SUSTAINABLEMOBILITYFORALL

NancyVandyckeJune14,2016

KenyaEvidenceForum

TRANSPORT INVESTMENTS

InvestmentsareneededforsustainablenewandexisDngtransportsystems

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2

Globalinvestmentsinpublicandprivatetransport:$1.4-$2.1trillionperyear*

§  Privateinvestment=58%§  ODAandGreenFunds:2%§  HIC:75%

Capitalneedstoachieve2degreescenariopathway:**

§  $2trillion§  $237billioninBRTandrail

investments

(*)LevefreB.,andal.(2014),“TheTrilliondollarques]on:(**)LefevreB,andal.(2016),“TheTrilliondollarques]onII:trackinginvestmentneedsintransport”WRI

IN KENYA

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WBG NetCommitments/CommiQed($m)

IDA 4,131.1 IFC 908.1 MIGA WorldBankGroup 5,039.2

ACTIVEPORTFOLIOALLSECTORS

PublicAdministra]on,Lawand

Jus]ce28%

Water,Sanita]onandFloodProtec]on

22%

[CATEGORYNAME]

[PERCENTAGE]

Others31%

IDATOP3SECTORS(ACTIVEPORTFOLIO)

Commitments

Na]onalUrbanTransportImprovement 300.00TransportSectorSupportProject 503.50Total 803.50

PipelineFY17/18KenyaRuralRoadsProject 100.00

AirportModerniza]onProject 0.06

NairobiBRTProject 250.00

Total 350.06

TRANSPORT

Whatdoesthefutureholdforus?By2030,

GLOBAL CONTEXT

3billionmorepeopleonEarth,withrising

aspiraDonsformobility

Freightvolumeexpectedtoquadruple

DollarvalueofdigitalinformaDonflowsalready

exceedsvalueoftradedgoods

4

CHALLENGES

CollecDveglobaleffortsonsustainablemobilityhavesofarbeeninsufficient:

�Over1billionpeoplehavenoaccesstoanall-weatherroad

billionpeople1

70percentoffuelenergyislostinengineanddriveline

inefficiencies.

%GHGemissions70

5

Numberofvehiclesontheroadexpectedtodoubleto2billion

by2050

billioncars1

Roaddeathrateper100,000popula]on

increased32%inLowIncome

Countries(from18.3in2010to24.1in2013)

32%inroaddeaths

Transportisresponsiblefor23percentofenergy-

relatedGHGemissionsandthisshareisincreasing

23%fuelenergy

TofacilitateSustainableMobilityforAllthroughfourgoals:

VISION

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Progressonthesegoalswillimprovethelivesandlivelihoodsofbillionsofpeopleacrosstheworld—theirhealth,theirenvironment,theirqualityoflife—andhelpstabilizeclimatechangeoverthelongterm.

Embedmi]ga]on,adapta]on,andenvironmental

concernsintosupplyaswellas

demandside

CLIMATE&ENVIRONMENT

Improvethesafetyofmobility(SDGtarget3.6onroadsafety)

SAFETY

Secureaccessforalltoeconomicand

socialopportuni]es

ACCESSFORALL

Increasetheefficiencyof

transportsystemsandservices

EFFICIENCY

GOAL

SOUTC

OMES

GLOBAL TRACKING FRAMEWORK

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§  Aglobaltrackingframework(GTF)tomeasureprogresstowardsthefourgoals,usingcountry-levelindicators.

§  Progressoneachgoaltrackedusingoneprincipal,twoaddi]onal,andothersuppor]ngindicators.

§  ThisGTFtobesupportedbyapartnershiptodevelop,collect,andanalyzedataandindicators.

CALL FOR ACTION

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ManyactorshavemadevoluntaryfinancialandoperaDonalcommitments:

Transformingtheworld’smobilityrequiresmore.Weneed:

>70%countriesaretarge]ng

transportintheirNDCs

COUNTRIES

>80ci]es(affiliatedwithC40)aretackling

climatechangeandclimaterisk

CITIES

>260transporta]on

companiespledgedtoreduceGHG

emissions

PRIVATESECTOR

>$175billioncommimedinloans

andgrantsforsustainabletransport

from2013to2022

MDBs

Arobustglobalvisiontoguideus

Aglobaltrackingframeworktomeasureprogress

Boldandambi]ousacDons

StrengthenglobalcoaliDonstocarrytheagendaforward

15ini]a]veshavecommimed

toreducingcarbonfootprintacrosstransport

modes

LPAA/CIVILSOCIETY

BOLD AND AMBITIOUS ACTIONS

■  DedicatedfundingforsustainablemobilityintheGreenClimateandClimateInvestmentfunds

■  Rebalanceurbanpublicspaceinfavorofnon-motorizedtransport(bicyclingandwalking)

■  AcceleratetheintroducDonofcarbonpricing(includingfuelsubsidyreform)

■  Rolloutsafetytechnologiesthatcandras]callyreducetrafficaccidentsandfatali]es

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Weneedscaleandfocustoradicallytransformthemovementofpeopleandgoodsintheshort,medium,andlong-term.Intheshort-term:asetof“quick-wins”,suchas:

■  ExpandingcongesDon/roadcharginginmajorglobalci]es

■  Modernizingageingrailfleetsandtrac]onsystems

Inthemedium-term:ac]ons,suchas:

Inthelong-term:ac]ons,suchasaGlobalRoadmapforDe-Carboniza]onoftheTransportSector

GLOBAL COALITION

 Weneedtostrengthenandexpandexis]ngcoaliDonsofboldandcommimedactorsdrawnfromarangeofgroups:■  NaDonalchampions:SynergieswiththeSDGsandtheParisagreement(NDCs)canbestbe

op]mizedatthecountrylevel.

■  Citychampions:Ci]esareattheforefrontofsustainablemobilityandwillbeleadingmanyofthesustainablemobilityini]a]ves.

■  Privatesectorchampions:Privatesectorislikelytoremainatthecuongedgeofinnova]onsandakeyinvestorforsustainabletransport.

■  Civilsociety:Organiza]onspromo]ngcoordinatedac]onarecentral.■  InternaDonalactors:Organiza]onswithinterna]onalcloutwillbekeysourcesof

leadershipandknowledge.

TheroleofthesecoaliDonswillbetoshareknowledge,advocate,galvanizeacDon,andcatalyzefinancingfromthepublicandprivatesectorforsustainablemobility.

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SUSTAINABLE MOBILITY—THE WAY FORWARD

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May5-6 ClimateAcDonSummit(Plenary).

Conveners:UNSecretaryGeneralandWBGPresident.Dialogueonsustainablemobility.PlusPre-SummitStakeholders’Workday–TransportTrack,May4

UNSGHLAGSustainableTransportMeeDng,San]ago.EngagementwithHLAGonsustainablemobility

COP22,Morocco–andUNSGHLAGSTConference,Ashgabat-Recommenda]onsonsustainablemobilityendorsed

WorldBank-IMFAnnualMeeDngs-DialoguewithMinistersofFinanceonsustainablemobility

Octob

er7-9

May31

Novem

ber

May18-20

InternaDonalTransportForum,Leipzig.MinistersofTransport.Dialogueonsustainablemobility UNGeneral

Assembly.High-levelevent

HabitatIIIConference-Deep-diveonurbanmobility

WorldEconomicForum,Davos–Highlevelsupportforsustainablemobilityforall

Septem

ber1

3-20

Octob

er

Octob

er17-20

Jan17

-20,201

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WorkwithPartnerstoRallySupporDngVoices

How can the IE Connect for Impact Contribute?  Better understand the economics of T&I interventions to achieve higher impact

•  Generate evidence on key topics at scale (conclusive results) to support the Narrative on sustainable transport

•  Make significant investments in knowledge generation in priority business areas (urban mobility, transport corridors, broadband access)

•  Establish the evidence basis for linking interventions with poverty reduction, growth and sustainable development

•  Pooling intellectual and financial resources to achieve scale (e.g., involve other MDBs to maximize cross-institutional learning spill-overs).

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MDB’s RESPONSE

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Rio+20 MDBs Pledge on

Sustainable Transport

$175 billion

2012-22 On track

($65 billion)

Paris Commitment on

Climate Finance by MDBs, 2020* AfdB: $5 billion ADB: $6 billion

EIB: 35 %

(from 25%)

EBRD: 40 % (from 20%)

IDB: 25-30 % (from 14%)

WBG: 28 % (from 21%)

Paris Joint MDBs commitment on Transport and

Change

WORLD BANK RESPONSE

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WBG’s total commitment for climate finance

$10.3 billion (2015) è $29 billion (2020)

WB Transport for climate finance

2011-15 (actual) US$7.8 billion

(26.4% of total transport commitment)

o/w adaptahon = US$ 715 million

Projected 2016-2020 US$ 10.5 billion

(35% of total transport commitment) US$ 2.1 billion

2015 (actual) US$1.3 billion

o/w adaptahon = $200 million

1.8

0.8

6.1

0

2

4

6

8

2011

1.3

3.1

2012

0.9

4.3

2013

2.0

0.3

4.6

2014

1.1

3.9

2015

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

Transport Sector (FY11-15, USD Billions) (U

SD B

illio

ns)

with mihgahon benefits transport commitments with adaptahon benefits

(Percentages of Comm

itments w

ith climate co-benefits )

Note: grey: transport commitments; red: with mihgahon benefits; blue: with adaptahon benefits)