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Surf’s Up: Rising Seas and Shrinking Stoke? · 2018-11-04 · Rising Seas and Shrinking Stoke?...

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Surf’s Up: Rising Seas and Shrinking Stoke? Nick Sadrpour w USC Sea Grant
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Page 1: Surf’s Up: Rising Seas and Shrinking Stoke? · 2018-11-04 · Rising Seas and Shrinking Stoke? Nick Sadrpour w USC Sea Grant . What I’d like to talk about: Source: USGS. The Forecast

Surf’s Up:Rising Seas and Shrinking Stoke?

Nick Sadrpour w USC Sea Grant

Page 2: Surf’s Up: Rising Seas and Shrinking Stoke? · 2018-11-04 · Rising Seas and Shrinking Stoke? Nick Sadrpour w USC Sea Grant . What I’d like to talk about: Source: USGS. The Forecast

What I’d like to talk about:

Source: USGS

Page 3: Surf’s Up: Rising Seas and Shrinking Stoke? · 2018-11-04 · Rising Seas and Shrinking Stoke? Nick Sadrpour w USC Sea Grant . What I’d like to talk about: Source: USGS. The Forecast

The Forecast• Storm and swell patterns

– ENSO, PDO, MJO

• Inland rain and sediment flow

• Erosion and loss of beaches

Page 4: Surf’s Up: Rising Seas and Shrinking Stoke? · 2018-11-04 · Rising Seas and Shrinking Stoke? Nick Sadrpour w USC Sea Grant . What I’d like to talk about: Source: USGS. The Forecast

Source: Reineman et al. 2017

Page 5: Surf’s Up: Rising Seas and Shrinking Stoke? · 2018-11-04 · Rising Seas and Shrinking Stoke? Nick Sadrpour w USC Sea Grant . What I’d like to talk about: Source: USGS. The Forecast

Source: Reineman et al. 2017

Page 6: Surf’s Up: Rising Seas and Shrinking Stoke? · 2018-11-04 · Rising Seas and Shrinking Stoke? Nick Sadrpour w USC Sea Grant . What I’d like to talk about: Source: USGS. The Forecast

Source: Reineman et al. 2017

Page 7: Surf’s Up: Rising Seas and Shrinking Stoke? · 2018-11-04 · Rising Seas and Shrinking Stoke? Nick Sadrpour w USC Sea Grant . What I’d like to talk about: Source: USGS. The Forecast
Page 8: Surf’s Up: Rising Seas and Shrinking Stoke? · 2018-11-04 · Rising Seas and Shrinking Stoke? Nick Sadrpour w USC Sea Grant . What I’d like to talk about: Source: USGS. The Forecast
Page 9: Surf’s Up: Rising Seas and Shrinking Stoke? · 2018-11-04 · Rising Seas and Shrinking Stoke? Nick Sadrpour w USC Sea Grant . What I’d like to talk about: Source: USGS. The Forecast

Trace Up

Source: Trace Up

Page 10: Surf’s Up: Rising Seas and Shrinking Stoke? · 2018-11-04 · Rising Seas and Shrinking Stoke? Nick Sadrpour w USC Sea Grant . What I’d like to talk about: Source: USGS. The Forecast
Page 11: Surf’s Up: Rising Seas and Shrinking Stoke? · 2018-11-04 · Rising Seas and Shrinking Stoke? Nick Sadrpour w USC Sea Grant . What I’d like to talk about: Source: USGS. The Forecast

Source: Brewin et al. 2017

Page 12: Surf’s Up: Rising Seas and Shrinking Stoke? · 2018-11-04 · Rising Seas and Shrinking Stoke? Nick Sadrpour w USC Sea Grant . What I’d like to talk about: Source: USGS. The Forecast

Source: Brewin et al. 2017

Page 13: Surf’s Up: Rising Seas and Shrinking Stoke? · 2018-11-04 · Rising Seas and Shrinking Stoke? Nick Sadrpour w USC Sea Grant . What I’d like to talk about: Source: USGS. The Forecast

The hardest thing to model:

� Continued urbanization and development

� Human response to storms

Page 14: Surf’s Up: Rising Seas and Shrinking Stoke? · 2018-11-04 · Rising Seas and Shrinking Stoke? Nick Sadrpour w USC Sea Grant . What I’d like to talk about: Source: USGS. The Forecast

What can we do?

� Monitor beaches and their dynamics

� Utilize local knowledge and communities to create an

understanding of shared values

� Ensure policies are in place to promote the preservation

of resources

Page 15: Surf’s Up: Rising Seas and Shrinking Stoke? · 2018-11-04 · Rising Seas and Shrinking Stoke? Nick Sadrpour w USC Sea Grant . What I’d like to talk about: Source: USGS. The Forecast

Keeping the Stoke

� There will be waves in the future

� In our lifetimes, however, we need to take actions to

preserve access to and quality of ocean resources

Page 16: Surf’s Up: Rising Seas and Shrinking Stoke? · 2018-11-04 · Rising Seas and Shrinking Stoke? Nick Sadrpour w USC Sea Grant . What I’d like to talk about: Source: USGS. The Forecast

Thank you!

Nick [email protected]


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