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Al‑Omari et al. BMC Pulm Med (2021) 21:196 https://doi.org/10.1186/s12890‑021‑01560‑0 RESEARCH ARTICLE Systematic review of studies investigating ventilator associated pneumonia diagnostics in intensive care Basem Al‑Omari 1,4* , Peter McMeekin 2 , A. Joy Allen 3 , Ahsan R. Akram 4 , Sara Graziadio 3,5 , Jana Suklan 3 , William S. Jones 3 , B. Clare Lendrem 3 , Amanda Winter 6 , Milo Cullinan 7 , Joanne Gray 2 , Kevin Dhaliwal 4 , Timothy S. Walsh 8 and Thomas H. Craven 4,8 Abstract Background: Ventilator‑associated pneumonia (VAP) is an important diagnosis in critical care. VAP research is compli‑ cated by the lack of agreed diagnostic criteria and reference standard test criteria. Our aim was to review which refer‑ ence standard tests are used to evaluate novel index tests for suspected VAP. Methods: We conducted a comprehensive search using electronic databases and hand reference checks. The Cochrane Library, MEDLINE, CINHAL, EMBASE, and web of science were searched from 2008 until November 2018. All terms related to VAP diagnostics in the intensive treatment unit were used to conduct the search. We adopted a checklist from the critical appraisal skills programme checklist for diagnostic studies to assess the quality of the included studies. Results: We identified 2441 records, of which 178 were selected for full‑text review. Following methodological examination and quality assessment, 44 studies were included in narrative data synthesis. Thirty‑two (72.7%) studies utilised a sole microbiological reference standard; the remaining 12 studies utilised a composite reference standard, nine of which included a mandatory microbiological criterion. Histopathological criteria were optional in four studies but mandatory in none. Conclusions: Nearly all reference standards for VAP used in diagnostic test research required some microbiological confirmation of infection, with BAL culture being the most common reference standard used. Keywords: Ventilator‑associated pneumonia, Diagnostics, Intensive care, Critical care © The Author(s) 2021. Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/. The Creative Commons Public Domain Dedication waiver (http://creativeco mmons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/) applies to the data made available in this article, unless otherwise stated in a credit line to the data. Take home message 1. is comprehensive systematic review assesses the reference standard tests used to evaluate novel index tests for suspected VAP in ICU over 10 years period (2008 until 2018) and included high-quality studies with low risk of bias. 2. BAL culture is the most common reference standard used for VAP diagnostic in ICU and almost all refer- ence standards required some microbiological con- firmation of infection. Open Access *Correspondence: [email protected] 1 College of Medicine and Health Sciences, Khalifa University, PO Box 127788, Abu Dhabi, UAE Full list of author information is available at the end of the article
Transcript

Al‑Omari et al. BMC Pulm Med (2021) 21:196 https://doi.org/10.1186/s12890‑021‑01560‑0

RESEARCH ARTICLE

Systematic review of studies investigating ventilator associated pneumonia diagnostics in intensive careBasem Al‑Omari1,4* , Peter McMeekin2, A. Joy Allen3, Ahsan R. Akram4, Sara Graziadio3,5, Jana Suklan3, William S. Jones3, B. Clare Lendrem3, Amanda Winter6, Milo Cullinan7, Joanne Gray2, Kevin Dhaliwal4, Timothy S. Walsh8 and Thomas H. Craven4,8

Abstract

Background: Ventilator‑associated pneumonia (VAP) is an important diagnosis in critical care. VAP research is compli‑cated by the lack of agreed diagnostic criteria and reference standard test criteria. Our aim was to review which refer‑ence standard tests are used to evaluate novel index tests for suspected VAP.

Methods: We conducted a comprehensive search using electronic databases and hand reference checks. The Cochrane Library, MEDLINE, CINHAL, EMBASE, and web of science were searched from 2008 until November 2018. All terms related to VAP diagnostics in the intensive treatment unit were used to conduct the search. We adopted a checklist from the critical appraisal skills programme checklist for diagnostic studies to assess the quality of the included studies.

Results: We identified 2441 records, of which 178 were selected for full‑text review. Following methodological examination and quality assessment, 44 studies were included in narrative data synthesis. Thirty‑two (72.7%) studies utilised a sole microbiological reference standard; the remaining 12 studies utilised a composite reference standard, nine of which included a mandatory microbiological criterion. Histopathological criteria were optional in four studies but mandatory in none.

Conclusions: Nearly all reference standards for VAP used in diagnostic test research required some microbiological confirmation of infection, with BAL culture being the most common reference standard used.

Keywords: Ventilator‑associated pneumonia, Diagnostics, Intensive care, Critical care

© The Author(s) 2021. Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http:// creat iveco mmons. org/ licen ses/ by/4. 0/. The Creative Commons Public Domain Dedication waiver (http:// creat iveco mmons. org/ publi cdoma in/ zero/1. 0/) applies to the data made available in this article, unless otherwise stated in a credit line to the data.

Take home message

1. This comprehensive systematic review assesses the reference standard tests used to evaluate novel index tests for suspected VAP in ICU over 10 years period

(2008 until 2018) and included high-quality studies with low risk of bias.

2. BAL culture is the most common reference standard used for VAP diagnostic in ICU and almost all refer-ence standards required some microbiological con-firmation of infection.

Open Access

*Correspondence: [email protected] College of Medicine and Health Sciences, Khalifa University, PO Box 127788, Abu Dhabi, UAEFull list of author information is available at the end of the article

Page 2 of 19Al‑Omari et al. BMC Pulm Med (2021) 21:196

BackgroundVentilator-associated pneumonia (VAP) refers to inflam-mation of the lung parenchyma caused by infectious agents acquired specifically while receiving invasive mechanical ventilation [1, 2]. VAP is a preventable noso-comial complication which potentially contributes to avoidable mortality and morbidity [3, 4]. Therefore, it is considered a clinically and epidemiologically impor-tant measure of the quality of care [5, 6]. It contributes to additional resource consumption, adding time and expense to an intensive care stay, accounting for a large proportion of all antibiotic prescriptions [7]. VAP is con-sidered to be responsible for an additional cost of approx-imately $40,000 per episode in the US [8, 9] and around £9000 in the UK [10]. The contribution of an episode of VAP to mortality is difficult to definitively ascertain because of the high number and severity of confounders amongst the at-risk population [4, 11–13]. This attribut-able mortality has been reported from high to neutral or near-neutral [11–13].

Throughout recent decades investigators have not adopted a fixed set of criteria or a fixed definition for VAP [14]. This lack of a reference standard has led to an inability to make comparisons across study sets and uncertainty about VAP incidence [15]. The incidence of VAP varies widely in different studies depending on the diagnostic criteria used, type of intensive therapy unit (ITU), and patient population [16, 17].

Existing literature reports that the incidence of VAP varies widely between 4.0% and 28.8% of the at-risk pop-ulation [8, 18–24], with an event rate between 1.4 and 16.5 per 1000 ventilator days [1, 25–27]. As VAP rates have become an important quality indicator, the Centre for Disease Control and the European Centre for Disease Control use their own precise case definitions to identify VAP events [28, 29]. Both definitions return similar VAP rates making them adequate for surveillance purposes and benchmarking of critical care units internationally [1]. However, due to the lack of concordance between these two definitions, they do not make ideal reference standards [1, 28], and further highlight the difficulty in achieving consensus in diagnosing VAP. Microbiological samples, especially quantitative culture of bronchoal-veolar lavage (BAL), are considered to be integral to the diagnosis of VAP [30, 31]. However, a systematic review of diagnostic methods in 2008 found that microbiologi-cal methods did not contribute to the accuracy of diag-nosis over clinical criteria and all respiratory sampling methods were equivalent [32]. The continuing lack of an agreed reference standard hampers research into novel diagnostic methods. The aim of this review was to iden-tify what reference standards have been used in diagnos-tic evaluation research for VAP.

MethodsThe protocol for this review was published in PROS-PERO (International Prospective Register of Systematic Reviews) under registration CRD42019125449 [33].

Search strategyA comprehensive search strategy was developed by one of the authors (BA). The Cochrane Library, Pub-Med (MEDLINE), CINHAL, EMBASE, and web of sci-ence were electronically searched from January 2008 until November 2018. We limited our search to stud-ies published after 2008 following a comprehensive systematic review of diagnostic methods [32]. Medical Subject Headings (MeSH) and search terms were used to interrogate the databases. The 3 concepts used for the searches were VAP, diagnostics, and ITU (for search terms see Additional file  1). No restriction on publi-cation language was applied. In addition, electronic searching of Google and hand searching through an examination of the reference list of the published arti-cles were also used to identify additional publications (an example of MEDLINE search is provided in Addi-tional file 1).

Review strategyAll records were independently reviewed by the lead author (BA) and another author (PM or JG) and disa-greement was resolved by a third independent adjudi-cator (PM or JG). Initially, titles and abstracts review of all records, then full-text reviews were conducted against the inclusion/exclusion criteria. Studies included in the review fulfilled the following criteria: (1) adult ventilated patients of any gender, (2) ITU set-tings, (3) suspected VAP as defined in this study (after 48  h on the ventilator), (4) focused on the diagnostic procedures of VAP (clinical markers, biomarkers, chest x-ray, chest ultrasound (U/S), lung biopsy, BAL and mini-BAL, protected specimen brush (PSB), blind PSB, Endotracheal Aspirate (ETA)). Studies were excluded from the review if they: (1) were animal studies, (2) included patients under the age of 18  years old, (3) focused on the surveillance of VAP, (4) compared the diagnosis of VAP against another illness diagnostic, (5) were feasibility studies, (6) included participants who were already diagnosed with VAP, (7) investigated VAP treatment effectiveness by monitoring biomarkers or other diagnostics, (8) evaluated risk factors to predict VAP, (9) were procedures used to predict the mortal-ity in VAP, (10) were case-controlled studies. All papers that passed the full-text review and those that had some diagnostic technical terms were examined by an

Page 3 of 19Al‑Omari et al. BMC Pulm Med (2021) 21:196

ITU clinician (THC) to confirm their clinical relevance to the research question.

Quality assessment and data extractionA team of 12 reviewers (systematic reviewers, clinicians, methodologists, health economists) from the Univer-sity of Northumbria, Newcastle University, The New-castle Upon Tyne Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, and the University of Edinburgh were involved in the qual-ity assessment and data extraction process. All included papers were quality assessed and the data were extracted by two authors independently. Any disagreement was discussed between both reviewers in the first instance. The further disagreement was resolved by a third reviewer. The quality assessment scoring checklist was adopted from the Critical Appraisal Skills Programme (CASP) checklist for diagnostic studies [34], which is one of the well-recognised methodological quality or risk of bias assessment tools for primary and secondary medical studies [35, 36] and has been used to assess the quality of diagnostic studies in systematic reviews [37–39]. The quality assessment scoring checklist contains 8 questions from the overall 12 questions in the CASP checklist. Questions from section C in the CASP for diagnostics checklist “will the results help locally?” were not included in our scoring as the main aim of the review was not related to the local application of the diagnostic procedures. Studies were assigned a score of ‘1’ for each item of the checklist if they were considered to meet the aspect of this item and ‘0’ if not. A total score for each study was calculated by summing the item scores. The maximum possible final score was 8. Any study that scored ‘0’ for the first or the second question or scored less than ‘5’ out of 8 in total was excluded. According to CASP guide for diagnostic studies, if the answer to ques-tion 1 or 2 while critically appraising a study was “no”, then it is not worth continuing. That leaves 6 questions out of the total 8 we used in our quality assessment. Tak-ing in consideration that these questions are equally as important but less important than the first 2 question, we determined that a study must fulfil the quality of at least half of these 6 points (score 3 out of 6) to be consider for the review. Therefore, this threshold was derived through reviewer consensus that studies scoring less than 5 out of 8 were not of sufficient quality to adequately address the research question.

A standardised data extraction form was developed by three authors (AJA, BA, THC) and reviewed by all authors (for quality assessment and data extraction form see Additional file  2). We recorded and present study country of origin, study size, male: female ratio or enrolled participants, index test(s) under investiga-tion, reference standard used to define VAP, and test

characteristics. Although test characteristics for the index test are not relevant to the aims of this review, we present them herein because several of the index tests are also used as reference standards. Test characteristics are taken directly from the studies or calculated using data contained within the studies. Where multiple test char-acteristics are presented in the original paper, we selected those highlighted by the original authors or those which reflect the comparison best, or those which indicate the best performance. Where BAL was conducted, we recorded the details of the lavage procedure.

A narrative data synthesis approach was used to report the results from reviewed studies. Due to the large vari-ation in practice, processes, and reference standards, a meta-analysis of diagnostic accuracy was not conducted.

ResultsStudies identifiedThe searches identified a total of 2441 articles. Records that were not published in English were translated to English using Google translator. 2263 articles were excluded on the basis of title and abstract and a further 123 on the basis of full-text screening were excluded as not clinically relevant to the inclusion criteria or meeting at least one of the exclusion criteria, leaving 55 articles for quality assessment (see Fig. 1 for PRISMA flow chart).

Quality assessment and data extractionOf the 55 studies examined in the quality assessment stage, 11 studies were excluded due to either scored ‘0’ for the first or the second question or scored less than ‘5’ out of ’8’ in total score, leaving 44 studies included in this review [40–83]. All scored were agreed by at least two reviewers and reviewed by the principal investigator (PI). The lowest score assigned to any included study was ‘5’ out of ‘8’. Three studies scored 8/8, 24 studies scored 7/8, 11 studies scored 6/8, and six studies scored 5/8 (see Table 1).

As expected, all papers suffered from bias in their accuracy estimates of the index test from the use of an imperfect reference standard comparison, a well-known issue with comparative diagnostic accuracy studies [84]. The results of the quality assessment reviews conducted using the form adopted from CASP diagnostic study checklist showed that five papers [51, 54, 57, 62, 82] suffered from verification bias: not all patients received testing by both the index and the ref-erence standard. In 38 papers [41–47, 49–53, 55–59, 61–68, 70, 71, 73–82], the results of the index test could have been influenced by the reference standard result. This means that there was no evidence blinding or the tests being performed independently. The VAP status for all participants in the study was not clearly defined

Page 4 of 19Al‑Omari et al. BMC Pulm Med (2021) 21:196

in two papers [47, 65]. The methodology description was not described in detail in three papers [40, 45, 82] and the results of the study were not clearly presented in five papers [46, 64, 67, 69, 75]. There was a lack of certainty regarding the results of the study on 11 occa-sions [40, 42, 43, 46, 58, 64, 65, 67, 68, 74, 75]. CASP diagnostic study checklist guide was followed in assess-ing all points.

The disagreement was solved through discussion between both reviewers on 20 papers, and adjudication of a third reviewer in one paper. Forty-three of the stud-ies were cohort studies (38 of which were prospective studies) and one was a secondary analysis of data from a randomised controlled trial (RCT) [57]. All studies were published between 2008 and 2018 with a wide geographi-cal spread; four studies conducted in the UK [41, 44, 72, 74], eight in the USA [40, 45, 47, 50, 56, 62, 67, 75], seven in France [51, 53, 55, 63, 70, 73, 78], five in Netherland [48, 61, 66, 77, 79], three each in both China [52, 65, 68] and Turkey [43, 46, 82], two each in Egypt [49, 76], Brazil

[54, 81], and Italy [71, 83], and eight in other countries [42, 57–60, 64, 69, 80]. The median sample size was 180 recruited participants, with the 21 being the lowest [58] and 2080 being the highest number of participants [61] (see Tables 2, 3).

Reference standardWe did not consider enrolment criteria, including objec-tive criteria for suspicion of VAP, to be part of the refer-ence standard. Out of the 44 included studies, 32 studies (72.7%) compared an index test with a sole microbiologi-cal reference standard (see Table 2). One of these studies did not define which of the studied tests were considered index and which were considered reference [54]. Of the remaining 31 studies, culture of BAL fluid was most com-monly used as the reference test, forming at least part of the reference standard in 26 (83.8%) studies [40, 41, 43, 45, 48, 49, 51, 55–60, 63, 65–67, 69, 70, 73–77, 79, 82]. BAL culture alone was the sole reference standard in 18 (58.1%) out of the 31 studies [40, 41, 43, 45, 49, 55, 56,

Fig. 1 PRISMA systematic review flow chart. Adapted from: Moher et al. [96]

Page 5 of 19Al‑Omari et al. BMC Pulm Med (2021) 21:196

Table 1 Quality assessment checklist scores

green tick = acceptable quality, red box = unacceptable quality

Page 6 of 19Al‑Omari et al. BMC Pulm Med (2021) 21:196

Tabl

e 2

Stud

ies

com

parin

g in

dex

test

to a

mic

robi

olog

ical

refe

renc

e st

anda

rd

Refe

renc

esSt

udy

popu

latio

nIn

dex

test

Refe

renc

e te

stRe

sults

(95%

con

fiden

ce in

terv

al w

here

av

aila

ble)

Coun

try

n =

M

ean

age

M:F

ratio

Alb

ert e

t al.

[57]

Cana

da70

558

.92.

9G

ram

sta

in o

f eith

er E

TA o

r BA

Lsa

me

sam

ple

(ETA

or B

AL)

pos

itive

cu

lture

resu

lt fo

r pat

hoge

nic

bact

eria

an

y qu

antit

y

Sens

= 7

4%Sp

ec =

72%

κ =

0.3

6 (0

.31–

0.40

)

Ana

nd e

t al.

[56]

USA

105

51.5

1.4

sTRE

M‑1

ELI

SA in

BA

LBA

L cu

lture

> 1

03 CFU

/mL

Sens

= 4

2.1%

Spec

= 7

5.6%

Bald

esi e

t al.

[55]

Fran

ce12

762

.52.

3BA

L cu

lture

> 1

04 CFU

/mL

(unc

orre

cted

fo

r dilu

tion

fact

or)

BAL

cultu

re >

104 C

FU/m

L (c

orre

cted

for

dilu

tion

fact

or u

sing

pla

sma/

BAL

urea

)Se

ns =

97.

7%Sp

ec =

98%

Carv

alho

et a

l. [5

4]Br

azil

2259

.41

com

paris

on o

f thr

ee s

ampl

ing

tech

‑ni

ques

(ETA

, min

iBA

L, a

nd B

AL)

No

men

tion

whi

ch is

con

side

red

inde

x te

st o

r ref

eren

ce s

tand

ard

Sens

= N

RSp

ec =

NR

Cla

vel e

t al.

[51]

Fran

ce12

065

3.1

qPC

R fro

m B

AL

equi

vale

nt to

> 1

04 CFU

/m

L an

d qP

CR

from

ETA

equ

ival

ent

to >

106 C

FU/m

L

BAL

cultu

re >

104 C

FU/m

L or

ETA

cul

‑tu

re >

106 C

FU/m

LqP

CR fr

om B

ALSe

ns =

89.

2%Sp

ec =

97.

1%qP

CR fr

om E

TASe

ns =

71.

8%Sp

ec =

96.

6%

Conw

ay M

orris

et a

l. [7

4]U

K72

571.

5BA

L IL

‑1β

and

IL‑8

BAL

cultu

re >

104 C

FU/m

LSe

ns =

94%

Spec

= 6

4%

Dou

glas

et a

l. [5

0]U

SA33

55N

/RM

ini B

AL

auto

mat

ed m

icro

scop

yM

ini B

AL

cultu

re >

104 C

FU/m

LSe

ns =

100

%Sp

ec =

97%

Elm

ahal

awy

et a

l. [4

9]Eg

ypt

4045

.43.

0Pe

ntra

xin

3 EL

ISA

in B

AL

BAL

cultu

re >

104 C

FU/m

LSe

ns =

96.

7%Sp

ec =

100

%AU

ROCC

= 0

.966

(0.9

85 to

1)

Fujit

ani e

t al.

[47]

USA

256

57.5

2.1

ETA

cul

ture

Min

i BA

L cu

lture

> 1

04 CFU

/mL

Sens

= 6

5.4%

Spec

= 5

6.1%

κ =

0.2

2 (0

.17–

0.27

)

Ged

ik e

t al.

[46]

Turk

ey31

561.

4ET

A c

ultu

re >

105 C

FU/m

LM

ini B

AL

cultu

re >

104 C

FU/m

Lκ =

0.8

04, p

= 0

.005

Gol

dber

g et

al.

[45]

USA

229

492.

0G

ram

sta

in o

f BA

LBA

L cu

lture

> 1

05 CFU

/mL

Sens

= 9

0%Sp

ec =

67%

Gul

er e

t al.

[43]

Turk

ey50

522.

1M

odifi

ed C

PIS

BAL

cultu

re >

104 C

FU/m

LCP

IS >

7Se

ns =

80%

Spec

= 1

7%CP

IS >

6Se

ns =

76%

Spec

= 1

5%CP

IS ≥

6Se

ns =

80.

7%Sp

ec =

16.

6%CP

IS ≥

5Se

ns =

80%

Spec

= 1

0%

Page 7 of 19Al‑Omari et al. BMC Pulm Med (2021) 21:196

Tabl

e 2

(con

tinue

d)

Refe

renc

esSt

udy

popu

latio

nIn

dex

test

Refe

renc

e te

stRe

sults

(95%

con

fiden

ce in

terv

al w

here

av

aila

ble)

Coun

try

n =

M

ean

age

M:F

ratio

Has

him

oto

et a

l. [4

2]Ja

pan

5141

1.4

Sem

i‑qua

ntita

tive

Gra

m s

tain

or c

ultu

re

of E

TA o

r BA

L (n

ot o

ther

wis

e sp

ecifi

ed)

ETA

cul

ture

> 1

06 CFU

/mL

Gra

m st

ain

Sens

= 9

5%Sp

ec =

61%

κ =

0.5

9 (0

.45–

0.72

)Cu

lture

Sens

= 9

6%Sp

ec =

40%

κ =

0.4

(0.2

5–0.

54)

Hel

lyer

et a

l. [4

1]U

K15

056

.32.

9BA

L IL

‑1β

and

IL‑8

BAL

cultu

re >

104 C

FU/m

LSe

ns =

100

%Sp

ec =

44.

3%

Jack

son

et a

l. [4

0]U

SA73

523.

5BA

L—un

ilate

ral

BAL—

bila

tera

lSe

ns =

73%

Spec

= 8

2%

Jiao

et a

l. [6

5]C

hina

9248

1.0

Seru

m P

CT

Seru

m IL

‑6Se

rum

CRP

BAL

cultu

re >

104 C

FU/m

LPC

TSe

ns =

91%

Spec

= 7

1%IL-

6Se

ns =

58%

Spec

= 6

4%CR

PSe

ns =

52%

Spec

= 7

4%

Jung

et a

l. [6

3]Fr

ance

5761

2.2

BAL

Proc

alci

toni

nBA

L cu

lture

> 1

04 CFU

/mL

Sens

= 9

4%Sp

ec =

75%

Knei

ding

er e

t al.

[60]

Aus

tria

132

622.

1BA

L cu

lture

> 1

04 CFU

/mL

afte

r 24

h st

or‑

age

at 4

°C a

nd a

fter

sto

rage

at −

80

°CBA

L cu

lture

> 1

04 CFU

/mL

afte

r im

med

i‑at

e cu

lture

Imm

edia

te c

ultu

re v

s del

ayed

cul

ture

(4 °C

)Se

ns =

96.

5%Sp

ec =

100

%Im

med

iate

cul

ture

vs d

elay

ed c

ultu

re

(− 8

0 °C

)Se

ns =

50.

4%Sp

ec =

100

%

Kwon

et a

l. [5

9]Ko

rea

6465

2.6

qPC

R of

BA

L flu

id o

r bro

nchi

al w

ashi

ngs

BAL

cultu

re >

104 C

FU/m

L or

bro

nchi

al

was

hing

> 1

05 CFU

/mL

Sens

= 8

8.9%

Spec

= 8

8.9%

Leo

et a

l. [5

8]M

exic

o21

422.

0m

ini B

AL

(usi

ng c

ut N

G tu

be) >

104 C

FU/

mL

BAL

cultu

re >

104 C

FU/m

LSe

ns =

92.

8%Sp

ec =

85%

Lins

sen

et a

l. [6

7]U

SA11

7N

/RN

/RBA

L PC

T an

d C

RPBA

L cu

lture

> 1

04 CFU

/mL

or >

2%

cel

ls

with

intr

acel

lula

r org

anis

ms

PCT

AUC

ROCC

= 0

.448

CRP

AUC

ROCC

= 0

.477

Page 8 of 19Al‑Omari et al. BMC Pulm Med (2021) 21:196

Tabl

e 2

(con

tinue

d)

Refe

renc

esSt

udy

popu

latio

nIn

dex

test

Refe

renc

e te

stRe

sults

(95%

con

fiden

ce in

terv

al w

here

av

aila

ble)

Coun

try

n =

M

ean

age

M:F

ratio

Lins

sen

et a

l. [7

5]U

SA28

260

.32.

1Va

rious

BA

L cy

tolo

gica

l par

amet

ers

incl

udin

g to

tal c

ell c

ount

, alv

eola

r mac

‑ro

phag

es, l

ymph

ocyt

es, n

eutr

ophi

ls,

eosi

noph

ils, m

ast c

ells

, inf

ecte

d ce

lls; i

n is

olat

ion

or in

com

bina

tion

BAL

cultu

re >

104 C

FU/m

LAU

ROCC

for v

ario

us c

ytol

ogic

al p

aram

eter

sTo

tal c

ell c

ount

= 0

.647

Alv

eola

r mac

roph

ages

= 0

.313

Lym

phoc

ytes

= 0

.381

Neu

trop

hils

= 0

.705

Eosi

noph

ils =

0.5

89M

ast c

ells

= 0

.557

Infe

cted

cel

ls (%

) = 0

.904

AURO

CC fo

r com

bina

tions

of c

ytol

ogic

al

para

met

ers

Infe

cted

cel

ls (%

) + P

MN

s (%

) = 0

.892

Infe

cted

cel

ls (%

) + To

tal c

ell c

ount

= 0

.890

Luna

et a

l. [6

9]A

rgen

tina

283

71.3

1.1

ETA

cul

ture

> 1

03 CFU

/mL

BAL

cultu

re >

104 C

FU/m

LSe

ns =

NR

Spec

= N

R

Luyt

et a

l. [7

0]Fr

ance

4160

2.4

seru

m P

CT

1st d

ay o

f clin

ical

sus

pici

on

of V

AP

BAL

cultu

re >

104 C

FU/m

LSe

ns =

72%

Spec

= 2

4%

Mon

godi

et a

l. [7

3]Fr

ance

9966

3.7

Vplu

s‑Ea

gram

(ven

tilat

or‑a

ssoc

iate

d pn

eum

onia

lung

ultr

asou

nd s

core

and

gr

am s

tain

of E

TA)

BAL

cultu

re >

104 C

FU/m

LSe

ns =

81%

Spec

= 4

1%

Oud

huis

et a

l. [6

6]N

ethe

rland

s20

762

1.7

ETA

cul

ture

> 1

05 CFU

/mL

BAL

cultu

re >

104 C

FU/m

L or

> 2

% c

ells

w

ith in

trac

ellu

lar o

rgan

ism

sSe

ns =

65%

Spec

= 4

8%

Refa

at e

t al.

[76]

Egyp

t66

NR

NR

BAL

com

posi

te b

iom

arke

r (C

RP, P

CT,

ne

utro

phils

, MIF

, sTR

EM‑1

, suP

AR)

BAL

cultu

re >

10

CFU

/mL

Sens

= 7

6%Sp

ec =

62%

Schn

abel

et a

l. [4

8]N

ethe

rland

s10

061

.32.

3VO

C in

exh

aled

bre

ath

BAL

cultu

re >

104 C

FU/m

L or

> 2

% c

ells

w

ith in

trac

ellu

lar o

rgan

ism

sSe

ns =

75.

8%Sp

ec =

73.

0%

Scho

lte e

t al.

[77]

Net

herla

nds

311

NR

NR

ETA

Gra

m s

tain

ETA

Cul

ture

BALF

Gra

m s

tain

BAL

cultu

re >

104 C

FU/m

L or

> 2

% c

ells

w

ith in

trac

ellu

lar o

rgan

ism

sET

A G

ram

stai

nSe

ns =

65%

Spec

= 7

2%ET

A Cu

lture

(any

thre

shol

d)Se

ns =

82%

Spec

= 4

2%BA

LF G

ram

stai

n (>

0)

Sens

= 8

2%Sp

ec =

66%

Vans

pauw

en e

t al.

[79]

Net

herla

nds

196

58.8

1.7

BAL

Cla

ra C

ell p

rote

in 1

0 EL

ISA

BAL

cultu

re >

104 C

FU/m

L or

> 2

% c

ells

w

ith in

trac

ellu

lar o

rgan

ism

sAU

ROCC

of 0

.586

(0.4

96–0

.676

)

Yagm

urdu

r et a

l. [8

2]Tu

rkey

5971

0.73

ETA

cul

ture

> 1

04 CFU

/mL

BAL

cultu

re >

104 C

FU/m

LSe

ns =

60%

Spec

= 3

9%

Zagl

i et a

l. [8

3]Ita

ly22

156

2.7

Che

st E

chog

raph

y an

d Pr

ocal

cito

nin

Pulm

onar

y In

fect

ion

Scor

e >

5ET

A c

ultu

re >

104 C

FU/m

LSe

ns =

80.

5%Sp

ec =

85.

2%

Page 9 of 19Al‑Omari et al. BMC Pulm Med (2021) 21:196

Tabl

e 3

Stud

ies

com

parin

g in

dex

test

to a

com

posi

te re

fere

nce

stan

dard

Refe

renc

eSt

udy

popu

latio

nIn

dex

test

Refe

renc

e te

stRe

sults

(95%

con

fiden

ce in

terv

als

whe

re a

vaila

ble)

Coun

try

n =

M

ean

age

M:F

ratio

Cha

rles

et a

l. [5

3]Fr

ance

9061

.12.

3Se

rum

PC

T (d

ay o

f firs

t sus

pici

on o

f cl

inic

al in

fect

ion)

All

of (1

) new

lung

infil

trat

e on

the

ches

t X‑r

ay; (

2) E

TA c

ultu

re >

106 C

FU/

mL;

(3) C

PIS ≥

6 p

oint

s; (4

) at l

east

2

SIRS

crit

eria

Sens

= 6

5.2%

Spec

= 8

3%

Che

n et

al.

[52]

Chi

na49

541.

45Se

rum

PC

Tse

rum

CRP

CPI

S

(1) P

ersi

sten

t or n

ew in

vasi

ve s

hado

ws

in th

e lu

ng; (

2) A

t lea

st tw

o be

low

ite

ms:

tem

pera

ture

mor

e th

an

38 °C

or l

ess

than

36

°C; l

euco

cyte

co

unt >

10

or <

4 ×

10/

L; p

urul

ent

sput

um; (

3) A

ny o

f the

item

bel

ow:

bron

chos

copi

c as

pira

tion

or s

putu

m

spec

imen

bac

teria

l cul

ture

+++

or

path

ogen

ic b

acte

ria c

ultu

red

from

bl

ood

CRP

Sens

= 6

8.0%

Spec

= 5

8.3%

PCT

Sens

= 6

0.0%

Spec

= 8

7.5%

CPIS

Sens

= 7

2.0%

Spec

= 7

5.0%

Gro

ver e

t al.

[44]

UK

9159

1.5

7 m

arke

r sco

re: B

AL/

bloo

d ra

tio

mTR

EM‑1

and

mC

D11

b, B

ALF

sTR

EM‑

1, IL

‑8 a

nd IL

‑1b,

and

ser

um C

RP a

nd

IL‑6

VAP

was

pre

defin

ed a

s C

PIS

> 5

and

posi

tive

BALF

mic

robi

olog

y. N

on‑V

AP

was

pre

defin

ed a

s C

PIS

scor

e <

6 a

nd

nega

tive

mic

robi

olog

y

Sens

= 8

8.9%

Spec

= 1

00%

Jova

novi

c et

al.

[64]

Serb

ia39

47.9

5.5

Seru

m s

CD

14‑S

TPC

TC

RPLe

ucoc

yte

coun

t

New

per

sist

ent p

ulm

onar

y in

filtr

ates

(n

ot o

ther

wis

e ex

plai

nabl

e) o

n C

XR >

48

h af

ter a

dmis

sion

to th

e IC

U,

PLU

S on

e sy

stem

ic a

nd tw

o pu

lmo‑

nary

crit

eria

Syst

emic

crit

eria

Feve

r > 3

8 °C

, whi

te c

ell c

ount

< 4

000

WBC

/mm

3 or >

12,

000

WBC

/mm

3

alte

red

men

tal s

tatu

s, w

ith n

o ot

her

reco

gniz

ed c

ause

(for

adu

lts o

lder

th

an 7

0 ye

ars

of a

ge)

Pulm

onar

y cr

iteria

new

ons

et o

f pur

ulen

t spu

tum

(or a

ch

ange

in th

e ch

arac

ter o

f the

spu

‑tu

m, i

ncre

ased

resp

irato

ry s

ecre

tions

or

incr

ease

d su

ctio

ning

requ

ire‑

men

ts),

wor

seni

ng g

as e

xcha

nge

(des

atur

a‑tio

ns, i

ncre

ased

oxy

gen

requ

irem

ents

or

incr

ease

d ve

ntila

tor d

eman

d),

new

ons

et o

r wor

seni

ng c

ough

, and

dy

spno

ea, t

achy

pnoe

a, ra

les

or b

ron‑

chia

l bre

ath

soun

ds

sCD

14-S

TAU

ROCC

= 0

.908

PCT

AURO

CC =

0.8

63CR

PAU

ROCC

= 0

.703

Leuc

ocyt

e co

unt A

URO

CC =

0.6

68

Page 10 of 19Al‑Omari et al. BMC Pulm Med (2021) 21:196

Tabl

e 3

(con

tinue

d)

Refe

renc

eSt

udy

popu

latio

nIn

dex

test

Refe

renc

e te

stRe

sults

(95%

con

fiden

ce in

terv

als

whe

re a

vaila

ble)

Coun

try

n =

M

ean

age

M:F

ratio

Klei

n Kl

ouw

enbe

rg e

t al.

[61]

Net

herla

nds

2080

621.

6C

DC

sur

veill

ance

defi

nitio

n (2

013)

Exis

ting

loca

l sur

veill

ance

crit

eria

di

vide

d in

to p

ossi

ble,

pro

babl

e, a

nd

defin

ite V

AP

Poss

ible

(CPI

S >

6, d

ubio

us a

bnor

mal

i‑tie

s on

radi

ogra

phic

exa

min

atio

n,

sem

i‑qua

ntita

tive

cultu

re fr

om

resp

irato

ry s

ecre

tions

—ET

A o

r bro

n‑ch

osco

pic

aspi

rate

)Pr

obab

le (C

PIS

> 6

, new

or p

rogr

es‑

sive

infil

trat

es, c

onso

lidat

ion,

ca

vita

tion

or p

leur

al e

ffusi

on, B

AL

cultu

re >

104 C

FU/m

L or

PSB

cul

‑tu

re >

103 C

FU/m

L O

R po

sitiv

e bl

ood

cultu

re w

ith p

atho

gen

also

isol

ated

fro

m a

irway

cul

ture

)D

efini

te (C

PIS

> 6

, new

or p

rogr

essi

ve

infil

trat

es, c

onso

lidat

ion,

cav

ita‑

tion

or p

leur

al e

ffusi

on O

R ra

dio‑

grap

hic

evid

ence

of l

ung

absc

ess

or

empy

ema,

his

topa

thol

ogic

evi

denc

e of

pne

umon

ia (a

bsce

ss w

ith P

MN

co

ncen

trat

ion

and

posi

tive

tissu

e cu

lture

) OR

if em

pyem

a, p

ositi

ve

cultu

re o

f asp

irate

))

Sens

= 2

2% (f

or p

roba

ble

or d

efini

te

refe

renc

e st

anda

rd V

AP)

Spec

= 9

8%

Klom

pas

et a

l. [6

2]U

SA45

955

.31.

5O

bjec

tive

algo

rithm

of e

lect

roni

c pa

tient

reco

rd (p

recu

rsor

of C

DC

su

rvei

llanc

e de

finiti

on 2

013)

CD

C d

efini

tion

(200

8)Se

ns =

95

Spec

= 1

00

Page 11 of 19Al‑Omari et al. BMC Pulm Med (2021) 21:196

Tabl

e 3

(con

tinue

d)

Refe

renc

eSt

udy

popu

latio

nIn

dex

test

Refe

renc

e te

stRe

sults

(95%

con

fiden

ce in

terv

als

whe

re a

vaila

ble)

Coun

try

n =

M

ean

age

M:F

ratio

Liu

et a

l. [6

8]C

hina

162

61.6

1.5

BAL

neut

roph

il in

trac

ellu

lar o

rgan

ism

s(1

) his

topa

thol

ogic

al d

iagn

osis

per

‑fo

rmed

with

in 7

day

s of

bro

ncho

s‑co

py O

R(2

) BA

L cu

lture

≥ 1

04 CFU

/mL,

and

re

spon

ded

to a

ntib

iotic

ther

apy

OR

(3) r

apid

cav

itatio

n of

the

lung

infil

trat

e on

che

st x

‑ray

film

or C

T sc

an a

ssoc

i‑at

ed w

ith re

spon

ded

to a

ntib

iotic

th

erap

y O

R(4

) pos

itive

cul

ture

of t

he p

leur

al

effus

ion,

and

the

sam

e m

icro

orga

n‑is

ms

isol

ated

from

cul

ture

s of

ple

ural

eff

usio

n an

d lo

wer

resp

irato

ry tr

act

secr

etio

ns, a

nd re

spon

ded

to a

ntib

i‑ot

ic th

erap

y O

R(5

) com

plet

e re

solu

tion

with

app

ropr

i‑at

e an

tibio

tic th

erap

y w

ith n

o ot

her

dise

ase

expl

aini

ng c

hest

radi

ogra

ph

abno

rmal

ity

Sens

= 9

4.12

%Sp

ec =

88.

33%

Mau

ri et

al.

[71]

Italy

8259

2.6

BAL

fluid

pen

trax

in 3

1. N

ew a

nd p

ersi

sten

t rad

iogr

aphi

c in

filtr

ates

ass

ocia

ted

with

at l

east

two

of th

e fo

llow

ing:

a. In

tern

al b

ody

tem

pera

ture

> 3

8 °C

,b.

Whi

te b

lood

cel

ls c

ount

> 1

2,00

0 or

< 4

000

cells

/mm

3 and

/or

c. P

urul

ent t

rach

eobr

onch

ial s

ecre

tions

; A

ND

2. B

AL

cultu

re >

104 C

FU/m

L an

d/or

si

gnifi

cant

non

cont

amin

ant v

iral l

oad

Sens

= 9

2%Sp

ec =

60%

Page 12 of 19Al‑Omari et al. BMC Pulm Med (2021) 21:196

Tabl

e 3

(con

tinue

d)

Refe

renc

eSt

udy

popu

latio

nIn

dex

test

Refe

renc

e te

stRe

sults

(95%

con

fiden

ce in

terv

als

whe

re a

vaila

ble)

Coun

try

n =

M

ean

age

M:F

ratio

Med

ford

et a

l. [7

2]U

K15

062

.31.

5ET

A c

ultu

re >

105 o

r BA

L cu

lture

> 1

04N

ew/p

rogr

essi

ve C

XR in

filtr

ates

with

‑ou

t oth

erob

viou

s ca

use

in p

atie

nts

mec

hani

cally

ve

ntila

ted

for m

ore

than

4 d

ays

in

the

ICU

and

at l

east

2 o

f the

follo

w‑

ing:

tem

pera

ture

≥ 3

8 °C

or ≤

35

°C,

whi

te c

ell c

ount

≥ 1

2 or

≤ 4

× 1

09 /L,

puru

lent

trac

heob

ronc

hial

sec

retio

ns,

with

incr

easi

ng o

xyge

n re

quire

‑m

ents

, com

pute

d to

mog

raph

y ev

i‑de

nce

of a

rapi

dly

cavi

tatin

g in

filtr

ate,

po

sitiv

e pl

eura

l flui

d cu

lture

and

/or

hist

olog

ical

evi

denc

e of

neu

trop

hilic

al

veol

itis,

bron

chio

litis

, and

con

soli‑

datio

n in

con

junc

tion

with

ple

ural

flu

id m

icro

biol

ogy,

CT

evid

ence

, and

hi

stol

ogic

al e

vide

nce

BAL

Sens

= 6

4.1%

Spec

= 8

3.0%

ETA

Sens

= 4

2.6%

Spec

= 3

3.7%

Text

oris

et a

l. [7

8]Fr

ance

7730

.75

NR

bloo

d Tr

ansc

ripto

me

DN

A m

icro

arra

y an

alys

is (H

uSG

9 k)

puru

lent

bro

nchi

al s

putu

m; b

ody

tem

pera

ture

mor

e th

an 3

8 °C

or l

ess

than

36

°C; l

euko

cyte

s m

ore

than

10

× 1

09 /L o

r les

s th

an 4

× 1

09 /L;

ches

t rad

iogr

aph

show

ing

new

or

prog

ress

ive

infil

trat

es; B

AL

cul‑

ture

≥ 1

04 CFU

/mL,

or E

TA c

ul‑

ture

≥ 1

06 CFU

/mL

Sens

= N

RSp

ec =

NR

Vern

ikos

et a

l. [8

0]G

reec

e54

721.

31)

Joh

anse

n cr

iteria

,2)

Mod

ified

CPI

S >

6 R

EF3)

Joh

anse

n cr

iteria

com

bine

d w

ith

rela

tive

neut

roph

il co

unt

4) C

PIS

> 6

com

bine

d re

lativ

e ne

utro

‑ph

il co

unt

5) R

PDM

Ia sco

re

CD

C d

efini

tion

(201

5)Jo

hans

en c

riter

iaSe

ns =

85.

7%Sp

ec =

73.

7%M

odifi

ed C

PIS

> 6

Sens

= 6

2.9%

Spec

= 7

3.7%

Joha

nsen

crit

eria

com

bine

d w

ith re

lativ

e ne

utro

phil

coun

t (20

% c

ut o

ff)

Sens

= 6

7.6%

Spec

= 8

1.3%

CPIS

> 6

com

bine

d re

lativ

e ne

utro

phil

coun

t (20

% c

ut o

ff)

Sens

= 4

7.1%

Spec

= 8

1.3%

RPD

MI s

core

Sens

= 9

4.3%

Spec

= 8

4.2%

Page 13 of 19Al‑Omari et al. BMC Pulm Med (2021) 21:196

Tabl

e 3

(con

tinue

d)

Refe

renc

eSt

udy

popu

latio

nIn

dex

test

Refe

renc

e te

stRe

sults

(95%

con

fiden

ce in

terv

als

whe

re a

vaila

ble)

Coun

try

n =

M

ean

age

M:F

ratio

Wal

tric

k et

al.

[81]

Braz

il16

8N

RN

RC

DC

defi

nitio

n (2

013)

CPI

S ≥

7 a

nd m

iniB

AL

cul‑

ture

> =

104 C

FU/m

LSe

ns =

37%

Spec

= 1

00%

a RPD

MI s

core

: rad

iolo

gica

l pro

gres

sion

, pur

ulen

t sec

retio

ns, d

urat

ion

of m

echa

nica

l ven

tilat

ion,

imm

unos

uppr

essi

on

Page 14 of 19Al‑Omari et al. BMC Pulm Med (2021) 21:196

58, 60, 63, 65, 69, 70, 73–76, 82]. Where used, the BAL culture threshold for positivity included > 10  CFU/mL [76], > 103 CFU/mL [56], > 104 CFU/mL [40, 41, 43, 49, 55, 58, 60, 63, 65, 69, 70, 73–75, 82], and > 105 CFU/mL [45]. Three studies using BAL culture > 104 CFU/mL added an additional stipulation on BAL culture results: one requir-ing correction of microbial growth for plasma to BAL urea ratio [55], one requiring that lavage was bilateral [40], and one specifying culture took place immediately after lavage [60]. BAL culture was used in combination with another criterion regarding assessment of BAL on an additional eight occasions out of the 26 using BAL (30.8%); five out of these eight (62.5%) BAL culture or > 2% lavage cells containing intracellular organisms [48, 66, 67, 77, 79], one out of the eight (12.5%) BAL cul-ture or bronchial washings culture (> 105 CFU/mL) [59], and two out of the eight (11.1%) BAL culture or ETA cul-ture (> 106  CFU/mL [51] or no threshold specified [57]. On the remaining five out of 31 (16.1%) occasions where BAL culture was not incorporated into the microbio-logical reference standard, three studies used mini-BAL culture > 104  CFU/mL [46, 47, 50], one study used ETA culture > 106  CFU/mL [42]m, and one study used ETA culture > 104 CFU/mL [83], as sole reference standards.

Table 3 summarises the remaining 12/44 (27.2%) stud-ies which compared an index test to a composite refer-ence standard or clinical scoring system [44, 52, 53, 61, 62, 64, 68, 71, 72, 78, 80, 81]. An iteration of the CDC VAP definition was used in two out of the 12 studies (16.7%), one using the 2008 iteration for surveillance of VAP [62] and one using the 2015 iteration for surveillance of VAP (80]. One additional study [64] used a composite reference standard almost identical to the 2008 iteration of the CDC VAP surveillance criteria. The 2008 itera-tion of the CDC surveillance criteria does not include any microbiological assessment of respiratory samples, and non-culture methods or histopathology may sup-plant microbiological culture in the 2010 and 2015 iter-ations of the CDC surveillance criteria [28, 62, 85]. For the remaining nine studies; four out of the nine (44.4%) explicitly incorporated the clinical pulmonary infection score (CPIS) into a wider set of criteria [44, 53, 61, 81]. Seven out nine (77.8%) incorporated radiological assess-ment [52, 53, 64, 68, 71, 72, 78], eight out of nine (88.9%) incorporated additional clinical signs and symptoms [44, 52, 53, 61, 71, 72, 78, 81] either as part of an existing scor-ing system such as CPIS or de novo, and all nine studies (100%) incorporated some microbiological assessment into the combined reference standard [44, 52, 53, 64, 68, 71, 72, 78, 81]. In seven of those nine studies (77.8%) positive microbiology was a mandatory criterion for VAP diagnosis [44, 52, 53, 64, 71, 78, 81], and in two of those nine (22.2%), positive microbiological cultures were an

optional criterion for VAP diagnosis [68, 72]. Amongst all included studies microbiological assessment did not form any part of the mandatory or optional criteria for VAP diagnosis in only two studies [62, 64], diagnosis of VAP included an optional microbiological assessment com-ponent in another two studies (i.e. VAP diagnosis could be made without recourse to microbiological assess-ment) [68, 72], and in 39 studies microbiological assess-ment was the sole or a mandatory component [40–53, 55–60, 63–71, 73–79, 81–83]. Four studies incorporated an optional histopathologic element into the reference standard [61, 68, 72, 80], but it was mandatory in none.

Out of all 44 included studies, 37 (84%) incorporate BAL in either the reference standard or index test [40–51, 54–60, 63, 65–79, 81, 82]. Twenty two studies (50%) included a precise lavage procedure in the methodol-ogy [40, 41, 43, 45, 48, 51, 55–58, 60, 63, 66–69, 71, 72, 74–76, 82]. Of these, 14 described an initial discard of aspirated fluid, considered to be uninformative bronchial fluid [40, 41, 43, 51, 57, 58, 60, 63, 68, 69, 71, 72, 74, 82]. The median volume of instilled fluid used to generate the discarded fluid was 20 mL (range 20 mL to 50 mL). The median total volume of instilled fluid (including that intended for discard) was 150  mL (range 80  mL to 200 mL).

DiscussionTo the best of our knowledge, this is the first and most comprehensive systematic review aiming to evaluate the reference standard tests used to evaluate novel index tests for suspected VAP since the publication of Rea-Neto and colleagues systematic review of diagnostic methods in 2008 [32]. We reviewed papers comparing a novel index test against a chosen reference standard to identify what reference standards have been used in diagnostic evalua-tion research for VAP. To deliver a high-quality system-atic review, we excluded papers with a high risk of bias and all papers included in this review fulfil at least 5 out of the 8 criteria we included from the CASP checklist.

The microbiological culture was the sole or a compo-nent criterion in the vast majority of studies. Overall, the culture of BAL fluid was the most common refer-ence standard, with the most common growth threshold being > 104 CFU/mL. This was occasionally used in com-bination with another reference standard, such as the demonstration of BAL cells with intracellular organisms exceeding 2% of the total number of cells. Composite ref-erence standards incorporating a variety of existing clini-cal scores, existing surveillance definitions, radiological assessments, clinical parameters, and microbiological methods including culture were used in the remain-ing studies. A large variation in practice, processes, and reference standards were detected, highlighting the

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inconsistency in the current diagnosis of VAP and mak-ing a meta-analysis of diagnostic accuracy challenging. Biological, clinical, and statistical heterogeneity makes comparisons across the different studies difficult and subjective. We display a variable and generally good qual-ity of the papers, and the review provides an indication of what has been and is being done in this area globally with respect to the use of reference standard in the diag-nostics of VAP. The line between composite criteria and a sole microbiological criterion was often blurred. Many studies in the sole microbiological criterion group had strict objective clinical and radiological enrolment crite-ria. Where these criteria are applied pre-enrolment and therefore applied to both index tests and reference stand-ards we have not incorporated them into a description of the reference standard.

A key question in diagnostic accuracy research when reference standards are imperfect is whether the refer-ence standard used to assess novel diagnostics should be ‘more inclusive’ (higher sensitivity, lower specificity) or ‘less inclusive’ (lower sensitivity, higher specificity). Using microbiological criteria alone exhibits good face validity but risks missing cases of ‘true VAP’ or including false positives through contamination (although prior speci-fication of clinically suspected VAP reduces this risk). Importantly, both possibilities are potentially strongly influenced by operator technique/expertise, especially for BAL; this contrasts with diagnostics reliant on blood sampling or imaging. BAL culture was the most com-mon microbiological method found in this review. The use of BAL culture is potentially problematic for sev-eral reasons. Firstly, in a recent systematic review, when compared to the reference standard of histopathological examination of lung tissue, BAL culture had a sensitivity of 71.1% and specificity of 79.6% [86] echoing previous findings that microbiological examination does not cor-relate well with histopathological examination [32]. Sec-ondly, the timing and nature of prior antibiotic therapy may adversely affect sample positivity [87, 88], although this problem is conceivably solved by incorporating a criterion addressing percentage of host cells contain-ing invading organisms, a measure not affected by prior antibiotic therapy [75]. Thirdly, the BAL procedure itself is not standardised, and the requirements for sample collection are not uniform. Whilst this may have little impact on bacterial growth, a fact confirmed by one of the included studies [55], the variety of studies that uti-lised bronchial discard may plausibly lead to a variety in sensitivity at detecting the causative pathogenic organ-ism. Sole microbiological criteria also risk introducing cases of ‘false VAP’ through contamination [87], although this risk is reduced by using distal or protected speci-mens. Of relevance, the quality and consistency of BAL

procedures are likely to be higher in studies than during routine clinical practice, which could further influence its validity.

Using composite criteria may conceivably address the problem of missing cases of ‘true VAP’, and the number or thresholds of additional criteria is not limited. Additional criteria can be made mandatory to increase specificity or made optional to increase sensitivity. Some studies in this review rely on existing surveillance definitions for VAP or use their own composite standards. The exist-ing surveillance definitions were designed to objectively and reproducibly monitor VAP rates not to identify true VAP in a robustly sensitive and specific manner, although as a quality indicator face validity amongst clinicians is important. Other composite studies incorporated radio-logical assessments into the reference standard. It has been shown that chest x-ray changes are not considered integral to the diagnosis by many clinicians [89], that the performance characteristics of chest x-ray may not meet the requirements as a diagnostic standard [90–92], and that inter- and intra-observer variability is high in chest x-ray assessment [93, 94]. These issues mean that incor-poration of radiology into any novel reference standard should be undertaken with caution. Many studies incor-porate clinical signs which plausibly reduces the risk of false positives, and although this makes physiological sense there is minimal evidence to support this. Klompas et al. showed, in the development of the novel CDC VAP surveillance algorithm, that deterioration in oxygenation after a period of stability was associated with clinically important outcomes but the addition of other clinical measures such as abnormal temperature, abnormal white blood cell count, or purulent secretions was not [95]. However, a lack of correlation with clinically important outcomes is not the same as a lack of correlation with a true diagnosis of VAP; this issue is relevant when the decision based on the test relates to a therapy (antibiotic use) rather than prognosis.

No studies relied upon histopathological diagnosis of VAP to confirm the diagnosis. This is not surprising for practical reasons: it cannot be routinely and safely under-taken in all patients with suspected VAP either at the time of the index test or later. Histopathological analysis may also be inaccurate due to sampling artefacts, the lack of representation of a small piece of tissue, and displace-ment in time from the period of peak infection. It is not possible to provide certainty about the appropriate refer-ence standard in diagnostic evaluation research for VAP following this systematic review, which simply identifies the methods chosen by researchers and confirms the lack of a standardised approach. Researchers must decide whether it is more important to be ‘more inclusive’ or ‘less inclusive’, and future comparisons may wish to

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employ the strategy deployed by one of the studies in this review [61]: using a graded certainty of VAP from pos-sible to probable to definite using a composite definition.

There are three main limitations to our review. Firstly, in order to be diagnosed with VAP, a patient must be at risk of VAP, and there is no standard definition for patients at risk. For the purposes of this study, we defined those at risk of VAP as those who have undergone more than 48  h of mechanical ventilation. Secondly, many included studies enrolled only patients with suspected VAP, and this means many listed reference standards must be prefixed with “clinically suspected VAP”. This level of clinical suspicion was not systematically collected by us. This is particularly noteworthy in considering the reference standards listed in Table  3. Thirdly, although data extraction for this review was completed before the impact of Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19), the pandemic nonetheless interfered with the delivery time of this review.

ConclusionBAL culture with a microbiological growth threshold of > 104  CFU/mL is the commonest reference stand-ard used to examine the utility of a novel index test for VAP amongst patients who are at risk for and clinically suspected of VAP. Composite reference standards were used in approximately 25% of reviewed studies. Nearly all reference standards for VAP identified in this review required some microbiological confirmation of infection. The studies identified in this review highlight the need for a standardised approach to diagnosis VAP which may include the development of a data-driven composite ref-erence standard from large cohort studies.

AbbreviationsBAL: Broncho‑alveolar lavage; CDC: Centers for disease control and prevention; CC‑10: Clara cell protein 10; COVID‑19: Coronavirus Disease 2019; CASP: Critical appraisal skills programme; CBA: Cytometric bead array; ETA: Endotracheal aspirates; ECDC: European centre for disease prevention and control; GC‑tof‑MS: Gas chromatography time‑of‑flight mass spectrometry; GS: Gram’s stain; ITU: Intensive therapy unite; LUS: Lung ultrasound; MeSH: Medical subject headings; CPIS: Modified clinical pulmonary infection score; NHSN/CDC: National healthcare safety network/Center for disease control and prevention; PCR: Polymerase chain reaction; PSB: Protected specimen brush; SQ: Semi quantitative; PCT: Serum procalcitonin; sTREM‑1: Type 1 soluble triggering receptor expressed on myeloid cells; U/S: Ultrasound; VAE: Ventilator‑asso‑ciated events; VAP: Ventilator‑associated pneumonia; VOCs: Volatile organic compounds.

Supplementary InformationThe online version contains supplementary material available at https:// doi. org/ 10. 1186/ s12890‑ 021‑ 01560‑0.

Additional file 1. MEDLINE search example.

Additional file 2. Quality assessment and data extraction form.

AcknowledgementsNot applicable.

Authors’ contributionsBA and AJA designed the review, and BA led the project. All authors con‑tribute and approve the review design and search strategy. BA, PM, and JG conducted the title/abstract screening. The quality assessment and data extraction were conducted by BA, THC, PM, ARA, SG, JS, WSJ, BCL, AW, and MC. The data and results were summarized by BA, AJA, THC, SG, JS, WSJ, BCL, AW, MC, interpreted by THC and BA, reviewed by KD and TSW, and approved by all authors. The manuscript was drafted BA and THC, checked by KD and TSW and read and approved by all authors. All authors read and approved the final manuscript.

FundingThis study was funded by Combating Antibiotic‑Resistant Bacteria Biopharma‑ceutical Accelerator (CARB‑X), https:// carb‑x. org, award Number 4500003353. AJA, JS, WJS, CL and AW were supported by the National Institute for Health Research Newcastle In Vitro Diagnostics Co‑operative. The views expressed are those of the author(s) and not necessarily those of the National Institute for Health Research, the National Health Services or the Department of Health and Social Care.

Availability of data and materialsThe datasets used and/or analysed during the current study are available from the corresponding author on reasonable request.

Declarations

Ethics approval and consent to participateNot applicable.

Consent to publishNot applicable.

Competing interestsThe authors declare that they have no competing interests.

Author details1 College of Medicine and Health Sciences, Khalifa University, PO Box 127788, Abu Dhabi, UAE. 2 School of Health and Life Science, University of Northum‑bria, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK. 3 NIHR Newcastle In Vitro Diagnostics Co‑opera‑tive, Translational and Clinical Research Institute, Newcastle University, New‑castle upon Tyne, UK. 4 Translational Healthcare Technologies Group, Centre for Inflammation Research, Queen’s Medical Research Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK. 5 York Health Economics Consortium, Enterprise House, Innovation Way, University of York, York, UK. 6 NIHR Newcastle In Vitro Diagnostics Co‑operative, The Newcastle Upon Tyne Hospitals NHS Founda‑tion Trust, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK. 7 Laboratory Medicine, Newcastle‑Upon‑Tyne Hospitals Foundation Trust, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK. 8 Edinburgh Critical Care Research Group, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK.

Received: 11 March 2021 Accepted: 2 June 2021

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