Surf’s Up:Rising Seas and Shrinking Stoke?
Nick Sadrpour w USC Sea Grant
What I’d like to talk about:
Source: USGS
The Forecast• Storm and swell patterns
– ENSO, PDO, MJO
• Inland rain and sediment flow
• Erosion and loss of beaches
Source: Reineman et al. 2017
Source: Reineman et al. 2017
Source: Reineman et al. 2017
Trace Up
Source: Trace Up
Source: Brewin et al. 2017
Source: Brewin et al. 2017
The hardest thing to model:
� Continued urbanization and development
� Human response to storms
What can we do?
� Monitor beaches and their dynamics
� Utilize local knowledge and communities to create an
understanding of shared values
� Ensure policies are in place to promote the preservation
of resources
Keeping the Stoke
� There will be waves in the future
� In our lifetimes, however, we need to take actions to
preserve access to and quality of ocean resources