

The key findings of this research include the following:

A majority of businesses are changing the way they price and deliver their goods and services. Four-fifths of respondents see changes in how their customers access goods and services. For individuals, subscriptions and rental options are the most appealing consumption models to emerge from this trend. As a result, over one-half of companies (51%) are changing, or are in the process of changing, how they price and deliver their goods and services. The biggest change is the introduction of subscription options for goods and services (implemented by 40% of companies),

Executive summary

© The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 20134

Supply on demand Adapting to change in consumption and delivery models

followed by the enabling of sharing models (27%).

The revenue impact is still relatively small, but is expected to grow steadily. More than one-half of the companies surveyed report that these new delivery models represent 10% or less of their annual revenue, and 12% say that they represent more than 50% of revenue. However, 84% of respondents anticipate that the share of revenue will change “somewhat” or “significantly” over the next two years.

Technology is proving a powerful enabler of new consumption and delivery models. “Any area where you’ve got fairly expensive goods that customers don’t feel like they have to own, and enabling technology that allows them to easily use them, will be open to transitions in business models,” says Aleyn Smith-Gillespie, associate director at Carbon Trust Advisory Services.

Consumers benefit from cheaper, more convenient products, while businesses generate new revenue streams. “Consumers are getting accustomed to pay-as-you-go models, and they like that flexibility. They can instantly get all the capabilities without paying up-front for the cap-ex,

and they have better control over their spend,” points out Saar Gillai, senior VP and general manager at HP. For businesses, the leading benefits are access to new revenue opportunities (37%), differentiation from competitors (27%), and accessing new customer segments (27%).

Cost, technical complexity and regulation may hamper the implementation of new consumption and delivery models. Internal co-ordination (selected by 33% of respondents), technical complexities (30%) and compliance regarding data privacy and protection (27%) are viewed as the key difficulties in implementing these new delivery models. Regulatory hurdles can also be a stumbling block for lean start-ups, according to experts.

Each company faces a different set of circumstances, but there are some common elements all should think about, say executives interviewed in this report. Backing new delivery models with a strong business case, developing a seamless user experience, working with regulators and monitoring corporate reputation are some of the specific areas which new delivery models need to encompass.

© The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 20135

Supply on demand Adapting to change in consumption and delivery models

Consumers’ desire to own high-value goods, such as cars and apartments, is being trumped by their interest in finding cheaper, more convenient options to use them. In an increasingly cost-conscious world, the benefits of temporary just-in-time access to products and services—without the cost and hassle of ownership—are becoming more appealing.

At the same time, the explosion of social media and mobile devices, as well as the growth of cloud computing, are dramatically increasing the speed with which information is reaching consumers and facilitating their access to goods and services.

“It’s a chicken and egg scenario,” says Chris Fletcher, the research director of enterprise applications at Gartner, a US-based IT research

and advisory company. “Consumers are demanding new types of services, and technology innovations are enabling those services.”

Executives today are keenly aware of this transition. Fully 83% of survey respondents agree that consumers in general are changing how they prefer to obtain access to goods and services, and 80% are seeing these changes in their own customers.

Subscribe, rent, share

For individuals, subscriptions and rental options are seen as the most appealing consumption models to emerge from this trend. Asked about their preferences as consumers, 38% of executives say they increasingly prefer to access goods and services via subscription rather than purchase them

Consumers want convenience and value, and they want it now1

Q

Note: Figures do not add to 100% as respondents were able to select more than one option. Source: Economist Intelligence Unit.

What do you see as the main benefits to consumers from new consumption models? (% respondents)

Reduced transaction costs

More convenient use of goods and services

Easier to upgrade or downgrade products and services

Reduced amount of waste from underused assets

More convenient payment for goods and services

Greater personalisation of products and services

Ability of consumers to act as product and service providers themselves

Ability to connect with a like-minded community of users

Other

Don’t know

36% 34% 33% 27% 20% 16% 9% 7% 3% 1%

Chart 1

© The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 20136

Supply on demand Adapting to change in consumption and delivery models

outright, and 26% prefer to rent. The models they prefer shift somewhat based on their location. US executives are the most interested in subscription options (42%), compared with just 31% of their UK counterparts; and twice as many UK as Australian respondents prefer to share ownership of goods and services.

These changing preferences are not surprising, says Aleyn Smith-Gillespie, associate director at Carbon Trust Advisory Services, a consultancy offering expertise on sustainable business strategy and models. “If you can add value to the customer, if you can reduce their cost and make things more convenient for them, then these models can work.”

He anticipates that similar trends are likely to occur with appliances, equipment and high-value goods. “In these models, customers don’t just reduce their costs, they get an additional level of expertise and access to evolving technology without the capital investment,” he says. This idea is reinforced by the fact that reduced transaction costs are viewed as the number one benefit of this trend for consumers.

The ease with which consumers can upgrade or downgrade services and reduce waste also ranks highly on the list of benefits. “We are in an ‘as-a-service’ economy, where customers expect options,” agrees Saar Gillai, senior vice president and general manager at Hewlett Packard Converged Cloud, an IT multinational company. Having open lines of communication with customers enables businesses to proactively provide those options, he says. “We can see what the customer is trying to do, and tailor a solution that’s flexible enough to meet their needs.”

Convenience also makes the list of top benefits—

and it’s one of the most critical components for success, says Paul Marsden, a consumer psychologist. “The consumer doesn’t want to do anything extra, so the business model has to be effortless,” he says. “Or the value they derive has to be so great that it can overcome their laziness.” Interestingly, the two benefits most often touted by peer-to-peer sharing companies—the ability to connect with like-minded users and the opportunity for consumers to act as product and service providers themselves—receive the lowest scores in the survey. This suggests that the business trend is about value and convenience rather than community-building or altruism. [It should be noted, though, that the interviewees in this survey were business executives rather than broad consumers.]

Respondents’ personal preferences also bleed over into how they do business, with 37% saying that their business units increasingly prefer to rent goods rather than purchase them, while 35% prefer to access goods via subscription and 16% prefer to share ownership. UK businesses are more interested in renting (42%), while US businesses lean towards subscription (44%).

Ultimately, companies will need to adapt their business models to account for regional differences in infrastructure, cost structures and customer behaviour, says Mr Smith-Gillespie. “For a global company, this will probably be starkest between developed and developing economies, and can be both an opportunity as well as a challenge. For example, in some regions business models requiring live tracking of vehicles and products may find local infrastructure and mobile services to be lacking—although this is improving. On the other hand, urban density and premiums on space can be a driver of sharing models.”

❛❛ If you can add value to the customer, if you can reduce their cost and make things more convenient for them, then these models can work.❜❜Aleyn Smith-Gillespie, associate director at Carbon Trust Advisory Services

© The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 20137

Supply on demand Adapting to change in consumption and delivery models

The demand for temporary access to goods and services has the potential to upend long-established business models that are built on a financial foundation of receiving full payment in exchange for outright ownership of goods. For companies to alter this model requires them to radically change the way in which they operate.

They seem to be figuring it out, though. A majority of companies in the survey have already changed or are in the process of changing how they price and deliver their goods and services. That number jumps to 67% in Australia, compared with 42% in the US and 48% in the UK. Adapting pricing and delivery models is a necessary part of the transition from one-off sales to a subscription, rental or sharing-based offering, according to Mr Gillai: “This is a pay-as-you-go economy. To succeed, companies need to create payment and

delivery infrastructures which support that environment.”

The most popular addition is the introduction of subscription models (40%), followed by the integration of shared goods and services (27%). In Australia, 46% of respondents are incorporating subscription models, compared with 40% in the UK and 34% in the US. Smaller companies are also more likely to embrace subscription options (45%), while larger companies are almost as likely to enable sharing (31%) as subscription (33%).

In the past few years start-ups and established businesses alike have begun offering rental, sharing and subscription options for everything from cars, textbooks and entertainment to part-time workers and heavy equipment. The trend even extends into the financial services industry,

Reasons to be cheerful2

QChart 2

How is your company primarily changing, or how does it intend to change, the way it prices and delivers goods and services? (% respondents)

We are integrating subscription goods and services to our business model

We are integrating shared goods and services to our business model

We are integrating leasing/rental goods and services to our business model

We are integrating exchange (barter) of goods and services to our business model

Other

40%

27%

17%

2%

14%

Source: Economist Intelligence Unit.

❛❛ This is a pay-as-you-go economy. To succeed, companies need to create payment and delivery infrastructures which support that environment.❜❜Saar Gillai, senior VP and general manager, HP Converged Cloud

© The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 20138

Supply on demand Adapting to change in consumption and delivery models

where companies are creating virtual environments in which consumers can source, lend and borrow money electronically without the time and costs associated with traditional banks.

Mr Smith-Gillespie points to Digital Lumens, a US lighting company that has shifted from selling equipment to delivering lighting-as-a-service under a “managed asset” model: “Customers pay for the outcome, not the product.” It is still early days for many of these fledgling businesses, but there is a lot of optimism about their future success.

Small revenue, big growth expectations

More than half (53%) of respondents say these new delivery models represent 10% or less of their annual revenue, and only 12% say they represent more than half of their revenue. The financial impact is somewhat higher in UK and US companies than in Australian companies, with respectively 16% and 14% saying they represent more than half of their revenue, against 6% of Australian companies.

But the revenue impact from these models is on an upward trend. Fully 84% of respondents anticipate the share of revenue they represent to change somewhat or significantly over the next two years. Smaller companies are more likely to anticipate a significant increase (34%), compared with 21% of larger companies.

Mr Smith-Gillespie is not surprised by their optimism. “Goods and assets that have a relatively high cost but low utilisation will be open to a shift away from ownership towards a leasing, rental, or subscription-based business model, particularly when combined with a service package that guarantees convenience and access,” he says. He also believes that these new delivery models can provide greater financial stability for the vendor by turning a single sale into a long-term revenue stream. But that can require upfront financing by the business to cover the initial cost to deliver the product or service system, as well as cash flow to cover maintenance, insurance and any other ancillary business costs.

It won’t work for everyone, however. In sectors that offer lower cost, disposable or frequently used goods, the model won’t be cost effective, maintains Gartner’s Mr Fletcher: “It’s hard to argue that you would generate enough revenue from renting a ladder or a lawn mower. And if it’s not going to be profitable, it doesn’t make sense.”

In those cases, business owners can look for added-value opportunities, suggests John Mewett, the marketing director of the Screwfix Community Forum, a trade forum for contractors hosted by Kingfisher, a European home-improvement retailer. Although Kingfisher’s products do not lend themselves to a rental or subscription model, the company has invested in building a sharing environment.

QChart 3

How, if at all, do you expect the revenue your company gains from new delivery models of goods and services to change over the next two years? (% respondents)

Increase significantly

Somewhat increase

Stay the same

Somewhat decrease

Decrease significantly

Don’t know

Source: Economist Intelligence Unit.

28%

56%

13%

1%

0%

2%

© The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 20139

Supply on demand Adapting to change in consumption and delivery models

The Screwfix Forum brings together professionals and DIY enthusiasts to exchange tips about home improvement projects, socialise and even share tools or business opportunities. “These services aren’t monetised and don’t generate revenue directly, but they do build brand loyalty and can indirectly generate sales in stores,” says John Compton, the manager of Streetclub.co.uk, a sharing website for neighbours by Kingfisher-owned B&Q, another DIY firm.

Unlocking business benefits

According to the survey, the leading business benefit of these new delivery models is access to new revenue opportunities (37%). Differentiation from competitors (27%), accessing new customer segments (27%) and increasing customer loyalty (25%) also figure prominently.

These new models also allow businesses to form closer relationships with the customers they serve, Mr Smith-Gillespie points out. As the owner of the goods, be they cars, equipment or virtual servers, the vendor takes on the role of a trusted and expert supplier, providing maintenance and services to support the product and the customer. “This value proposition opens up opportunities for long-term customer relationships with multiple touch-points, thus enabling providers to broaden and deepen their revenue streams,” he says.

Even in sectors such as hard goods, where the fundamental product is still a one-off sale, companies are creating add-on services that are bundled with the core product. General Motors’ subsidiary Onstar, for example, is a subscription-based roadside assistance service that car owners can pay for through a monthly fee.

For other organisations, these new models are seen as an opportunity to alleviate the impact of rising manufacturing costs. Businesses that devise ways for customers to reuse existing products can derive more long-term value from the assets they pay to create, while simultaneously allowing customers to reduce their own cost of ownership and environmental footprint. “Resource efficiency is a core part of the proposition,” says Mr Smith-Gillespie. “It is a real value add that a provider can give to a customer, and that customers are seeking.”

To fully benefit from new delivery models, organisations need to work proactively with manufacturers, vendors and material suppliers to design products that best accommodate consumers’ demands. If companies can deliver reliability as part of the value proposition, they can secure customer loyalty while lowering their own maintenance and support costs.

QChart 4

What are the key business benefits you would associate with implementing new delivery models? (% respondents)

Opening up new revenue opportunities

Differentiation from competitors

Accessing new customer segments

Increasing customer loyalty

Reducing waste from underused assets

Strengthening our brand

Accessing new product markets

Improving our environmental footprint

Other

Don’t knowSource: Economist Intelligence Unit.

37 % 27% 27% 25% 21% 19% 17% 8% 4%2%

© The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 201310

Supply on demand Adapting to change in consumption and delivery models

Harnessing small players

In the meantime, the market to accommodate consumers’ demand for subscription, rental and sharing options is still fairly wide open. Thanks to the proliferation of cheap, reliable, virtual technology, anyone with some spare cash and an idea can start a company, which means that lean start-ups have a chance to step into well-established marketplaces and lure dissatisfied customers with more agile delivery models.

Smaller firms tend to be more alert to shifting market trends and are more able to adapt than their larger counterparts. The survey highlights this idea, with more than one-half of executives at large firms saying their company underestimates the impact of changes in the way consumers want to access goods and services, compared with just one-third of executives at small companies.

However, big companies have the advantage of deep pockets. While it may take them longer to adapt their culture and processes to the new trends, they have the option to acquire smaller companies that have demonstrated success as a way to gain immediately access and expertise in this area, says Ann Mack, the director of Trendspotting at JWT Worldwide, a marketing communications firm. “Instead of fighting the encroaching competition, partner with them,” she advises.

This approach has been practiced for years in the software-as-a-service sector, where global enterprise software firms, including Oracle, IBM and SAP, have acquired dozens of cloud-driven start-ups to round out their service offerings.

It is also moving into the car rental business, where in the past year Avis Budget Group has purchased Zipcar, a US membership-based car-sharing company, and Enterprise Holdings has acquired Zimride, a ride-sharing and car-pooling company.

“These acquisitions have enabled the acquired small firms to rapidly expand their reach. In the case of Zipcar, it means continuing its quest to build a global fleet”, says Mark Norman, the company’s CEO, albeit under the aegis of a larger owner. “It is logical that these acquisitions will continue in other sectors as companies demonstrate that they can produce sustainable business models with proven profitability”, according to the mayor of San Francisco, Ed Lee, who is credited with coining the term “sharing economy” to identify entrepreneurs using the Internet to connect services and products with buyers. “It makes sense that [these companies] will become attractive for purchase or imitation by already established businesses in the marketplace,” he says.

❛❛ It is logical that these acquisitions will continue in other sectors as companies demonstrate that they can produce sustainable business models with proven profitability.❜❜Ed Lee, mayor, San Francisco

© The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 201311

Supply on demand Adapting to change in consumption and delivery models

What is cheap, reliable and everywhere?3

The Internet, mobile technology, secure online transactions, social media and the ubiquity of cloud computing are among the many technological advances that are making it possible for companies to provide these kinds of delivery models for any number of products and services, remotely and electronically, to a broader community of customers.

“You can connect with people in a way you couldn’t previously, and it’s changing the mindset of businesses and consumers,” says Thomas Amos, the co-founder of Sidekicker, an Australian firm that links companies with people seeking temporary work assignments.

The survey shows that advances in technology, including cloud computing, are top of the list of

perceived drivers of change in this area. Economic factors and demand for greater convenience—both issues that can be addressed thanks to technological advances—complete the list of the top three drivers.

Not surprisingly, technology-driven products and services that can be accessed and purchased electronically—including software, news media, consumer electronics, and music and entertainment—are expected to see the biggest shifts in consumption and delivery patterns over the next three years. More durable items, including cars, homes, appliances and fashion, are seen as least likely to experience big shifts in the near term.

Location, for example, can be a challenge in providing durable goods, particularly for small

Q

Note: Percentages were rounded up and may not add up to 100%. Source: Economist Intelligence Unit.

Of the following, which would you say is the single most important driver of changes in the way consumers obtain access to goods and services? (% respondents)

Technology advances (eg cloud computing)

Economic factors (eg, cost pressures, demand for greater value for money)

Demand for greater convenience

Policy or regulatory changes

Environmental concerns

Other

Chart 5

37%

27%

25%

5%

2%

3%

❛❛ You can connect with people in a way you couldn’t previously, and it’s changing the mindset of businesses and consumers.❜❜Thomas Amos, co-founder of Sidekicker

© The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 201312

Supply on demand Adapting to change in consumption and delivery models

firms. While the Internet makes it possible to reach clients all over the world, delivery models for these goods have to support that reach with fast, efficient and cost-effective options. That can be tricky for smaller companies with limited budgets, says Mr Amos. “You’ve got to be able to ramp up, and match supply with demand.”

We’re all tech companies

Mr Norman of Zipcar credits innovative technology—including GPS, secure ignition, the mobile web and apps, RFID access and proprietary fuel access—with the success of his company. He refers to it as “a technology and service company that happens to manage a large fleet”.

“Ubiquitous wireless networks enabled the existence of Zipcar in 2000,” he says. “And the preponderance of smartphones, downloadable

apps and broadband wireless continues to allow us to evolve the service.”

Such models are of particular interest to younger consumers, who have grown up being able to access their email, do their banking and get their groceries delivered, all from their laptops and mobile phones. They also recognise the value in having access to goods without the burden of ownership in a way that previous generations may not have had.

A survey released in February 2013 by Zipcar shows that 80% of millennials (commonly referring to people born between the 1980s and the 2000s) find it much harder to own a car because of the high cost of petrol, maintenance and parking, compared with 69% of those aged 49 and above.

They also feel more comfortable working with peer-based companies, thanks to the grassroots conversations that often support these new

Zopa is a UK-based peer-to-peer lending service launched in 2005, at a time when UK consumers were highly indebted and bank lending had reached historical levels. “It started because we didn’t like the way banks were treating people,” says Zopa’s CEO, Giles Andrews. “We wanted to create a more efficient business that created value for customers and allowed us to make a profit.”

The resulting service allows people to sidestep banks and lend directly to each other at lower rates and with a higher interest on savings. To ensure borrowers repay their debts, the company built its own risk management engine that assesses borrowers’ credit history and likeliness to repay. The company also vets all lenders to make sure the money is legitimate and legal.

“It has all the administrative functions of a bank, but it is simpler because we don’t require buffer

capital,” says Mr Andrews, referring to the excess capital banks are required to hold as part of financial industry regulations.

And he couldn’t have done it without the far reach and easy access of the Internet. “It provides enormous distribution possibilities, which allowed us to scale and provide checks and balances at all stages of the transaction,” he says. Though he notes that recent advances in technology would probably have made it a lot cheaper to build.

Despite the initial costs, the business has taken off, and Mr Andrews believes that Zopa will be competitive with major global banks in a matter of years. It loaned £90m in 2012 at an average of £50,000 per lender, and £6,000 per borrower. He expects to lend £200m in 2013 and is targeting a billion in loans annually by 2015.

Zopa revolutionises banking

© The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 201313

Supply on demand Adapting to change in consumption and delivery models

While cloud computing capabilities have been around for years, it only began to take off as a business model in the early 2000s, with the advent of Salesforce.com, Google Apps and the proliferation of virtualisation technology. Less than a decade later 75% of companies use some sort of cloud platform today, according the 2013 Future of Cloud Computing Survey of North Bridge Venture Partners, a US-based venture capital firm.

Eliminating the capital costs of hardware and software as well as the personnel costs related to maintenance and upgrades is a boon for companies looking to cut their IT expenses. It also allows them to share resources in a way they can’t when technology falls under the control of specific individuals or divisions in company.

And while the cost-savings can be enticing, it’s the time-saving that draws people in, says

Saar Gillai, senior vice president and general manager at Hewlett Packard Converged Cloud, an IT multinational company. “Most customers see improvements from weeks to hours because cloud automates so many things that were once manual.”

Many companies are now extending the benefits of the cloud beyond internal efficiencies to generate new revenue streams and even launch new companies, from banks that sell their internal credit rating tools as a cloud-based service, to entertainment companies such as GameFly and Netflix, which rent games and movies to members for a monthly fee. “Consumers are getting accustomed to pay-as-you-go models, and they like that flexibility,” according to Mr Gillai. “They can instantly get all the capabilities without paying up-front for the cap-ex, and they have better control over their spend.”

Enabled by cloud

business models, says Mrs Mack: “They don’t think twice about doing business with peers or start-ups, particularly if the solution is less expensive than the established alternative.”

However, they are also quick to abandon companies that fail to deliver quality service or goods, she says. “Tools like user reviews and track records can allay a lot of concerns about quality.”

© The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 201314

Supply on demand Adapting to change in consumption and delivery models

The time- and cost-savings from which consumers can benefit through new consumption models can translate into financial benefits for the companies that can deliver these goods and services. However, establishing an interface and delivery system to support them is not easy.

Survey respondents cite internal co-ordination, technical complexities and compliance regarding data privacy and protection as the key risks or difficulties in implementing such new delivery models. Cost is also a primary concern. Smaller companies, in particular, worry about the technology and cost to get these models up and running.

“Building a seamless user experience is the most important factor—and that takes a lot of effort on

the back end,” says James Beshara, the CEO of Crowdtilt, a crowd-funding platform where consumers can create groups to fund anything from a fantasy football league to a community park.

His team of 26 employees includes 22 software engineers, who are focused on making the site seamless and user-friendly. They are currently putting the finishing touches on a mobile environment that will allow users to launch a funding project in under eight seconds from their phones.

Achieving this ease of use is difficult and fraught with security risks. It’s not just about making the technology work, says Mr Beshara. His team had to work closely with payment processors, credit companies, banks and regulators to make sure that

Growing pains4

QChart 6

Source: Economist Intelligence Unit.

What are the key risks or difficulties you would associate with implementing new delivery models? (% respondents)

Organisational (lack of internal co-ordination)

Technical (too complex to integrate)

Compliance (data privacy and protection issues)

Financial (deferring up-front cash and revenue)

Regulatory (industry-specific regulations)

Talent (skills shortage)

Lack of management commitment

Other

Don’t know

33% 30% 27% 26% 22% 18% 14% 6% 2%

❛❛ Building a seamless user experience is the most important factor—and that takes a lot of effort on the back end.❜❜James Beshara, CEO of Crowdtilt

© The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 201315

Supply on demand Adapting to change in consumption and delivery models

every field and interaction that customers have with the site guarantees their data are protected.

Giles Andrews, the CEO of Zopa, a UK based peer-to-peer lending service, agrees. “The winners are the ones who can figure out how to build a platform that protects customers while adding value in the market.”

Regulators race to catch up

New models of delivery also have to accommodate regulatory requirements, which can be tricky in industries where the evolution of business models is outpacing governments’ ability to keep up.

“Entrepreneurs are coming up with new solutions and innovations almost daily, and it’s important for government to be nimble and flexible so that we can adapt to our residents’ demand for changes in consumption,” says San Francisco’s mayor, Mr Lee.

But regulators are not known for speedy decision-making, and they have many decisions to make. From defining financial oversight rules and insurance requirements to establishing data security guidelines for information exchange and collection, regulators are being forced to rethink how these industries will be tracked.

“The technology and the business model have evolved so quickly, the policy hasn’t had time to catch up,” says Zipcar’s Mr Norman. This lack of rules is making some business owners nervous and can delay their ability to make strategic business decisions. “Our biggest ask [from regulators] is certainty in what the regulations will be so we have a solid foundation to navigate from,” says Crowdtilt’s Mr Beshara.

He is not alone in this concern. Compliance with data privacy and protection ranks number three among the key difficulties in implementing new delivery models. Larger firms rank it second on their list.

The lack of rules may seem like a boon for young businesses eager to make their footprint in uncharted territory, but companies are just as likely to benefit from regulations as suffer from them—depending on the decisions regulators make, according to Mr Andrews. Pushing for specific regulations can increase the validity of the industry and the chance that the right regulations will be enacted, he says. “If executives don’t participate in the process, they face a greater risk that regulators will overreact and try to implement rules that get in the way of their business growth.”

In 2012 Thomas Amos launched Sidekicker, an Australia-based company that connects businesses with people looking for temporary work assignments. Unlike traditional temp agencies, Sidekicker does not employ workers. Instead it acts as a matchmaker, giving employers a place to post openings and review the profiles of hundreds of pre-screened workers on demand.

The goal of the company is to streamline the hiring process for both sides, but in providing that convenience, Sidekicker dropped itself into a regulatory black hole.

Mr Amos had to work closely with regulators to prove the company

does not deliver or take ownership of any work and that none of the “sidekicks” are employed by the company or even guaranteed jobs.

Sidekicker also had to reassure its business customers that the service complied with all of their legal and tax requirements as they managed their own employment records.

Even though all Sidekicker workers are independent and responsible for their own taxes, the company took steps to ensure they all met their tax obligations. “It’s one way we stay ahead of the regulations,” says Mr Amos. “And it solves the problem of ‘sidekicks’ avoiding paying their taxes.”

Sidekicker navigates employment law

❛❛ The technology and the business model have evolved so quickly, the policy hasn’t had time to catch up.❜❜Mark Norman, CEO, Zipcar (Avis)

© The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 201316

Supply on demand Adapting to change in consumption and delivery models

Shifting cultural norms, lingering economic challenges and steady advances in technology are changing the way consumers think about how they want to access goods and services. Together, these trends have helped to make the value and convenience of temporary access more appealing to consumers than the intrinsic satisfaction they once derived from ownership. They have grown comfortable with the idea of using rather than buying goods and services, and they expect companies to give them these options in user-friendly and secure environments.

This convergence of trends is forcing companies to re-evaluate their own delivery models and overcome the technical, organisational, regulatory and financial issues that stand in the way of making them work.

This transformation has already proved to be successful in a number of sectors, from software to automotive and finance. But executives still need to focus on sound business principles. “It doesn’t matter how cool the idea is or how many people tweet you or like you,” Zipcar’s Mr Norman says. “Without solid, underlying fundamentals and a path to sustained profitability, your idea will never go mainstream.”

Executives interviewed in this report offer advice on how to succeed in building new delivery models that provide value to consumers and their own bottom line.

l Do the math. New delivery models will only work if there is a strong business case backing them up. “Be sure you can achieve economic efficiencies and are able to offer value to consumers that is better than the alternative,” says Zopa’s Mr Andrews. “The success of businesses in this economy are tied to

delivering incredible economic value.”

l Consider cash flow. In a temporary access delivery model, companies rely on future revenue streams rather than lump sum payments, so they have to be certain they can bankroll the transition. “When you move to a leasing model from a sales model,” says Carbon Trust’s Mr Smith-Gillespie, “you need to make sure that it’s cost-side up or it won’t work.”

l Make sure your interface is fast and easy to use. Consumers will only support these businesses if they offer quick and seamless access to goods and services. “You might think you have the best solution,” warns Mr Smith-Gillespie, “but if the customer doesn’t see it as convenient, they are not going to adopt it.”

l Work with regulators to shape policy. In industries where regulations are still in flux, business owners such as Mr Andrews are working with lawmakers. “You want enough structure to keep out scammers and incompetents, without so many rules that it blocks efficiency and profitability”, advises Mr Andrews. “Working with regulators can help you achieve that.”

l It had better be good. Social media have made it possible for consumers across the globe to instantly share their opinions—good or bad—with a huge audience. That can work in companies’ favour, or it can harm them. “Consumers today are hyper-connected, and when you give them a great product experience, they can’t wait to tell their friends,” Crowdtilt’s Mr Beshara says. “But if it’s a bad experience, or even lukewarm, they will tell that story too, and it doesn’t take long for a few bad reviews to ruin a business.”

Conclusion5

© The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 201317

Supply on demand Adapting to change in consumption and delivery models

Appendix: survey results

Strongly agree

Agree Disagree Strongly disagree

Don’t know/ Not applicable

Our company is seeing changes in how consumers in general prefer to obtain access to goods and services

Our company is seeing changes in how our own customers prefer to obtain access to our goods and services

The impact of behavioural changes among consumers in how they obtain access to goods and services is underestimated by our company

Q1Please state whether you agree or disagree with the following statements: (% respondents)

26 56 7 2 10

24 56 12 1 7

10 34 41 7 9

Technology advances (eg cloud computing)

Economic factors (eg, cost pressures, demand for greater value for money)

Demand for greater convenience

Policy or regulatory changes

Environmental concerns

Other

Q2Of the following which would you say is the single most important driver of changes described in Question 1? (% respondents)

37

27

25

5

2

3

© The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 201318

Supply on demand Adapting to change in consumption and delivery models

I increasingly prefer to access goods and services on a subscription basis (eg software licenses, news media or music) rather than purchase

I increasingly prefer to rent goods and services (eg apartments or camping spaces) rather than purchase them outright

I increasingly prefer to share ownership of goods and services (eg car-sharing services) rather than purchase them outright

I increasingly prefer to access goods and services through exchange (barter) arrangements (eg clothes) rather than purchase for money

Other

My personal preferences are not changing

Don’t know

Q3How, if at all, are your personal preferences changing for how you obtain access to goods and services? Select all that apply. (% respondents)

38

26

13

9

6

34

2

My business unit increasingly prefers to rent goods and services rather than purchase them outright

My business unit increasingly prefers to access goods and services on a subscription basis rather than purchase

My business unit increasingly prefers to share ownership of goods and services rather than purchase them outright

My business unit increasingly prefers to access goods and services through exchange (barter) arrangements rather than purchase for money

Other

My business unit’s preferences are not changing

Don’t know

Q4How, if at all, are your business unit’s preferences changing for how it obtains access to goods and services? Select all that apply. (% respondents)

37

35

16

5

3

31

3

Reduced transaction costs

More convenient use of goods and services

Easier to upgrade or downgrade products and services

Reduced amount of waste from underused assets

More convenient payment for goods and services

Greater personalisation of products and services

Ability of consumers to act as product and service providers themselves

Ability to connect with a like-minded community of users

Other

Don’t know

Q5What do you see as the main benefits to consumers from the types of shifts described in Questions 1 and 3? Select up to two. (% respondents)

36

34

33

27

20

16

9

7

3

1

© The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 201319

Supply on demand Adapting to change in consumption and delivery models

Software

News media

Consumer electronics and devices

Music and entertainment

Education

Healthcare services

Finance and peer-to-peer lending

Automotive

Accommodation

Household appliances and durable goods

Fashion

Other

Don’t know

Q6What categories of goods and services do you think will see the biggest shifts in the aforementioned models of consumption and delivery of goods and services in the next three years? Select up to two. (% respondents)

29

25

23

23

22

17

15

12

10

8

5

3

1

Yes, we have changed how we price and deliver goods and services

We are in the process of changing how we price and deliver goods and services

No, we don’t intend to change how we price and deliver goods and services

Don’t know

Q7A

Is your company changing how it prices and delivers goods and services? (% respondents)

20

31

45

4

We are integrating subscription goods and services to our business model

We are integrating shared goods and services to our business model

We are integrating leasing/rental goods and services to our business model

We are integrating exchange (barter) of goods and services to our business model

Other

Q7B

How is your company primarily changing, or how does it intend to change, the way it prices and delivers goods and services? (% respondents)

40

27

17

2

14

© The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 201320

Supply on demand Adapting to change in consumption and delivery models

Less than 5%

5-10%

11-25%

26-50%

More than 50%

Don’t know

Q8A

What approximate share of your company’s revenue does the delivery model of goods and services you selected in Q7b represent today? (% respondents)

25

28

21

5

12

9

Increase significantly

Somewhat increase

Stay the same

Somewhat decrease

Decrease significantly

Don’t know

Q8B

How, if at all, do you expect that share to change over the next two years? (% respondents)

28

56

13

1

0

2

Opening up new revenue opportunities

Differentiation from competitors

Accessing new customer segments

Increasing customer loyalty

Reducing waste from underused assets

Strengthening our brand

Accessing new product markets

Improving our environmental footprint

Other

Don’t know

Q9What are the key business benefits you would associate with implementing new delivery models? Select up to two. (% respondents)

37

27

27

25

21

19

17

8

4

2

© The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 201321

Supply on demand Adapting to change in consumption and delivery models

Organisational (lack of internal co-ordination)

Technical (too complex to integrate)

Compliance (data privacy and protection issues)

Financial (deferring up-front cash and revenue)

Regulatory (industry-specific regulations)

Talent (skills shortage)

Lack of management commitment

Other

Don’t know

Q10What are the key risks or difficulties you would associate with implementing new delivery models? Select up to two. (% respondents)

33

30

27

26

22

18

14

6

2

Financial services

Professional services

IT and technology

Healthcare, pharmaceuticals and biotechnology

Education

Manufacturing

Energy and natural resources

Entertainment, media and publishing

Transportation, travel and tourism

Construction and real estate

Consumer goods

Chemicals

Government/Public sector

Logistics and distribution

Retailing

Telecoms

Agriculture and agribusiness

Automotive

What is your primary industry?(% respondents)

19

16

11

7

6

6

5

5

5

4

3

3

3

2

2

1

1

1

United States

United Kingdom

Australia

In which country are you personally based? (% respondents)

39

31

30

Businesses

Consumers

Both

Whom does your organisation sell to? (% respondents)

48

11

41

Less than $50m

$50 to $100m

$100m to $500m

$500m to $1bn

$1bn to $5bn

$5bn to $10bn

$10bn or more

What are your organisation’s global annual revenues in US dollars?(% respondents)

28

4

14

8

23

6

17

© The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 201322

Supply on demand Adapting to change in consumption and delivery models

Board member

CEO/President/Managing director

CFO/Treasurer/Comptroller

CIO/Technology director

Other C-level executive

SVP/VP/Director

Head of business unit

Head of department

Manager

Which of the following best describes your title?(% respondents)

3

41

8

4

4

16

4

4

15

General management

Strategy and business development

Finance

Marketing and sales

Operations and production

Customer service

IT

Risk

Information and research

R&D

Legal

Human resources

Procurement

Supply-chain management

Other

What are your main functional roles? Select all that apply.(% respondents)

46

35

23

23

18

13

11

11

9

8

5

4

4

4

2

© The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 201323

Supply on demand Adapting to change in consumption and delivery models

Whilst every effort has been taken to verify the accuracy of this

information, neither The Economist Intelligence Unit Ltd. nor the

sponsor of this report can accept any responsibility or liability for

reliance by any person on this report or any of the information,

opinions or conclusions set out in the report.

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