THE INFLUENCE OF AUSTRALIAN AND JAPANESE

TOURISTS NUMBER ON BALI LOCAL REVENUE

IN 2010-2013

SCHOLARLY PAPER

Submitted to fulfill a final requirement study at senior high school 1 in MATHEMATICS lesson

Written by :

Syifa Sahaliya131410145

XII Science 9

SUMEDANG SENIOR HIGH SCHOOL 1

i

APPROVAL PAGE

The Influence of Australian and Japanese Tourists

Number on Bali Local Revenue in 2010-2013

Approved by,

Material Adviser,

Dedeh Hodiyah, M.Pd.

NIP 19680705 199101 2 002

Technical Adviser,

Acih Mintarsih, S.Pd. M.M.Pd.

NIP 19641230 198703 2 003

Known by,

The Headmaster of Senior High School 1

Sumedang,

Drs. Yosep Raharja, M.M.Pd.

NIP 19621126 198703 1 011

Homeroom Teacher of XII Science 9,

Dra. Alis Nursofa, M.Ag.

NIP 19670523 199802 2 001

ii

iii

DEDICATED PAGE

“So remember Me, I will remember you. And be grateful to Me and do not deny Me” (Al-Baqarah : 152)...

“There’s no success without a sacrifice and there’s no success without hardness”...

I dedicate this page toMom & Dad (Aam & Darsim) , also My Beloved

brothers and sister (Acep, Rubby, and Rully), who always support me,

Then Mr. Sarip, Mrs. Sa’diah, Ms. Nurul, Mr. Ruhbi, Mrs. Lin, and Mrs. Titin who’ve motivated me

The Big Family of Integrated Junior High School of Ar-Risalah , especially SPURS 1013 and all members of TIREX

Basketball Team who’ve made me understand about “Life”

The Big Family of Karnaval Ar-Risalah Dormitory, who taught me

“THE Struggle”

The Big Family of Universe :

AIDA, ARNI, CHAIDIR, DWI, EGI, ELNI, FITRI, GENDIS, GHINA, MIA, MOCH. FIKRY, NADYA, NOVIA, RIBHY, SHAINNE, TALITHA, AND YEVI

iii

who’ve colored my days

and this is for everyone whom I love...This is for you ^_^

PREFACE

All praises may be to Allah, the most Gracious, the One,

with His love and mercy I can finish this scholarly paper. May the

blessing and peace of Allah be upon the last and the great

prophet Muhammad SAW, his family, his companions, his

followers, and his following followers till the day of judgement.

As long as the author wrote this scholarly paper, there

were many difficulties faced from many sides. But, with all

guidances, suggestions, and motivations from all sides, finally

the scholarly paper entitled “The Influence of Australian and

Japanese Tourists Number on Bali Local revenue in 2010-2013”

can be finished well. Therefore, the author would like to thank

to :

1. Mr. Drs. Yosep Raharja, M.M.Pd., as the Headmaster of Senior High

School 1 Sumedang who always gives good examples for all students.

iv

2. Mrs. Dra. Alis Nursofa, M.Ag, as the Homeroom teacher of XII Science 9

which always motivates and encourages author to complete this scholarly

paper soon.

3. Mrs. Dedeh Hodiyah, M.Pd. and Mrs. Acih Mintarsih, S.Pd.

M.M.Pd., as the advisers who always guide the materially, and

technically, and give any corrections during the writing of this scholarly

paper.

4. My beloved parents who always support materially and spiritually,

especially their miracle prayers, motivation, knowledge, and simpathy that

make the author feel excited to finish this scholarly paper well.

5. My beloved brothers and sister who always cheer the author up to finish

this scholarly paper soon.

6. All teachers of Sumedang Senior High School 1 for their advices.

7. All of my friends, especially all members of Universe who have colored

my days, and given the author inspiration.

The author realizes this scholarly paper is still far of perfection, therefore

the author is waiting for the suggestion and the comments from the readers. The

author hopes that it can make the improvement to be better in the future.

Hopefully, this scholarly paper could give benefits to the readers.

v

Sumedang, October 2015

The Author

TABLE OF CONTENTS

COVER PAGE.........................................................................................................

i

APPROVAL PAGE.................................................................................................ii

DEDICATED PAGE...............................................................................................ii

PREFACE................................................................................................................ii

TABLE OF CONTENTS.........................................................................................ii

TABLE OF PICTURES...........................................................................................ii

CHAPTER I INTRODUCTION.............................................................................2

1.1 Problem Background.................................................................................2

1.2 Problem Formulation.................................................................................2

1.3 Research Purpose......................................................................................2

1.4 Time and Place of Research......................................................................2

1.5 Research Methods.....................................................................................2

1.6 Writing Systematic....................................................................................2

vi

CHAPTER II LITERATURE REVIEW.................................................................2

2.1 Definition of Foreign Tourists...................................................................2

2.2 Definition of Local Revenue.....................................................................2

2.2.1 Sources of Local Revenue..................................................................2

2.3 Statistic......................................................................................................2

2.3.1 Statistical Basic..................................................................................2

2.3.2 History of Statistics............................................................................2

2.3.3 Statistics As a grouping of Analytical Methods.................................2

2.3.4 Benefit of Statistics............................................................................2

2.3.4 Forms of Data Presentation................................................................2

CHAPTER III DISCUSSION PROBLEMS............................................................2

3.1 The Development of Australian tourist visitors to Bali in 2010-2013......2

3.1.1 Presentation of Data...........................................................................2

3.2 The Development of Japanese Tourist Visitors to Bali in 2010- 2013.....2

3.2.1 Presentation of Data...........................................................................2

3.3 The Comparsion of Australian and Japanese Tourists Number to Bali

Island in 2010-2013..............................................................................................2

3.3.1 Presentation of Data...........................................................................2

3.4 The Development of Bali Local Revenue in 2010-2013...........................2

3.4.1 Presentation of Data...........................................................................2

a. Bar Chart.......................................................................................................2

3.5 The Influence of Australian and Japanese Tourists Number to Bali Local

Revenue in 2010-2013..........................................................................................2

3.5.2 Data Processing..................................................................................2

3.5.3 Data Processing..................................................................................2

vii

CHAPTER IV..........................................................................................................2

CLOSING................................................................................................................2

4.1 Conclusions...............................................................................................2

4.1 Suggestions................................................................................................2

BIBLIOGRAPHY....................................................................................................ii

BIOGRAPHY..........................................................................................................ii

ATTACHMENT......................................................................................................ii

viii

TABLE OF PICTURES

Picture 2.3.4.2 Example Diagram Circle.................................................................2

Picture 2.3.4.3 Example Histogram Graph..............................................................2

Picture 2.3.4.4 Example Line Diagram....................................................................2

Picture 3.1.1 The Number of Australian Tousrists in 2010-2013 in Bar Chart.......2

Picture 3.1.2 The Number of Australian Tousrists in 2010-2013 in Line Diagram 2

Picture 3.2.1 The Number of Japanese Tousrist in 2010-2013 in Bar Chart...........2

Picture 3.2.2 The Number of Japanese Tousrists in 2010-2013 in Line Diagram.. .2

Picture 3.3.1 The Comparsion of Australian and Japanese Tourists Number to

Bali Island in 2010-2013 in Bar Chart.....................................................................2

Picture 3.3.2 The Comparsion of Australian and Japanese Tourists Number to

Bali Island in 2010-2013 in Line Diagram..............................................................2

Picture 3.4.1 The Number of Bali Local Revenue in 2010-2013 in Bar Chart.......2

Picture 3.4.2 The Number of Bali Local Revenue in 2010-2013 in Line Diagram 2

Picture 3.5 The Number of Australian Tourists to Bali Local Revenue in 2010-

2013 in Line Diagram..............................................................................................2

Picture 3.5.2 The Number of Japanese Tourists to Bali Local Revenue in 2010-

2013 in Line Diagram..............................................................................................2

ix

CHAPTER I

INTRODUCTION

1.1 Problem Background

Bali island is a small island that is so beautiful that many tourists

both local and foreign tourists visit Bali which is very prominent with their

objects, such as nature tourism and cultural tourism. Tourists know Bali

island than Indonesia, or it can be said that the name of Bali is more

famous than the name of Indonesia. This indicates that Bali island has a

very strong appeal to the international community. Even in the book

"Indonesian Portraits from an Archipelago" written by Ian Charles

Stewart, Bali is mentioned as a "gem" in the east end of the island of Java.

Thus, it is evident that Bali island is a promising potential land for

Indonesian tourism industry for foreign tourists, especially Australia and

Japan, both of which are countries in the Asia Pacific region.

Foreign tourists are tourists who come from abroad, or people who

relax into other countries. Australia is a country located in the south of

Indonesia and is separated from Asia by the Arafura and Timor Sea. While

Japan is an island nation located in East Asia and in northern Indonesia.

Australia and Japan is the 2 countries with the highest rating among other

countries who visit the island of Bali.

1

Bali island becomes an area that has the largest local revenues in

the tourism sector in all parts of Indonesia. With regard to the affairs of

local revenues of Bali above (local revenue here is only concerned with the

tourism sector), then the number of tourism becomes very important here.

From year to year the number of tourists of Australia and Japan

who came to the island of Bali is not always constant it increases or even

decrease. The author feels more interested in studying the influence of

tourists of Australia and Japan to Bali Local Revenue in the year 2010-

2013. Therefore, the author is interested in doing a study entitled " The

Influence of Australian and Japanese Tourists Number on

Bali Local Revenue in 2010-2013"

1.2 Problem Formulation

In this research, the author has some problem

formulations, these are :

1. How is the development of The Australian tourist

number on Bali Island in 2010-2013?

2. How is the development of The Japanese tourist number

on Bali Island in 2010-2013?

3. How is the development of Bali Local Revenue in 2010-

2013?

2

4. How is the influence of Australian and Japanese Tourists

number on Bali Local Revenue in 2010-2013 ?

1.3 Research Purpose

The purpose to be achieved after finishing this research

are :

1. to know the development of The Australian tourist

number on Bali Island in 2010-2013 ;

2. to know the development of The Japanese tourist

number on Bali Island in 2010-2013 ;

3. to know the development of Bali Local Revenue in

2010-2013 ;

4. to know the influence of Australian and Japanese

Tourists number on Bali Local Revenue in 2010-2013.

1.4 Time and Place of Research

The author was conducting this research while the

big family of Sumedang Senior High School 1 were touring

to Bali on Juni 6, 2015 until July 13, 2015. Some objects were

visited, such as; Tanah Lot, Panglipuran village, Bedugul lake, Turtle

Island, Pandawa Beach, Soka Beach, Kute Beach, and Joker.

3

1.5 Research Methods

In this scholarly paper, the author conducted several

methods to obtain the necessary data, these are :

1. Literature Study, by reading books related to the

material that will be discussed.

2. Observation, by observing to the observation sites.

3. Browsing The Internet, by searching data in the sites

which are necessary for my scholarly paper.

1.6 Writing Systematic

CHAPTER I INTRODUCTION, consists of problem

background, problem formulation, research purpose, time

and place of research, research methods, and writing

systematic.

CHAPTER II LITERATURE REVIEW,

CHAPTER III DISCUSSION PROBLEMS,

CHAPTER IV CLOSING, as the closing of scholarly

paper writing which consists of the conclusions and

suggestions.

4

CHAPTER II

LITERATURE REVIEW

2.1 Definition of Foreign Tourists

Foreign tourists are citizens of a country who travel from their

country to the outside environment (entering other countries). In terms of

foreign tourists in the Dictionary of Indonesian, foreign tourists are tourists

who come from abroad.

Australia is located in the southern hemisphere between the Pacific

Ocean and the Indian Ocean. Australian continent stretches from 10° 41'SL

until 43° 39'SL and from 113° 09'EL until 153° 39'EL. Australia shared the

ocean with the nearest neighbors, Indonesia and Papua New Guinea.

Australia is located in southeast Indonesia. At the nearest point limit,

Australia and Indonesia are only a few kilometers apart.

Japan is an archipelago called Nippon by the Japanese. It’s well

known as the Rising Sun Country and Sakura Country. Japan is located in

north Indonesia, with astronomical layout 30ºNL until 47ºNL and 128ºEL

until 146ºEL, and the geographical position in east Asia region apart from

Asia, east Asia and west Pacific Ocean.

From the data taken by the Central Bureau of Statistics of Bali

Province, Australia ranked first in the list of ten countries supplying tourists

to Bali. Under the head of this government agency, I Gede Suarsa added that

5

Australians continually come to Bali because they consider Bali as their

second home. This means that Australians feel comfortable staying in Bali,

both because of the uniqueness of this island, or because of the tendency of

Australians who want to escape for a moment from the bustle in their

country. In addition, the main reason why the number of Australian tourists

visit Bali is due to the geographical position of the adjacent Bali and

Australia, as well as the uniqueness of Bali which is offered to the tourists of

Australia.

Not much different from Australian tourists, many Japanese tourists

also visiti the island because of the privilege and the uniqueness of the island

itself. Although the location is quite far away from Japan, but the Japanese

tourists including foreign tourists are the most numerous and frequent

tourists who come to Bali after Australia. They liked the island of Bali and

tourist attractions such as Bajra Sandhi and other historic buildings.

2.2 Definition of Local Revenue

Local Revenue hereinafter called PAD is reception area obtained

from sources within its own territory which is levied based on Local

Regulation in accordance with the legislation in force (Article 1 of Law No.

33 of 2004). Then Abdul Halim (2004: 64) says that the original income

(PAD) are all local revenues derived from the sources of the local economy.

From both definitions, the author concluded that revenue is all local revenues

6

collected by local regulations in accordance with the legislation in force and

obtained from its own territory.

Local Revenue (PAD) Bali Province 2010-2013 period was

influenced by the growth in the number of tourist arrivals in a positive way.

The increase in the value growth of the number of tourist arrivals will mean

the increasing rate of the number of hotel occupancy, both star and non-star

hotels, as well as increase the number of tourists visiting the place of tourism

objects, both natural tourism, historical and cultural tourism in the province

of Bali. It also will increase the number of hotels and restaurants that will

have an impact on the increase in local tax revenues and levies, which in turn

will increase revenue.

2.2.1 Sources of Local Revenue

Based on Law No. 25 of 1999 the sources of revenue (PAD) either

the district or city are derived from :

1. Local Tax.

2. Local Retribution.

3. The companies belong to the region and the nature wealth of the areas.

4. Other Local Revenue legitimate.

7

The definition of the sources of local revenue based on Law No. 25

of 1999 is as follows:

1. Local Tax

Local tax is the compulsory contributions made by individual or

entity to areas without immediate reward that can not be enforced and used

to finance the organization of local governance, which consists of :

a. Hotel taxes.

b. Restaurant tax.

c. Entertainment tax.

d. Advertisement tax.

e. Street lighting tax.

f. Tax Collection and the Processing of Minerals Group C.

g. Parking Tax.

2. Retribution

It is the compulsory contribution made by individual or entity to the

region in exchange for immediate and can not be enforced and used to

finance the implementation of the local government, which consists of :

8

a. Public service levies.

b. Business service levies.

c. Specific Licensing levy.

3. The income of companies belong to the region and the

processing of other separated regional assets include:

a. Share of profit.

b. Dividends.

c. The sale of shares belonging to the area.

4. Other legitimate local revenue, such as sales of fixed assets and

current accounts area.

Based on the Regional Revenue of Office Cimahi office in it’s book

(DIPENDA, 2003), the Local Revenue (PAD) is the revenue taken from

local sources within its own territory imposed under the law, which is

derived from :

A. Local Tax

1) Provincial Tax.

a. Motor Vehicle Tax and Vehicle on Water (PKB).

b. Customs of Vehicle and Vehicle on Water (BBNKB).

c. Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax (PBBKB).

d. Taxes on the extraction and utilization of ground water and surface water.

9

2) District / City Tax

a. Hotel taxes.

b. Restaurant tax.

c. Entertainment tax.

d. Advertising Tax

e. Public street lighting tax.

f. Collection Tax and Processing of Minerals Group C.

g. Parking Tax.

B. Retribution

Retribution is a levy that is conducted by the Regional Government

for services and the use of public facilities provided by the regional

government for the benefit of society, appropriate with regional regulations

applied.

C. Regional Owned Company Results wealth management and other areas

that are separated.

D. Other Local Revenue approved the sale of fixed assets such as regional

and current accounts.

10

2.3 Statistic

2.3.1 Statistical Basic

According to Wikipedia ( https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Statistics )

Statistics is the study of the collection, analysis, interpretation, presentation,

and organization of data. In applying statistics to, e.g., a scientific, industrial,

or societal problem, it is conventional to begin with a statistical population or

a statistical model process to be studied. Populations can be diverse topics

such as "all persons living in a country" or "every atom composing a crystal".

Statistics deals with all aspects of data including the planning of data

collection in terms of the design of surveys and experiments.

When census data cannot be collected, statisticians collect data by

developing specific experiment designs and survey samples. Representative

sampling assures that inferences and conclusions can safely extend from the

sample to the population as a whole. An experimental study involves taking

measurements of the system under study, manipulating the system, and then

taking additional measurements using the same procedure to determine if the

manipulation has modified the values of the measurements. In contrast, an

observational study does not involve experimental manipulation.

11

2.3.2 History of Statistics

The use of the term statistics / statistics stems from the Latin term in

modern terms statisticum collegium ("council of state") and the Italian

statista ("statesman" or "politician"). English dictionary we will find the

word statistics and statistics said. Those two words have different meanings.

The word statistics means "the science of statistics", was said statistic

diartika as "size obtained or derived from a sample," ie as opposed to the

word "parameter" which means "measure obtained or derived from the

population".

Gottfried Achenwall (1749) use statistics in German for the first time

as a name for the data analysis activities of state, to interpret it as "the

science of the state (state)". At the beginning of the 19th century there has

been a shift in the sense of being "knowledge regarding the collection and

classification of data". Sir John Sinclair introduced the name (Statistics) and

these terms into English. Thus, statistics in principle at first only takes care

of the data used administrative agencies and government. Data collection

continues, in particular through the census conducted regularly to provide

information on population change at any time.

In the 19th century and early 20th century statistics started being used

mainly opportunities. Branch of statistics that are currently very widely used

to support scientific methods, statistical inference, developed in the second

half of the 19th century and early 20th century by Ronald Fisher (the

12

foundation stone of statistical inference), Karl Pearson (linear regression

method), and William Sealey Gosset (researching the problem of small

sample size). The use of statistics in the past can now be said to have touched

all areas of science, from astronomy to linguistika. Fields of economics,

biology and branches of its application, as well as psychology influenced by

the statistical methodology. Consequently born combined sciences such as

econometrics, biometrics (or biostatistics), and psikometrika.

Although there are those who think of statistics as a branch of

mathematics, but some others consider the statistics as a field that is much

related to the mathematical view of the history and application. In Indonesia,

most of the statistical studies included in the faculty of mathematics and

natural sciences, both within its own departments and incorporated with

math.

2.3.3 Statistics As a grouping of Analytical Methods

a. Descriptive Statistics

Descriptive statistics is the science of statistics relating to the

activities of recording and summarizing the results of observations of events

or characteristics of human beings, places and so on, quantitative, or

statistical study ways of collecting, preparing, and presenting and depiction

data has been collected to a study.

13

The activities included in this category, such as data collection,

grouping data, the determination of value and statistical functions, create

graphs, diagrams and drawings. Records regarding the number of births,

deaths and marriages per year are called statistics. Similarly, descriptive

regarding age, education level, as well as the composition ernik residents

living in an area.

The main purpose of the operation descriptive statistics is easier for

people to read and understand the meaning of data. The scope includes

descriptive statistics:

1) The frequency distribution

2) Measurement of central values (mean, mode, median and standard

deviation), dispersion, skewness and kurtosis.

3) Presentation of data in the form of graphs (histograms, polygons, ogive)

4) Figures Index

5) Time series or time series

b. Inferential Statistics

Inferential statistics is the field of statistical science that studies the

procedures for drawing conclusions about the entire population based on

existing data (sample) or statistics relating to the activities of drawing

conclusions from the facts, and making decisions based on facts.

14

In the inferential staistik contain parameter estimation, hypothesis

testing, prediction and calculation of the degree of association between

variables. The scope of inferential statistics include:

1) Probability.

2) Distribution of data.

3) Estimation of parameters

4) Test the hypothesis including chi-square test and analysis of variance.

5) Regression analysis.

6) The correlation analysis.

2.3.4 Benefit of Statistics

1. Statistics As Material Planning

Statistics as described in the previous point is the knowledge

associated with data collection, processing, analysis, presentation, and

drawing conclusions and making decisions based on data and analysis of

activities undertaken. In other words, any data that is needed is the data

reliable and timely. Through reliable data and timely expected that all data

processing activities will generate information to make an appropriate

decision. Possibilities of irregularities that have been tried to be eliminated as

small as possible through various methods developed in statistics, will

greatly assist in any planning activities program.

15

2. Statistics For Monitoring Materials

As already mentioned in the narrow sense that the statistics are a

summary of data in the form of numbers then it is very helpful in an activity

monitoring. Therefore, generally performed in the monitoring activity is to

monitor all the strength and weaknesses of the program that involves many

variables in the form of a summary of data (for example: the number of

babies weighed, population, number of family planning acceptors, number of

children immunized and so forth).

3. Statistics As Material Evaluation

By knowing a variety of reliable data so we can then analyze and

decide the good and the bad. In addition, through a variety of existing data

we can compare and then make a generalization of the small sample to the

population.

2.3.4 Forms of Data Presentation

1. Table

Tables are more appropriately called table column line are tables

made apart from contingency tables and frequency distribution is a table

16

consisting of rows and columns that have the feature is not composed of the

factors that consists of several categories and do not constitute quantitative

data made into several groups.

Examples Table Grade Point Avarage (GPA) list a student of Mathematics

Education

Number Semester GPA

1 I 3,12

2 II 3,00

3 III 3,39

4 IV 3,37

5 V 2,9

6 VI 3,3

7 VII 3,4

2. Diagram Circle

Presentation of statistical data in percent or degrees dapan using pie

charts. The surplus, a place to make a pie chart is not too large. The pie chart

is very useful to show and compare the proportion of data. The drawback, pie

charts can not show the frequency.

17

Example Diagram Circle

25%

50%

15%10%

Method of Transportation to School

Bycicle School Bus Car Walk

Picture 2.3.4.2 Example Diagram Circle

3. Histogram Graph

A histogram is a graph of the frequency distribution of a variable.

Histogram display in the form of patches of rectangles. As a horizontal axis

may be put on the edges of the class, the class limits or values of variables

observed, while the vertical axis shows the frequency. For distribution

bergolong or groups who become abscissa is the middle value of each class.

(Drs. Ating Somantri, 2006: 113).

18

Example Histogram Graph

Picture 2.3.4.3 Example Histogram Graph

4. Line Diagram

Line charts are made usually to show the development of a state. The

development of an upward bias bias down. This appears visually through the

line in the graph. There is a vertical line in the graph showing the number

and the horizontal shows certain variables shown in the figure below, which

need to be considered in making the graph is the appropriateness of making

the scale on the vertical line which will reflect the number of observation

results. (Dr. Sugiyono, 2002: 34).

19

The Number of Students in Integrated Junior High School of Ar-Risalah Ciamis0

100

200

300

400

500

600

100200

300

400

500

600

The Number of Students in integrated junior high school of Ar-risalah ciamis

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Example Line Diagram

Picture 2.3.4.4 Example Line Diagram

5. Pearson Colleration

Pearson correlation statistic is a technique used to measure the

strength of the relationship two variables and also to be able to know the

relationship between the two variables with results that are quantitative. The

strength of the relationship between the two variables in question here is

whether the relationship closely, weak, or not closely while the shape of the

relationship is whether the shape of the correlation Linear Linear Positive or

Negative.

20

2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20250

200400600800

100012001400160018002000

1000

15001600

1700 18001900

The Number of Students in Ar-Risalah Boarding School Ciamis

The Number of Students in Ar-Risalah Boarding School Ciamis

The strength of relationship between two variables are usually called

correlation coefficient and denoted by the symbol "r". R coefficients value

will always be between -1 to + 1.Koefisien correlation will always be in the

range -1 ≤ r ≤ +1. Pearson Correlation Coefficient The correlation coefficient

is also called the Simple because the simple correlation coefficient

calculation formula is expressed by Karl Pearson is a mathematician who

came from England.

The formula used to calculate the correlation coefficients Modest is

as follows:

(This formula is also called the Pearson Product Moment).

Description:

n = Number of data pair X and Y

ΣX = Total Number of Variable X

ΣY = Total Number of Variable Y

ΣX2 = Squares of Total Total Variable X

ΣY2 = Squares of Total Total Variable Y

ΣXY = Result Multiplication of Total Number of variable X and variable Y

21

Pattern / Form of relationship between two variables :

1. Correlation Linear Positive (+1)

Change one followed Variable Value followed by other Variable

Value that changes regularly in the same direction. If the value variable X

increases, the variable Y will go up. If the value variable X has decreased,

then the variable Y will come down. If the correlation coefficient value

closer to +1 (positive one) means a pair of data variables X and Y variables

have a strong positive linear correlation / Closely.

2. Correlation Linear negative (-1)

Change one followed Variable Value followed by other Variable

Value that changes regularly with the opposite direction. If the value variable

X increases, the variable Y will fall. If the value has decreased variable X,

then Y variable value will rise. If the correlation coefficient value close to -1

(negative one) then this shows a pair of data variables X and Y variables

have a strong negative linear correlation / closely.

3. Correlates (0)

22

The increase in value only variable that is sometimes followed by the

decrease in other variables or sometimes followed by an increase in other

variable. Direction relation irregular, sometimes one way, sometimes the

opposite. If the correlation coefficient value close to 0 (zero) means a pair of

data variables X and Y variables correlated very weakly or not correlated

likely.

Coefficient of Determination

The correlation coefficient, r, only provides a measure of the strength

and direction of the linear relationship between two variables. But does not

provide information on what proportion of variance (variation) dependent

variable (Y) that can be explained or caused by a linear relationship with the

value of the independent variable (X). R value can not be compared directly,

for example, we can not say that the value of r = 0.8 is twice the value of r =

0.4.

Fortunately, squared values of r can measure precisely the ratio /

proportion of these, and the value of this statistic called the coefficient of

determination, r 2. Thus, the coefficient of determination can be defined as

the value which states that the proportion of Y diversity can be explained /

described by a linear relationship between the variables X and Y.

23

24

r The Criteria of Relationship according to Proffesor Sugiyono

0 No Correlation

> 0 – 0,199 Very Low Correlation>0,20 – 0,399 Low Correlation>0,40 – 0,599 Medium Correlation>0,60 – 0,799 Strong Correlation>0,80 – 0,999 Very Strong Correlation

1 Perfect Correlation

CHAPTER III

DISCUSSION PROBLEMS

3.1 The Development of Australian Tourists Visitors to Bali in 2010-

2013

Australia is a country that’s located close to Indonesia, and automatically it’s

also close to the island of Bali. Australian tourists visited Bali because of the beauty

and uniqueness of the island itself, and many of the Australian tourists visited Bali

because the distance is not too far between Australia and Bali. The number of

Australian tourists who visited Bali in 2010-2013 relatively increased. Here are data

on the number of Australian tourists visited Bali in 2010-2013.

Table 3.1 The Number of Australian Tourists to Bali in 2010-2013

25

Number Years Number of Australian Tourists

1 2010 647.872

2 2011 790.965

3 2012 823.821

4 2013 826.385

From the data above we can see the number of Australian tourists visited

Bali island from 2010 to 2013 has increased. It means that the island was

increasingly in demand by Australian tourist, so that more Australian tourists visited

Bali.

3.1.1 Presentation of Data

a. Bar Chart

Picture 3.1.1 The Number of Australian Tousrists in 2010-2013 in Bar

Chart.

26

2010 2011 2012 20130

100200300400500600700800900

647.872

790.965 823.821 826.385

The Number of Australian Tourists in 2010-2013

Number of Australian Tourists

b. Line Diagram

Picture 3.1.2 The Number of Australian Tousrists in 2010-2013 in Line

Diagram.

3.2 The Development of Japanese Tourist Visitors to Bali in 2010-

2013

Bali island is famous for its beauty, there are many attractions on the island

of Bali, as well as the uniqueness of objects that make foreign tourists interested in

visiting the island, including Japan which is located quite far from Indonesia. There

are many Japanese tourists who visit the island of Bali. However, in 2010-2011 the

number of Japanese tourists visiting Indonesia declined, and in 2012-2013 increased

27

2010 2011 2012 20130

100000200000300000400000500000600000700000800000900000

647972

790965 823821 826385

The Number of Australian Tourists in 2010-2013

Number of Australian Tourists

again. The following data is the number of Japanese tourists visiting the island of

Bali in 2010-2013.

Table 3.2 The Number of Japanese Tourists in 2010-2013

From the data above we can see the number of Japanese tourists visited Bali

island from 2010 to 2013 decreased and increased. Decrease occurred in 2011,

whereas the increase occurred in 2012-2013.

According to the head of the Bali Tourism Office, Ida Bagus Kadek

Subhiksu, there were many factors affecting the decline in the number of Japanese

tourists to Bali, one of them was the closing of direct flights of Japan Airlines (JAL)

Narita-Ngurah Rai on October 1, 2010. One reason JAL closed direct flights to

Denpasar was, due to the financial problems that convoluted the airline. Thus, the

direct flight path of Tokyo-Denpasar is only operated by Garuda Indonesia.

Furthermore Subhiksu states, in addition to the closure of JAL flight path, the

murder case of two Japanese tourists in 2009 and the catastrophic March 11, 2011,

28

Number Years Number of Japanese Tourists

1 2010 246.465

2 2011 183.284

3 2012 191.836

4 2013 208.115

also affected the reduction in the number of Japanese tourists to Bali. However, in

subsequent years the number of Japanese tourists increased again, this happened

because the Garuda plane started to fly to Haneda airport in Tokyo, then with the

end of the case of two Japanese tourists murder as well as the disaster on March 11,

2011.

So, there are several factors that lead to a decrease in the number of Japanese

tourists who visited the island in 2011, three of them due to the closure of direct

flights Japan Airlines (JAL) Narita-Ngurah Rai on October 1, 2010 ago, then the

murder case of two Japanese tourists in 2009 and the disaster on March 11, 2011.

However, in subsequent years the number of Japanese tourists has increased back

because Garuda began to fly to Haneda airport in Tokyo, then with the end of the

case of two Japanese murder tourists as well as the disaster on March 11, 2011.

3.2.1 Presentation of Data

a. Bar Chart

Picture 3.2.1 The Number of Japanese Tousrist in 2010-2013 in Bar

Chart.

b. Line Diagram

29

Picture 3.2.2 The Number of Japanese Tousrists in 2010-2013 in Line

Diagram.

3.3 The Comparsion of Australian and Japanese Tourists Number to

Bali Island in 2010-2013

The number of Australian tourists visited Bali in the years 2010-2013 was

more than the number of Japanese tourists who visited the island in 2010-2013.

Australian tourist numbers continued to increase from year to year, while the

number of Japanese tourists decreased. So it looks clear the comparison of the

number of Australia and Japan tourists in 2010-2013. The following is a

comparison of data.

Table 3.3 The Comparison of Australian and Japanese Tourists to

Bali island in 2010-2013

30

2010 2011 2012 20130

50

100

150

200

250246.465

183.284 191.836208.115

The Number of Japanese Tourists in 2010-2013

Number of Japanese Tourists

2010 2011 2012 20130

50

100

150

200

250

300246.465

183.284 191.836208.115

The Number of Japanese Tourists in 2010-2013

Number of Japanese Tourists

Number Years Number of Australian Tourists

Number of Japanese Tourists

1 2010 647.872 246.465

2 2011 790.965 183.284

3 2012 823.821 191.836

4 2013 826.385 208.115

3.3.1 Presentation of Data

a. Bar Chart

Picture 3.3.1 The Comparsion of Australian and Japanese Tourists

Number to Bali Island in 2010-2013 in Bar Chart.

b. Line Diagram

31

2010 2011 2012 20130

100200300400500600700800900

647.872

790.965 823.821 826.385

246.465183.284 191.836 208.115

The Comparsion of Australian and Japanese Tourists Number to Bali Island in 2010-2013

Number of Australian Tourists Number of Japanese Tourists

Picture 3.3.2 The Comparsion of Australian and Japanese Tourists

Number to Bali Island in 2010-2013 in Line Diagram.

3.4 The Development of Bali Local Revenue in 2010-2013

Bali Local Revenue in 2010-2013 was influenced by the growth in the

number of tourist arrivals in a positive way. The increase in the value growth of the

number of tourist arrivals is including Australian and Japanese. This means it

created a rising rate of the number of hotel occupancy, both star and non-star hotels,

as well as the increase number of tourists visiting the place of tourism objects, both

natural attractions, historical tourism and cultural tourism in Bali . It also increased

the number of hotels and restaurants that would have an impact on the increase in

local tax revenues and levies that could ultimately increase Bali Local Revenue

itself.

32

2010 2011 2012 20130

100200300400500600700800900

647.872

790.965 823.821 826.385

246.465183.284 191.836 208.115

The Compars ion of Austral ian and Ja-panese Tourist Number to Bali Is land

in 2010-2013

Number of Australian Tourists Number of Japanese Tourists

Table 3.4 The Number of Bali Local Revenue in 2010-2013

So, from the data above we can conclude that in 2010-2013 the state of Bali

Local Revenue relatively increased. This is affected because of the increasing

number of foreign tourists, including Australian and Japanese Tourists who visited

Bali Island in 2010-2013.

3.4.1 Presentation of Data

a. Bar Chart

33

Number YearsBali Local Revenue

(Rupiah)

1 2010 196.185.384

2 2011 215.866.366

3 2012 236.455.421

4 2013 257.971.060

Picture 3.4.1 The Number of Bali Local Revenue in 2010-2013 in Bar

Chart.

b. Line Diagram

Picture 3.4.2 The Number of Bali Local Revenue in 2010-2013 in Line

Diagram.

34

2010 2011 2012 20130

50000000

100000000

150000000

200000000

250000000

300000000

196185384215866366

236455421257971060

The Number of Bali Local Revenue in 2010-2013

Number of Bali Local Revenue (Rupiah)

2010 2011 2012 20130

50000000

100000000

150000000

200000000

250000000

300000000

196185384215866366

236455421257971060

The Number of Bali Local Revenue in 2010-2013

Bali Local Revenue (Rupiah)

3.5 The Influence of Australian and Japanese Tourists Number to

Bali Local Revenue in 2010-2013

Bali Local Revenue was affected by the number of domestic tourists or

foreign tourists who visited the island itself. In this case, the scope of foreign tourists

include Australian and Japanese tourists who visited the island in 2010-2013. In this

case the data needed to determine the relationship between the number of Australian

and Japanese tourists with Regional Income of Bali in 2010-2013 to determine the

quantitative result. The table below shows a clear correlation of Australian tourist

number to Bali Local Revenue in 2010-2013.

Table 3.5 The Number of Australian Tourist to Bali Local Revenue in

2010-2013

Years Number of Asustralian Tourists

Bali Local Revenue

(Rupiah)

2010 647.872 196.185.384

2011 790.965 215.866.366

2012 823.821 236.455.421

2013 826.385 257.971.060

35

2010 2011

2012

2013

P

i

c

t

u

r

e

3.5 The Number of Australian Tourists to Bali Local Revenue in 2010-

2013 in Line Diagram.

With the most visitors in the category of foreign tourists who visited Bali

island, the number of Australian tourists can affect the Revenue in the island of Bali.

We can see the proof from graph of the number of Australian tourists to Bali Local

Revenue in 2010-2013.

3.5.2 Data Processing

To determine the correlation or relationship with a number of Australian

tourists to Bali Local Revenue in 2010-2013, the following is data on the number of

Australian tourist to Bali Local Revenue in 2010-2013.

36

600 650 700 750 800 850150

170

190

210

230

250

270

The Number of Australian Tourists to Bali Local Revenue in 2010-2013

Number of Australian Tourist (Thousand)

Bali

Loca

l Rev

enue

(M

illio

n Ru

piah

)

37

nΣxy – (Σx) (Σy)                    

 √{nΣx² – (Σx)²} {nΣy2 – (Σy)2}    

(4)(705,826,113,087,779) – (3.089.043)(906.478.231)                    

√{(4)( 2,406,956,967,875) – (3.089.043)²} {(4)

(207.547.226.783.084.000) – (906.478.231)2}     

23,154,218,228,183

26,958,523,014,911

0.858883041

r² = 0.737680078134467 = the coefficient of determination is 73%

If r = 0.858883041 means very strong correlation, with a coefficient of

determination or the percentage reaches 73%. So the number of Australian tourist is

very influential on Bali Local Revenue in 2010-2013, the percentage reached 73%.

38

r =

r =

r =

r =

When compared with the number of Australian Tourists, the number of

Japanese tourists is smaller than Australian tourist. The following is data on the

number of Japanese tourists to Bali Local Revenue in 2010-2013.

Table 3.5.2 The Number of Japanese tourists on Bali Revenue in 2010-

2013

Picture 3.5.2 The Number of Japanese Tourists to Bali Local Revenue in

2010-2013 in Line Diagram.

39

20132012

2011

2010

Years Number of Japanese Tourists

Bali Local Revenue

(Rupiah)

2010 246.465 196.185.384

2011 183.284 215.866.366

2012 191.836 236.455.421

2013 208.115 257.971.060

In the data graph above the number of Japanese tourists had decreased in

2011, but the amount of revenue of the island remained elevated. So it can be said

that the number of Japanese tourists had weak effect on the Bali Local Revenue in

2010-2013.

3.5.3 Data Processing

To determine the correlation number of Japanese tourists to Bali Local

Revenue in 2010-2013, the following is the data on the number of Japanese tourists

to Bali Local Revenue in 2010-2013.

40

41

nΣxy – (Σx) (Σy)                    

 √{nΣx² – (Σx)²} {nΣy2 – (Σy)2}    

(4) (186.965.990.988.360) – (829.700) (906.478.231)                    

√{(4)(174.450.925.002) – (829.700)²} {(4)

(207.547.226.783.084.000) – (906.478.231)2}     

- 4,241,024,307,260

8,932,145,709,095

- 0.474804649

r² = 0.225439454609558 = the coefficient of determination is 22% .

If r = -0.474804649 means a medium correlation, with a coefficient of

determination or the percentage reaches 22% So the number of Japanese tourists has

a medium effect on Bali Local Revenue in 2010-2013, the percentage reached 22%.

42

20102011

2012

2013

r =

r =

r =

r =

CHAPTER IV

CLOSING

4.1 Conclusions

1. Based on the analysis the author concluded that the development of the of

Australian tourists number visited Bali in 2010-2013 was relative to rise

because of the higher tourist attraction of Bali island’s beauty.

2. The number of Japanese tourists who visited the island in 2010-2013 had

ever decreased in 2011 because there were several factors that influenced it,

three of them due to the closure of direct flights Japan Airlines (JAL) Narita-

Ngurah Rai on October 1, 2010, then the murder case of two Japanese

tourists in 2009 and the disaster on March 11, 2011. However, in subsequent

years the number of Japanese tourists increased back because Garuda began

to fly to Haneda airport in Tokyo along then with the end of the case of the

murder two Japanese tourists and the disaster on March 11, 2011.

3. The state of Bali Local Revenue in 2010-2013 relative increased. This was of

them influenced by the increasing number of foreign tourists, including

Australian and Japanese Tourists who visited the island in 2010-2011.

4. The number of Australian tourists increased influence on Bali Local Revenue

in 2010-2013, with its the percentage reached 73%. While the number of

Japanese tourists which declined gave medium effect on Bali local revenue

in 2010-2013, ie the percentage reached 22%.

43

4.1 Suggestions

1. The author recommends tourists foreign tourists including Australia and

Japan to have a greater enthusiasm to visit the island with its tourist objects

in order Bali Local Revenue rised even more.

2. Bali Island has beautiful natures, wich thick culture, and the attractions

which are unique and charming, it is good if it’s preserved as well as possible

as one of the main evidence of our love to the nature of Indonesia.

44

BIBLIOGRAPHY

August,12, 2015

https://id.wikipedia.org/wiki/Australia

https://id.wikipedia.org/wiki/Japan

https://id.wikipedia.org/wiki/Statistics

http://kebudayaan.kemdikbud.go.id/museumnasional/2014/06/20/eksotika-pulau-

bali-dikenal-dunia-sejak-abad-ke-16/

http://madebayu.blogspot.com

http://www.kamusbesar.com/59544/wisatawan-asing

August,17, 2015

https://teorionline.wordpress.com/category/tutorial-statistik/product-moment-

pearson/

ix

170 180 190 200 210 220 230 240 250 260180190200210220230240250260270280

The Number of Japanese Tourist to Bali Local Revenue in 2010-2013

Number of Japanese Tourist (Thousand)

Bali

Loca

l Rev

enue

(Mill

ion

Rupi

ah)

http://dfat.gov.au/about-us/publications/people-to-people/geografi-australia/

pengantar/index.html#

http://sejarahanda.blogspot.com

http://nanangbudianas.blogspot.com/2013/02/sumber-sumber-pendapatan-asli-

daerah.html

http://windartyther.blogspot.com/2012/07/pengertian-tujuan-dan-fungsi-

statistik.html

http://statisticscentre.blogspot.com/2014/02/teknik-penyajian-data.html

August,20, 2015

http://balitour.net/id/view/bali-rumah-kedua-warga-australia/

http://www.yukpegi.com/menarik/lainnya/turis-turis-yang-paling-sering-

berkunjung-ke-indonesia/

http://download.portalgaruda.org/article.php?article=106357&val=1351#

https://chabyeofmath.wordpress.com/sejarah-statistik/

http://teknikelektronika.com/pengertian-analisis-korelasi-sederhana-rumus-

pearson/#

August, 25, 2015

http://www.halojepang.com/politikkerjasama/4910-wisatawan-jepang-ke-bali

http://download.portalgaruda.org/article.php?article=106357&val=1351

x

September,2, 2015

http://niningdwikristiyani.blogspot.com/2010_05_01_archive.html

http://www.newsletter-pariwisataindonesia.com/index.php?

option=com_weblinks&view=category&id=40&Itemid=94&limitstart=20

xi

BIOGRAPHY

The author’s name is Syifa

Sahaliya, but commonly called

Syifa. She was born in Sumedang,

October 23th 1997. Nowadays,

she lives at Rancamulya,

Sumedang. She is the last

daughter of Mr. Darsim and Mrs.

Aam. She has a sister named

Rully, and two brothers named

Rubby and Acep.

The author has finished her

education at Al-Hidayah 1 Sumedang Kindergarten, Sukaraja 1

Sumedang Elementary School, and Integrated Junior High School

of Ar-Risalah Ciamis. Now, she is studying at Sumedang 1 Senior

High School (XII Science 9).

She likes playing basketball, writing, doing research,

photography, and designing house. She wishes in 2016 she can

continue her study at university, especially at medical faculty in

Veteran University and can be a professional doctor in the future.

xii

Find her on facebook (Syifa Sahaliya), twitter (@Bart_sifa),

instagram (Bart_sifa), ask.fm (@Syifafaqot), email

(Syifasahal@yahoo.com), or others social media (BBM, Line).

xiii

ATTACHMENT

xiv