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Dr Patrick Dixon Chairman Global Change Ltdhttp://www.globalchange.com
SustainAgility
Related Issues
Agile Ideas 2
Strategies of many corporations are
being overtaken by events
Wild Cards: Risk Management
Indonesia: Islamic radicalisation88% of 200 million
� Expect struggle for political power by radical groups in Indonesia, Malaysia
• Click to edit Master text styles
11
Huge bets on future price
13
You need more than
one strategy
16
$40bn a month
•
£1 trillion debt 33% bought back
23
Text
Touch, Voice, Gesture,
Thought Control
The future is about
EMOTION
30
80% lost in 10 seconds
1 billion children à cities
1 billion children alive today
300 million à cities in China by 2020$4 trillion infrastructure in next 5 years
Commodity pressures
Emissions
� IMF - adjusted for Purchasing Power Parity
37
>40% WDP Asia by 2015
1 billion over 60s in 10 years
1 week every 4
Europe Dying
4 couples needed to produce just one
great-grandchild
Computersknow more than
physicians
•Ottawa Hospital, Ontario, Canada - 3,000 iPads.
•Mayo Clinic - 10,000 iPhones and 2,000 iPads
Read Human Genome in an Hour for $1000($100 million in 2000)
46
• Harvard Bioscience
• Bioreactor
• Bone m stem cells
• Polymer scaffold
•lexmark print new skin
• Diabetes, congestive heart failure, obstructive pulmonary
• 2.2 million at home
• > $22bn by 2015
•Mobile telephony
Home Oxygen$2bn pa by 2018
Can we stop ageing ?
Treatment which restores and maintains the youthful elasticity of hardened arteries, improves heart failure – and helps wrinkled skin.
Grow New Teeth
• Pigs teeth grown inside rats
• Mice grow new teeth from nerve cells / gum tissue
Successful Heart repair
• Inject bone marrow stem cells after bypass
• Improves heart function
Monkeys on diet live longer• After 20 years - 80% alive v 50% on normal calories• Less cancer, diabetes, heart disease, strokes, brain decay
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Slow or no ageing is a reality
• Rockfish, Turtles, some Whales
• No signs of getting old
1 trillionpages a month
Why had to change
Would they recommend to a friend ?
"Perfection!," TripAdvisor Member, Sept 13, 2012 This was the most beautiful hotel. Delightful, all perfect. We will stay again v soon. "Terrible! TripAdvisor Member, Nov 10, 2011 Terrible place, rats, dirty, noisy - sick with food poisoning for 2 weeks. Nearly died.
Rebalancing Portfolio
5-10% increase in efficiency from nanotech
33% in UK don’t watch live TV
70% UK bandwidth = YouTube + BBC Neflix video streams = 25% US bandwidth (27m users)
•Allow or Block ?
Some users in France > 30 gig in days
Google Mobile Wallet Monetise (mobile payments for banks) Square startup $3bn valuation
Mobile Payments
•PayPal -‐ $141m to $4bn from 2009-‐11
• Kenya -‐ 15m people• $9bn pa -‐ 33% GDP•
79
Free mobile devicescalls / web / TV / games / pay
2010 2013 2015
TelcoBanks
$40 Trillion Green Tech Boom driven by oil price, cost cuts, green activism
Oil >$100 a barrel accelerates innovationEven strong climate sceptics “go green”
Shale gas 33% US supplies
200 years global supplyUp from 60 years in 5 years
5 coal plants replace with gas = 9000 megawatts wind
57 will close in US in 2012
� 30 million acres lost
� EU 5% gasoline and diesel from food
25% of 2010 US grain fuel
30% US grain burnt in cars
86
30% US grain
120,000 terawatts of sunlight /day7,000 times total global power usePower Moscow from Libyan Desert
“40% EU power = wind by 2050”Surplus wind to hydrogen - to methane ?
120,000 terawatts of sunlight /day7,000 times total power use
Power whole Europe from 20km x 80km desert
•Only 5% EU power crosses borders
Solar cell generation parity
Fuel cell shipments up 300% in 2012
Australia Power Shortage• 10% capacity used 4 days a year• Average $50 à peak $10,000 per MWhr
Enough salt caverns to power germany for a week
94
95
Burning in oxygen
LIFE IS SHORT - only sell what you believe in
BeyondCompliance
Future revenue from legislation Rapid changes in regulations
and public mood
�For individuals�For family�For community �For whole earth
Building a Better WorldConnecting with passion for life
Dr Patrick Dixon Chairman Global Change Ltd
http://www.globalchange.com4 MILLION VIDEO VIEWS
�How did you feel ?�Immediate thoughts�Big questions
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�Key issues impacting strategy�Major opportunities
�Which ones can you fix yourselves ?�Imagine opportunity for 3 minute conversation with your Chairman about an issue / opportunity and a solution....
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