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• Sustainability at the National Level• New DOE Grant Goals• Sustainability Model• Critical Levers
• Sustainability at the Local Level• Critical Levers• Scenario Planning• Sustainability Model for Stations
• US DOE grant was awarded in August 2005
• PBS committed to annual enrollment and revenue targets in order to reach sustainability
• PBS developed a comprehensive financial model to assess progress • Model forecasts inflows and costs • Quarterly update and progress review
• Eduventures advises PBS TeacherLine on:• Financial performance• Progress towards sustainability• New product pricing models
New DOE Grant Goals
• PBS National is committed to system-wide sustainability
• Enrollment and revenue goals were set to measure progress• 20% increments over five years • Local stations are critical
• Both PBS and local stations have influence • National has indirect influence on increasing distribution and direct
influence on controlling costs• Local stations have direct influence on increasing distribution and
indirect influence on controlling costs
Sustainability Model
Enrollment Goals
41,116
37,390
24,307
16,396
9,807
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
45,000
GY01 GY02 GY03 GY04 GY05
Projected Enrollment
Note: GY01 is the first year of the new grant, 2005. GY05 = 2009-10.
Includes both national and local enrollments.
41,116
37,390
24,307
16,396
9,807
9,690
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
45,000
GY01 GY02 GY03 GY04 GY05
Projected Enrollment Actual Enrollment
Grant Year 1 Enrollments: Actual vs. Goal
Actual program enrollments
Revenue Goals
$6,905,581$6,354,181
$3,346,749
$1,865,431
$909,614
$0
$1,000,000
$2,000,000
$3,000,000
$4,000,000
$5,000,000
$6,000,000
$7,000,000
$8,000,000
GY01 GY02 GY03 GY04 GY05
Projected Program Revenue
$543,103
$6,905,581
$6,354,181
$3,346,749
$1,865,431
$909,614
$0
$1,000,000
$2,000,000
$3,000,000
$4,000,000
$5,000,000
$6,000,000
$7,000,000
$8,000,000
GY01 GY02 GY03 GY04 GY05
Projected Program Sales Actual Program Sales
Grant Year 1 Revenue: Actual vs. Goal
Actual program revenue
Calculating Sustainability
* Excluded: Program Grant Funding, Program Evaluation and Program Product Development Costs
Program Generated Revenue 543,103Expenses 2,349,315
Operational Sustainability * 23%
Enrollment Summary Local 5,973 62% National 3,717 38%Total 9,690
Focus On Levers that Affect Program Revenue and Efficiencies
Lever Effect How to Move It
Total EnrollmentIncreased total enrollment contributes directly to program revenue
Enroll new learners, encourage repeat learners
Course FeeOptimal pricing contributes directly to program revenue
Minimize discounting to capture maximum value without losing learners
CostsReducing costs increases revenue contribution
Look for efficiencies
Course Size
Increasing the average enrollment per course leads to more efficient (and more profitable) courses
Effectively predicting course demand; migrate learners to alternate / national courses when not profitable to run
Pro
gra
m
Dis
trib
uti
on
Pro
gra
m
Eff
icie
ncy
Program Efficiency: Cost per Learner
Facilitator 62.6
Customer Support 8
Hosting 25
eCommerce 6
Revenue Share 80
Total $181
Revenue Contribution $18
Excludes Overhead costs
• Sustainability at the National Level• New DOE Grant Goals• Sustainability Model• Critical Levers
• Sustainability at the Local Level• Critical Levers• Scenario Planning• Sustainability Model for Stations
Stations Have Direct Influence on Program Distribution
• Stations have the ability to considerably impact TeacherLine program distribution and efficiency
• The main levers for distribution are:• Lever 1: Course fees• Lever 2: Total enrollments
• Program efficiency is driven primarily by:• Lever 3: Average course size
Lever 1: Raising Course Fees 10%
Scenario 1:
10% Course Fee Increase
Projected Course Fees (Local)
$156
Average Enrollment (Local)
187
Projected Revenue $29,172
Summer 2006 Actuals
Average Course Fees (Local)
$142
Average Enrollment (Local)
187
Average Revenue $26,554
Difference: $2,618
Note: Summer 2006 Actuals represent the average station course fee and enrollment in Summer 2006
Lever 2: Raising Enrollment 10%
Summer 2006 Actuals
Average Course Fees (Local)
$142
Average Enrollment (Local)
187
Average Revenue $26,554
Scenario 2:
10% Enrollment Increase
Average Course Fees (Local)
$142
Projected Enrollment (Local)
205
Projected Revenue $29,110
Difference: $2,556
Average Course Size*
13 15 17
Course Costs** $1,885 $1,975 $2,065
Costs per Learner
$145 $132 $121
* Average Course Size was calculated for locally provided courses. Spring 2006 local courses averaged 17 learners per class and Summer 2006 averaged 13 learners per class.
**Course Costs include Facilitator, Course Licensing Fee, Per Seat Fee and eCommerce Fee
Lever 3: Increasing Class Size
$0
$500,000
$1,000,000
$1,500,000
$2,000,000
$2,500,000
$3,000,000
$3,500,000
$4,000,000
$4,500,000
GY01 GY02 GY03 GY04 GY05
Projected Program Costs Projected Program Revenue
PBS National Sustainability Progress
Local Sustainability Model
• PBS is proposing to develop a template to help stations assess progress
• The template will be based off the national model and will include:• Revenue projections • Operating costs• Course size breakeven chart• Progress towards sustainability
• Similar to national model, it will not include:• Overhead Fees (personnel, any in-kind)• Local Innovation Funds
Would this be helpful?