t r s t · the state’s population will gradually be made up by older population groups. In 2010,...

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2012 DEMOGRAPHIC STATE OF THE STATE REPORT OKLAHOMA STATE AND COUNTY POPULATION PROJECTIONS THROUGH 2075

Steve Barker, MBA Sr. Research Analyst/Program Manager Policy, Research and Economic Analysis Division Oklahoma Department of Commerce

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Executive Summary

Oklahoma’s population is projected to top 5 million by the time the state celebrates its 150th birthday.

By the 2020 Census, Oklahoma’s population will top 4 million

By the mid 2050s, Oklahoma’s population will top 5 million

By 2075, Oklahoma’s population will top 5.5 million

Oklahoma’s population is forecast to grow at an average annual rate of 0.73% over the next 65 years,

equivalent to the US Census Bureau’s most recent national growth forecasts through 2050. The Census

Bureau does not have state level population forecasts.

5,560,007

1,657,155

2,028,283

2,396,040 2,336,434 2,233,351

2,328,284

2,559,229 3,025,290

3,145,585 3,450,654

3,751,351

0

1,000,000

2,000,000

3,000,000

4,000,000

5,000,000

6,000,000

1910

1915

1920

1925

1930

1935

1940

1945

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

2055

2060

2065

2070

2075

Oklahoma: Statewide Population 2012 to 2075 Forecast

Based on Sum of Individual County Forecasts

Oklahoma Annual Estimates 1960‐2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)

Oklahoma Forecast 2012‐2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)

Oklahoma Decennial Census 1910‐2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)

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Counties surrounding present day Tulsa and Oklahoma City metro areas are forecast to see substantial

population growth. In 2010, the 14 counties currently included in the Tulsa and Oklahoma City MSAs

combined to represent 58.4% of the state’s total population but by 2075, those same 14 counties are

forecast to represent 64.2% of the state’s total population. Tulsa and Oklahoma counties alone will

combine to represent 35.6% of the state’s population.

2010 Population for Counties That Make Up Present Day Tulsa and OKC MSAs

Creek 69,967 Canadian 115,541

Okmulgee 40,069 Cleveland 255,755

Osage 47,472 Grady 52,431

Pawnee 16,577 Lincoln 34,273

Rogers 86,905 Logan 41,848

Tulsa 603,403 McClain 34,506

Wagoner 73,085 Oklahoma 718,633

Total Tulsa MSA 937,478 Total OKC MSA 1,252,987

Percentage of Statewide total

25.0% 33.4%

Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census

2075 Population Forecast for Counties That Make Up Present Day Tulsa and OKC MSAs

Creek 109,751 Canadian 232,316

Okmulgee 44,406 Cleveland 521,368

Osage 71,916 Grady 82,549

Pawnee 24,929 Lincoln 55,400

Rogers 173,122 Logan 69,711

Tulsa 934,215 McClain 61,698

Wagoner 144,991 Oklahoma 1,042,525

Total Tulsa MSA 1,503,330 Total OKC MSA 2,065,568

Percentage of Statewide total

27.0% 37.2%

Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce

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There are 25 counties in Oklahoma forecast to experience population decline over the next 65 years.

Many of these counties, mostly in western Oklahoma, experienced their peak population levels in 1910,

shortly after Oklahoma achieved statehood. While these counties are expected to continue to

experience population declines, the rate of decline is expected to slow over the coming decades.

Counties forecast to experience population decline between 2010 and 2075

Alfalfa Cotton Greer Jefferson Roger Mills

Beaver Craig Harmon Kay Seminole

Blaine Dewey Harper Kiowa Tillman

Choctaw Ellis Hughes Major Washita

Cimarron Grant Jackson Nowata Woods

Oklahoma’s population is also expected to live longer on average. An increasingly larger percentage of

the state’s population will gradually be made up by older population groups.

In 2010, 13.5% of the state’s population was aged 65 or older

By 2075, 19.8% of the state’s population will be aged 65 or older

Statewide population projections by age group

2010 2075

Population As % Projected Population As %

Age 00 to 04 264,126 7.0% 347,853 6.3%

Age 05 to 09 259,336 6.9% 349,177 6.3%

Age 10 to 14 253,664 6.8% 350,455 6.3%

Age 15 to 19 264,484 7.1% 350,949 6.3%

Age 20 to 24 269,242 7.2% 350,816 6.3%

Age 25 to 29 265,737 7.1% 350,657 6.3%

Age 30 to 34 241,018 6.4% 350,293 6.3%

Age 35 to 39 232,742 6.2% 349,324 6.3%

Age 40 to 44 228,195 6.1% 347,057 6.2%

Age 45 to 49 261,242 7.0% 342,806 6.2%

Age 50 to 54 264,369 7.0% 335,832 6.0%

Age 55 to 59 235,969 6.3% 325,586 5.9%

Age 60 to 64 204,513 5.5% 310,576 5.6%

Age 65 to 69 159,392 4.2% 289,062 5.2%

Age 70 to 74 121,075 3.2% 258,716 4.7%

Age 75 to 79 95,051 2.5% 217,121 3.9%

Age 80 to 84 69,284 1.8% 166,952 3.0%

Age 85+ 61,912 1.7% 166,777 3.0%

Total Population 3,751,351 100.0% 5,560,007 100.0%

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Methodology

General discussion of projection formulas State level projections used in this report start with population counts revealed under the 2010

Decennial Census and follow generally accepted forecasting routines developed by the US Census

Bureau. For simplicity, the basic demographic formulas used in this report are as follows:

Population in the current year

+ Births in the current year

‐ Deaths in the current year

+ Net migration

Equals

Population projection for the next year

Population projection for the next year

+ estimated births in the current year, based on fertility rates and # of women of child bearing age

‐ Deaths in the current year

+ Net migration

Equals

Population projection for the following year

What population groups are included in projections All population figures cited in this report, whether historic counts or forward looking projections, include

the following:

All civilian residents living within the state

Members of the US Armed Forces stationed within Oklahoma

All persons incarcerated in the state of Oklahoma, including out of state prisoners held at

private prisons located within the state

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Projection of births and fertility rates This report uses statewide total fertility rates from Table S1301 of the US Census Bureau’s 2006‐2010

American Community Survey. Based on survey responses gathered over 5 years, Table S1301 reports

the rate of births per 1,000 women by three age categories. Table S1301 indicates Oklahoma’s rate of

women with births in the past 12 months (an annual time frame) were:

Among women aged 15‐19 there were 37 births per 1,000 women

Among women aged 20‐34 there were 113 births per 1,000 women

Among women aged 35‐49, there were 15 births per 1,000 women

A summary of Table S1301 is included in Appendix 1.

While birth rates have been generally declining across the United States and in Oklahoma for some time,

that rate of decline has also been slowing in recent years. Further, the state’s growing Hispanic

population typically has a higher birth rate than the rate shown for the population in total.

This report does not project populations by race or ethnicity, but it is assumed that the state’s Hispanic

population will continue to grow. As the percentage of Hispanics in Oklahoma increases, it is also

assumed that the rate of decline in the state’s overall birth rate will slow or possibly reverse. Because of

the uncertainty surrounding the longer term direction for birth rates in Oklahoma, the population

projections in this report assume that the overall birth rate will remain constant over the longer term.

Projection of deaths United States survival rates by single age and gender for 2007 were obtained from the US Centers for

Disease Control at http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/nvsr/nvsr59/nvsr59_09.pdf and are included in

Appendix 2.

National survival rates were used to calculate Oklahoma life expectancy for each age group over the

next 65 years. Those survival rates are not likely to remain static with improvements in health care

technology and Oklahoma embarking on efforts like smoking reduction programs and diabetes

awareness efforts to change the state’s overall health characteristics. However, the rapid onset of other

health concerns, like the national epidemic of obesity, could also adversely impact the state’s longer

term life expectancy figures.

Because of the difficulty in forecasting future changes in life expectancy, Oklahoma’s age specific

survival rates are assumed to remain constant for the purposes of the populations projections contained

within this report.

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Projection of net migration As difficult as the previous variables are to project, migration is likely even more difficult to gauge. As

the state’s previous population projections report stated following the release of the 2000 Census

results, “The only consistency in Oklahoma’s recent migration history has been its unpredictability.”

How volatile is this component of population growth? Between 1970 and 1983, Oklahoma’s overall

population growth rate grew at a heated pace, reaching peak annual growth of 3.6% in 1982. Some less

populated counties in eastern Oklahoma, driven in part by new oil discoveries and well construction,

experienced double digit annual percentage growth. Then by 1987 the state’s annual population growth

rate dropped to ‐1.3% and some of those same double digit growth counties were showing nearly

double digit declines. Appendix 3 shows more detailed information about the history of Oklahoma’s

components of population change, including net migration figures.

Between 1960 and 2011, Oklahoma’s population gain due to net migration averaged slightly over 10,000

people annually, with swings ranging from a gain of 80,500 in 1982 to a decline of 61,000 in 1987.

Ignoring the volatility found in the 1970s and 1980s, and limiting net migration to the 1990s and 2000s,

Oklahoma’s average annual net migration gain was just under 15,000. For this analysis, the state’s

annual population growth figure has been assumed to run at a consistent rate of adding 15,000 people

annually.

County population projections County population projections were obtained using a more generalized process than the statewide

approach already outlined above. Linear regression trendline formulas, based on population patterns

from 1960 to 2011, were deemed sufficient to develop county population projections for 64 of

Oklahoma’s 77 counties. For the remaining 13 counties, straight linear regression formulas yielded

unrealistic population levels and another option needed to be used.

Linear models were judged to be insufficient for Alfalfa, Cimarron, Dewey, Ellis, Grant, Greer, Harmon,

Harper, Kiowa, Roger Mills, Tillman, Washita and Woods counties. For these counties, a curved, or

power, trendline was judged to be a better fit.

Statistically, trendline formulas have a measure of ‘fit’ known as the r‐squared value. The closer the r‐

squared value is to a value of one, the better the formula matches up with actual population figures.

Going one step further, the higher the r‐squared value, the better the assumed predictability of future

values. This report includes both the trendline formula used for each county’s population, plus the

associated r‐squared value as a measure of how well the formula fits the historic population levels and

how well the formula might predict future populations, all other things being held constant.

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Matching up the two methodologies Statewide estimates have been developed using two different methods, each arriving at a similar

conclusion before balancing. With each method acting as a comparative “check” against the other, it is

believed these estimates are as accurate as possible, excluding any unforeseen changes in economic or

political condition.

When the Census Bureau develops annual population estimates based on birth, death and migration

data, they encounter situations where the sum of the parts doesn’t exactly equal the expected whole.

To resolve the issue, they use a balancing figure that effectively serves as a “margin of error” within

their birth, death and migration figures. This report used a similar approach to unify the results of the

statewide methodology with the county level methodology.

Summing county level population projections yielded a population total that was comfortably close to

the state level population projections, but there was a small degree of difference that necessitated a

slight population adjustment at the statewide level. Over the course of the 65 years between 2010 and

2075, the required adjustment averaged 0.2% of each year’s total population. This was deemed an

acceptable range of variation and was added into the statewide population total for balancing purposes.

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Oklahoma Statewide

Oklahoma’s statewide population projection was built using the sum of population projections for all 77

counties. Annual growth rates are forecast to average 0.73%. This is similar to the state’s average

annual growth rate of 0.80% over the last three decades, and equivalent to the US Census Bureau’s

forecast for the national growth rate through 2050.

The following pages contain tables showing Oklahoma’s statewide Decennial Census populations going

back to statehood; annual population estimates going back to 1960; population projections from 2012

to 2075; and population projections by 5 year age group through 2075 for males, females and the total

population.

Decennial Census population counts Statewide

1910 1,657,155 1960 2,328,284 2010 3,751,351

1920 2,028,283 1970 2,559,229

1930 2,396,040 1980 3,025,290

1940 2,336,434 1990 3,145,585

1950 2,233,351 2000 3,450,654


5,560,007

1,657,155

2,028,283

2,396,040 2,336,434 2,233,351

2,328,284 2,559,229

3,025,290 3,145,585

3,450,654

3,751,351

0

1,000,000

2,000,000

3,000,000

4,000,000

5,000,000

6,000,000

1910

1915

1920

1925

1930

1935

1940

1945

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

2055

2060

2065

2070

2075

Oklahoma: Statewide Population 2012 to 2075 Forecast

Based on Sum of Individual County Forecasts

Oklahoma Annual Estimates 1960‐2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)



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Annual population estimates Statewide

1960 2,328,284 1973 2,694,000 1986 3,252,735 1999 3,437,147

1961 2,380,000 1974 2,732,000 1987 3,210,124 2000 3,450,654

1962 2,427,000 1975 2,772,000 1988 3,167,064 2001 3,464,729

1963 2,439,000 1976 2,823,000 1989 3,150,304 2002 3,484,754

1964 2,446,000 1977 2,866,000 1990 3,145,585 2003 3,498,687

1965 2,440,000 1978 2,913,000 1991 3,175,440 2004 3,514,449

1966 2,454,000 1979 2,970,000 1992 3,220,517 2005 3,532,769

1967 2,489,000 1980 3,025,290 1993 3,252,285 2006 3,574,334

1968 2,503,000 1981 3,096,159 1994 3,280,940 2007 3,612,186

1969 2,535,000 1982 3,206,129 1995 3,308,208 2008 3,644,025

1970 2,559,229 1983 3,290,404 1996 3,340,129 2009 3,687,050

1971 2,618,000 1984 3,285,535 1997 3,372,917 2010 3,751,351

1972 2,657,000 1985 3,271,333 1998 3,405,194 2011 3,791,508

Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division

Population projections Statewide

2012 3,802,027 2028 4,246,796 2044 4,692,968 2060 5,140,129

2013 3,829,773 2029 4,274,646 2045 4,720,889 2061 5,168,103

2014 3,857,527 2030 4,302,501 2046 4,748,815 2062 5,196,079

2015 3,885,288 2031 4,330,362 2047 4,776,744 2063 5,224,059

2016 3,913,057 2032 4,358,227 2048 4,804,677 2064 5,252,041

2017 3,940,833 2033 4,386,098 2049 4,832,614 2065 5,280,026

2018 3,968,616 2034 4,413,973 2050 4,860,554 2066 5,308,013

2019 3,996,406 2035 4,441,853 2051 4,888,497 2067 5,336,003

2020 4,024,202 2036 4,469,737 2052 4,916,443 2068 5,363,995

2021 4,052,005 2037 4,497,626 2053 4,944,393 2069 5,391,990

2022 4,079,814 2038 4,525,519 2054 4,972,346 2070 5,419,987

2023 4,107,630 2039 4,553,417 2055 5,000,303 2071 5,447,986

2024 4,135,452 2040 4,581,319 2056 5,028,262 2072 5,475,988

2025 4,163,279 2041 4,609,225 2057 5,056,224 2073 5,503,992

2026 4,191,113 2042 4,637,135 2058 5,084,190 2074 5,531,999

2027 4,218,952 2043 4,665,050 2059 5,112,158 2075 5,560,007


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Total Population – Statewide projections by age group

2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040

Total Population 3,751,351 3,885,288 4,024,202 4,163,279 4,302,501 4,441,853 4,581,319

Age 00 to 04 264,126 261,386 264,575 269,470 275,542 282,544 290,154

Age 05 to 09 259,336 263,437 266,238 270,710 276,637 283,608 291,232

Age 10 to 14 253,664 261,538 266,890 271,867 277,785 284,698 292,299

Age 15 to 19 264,484 261,914 266,352 271,944 278,183 285,164 292,748

Age 20 to 24 269,242 266,144 267,166 271,732 277,957 285,046 292,669

Age 25 to 29 265,737 268,691 269,593 272,642 278,079 284,959 292,563

Age 30 to 34 241,018 260,416 268,635 273,335 278,514 284,988 292,389

Age 35 to 39 232,742 246,732 261,044 270,577 277,685 284,527 291,835

Age 40 to 44 228,195 236,035 249,520 262,713 273,261 281,935 289,892

Age 45 to 49 261,242 240,762 242,209 252,628 264,756 275,699 285,180

Age 50 to 54 264,369 251,815 243,014 245,286 254,499 265,831 276,687

Age 55 to 59 235,969 247,936 244,211 241,509 245,355 254,134 264,756

Age 60 to 64 204,513 225,559 234,502 235,164 236,262 241,382 249,845

Age 65 to 69 159,392 189,604 209,531 218,798 222,379 225,851 231,690

Age 70 to 74 121,075 147,839 172,262 189,090 198,245 203,305 207,932

Age 75 to 79 95,051 109,135 129,623 148,434 161,786 169,841 175,029

Age 80 to 84 69,284 76,690 89,559 104,846 118,339 127,972 134,140

Age 85+ 61,912 69,655 79,277 92,534 107,240 120,368 130,281

2045 2050 2055 2060 2065 2070 2075

Total Population 4,720,889 4,860,554 5,000,303 5,140,129 5,280,026 5,419,987 5,560,007

Age 00 to 04 298,074 306,136 314,281 322,514 330,854 339,304 347,853

Age 05 to 09 299,194 307,302 315,488 323,754 332,121 340,599 349,177

Age 10 to 14 300,272 308,414 316,641 324,945 333,343 341,849 350,455

Age 15 to 19 300,700 308,838 317,077 325,399 333,815 342,333 350,949

Age 20 to 24 300,609 308,725 316,949 325,267 333,684 342,203 350,816

Age 25 to 29 300,503 308,605 316,812 325,117 333,529 342,045 350,657

Age 30 to 34 300,256 308,326 316,506 324,789 333,184 341,689 350,293

Age 35 to 39 299,572 307,556 315,680 323,917 332,273 340,747 349,324

Age 40 to 44 297,743 305,671 313,709 321,863 330,142 338,545 347,057

Age 45 to 49 293,738 301,880 309,907 317,969 326,131 334,413 342,806

Age 50 to 54 286,389 295,158 303,407 311,459 319,503 327,620 335,832

Age 55 to 59 275,187 284,726 293,445 301,659 309,653 317,601 325,586

Age 60 to 64 259,693 269,469 278,587 287,047 295,065 302,860 310,576

Age 65 to 69 239,684 248,647 257,595 266,080 274,061 281,670 289,062

Age 70 to 74 213,867 221,137 229,054 236,977 244,580 251,801 258,716

Age 75 to 79 179,739 185,158 191,378 198,003 204,624 211,015 217,121

Age 80 to 84 138,485 142,507 146,935 151,829 156,947 162,035 166,952

Age 85+ 137,183 142,298 146,852 151,538 156,516 161,658 166,777

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MALE Population – Statewide projections by age group

2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040

Male Population 1,856,977 1,929,481 2,001,017 2,071,124 2,140,913 2,210,927 2,281,243

Age 00 to 04 134,700 133,680 135,435 137,976 141,094 144,683 148,579

Age 05 to 09 132,918 134,726 136,213 138,567 141,637 145,221 149,130

Age 10 to 14 130,260 133,991 136,582 139,124 142,184 145,750 149,656

Age 15 to 19 135,644 134,241 136,311 139,057 142,220 145,800 149,695

Age 20 to 24 137,934 136,231 136,598 138,766 141,841 145,421 149,306

Age 25 to 29 135,908 137,362 137,713 139,117 141,745 145,155 148,982

Age 30 to 34 122,914 132,910 137,067 139,359 141,857 145,022 148,694

Age 35 to 39 117,446 125,315 132,861 137,746 141,286 144,644 148,238

Age 40 to 44 114,943 119,224 126,410 133,308 138,707 143,051 146,982

Age 45 to 49 129,816 120,473 121,775 127,427 133,766 139,357 144,107

Age 50 to 54 129,931 124,405 120,741 122,465 127,493 133,406 138,932

Age 55 to 59 114,982 121,005 119,651 118,912 121,367 126,131 131,646

Age 60 to 64 98,601 108,785 113,277 113,974 115,015 118,019 122,554

Age 65 to 69 75,279 90,017 99,597 104,158 106,176 108,271 111,522

Age 70 to 74 55,836 68,622 80,177 88,073 92,444 95,052 97,578

Age 75 to 79 41,390 48,833 58,585 67,260 73,333 77,049 79,590

Age 80 to 84 28,049 32,509 38,887 45,933 51,937 56,155 58,900

Age 85+ 20,426 27,154 33,139 39,903 46,810 52,741 57,153

2045 2050 2055 2060 2065 2070 2075

Male Population 2,351,666 2,421,964 2,491,988 2,561,719 2,631,226 2,700,613 2,769,983

Age 00 to 04 152,629 156,755 160,923 165,137 169,405 173,728 178,107

Age 05 to 09 153,205 157,353 161,542 165,771 170,053 174,391 178,782

Age 10 to 14 153,743 157,911 162,120 166,368 170,665 175,017 179,420

Age 15 to 19 153,773 157,939 162,152 166,405 170,705 175,058 179,462

Age 20 to 24 153,365 157,513 161,712 165,956 170,248 174,591 178,983

Age 25 to 29 153,011 157,137 161,319 165,549 169,832 174,167 178,549

Age 30 to 34 152,642 156,722 160,874 165,083 169,350 173,672 178,044

Age 35 to 39 152,077 156,074 160,168 164,335 168,570 172,867 177,217

Age 40 to 44 150,852 154,781 158,793 162,887 167,060 171,305 175,608

Age 45 to 49 148,340 152,352 156,319 160,326 164,405 168,560 172,781

Age 50 to 54 143,777 148,101 152,149 156,108 160,081 164,110 168,201

Age 55 to 59 136,923 141,657 145,929 149,933 153,832 157,723 161,650

Age 60 to 64 127,624 132,526 137,009 141,115 144,984 148,746 152,482

Age 65 to 69 115,731 120,283 124,708 128,821 132,640 136,259 139,774

Age 70 to 74 100,747 104,482 108,419 112,255 115,863 119,246 122,465

Age 75 to 79 82,018 84,794 87,889 91,086 94,199 97,143 99,921

Age 80 to 84 60,946 62,928 65,103 67,446 69,825 72,130 74,315

Age 85+ 60,261 62,655 64,861 67,136 69,508 71,898 74,223

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FEMALE Population – Statewide projections by age group

2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040

Female Population 1,894,374 1,955,807 2,023,185 2,092,155 2,161,589 2,230,925 2,300,076

Age 00 to 04 129,426 127,706 129,141 131,494 134,447 137,862 141,576

Age 05 to 09 126,418 128,711 130,025 132,142 135,000 138,387 142,103

Age 10 to 14 123,404 127,547 130,309 132,743 135,600 138,948 142,643

Age 15 to 19 128,840 127,673 130,041 132,887 135,963 139,363 143,053

Age 20 to 24 131,308 129,914 130,568 132,966 136,115 139,626 143,363

Age 25 to 29 129,829 131,329 131,880 133,525 136,334 139,804 143,581

Age 30 to 34 118,104 127,507 131,567 133,976 136,657 139,966 143,695

Age 35 to 39 115,296 121,417 128,184 132,831 136,399 139,883 143,597

Age 40 to 44 113,252 116,811 123,110 129,405 134,554 138,884 142,910

Age 45 to 49 131,426 120,289 120,435 125,202 130,990 136,342 141,073

Age 50 to 54 134,438 127,410 122,274 122,821 127,006 132,425 137,755

Age 55 to 59 120,987 126,931 124,560 122,597 123,988 128,003 133,110

Age 60 to 64 105,912 116,774 121,225 121,191 121,247 123,364 127,291

Age 65 to 69 84,113 99,587 109,934 114,640 116,203 117,580 120,168

Age 70 to 74 65,239 79,217 92,085 101,017 105,800 108,253 110,353

Age 75 to 79 53,661 60,301 71,038 81,174 88,452 92,792 95,439

Age 80 to 84 41,235 44,181 50,672 58,912 66,402 71,816 75,240

Age 85+ 41,486 42,500 46,138 52,631 60,430 67,627 73,129

2045 2050 2055 2060 2065 2070 2075

Female Population 2,369,224 2,438,590 2,508,315 2,578,410 2,648,800 2,719,373 2,790,024

Age 00 to 04 145,445 149,381 153,358 157,377 161,449 165,576 169,746

Age 05 to 09 145,989 149,949 153,947 157,983 162,068 166,207 170,395

Age 10 to 14 146,529 150,503 154,521 158,577 162,678 166,832 171,034

Age 15 to 19 146,927 150,899 154,925 158,994 163,110 167,275 171,487

Age 20 to 24 147,244 151,212 155,237 159,312 163,437 167,612 171,833

Age 25 to 29 147,492 151,468 155,493 159,568 163,697 167,879 172,108

Age 30 to 34 147,614 151,603 155,632 159,706 163,834 168,017 172,249

Age 35 to 39 147,495 151,482 155,512 159,583 163,703 167,880 172,107

Age 40 to 44 146,891 150,890 154,916 158,977 163,082 167,240 171,448

Age 45 to 49 145,398 149,528 153,588 157,643 161,726 165,853 170,025

Age 50 to 54 142,612 147,057 151,258 155,351 159,422 163,510 167,630

Age 55 to 59 138,264 143,069 147,516 151,727 155,821 159,878 163,935

Age 60 to 64 132,069 136,943 141,578 145,932 150,081 154,113 158,094

Age 65 to 69 123,953 128,364 132,887 137,259 141,421 145,411 149,289

Age 70 to 74 113,121 116,655 120,635 124,722 128,716 132,555 136,250

Age 75 to 79 97,721 100,363 103,489 106,916 110,426 113,872 117,200

Age 80 to 84 77,539 79,579 81,832 84,383 87,121 89,905 92,637

Age 85+ 76,922 79,642 81,991 84,402 87,008 89,760 92,555

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Adair County

Adair County’s population is forecast to grow at approximately 0.78% on an average annual basis over

the next 65 years. This forecast was developed using a linear regression trendline based on the county’s

population change between 1960 and 2010. The regression formula appears to have a strong degree of

fit, with only limited year to year variation from forecasts expected.

Decennial Census population counts Adair

1910 10,535 1960 13,112 2010 22,683

1920 13,703 1970 15,141

1930 14,756 1980 18,575

1940 15,755 1990 18,421

1950 14,918 2000 21,038


10,535

13,703 14,756

15,755 14,918

13,112

15,141

18,575 18,421 21,038

22,683

0

5000

10000

15000

20000

25000

30000

35000

40000

1910

1915

1920

1925

1930

1935

1940

1945

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

2055

2060

2065

2070

2075

Adair County2012 to 2075 Forecast

Based on Linear Trend From 1960 to 2011

Adair County Annual Estimates 1960‐2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)

Adair Forecast 2012‐2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)

Adair Decennial Census 1910‐2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)

Linear Trendline

15 | P a g e

Annual population estimates Adair

1960 13,112 1973 16,700 1986 18,557 1999 20,904

1961 13,400 1974 16,800 1987 18,815 2000 21,038

1962 13,800 1975 17,100 1988 18,771 2001 21,066

1963 14,000 1976 17,300 1989 18,516 2002 21,179

1964 14,100 1977 17,700 1990 18,421 2003 21,285

1965 14,100 1978 18,200 1991 18,844 2004 21,371

1966 14,300 1979 18,700 1992 19,178 2005 21,599

1967 14,500 1980 18,575 1993 19,483 2006 21,858

1968 14,700 1981 18,258 1994 19,784 2007 21,938

1969 14,900 1982 18,437 1995 19,933 2008 21,857

1970 15,141 1983 18,845 1996 20,182 2009 21,857

1971 15,500 1984 18,369 1997 20,421 2010 22,683

1972 16,300 1985 18,357 1998 20,748 2011 22,612


Population projections Adair

2012 23,029 2028 25,855 2044 28,682 2060 31,508

2013 23,206 2029 26,032 2045 28,858 2061 31,685

2014 23,382 2030 26,209 2046 29,035 2062 31,861

2015 23,559 2031 26,385 2047 29,212 2063 32,038

2016 23,736 2032 26,562 2048 29,388 2064 32,215

2017 23,912 2033 26,739 2049 29,565 2065 32,391

2018 24,089 2034 26,915 2050 29,742 2066 32,568

2019 24,266 2035 27,092 2051 29,918 2067 32,745

2020 24,442 2036 27,269 2052 30,095 2068 32,921

2021 24,619 2037 27,445 2053 30,272 2069 33,098

2022 24,796 2038 27,622 2054 30,448 2070 33,275

2023 24,972 2039 27,799 2055 30,625 2071 33,451

2024 25,149 2040 27,975 2056 30,802 2072 33,628

2025 25,326 2041 28,152 2057 30,978 2073 33,805

2026 25,502 2042 28,329 2058 31,155 2074 33,981

2027 25,679 2043 28,505 2059 31,332 2075 34,158


16 | P a g e

Alfalfa County

Alfalfa County is forecast to experience a slowing rate of population decline over the next 65 years.

While a higher rate of decline is expected in the immediate term, later decades are expected to

experience lower rates of decline. Over the full 65 year span, the decline is forecast to average an

annual rate of ‐0.37%. A power regression trendline based on the county’s population patterns over the

last 50 years indicates a strong degree of fit, with only a limited amount of year to year variation

expected.

Decennial Census population counts Alfalfa

1910 18,138 1960 8,445 2010 5,642

1920 16,253 1970 7,224

1930 15,228 1980 7,077

1940 14,129 1990 6,416

1950 10,699 2000 6,105


18,138

16,253 15,228

14,129

10,699

8,445

7,224 7,077

6,416 6,105 5,642

0

3000

6000

9000

12000

15000

18000

21000

1910

1915

1920

1925

1930

1935

1940

1945

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

2055

2060

2065

2070

2075

Alfalfa County2012 to 2075 Forecast

Based on Power Trend From 1960 to 2011

Alfalfa County Annual Estimates 1960‐2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)

Alfalfa Forecast 2012‐2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)

Alfalfa Decennial Census 1910‐2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)

Power Trendline

17 | P a g e

Annual population estimates Alfalfa

1960 8,445 1973 7,000 1986 7,222 1999 6,125

1961 8,400 1974 7,000 1987 6,979 2000 6,105

1962 8,300 1975 7,200 1988 6,637 2001 5,926

1963 8,200 1976 7,200 1989 6,575 2002 5,886

1964 8,000 1977 7,200 1990 6,416 2003 5,800

1965 7,900 1978 7,300 1991 6,367 2004 5,748

1966 7,600 1979 7,200 1992 6,327 2005 5,656

1967 7,600 1980 7,077 1993 6,309 2006 5,584

1968 7,400 1981 7,235 1994 6,291 2007 5,571

1969 7,300 1982 7,380 1995 6,275 2008 5,565

1970 7,224 1983 7,519 1996 6,291 2009 5,481

1971 7,200 1984 7,324 1997 6,247 2010 5,642

1972 7,100 1985 7,197 1998 6,244 2011 5,662


Population projections Alfalfa

2012 5,638 2028 5,196 2044 4,837 2060 4,540

2013 5,607 2029 5,171 2045 4,817 2061 4,523

2014 5,577 2030 5,147 2046 4,797 2062 4,507

2015 5,547 2031 5,123 2047 4,778 2063 4,490

2016 5,518 2032 5,099 2048 4,758 2064 4,474

2017 5,489 2033 5,076 2049 4,739 2065 4,457

2018 5,460 2034 5,053 2050 4,720 2066 4,441

2019 5,432 2035 5,030 2051 4,701 2067 4,425

2020 5,404 2036 5,008 2052 4,682 2068 4,409

2021 5,377 2037 4,986 2053 4,664 2069 4,394

2022 5,350 2038 4,964 2054 4,646 2070 4,378

2023 5,323 2039 4,942 2055 4,628 2071 4,363

2024 5,297 2040 4,921 2056 4,610 2072 4,348

2025 5,271 2041 4,899 2057 4,592 2073 4,333

2026 5,246 2042 4,879 2058 4,575 2074 4,318

2027 5,221 2043 4,858 2059 4,557 2075 4,303


18 | P a g e

Atoka County

Atoka County is forecast to experience population growth rates slightly below the state population

growth level over the next 65 years. Between 2010 and 2075, Atoka County’s expected average annual

growth rate is 0.58%. A linear regression trendline based on the county’s population patterns over the

last 50 years indicates a strong degree of fit, with slight population variation expected from year to year.

Decennial Census population counts Atoka

1910 13,808 1960 10,352 2010 14,182

1920 20,862 1970 10,972

1930 14,533 1980 12,748

1940 18,702 1990 12,778

1950 14,269 2000 13,879


13,808

20,862

14,533

18,702

14,269

10,352

10,972

12,748 12,778 13,879

14,182

0

4,000

8,000

12,000

16,000

20,000

24,000

1910

1915

1920

1925

1930

1935

1940

1945

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

2055

2060

2065

2070

2075

Atoka County2012 to 2075 Forecast


Atoka County Annual Estimates 1960‐2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)

Atoka Forecast 2012‐2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)

Atoka Decennial Census 1910‐2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)

Linear Trendline

19 | P a g e

Annual population estimates Atoka

1960 10,352 1973 11,600 1986 13,317 1999 13,856

1961 10,500 1974 11,900 1987 13,175 2000 13,879

1962 10,700 1975 12,100 1988 12,979 2001 13,896

1963 10,700 1976 12,100 1989 12,881 2002 13,987

1964 10,700 1977 12,300 1990 12,778 2003 14,155

1965 10,600 1978 12,300 1991 12,866 2004 14,290

1966 10,600 1979 12,600 1992 13,172 2005 14,288

1967 10,700 1980 12,748 1993 13,260 2006 14,308

1968 10,800 1981 12,713 1994 13,336 2007 14,453

1969 10,900 1982 12,811 1995 13,553 2008 14,573

1970 10,972 1983 13,548 1996 13,572 2009 14,498

1971 11,200 1984 13,674 1997 13,785 2010 14,182

1972 11,400 1985 13,599 1998 13,749 2011 14,206


Population projections Atoka

2012 14,238 2028 15,581 2044 16,925 2060 18,268

2013 14,322 2029 15,665 2045 17,009 2061 18,352

2014 14,406 2030 15,749 2046 17,093 2062 18,436

2015 14,490 2031 15,833 2047 17,176 2063 18,520

2016 14,574 2032 15,917 2048 17,260 2064 18,604

2017 14,658 2033 16,001 2049 17,344 2065 18,688

2018 14,742 2034 16,085 2050 17,428 2066 18,772

2019 14,826 2035 16,169 2051 17,512 2067 18,855

2020 14,910 2036 16,253 2052 17,596 2068 18,939

2021 14,994 2037 16,337 2053 17,680 2069 19,023

2022 15,078 2038 16,421 2054 17,764 2070 19,107

2023 15,162 2039 16,505 2055 17,848 2071 19,191

2024 15,246 2040 16,589 2056 17,932 2072 19,275

2025 15,330 2041 16,673 2057 18,016 2073 19,359

2026 15,414 2042 16,757 2058 18,100 2074 19,443

2027 15,498 2043 16,841 2059 18,184 2075 19,527


20 | P a g e

Beaver County

Beaver County’s population is forecast to experience an average annual rate of decline of ‐0.49% over

the next 65 years. However, a linear regression trendline based on the county’s population patterns

over the last 50 years shows some degree of uncertainty. Actual year to year population numbers may

swing higher or lower than expected, but the overall trend is likely to remain in the general direction of

the overall trendline.

Decennial Census population counts Beaver

1910 13,631 1960 6,965 2010 5,636

1920 14,048 1970 6,282

1930 11,452 1980 6,806

1940 8,648 1990 6,023

1950 7,411 2000 5,857


13,631 14,048

11,452

8,648

7,411 6,965

6,282 6,806 6,023 5,857 5,636

0

3,000

6,000

9,000

12,000

15,000

1910

1915

1920

1925

1930

1935

1940

1945

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

2055

2060

2065

2070

2075

Beaver County2012 to 2075 Forecast


Beaver County Annual Estimates 1960‐2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)

Beaver Forecast 2012‐2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)

Beaver Decennial Census 1910‐2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)

Linear Trendline

21 | P a g e

Annual population estimates Beaver

1960 6,965 1973 5,900 1986 6,890 1999 6,024

1961 7,000 1974 5,800 1987 6,577 2000 5,857

1962 7,000 1975 5,900 1988 6,353 2001 5,641

1963 6,800 1976 5,900 1989 6,204 2002 5,564

1964 6,800 1977 6,000 1990 6,023 2003 5,519

1965 6,600 1978 6,300 1991 5,969 2004 5,452

1966 6,500 1979 6,500 1992 5,869 2005 5,403

1967 6,500 1980 6,806 1993 5,854 2006 5,313

1968 6,400 1981 6,955 1994 5,880 2007 5,325

1969 6,300 1982 7,129 1995 5,908 2008 5,242

1970 6,282 1983 7,164 1996 5,921 2009 5,270

1971 6,300 1984 7,093 1997 5,928 2010 5,636

1972 6,100 1985 6,971 1998 6,039 2011 5,624


Population projections Beaver

2012 5,483 2028 5,064 2044 4,645 2060 4,225

2013 5,457 2029 5,038 2045 4,618 2061 4,199

2014 5,431 2030 5,012 2046 4,592 2062 4,173

2015 5,405 2031 4,985 2047 4,566 2063 4,147

2016 5,379 2032 4,959 2048 4,540 2064 4,120

2017 5,352 2033 4,933 2049 4,514 2065 4,094

2018 5,326 2034 4,907 2050 4,487 2066 4,068

2019 5,300 2035 4,881 2051 4,461 2067 4,042

2020 5,274 2036 4,854 2052 4,435 2068 4,016

2021 5,247 2037 4,828 2053 4,409 2069 3,989

2022 5,221 2038 4,802 2054 4,383 2070 3,963

2023 5,195 2039 4,776 2055 4,356 2071 3,937

2024 5,169 2040 4,750 2056 4,330 2072 3,911

2025 5,143 2041 4,723 2057 4,304 2073 3,885

2026 5,116 2042 4,697 2058 4,278 2074 3,858

2027 5,090 2043 4,671 2059 4,252 2075 3,832


22 | P a g e

Beckham County

Beckham County’s population is forecast to grow at an average annual rate of 0.38% over the next 65

years. Volatility in the county’s population over the last 50 years, historically influenced by

developments in the energy sector, reduces the overall fit of this county’s linear regression trendline.

Up and down swings in population from year to year are expected to continue, much like they have

since 1960. However, the long‐term growth trend is expected to generally follow the levels indicated by

the graph above.

Decennial Census population counts Beckham

1910 19,699 1960 17,782 2010 22,119

1920 18,989 1970 15,754

1930 28,991 1980 19,243

1940 22,169 1990 18,812

1950 21,627 2000 19,799


19,699 18,989

28,991

22,169 21,627

17,782

15,754

19,243 18,812 19,799

22,119

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

1910

1915

1920

1925

1930

1935

1940

1945

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

2055

2060

2065

2070

2075

Beckham County2012 to 2075 Forecast


Beckham County Annual Estimates 1960‐2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)

Beckham Forecast 2012‐2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)

Beckham Decennial Census 1910‐2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)

Linear Trendline

23 | P a g e

Annual population estimates Beckham

1960 17,782 1973 15,600 1986 21,114 1999 19,957

1961 17,800 1974 15,900 1987 19,551 2000 19,799

1962 17,600 1975 16,100 1988 19,290 2001 19,778

1963 17,500 1976 15,900 1989 19,001 2002 19,849

1964 17,200 1977 16,400 1990 18,812 2003 19,205

1965 16,800 1978 17,100 1991 18,789 2004 18,164

1966 16,500 1979 18,300 1992 18,685 2005 18,630

1967 16,300 1980 19,243 1993 18,579 2006 19,315

1968 16,100 1981 21,010 1994 18,799 2007 20,787

1969 15,900 1982 25,027 1995 18,969 2008 21,494

1970 15,754 1983 26,383 1996 18,971 2009 21,116

1971 15,800 1984 23,502 1997 18,885 2010 22,119

1972 15,500 1985 22,160 1998 19,442 2011 22,288


Population projections Beckham

2012 22,155 2028 23,543 2044 24,931 2060 26,318

2013 22,242 2029 23,630 2045 25,017 2061 26,405

2014 22,329 2030 23,716 2046 25,104 2062 26,492

2015 22,415 2031 23,803 2047 25,191 2063 26,579

2016 22,502 2032 23,890 2048 25,278 2064 26,665

2017 22,589 2033 23,977 2049 25,364 2065 26,752

2018 22,676 2034 24,063 2050 25,451 2066 26,839

2019 22,762 2035 24,150 2051 25,538 2067 26,925

2020 22,849 2036 24,237 2052 25,624 2068 27,012

2021 22,936 2037 24,323 2053 25,711 2069 27,099

2022 23,022 2038 24,410 2054 25,798 2070 27,186

2023 23,109 2039 24,497 2055 25,885 2071 27,272

2024 23,196 2040 24,584 2056 25,971 2072 27,359

2025 23,283 2041 24,670 2057 26,058 2073 27,446

2026 23,369 2042 24,757 2058 26,145 2074 27,533

2027 23,456 2043 24,844 2059 26,232 2075 27,619


24 | P a g e

Blaine County

In 2010, after 12 years of operation, a large private contract correctional facility in Blaine County closed.

Those inmates represented approximately one sixth of the county’s population before being transferred

to other facilities. Efforts to reopen the prison continue but are uncertain at this point. Population

forecasts for Blaine County assume the prison remains closed. There is a high level of long term

uncertainty associated with projections for Blaine County.

Decennial Census population counts Blaine

1910 17,960 1960 12,077 2010 11,943

1920 15,875 1970 11,794

1930 20,452 1980 13,443

1940 18,543 1990 11,470

1950 15,049 2000 11,976


9,780

17,960

15,875

20,452

18,543

15,049

12,077 11,794 13,443

11,470 11,976 11,943

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

1910

1915

1920

1925

1930

1935

1940

1945

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

2055

2060

2065

2070

2075

Blaine County2012 to 2075 Forecast


Blaine County Annual Estimates 1960‐2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)

Blaine Forecast 2012‐2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)

Blaine Decennial Census 1910‐2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)

Linear Trendline

25 | P a g e

Annual population estimates Blaine

1960 12,077 1973 12,200 1986 13,116 1999 11,882

1961 12,200 1974 12,300 1987 12,641 2000 11,976

1962 12,300 1975 12,500 1988 12,185 2001 12,022

1963 12,200 1976 12,800 1989 11,824 2002 11,628

1964 12,100 1977 12,900 1990 11,470 2003 11,188

1965 11,900 1978 13,000 1991 11,655 2004 12,702

1966 11,800 1979 13,400 1992 11,544 2005 12,748

1967 11,900 1980 13,443 1993 11,565 2006 12,493

1968 11,800 1981 14,215 1994 11,687 2007 12,607

1969 11,800 1982 14,968 1995 11,821 2008 12,668

1970 11,794 1983 14,653 1996 11,778 2009 12,609

1971 12,200 1984 14,026 1997 11,884 2010 11,943

1972 12,200 1985 13,558 1998 11,832 2011 9,780


Population projections Blaine

2012 9,889 2028 9,740 2044 9,590 2060 9,441

2013 9,880 2029 9,730 2045 9,581 2061 9,432

2014 9,870 2030 9,721 2046 9,572 2062 9,422

2015 9,861 2031 9,712 2047 9,562 2063 9,413

2016 9,852 2032 9,702 2048 9,553 2064 9,404

2017 9,842 2033 9,693 2049 9,544 2065 9,394

2018 9,833 2034 9,684 2050 9,534 2066 9,385

2019 9,824 2035 9,674 2051 9,525 2067 9,376

2020 9,814 2036 9,665 2052 9,516 2068 9,366

2021 9,805 2037 9,656 2053 9,506 2069 9,357

2022 9,796 2038 9,646 2054 9,497 2070 9,348

2023 9,786 2039 9,637 2055 9,488 2071 9,338

2024 9,777 2040 9,628 2056 9,478 2072 9,329

2025 9,768 2041 9,618 2057 9,469 2073 9,320

2026 9,758 2042 9,609 2058 9,460 2074 9,310

2027 9,749 2043 9,600 2059 9,450 2075 9,301


26 | P a g e

Bryan County

Bryan County’s population is forecast to average a 0.80% annual growth rate over the next 65 years.

While Bryan County has shown an unusually high rate of growth over the last five years, expanding by an

average annual rate of 2.1%, the long term trend is expected to level off. The linear regression trendline

shows a strong degree of fit and should be a good predictor of county growth patterns.

Decennial Census population counts Bryan

1910 29,854 1960 24,252 2010 42,416

1920 40,700 1970 25,552

1930 32,277 1980 30,535

1940 38,138 1990 32,089

1950 28,999 2000 36,534


29,854

40,700

32,277

38,138

28,999

24,252 25,552

30,535 32,089

36,534

42,416

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

70,000

1910

1915

1920

1925

1930

1935

1940

1945

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

2055

2060

2065

2070

2075

Bryan County2012 to 2075 Forecast


Bryan County Annual Estimates 1960‐2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)

Bryan Forecast 2012‐2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)

Bryan Decennial Census 1910‐2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)

Linear Trendline

27 | P a g e

Annual population estimates Bryan

1960 24,252 1973 26,700 1986 32,468 1999 36,182

1961 24,700 1974 27,300 1987 32,877 2000 36,534

1962 25,000 1975 27,600 1988 32,273 2001 36,462

1963 25,000 1976 28,200 1989 31,933 2002 36,768

1964 25,000 1977 28,800 1990 32,089 2003 36,872

1965 24,800 1978 29,200 1991 32,335 2004 37,367

1966 24,900 1979 30,100 1992 32,761 2005 37,658

1967 25,100 1980 30,535 1993 33,523 2006 38,956

1968 25,200 1981 30,474 1994 33,789 2007 39,474

1969 25,400 1982 30,527 1995 34,370 2008 40,463

1970 25,552 1983 31,411 1996 34,675 2009 40,783

1971 26,200 1984 32,008 1997 35,299 2010 42,416

1972 26,400 1985 32,201 1998 35,887 2011 43,089


Population projections Bryan

2012 43,002 2028 48,481 2044 53,959 2060 59,438

2013 43,344 2029 48,823 2045 54,302 2061 59,780

2014 43,687 2030 49,166 2046 54,644 2062 60,123

2015 44,029 2031 49,508 2047 54,987 2063 60,465

2016 44,372 2032 49,850 2048 55,329 2064 60,808

2017 44,714 2033 50,193 2049 55,671 2065 61,150

2018 45,057 2034 50,535 2050 56,014 2066 61,492

2019 45,399 2035 50,878 2051 56,356 2067 61,835

2020 45,741 2036 51,220 2052 56,699 2068 62,177

2021 46,084 2037 51,562 2053 57,041 2069 62,520

2022 46,426 2038 51,905 2054 57,383 2070 62,862

2023 46,769 2039 52,247 2055 57,726 2071 63,204

2024 47,111 2040 52,590 2056 58,068 2072 63,547

2025 47,453 2041 52,932 2057 58,411 2073 63,889

2026 47,796 2042 53,274 2058 58,753 2074 64,232

2027 48,138 2043 53,617 2059 59,095 2075 64,574


28 | P a g e

Caddo County

Caddo County’s population growth rate has been relatively flat since 1960, with a 0.07% growth rate and

a small degree of volatility in the total population count. A linear regression trendline based on

population patterns over the last 50 years indicates that this flat rate of growth will continue between

now and 2075, growing at an average annual rate of 0.06%. While the exact population counts from

year to year may show variation up and down from these projections, the population as a whole is

expected to remain relatively stable.

Decennial Census population counts Caddo

1910 35,685 1960 28,621 2010 29,600

1920 34,207 1970 28,931

1930 50,779 1980 30,905

1940 41,567 1990 29,550

1950 34,913 2000 30,150


35,685 34,207

50,779

41,567

34,913

28,621 28,931 30,905

29,550 30,150 29,600

0

7,500

15,000

22,500

30,000

37,500

45,000

52,500

1910

1915

1920

1925

1930

1935

1940

1945

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

2055

2060

2065

2070

2075

Caddo County2012 to 2075 Forecast


Caddo County Annual Estimates 1960‐2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)

Caddo Forecast 2012‐2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)

Caddo Decennial Census 1910‐2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)

Linear Trendline

29 | P a g e

Annual population estimates Caddo

1960 28,621 1973 30,300 1986 31,966 1999 30,257

1961 29,000 1974 30,700 1987 31,438 2000 30,150

1962 29,300 1975 31,000 1988 30,897 2001 29,874

1963 29,300 1976 31,500 1989 30,106 2002 29,828

1964 29,100 1977 31,700 1990 29,550 2003 29,925

1965 28,800 1978 32,000 1991 29,072 2004 29,903

1966 28,800 1979 30,900 1992 29,685 2005 29,689

1967 28,900 1980 30,905 1993 29,757 2006 29,637

1968 28,800 1981 31,803 1994 29,954 2007 28,479

1969 28,900 1982 33,479 1995 30,327 2008 29,329

1970 28,931 1983 34,592 1996 30,404 2009 30,393

1971 29,700 1984 33,475 1997 30,500 2010 29,600

1972 30,100 1985 32,664 1998 30,483 2011 29,537


Population projections Caddo

2012 30,407 2028 30,490 2044 30,573 2060 30,656

2013 30,412 2029 30,495 2045 30,578 2061 30,661

2014 30,417 2030 30,500 2046 30,583 2062 30,666

2015 30,422 2031 30,505 2047 30,588 2063 30,671

2016 30,428 2032 30,510 2048 30,593 2064 30,676

2017 30,433 2033 30,516 2049 30,599 2065 30,681

2018 30,438 2034 30,521 2050 30,604 2066 30,687

2019 30,443 2035 30,526 2051 30,609 2067 30,692

2020 30,448 2036 30,531 2052 30,614 2068 30,697

2021 30,453 2037 30,536 2053 30,619 2069 30,702

2022 30,459 2038 30,542 2054 30,624 2070 30,707

2023 30,464 2039 30,547 2055 30,630 2071 30,713

2024 30,469 2040 30,552 2056 30,635 2072 30,718

2025 30,474 2041 30,557 2057 30,640 2073 30,723

2026 30,479 2042 30,562 2058 30,645 2074 30,728

2027 30,485 2043 30,567 2059 30,650 2075 30,733


30 | P a g e

Canadian County

Canadian County’s population has grown by an annual average 3.8% over the last 5 years, far outpacing

growth rates for the state as a whole. Over the next 65 years, Canadian County is forecast to experience

an average annual 1.55% growth rate, based on a linear regression trendline of population data since

1960. The level of overall fit is considered strong, but some year to year variation from the forecast is

expected.

Decennial Census population counts Canadian

1910 23,501 1960 24,727 2010 115,541

1920 22,288 1970 32,245

1930 28,115 1980 56,452

1940 27,329 1990 74,409

1950 25,644 2000 87,697


23,501 22,288 28,115 27,329 25,644 24,727

32,245

56,452

74,409

87,697

115,541

0

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

1910

1915

1920

1925

1930

1935

1940

1945

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

2055

2060

2065

2070

2075

Canadian County2012 to 2075 Forecast


Canadian County Annual Estimates 1960‐2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)

Canadian Forecast 2012‐2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)

Canadian Decennial Census 1910‐2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)

Linear Trendline

31 | P a g e

Annual population estimates Canadian

1960 24,727 1973 39,800 1986 73,234 1999 86,306

1961 25,800 1974 42,400 1987 73,251 2000 87,697

1962 26,700 1975 43,700 1988 72,898 2001 89,521

1963 27,300 1976 45,200 1989 73,637 2002 90,699

1964 27,900 1977 47,300 1990 74,409 2003 92,230

1965 28,300 1978 50,100 1991 75,871 2004 94,501

1966 29,000 1979 54,800 1992 77,063 2005 97,147

1967 29,900 1980 56,452 1993 78,668 2006 100,421

1968 30,600 1981 60,110 1994 79,911 2007 103,948

1969 31,500 1982 64,245 1995 81,245 2008 106,755

1970 32,245 1983 67,279 1996 83,015 2009 109,668

1971 33,800 1984 69,888 1997 84,186 2010 115,541

1972 36,500 1985 71,931 1998 85,266 2011 119,492


Population projections Canadian

2012 119,090 2028 147,846 2044 176,602 2060 205,357

2013 120,887 2029 149,643 2045 178,399 2061 207,155

2014 122,684 2030 151,440 2046 180,196 2062 208,952

2015 124,481 2031 153,237 2047 181,993 2063 210,749

2016 126,279 2032 155,035 2048 183,791 2064 212,546

2017 128,076 2033 156,832 2049 185,588 2065 214,344

2018 129,873 2034 158,629 2050 187,385 2066 216,141

2019 131,670 2035 160,426 2051 189,182 2067 217,938

2020 133,468 2036 162,224 2052 190,980 2068 219,735

2021 135,265 2037 164,021 2053 192,777 2069 221,533

2022 137,062 2038 165,818 2054 194,574 2070 223,330

2023 138,859 2039 167,615 2055 196,371 2071 225,127

2024 140,657 2040 169,413 2056 198,169 2072 226,924

2025 142,454 2041 171,210 2057 199,966 2073 228,722

2026 144,251 2042 173,007 2058 201,763 2074 230,519

2027 146,048 2043 174,804 2059 203,560 2075 232,316


32 | P a g e

Carter County

Over the next 65 years, Carter County’s population is forecast to grow at an average annual rate of

0.43%. This is virtually equal to the 0.44% average annual rate experienced since 1960 and only slightly

below the 0.54% average annual population growth rate experienced over the last two decades. While

population volatility in the 1960s, 1970s and 1980s reduces the overall fit of the linear regression

trendline and may indicate some year to year variation for long term forecasts, the variation is expected

to balance out over time.

Decennial Census population counts Carter

1910 25,358 1960 39,044 2010 47,557

1920 40,247 1970 37,349

1930 41,419 1980 43,610

1940 43,292 1990 42,919

1950 36,455 2000 45,621


25,358

40,247 41,419 43,292

36,455

39,044 37,349

43,610 42,919 45,621

47,557

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

70,000

1910

1915

1920

1925

1930

1935

1940

1945

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

2055

2060

2065

2070

2075

Carter County2012 to 2075 Forecast


Carter County Annual Estimates 1960‐2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)

Carter Forecast 2012‐2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)

Carter Decennial Census 1910‐2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)

Linear Trendline

33 | P a g e

Annual population estimates Carter

1960 39,044 1973 39,800 1986 46,770 1999 45,578

1961 39,300 1974 40,800 1987 45,549 2000 45,621

1962 39,500 1975 41,700 1988 44,020 2001 45,595

1963 39,200 1976 42,300 1989 43,242 2002 45,887

1964 38,800 1977 42,900 1990 42,919 2003 46,150

1965 38,100 1978 43,000 1991 42,833 2004 46,604

1966 37,700 1979 42,800 1992 43,309 2005 46,632

1967 37,800 1980 43,610 1993 43,809 2006 46,980

1968 37,500 1981 44,184 1994 44,061 2007 47,287

1969 37,400 1982 46,062 1995 44,488 2008 47,716

1970 37,349 1983 46,816 1996 44,706 2009 48,326

1971 38,700 1984 46,824 1997 45,035 2010 47,557

1972 39,200 1985 46,907 1998 45,223 2011 48,096


Population projections Carter

2012 48,495 2028 51,635 2044 54,775 2060 57,915

2013 48,691 2029 51,831 2045 54,971 2061 58,111

2014 48,887 2030 52,027 2046 55,167 2062 58,307

2015 49,083 2031 52,223 2047 55,363 2063 58,503

2016 49,280 2032 52,420 2048 55,560 2064 58,700

2017 49,476 2033 52,616 2049 55,756 2065 58,896

2018 49,672 2034 52,812 2050 55,952 2066 59,092

2019 49,868 2035 53,008 2051 56,148 2067 59,288

2020 50,065 2036 53,205 2052 56,345 2068 59,485

2021 50,261 2037 53,401 2053 56,541 2069 59,681

2022 50,457 2038 53,597 2054 56,737 2070 59,877

2023 50,653 2039 53,793 2055 56,933 2071 60,073

2024 50,850 2040 53,990 2056 57,130 2072 60,270

2025 51,046 2041 54,186 2057 57,326 2073 60,466

2026 51,242 2042 54,382 2058 57,522 2074 60,662

2027 51,438 2043 54,578 2059 57,718 2075 60,858


34 | P a g e

Cherokee County

Cherokee County is forecast to average 1.27% annual growth between 2010 and 2075, with steady

growth being the norm. The linear regression trendline shows an excellent, near exact fit over the last

50 years, and actual population growth patterns are expected to remain very tight around long range

forecasts.

Decennial Census population counts Cherokee

1910 16,778 1960 17,762 2010 46,987

1920 19,872 1970 23,174

1930 17,470 1980 30,684

1940 21,030 1990 34,049

1950 18,989 2000 42,521


16,778 19,872

17,470 21,030

18,989 17,762

23,174

30,684 34,049

42,521

46,987

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

1910

1915

1920

1925

1930

1935

1940

1945

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

2055

2060

2065

2070

2075

Cherokee County2012 to 2075 Forecast


Cherokee County Annual Estimates 1960‐2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)

Cherokee Forecast 2012‐2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)

Cherokee Decennial Census 1910‐2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)

Linear Trendline

35 | P a g e

Annual population estimates Cherokee

1960 17,762 1973 25,000 1986 33,542 1999 41,937

1961 18,600 1974 26,100 1987 33,568 2000 42,521

1962 19,400 1975 26,700 1988 33,702 2001 43,032

1963 19,800 1976 27,900 1989 34,051 2002 43,518

1964 20,200 1977 28,500 1990 34,049 2003 43,853

1965 20,500 1978 29,300 1991 35,074 2004 44,129

1966 20,800 1979 30,000 1992 36,019 2005 44,408

1967 21,600 1980 30,684 1993 36,557 2006 45,036

1968 22,000 1981 30,614 1994 37,245 2007 45,065

1969 22,700 1982 30,863 1995 38,324 2008 45,667

1970 23,174 1983 32,558 1996 39,198 2009 46,029

1971 24,400 1984 32,789 1997 40,234 2010 46,987

1972 24,700 1985 33,162 1998 41,126 2011 47,845


Population projections Cherokee

2012 48,615 2028 58,084 2044 67,552 2060 77,021

2013 49,207 2029 58,676 2045 68,144 2061 77,613

2014 49,799 2030 59,267 2046 68,736 2062 78,204

2015 50,391 2031 59,859 2047 69,328 2063 78,796

2016 50,982 2032 60,451 2048 69,919 2064 79,388

2017 51,574 2033 61,043 2049 70,511 2065 79,980

2018 52,166 2034 61,634 2050 71,103 2066 80,571

2019 52,758 2035 62,226 2051 71,695 2067 81,163

2020 53,350 2036 62,818 2052 72,287 2068 81,755

2021 53,941 2037 63,410 2053 72,878 2069 82,347

2022 54,533 2038 64,002 2054 73,470 2070 82,939

2023 55,125 2039 64,593 2055 74,062 2071 83,530

2024 55,717 2040 65,185 2056 74,654 2072 84,122

2025 56,308 2041 65,777 2057 75,245 2073 84,714

2026 56,900 2042 66,369 2058 75,837 2074 85,306

2027 57,492 2043 66,961 2059 76,429 2075 85,897


36 | P a g e

Choctaw County

Choctaw County is forecast to experience a slight average annual population decline of ‐0.16% between

2010 and 2075. Population volatility in the 1970s reduces the overall fit of the linear regression

trendline, but year over year variation in the long term population forecast is expected to be relatively

slight.

Decennial Census population counts Choctaw

1910 21,862 1960 15,637 2010 15,205

1920 32,144 1970 15,141

1930 24,142 1980 17,203

1940 28,358 1990 15,302

1950 20,405 2000 15,342


21,862

32,144

24,142

28,358

20,405

15,637 15,141

17,203 15,302

15,342 15,205

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

1910

1915

1920

1925

1930

1935

1940

1945

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

2055

2060

2065

2070

2075

Choctaw County2012 to 2075 Forecast


Choctaw County Annual Estimates 1960‐2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)

Choctaw Forecast 2012‐2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)

Choctaw Decennial Census 1910‐2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)

Linear Trendline

37 | P a g e

Annual population estimates Choctaw

1960 15,637 1973 17,600 1986 15,958 1999 15,265

1961 15,700 1974 18,000 1987 16,174 2000 15,342

1962 15,800 1975 18,600 1988 15,937 2001 15,143

1963 15,700 1976 16,600 1989 15,438 2002 15,248

1964 15,500 1977 16,700 1990 15,302 2003 15,138

1965 15,300 1978 18,400 1991 15,302 2004 15,168

1966 15,200 1979 17,300 1992 15,429 2005 15,087

1967 15,200 1980 17,203 1993 15,442 2006 15,091

1968 15,100 1981 16,981 1994 15,559 2007 15,002

1969 15,100 1982 16,655 1995 15,351 2008 14,885

1970 15,141 1983 16,599 1996 15,376 2009 14,872

1971 16,400 1984 16,190 1997 15,362 2010 15,205

1972 17,200 1985 15,725 1998 15,305 2011 15,250


Population projections Choctaw

2012 15,191 2028 14,794 2044 14,397 2060 13,999

2013 15,166 2029 14,769 2045 14,372 2061 13,974

2014 15,142 2030 14,744 2046 14,347 2062 13,950

2015 15,117 2031 14,719 2047 14,322 2063 13,925

2016 15,092 2032 14,695 2048 14,297 2064 13,900

2017 15,067 2033 14,670 2049 14,272 2065 13,875

2018 15,042 2034 14,645 2050 14,248 2066 13,850

2019 15,017 2035 14,620 2051 14,223 2067 13,825

2020 14,993 2036 14,595 2052 14,198 2068 13,801

2021 14,968 2037 14,570 2053 14,173 2069 13,776

2022 14,943 2038 14,546 2054 14,148 2070 13,751

2023 14,918 2039 14,521 2055 14,123 2071 13,726

2024 14,893 2040 14,496 2056 14,099 2072 13,701

2025 14,868 2041 14,471 2057 14,074 2073 13,676

2026 14,844 2042 14,446 2058 14,049 2074 13,652

2027 14,819 2043 14,421 2059 14,024 2075 13,627


38 | P a g e

Cimarron County

Cimarron County is forecast to experience continued population decline over the next 65 years, though

the pace of that decline is expected to gradually slow over time. Between 2010 and 2075, the rate of

population decline is expected to average ‐0.55%. A power regression trendline was used to develop

Cimarron County’s long term population forecast and the fit appears to be strong. While some year to

year variation is expected, swings up and down are expected to be relatively minor.

Decennial Census population counts Cimarron

1910 4,553 1960 4,496 2010 2,475

1920 3,436 1970 4,145

1930 5,408 1980 3,648

1940 3,654 1990 3,301

1950 4,589 2000 3,148


4,553

3,436

5,408

3,654

4,589 4,496

4,145

3,648 3,301

3,148

2,475

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

1910

1915

1920

1925

1930

1935

1940

1945

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

2055

2060

2065

2070

2075

Cimarron County2012 to 2075 Forecast


Cimarron County Annual Estimates 1960‐2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)

Cimarron Forecast 2012‐2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)

Cimarron Decennial Census 1910‐2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)

Power Trendline

39 | P a g e

Annual population estimates Cimarron

1960 4,496 1973 4,000 1986 3,763 1999 3,129

1961 4,500 1974 4,000 1987 3,891 2000 3,148

1962 4,500 1975 4,000 1988 3,551 2001 3,053

1963 4,500 1976 3,900 1989 3,441 2002 2,974

1964 4,400 1977 3,800 1990 3,301 2003 2,896

1965 4,300 1978 3,600 1991 3,239 2004 2,794

1966 4,300 1979 3,600 1992 3,239 2005 2,708

1967 4,300 1980 3,648 1993 3,235 2006 2,684

1968 4,200 1981 3,709 1994 3,229 2007 2,655

1969 4,200 1982 3,648 1995 3,162 2008 2,585

1970 4,145 1983 3,806 1996 3,194 2009 2,630

1971 4,000 1984 3,853 1997 3,255 2010 2,475

1972 3,900 1985 3,790 1998 3,182 2011 2,487


Population projections Cimarron

2012 2,461 2028 2,161 2044 1,926 2060 1,737

2013 2,440 2029 2,145 2045 1,913 2061 1,727

2014 2,419 2030 2,129 2046 1,901 2062 1,716

2015 2,398 2031 2,113 2047 1,888 2063 1,706

2016 2,378 2032 2,097 2048 1,875 2064 1,696

2017 2,359 2033 2,082 2049 1,863 2065 1,685

2018 2,339 2034 2,067 2050 1,851 2066 1,675

2019 2,320 2035 2,052 2051 1,839 2067 1,666

2020 2,301 2036 2,037 2052 1,827 2068 1,656

2021 2,283 2037 2,023 2053 1,815 2069 1,646

2022 2,264 2038 2,008 2054 1,804 2070 1,637

2023 2,247 2039 1,994 2055 1,792 2071 1,627

2024 2,229 2040 1,980 2056 1,781 2072 1,618

2025 2,212 2041 1,967 2057 1,770 2073 1,609

2026 2,194 2042 1,953 2058 1,759 2074 1,599

2027 2,178 2043 1,940 2059 1,748 2075 1,590


40 | P a g e

Cleveland County

Cleveland County is forecast to have an average annual growth rate of 1.60% over the next 65 years,

slightly below the 2.34% population growth rate experienced over the previous two decades. The linear

regression trendline shows a strong fit against population growth patterns between 1960 and 2010, and

little variation among long range population forecasts is expected.

Decennial Census population counts Cleveland

1910 18,843 1960 47,600 2010 255,755

1920 19,389 1970 81,839

1930 24,948 1980 133,173

1940 27,728 1990 174,253

1950 41,443 2000 208,016


18,843 19,389 24,948 27,728 41,443 47,600

81,839

133,173 174,253

208,016

255,755

0

100,000

200,000

300,000

400,000

500,000

600,000

1910

1915

1920

1925

1930

1935

1940

1945

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

2055

2060

2065

2070

2075

Cleveland County2012 to 2075 Forecast


Cleveland County Annual Estimates 1960‐2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)

Cleveland Forecast 2012‐2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)

Cleveland Decennial Census 1910‐2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)

Linear Trendline

41 | P a g e

Annual population estimates Cleveland

1960 47,600 1973 99,500 1986 167,782 1999 206,844

1961 52,100 1974 106,100 1987 169,453 2000 208,016

1962 55,900 1975 104,900 1988 169,669 2001 212,541

1963 59,000 1976 108,900 1989 171,753 2002 215,733

1964 62,100 1977 115,200 1990 174,253 2003 219,499

1965 64,700 1978 120,000 1991 177,804 2004 222,373

1966 67,900 1979 127,400 1992 181,338 2005 225,835

1967 71,800 1980 133,173 1993 185,499 2006 232,379

1968 75,000 1981 139,567 1994 189,607 2007 235,906

1969 78,900 1982 148,470 1995 192,741 2008 240,568

1970 81,839 1983 156,631 1996 195,785 2009 244,589

1971 87,400 1984 162,174 1997 200,515 2010 255,755

1972 93,100 1985 164,533 1998 203,730 2011 261,281


Population projections Cleveland

2012 261,923 2028 327,814 2044 393,704 2060 459,595

2013 266,041 2029 331,932 2045 397,823 2061 463,713

2014 270,159 2030 336,050 2046 401,941 2062 467,832

2015 274,277 2031 340,168 2047 406,059 2063 471,950

2016 278,395 2032 344,286 2048 410,177 2064 476,068

2017 282,514 2033 348,404 2049 414,295 2065 480,186

2018 286,632 2034 352,523 2050 418,414 2066 484,304

2019 290,750 2035 356,641 2051 422,532 2067 488,423

2020 294,868 2036 360,759 2052 426,650 2068 492,541

2021 298,986 2037 364,877 2053 430,768 2069 496,659

2022 303,105 2038 368,995 2054 434,886 2070 500,777

2023 307,223 2039 373,114 2055 439,004 2071 504,895

2024 311,341 2040 377,232 2056 443,123 2072 509,013

2025 315,459 2041 381,350 2057 447,241 2073 513,132

2026 319,577 2042 385,468 2058 451,359 2074 517,250

2027 323,695 2043 389,586 2059 455,477 2075 521,368


42 | P a g e

Coal County

Coal County’s population growth has remained relatively flat over the last 50 years, with only a slight

growth pattern expected between now and 2075. From 1960 to 2010, Coal County has shown 0.14%

average annual growth, and average annual growth over the next 50 years is expected to remain at

0.10%. While some slight up and down variation may be expected, the overall population trend will

most likely remain flat.

Decennial Census population counts Coal

1910 15,817 1960 5,546 2010 5,925

1920 18,406 1970 5,525

1930 11,521 1980 6,041

1940 12,811 1990 5,780

1950 8,056 2000 6,031


15,817

18,406

11,521

12,811

8,056

5,546 5,525 6,041 5,780 6,031 5,925

0

3,000

6,000

9,000

12,000

15,000

18,000

21,000

1910

1915

1920

1925

1930

1935

1940

1945

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

2055

2060

2065

2070

2075

Coal County2012 to 2075 Forecast


Coal County Annual Estimates 1960‐2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)

Coal Forecast 2012‐2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)

Coal Decennial Census 1910‐2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)

Linear Trendline

43 | P a g e

Annual population estimates Coal

1960 5,546 1973 5,800 1986 6,160 1999 6,021

1961 5,600 1974 5,900 1987 6,134 2000 6,031

1962 5,600 1975 6,000 1988 6,040 2001 5,998

1963 5,600 1976 6,300 1989 5,980 2002 5,931

1964 5,500 1977 6,300 1990 5,780 2003 5,890

1965 5,500 1978 6,300 1991 5,658 2004 5,836

1966 5,400 1979 6,200 1992 5,717 2005 5,690

1967 5,400 1980 6,041 1993 5,816 2006 5,613

1968 5,500 1981 6,110 1994 5,878 2007 5,654

1969 5,500 1982 5,972 1995 5,958 2008 5,672

1970 5,525 1983 6,271 1996 6,011 2009 5,856

1971 5,700 1984 6,126 1997 6,005 2010 5,925

1972 5,900 1985 6,079 1998 5,912 2011 5,928


Population projections Coal

2012 5,991 2028 6,069 2044 6,148 2060 6,226

2013 5,996 2029 6,074 2045 6,153 2061 6,231

2014 6,001 2030 6,079 2046 6,157 2062 6,236

2015 6,005 2031 6,084 2047 6,162 2063 6,241

2016 6,010 2032 6,089 2048 6,167 2064 6,246

2017 6,015 2033 6,094 2049 6,172 2065 6,251

2018 6,020 2034 6,099 2050 6,177 2066 6,255

2019 6,025 2035 6,103 2051 6,182 2067 6,260

2020 6,030 2036 6,108 2052 6,187 2068 6,265

2021 6,035 2037 6,113 2053 6,192 2069 6,270

2022 6,040 2038 6,118 2054 6,197 2070 6,275

2023 6,045 2039 6,123 2055 6,202 2071 6,280

2024 6,050 2040 6,128 2056 6,206 2072 6,285

2025 6,054 2041 6,133 2057 6,211 2073 6,290

2026 6,059 2042 6,138 2058 6,216 2074 6,295

2027 6,064 2043 6,143 2059 6,221 2075 6,300


44 | P a g e

Comanche County

Comanche County is forecast to experience 0.31% population growth between 2010 and 2075. The

County has experienced continued up and down swings in population since 1960, but the long term

trend has remained generally positive. A linear regression trendline based on population data over the

last 50 years shows how wide those swings have been, and similar swings around forecasted population

counts are expected to occur between now and 2075.

Decennial Census population counts Comanche

1910 25,067 1960 90,803 2010 124,098

1920 26,629 1970 108,144

1930 34,317 1980 112,456

1940 38,988 1990 111,486

1950 55,165 2000 114,996


25,067 26,629

34,317 38,988

55,165

90,803

108,144 112,456 111,486 114,996

124,098

0

40,000

80,000

120,000

160,000

200,000

1910

1915

1920

1925

1930

1935

1940

1945

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

2055

2060

2065

2070

2075

Comanche County2012 to 2075 Forecast


Comanche County Annual Estimates 1960‐2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)

Comanche Forecast 2012‐2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)

Comanche Decennial Census 1910‐2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)

Linear Trendline

45 | P a g e

Annual population estimates Comanche

1960 90,803 1973 102,700 1986 118,976 1999 116,064

1961 93,900 1974 104,200 1987 118,365 2000 114,996

1962 96,600 1975 105,800 1988 116,417 2001 112,236

1963 98,100 1976 114,300 1989 112,313 2002 112,009

1964 99,300 1977 115,500 1990 111,486 2003 110,484

1965 99,700 1978 117,400 1991 111,454 2004 113,630

1966 100,900 1979 115,000 1992 120,903 2005 111,866

1967 103,000 1980 112,456 1993 118,945 2006 112,293

1968 104,400 1981 114,573 1994 118,733 2007 114,503

1969 106,600 1982 119,414 1995 116,713 2008 112,249

1970 108,144 1983 121,858 1996 116,635 2009 113,228

1971 107,900 1984 120,749 1997 115,912 2010 124,098

1972 100,400 1985 120,211 1998 115,577 2011 125,815


Population projections Comanche

2012 125,396 2028 131,349 2044 137,303 2060 143,257

2013 125,768 2029 131,721 2045 137,675 2061 143,629

2014 126,140 2030 132,094 2046 138,047 2062 144,001

2015 126,512 2031 132,466 2047 138,419 2063 144,373

2016 126,884 2032 132,838 2048 138,792 2064 144,745

2017 127,256 2033 133,210 2049 139,164 2065 145,117

2018 127,628 2034 133,582 2050 139,536 2066 145,490

2019 128,000 2035 133,954 2051 139,908 2067 145,862

2020 128,373 2036 134,326 2052 140,280 2068 146,234

2021 128,745 2037 134,698 2053 140,652 2069 146,606

2022 129,117 2038 135,070 2054 141,024 2070 146,978

2023 129,489 2039 135,443 2055 141,396 2071 147,350

2024 129,861 2040 135,815 2056 141,768 2072 147,722

2025 130,233 2041 136,187 2057 142,141 2073 148,094

2026 130,605 2042 136,559 2058 142,513 2074 148,466

2027 130,977 2043 136,931 2059 142,885 2075 148,838


46 | P a g e

Cotton County

Cotton County is forecast to have a ‐.039% average annual population decline over the next 65 years.

The linear regression trendline above has a relatively good fit, with greater volatility shown in the 1960s

and 1970s. Some year to year variation from population forecasts is expected, but the variation is likely

to be relatively small.

Decennial Census population counts Cotton

1910 16,422 1960 8,031 2010 6,193

1920 16,679 1970 6,832

1930 15,442 1980 7,338

1940 12,884 1990 6,651

1950 10,180 2000 6,614


16,422 16,679

15,442

12,884

10,180

8,031 6,832 7,338

6,651 6,614 6,193

0

3,000

6,000

9,000

12,000

15,000

18,000

1910

1915

1920

1925

1930

1935

1940

1945

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

2055

2060

2065

2070

2075

Cotton County2012 to 2075 Forecast


Cotton County Annual Estimates 1960‐2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)

Cotton Forecast 2012‐2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)

Cotton Decennial Census 1910‐2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)

Linear Trendline

47 | P a g e

Annual population estimates Cotton

1960 8,031 1973 6,600 1986 6,921 1999 6,478

1961 7,900 1974 6,600 1987 6,936 2000 6,614

1962 7,900 1975 6,700 1988 6,872 2001 6,430

1963 7,800 1976 6,900 1989 6,731 2002 6,375

1964 7,600 1977 6,900 1990 6,651 2003 6,431

1965 7,400 1978 7,000 1991 6,442 2004 6,394

1966 7,200 1979 7,200 1992 6,510 2005 6,449

1967 7,100 1980 7,338 1993 6,540 2006 6,393

1968 7,000 1981 7,204 1994 6,590 2007 6,367

1969 6,900 1982 7,004 1995 6,699 2008 6,267

1970 6,832 1983 7,226 1996 6,722 2009 6,281

1971 6,800 1984 7,297 1997 6,585 2010 6,193

1972 6,700 1985 7,050 1998 6,499 2011 6,179


Population projections Cotton

2012 6,184 2028 5,787 2044 5,390 2060 4,993

2013 6,159 2029 5,762 2045 5,365 2061 4,968

2014 6,134 2030 5,737 2046 5,340 2062 4,943

2015 6,109 2031 5,712 2047 5,315 2063 4,919

2016 6,084 2032 5,688 2048 5,291 2064 4,894

2017 6,060 2033 5,663 2049 5,266 2065 4,869

2018 6,035 2034 5,638 2050 5,241 2066 4,844

2019 6,010 2035 5,613 2051 5,216 2067 4,819

2020 5,985 2036 5,588 2052 5,191 2068 4,795

2021 5,960 2037 5,564 2053 5,167 2069 4,770

2022 5,936 2038 5,539 2054 5,142 2070 4,745

2023 5,911 2039 5,514 2055 5,117 2071 4,720

2024 5,886 2040 5,489 2056 5,092 2072 4,695

2025 5,861 2041 5,464 2057 5,067 2073 4,671

2026 5,836 2042 5,440 2058 5,043 2074 4,646

2027 5,812 2043 5,415 2059 5,018 2075 4,621


48 | P a g e

Craig County

Craig County is forecast to have a ‐0.10% average annual rate of population decline over the next 65

years, based on a linear regression trendline drawn on population data between 1960 and 2010.

Population variation around that line is expected to be relatively small between now and 2075.

Decennial Census population counts Craig

1910 17,404 1960 16,303 2010 15,029

1920 19,160 1970 14,722

1930 18,052 1980 15,014

1940 21,083 1990 14,104

1950 18,263 2000 14,950


17,404

19,160 18,052

21,083

18,263

16,303 14,722 15,014

14,104 14,950 15,029

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

1910

1915

1920

1925

1930

1935

1940

1945

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

2055

2060

2065

2070

2075

Craig County2012 to 2075 Forecast


Craig County Annual Estimates 1960‐2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)

Craig Forecast 2012‐2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)

Craig Decennial Census 1910‐2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)

Linear Trendline

49 | P a g e

Annual population estimates Craig

1960 16,303 1973 14,800 1986 14,997 1999 14,899

1961 16,300 1974 14,900 1987 14,835 2000 14,950

1962 16,300 1975 14,700 1988 14,618 2001 14,768

1963 16,000 1976 14,600 1989 14,298 2002 14,742

1964 15,800 1977 15,000 1990 14,104 2003 14,781

1965 15,500 1978 15,200 1991 14,087 2004 14,815

1966 15,200 1979 15,200 1992 14,202 2005 14,995

1967 15,200 1980 15,014 1993 14,232 2006 15,006

1968 14,900 1981 14,858 1994 14,385 2007 15,136

1969 14,800 1982 15,076 1995 14,462 2008 15,101

1970 14,722 1983 15,164 1996 14,674 2009 15,158

1971 14,900 1984 14,968 1997 14,814 2010 15,029

1972 15,100 1985 15,040 1998 14,870 2011 15,073


Population projections Craig

2012 15,059 2028 14,809 2044 14,559 2060 14,309

2013 15,043 2029 14,793 2045 14,544 2061 14,294

2014 15,028 2030 14,778 2046 14,528 2062 14,278

2015 15,012 2031 14,762 2047 14,512 2063 14,263

2016 14,996 2032 14,747 2048 14,497 2064 14,247

2017 14,981 2033 14,731 2049 14,481 2065 14,231

2018 14,965 2034 14,715 2050 14,466 2066 14,216

2019 14,950 2035 14,700 2051 14,450 2067 14,200

2020 14,934 2036 14,684 2052 14,434 2068 14,185

2021 14,918 2037 14,669 2053 14,419 2069 14,169

2022 14,903 2038 14,653 2054 14,403 2070 14,153

2023 14,887 2039 14,637 2055 14,387 2071 14,138

2024 14,871 2040 14,622 2056 14,372 2072 14,122

2025 14,856 2041 14,606 2057 14,356 2073 14,106

2026 14,840 2042 14,590 2058 14,341 2074 14,091

2027 14,825 2043 14,575 2059 14,325 2075 14,075


50 | P a g e

Creek County

Creek County’s population is forecast to grow at an average annual rate of 0.87%, slightly above the

forecast state growth rate. While growth has slowed somewhat over the last 5 years, the linear

regression trendline retains a relatively strong fit and is expected to be a good indicator for future

growth patterns.

Decennial Census population counts Creek

1910 26,223 1960 40,495 2010 69,967

1920 62,480 1970 45,532

1930 64,115 1980 59,016

1940 55,503 1990 60,915

1950 43,143 2000 67,367


26,223

62,480 64,115

55,503

43,143 40,495

45,532

59,016 60,915

67,367 69,967

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

1910

1915

1920

1925

1930

1935

1940

1945

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

2055

2060

2065

2070

2075

Creek County2012 to 2075 Forecast


Creek County Annual Estimates 1960‐2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)

Creek Forecast 2012‐2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)

Creek Decennial Census 1910‐2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)

Linear Trendline

51 | P a g e

Annual population estimates Creek

1960 40,495 1973 48,800 1986 66,045 1999 67,056

1961 41,400 1974 50,400 1987 64,531 2000 67,367

1962 42,300 1975 51,500 1988 62,869 2001 67,903

1963 42,500 1976 53,100 1989 61,617 2002 68,346

1964 42,700 1977 55,400 1990 60,915 2003 68,320

1965 42,700 1978 57,200 1991 61,554 2004 68,138

1966 43,100 1979 58,400 1992 62,087 2005 68,059

1967 43,900 1980 59,016 1993 62,591 2006 68,216

1968 44,300 1981 60,848 1994 63,270 2007 68,835

1969 45,000 1982 63,238 1995 64,053 2008 69,514

1970 45,532 1983 64,360 1996 64,638 2009 70,244

1971 46,900 1984 67,458 1997 65,540 2010 69,967

1972 47,700 1985 67,432 1998 66,326 2011 70,467


Population projections

Creek

2012 70,888 2028 80,758 2044 90,628 2060 100,498

2013 71,505 2029 81,375 2045 91,245 2061 101,115

2014 72,122 2030 81,992 2046 91,862 2062 101,732

2015 72,739 2031 82,609 2047 92,479 2063 102,349

2016 73,356 2032 83,226 2048 93,096 2064 102,966

2017 73,973 2033 83,843 2049 93,713 2065 103,582

2018 74,590 2034 84,460 2050 94,329 2066 104,199

2019 75,206 2035 85,076 2051 94,946 2067 104,816

2020 75,823 2036 85,693 2052 95,563 2068 105,433

2021 76,440 2037 86,310 2053 96,180 2069 106,050

2022 77,057 2038 86,927 2054 96,797 2070 106,667

2023 77,674 2039 87,544 2055 97,414 2071 107,284

2024 78,291 2040 88,161 2056 98,031 2072 107,901

2025 78,908 2041 88,778 2057 98,648 2073 108,517

2026 79,525 2042 89,394 2058 99,264 2074 109,134

2027 80,141 2043 90,011 2059 99,881 2075 109,751


52 | P a g e

Custer County

Custer County is forecast to have a 0.39% average annual rate of population growth over the next 65

years. A linear regression formula based on the county’s population data from 1960 to 2010 shows a

lower degree of fit, but that is largely due to a strong population growth spurt followed by a sharp

population decline during the 1980s. Removing that one‐time peak would result in a significantly

improved overall fit for the regression formula. Some year to year variation from forecasts is expected.

Decennial Census population counts Custer

1910 23,231 1960 21,040 2010 27,469

1920 18,736 1970 22,665

1930 27,517 1980 25,995

1940 23,068 1990 26,897

1950 21,097 2000 26,142


23,231

18,736

27,517

23,068

21,097 21,040 22,665

25,995 26,897 26,142 27,469

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

1910

1915

1920

1925

1930

1935

1940

1945

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

2055

2060

2065

2070

2075

Custer County2012 to 2075 Forecast


Custer County Annual Estimates 1960‐2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)

Custer Forecast 2012‐2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)

Custer Decennial Census 1910‐2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)

Linear Trendline

53 | P a g e

Annual population estimates Custer

1960 21,040 1973 23,600 1986 28,896 1999 26,263

1961 21,500 1974 23,600 1987 27,791 2000 26,142

1962 21,900 1975 23,400 1988 27,065 2001 25,696

1963 22,000 1976 23,900 1989 27,452 2002 25,195

1964 22,000 1977 24,400 1990 26,897 2003 25,319

1965 21,800 1978 25,000 1991 26,557 2004 25,339

1966 21,900 1979 25,800 1992 26,749 2005 25,501

1967 22,200 1980 25,995 1993 26,694 2006 25,704

1968 22,300 1981 27,655 1994 26,772 2007 25,865

1969 22,500 1982 31,078 1995 26,609 2008 26,272

1970 22,665 1983 32,285 1996 26,327 2009 26,717

1971 23,000 1984 30,500 1997 26,172 2010 27,469

1972 23,500 1985 29,659 1998 26,227 2011 27,750


Population projections Custer

2012 28,126 2028 29,728 2044 31,330 2060 32,932

2013 28,227 2029 29,828 2045 31,430 2061 33,032

2014 28,327 2030 29,928 2046 31,530 2062 33,132

2015 28,427 2031 30,029 2047 31,630 2063 33,232

2016 28,527 2032 30,129 2048 31,731 2064 33,332

2017 28,627 2033 30,229 2049 31,831 2065 33,432

2018 28,727 2034 30,329 2050 31,931 2066 33,533

2019 28,827 2035 30,429 2051 32,031 2067 33,633

2020 28,927 2036 30,529 2052 32,131 2068 33,733

2021 29,027 2037 30,629 2053 32,231 2069 33,833

2022 29,128 2038 30,729 2054 32,331 2070 33,933

2023 29,228 2039 30,830 2055 32,431 2071 34,033

2024 29,328 2040 30,930 2056 32,531 2072 34,133

2025 29,428 2041 31,030 2057 32,632 2073 34,233

2026 29,528 2042 31,130 2058 32,732 2074 34,334

2027 29,628 2043 31,230 2059 32,832 2075 34,434


54 | P a g e

Delaware County

Delaware County is forecast to experience an annual average growth rate of 1.43% over the next 65

years. The linear regression trendline is an excellent fit with the historic pattern of growth experienced

by the county over the last half century, and should be a very good indicator of future growth trends.

Little year to year variation is expected.

Decennial Census population counts Delaware

1910 11,469 1960 13,198 2010 41,487

1920 13,868 1970 17,767

1930 15,370 1980 23,946

1940 18,592 1990 28,070

1950 14,734 2000 37,077


11,469 13,868 15,370

18,592 14,734 13,198

17,767

23,946 28,070

37,077 41,487

0

15,000

30,000

45,000

60,000

75,000

90,000

1910

1915

1920

1925

1930

1935

1940

1945

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

2055

2060

2065

2070

2075

Delaware County2012 to 2075 Forecast


Delaware County Annual Estimates 1960‐2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)

Delaware Forecast 2012‐2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)

Delaware Decennial Census 1910‐2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)

Linear Trendline

55 | P a g e

Annual population estimates Delaware

1960 13,198 1973 19,700 1986 27,157 1999 36,503

1961 13,900 1974 20,100 1987 27,545 2000 37,077

1962 14,500 1975 20,300 1988 27,796 2001 37,643

1963 14,900 1976 20,600 1989 28,001 2002 37,935

1964 15,300 1977 21,500 1990 28,070 2003 38,504

1965 15,500 1978 22,000 1991 28,630 2004 38,797

1966 16,000 1979 23,900 1992 29,600 2005 38,980

1967 16,500 1980 23,946 1993 30,549 2006 39,873

1968 16,900 1981 24,477 1994 31,741 2007 40,511

1969 17,400 1982 25,340 1995 33,028 2008 40,463

1970 17,767 1983 26,314 1996 34,117 2009 40,555

1971 18,800 1984 26,533 1997 34,966 2010 41,487

1972 19,200 1985 26,914 1998 35,675 2011 41,633


Population projections Delaware

2012 42,870 2028 52,286 2044 61,702 2060 71,117

2013 43,459 2029 52,874 2045 62,290 2061 71,706

2014 44,047 2030 53,463 2046 62,879 2062 72,294

2015 44,636 2031 54,051 2047 63,467 2063 72,883

2016 45,224 2032 54,640 2048 64,056 2064 73,471

2017 45,813 2033 55,228 2049 64,644 2065 74,060

2018 46,401 2034 55,817 2050 65,233 2066 74,648

2019 46,990 2035 56,405 2051 65,821 2067 75,237

2020 47,578 2036 56,994 2052 66,410 2068 75,825

2021 48,167 2037 57,582 2053 66,998 2069 76,414

2022 48,755 2038 58,171 2054 67,587 2070 77,002

2023 49,344 2039 58,759 2055 68,175 2071 77,591

2024 49,932 2040 59,348 2056 68,764 2072 78,179

2025 50,521 2041 59,936 2057 69,352 2073 78,768

2026 51,109 2042 60,525 2058 69,940 2074 79,356

2027 51,698 2043 61,113 2059 70,529 2075 79,945


56 | P a g e

Dewey County

Dewey County is forecast to have a continued decline in population, but the pace of that decline is

forecast to slow over the next 65 years. On average, the annual rate of decline is forecast to be ‐0.32%.

While Dewey County experienced some population growth in the late 1970s and early 1980s, led by

growth in the energy sector, the overall trend has been downward since the 1930s. A power regression

trendline based on population data from the last 50 years indicates the population will slowly drop

below 4,000.

Decennial Census population counts Dewey

1910 14,132 1960 6,051 2010 4,810

1920 12,434 1970 5,656

1930 13,250 1980 5,922

1940 11,981 1990 5,551

1950 8,789 2000 4,743


14,132

12,434

13,250

11,981

8,789

6,051 5,656

5,922 5,551

4,743 4,810

0

4,000

8,000

12,000

16,000

1910

1915

1920

1925

1930

1935

1940

1945

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

2055

2060

2065

2070

2075

Dewey County2012 to 2075 Forecast


Dewey County Annual Estimates 1960‐2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)

Dewey Forecast 2012‐2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)

Dewey Decennial Census 1910‐2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)

Power Trendline

57 | P a g e

Annual population estimates Dewey

1960 6,051 1973 5,500 1986 6,155 1999 4,811

1961 6,100 1974 5,300 1987 5,947 2000 4,743

1962 6,000 1975 5,300 1988 5,715 2001 4,597

1963 6,000 1976 5,500 1989 5,647 2002 4,513

1964 5,900 1977 5,600 1990 5,551 2003 4,471

1965 5,800 1978 5,800 1991 5,469 2004 4,512

1966 5,800 1979 6,000 1992 5,417 2005 4,398

1967 5,800 1980 5,922 1993 5,266 2006 4,369

1968 5,700 1981 6,054 1994 5,183 2007 4,368

1969 5,700 1982 6,501 1995 5,079 2008 4,416

1970 5,656 1983 6,711 1996 5,007 2009 4,404

1971 5,700 1984 6,456 1997 4,913 2010 4,810

1972 5,500 1985 6,200 1998 4,840 2011 4,867


Population projections Dewey

2012 4,695 2028 4,410 2044 4,176 2060 3,978

2013 4,675 2029 4,394 2045 4,162 2061 3,967

2014 4,656 2030 4,379 2046 4,149 2062 3,955

2015 4,637 2031 4,363 2047 4,136 2063 3,944

2016 4,618 2032 4,348 2048 4,123 2064 3,933

2017 4,599 2033 4,332 2049 4,110 2065 3,922

2018 4,581 2034 4,317 2050 4,098 2066 3,911

2019 4,563 2035 4,302 2051 4,085 2067 3,901

2020 4,545 2036 4,288 2052 4,073 2068 3,890

2021 4,528 2037 4,273 2053 4,061 2069 3,879

2022 4,510 2038 4,259 2054 4,048 2070 3,869

2023 4,493 2039 4,245 2055 4,036 2071 3,859

2024 4,476 2040 4,230 2056 4,025 2072 3,848

2025 4,459 2041 4,217 2057 4,013 2073 3,838

2026 4,443 2042 4,203 2058 4,001 2074 3,828

2027 4,426 2043 4,189 2059 3,989 2075 3,818


58 | P a g e

Ellis County

Ellis County is forecast to experience continued but slowing population decline over the next 65 years,

based on a power regression trendline. The trendline, using data for the last half century, indicates Ellis

County’s population will decline at an average annual rate of ‐0.43%, with a somewhat higher rate in the

short term and lower rates in the longer term. Some year to year variation from these projections is

expected due to the influence of energy developments in the county.

Decennial Census population counts Ellis

1910 15,375 1960 5,457 2010 4,151

1920 11,673 1970 5,129

1930 10,541 1980 5,596

1940 8,466 1990 4,497

1950 7,326 2000 4,075


15,375

11,673

10,541

8,466

7,326

5,457 5,129 5,596

4,497 4,075 4,151

0

4,000

8,000

12,000

16,000

1910

1915

1920

1925

1930

1935

1940

1945

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

2055

2060

2065

2070

2075

Ellis County2012 to 2075 Forecast


Ellis County Annual Estimates 1960‐2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)

Ellis Forecast 2012‐2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)

Ellis Decennial Census 1910‐2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)

Power Trendline

59 | P a g e

Annual population estimates Ellis

1960 5,457 1973 5,200 1986 5,257 1999 4,134

1961 5,500 1974 5,200 1987 5,050 2000 4,075

1962 5,500 1975 5,300 1988 4,728 2001 3,896

1963 5,400 1976 5,400 1989 4,652 2002 3,954

1964 5,400 1977 5,300 1990 4,497 2003 3,909

1965 5,300 1978 5,500 1991 4,396 2004 3,909

1966 5,200 1979 5,800 1992 4,330 2005 3,870

1967 5,200 1980 5,596 1993 4,299 2006 3,769

1968 5,100 1981 5,976 1994 4,193 2007 3,836

1969 5,100 1982 6,410 1995 4,178 2008 3,877

1970 5,129 1983 6,365 1996 4,156 2009 3,925

1971 5,400 1984 5,986 1997 4,144 2010 4,151

1972 5,300 1985 5,598 1998 4,174 2011 4,051


Population projections Ellis

2012 3,972 2028 3,647 2044 3,385 2060 3,169

2013 3,949 2029 3,629 2045 3,371 2061 3,156

2014 3,927 2030 3,612 2046 3,356 2062 3,144

2015 3,905 2031 3,594 2047 3,342 2063 3,132

2016 3,884 2032 3,577 2048 3,327 2064 3,120

2017 3,862 2033 3,560 2049 3,313 2065 3,108

2018 3,841 2034 3,543 2050 3,299 2066 3,096

2019 3,821 2035 3,526 2051 3,286 2067 3,085

2020 3,800 2036 3,510 2052 3,272 2068 3,073

2021 3,780 2037 3,494 2053 3,259 2069 3,062

2022 3,760 2038 3,477 2054 3,245 2070 3,051

2023 3,741 2039 3,462 2055 3,232 2071 3,040

2024 3,722 2040 3,446 2056 3,219 2072 3,029

2025 3,703 2041 3,431 2057 3,206 2073 3,018

2026 3,684 2042 3,415 2058 3,194 2074 3,007

2027 3,666 2043 3,400 2059 3,181 2075 2,996


60 | P a g e

Garfield County

Garfield County is expected to realize a slight population growth over the next 65 years, growing at an

average annual rate of 0.05%. A linear regression trendline based on population history for the last 50

years indicates slow but relatively steady growth, but the quality of the formula’s fit shows a high

likelihood of year to year variation from the overall trend.

Decennial Census population counts Garfield

1910 33,050 1960 52,975 2010 60,580

1920 37,500 1970 55,365

1930 45,588 1980 62,820

1940 45,484 1990 56,735

1950 52,820 2000 57,813


33,050 37,500

45,588 45,484

52,820 52,975 55,365

62,820

56,735 57,813 60,580

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

1910

1915

1920

1925

1930

1935

1940

1945

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

2055

2060

2065

2070

2075

Garfield County2012 to 2075 Forecast


Garfield County Annual Estimates 1960‐2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)

Garfield Forecast 2012‐2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)

Garfield Decennial Census 1910‐2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)

Linear Trendline

61 | P a g e

Annual population estimates Garfield

1960 52,975 1973 56,500 1986 62,550 1999 58,197

1961 53,900 1974 57,600 1987 59,858 2000 57,813

1962 54,800 1975 58,700 1988 57,691 2001 57,181

1963 54,900 1976 60,100 1989 57,178 2002 57,115

1964 54,900 1977 61,100 1990 56,735 2003 57,149

1965 54,600 1978 61,900 1991 56,486 2004 57,169

1966 54,800 1979 62,300 1992 56,780 2005 56,940

1967 55,400 1980 62,820 1993 56,879 2006 57,145

1968 55,500 1981 64,500 1994 57,296 2007 57,434

1969 56,000 1982 67,597 1995 57,939 2008 58,053

1970 55,365 1983 67,225 1996 57,794 2009 58,928

1971 57,600 1984 65,759 1997 57,831 2010 60,580

1972 57,600 1985 64,151 1998 58,122 2011 60,670


Population projections Garfield

2012 59,615 2028 60,356 2044 61,098 2060 61,839

2013 59,661 2029 60,402 2045 61,144 2061 61,885

2014 59,707 2030 60,449 2046 61,190 2062 61,932

2015 59,754 2031 60,495 2047 61,237 2063 61,978

2016 59,800 2032 60,541 2048 61,283 2064 62,024

2017 59,846 2033 60,588 2049 61,329 2065 62,071

2018 59,893 2034 60,634 2050 61,376 2066 62,117

2019 59,939 2035 60,680 2051 61,422 2067 62,163

2020 59,985 2036 60,727 2052 61,468 2068 62,210

2021 60,032 2037 60,773 2053 61,515 2069 62,256

2022 60,078 2038 60,819 2054 61,561 2070 62,302

2023 60,124 2039 60,866 2055 61,607 2071 62,349

2024 60,171 2040 60,912 2056 61,654 2072 62,395

2025 60,217 2041 60,958 2057 61,700 2073 62,441

2026 60,263 2042 61,005 2058 61,746 2074 62,488

2027 60,310 2043 61,051 2059 61,793 2075 62,534


62 | P a g e

Garvin County

Garvin County is forecast to have essentially flat long‐term population growth over the coming 65 years,

with an overall average annual growth rate of 0.00%. However, the degree of fit indicated by a linear

regression trendline drawn from population data between 1960 and 2011 indicates that there is a high

likelihood of year to year variation from population forecasts.

Decennial Census population counts Garvin

1910 26,545 1960 28,290 2010 27,576

1920 32,445 1970 24,874

1930 31,401 1980 27,856

1940 31,150 1990 26,605

1950 29,500 2000 27,210


26,545

32,445 31,401 31,150

29,500 28,290

24,874 27,856 26,605 27,210 27,576

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

1910

1915

1920

1925

1930

1935

1940

1945

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

2055

2060

2065

2070

2075

Garvin County2012 to 2075 Forecast


Garvin County Annual Estimates 1960‐2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)

Garvin Forecast 2012‐2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)

Garvin Decennial Census 1910‐2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)

Linear Trendline

63 | P a g e

Annual population estimates Garvin

1960 28,290 1973 26,200 1986 29,199 1999 26,971

1961 28,300 1974 26,500 1987 28,230 2000 27,210

1962 28,300 1975 26,900 1988 27,418 2001 27,021

1963 27,800 1976 27,000 1989 26,843 2002 27,040

1964 27,300 1977 26,900 1990 26,605 2003 26,964

1965 26,600 1978 27,300 1991 26,592 2004 26,787

1966 26,100 1979 27,400 1992 26,586 2005 26,864

1967 25,900 1980 27,856 1993 26,587 2006 26,955

1968 25,400 1981 28,684 1994 26,729 2007 27,074

1969 25,100 1982 29,893 1995 26,856 2008 27,128

1970 24,874 1983 30,552 1996 26,841 2009 27,113

1971 25,900 1984 30,118 1997 26,940 2010 27,576

1972 26,300 1985 29,350 1998 26,967 2011 27,452


Population projections Garvin

2012 27,298 2028 27,346 2044 27,394 2060 27,442

2013 27,301 2029 27,349 2045 27,397 2061 27,445

2014 27,304 2030 27,352 2046 27,400 2062 27,448

2015 27,307 2031 27,355 2047 27,403 2063 27,451

2016 27,310 2032 27,358 2048 27,406 2064 27,454

2017 27,313 2033 27,361 2049 27,409 2065 27,457

2018 27,316 2034 27,364 2050 27,412 2066 27,460

2019 27,319 2035 27,367 2051 27,415 2067 27,463

2020 27,322 2036 27,370 2052 27,418 2068 27,466

2021 27,325 2037 27,373 2053 27,421 2069 27,469

2022 27,328 2038 27,376 2054 27,424 2070 27,472

2023 27,331 2039 27,379 2055 27,427 2071 27,475

2024 27,334 2040 27,382 2056 27,430 2072 27,478

2025 27,337 2041 27,385 2057 27,433 2073 27,481

2026 27,340 2042 27,388 2058 27,436 2074 27,484

2027 27,343 2043 27,391 2059 27,439 2075 27,487


64 | P a g e

Grady County

Grady County is forecast to experience population growth slightly exceeding the state average over the

next 65 years. Grady County’s population is expected to grow at an average annual rate of 0.88%

between now and 2075 with a high level of fit shown by a linear regression trendline. This indicates that

there will likely be only small degrees of year to year variation in population forecasts over the long run.

Decennial Census population counts Grady

1910 30,309 1960 29,590 2010 52,431

1920 33,943 1970 29,354

1930 47,638 1980 39,490

1940 41,116 1990 41,747

1950 34,872 2000 45,516


30,309 33,943

47,638

41,116

34,872

29,590 29,354

39,490 41,747

45,516

52,431

0

15,000

30,000

45,000

60,000

75,000

90,000

1910

1915

1920

1925

1930

1935

1940

1945

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

2055

2060

2065

2070

2075

Grady County2012 to 2075 Forecast


Grady County Annual Estimates 1960‐2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)

Grady Forecast 2012‐2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)

Grady Decennial Census 1910‐2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)

Linear Trendline

65 | P a g e

Annual population estimates Grady

1960 29,590 1973 32,900 1986 43,899 1999 45,280

1961 29,800 1974 34,000 1987 43,089 2000 45,516

1962 30,100 1975 35,000 1988 42,587 2001 45,844

1963 29,900 1976 36,100 1989 42,247 2002 46,620

1964 29,500 1977 36,900 1990 41,747 2003 47,080

1965 29,300 1978 37,500 1991 41,673 2004 47,929

1966 29,200 1979 38,700 1992 41,795 2005 48,942

1967 29,300 1980 39,490 1993 42,254 2006 50,051

1968 29,200 1981 40,943 1994 42,646 2007 50,428

1969 29,300 1982 43,836 1995 43,399 2008 51,099

1970 29,354 1983 45,454 1996 44,297 2009 51,649

1971 30,600 1984 45,098 1997 44,760 2010 52,431

1972 32,100 1985 45,013 1998 44,999 2011 53,020


Population projections Grady

2012 52,781 2028 60,341 2044 67,901 2060 75,462

2013 53,253 2029 60,813 2045 68,374 2061 75,934

2014 53,726 2030 61,286 2046 68,846 2062 76,407

2015 54,198 2031 61,758 2047 69,319 2063 76,879

2016 54,671 2032 62,231 2048 69,791 2064 77,352

2017 55,143 2033 62,703 2049 70,264 2065 77,824

2018 55,616 2034 63,176 2050 70,736 2066 78,297

2019 56,088 2035 63,649 2051 71,209 2067 78,769

2020 56,561 2036 64,121 2052 71,681 2068 79,242

2021 57,033 2037 64,594 2053 72,154 2069 79,714

2022 57,506 2038 65,066 2054 72,626 2070 80,187

2023 57,978 2039 65,539 2055 73,099 2071 80,659

2024 58,451 2040 66,011 2056 73,571 2072 81,132

2025 58,923 2041 66,484 2057 74,044 2073 81,604

2026 59,396 2042 66,956 2058 74,516 2074 82,077

2027 59,868 2043 67,429 2059 74,989 2075 82,549


66 | P a g e

Grant County

Grant County is forecast to experience a slowing rate of population decline over the coming 65 years, as

indicated by a power regression trendline drawn from the county’s population history over the last 50

years. The county’s average annual population rate of decline is expected to be ‐0.52%, with a higher

rate of decline in the short term and a slower rate of decline experienced in the longer term. The level

of fit indicated by the power regression trendline indicates relatively low year to year variation in

population forecasts.

Decennial Census population counts Grant

1910 18,760 1960 8,140 2010 4,527

1920 16,072 1970 7,117

1930 14,150 1980 6,518

1940 13,128 1990 5,689

1950 10,461 2000 5,144


18,760

16,072 14,150

13,128

10,461

8,140

7,117 6,518

5,689 5,144

4,527

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

1910

1915

1920

1925

1930

1935

1940

1945

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

2055

2060

2065

2070

2075

Grant County2012 to 2075 Forecast


Grant County Annual Estimates 1960‐2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)

Grant Forecast 2012‐2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)

Grant Decennial Census 1910‐2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)

Power Trendline

67 | P a g e

Annual population estimates Grant

1960 8,140 1973 6,900 1986 6,470 1999 5,171

1961 8,100 1974 6,700 1987 6,216 2000 5,144

1962 8,100 1975 6,700 1988 5,974 2001 5,019

1963 8,000 1976 7,000 1989 5,757 2002 4,931

1964 7,800 1977 6,900 1990 5,689 2003 4,865

1965 7,600 1978 6,700 1991 5,570 2004 4,696

1966 7,500 1979 6,600 1992 5,483 2005 4,656

1967 7,400 1980 6,518 1993 5,550 2006 4,513

1968 7,300 1981 6,704 1994 5,535 2007 4,482

1969 7,200 1982 6,669 1995 5,428 2008 4,448

1970 7,117 1983 6,792 1996 5,441 2009 4,317

1971 7,000 1984 6,725 1997 5,378 2010 4,527

1972 6,900 1985 6,617 1998 5,278 2011 4,585


Population projections Grant

2012 4,573 2028 4,022 2044 3,595 2060 3,254

2013 4,534 2029 3,992 2045 3,571 2061 3,234

2014 4,496 2030 3,963 2046 3,548 2062 3,216

2015 4,458 2031 3,934 2047 3,525 2063 3,197

2016 4,421 2032 3,905 2048 3,502 2064 3,179

2017 4,385 2033 3,877 2049 3,480 2065 3,161

2018 4,349 2034 3,850 2050 3,458 2066 3,143

2019 4,313 2035 3,822 2051 3,436 2067 3,125

2020 4,279 2036 3,796 2052 3,415 2068 3,107

2021 4,245 2037 3,769 2053 3,394 2069 3,090

2022 4,211 2038 3,743 2054 3,373 2070 3,073

2023 4,178 2039 3,717 2055 3,353 2071 3,056

2024 4,146 2040 3,692 2056 3,332 2072 3,039

2025 4,114 2041 3,667 2057 3,312 2073 3,023

2026 4,083 2042 3,643 2058 3,292 2074 3,007

2027 4,052 2043 3,618 2059 3,273 2075 2,990


68 | P a g e

Greer County

Greer County’s population history over the last 50 years indicates a slow but consistent rate of

population decline, forecast to average ‐0.42% annually over the next 65 years. A power regression

trendline for the county’s population since 1960 indicates a high degree of fit, leading to the conclusion

that there will be little year to year variation from the overall long term population forecasts.

Decennial Census population counts Greer

1910 16,449 1960 8,877 2010 6,239

1920 15,836 1970 7,979

1930 20,282 1980 7,028

1940 14,550 1990 6,559

1950 11,749 2000 6,061


16,449 15,836

20,282

14,550

11,749

8,877 7,979

7,028 6,559 6,061 6,239

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

1910

1915

1920

1925

1930

1935

1940

1945

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

2055

2060

2065

2070

2075

Greer County2012 to 2075 Forecast


Greer County Annual Estimates 1960‐2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)

Greer Forecast 2012‐2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)

Greer Decennial Census 1910‐2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)

Power Trendline

69 | P a g e

Annual population estimates Greer

1960 8,877 1973 7,500 1986 6,901 1999 6,193

1961 8,900 1974 7,400 1987 6,913 2000 6,061

1962 8,900 1975 7,300 1988 6,875 2001 5,837

1963 8,800 1976 7,300 1989 6,710 2002 5,861

1964 8,600 1977 7,200 1990 6,559 2003 5,781

1965 8,400 1978 6,900 1991 6,384 2004 5,807

1966 8,300 1979 6,900 1992 6,293 2005 5,799

1967 8,200 1980 7,028 1993 6,278 2006 5,739

1968 8,100 1981 7,244 1994 6,293 2007 5,803

1969 8,000 1982 7,479 1995 6,459 2008 5,820

1970 7,979 1983 7,537 1996 6,353 2009 5,830

1971 7,700 1984 7,317 1997 6,135 2010 6,239

1972 7,600 1985 7,097 1998 6,016 2011 6,125


Population projections Greer

2012 6,045 2028 5,543 2044 5,140 2060 4,810

2013 6,010 2029 5,515 2045 5,118 2061 4,791

2014 5,976 2030 5,488 2046 5,096 2062 4,772

2015 5,942 2031 5,461 2047 5,074 2063 4,754

2016 5,908 2032 5,434 2048 5,052 2064 4,736

2017 5,875 2033 5,408 2049 5,030 2065 4,718

2018 5,843 2034 5,382 2050 5,009 2066 4,700

2019 5,811 2035 5,356 2051 4,988 2067 4,682

2020 5,779 2036 5,331 2052 4,967 2068 4,665

2021 5,748 2037 5,306 2053 4,947 2069 4,648

2022 5,717 2038 5,282 2054 4,927 2070 4,631

2023 5,687 2039 5,257 2055 4,907 2071 4,614

2024 5,658 2040 5,233 2056 4,887 2072 4,597

2025 5,628 2041 5,210 2057 4,867 2073 4,581

2026 5,599 2042 5,186 2058 4,848 2074 4,564

2027 5,571 2043 5,163 2059 4,829 2075 4,548


70 | P a g e

Harmon County

Harmon County is forecast to experience a declining average annual population rate of ‐0.66% between

now and 2075. Historic population trends in the county show a slowing rate of population decline and a

power regression formula drawn from that data indicates a strong level of fit. Year to year variation

from population forecasts is expected to be relatively low.

Decennial Census population counts Harmon

1910 11,328 1960 5,852 2010 2,922

1920 11,261 1970 5,136

1930 13,834 1980 4,519

1940 10,019 1990 3,793

1950 8,079 2000 3,283


11,328 11,261

13,834

10,019

8,079

5,852 5,136

4,519 3,793

3,283 2,922

0

3,000

6,000

9,000

12,000

15,000

1910

1915

1920

1925

1930

1935

1940

1945

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

2055

2060

2065

2070

2075

Harmon County2012 to 2075 Forecast


Harmon County Annual Estimates 1960‐2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)

Harmon Forecast 2012‐2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)

Harmon Decennial Census 1910‐2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)

Power Trendline

71 | P a g e

Annual population estimates Harmon

1960 5,852 1973 4,800 1986 4,113 1999 3,278

1961 5,800 1974 4,800 1987 4,041 2000 3,283

1962 5,803 1975 5,000 1988 3,933 2001 3,155

1963 5,800 1976 5,200 1989 3,896 2002 3,050

1964 5,600 1977 5,000 1990 3,793 2003 2,986

1965 5,500 1978 5,000 1991 3,713 2004 2,939

1966 5,400 1979 4,900 1992 3,636 2005 2,955

1967 5,400 1980 4,519 1993 3,619 2006 2,916

1968 5,300 1981 4,632 1994 3,555 2007 2,833

1969 5,200 1982 4,555 1995 3,578 2008 2,834

1970 5,136 1983 4,458 1996 3,534 2009 2,843

1971 4,900 1984 4,382 1997 3,485 2010 2,922

1972 4,800 1985 4,286 1998 3,433 2011 2,919


Population projections Harmon

2012 2,862 2028 2,429 2044 2,104 2060 1,853

2013 2,830 2029 2,406 2045 2,087 2061 1,839

2014 2,800 2030 2,383 2046 2,069 2062 1,825

2015 2,770 2031 2,361 2047 2,052 2063 1,812

2016 2,740 2032 2,339 2048 2,036 2064 1,799

2017 2,712 2033 2,318 2049 2,019 2065 1,786

2018 2,683 2034 2,297 2050 2,003 2066 1,773

2019 2,656 2035 2,276 2051 1,987 2067 1,760

2020 2,629 2036 2,256 2052 1,971 2068 1,747

2021 2,602 2037 2,236 2053 1,956 2069 1,735

2022 2,576 2038 2,216 2054 1,940 2070 1,723

2023 2,550 2039 2,197 2055 1,925 2071 1,711

2024 2,525 2040 2,177 2056 1,910 2072 1,699

2025 2,500 2041 2,159 2057 1,896 2073 1,687

2026 2,476 2042 2,140 2058 1,881 2074 1,675

2027 2,452 2043 2,122 2059 1,867 2075 1,664


72 | P a g e

Harper County

Harper County is forecast to have a declining rate of population growth over the coming years, with the

annual rate of decline averaging ‐0.52% between now and 2075. The rate of decline is forecast to be

somewhat higher in the short term, and lower in the long term. The level of fit for Harper County’s

power regression trendline is strong, indicating limited year to year variation from population forecasts.

Decennial Census population counts Harper

1910 8,189 1960 5,956 2010 3,685

1920 7,623 1970 5,151

1930 7,761 1980 4,715

1940 6,454 1990 4,063

1950 5,977 2000 3,562


8,189

7,623 7,761

6,454 5,977

5,956 5,151 4,715

4,063 3,562 3,685

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

1910

1915

1920

1925

1930

1935

1940

1945

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

2055

2060

2065

2070

2075

Harper County2012 to 2075 Forecast


Harper County Annual Estimates 1960‐2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)

Harper Forecast 2012‐2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)

Harper Decennial Census 1910‐2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)

Power Trendline

73 | P a g e

Annual population estimates Harper

1960 5,956 1973 4,700 1986 4,508 1999 3,602

1961 6,000 1974 4,800 1987 4,412 2000 3,562

1962 6,000 1975 4,900 1988 4,359 2001 3,421

1963 5,900 1976 4,900 1989 4,117 2002 3,414

1964 5,700 1977 4,900 1990 4,063 2003 3,321

1965 5,600 1978 4,800 1991 3,967 2004 3,341

1966 5,500 1979 4,700 1992 3,867 2005 3,301

1967 5,500 1980 4,715 1993 3,867 2006 3,333

1968 5,300 1981 4,926 1994 3,866 2007 3,302

1969 5,200 1982 5,046 1995 3,801 2008 3,385

1970 5,151 1983 5,049 1996 3,732 2009 3,377

1971 4,800 1984 4,852 1997 3,597 2010 3,685

1972 4,700 1985 4,654 1998 3,574 2011 3,695


Population projections Harper

2012 3,589 2028 3,186 2044 2,874 2060 2,625

2013 3,561 2029 3,165 2045 2,857 2061 2,611

2014 3,533 2030 3,143 2046 2,840 2062 2,598

2015 3,505 2031 3,122 2047 2,824 2063 2,584

2016 3,478 2032 3,101 2048 2,807 2064 2,571

2017 3,451 2033 3,081 2049 2,791 2065 2,557

2018 3,425 2034 3,061 2050 2,775 2066 2,544

2019 3,399 2035 3,041 2051 2,759 2067 2,531

2020 3,374 2036 3,021 2052 2,743 2068 2,519

2021 3,349 2037 3,002 2053 2,728 2069 2,506

2022 3,325 2038 2,983 2054 2,713 2070 2,494

2023 3,301 2039 2,964 2055 2,698 2071 2,481

2024 3,277 2040 2,946 2056 2,683 2072 2,469

2025 3,254 2041 2,928 2057 2,668 2073 2,457

2026 3,231 2042 2,910 2058 2,654 2074 2,445

2027 3,209 2043 2,892 2059 2,639 2075 2,433


74 | P a g e

Haskell County

Haskell County’s population forecast anticipates a 0.47% average annual rate of growth between now

and 2075. A linear regression trendline drawn on population data over the last 50 years indicates a

strong degree of fit, leading to the anticipation of only limited year to year variation from population

forecasts.

Decennial Census population counts Haskell

1910 18,875 1960 9,121 2010 12,769

1920 19,397 1970 9,578

1930 16,216 1980 11,010

1940 17,324 1990 10,940

1950 13,313 2000 11,792


18,875 19,397

16,216 17,324

13,313

9,121 9,578

11,010 10,940 11,792

12,769

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

1910

1915

1920

1925

1930

1935

1940

1945

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

2055

2060

2065

2070

Haskell County2012 to 2075 Forecast


Haskell County Annual Estimates 1960‐2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)

Haskell Forecast 2012‐2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)

Haskell Decennial Census 1910‐2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)

Linear Trendline

75 | P a g e

Annual population estimates Haskell

1960 9,121 1973 9,700 1986 11,320 1999 11,707

1961 9,300 1974 10,000 1987 11,160 2000 11,792

1962 9,400 1975 10,200 1988 11,053 2001 11,755

1963 9,400 1976 10,400 1989 10,963 2002 11,728

1964 9,400 1977 10,500 1990 10,940 2003 11,870

1965 9,300 1978 10,700 1991 10,912 2004 11,955

1966 9,300 1979 10,900 1992 11,048 2005 11,952

1967 9,500 1980 11,010 1993 11,032 2006 12,058

1968 9,500 1981 11,164 1994 11,143 2007 12,102

1969 9,500 1982 11,153 1995 11,406 2008 12,266

1970 9,578 1983 11,453 1996 11,500 2009 12,393

1971 9,900 1984 11,373 1997 11,650 2010 12,769

1972 9,800 1985 11,445 1998 11,652 2011 12,810


Population projections Haskell

2012 12,609 2028 13,651 2044 14,693 2060 15,734

2013 12,674 2029 13,716 2045 14,758 2061 15,800

2014 12,739 2030 13,781 2046 14,823 2062 15,865

2015 12,804 2031 13,846 2047 14,888 2063 15,930

2016 12,869 2032 13,911 2048 14,953 2064 15,995

2017 12,934 2033 13,976 2049 15,018 2065 16,060

2018 13,000 2034 14,041 2050 15,083 2066 16,125

2019 13,065 2035 14,107 2051 15,148 2067 16,190

2020 13,130 2036 14,172 2052 15,214 2068 16,255

2021 13,195 2037 14,237 2053 15,279 2069 16,321

2022 13,260 2038 14,302 2054 15,344 2070 16,386

2023 13,325 2039 14,367 2055 15,409 2071 16,451

2024 13,390 2040 14,432 2056 15,474 2072 16,516

2025 13,455 2041 14,497 2057 15,539 2073 16,581

2026 13,521 2042 14,562 2058 15,604 2074 16,646

2027 13,586 2043 14,628 2059 15,669 2075 16,711


76 | P a g e

Hughes County

Hughes County is forecast to have a ‐0.16% average annual rate of population decline over the next 65

years. Between 1960 and 2011, the county experienced a ‐0.16% average annual rate of population

decline, with some year to year variations in population data. That same pattern is expected to

continue through 2075. While the level of fit for Hughes County’s linear regression trendline is

somewhat low, the general population trend is expected to follow the forecasted slowly declining

pattern.

Decennial Census population counts Hughes

1910 24,040 1960 15,144 2010 14,003

1920 26,045 1970 13,228

1930 30,334 1980 14,338

1940 29,189 1990 13,023

1950 20,664 2000 14,154


24,040

26,045

30,334 29,189

20,664

15,144 13,228

14,338 13,023 14,154 14,003

0

7,500

15,000

22,500

30,000

37,500

1910

1915

1920

1925

1930

1935

1940

1945

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

2055

2060

2065

2070

2075

Hughes County2012 to 2075 Forecast


Hughes County Annual Estimates 1960‐2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)

Hughes Forecast 2012‐2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)

Hughes Decennial Census 1910‐2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)

Linear Trendline

77 | P a g e

Annual population estimates Hughes

1960 15,144 1973 13,900 1986 14,105 1999 14,177

1961 15,100 1974 14,100 1987 13,967 2000 14,154

1962 15,000 1975 14,500 1988 13,499 2001 13,876

1963 14,700 1976 14,500 1989 13,234 2002 13,934

1964 14,400 1977 14,500 1990 13,023 2003 13,833

1965 14,000 1978 14,200 1991 12,898 2004 13,762

1966 13,800 1979 14,300 1992 12,822 2005 13,717

1967 13,700 1980 14,338 1993 12,743 2006 13,605

1968 13,500 1981 14,388 1994 12,797 2007 13,651

1969 13,400 1982 14,522 1995 12,970 2008 13,630

1970 13,228 1983 14,721 1996 13,694 2009 13,819

1971 13,500 1984 14,617 1997 14,079 2010 14,003

1972 14,000 1985 14,233 1998 14,148 2011 13,843


Population projections Hughes

2012 13,526 2028 13,283 2044 13,040 2060 12,797

2013 13,511 2029 13,268 2045 13,025 2061 12,782

2014 13,496 2030 13,253 2046 13,010 2062 12,767

2015 13,481 2031 13,238 2047 12,995 2063 12,752

2016 13,465 2032 13,222 2048 12,980 2064 12,737

2017 13,450 2033 13,207 2049 12,964 2065 12,721

2018 13,435 2034 13,192 2050 12,949 2066 12,706

2019 13,420 2035 13,177 2051 12,934 2067 12,691

2020 13,405 2036 13,162 2052 12,919 2068 12,676

2021 13,389 2037 13,147 2053 12,904 2069 12,661

2022 13,374 2038 13,131 2054 12,888 2070 12,646

2023 13,359 2039 13,116 2055 12,873 2071 12,630

2024 13,344 2040 13,101 2056 12,858 2072 12,615

2025 13,329 2041 13,086 2057 12,843 2073 12,600

2026 13,314 2042 13,071 2058 12,828 2074 12,585

2027 13,298 2043 13,055 2059 12,813 2075 12,570


78 | P a g e

Jackson County

Jackson County is forecast to have a declining average annual population rate of ‐0.38 % for the next 65

years. Since 1960, Jackson County’s population has been declining at an average annual rate of ‐0.22%

and a linear regression trendline anticipates the rate of decline will pick up slightly between now and

2075. While the level of fit for this trendline is considered to be fairly strong, some year to year

variation with the population projections can be expected.

Decennial Census population counts Jackson

1910 23,737 1960 29,736 2010 26,446

1920 22,141 1970 30,902

1930 28,910 1980 30,356

1940 22,708 1990 28,764

1950 20,082 2000 28,439


23,737

22,141

28,910

22,708

20,082

29,736

30,902 30,356 28,764 28,439

26,446

0

8,000

16,000

24,000

32,000

40,000

1910

1915

1920

1925

1930

1935

1940

1945

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

2055

2060

2065

2070

2075

Jackson County2012 to 2075 Forecast


Jackson County Annual Estimates 1960‐2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)

Jackson Forecast 2012‐2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)

Jackson Decennial Census 1910‐2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)

Linear Trendline

79 | P a g e

Annual population estimates Jackson

1960 29,736 1973 31,900 1986 30,810 1999 28,789

1961 30,300 1974 32,400 1987 30,796 2000 28,439

1962 30,800 1975 32,100 1988 29,995 2001 27,890

1963 31,000 1976 33,400 1989 29,395 2002 27,347

1964 31,000 1977 32,500 1990 28,764 2003 27,203

1965 30,900 1978 31,600 1991 28,479 2004 27,181

1966 30,800 1979 30,100 1992 28,778 2005 26,471

1967 30,900 1980 30,356 1993 28,985 2006 26,241

1968 30,800 1981 29,956 1994 29,190 2007 25,739

1969 30,800 1982 30,292 1995 30,034 2008 25,336

1970 30,902 1983 31,464 1996 30,194 2009 25,369

1971 32,100 1984 31,760 1997 28,930 2010 26,446

1972 32,000 1985 31,313 1998 28,955 2011 26,447


Population projections Jackson

2012 26,813 2028 25,081 2044 23,350 2060 21,619

2013 26,705 2029 24,973 2045 23,242 2061 21,510

2014 26,596 2030 24,865 2046 23,134 2062 21,402

2015 26,488 2031 24,757 2047 23,025 2063 21,294

2016 26,380 2032 24,649 2048 22,917 2064 21,186

2017 26,272 2033 24,540 2049 22,809 2065 21,078

2018 26,164 2034 24,432 2050 22,701 2066 20,969

2019 26,055 2035 24,324 2051 22,593 2067 20,861

2020 25,947 2036 24,216 2052 22,484 2068 20,753

2021 25,839 2037 24,108 2053 22,376 2069 20,645

2022 25,731 2038 23,999 2054 22,268 2070 20,537

2023 25,622 2039 23,891 2055 22,160 2071 20,428

2024 25,514 2040 23,783 2056 22,051 2072 20,320

2025 25,406 2041 23,675 2057 21,943 2073 20,212

2026 25,298 2042 23,566 2058 21,835 2074 20,104

2027 25,190 2043 23,458 2059 21,727 2075 19,995


80 | P a g e

Jefferson County

Jefferson County is projected to experience a declining rate of population growth, with a ‐0.52% average

annual rate of decline projected through 2075. Since 1960, Jefferson County experienced an average

annual rate of decline of ‐0.42% and a linear regression trendline on the county’s historic population

data indicates that the rate of decline will pick up slightly over the next 65 years. The trendline’s level of

fit, while strong, indicates that there will be some year to year variation in the overall population

patterns.

Decennial Census population counts Jefferson

1910 17,430 1960 8,192 2010 6,472

1920 17,664 1970 7,125

1930 17,392 1980 8,183

1940 15,107 1990 7,010

1950 11,122 2000 6,818


17,430 17,664

17,392

15,107

11,122

8,192 7,125 8,183 7,010

6,818 6,472

0

4,000

8,000

12,000

16,000

20,000

1910

1915

1920

1925

1930

1935

1940

1945

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

2055

2060

2065

2070

2075

Jefferson County2012 to 2075 Forecast


Jefferson County Annual Estimates 1960‐2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)

Jefferson Forecast 2012‐2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)

Jefferson Decennial Census 1910‐2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)

Linear Trendline

81 | P a g e

Annual population estimates Jefferson

1960 8,192 1973 7,700 1986 7,632 1999 6,902

1961 8,100 1974 7,800 1987 7,394 2000 6,818

1962 8,100 1975 7,900 1988 7,177 2001 6,646

1963 8,000 1976 7,900 1989 7,153 2002 6,508

1964 7,800 1977 8,100 1990 7,010 2003 6,466

1965 7,600 1978 8,300 1991 7,020 2004 6,417

1966 7,500 1979 8,200 1992 7,043 2005 6,375

1967 7,400 1980 8,183 1993 7,065 2006 6,289

1968 7,300 1981 8,158 1994 7,130 2007 6,228

1969 7,200 1982 8,418 1995 7,042 2008 6,231

1970 7,125 1983 8,596 1996 6,987 2009 6,319

1971 7,400 1984 8,135 1997 6,972 2010 6,472

1972 7,800 1985 7,956 1998 6,918 2011 6,506


Population projections Jefferson

2012 6,428 2028 5,879 2044 5,329 2060 4,780

2013 6,394 2029 5,844 2045 5,295 2061 4,746

2014 6,359 2030 5,810 2046 5,261 2062 4,711

2015 6,325 2031 5,776 2047 5,226 2063 4,677

2016 6,291 2032 5,741 2048 5,192 2064 4,643

2017 6,256 2033 5,707 2049 5,158 2065 4,608

2018 6,222 2034 5,673 2050 5,123 2066 4,574

2019 6,188 2035 5,638 2051 5,089 2067 4,540

2020 6,153 2036 5,604 2052 5,055 2068 4,505

2021 6,119 2037 5,570 2053 5,020 2069 4,471

2022 6,085 2038 5,535 2054 4,986 2070 4,437

2023 6,050 2039 5,501 2055 4,952 2071 4,402

2024 6,016 2040 5,467 2056 4,917 2072 4,368

2025 5,982 2041 5,432 2057 4,883 2073 4,334

2026 5,947 2042 5,398 2058 4,849 2074 4,299

2027 5,913 2043 5,364 2059 4,814 2075 4,265


82 | P a g e

Johnston County

Johnston County’s population forecast shows a 0.50% average annual growth rate over the next 65

years. While below the anticipated 0.74% average annual statewide growth rate, this is relatively close

to the county’s historic average annual growth rate of 0.57%. A linear regression trendline drawn on

population history since 1960 shows a strong level of fit, but some year to year variability is anticipated.

Decennial Census population counts Johnston

1910 16,734 1960 8,517 2010 10,957

1920 20,125 1970 7,870

1930 13,082 1980 10,356

1940 15,960 1990 10,032

1950 10,608 2000 10,513


16,734

20,125

13,082

15,960

10,608

8,517 7,870

10,356 10,032

10,513 10,957

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

1910

1915

1920

1925

1930

1935

1940

1945

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

2055

2060

2065

2070

2075

Johnston County2012 to 2075 Forecast


Johnston County Annual Estimates 1960‐2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)

Johnston Forecast 2012‐2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)

Johnston Decennial Census 1910‐2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)

Linear Trendline

83 | P a g e

Annual population estimates Johnston

1960 8,517 1973 8,800 1986 10,673 1999 10,529

1961 8,500 1974 9,100 1987 10,668 2000 10,513

1962 8,600 1975 9,400 1988 10,453 2001 10,437

1963 8,500 1976 9,800 1989 10,115 2002 10,386

1964 8,300 1977 10,000 1990 10,032 2003 10,351

1965 8,200 1978 10,100 1991 9,987 2004 10,243

1966 8,100 1979 10,300 1992 10,151 2005 10,203

1967 8,000 1980 10,356 1993 10,049 2006 10,421

1968 7,900 1981 10,538 1994 10,212 2007 10,458

1969 7,900 1982 10,445 1995 10,245 2008 10,428

1970 7,870 1983 10,835 1996 10,286 2009 10,468

1971 8,100 1984 10,741 1997 10,498 2010 10,957

1972 8,500 1985 10,641 1998 10,467 2011 11,139


Population projections Johnston

2012 11,178 2028 12,024 2044 12,870 2060 13,716

2013 11,231 2029 12,077 2045 12,923 2061 13,769

2014 11,284 2030 12,130 2046 12,976 2062 13,821

2015 11,337 2031 12,183 2047 13,028 2063 13,874

2016 11,390 2032 12,235 2048 13,081 2064 13,927

2017 11,442 2033 12,288 2049 13,134 2065 13,980

2018 11,495 2034 12,341 2050 13,187 2066 14,033

2019 11,548 2035 12,394 2051 13,240 2067 14,086

2020 11,601 2036 12,447 2052 13,293 2068 14,139

2021 11,654 2037 12,500 2053 13,346 2069 14,192

2022 11,707 2038 12,553 2054 13,399 2070 14,244

2023 11,760 2039 12,606 2055 13,451 2071 14,297

2024 11,813 2040 12,658 2056 13,504 2072 14,350

2025 11,865 2041 12,711 2057 13,557 2073 14,403

2026 11,918 2042 12,764 2058 13,610 2074 14,456

2027 11,971 2043 12,817 2059 13,663 2075 14,509


84 | P a g e

Kay County

Kay county is forecast to experience an average annual rate of population decline of ‐0.16% over the

next 65 years. This is slightly below the ‐0.18% average annual rate of decline indicated by county

population patterns since 1960. The level of fit for the county’s linear regression trendline is relatively

strong, but subject to some volatility. However, even after accounting for high growth rates

experienced in the 1980s, the long term trend has been for a slow population decline overall. Some

year to year variation in the population forecasts can be expected.

Decennial Census population counts Kay

1910 26,999 1960 51,042 2010 46,562

1920 34,907 1970 48,791

1930 50,186 1980 49,852

1940 47,084 1990 48,056

1950 48,892 2000 48,080


26,999

34,907

50,186

47,084 48,892

51,042 48,791 49,852

48,056 48,080 46,562

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

1910

1915

1920

1925

1930

1935

1940

1945

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

2055

2060

2065

2070

2075

Kay County2012 to 2075 Forecast


Kay County Annual Estimates 1960‐2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)

Kay Forecast 2012‐2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)

Kay Decennial Census 1910‐2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)

Linear Trendline

85 | P a g e

Annual population estimates Kay

1960 51,042 1973 48,400 1986 50,891 1999 48,360

1961 51,400 1974 47,800 1987 50,143 2000 48,080

1962 51,700 1975 48,200 1988 48,775 2001 47,437

1963 51,300 1976 49,100 1989 48,494 2002 47,529

1964 50,600 1977 49,400 1990 48,056 2003 47,107

1965 49,800 1978 49,600 1991 48,321 2004 46,590

1966 49,400 1979 49,300 1992 49,060 2005 46,079

1967 49,400 1980 49,852 1993 48,992 2006 45,760

1968 48,900 1981 50,891 1994 48,591 2007 45,955

1969 48,900 1982 52,236 1995 48,659 2008 45,886

1970 48,791 1983 53,113 1996 48,463 2009 46,110

1971 48,900 1984 52,520 1997 48,295 2010 46,562

1972 48,400 1985 51,627 1998 48,311 2011 46,159


Population projections Kay

2012 46,777 2028 45,491 2044 44,204 2060 42,917

2013 46,697 2029 45,410 2045 44,123 2061 42,837

2014 46,616 2030 45,330 2046 44,043 2062 42,756

2015 46,536 2031 45,249 2047 43,963 2063 42,676

2016 46,456 2032 45,169 2048 43,882 2064 42,595

2017 46,375 2033 45,088 2049 43,802 2065 42,515

2018 46,295 2034 45,008 2050 43,721 2066 42,434

2019 46,214 2035 44,928 2051 43,641 2067 42,354

2020 46,134 2036 44,847 2052 43,560 2068 42,274

2021 46,053 2037 44,767 2053 43,480 2069 42,193

2022 45,973 2038 44,686 2054 43,400 2070 42,113

2023 45,893 2039 44,606 2055 43,319 2071 42,032

2024 45,812 2040 44,525 2056 43,239 2072 41,952

2025 45,732 2041 44,445 2057 43,158 2073 41,872

2026 45,651 2042 44,365 2058 43,078 2074 41,791

2027 45,571 2043 44,284 2059 42,997 2075 41,711


86 | P a g e

Kingfisher County

Kingfisher County’s population growth rate is expected to average 0.32% annually between now and

2075. The county has averaged 0.83% annual population growth since 1960, with very high growth

rates in the early 1980s followed by high population declines in the late 1980s. A linear regression

trendline drawn from the county’s population data over the last half century indicates a somewhat weak

level of fit because of that volatility. While the overall trend is for positive growth, year to year

variations can be expected.

Decennial Census population counts Kingfisher

1910 18,825 1960 10,635 2010 15,034

1920 15,671 1970 12,857

1930 15,960 1980 14,187

1940 15,617 1990 13,212

1950 12,860 2000 13,926


18,825

15,671 15,960 15,617

12,860

10,635

12,857

14,187 13,212 13,926

15,034

0

4,000

8,000

12,000

16,000

20,000

1910

1915

1920

1925

1930

1935

1940

1945

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

2055

2060

2065

2070

2075

Kingfisher County2012 to 2075 Forecast


Kingfisher County Annual Estimates 1960‐2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)

Kingfisher Forecast 2012‐2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)

Kingfisher Decennial Census 1910‐2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)

Linear Trendline

87 | P a g e

Annual population estimates Kingfisher

1960 10,635 1973 12,700 1986 15,350 1999 13,919

1961 11,000 1974 12,900 1987 14,512 2000 13,926

1962 11,300 1975 13,000 1988 14,035 2001 13,843

1963 11,500 1976 13,600 1989 13,534 2002 13,816

1964 11,700 1977 14,000 1990 13,212 2003 13,961

1965 11,800 1978 14,200 1991 13,093 2004 13,974

1966 12,000 1979 13,800 1992 13,100 2005 14,076

1967 12,300 1980 14,187 1993 13,194 2006 14,092

1968 12,400 1981 14,959 1994 13,392 2007 14,279

1969 12,500 1982 16,193 1995 13,593 2008 14,264

1970 12,857 1983 16,372 1996 13,734 2009 14,384

1971 12,900 1984 16,212 1997 13,801 2010 15,034

1972 12,800 1985 15,755 1998 13,857 2011 15,213


Population projections Kingfisher

2012 14,953 2028 15,775 2044 16,597 2060 17,419

2013 15,005 2029 15,827 2045 16,649 2061 17,471

2014 15,056 2030 15,878 2046 16,700 2062 17,522

2015 15,107 2031 15,929 2047 16,752 2063 17,574

2016 15,159 2032 15,981 2048 16,803 2064 17,625

2017 15,210 2033 16,032 2049 16,854 2065 17,676

2018 15,261 2034 16,084 2050 16,906 2066 17,728

2019 15,313 2035 16,135 2051 16,957 2067 17,779

2020 15,364 2036 16,186 2052 17,008 2068 17,831

2021 15,416 2037 16,238 2053 17,060 2069 17,882

2022 15,467 2038 16,289 2054 17,111 2070 17,933

2023 15,518 2039 16,340 2055 17,163 2071 17,985

2024 15,570 2040 16,392 2056 17,214 2072 18,036

2025 15,621 2041 16,443 2057 17,265 2073 18,087

2026 15,672 2042 16,495 2058 17,317 2074 18,139

2027 15,724 2043 16,546 2059 17,368 2075 18,190


88 | P a g e

Kiowa County

Kiowa County is forecast to experience a slowing rate of population decline over the next 65 years,

averaging a ‐0.39% decline through 2075. The rate of decline is anticipated to be higher in the short

term, and slower in the long term. Between 1960 and 2010, the region experienced an annual average

decline of ‐0.73% in population. A power regression trendline indicates a strong fit so while year to year

variation from the county’s population forecasts can be expected, they are anticipated to be relatively

small.

Decennial Census population counts Kiowa

1910 27,526 1960 14,825 2010 9,446

1920 23,094 1970 12,532

1930 29,630 1980 12,711

1940 22,817 1990 11,347

1950 18,926 2000 10,227


27,526

23,094

29,630

22,817

18,926

14,825

12,532 12,711

11,347 10,227

9,446

0

8,000

16,000

24,000

32,000

1910

1915

1920

1925

1930

1935

1940

1945

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

2055

2060

2065

2070

2075

Kiowa County2012 to 2075 Forecast


Kiowa County Annual Estimates 1960‐2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)

Kiowa Forecast 2012‐2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)

Kiowa Decennial Census 1910‐2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)

Power Trendline

89 | P a g e

Annual population estimates Kiowa

1960 14,825 1973 12,100 1986 11,962 1999 10,236

1961 14,700 1974 12,400 1987 11,933 2000 10,227

1962 14,700 1975 12,500 1988 11,922 2001 10,022

1963 14,400 1976 12,600 1989 11,450 2002 9,949

1964 14,100 1977 12,500 1990 11,347 2003 9,859

1965 13,700 1978 12,700 1991 11,150 2004 9,743

1966 13,400 1979 12,800 1992 11,008 2005 9,771

1967 13,200 1980 12,711 1993 11,074 2006 9,540

1968 12,900 1981 12,844 1994 10,931 2007 9,300

1969 12,700 1982 13,006 1995 10,874 2008 9,246

1970 12,532 1983 13,283 1996 10,646 2009 9,101

1971 12,400 1984 13,100 1997 10,623 2010 9,446

1972 12,200 1985 12,497 1998 10,430 2011 9,416


Population projections Kiowa

2012 9,537 2028 8,703 2044 8,034 2060 7,484

2013 9,479 2029 8,657 2045 7,997 2061 7,453

2014 9,422 2030 8,612 2046 7,960 2062 7,422

2015 9,365 2031 8,567 2047 7,923 2063 7,391

2016 9,310 2032 8,523 2048 7,887 2064 7,361

2017 9,255 2033 8,479 2049 7,851 2065 7,331

2018 9,201 2034 8,436 2050 7,816 2066 7,301

2019 9,148 2035 8,394 2051 7,781 2067 7,272

2020 9,096 2036 8,352 2052 7,747 2068 7,243

2021 9,044 2037 8,310 2053 7,712 2069 7,214

2022 8,993 2038 8,269 2054 7,679 2070 7,186

2023 8,943 2039 8,229 2055 7,645 2071 7,158

2024 8,894 2040 8,189 2056 7,612 2072 7,130

2025 8,845 2041 8,150 2057 7,580 2073 7,102

2026 8,797 2042 8,111 2058 7,547 2074 7,075

2027 8,750 2043 8,072 2059 7,515 2075 7,048


90 | P a g e

Latimer County

Latimer County is forecast to experience a 0.52% rate of annual average population growth over the

next 65 years. The forecast is based on a linear regression trendline drawn from population patterns

over the last 50 years. Recent years have shown some divergence from the trendline’s overall pattern,

but the overall fit is expected to remain fairly strong. Some year to year variation in population

forecasts may become more likely if recent changes are an indication of longer term developments.

Decennial Census population counts Latimer

1910 11,321 1960 7,738 2010 11,154

1920 13,866 1970 8,601

1930 11,184 1980 9,840

1940 12,380 1990 10,333

1950 9,690 2000 10,692


11,321

13,866

11,184

12,380

9,690

7,738 8,601

9,840 10,333

10,692 11,154

0

4,000

8,000

12,000

16,000

1910

1915

1920

1925

1930

1935

1940

1945

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

2055

2060

2065

2070

2075

Latimer County2012 to 2075 Forecast


Latimer County Annual Estimates 1960‐2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)

Latimer Forecast 2012‐2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)

Latimer Decennial Census 1910‐2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)

Linear Trendline

91 | P a g e

Annual population estimates Latimer

1960 7,738 1973 9,700 1986 10,105 1999 10,662

1961 7,900 1974 9,700 1987 10,064 2000 10,692

1962 8,100 1975 10,100 1988 10,175 2001 10,574

1963 8,100 1976 9,900 1989 10,320 2002 10,577

1964 8,200 1977 9,800 1990 10,333 2003 10,496

1965 8,200 1978 9,700 1991 10,678 2004 10,515

1966 8,300 1979 9,500 1992 10,561 2005 10,485

1967 8,400 1980 9,840 1993 10,385 2006 10,487

1968 8,400 1981 9,855 1994 10,410 2007 10,442

1969 8,500 1982 9,841 1995 10,528 2008 10,576

1970 8,601 1983 10,001 1996 10,484 2009 10,621

1971 8,700 1984 9,969 1997 10,526 2010 11,154

1972 9,200 1985 9,962 1998 10,577 2011 11,155


Population projections Latimer

2012 11,309 2028 12,219 2044 13,128 2060 14,037

2013 11,366 2029 12,275 2045 13,185 2061 14,094

2014 11,423 2030 12,332 2046 13,241 2062 14,150

2015 11,480 2031 12,389 2047 13,298 2063 14,207

2016 11,537 2032 12,446 2048 13,355 2064 14,264

2017 11,594 2033 12,503 2049 13,412 2065 14,321

2018 11,650 2034 12,559 2050 13,469 2066 14,378

2019 11,707 2035 12,616 2051 13,525 2067 14,435

2020 11,764 2036 12,673 2052 13,582 2068 14,491

2021 11,821 2037 12,730 2053 13,639 2069 14,548

2022 11,878 2038 12,787 2054 13,696 2070 14,605

2023 11,934 2039 12,844 2055 13,753 2071 14,662

2024 11,991 2040 12,900 2056 13,810 2072 14,719

2025 12,048 2041 12,957 2057 13,866 2073 14,776

2026 12,105 2042 13,014 2058 13,923 2074 14,832

2027 12,162 2043 13,071 2059 13,980 2075 14,889


92 | P a g e

Le Flore County

Le Flore County is forecast to experience a 0.89% average annual growth rate through 2075, slightly

above the forecast rate for Oklahoma’s overall growth. A linear regression trendline based on the last

50 years of population data shows a strong level of fit, indicating that year to year variation from the

long term forecast may be relatively small.

Decennial Census population counts Le Flore

1910 29,127 1960 29,106 2010 50,384

1920 42,765 1970 32,137

1930 42,896 1980 40,698

1940 45,866 1990 43,270

1950 35,276 2000 48,109


29,127

42,765 42,896 45,866

35,276

29,106

32,137

40,698 43,270

48,109

50,384

0

15,000

30,000

45,000

60,000

75,000

90,000

1910

1915

1920

1925

1930

1935

1940

1945

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

2055

2060

2065

2070

2075

Le Flore County2012 to 2075 Forecast


Le Flore County Annual Estimates 1960‐2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)

Le Flore Forecast 2012‐2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)

Le Flore Decennial Census 1910‐2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)

Linear Trendline

93 | P a g e

Annual population estimates Le Flore

1960 29,106 1973 34,400 1986 42,245 1999 47,858

1961 29,700 1974 35,700 1987 43,016 2000 48,109

1962 30,300 1975 36,800 1988 43,061 2001 48,033

1963 30,400 1976 37,300 1989 43,052 2002 48,337

1964 30,500 1977 38,200 1990 43,270 2003 48,429

1965 30,500 1978 38,900 1991 43,682 2004 48,618

1966 30,700 1979 40,300 1992 43,851 2005 48,852

1967 31,200 1980 40,698 1993 44,778 2006 49,200

1968 31,500 1981 40,053 1994 45,320 2007 49,625

1969 31,800 1982 40,561 1995 46,268 2008 49,806

1970 32,137 1983 41,321 1996 46,684 2009 49,915

1971 33,400 1984 41,740 1997 47,335 2010 50,384

1972 34,100 1985 41,819 1998 47,674 2011 50,628


Population projections Le Flore

2012 50,977 2028 58,218 2044 65,459 2060 72,700

2013 51,429 2029 58,670 2045 65,912 2061 73,153

2014 51,882 2030 59,123 2046 66,364 2062 73,605

2015 52,335 2031 59,576 2047 66,817 2063 74,058

2016 52,787 2032 60,028 2048 67,269 2064 74,510

2017 53,240 2033 60,481 2049 67,722 2065 74,963

2018 53,692 2034 60,933 2050 68,174 2066 75,415

2019 54,145 2035 61,386 2051 68,627 2067 75,868

2020 54,597 2036 61,838 2052 69,079 2068 76,321

2021 55,050 2037 62,291 2053 69,532 2069 76,773

2022 55,503 2038 62,744 2054 69,985 2070 77,226

2023 55,955 2039 63,196 2055 70,437 2071 77,678

2024 56,408 2040 63,649 2056 70,890 2072 78,131

2025 56,860 2041 64,101 2057 71,342 2073 78,583

2026 57,313 2042 64,554 2058 71,795 2074 79,036

2027 57,765 2043 65,006 2059 72,247 2075 79,488


94 | P a g e

Lincoln County

Lincoln County is forecast to have an average annual population growth rate of 0.95% over the next 65

years, following the growth pattern indicated by a linear regression trendline of population patterns

going back to 1960. This is slightly higher than the expected statewide average annual growth rate of

0.73%. The level of historical fit for the trendline is strong, indicating likelihood that year over year

variation from forecast population levels will be relatively small.

Decennial Census population counts Lincoln

1910 34,779 1960 18,783 2010 34,273

1920 33,406 1970 19,482

1930 33,738 1980 26,601

1940 29,529 1990 29,216

1950 22,102 2000 32,080


34,779 33,406 33,738

29,529

22,102 18,783

19,482

26,601

29,216 32,080

34,273

0

15,000

30,000

45,000

60,000

1910

1915

1920

1925

1930

1935

1940

1945

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

2055

2060

2065

2070

2075

Lincoln County2012 to 2075 Forecast


Lincoln County Annual Estimates 1960‐2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)

Lincoln Forecast 2012‐2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)

Lincoln Decennial Census 1910‐2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)

Linear Trendline

95 | P a g e

Annual population estimates Lincoln

1960 18,783 1973 21,700 1986 30,161 1999 31,796

1961 19,100 1974 22,200 1987 29,687 2000 32,080

1962 19,300 1975 22,400 1988 29,203 2001 32,084

1963 19,300 1976 22,900 1989 29,483 2002 32,090

1964 19,200 1977 23,400 1990 29,216 2003 32,064

1965 19,100 1978 24,100 1991 29,358 2004 32,062

1966 19,100 1979 25,600 1992 29,298 2005 31,987

1967 19,300 1980 26,601 1993 29,717 2006 32,203

1968 19,300 1981 27,382 1994 29,958 2007 32,217

1969 19,400 1982 28,262 1995 30,431 2008 32,070

1970 19,482 1983 29,311 1996 30,803 2009 32,199

1971 20,300 1984 30,066 1997 30,967 2010 34,273

1972 21,000 1985 30,411 1998 31,248 2011 34,155


Population projections Lincoln

2012 34,621 2028 39,899 2044 45,176 2060 50,453

2013 34,951 2029 40,228 2045 45,506 2061 50,783

2014 35,281 2030 40,558 2046 45,835 2062 51,113

2015 35,611 2031 40,888 2047 46,165 2063 51,443

2016 35,941 2032 41,218 2048 46,495 2064 51,772

2017 36,270 2033 41,548 2049 46,825 2065 52,102

2018 36,600 2034 41,878 2050 47,155 2066 52,432

2019 36,930 2035 42,207 2051 47,485 2067 52,762

2020 37,260 2036 42,537 2052 47,814 2068 53,092

2021 37,590 2037 42,867 2053 48,144 2069 53,422

2022 37,920 2038 43,197 2054 48,474 2070 53,751

2023 38,249 2039 43,527 2055 48,804 2071 54,081

2024 38,579 2040 43,857 2056 49,134 2072 54,411

2025 38,909 2041 44,186 2057 49,464 2073 54,741

2026 39,239 2042 44,516 2058 49,793 2074 55,071

2027 39,569 2043 44,846 2059 50,123 2075 55,400


96 | P a g e

Logan County

Logan County’s population is forecast to achieve an average annual population growth rate of 1.02%

over the coming 65 years. It should be noted that since 2005 the county has averaged an annual growth

rate of 3.64% and that the county may be entering a growth spurt similar to the early 1980s. However,

that spurt ultimately returned to the long term growth rate indicated by the linear regression trendline

in the above graph. The level of fit is strong, so year to year variation overall is expected to be low.

Decennial Census population counts Logan

1910 31,740 1960 18,662 2010 41,848

1920 27,550 1970 19,645

1930 27,761 1980 26,881

1940 25,245 1990 29,011

1950 22,170 2000 33,924


31,740 27,550 27,761

25,245 22,170

18,662

19,645 26,881

29,011

33,924

41,848

0

15,000

30,000

45,000

60,000

75,000

1910

1915

1920

1925

1930

1935

1940

1945

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

2055

2060

2065

2070

2075

Logan County2012 to 2075 Forecast


Logan County Annual Estimates 1960‐2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)

Logan Forecast 2012‐2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)

Logan Decennial Census 1910‐2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)

Linear Trendline

97 | P a g e

Annual population estimates Logan

1960 18,662 1973 23,100 1986 30,556 1999 33,503

1961 19,000 1974 23,600 1987 29,951 2000 33,924

1962 19,300 1975 24,100 1988 29,505 2001 34,517

1963 19,300 1976 24,300 1989 29,091 2002 34,703

1964 19,300 1977 24,700 1990 29,011 2003 35,393

1965 19,100 1978 25,300 1991 29,549 2004 34,968

1966 19,200 1979 25,900 1992 30,131 2005 35,399

1967 19,300 1980 26,881 1993 30,998 2006 35,756

1968 19,300 1981 27,606 1994 31,202 2007 37,330

1969 19,500 1982 28,684 1995 31,618 2008 38,424

1970 19,645 1983 30,239 1996 31,679 2009 39,301

1971 21,500 1984 31,178 1997 32,328 2010 41,848

1972 22,500 1985 30,989 1998 32,876 2011 42,499


Population projections Logan

2012 42,763 2028 49,607 2044 56,451 2060 63,295

2013 43,191 2029 50,035 2045 56,878 2061 63,722

2014 43,618 2030 50,462 2046 57,306 2062 64,150

2015 44,046 2031 50,890 2047 57,734 2063 64,578

2016 44,474 2032 51,318 2048 58,162 2064 65,006

2017 44,902 2033 51,746 2049 58,589 2065 65,433

2018 45,329 2034 52,173 2050 59,017 2066 65,861

2019 45,757 2035 52,601 2051 59,445 2067 66,289

2020 46,185 2036 53,029 2052 59,873 2068 66,717

2021 46,613 2037 53,457 2053 60,300 2069 67,144

2022 47,040 2038 53,884 2054 60,728 2070 67,572

2023 47,468 2039 54,312 2055 61,156 2071 68,000

2024 47,896 2040 54,740 2056 61,584 2072 68,428

2025 48,324 2041 55,167 2057 62,011 2073 68,855

2026 48,751 2042 55,595 2058 62,439 2074 69,283

2027 49,179 2043 56,023 2059 62,867 2075 69,711


98 | P a g e

Love County

Love County is forecast to experience an average annual growth rate of 0.87% over the next 65 years.

This is slightly above the anticipated statewide growth rate of 0.73%. A linear regression trendline

based on the county’s population patterns going back to 1960 indicates a strong fit overall, with a higher

likelihood that forecast populations will be on target over the long term. Some year to year variation in

population projections are to be expected, but should be relatively small.

Decennial Census population counts Love

1910 10,236 1960 5,862 2010 9,423

1920 12,433 1970 5,637

1930 9,639 1980 7,469

1940 11,433 1990 8,157

1950 7,721 2000 8,831


10,236

12,433

9,639

11,433

7,721

5,862 5,637

7,469 8,157

8,831 9,423

0

4,000

8,000

12,000

16,000

1910

1915

1920

1925

1930

1935

1940

1945

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

2055

2060

2065

2070

2075

Love County2012 to 2075 Forecast


Love County Annual Estimates 1960‐2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)

Love Forecast 2012‐2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)

Love Decennial Census 1910‐2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)

Linear Trendline

99 | P a g e

Annual population estimates Love

1960 5,862 1973 6,400 1986 8,129 1999 8,806

1961 5,900 1974 6,600 1987 8,222 2000 8,831

1962 5,900 1975 6,900 1988 8,077 2001 8,729

1963 5,900 1976 7,200 1989 8,250 2002 8,793

1964 5,800 1977 7,200 1990 8,157 2003 8,843

1965 5,700 1978 7,300 1991 7,921 2004 8,943

1966 5,700 1979 7,500 1992 8,066 2005 9,028

1967 5,700 1980 7,469 1993 8,095 2006 9,048

1968 5,700 1981 7,447 1994 8,329 2007 9,062

1969 5,600 1982 7,862 1995 8,462 2008 9,097

1970 5,637 1983 8,113 1996 8,706 2009 9,124

1971 5,900 1984 8,107 1997 8,716 2010 9,423

1972 6,200 1985 8,088 1998 8,724 2011 9,386


Population projections Love

2012 9,735 2028 11,008 2044 12,280 2060 13,553

2013 9,815 2029 11,087 2045 12,360 2061 13,632

2014 9,895 2030 11,167 2046 12,440 2062 13,712

2015 9,974 2031 11,247 2047 12,519 2063 13,792

2016 10,054 2032 11,326 2048 12,599 2064 13,871

2017 10,133 2033 11,406 2049 12,678 2065 13,951

2018 10,213 2034 11,485 2050 12,758 2066 14,030

2019 10,292 2035 11,565 2051 12,837 2067 14,110

2020 10,372 2036 11,644 2052 12,917 2068 14,189

2021 10,451 2037 11,724 2053 12,996 2069 14,269

2022 10,531 2038 11,803 2054 13,076 2070 14,348

2023 10,610 2039 11,883 2055 13,155 2071 14,428

2024 10,690 2040 11,962 2056 13,235 2072 14,507

2025 10,769 2041 12,042 2057 13,314 2073 14,587

2026 10,849 2042 12,121 2058 13,394 2074 14,666

2027 10,928 2043 12,201 2059 13,473 2075 14,746


100 | P a g e

McClain County

McClain County is forecast to grow at a 1.21% average annual growth rate over the next 65 years, nearly

double the growth rate expected for the state as a whole during that time. A linear regression trendline

drawn over the growth between 1960 and 2010 indicates a strong level of fit, with little year over year

variation from forecasts expected.

Decennial Census population counts McClain

1910 15,659 1960 12,740 2010 34,506

1920 19,326 1970 14,157

1930 21,575 1980 20,291

1940 19,205 1990 22,795

1950 14,681 2000 27,740


15,659

19,326 21,575

19,205

14,681 12,740

14,157 20,291

22,795

27,740

34,506

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

70,000

1910

1915

1920

1925

1930

1935

1940

1945

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

2055

2060

2065

2070

2075

McClain County2012 to 2075 Forecast


McClain County Annual Estimates 1960‐2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)

McClain Forecast 2012‐2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)

McClain Decennial Census 1910‐2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)

Linear Trendline

101 | P a g e

Annual population estimates McClain

1960 12,740 1973 16,800 1986 23,896 1999 27,436

1961 13,000 1974 17,600 1987 23,331 2000 27,740

1962 13,300 1975 18,200 1988 22,886 2001 27,787

1963 13,400 1976 18,400 1989 22,699 2002 28,018

1964 13,400 1977 19,100 1990 22,795 2003 28,575

1965 13,400 1978 19,800 1991 23,152 2004 29,033

1966 13,500 1979 19,900 1992 23,566 2005 29,912

1967 13,700 1980 20,291 1993 24,222 2006 30,920

1968 13,800 1981 20,862 1994 24,878 2007 31,892

1969 14,200 1982 21,855 1995 25,535 2008 32,487

1970 14,157 1983 23,276 1996 25,856 2009 33,168

1971 14,900 1984 23,772 1997 26,300 2010 34,506

1972 15,800 1985 24,045 1998 26,825 2011 35,235


Population projections McClain

2012 35,322 2028 42,021 2044 48,719 2060 55,418

2013 35,741 2029 42,439 2045 49,138 2061 55,836

2014 36,160 2030 42,858 2046 49,557 2062 56,255

2015 36,578 2031 43,277 2047 49,975 2063 56,674

2016 36,997 2032 43,695 2048 50,394 2064 57,092

2017 37,416 2033 44,114 2049 50,812 2065 57,511

2018 37,834 2034 44,533 2050 51,231 2066 57,930

2019 38,253 2035 44,951 2051 51,650 2067 58,348

2020 38,671 2036 45,370 2052 52,068 2068 58,767

2021 39,090 2037 45,789 2053 52,487 2069 59,186

2022 39,509 2038 46,207 2054 52,906 2070 59,604

2023 39,927 2039 46,626 2055 53,324 2071 60,023

2024 40,346 2040 47,045 2056 53,743 2072 60,442

2025 40,765 2041 47,463 2057 54,162 2073 60,860

2026 41,183 2042 47,882 2058 54,580 2074 61,279

2027 41,602 2043 48,301 2059 54,999 2075 61,698


102 | P a g e

McCurtain County

McCurtain County is forecast to have an average annual growth rate of 0.36% between now and 2075.

However, the level of fit indicated by the county’s linear regression trendline is weak, heavily influenced

by high growth in the early 1970s and not reflecting a gradual rate of decline in effect since the late

1970s. Year over year variation is expected.

Decennial Census population counts McCurtain

1910 20,681 1960 25,851 2010 33,151

1920 37,905 1970 28,642

1930 34,759 1980 36,151

1940 41,318 1990 33,433

1950 31,588 2000 34,402


20,681

37,905

34,759

41,318

31,588

25,851

28,642

36,151

33,433 34,402 33,151

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

1910

1915

1920

1925

1930

1935

1940

1945

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

2055

2060

2065

2070

2075

McCurtain County2012 to 2075 Forecast


McCurtain County Annual Estimates 1960‐2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)

McCurtain Forecast 2012‐2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)

McCurtain Decennial Census 1910‐2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)

Linear (McCurtain County Annual Estimates 1960‐2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division))

103 | P a g e

Annual population estimates McCurtain

1960 25,851 1973 35,000 1986 34,358 1999 34,348

1961 26,400 1974 36,200 1987 34,337 2000 34,402

1962 26,800 1975 37,000 1988 34,108 2001 34,030

1963 27,000 1976 34,200 1989 33,855 2002 33,915

1964 27,100 1977 34,900 1990 33,433 2003 33,773

1965 27,000 1978 37,000 1991 33,217 2004 33,475

1966 27,200 1979 36,600 1992 33,503 2005 33,458

1967 27,700 1980 36,151 1993 33,573 2006 33,467

1968 27,900 1981 35,788 1994 33,634 2007 33,472

1969 28,300 1982 35,179 1995 34,147 2008 33,489

1970 28,642 1983 35,601 1996 34,362 2009 33,370

1971 31,500 1984 34,696 1997 34,283 2010 33,151

1972 33,800 1985 34,697 1998 34,420 2011 33,195


Population projections McCurtain

2012 33,836 2028 35,652 2044 37,469 2060 39,286

2013 33,949 2029 35,766 2045 37,583 2061 39,400

2014 34,063 2030 35,880 2046 37,696 2062 39,513

2015 34,176 2031 35,993 2047 37,810 2063 39,627

2016 34,290 2032 36,107 2048 37,923 2064 39,740

2017 34,403 2033 36,220 2049 38,037 2065 39,854

2018 34,517 2034 36,334 2050 38,151 2066 39,967

2019 34,631 2035 36,447 2051 38,264 2067 40,081

2020 34,744 2036 36,561 2052 38,378 2068 40,195

2021 34,858 2037 36,674 2053 38,491 2069 40,308

2022 34,971 2038 36,788 2054 38,605 2070 40,422

2023 35,085 2039 36,902 2055 38,718 2071 40,535

2024 35,198 2040 37,015 2056 38,832 2072 40,649

2025 35,312 2041 37,129 2057 38,945 2073 40,762

2026 35,425 2042 37,242 2058 39,059 2074 40,876

2027 35,539 2043 37,356 2059 39,173 2075 40,989


104 | P a g e

McIntosh County

McIntosh County is forecast to experience a 0.88% average annual population growth rate through

2075. A linear regression trendline based on population patterns over the last half century indicates a

strong level of fit, with year to year variation from the long term trend expected to be relatively small.

Decennial Census population counts McIntosh

1910 20,961 1960 12,371 2010 20,252

1920 26,404 1970 12,472

1930 24,924 1980 15,562

1940 24,097 1990 16,779

1950 17,829 2000 19,456


20,961

26,404 24,924

24,097

17,829

12,371 12,472

15,562 16,779

19,456 20,252

0

7,500

15,000

22,500

30,000

37,500

1910

1915

1920

1925

1930

1935

1940

1945

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

2055

2060

2065

2070

2075

McIntosh County2012 to 2075 Forecast


McIntosh County Annual Estimates 1960‐2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)

McIntosh Forecast 2012‐2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)

McIntosh Decennial Census 1910‐2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)

Linear Trendline

105 | P a g e

Annual population estimates McIntosh

1960 12,371 1973 13,000 1986 17,124 1999 19,320

1961 12,500 1974 13,100 1987 17,117 2000 19,456

1962 12,700 1975 13,600 1988 17,004 2001 19,450

1963 12,600 1976 14,000 1989 16,681 2002 19,501

1964 12,500 1977 14,100 1990 16,779 2003 19,472

1965 12,400 1978 14,500 1991 16,904 2004 19,440

1966 12,400 1979 15,200 1992 17,128 2005 19,388

1967 12,400 1980 15,562 1993 17,557 2006 19,476

1968 12,400 1981 15,770 1994 18,042 2007 19,659

1969 12,400 1982 16,312 1995 18,456 2008 19,629

1970 12,472 1983 16,874 1996 18,495 2009 19,801

1971 12,600 1984 16,922 1997 18,775 2010 20,252

1972 12,700 1985 17,128 1998 19,017 2011 20,360


Population projections McIntosh

2012 20,347 2028 23,269 2044 26,191 2060 29,113

2013 20,530 2029 23,452 2045 26,373 2061 29,295

2014 20,712 2030 23,634 2046 26,556 2062 29,478

2015 20,895 2031 23,817 2047 26,739 2063 29,661

2016 21,077 2032 23,999 2048 26,921 2064 29,843

2017 21,260 2033 24,182 2049 27,104 2065 30,026

2018 21,443 2034 24,365 2050 27,287 2066 30,208

2019 21,625 2035 24,547 2051 27,469 2067 30,391

2020 21,808 2036 24,730 2052 27,652 2068 30,574

2021 21,991 2037 24,912 2053 27,834 2069 30,756

2022 22,173 2038 25,095 2054 28,017 2070 30,939

2023 22,356 2039 25,278 2055 28,200 2071 31,122

2024 22,538 2040 25,460 2056 28,382 2072 31,304

2025 22,721 2041 25,643 2057 28,565 2073 31,487

2026 22,904 2042 25,826 2058 28,747 2074 31,669

2027 23,086 2043 26,008 2059 28,930 2075 31,852


106 | P a g e

Major County

Major County is forecast to experience a slow level of population decline over the coming 65 years,

averaging an annual growth rate of ‐0.14%. High volatility in the county’s population, particularly during

the 1970s and 1980s, hold strong influence on the linear regression trendline’s overall measure of fit. As

a result, it is likely that the long term forecasts will experience a high level of year to year differences

when measured against final population counts. Over the long term, however, the downward trend is

expected to continue.

Decennial Census population counts Major

1910 15,248 1960 7,808 2010 7,527

1920 12,426 1970 7,529

1930 12,206 1980 8,772

1940 11,946 1990 8,055

1950 10,279 2000 7,545


15,248

12,426 12,206 11,946

10,279

7,808 7,529

8,772 8,055

7,545 7,527

0

4,000

8,000

12,000

16,000

1910

1915

1920

1925

1930

1935

1940

1945

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

2055

2060

2065

2070

2075

Major County2012 to 2075 Forecast


Major County Annual Estimates 1960‐2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)

Major Forecast 2012‐2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)

Major Decennial Census 1910‐2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)

Linear Trendline

107 | P a g e

Annual population estimates Major

1960 7,808 1973 7,900 1986 8,879 1999 7,550

1961 7,900 1974 8,100 1987 8,658 2000 7,545

1962 7,900 1975 8,300 1988 8,558 2001 7,529

1963 7,800 1976 8,400 1989 8,295 2002 7,474

1964 7,700 1977 8,300 1990 8,055 2003 7,301

1965 7,600 1978 8,600 1991 7,864 2004 7,256

1966 7,500 1979 8,900 1992 7,763 2005 7,171

1967 7,600 1980 8,772 1993 7,605 2006 7,200

1968 7,500 1981 9,234 1994 7,672 2007 7,184

1969 7,500 1982 9,724 1995 7,646 2008 7,132

1970 7,529 1983 9,685 1996 7,599 2009 7,189

1971 7,500 1984 9,439 1997 7,662 2010 7,527

1972 7,600 1985 9,174 1998 7,662 2011 7,657


Population projections Major

2012 7,631 2028 7,435 2044 7,240 2060 7,045

2013 7,618 2029 7,423 2045 7,228 2061 7,033

2014 7,606 2030 7,411 2046 7,216 2062 7,021

2015 7,594 2031 7,399 2047 7,204 2063 7,008

2016 7,582 2032 7,387 2048 7,191 2064 6,996

2017 7,570 2033 7,374 2049 7,179 2065 6,984

2018 7,557 2034 7,362 2050 7,167 2066 6,972

2019 7,545 2035 7,350 2051 7,155 2067 6,960

2020 7,533 2036 7,338 2052 7,143 2068 6,947

2021 7,521 2037 7,326 2053 7,130 2069 6,935

2022 7,509 2038 7,313 2054 7,118 2070 6,923

2023 7,496 2039 7,301 2055 7,106 2071 6,911

2024 7,484 2040 7,289 2056 7,094 2072 6,899

2025 7,472 2041 7,277 2057 7,082 2073 6,886

2026 7,460 2042 7,265 2058 7,069 2074 6,874

2027 7,448 2043 7,252 2059 7,057 2075 6,862


108 | P a g e

Marshall County

Marshall County’s average annual growth rate is forecast to be 1.04% over the next 65 years. A linear

regression trendline based on the county’s growth patterns between 1960 and 2010 indicates a strong

level of fit, with little year over year variation expected.

Decennial Census population counts Marshall

1910 11,619 1960 7,263 2010 15,840

1920 14,674 1970 7,682

1930 11,026 1980 10,550

1940 12,384 1990 10,829

1950 8,177 2000 13,184


11,619

14,674

11,026 12,384

8,177

7,263 7,682

10,550 10,829

13,184

15,840

0

7,500

15,000

22,500

30,000

1910

1915

1920

1925

1930

1935

1940

1945

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

2055

2060

2065

2070

2075

Marshall County2012 to 2075 Forecast


Marshall County Annual Estimates 1960‐2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)

Marshall Forecast 2012‐2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)

Marshall Decennial Census 1910‐2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)

Linear Trendline

109 | P a g e

Annual population estimates Marshall

1960 7,263 1973 8,500 1986 11,482 1999 13,097

1961 7,400 1974 8,700 1987 11,180 2000 13,184

1962 7,500 1975 8,900 1988 11,026 2001 13,312

1963 7,500 1976 9,300 1989 10,870 2002 13,533

1964 7,500 1977 9,500 1990 10,829 2003 13,629

1965 7,500 1978 9,800 1991 11,059 2004 13,901

1966 7,500 1979 10,500 1992 11,363 2005 14,365

1967 7,600 1980 10,550 1993 11,670 2006 14,594

1968 7,600 1981 10,811 1994 11,793 2007 14,871

1969 7,600 1982 10,970 1995 12,155 2008 14,958

1970 7,682 1983 11,260 1996 12,327 2009 15,014

1971 8,300 1984 11,331 1997 12,586 2010 15,840

1972 8,500 1985 11,274 1998 12,870 2011 16,049


Population projections Marshall

2012 15,357 2028 18,030 2044 20,702 2060 23,375

2013 15,524 2029 18,197 2045 20,869 2061 23,542

2014 15,691 2030 18,364 2046 21,036 2062 23,709

2015 15,858 2031 18,531 2047 21,203 2063 23,876

2016 16,025 2032 18,698 2048 21,370 2064 24,043

2017 16,192 2033 18,865 2049 21,537 2065 24,210

2018 16,359 2034 19,032 2050 21,704 2066 24,377

2019 16,526 2035 19,199 2051 21,871 2067 24,544

2020 16,693 2036 19,366 2052 22,038 2068 24,711

2021 16,860 2037 19,533 2053 22,205 2069 24,878

2022 17,027 2038 19,700 2054 22,372 2070 25,045

2023 17,194 2039 19,867 2055 22,540 2071 25,212

2024 17,362 2040 20,034 2056 22,707 2072 25,379

2025 17,529 2041 20,201 2057 22,874 2073 25,546

2026 17,696 2042 20,368 2058 23,041 2074 25,713

2027 17,863 2043 20,535 2059 23,208 2075 25,880


110 | P a g e

Mayes County

Mayes County is forecast to experience a long term average annual population growth rate of 1.02%.

This is based on a linear regression model drawn using the previous 50 years of population data. The

overall trendline fit is strong, with relatively small degree of year to year variation expected from the

long term population forecasts.

Decennial Census population counts Mayes

1910 13,596 1960 20,073 2010 41,259

1920 16,829 1970 23,302

1930 17,883 1980 32,261

1940 21,668 1990 33,366

1950 19,743 2000 38,369


13,596

16,829 17,883

21,668

19,743 20,073

23,302

32,261 33,366

38,369

41,259

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

1910

1915

1920

1925

1930

1935

1940

1945

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

2055

2060

2065

2070

2075

Mayes County2012 to 2075 Forecast


Mayes County Annual Estimates 1960‐2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)

Mayes Forecast 2012‐2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)

Mayes Decennial Census 1910‐2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)

Linear Trendline

111 | P a g e

Annual population estimates Mayes

1960 20,073 1973 25,700 1986 33,864 1999 38,217

1961 20,700 1974 26,300 1987 33,488 2000 38,369

1962 21,200 1975 28,100 1988 33,159 2001 38,449

1963 21,400 1976 29,100 1989 33,132 2002 38,476

1964 21,600 1977 29,800 1990 33,366 2003 38,660

1965 21,600 1978 30,500 1991 33,869 2004 38,843

1966 21,900 1979 31,600 1992 34,287 2005 39,049

1967 22,300 1980 32,261 1993 34,796 2006 39,361

1968 22,500 1981 32,617 1994 35,237 2007 39,769

1969 23,000 1982 33,314 1995 35,872 2008 40,084

1970 23,302 1983 34,162 1996 36,419 2009 40,065

1971 23,900 1984 34,862 1997 36,999 2010 41,259

1972 24,700 1985 34,133 1998 37,560 2011 41,389


Population projections Mayes

2012 41,626 2028 48,452 2044 55,278 2060 62,104

2013 42,053 2029 48,879 2045 55,705 2061 62,531

2014 42,479 2030 49,305 2046 56,132 2062 62,958

2015 42,906 2031 49,732 2047 56,558 2063 63,384

2016 43,333 2032 50,159 2048 56,985 2064 63,811

2017 43,759 2033 50,585 2049 57,411 2065 64,237

2018 44,186 2034 51,012 2050 57,838 2066 64,664

2019 44,613 2035 51,439 2051 58,265 2067 65,091

2020 45,039 2036 51,865 2052 58,691 2068 65,517

2021 45,466 2037 52,292 2053 59,118 2069 65,944

2022 45,892 2038 52,718 2054 59,545 2070 66,371

2023 46,319 2039 53,145 2055 59,971 2071 66,797

2024 46,746 2040 53,572 2056 60,398 2072 67,224

2025 47,172 2041 53,998 2057 60,824 2073 67,651

2026 47,599 2042 54,425 2058 61,251 2074 68,077

2027 48,026 2043 54,852 2059 61,678 2075 68,504


112 | P a g e

Murray County

Murray County is forecast to have a 0.38% average annual population growth through 2075, down

slightly from the 0.54% population growth rate over the previous 50 years. Very high population growth

rates experienced during the late 1970s and early 1980s help to bring down the overall fit of the linear

regression trendline and the county may expect to see year to year up and down swings away from

forecast population levels.

Decennial Census population counts Murray

1910 12,744 1960 10,622 2010 13,488

1920 13,115 1970 10,669

1930 12,410 1980 12,147

1940 13,841 1990 12,042

1950 10,775 2000 12,623


12,744 13,115 12,410

13,841

10,775 10,622 10,669

12,147 12,042 12,623

13,488

0

4,000

8,000

12,000

16,000

20,000

1910

1915

1920

1925

1930

1935

1940

1945

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

2055

2060

2065

2070

2075

Murray County2012 to 2075 Forecast


Murray County Annual Estimates 1960‐2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)

Murray Forecast 2012‐2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)

Murray Decennial Census 1910‐2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)

Linear Trendline

113 | P a g e

Annual population estimates Murray

1960 10,622 1973 10,800 1986 12,989 1999 12,635

1961 10,700 1974 10,800 1987 12,680 2000 12,623

1962 10,800 1975 10,800 1988 12,502 2001 12,655

1963 10,900 1976 10,800 1989 12,308 2002 12,581

1964 10,700 1977 10,800 1990 12,042 2003 12,565

1965 10,600 1978 10,900 1991 12,050 2004 12,500

1966 10,500 1979 12,000 1992 12,163 2005 12,566

1967 10,600 1980 12,147 1993 12,052 2006 12,685

1968 10,600 1981 12,500 1994 12,063 2007 12,646

1969 10,600 1982 13,031 1995 12,299 2008 12,787

1970 10,669 1983 13,431 1996 12,586 2009 12,960

1971 10,500 1984 13,360 1997 12,551 2010 13,488

1972 10,900 1985 12,997 1998 12,497 2011 13,571


Population projections Murray

2012 13,362 2028 14,229 2044 15,097 2060 15,965

2013 13,416 2029 14,284 2045 15,151 2061 16,019

2014 13,470 2030 14,338 2046 15,205 2062 16,073

2015 13,525 2031 14,392 2047 15,260 2063 16,127

2016 13,579 2032 14,446 2048 15,314 2064 16,182

2017 13,633 2033 14,501 2049 15,368 2065 16,236

2018 13,687 2034 14,555 2050 15,422 2066 16,290

2019 13,741 2035 14,609 2051 15,477 2067 16,344

2020 13,796 2036 14,663 2052 15,531 2068 16,398

2021 13,850 2037 14,717 2053 15,585 2069 16,453

2022 13,904 2038 14,772 2054 15,639 2070 16,507

2023 13,958 2039 14,826 2055 15,693 2071 16,561

2024 14,013 2040 14,880 2056 15,748 2072 16,615

2025 14,067 2041 14,934 2057 15,802 2073 16,670

2026 14,121 2042 14,989 2058 15,856 2074 16,724

2027 14,175 2043 15,043 2059 15,910 2075 16,778


114 | P a g e

Muskogee County

Muskogee County’s population is expected to average a 0.37% annual growth rate over the next 65

years. This is below the expected statewide level of growth, but is a slight increase over the county’s

0.29% annual average growth rate experienced between 1960 and 2010. The overall fit indicated by

Muskogee County’s linear regression trendline is relatively strong, with only a small amount of year to

year variation from forecast population levels expected.

Decennial Census population counts Muskogee

1910 52,743 1960 61,866 2010 70,990

1920 61,710 1970 59,542

1930 66,424 1980 66,939

1940 65,914 1990 68,078

1950 65,573 2000 69,451


52,743

61,710

66,424 65,914 65,573

61,866 59,542

66,939 68,078 69,451 70,990

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

1910

1915

1920

1925

1930

1935

1940

1945

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

2055

2060

2065

2070

2075

Muskogee County2012 to 2075 Forecast


Muskogee County Annual Estimates 1960‐2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)

Muskogee Forecast 2012‐2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)

Muskogee Decennial Census 1910‐2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)

Linear Trendline

115 | P a g e

Annual population estimates Muskogee

1960 61,866 1973 60,900 1986 69,760 1999 69,413

1961 62,200 1974 61,200 1987 69,527 2000 69,451

1962 62,600 1975 62,200 1988 68,346 2001 69,506

1963 62,100 1976 64,100 1989 67,840 2002 69,508

1964 61,500 1977 65,400 1990 68,078 2003 69,950

1965 60,500 1978 65,900 1991 68,424 2004 69,903

1966 60,000 1979 65,800 1992 68,758 2005 70,210

1967 60,100 1980 66,939 1993 68,889 2006 70,431

1968 59,700 1981 67,684 1994 69,241 2007 70,686

1969 59,600 1982 68,169 1995 69,217 2008 70,750

1970 59,542 1983 70,265 1996 69,271 2009 71,412

1971 60,000 1984 70,692 1997 69,231 2010 70,990

1972 60,000 1985 70,264 1998 69,470 2011 71,003


Population projections Muskogee

2012 72,825 2028 76,639 2044 80,452 2060 84,265

2013 73,064 2029 76,877 2045 80,690 2061 84,504

2014 73,302 2030 77,115 2046 80,929 2062 84,742

2015 73,540 2031 77,354 2047 81,167 2063 84,980

2016 73,779 2032 77,592 2048 81,405 2064 85,219

2017 74,017 2033 77,830 2049 81,644 2065 85,457

2018 74,255 2034 78,069 2050 81,882 2066 85,695

2019 74,494 2035 78,307 2051 82,120 2067 85,934

2020 74,732 2036 78,545 2052 82,359 2068 86,172

2021 74,970 2037 78,784 2053 82,597 2069 86,410

2022 75,209 2038 79,022 2054 82,835 2070 86,649

2023 75,447 2039 79,260 2055 83,074 2071 86,887

2024 75,685 2040 79,499 2056 83,312 2072 87,125

2025 75,924 2041 79,737 2057 83,550 2073 87,364

2026 76,162 2042 79,975 2058 83,789 2074 87,602

2027 76,400 2043 80,214 2059 84,027 2075 87,840


116 | P a g e

Noble County

Noble County’s population is forecast to experience a 0.22% average annual growth rate over the

coming 65 years, virtually equal to the 0.23% growth rate experienced over the previous 50 years. The

county has shown relatively high up and down population swing between 1960 an 2010 when placed in

the context of the county’s total population. As a result, the linear regression formula drawn on that

history shows a somewhat weak fit. It is likely that volatility in the county’s population will continue.

Decennial Census population counts Noble

1910 14,945 1960 10,376 2010 11,561

1920 13,560 1970 10,043

1930 15,139 1980 11,573

1940 14,826 1990 11,045

1950 12,156 2000 11,411


14,945

13,560

15,139 14,826

12,156

10,376 10,043

11,573 11,045 11,411 11,561

0

4,000

8,000

12,000

16,000

1910

1915

1920

1925

1930

1935

1940

1945

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

2055

2060

2065

2070

2075

Noble County2012 to 2075 Forecast


Noble County Annual Estimates 1960‐2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)

Noble Forecast 2012‐2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)

Noble Decennial Census 1910‐2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)

Linear Trendline

117 | P a g e

Annual population estimates Noble

1960 10,376 1973 10,000 1986 11,845 1999 11,492

1961 10,500 1974 10,400 1987 11,620 2000 11,411

1962 10,600 1975 10,500 1988 11,417 2001 11,413

1963 10,500 1976 10,600 1989 11,160 2002 11,266

1964 10,400 1977 10,800 1990 11,045 2003 11,237

1965 10,200 1978 10,900 1991 11,109 2004 11,179

1966 10,100 1979 11,500 1992 11,135 2005 11,112

1967 10,100 1980 11,573 1993 11,269 2006 11,030

1968 10,000 1981 11,559 1994 11,271 2007 10,964

1969 10,000 1982 11,820 1995 11,352 2008 11,000

1970 10,043 1983 12,228 1996 11,304 2009 10,950

1971 10,100 1984 11,995 1997 11,413 2010 11,561

1972 10,000 1985 11,921 1998 11,488 2011 11,578


Population projections Noble

2012 11,659 2028 12,053 2044 12,446 2060 12,840

2013 11,683 2029 12,077 2045 12,471 2061 12,865

2014 11,708 2030 12,102 2046 12,496 2062 12,889

2015 11,733 2031 12,126 2047 12,520 2063 12,914

2016 11,757 2032 12,151 2048 12,545 2064 12,939

2017 11,782 2033 12,176 2049 12,569 2065 12,963

2018 11,806 2034 12,200 2050 12,594 2066 12,988

2019 11,831 2035 12,225 2051 12,619 2067 13,013

2020 11,856 2036 12,249 2052 12,643 2068 13,037

2021 11,880 2037 12,274 2053 12,668 2069 13,062

2022 11,905 2038 12,299 2054 12,693 2070 13,086

2023 11,930 2039 12,323 2055 12,717 2071 13,111

2024 11,954 2040 12,348 2056 12,742 2072 13,136

2025 11,979 2041 12,373 2057 12,766 2073 13,160

2026 12,003 2042 12,397 2058 12,791 2074 13,185

2027 12,028 2043 12,422 2059 12,816 2075 13,209


118 | P a g e

Nowata County

Nowata County is forecast to experience virtually flat population growth over the next 65 years with an

average annual growth rate of 0.00%. Some swing up and down is likely during that span. Over the last

50 years, the county has experienced a very slight average annual rate of decline equaling ‐0.06%. The

level of fit indicated by the linear regression model is very poor when it comes to predicting year to year

population values, though the long term trend is expected to be fairly accurate.

Decennial Census population counts Nowata

1910 14,223 1960 10,848 2010 10,536

1920 15,899 1970 9,773

1930 13,611 1980 11,486

1940 15,774 1990 9,992

1950 12,734 2000 10,569


14,223

15,899

13,611

15,774

12,734

10,848

9,773

11,486

9,992 10,569 10,536

0

4,000

8,000

12,000

16,000

20,000

1910

1915

1920

1925

1930

1935

1940

1945

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

2055

2060

2065

2070

2075

Nowata County2012 to 2075 Forecast


Nowata County Annual Estimates 1960‐2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)

Nowata Forecast 2012‐2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)

Nowata Decennial Census 1910‐2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)

Linear Trendline

119 | P a g e

Annual population estimates Nowata

1960 10,848 1973 10,300 1986 10,876 1999 10,489

1961 10,800 1974 10,400 1987 10,538 2000 10,569

1962 10,900 1975 10,600 1988 10,389 2001 10,594

1963 10,700 1976 10,600 1989 10,166 2002 10,552

1964 10,500 1977 10,700 1990 9,992 2003 10,776

1965 10,300 1978 10,800 1991 9,935 2004 10,595

1966 10,200 1979 11,100 1992 9,944 2005 10,621

1967 10,100 1980 11,486 1993 9,984 2006 10,650

1968 9,900 1981 11,883 1994 9,945 2007 10,708

1969 9,800 1982 11,970 1995 10,107 2008 10,725

1970 9,773 1983 11,877 1996 10,124 2009 10,528

1971 10,000 1984 11,517 1997 10,221 2010 10,536

1972 10,200 1985 11,138 1998 10,350 2011 10,629


Population projections Nowata

2012 10,560 2028 10,562 2044 10,564 2060 10,566

2013 10,560 2029 10,562 2045 10,564 2061 10,566

2014 10,560 2030 10,562 2046 10,564 2062 10,567

2015 10,560 2031 10,562 2047 10,565 2063 10,567

2016 10,560 2032 10,563 2048 10,565 2064 10,567

2017 10,561 2033 10,563 2049 10,565 2065 10,567

2018 10,561 2034 10,563 2050 10,565 2066 10,567

2019 10,561 2035 10,563 2051 10,565 2067 10,567

2020 10,561 2036 10,563 2052 10,565 2068 10,567

2021 10,561 2037 10,563 2053 10,565 2069 10,568

2022 10,561 2038 10,563 2054 10,566 2070 10,568

2023 10,561 2039 10,564 2055 10,566 2071 10,568

2024 10,562 2040 10,564 2056 10,566 2072 10,568

2025 10,562 2041 10,564 2057 10,566 2073 10,568

2026 10,562 2042 10,564 2058 10,566 2074 10,568

2027 10,562 2043 10,564 2059 10,566 2075 10,568


120 | P a g e

Okfuskee County

Okfuskee County is forecast to experience a 0.06% average annual population growth rate between now

and 2075. Since 1960, the county has experienced a very slight average annual growth rate of 0.08%,

but the level of fit indicated by the linear regression model is very poor. Year to year population values

are likely to move up and down in relation to the trendline and forecasts included in this report.

Decennial Census population counts Okfuskee

1910 19,995 1960 11,706 2010 12,191

1920 25,051 1970 10,683

1930 29,016 1980 11,125

1940 26,279 1990 11,551

1950 16,948 2000 11,814


19,995

25,051

29,016

26,279

16,948

11,706 10,683 11,125 11,551 11,814 12,191

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

1910

1915

1920

1925

1930

1935

1940

1945

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

2055

2060

2065

2070

2075

Okfuskee County2012 to 2075 Forecast


Okfuskee County Annual Estimates 1960‐2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)

Okfuskee Forecast 2012‐2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)

Okfuskee Decennial Census 1910‐2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)

Linear Trendline

121 | P a g e

Annual population estimates Okfuskee

1960 11,706 1973 11,200 1986 11,974 1999 11,762

1961 11,700 1974 11,200 1987 11,901 2000 11,814

1962 11,700 1975 11,400 1988 11,790 2001 11,719

1963 11,600 1976 11,400 1989 11,500 2002 11,569

1964 11,400 1977 11,300 1990 11,551 2003 11,538

1965 11,200 1978 11,400 1991 11,374 2004 11,436

1966 11,000 1979 11,400 1992 11,379 2005 11,263

1967 11,000 1980 11,125 1993 11,402 2006 11,191

1968 10,800 1981 11,455 1994 11,389 2007 11,186

1969 10,800 1982 11,732 1995 11,537 2008 11,107

1970 10,683 1983 12,281 1996 11,632 2009 10,924

1971 10,700 1984 12,114 1997 11,753 2010 12,191

1972 10,900 1985 11,957 1998 11,833 2011 12,348


Population projections Okfuskee

2012 12,181 2028 12,310 2044 12,440 2060 12,570

2013 12,189 2029 12,319 2045 12,448 2061 12,578

2014 12,197 2030 12,327 2046 12,457 2062 12,586

2015 12,205 2031 12,335 2047 12,465 2063 12,594

2016 12,213 2032 12,343 2048 12,473 2064 12,603

2017 12,221 2033 12,351 2049 12,481 2065 12,611

2018 12,229 2034 12,359 2050 12,489 2066 12,619

2019 12,237 2035 12,367 2051 12,497 2067 12,627

2020 12,246 2036 12,375 2052 12,505 2068 12,635

2021 12,254 2037 12,384 2053 12,513 2069 12,643

2022 12,262 2038 12,392 2054 12,521 2070 12,651

2023 12,270 2039 12,400 2055 12,530 2071 12,659

2024 12,278 2040 12,408 2056 12,538 2072 12,667

2025 12,286 2041 12,416 2057 12,546 2073 12,676

2026 12,294 2042 12,424 2058 12,554 2074 12,684

2027 12,302 2043 12,432 2059 12,562 2075 12,692


122 | P a g e

Oklahoma County

Oklahoma County is forecast to experience an annual average growth rate of 0.69% over the next 65

years, slower than the growth rate expected by the state as a whole. Between 1960 and 2010,

Oklahoma County grew at an average annual rate of 1.27%. In the coming decades, growth is expected

to gradually shift to neighboring counties. A linear regression trendline indicates a strong level of fit

against historic population trends, and year to year variations against forecast are expected to be

relatively low.

Decennial Census population counts Oklahoma

1910 85,232 1960 439,506 2010 718,633

1920 116,307 1970 526,805

1930 221,738 1980 568,933

1940 244,159 1990 599,611

1950 325,352 2000 660,448


85,232 116,307

221,738 244,159

325,352

439,506 526,805

568,933 599,611

660,448 718,633

0

200,000

400,000

600,000

800,000

1,000,000

1,200,000

1910

1915

1920

1925

1930

1935

1940

1945

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

2055

2060

2065

2070

2075

Oklahoma County2012 to 2075 Forecast


Oklahoma County Annual Estimates 1960‐2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)



Linear Trendline

123 | P a g e

Annual population estimates Oklahoma

1960 439,506 1973 551,100 1986 614,469 1999 657,182

1961 454,700 1974 546,900 1987 601,241 2000 660,448

1962 468,200 1975 549,900 1988 599,675 2001 665,401

1963 474,600 1976 552,300 1989 601,066 2002 672,324

1964 481,300 1977 554,000 1990 599,611 2003 676,646

1965 484,500 1978 560,200 1991 606,535 2004 679,913

1966 491,500 1979 559,700 1992 615,216 2005 685,871

1967 502,300 1980 568,933 1993 623,640 2006 693,007

1968 508,900 1981 581,207 1994 631,136 2007 699,523

1969 519,800 1982 601,966 1995 634,374 2008 706,116

1970 526,805 1983 619,780 1996 640,451 2009 716,704

1971 542,600 1984 621,481 1997 646,277 2010 718,633

1972 549,200 1985 620,966 1998 650,289 2011 732,371


Population projections Oklahoma

2012 732,712 2028 811,395 2044 890,078 2060 968,760

2013 737,630 2029 816,312 2045 894,995 2061 973,678

2014 742,547 2030 821,230 2046 899,913 2062 978,596

2015 747,465 2031 826,148 2047 904,831 2063 983,513

2016 752,383 2032 831,065 2048 909,748 2064 988,431

2017 757,300 2033 835,983 2049 914,666 2065 993,349

2018 762,218 2034 840,901 2050 919,584 2066 998,266

2019 767,136 2035 845,818 2051 924,501 2067 1,003,184

2020 772,053 2036 850,736 2052 929,419 2068 1,008,102

2021 776,971 2037 855,654 2053 934,337 2069 1,013,019

2022 781,889 2038 860,571 2054 939,254 2070 1,017,937

2023 786,806 2039 865,489 2055 944,172 2071 1,022,855

2024 791,724 2040 870,407 2056 949,090 2072 1,027,772

2025 796,642 2041 875,324 2057 954,007 2073 1,032,690

2026 801,559 2042 880,242 2058 958,925 2074 1,037,608

2027 806,477 2043 885,160 2059 963,843 2075 1,042,525


124 | P a g e

Okmulgee County

Okmulgee County is forecast to see a low annual growth rate, averaging 0.17% between now and 2075.

This is equal to the average annual growth rate experienced between 1960 and 2010. Volatility in

population levels over the past 50 years mean that the trendline’s fit against actual results is strong but

not without up and down swings. Year to year variation from long term population forecasts are

expected.

Decennial Census population counts Okmulgee

1910 21,115 1960 36,945 2010 40,069

1920 55,072 1970 35,358

1930 56,558 1980 39,169

1940 50,101 1990 36,490

1950 44,561 2000 39,685


21,115

55,072 56,558

50,101

44,561

36,945 35,358 39,169 36,490 39,685

40,069

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

1910

1915

1920

1925

1930

1935

1940

1945

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

2055

2060

2065

2070

2075

Okmulgee County2012 to 2075 Forecast


Okmulgee County Annual Estimates 1960‐2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)

Okmulgee Forecast 2012‐2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)

Okmulgee Decennial Census 1910‐2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)

Linear Trendline

125 | P a g e

Annual population estimates Okmulgee

1960 36,945 1973 37,400 1986 39,183 1999 39,680

1961 37,100 1974 37,000 1987 38,976 2000 39,685

1962 37,200 1975 36,900 1988 37,562 2001 39,580

1963 36,900 1976 37,500 1989 36,814 2002 39,515

1964 36,400 1977 38,300 1990 36,490 2003 39,582

1965 35,900 1978 38,200 1991 36,607 2004 39,548

1966 35,700 1979 38,700 1992 37,031 2005 39,332

1967 35,700 1980 39,169 1993 37,585 2006 39,156

1968 35,400 1981 39,858 1994 37,756 2007 39,269

1969 35,400 1982 39,882 1995 38,056 2008 39,100

1970 35,358 1983 40,595 1996 38,389 2009 39,292

1971 36,100 1984 39,732 1997 39,259 2010 40,069

1972 36,100 1985 39,285 1998 39,490 2011 39,937


Population projections Okmulgee

2012 39,946 2028 41,079 2044 42,212 2060 43,344

2013 40,017 2029 41,150 2045 42,283 2061 43,415

2014 40,088 2030 41,221 2046 42,353 2062 43,486

2015 40,159 2031 41,291 2047 42,424 2063 43,557

2016 40,230 2032 41,362 2048 42,495 2064 43,628

2017 40,300 2033 41,433 2049 42,566 2065 43,698

2018 40,371 2034 41,504 2050 42,636 2066 43,769

2019 40,442 2035 41,575 2051 42,707 2067 43,840

2020 40,513 2036 41,645 2052 42,778 2068 43,911

2021 40,584 2037 41,716 2053 42,849 2069 43,981

2022 40,654 2038 41,787 2054 42,920 2070 44,052

2023 40,725 2039 41,858 2055 42,990 2071 44,123

2024 40,796 2040 41,929 2056 43,061 2072 44,194

2025 40,867 2041 41,999 2057 43,132 2073 44,265

2026 40,938 2042 42,070 2058 43,203 2074 44,335

2027 41,008 2043 42,141 2059 43,274 2075 44,406


126 | P a g e

Osage County

Osage County is forecast to have a 0.79% average annual growth rate, slightly higher than the expected

state rate between now and 2075. However, this is slightly below the county’s 0.93% average annual

growth rate experienced between 1960 and 2010. Population volatility in the 1960s and 1970s helped

to lower the linear regression trendline’s overall fit, but year to year variation against the long term

population forecast is not expected to be high.

Decennial Census population counts Osage

1910 20,101 1960 32,441 2010 47,472

1920 36,536 1970 29,750

1930 47,334 1980 39,327

1940 41,502 1990 41,645

1950 33,071 2000 44,437


20,101

36,536

47,334

41,502

33,071 32,441 29,750

39,327 41,645

44,437 47,472

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

1910

1915

1920

1925

1930

1935

1940

1945

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

2055

2060

2065

2070

2075

Osage County2012 to 2075 Forecast


Osage County Annual Estimates 1960‐2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)

Osage Forecast 2012‐2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)

Osage Decennial Census 1910‐2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)

Linear Trendline

127 | P a g e

Annual population estimates Osage

1960 32,441 1973 29,700 1986 43,450 1999 44,213

1961 32,400 1974 31,200 1987 42,174 2000 44,437

1962 32,400 1975 32,900 1988 41,552 2001 44,938

1963 32,000 1976 34,100 1989 41,793 2002 44,877

1964 31,500 1977 35,100 1990 41,645 2003 44,842

1965 30,900 1978 36,500 1991 41,861 2004 44,773

1966 30,500 1979 38,100 1992 42,417 2005 44,952

1967 30,400 1980 39,327 1993 43,065 2006 44,933

1968 30,000 1981 39,612 1994 43,010 2007 45,269

1969 29,900 1982 41,962 1995 43,071 2008 45,203

1970 29,750 1983 43,560 1996 43,178 2009 45,051

1971 30,000 1984 42,791 1997 43,429 2010 47,472

1972 29,900 1985 42,843 1998 43,985 2011 47,425


Population projections Osage

2012 48,811 2028 54,679 2044 60,547 2060 66,415

2013 49,178 2029 55,046 2045 60,914 2061 66,782

2014 49,545 2030 55,413 2046 61,280 2062 67,148

2015 49,911 2031 55,779 2047 61,647 2063 67,515

2016 50,278 2032 56,146 2048 62,014 2064 67,882

2017 50,645 2033 56,513 2049 62,381 2065 68,249

2018 51,012 2034 56,880 2050 62,747 2066 68,615

2019 51,378 2035 57,246 2051 63,114 2067 68,982

2020 51,745 2036 57,613 2052 63,481 2068 69,349

2021 52,112 2037 57,980 2053 63,848 2069 69,716

2022 52,479 2038 58,347 2054 64,214 2070 70,082

2023 52,845 2039 58,713 2055 64,581 2071 70,449

2024 53,212 2040 59,080 2056 64,948 2072 70,816

2025 53,579 2041 59,447 2057 65,315 2073 71,183

2026 53,946 2042 59,814 2058 65,681 2074 71,549

2027 54,312 2043 60,180 2059 66,048 2075 71,916


128 | P a g e

Ottawa County

Ottawa County is forecast to have a 0.20% average annual growth rate between now and 2075. This is

only slightly below the 0.25% average annual growth rate experienced since 1960. A linear regression

trendline based on the last half century of data indicates a fair level of fit, though there have been some

population swings up and down during that time. For that reason it is expected that there will be year

to year variation from specific population forecasts, but the overall trend will continue on its current

path.

Decennial Census population counts Ottawa

1910 15,713 1960 28,301 2010 31,848

1920 41,108 1970 29,800

1930 38,542 1980 32,870

1940 35,849 1990 30,561

1950 32,218 2000 33,194


15,713

41,108

38,542

35,849

32,218

28,301 29,800

32,870 30,561

33,194 31,848

0

7500

15000

22500

30000

37500

45000

1910

1915

1920

1925

1930

1935

1940

1945

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

2055

2060

2065

2070

2075

Ottawa County2012 to 2075 Forecast


Ottawa County Annual Estimates 1960‐2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)

Ottawa Forecast 2012‐2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)

Ottawa Decennial Census 1910‐2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)

Linear Trendline

129 | P a g e

Annual population estimates Ottawa

1960 28,301 1973 30,500 1986 32,604 1999 32,869

1961 28,800 1974 31,000 1987 31,694 2000 33,194

1962 29,200 1975 31,200 1988 31,133 2001 33,039

1963 29,200 1976 31,900 1989 30,656 2002 32,625

1964 29,100 1977 32,300 1990 30,561 2003 32,411

1965 28,900 1978 32,700 1991 30,702 2004 32,388

1966 29,000 1979 32,800 1992 30,776 2005 32,475

1967 29,300 1980 32,870 1993 30,977 2006 32,757

1968 29,300 1981 32,652 1994 31,439 2007 32,234

1969 29,600 1982 32,859 1995 31,830 2008 31,644

1970 29,800 1983 33,584 1996 31,856 2009 31,629

1971 30,400 1984 33,375 1997 32,251 2010 31,848

1972 30,200 1985 33,147 1998 32,710 2011 31,860


Population projections Ottawa

2012 31,850 2028 32,884 2044 33,917 2060 34,951

2013 31,914 2029 32,948 2045 33,982 2061 35,016

2014 31,979 2030 33,013 2046 34,047 2062 35,080

2015 32,044 2031 33,077 2047 34,111 2063 35,145

2016 32,108 2032 33,142 2048 34,176 2064 35,210

2017 32,173 2033 33,207 2049 34,240 2065 35,274

2018 32,237 2034 33,271 2050 34,305 2066 35,339

2019 32,302 2035 33,336 2051 34,370 2067 35,404

2020 32,367 2036 33,400 2052 34,434 2068 35,468

2021 32,431 2037 33,465 2053 34,499 2069 35,533

2022 32,496 2038 33,530 2054 34,564 2070 35,597

2023 32,561 2039 33,594 2055 34,628 2071 35,662

2024 32,625 2040 33,659 2056 34,693 2072 35,727

2025 32,690 2041 33,724 2057 34,757 2073 35,791

2026 32,754 2042 33,788 2058 34,822 2074 35,856

2027 32,819 2043 33,853 2059 34,887 2075 35,920


130 | P a g e

Pawnee County

Pawnee County is forecast to experience a 0.78% average annual rate of population growth between

now and 2075. This is virtually equal to the state’s 0.73% average annual growth forecast. A linear

regression trendline based on the county’s growth history since 1960 indicates a good fit, though year to

year variation is to be expected.

Decennial Census population counts Pawnee

1910 17,332 1960 10,884 2010 16,577

1920 19,126 1970 11,338

1930 19,882 1980 15,310

1940 17,395 1990 15,575

1950 13,616 2000 16,612


17,332

19,126 19,882

17,395

13,616

10,884 11,338

15,310 15,575

16,612 16,577

0

5000

10000

15000

20000

25000

30000

1910

1915

1920

1925

1930

1935

1940

1945

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

2055

2060

2065

2070

2075

Pawnee County2012 to 2075 Forecast


Pawnee County Annual Estimates 1960‐2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)

Pawnee Forecast 2012‐2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)

Pawnee Decennial Census 1910‐2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)

Linear Trendline

131 | P a g e

Annual population estimates Pawnee

1960 10,884 1973 12,400 1986 16,480 1999 16,381

1961 11,000 1974 12,700 1987 16,394 2000 16,612

1962 11,200 1975 13,100 1988 15,783 2001 16,765

1963 11,200 1976 13,400 1989 15,656 2002 16,732

1964 11,100 1977 13,800 1990 15,575 2003 16,616

1965 11,000 1978 14,200 1991 15,503 2004 16,472

1966 11,000 1979 15,300 1992 15,581 2005 16,470

1967 11,100 1980 15,310 1993 15,652 2006 16,512

1968 11,200 1981 15,771 1994 15,709 2007 16,490

1969 11,300 1982 15,956 1995 15,773 2008 16,310

1970 11,338 1983 16,636 1996 15,925 2009 16,419

1971 11,600 1984 16,449 1997 16,084 2010 16,577

1972 12,100 1985 16,602 1998 16,240 2011 16,730


Population projections Pawnee

2012 16,742 2028 18,821 2044 20,900 2060 22,980

2013 16,872 2029 18,951 2045 21,030 2061 23,109

2014 17,002 2030 19,081 2046 21,160 2062 23,239

2015 17,132 2031 19,211 2047 21,290 2063 23,369

2016 17,261 2032 19,341 2048 21,420 2064 23,499

2017 17,391 2033 19,471 2049 21,550 2065 23,629

2018 17,521 2034 19,601 2050 21,680 2066 23,759

2019 17,651 2035 19,731 2051 21,810 2067 23,889

2020 17,781 2036 19,861 2052 21,940 2068 24,019

2021 17,911 2037 19,991 2053 22,070 2069 24,149

2022 18,041 2038 20,121 2054 22,200 2070 24,279

2023 18,171 2039 20,250 2055 22,330 2071 24,409

2024 18,301 2040 20,380 2056 22,460 2072 24,539

2025 18,431 2041 20,510 2057 22,590 2073 24,669

2026 18,561 2042 20,640 2058 22,720 2074 24,799

2027 18,691 2043 20,770 2059 22,850 2075 24,929


132 | P a g e

Payne County

Payne County is forecast to show a 0.84% average annual population growth rate for the next 65 years,

slightly above the average annual growth rate projected for the state as a whole. With a strong fit

indicated by the linear regression trendline, the county’s population growth pattern is expected to show

slight year to year variation over the long term.

Decennial Census population counts Payne

1910 23,735 1960 44,231 2010 77,350

1920 30,180 1970 50,654

1930 36,905 1980 62,435

1940 36,057 1990 61,507

1950 46,430 2000 68,190


23,735

30,180

36,905 36,057

46,430 44,231

50,654

62,435 61,507

68,190

77,350

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

1910

1915

1920

1925

1930

1935

1940

1945

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

2055

2060

2065

2070

2075

Payne County2012 to 2075 Forecast


Payne County Annual Estimates 1960‐2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)

Payne Forecast 2012‐2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)

Payne Decennial Census 1910‐2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)

Linear Trendline

133 | P a g e

Annual population estimates Payne

1960 44,231 1973 54,300 1986 63,668 1999 68,039

1961 45,500 1974 55,900 1987 62,839 2000 68,190

1962 46,700 1975 55,800 1988 62,282 2001 71,437

1963 47,200 1976 58,000 1989 61,806 2002 72,926

1964 47,500 1977 59,000 1990 61,507 2003 74,873

1965 47,500 1978 60,500 1991 61,789 2004 76,044

1966 47,900 1979 61,400 1992 62,872 2005 76,144

1967 48,700 1980 62,435 1993 63,809 2006 79,741

1968 49,200 1981 63,074 1994 64,132 2007 78,326

1969 50,000 1982 65,104 1995 64,803 2008 78,733

1970 50,654 1983 65,981 1996 65,161 2009 79,727

1971 52,800 1984 65,404 1997 66,320 2010 77,350

1972 55,300 1985 64,394 1998 66,837 2011 77,988


Population projections Payne

2012 79,195 2028 89,486 2044 99,777 2060 110,069

2013 79,838 2029 90,129 2045 100,421 2061 110,712

2014 80,481 2030 90,773 2046 101,064 2062 111,355

2015 81,125 2031 91,416 2047 101,707 2063 111,998

2016 81,768 2032 92,059 2048 102,350 2064 112,641

2017 82,411 2033 92,702 2049 102,993 2065 113,285

2018 83,054 2034 93,345 2050 103,637 2066 113,928

2019 83,697 2035 93,989 2051 104,280 2067 114,571

2020 84,341 2036 94,632 2052 104,923 2068 115,214

2021 84,984 2037 95,275 2053 105,566 2069 115,857

2022 85,627 2038 95,918 2054 106,209 2070 116,501

2023 86,270 2039 96,561 2055 106,853 2071 117,144

2024 86,913 2040 97,205 2056 107,496 2072 117,787

2025 87,557 2041 97,848 2057 108,139 2073 118,430

2026 88,200 2042 98,491 2058 108,782 2074 119,073

2027 88,843 2043 99,134 2059 109,425 2075 119,717


134 | P a g e

Pittsburg County

Pittsburg County’s average annual growth rate is forecast to be 0.43% between now and 2075, a slight

reduction in the 0.67% rate experienced between 1960 and 2010. Over the last 50 years, the county has

shown steady growth, with a small degree of variation from the overall trend. The county’s linear

regression trendline shows strong level of fit, so year to year variation is expected to remain relatively

slight.

Decennial Census population counts Pittsburg

1910 47,650 1960 34,360 2010 45,837

1920 52,570 1970 37,521

1930 50,778 1980 40,524

1940 48,985 1990 40,581

1950 41,031 2000 43,953


47,650

52,570 50,778

48,985

41,031

34,360 37,521

40,524 40,581

43,953 45,837

0

15,000

30,000

45,000

60,000

1910

1915

1920

1925

1930

1935

1940

1945

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

2055

2060

2065

2070

2075

Pittsburg County2012 to 2075 Forecast


Pittsburg County Annual Estimates 1960‐2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)

Pittsburg Forecast 2012‐2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)

Pittsburg Decennial Census 1910‐2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)

Linear Trendline

135 | P a g e

Annual population estimates Pittsburg

1960 34,360 1973 39,100 1986 42,160 1999 43,836

1961 35,000 1974 39,300 1987 41,492 2000 43,953

1962 35,600 1975 39,400 1988 40,764 2001 43,349

1963 35,700 1976 40,900 1989 40,651 2002 43,767

1964 35,700 1977 40,900 1990 40,581 2003 43,688

1965 35,700 1978 40,900 1991 41,583 2004 43,639

1966 36,000 1979 40,800 1992 42,367 2005 43,910

1967 36,400 1980 40,524 1993 42,920 2006 44,249

1968 36,700 1981 39,931 1994 43,219 2007 44,423

1969 37,200 1982 40,566 1995 43,501 2008 44,776

1970 37,521 1983 42,307 1996 43,470 2009 45,211

1971 38,300 1984 42,269 1997 43,366 2010 45,837

1972 39,000 1985 42,288 1998 43,428 2011 45,625


Population projections Pittsburg

2012 46,173 2028 49,341 2044 52,509 2060 55,678

2013 46,371 2029 49,539 2045 52,707 2061 55,876

2014 46,569 2030 49,737 2046 52,905 2062 56,074

2015 46,767 2031 49,935 2047 53,103 2063 56,272

2016 46,965 2032 50,133 2048 53,301 2064 56,470

2017 47,163 2033 50,331 2049 53,500 2065 56,668

2018 47,361 2034 50,529 2050 53,698 2066 56,866

2019 47,559 2035 50,727 2051 53,896 2067 57,064

2020 47,757 2036 50,925 2052 54,094 2068 57,262

2021 47,955 2037 51,123 2053 54,292 2069 57,460

2022 48,153 2038 51,321 2054 54,490 2070 57,658

2023 48,351 2039 51,519 2055 54,688 2071 57,856

2024 48,549 2040 51,717 2056 54,886 2072 58,054

2025 48,747 2041 51,915 2057 55,084 2073 58,252

2026 48,945 2042 52,113 2058 55,282 2074 58,450

2027 49,143 2043 52,311 2059 55,480 2075 58,648


136 | P a g e

Pontotoc County

Pontotoc County is expected to have a 0.52% average annual growth rate through 2075. This is slightly

below the historic average annual growth rate of 0.67% but mirrors an expected slowdown nationally

and statewide. A linear trendline drawn from the last 50 years of population growth shows a strong fit,

with year to year variation expected to be relatively low.,

Decennial Census population counts Pontotoc

1910 24,331 1960 28,089 2010 37,492

1920 30,949 1970 27,867

1930 32,469 1980 32,598

1940 39,792 1990 34,119

1950 30,875 2000 35,143


24,331

30,949 32,469

39,792

30,875 28,089 27,867 32,598

34,119 35,143

37,492

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

1910

1915

1920

1925

1930

1935

1940

1945

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

2055

2060

2065

2070

2075

Pontotoc County2012 to 2075 Forecast


Pontotoc County Annual Estimates 1960‐2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)

Pontotoc Forecast 2012‐2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)

Pontotoc Decennial Census 1910‐2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)

Linear Trendline

137 | P a g e

Annual population estimates Pontotoc

1960 28,089 1973 29,800 1986 34,972 1999 34,993

1961 28,400 1974 30,400 1987 35,030 2000 35,143

1962 28,600 1975 30,300 1988 34,353 2001 34,917

1963 28,500 1976 31,000 1989 34,175 2002 35,010

1964 28,300 1977 31,500 1990 34,119 2003 35,146

1965 27,900 1978 31,500 1991 34,080 2004 35,234

1966 27,800 1979 32,300 1992 34,022 2005 35,439

1967 27,900 1980 32,598 1993 34,094 2006 35,721

1968 27,800 1981 33,146 1994 34,382 2007 36,411

1969 27,800 1982 33,891 1995 34,818 2008 36,948

1970 27,867 1983 34,836 1996 35,233 2009 37,422

1971 28,800 1984 35,002 1997 34,965 2010 37,492

1972 29,500 1985 35,207 1998 35,017 2011 37,799


Population projections Pontotoc

2012 37,967 2028 41,086 2044 44,205 2060 47,324

2013 38,162 2029 41,281 2045 44,400 2061 47,518

2014 38,357 2030 41,476 2046 44,595 2062 47,713

2015 38,552 2031 41,671 2047 44,789 2063 47,908

2016 38,747 2032 41,866 2048 44,984 2064 48,103

2017 38,942 2033 42,060 2049 45,179 2065 48,298

2018 39,137 2034 42,255 2050 45,374 2066 48,493

2019 39,331 2035 42,450 2051 45,569 2067 48,688

2020 39,526 2036 42,645 2052 45,764 2068 48,883

2021 39,721 2037 42,840 2053 45,959 2069 49,078

2022 39,916 2038 43,035 2054 46,154 2070 49,273

2023 40,111 2039 43,230 2055 46,349 2071 49,468

2024 40,306 2040 43,425 2056 46,544 2072 49,663

2025 40,501 2041 43,620 2057 46,739 2073 49,858

2026 40,696 2042 43,815 2058 46,934 2074 50,053

2027 40,891 2043 44,010 2059 47,129 2075 50,247


138 | P a g e

Pottawatomie County

Pottawatomie County is forecast to see a 0.89% average annual growth rate between now and 2075.

The county has experienced continued growth over most of the last 50 years, with the pace of growth

being the steadiest over the last 20 years. A linear regression line drawn over this time period shows a

strong level of fit so year to year variations are expected to be relatively slight.

Decennial Census population counts Pottawatomie

1910 43,595 1960 41,486 2010 69,442

1920 46,028 1970 43,134

1930 66,572 1980 55,239

1940 54,377 1990 58,760

1950 43,517 2000 65,521


43,595

46,028

66,572

54,377

43,517 41,486

43,134 55,239

58,760 65,521

69,442

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

1910

1915

1920

1925

1930

1935

1940

1945

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

2055

2060

2065

2070

2075

Pottawatomie County2012 to 2075 Forecast


Pottawatomie County Annual Estimates 1960‐2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)

Pottawatomie Forecast 2012‐2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)

Pottawatomie Decennial Census 1910‐2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)

Linear Trendline

139 | P a g e

Annual population estimates Pottawatomie

1960 41,486 1973 47,700 1986 61,787 1999 64,861

1961 42,200 1974 49,400 1987 60,666 2000 65,521

1962 42,800 1975 50,500 1988 59,433 2001 66,271

1963 42,800 1976 51,500 1989 58,801 2002 66,614

1964 42,600 1977 52,600 1990 58,760 2003 67,544

1965 42,300 1978 53,100 1991 59,002 2004 67,405

1966 42,300 1979 53,800 1992 59,677 2005 67,707

1967 42,600 1980 55,239 1993 60,632 2006 68,162

1968 42,600 1981 57,218 1994 60,789 2007 69,170

1969 42,900 1982 59,025 1995 61,635 2008 69,464

1970 43,134 1983 61,186 1996 62,559 2009 70,274

1971 44,200 1984 62,354 1997 62,517 2010 69,442

1972 46,100 1985 62,567 1998 63,789 2011 70,280


Population projections Pottawatomie

2012 70,986 2028 80,836 2044 90,685 2060 100,535

2013 71,602 2029 81,451 2045 91,301 2061 101,151

2014 72,217 2030 82,067 2046 91,917 2062 101,766

2015 72,833 2031 82,682 2047 92,532 2063 102,382

2016 73,448 2032 83,298 2048 93,148 2064 102,997

2017 74,064 2033 83,914 2049 93,763 2065 103,613

2018 74,680 2034 84,529 2050 94,379 2066 104,229

2019 75,295 2035 85,145 2051 94,995 2067 104,844

2020 75,911 2036 85,761 2052 95,610 2068 105,460

2021 76,526 2037 86,376 2053 96,226 2069 106,075

2022 77,142 2038 86,992 2054 96,841 2070 106,691

2023 77,758 2039 87,607 2055 97,457 2071 107,307

2024 78,373 2040 88,223 2056 98,073 2072 107,922

2025 78,989 2041 88,839 2057 98,688 2073 108,538

2026 79,604 2042 89,454 2058 99,304 2074 109,153

2027 80,220 2043 90,070 2059 99,919 2075 109,769


140 | P a g e

Pushmataha County

Pushmataha County is forecast to experience a 0.47% average annual growth rate between now and

2075, similar to the 0.55% average annual rate experienced over the last 50 years. A linear trendline

drawn over the time period indicates a strong level of fit but year to year volatility in these projections

can be expected.

Decennial Census population counts Pushmataha

1910 10,118 1960 9,088 2010 11,572

1920 17,514 1970 9,385

1930 14,744 1980 11,773

1940 19,466 1990 10,997

1950 12,001 2000 11,667


10,118

17,514

14,744

19,466

12,001

9,088 9,385

11,773 10,997

11,667 11,572

0

4,000

8,000

12,000

16,000

20,000

1910

1915

1920

1925

1930

1935

1940

1945

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

2055

2060

2065

2070

2075

Pushmataha County2012 to 2075 Forecast


Pushmataha County Annual Estimates 1960‐2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)

Pushmataha Forecast 2012‐2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)

Pushmataha Decennial Census 1910‐2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)

Linear Trendline

141 | P a g e

Annual population estimates Pushmataha

1960 9,088 1973 10,000 1986 11,632 1999 11,655

1961 9,200 1974 10,400 1987 11,219 2000 11,667

1962 9,300 1975 10,700 1988 11,126 2001 11,653

1963 9,300 1976 10,900 1989 11,125 2002 11,607

1964 9,300 1977 11,200 1990 10,997 2003 11,535

1965 9,200 1978 11,300 1991 10,992 2004 11,559

1966 9,200 1979 11,400 1992 11,011 2005 11,467

1967 9,300 1980 11,773 1993 11,164 2006 11,517

1968 9,300 1981 11,971 1994 11,287 2007 11,624

1969 9,300 1982 11,667 1995 11,417 2008 11,672

1970 9,385 1983 11,705 1996 11,663 2009 11,812

1971 9,500 1984 11,820 1997 11,564 2010 11,572

1972 9,600 1985 11,864 1998 11,532 2011 11,478


Population projections Pushmataha

2012 11,768 2028 12,612 2044 13,457 2060 14,301

2013 11,821 2029 12,665 2045 13,510 2061 14,354

2014 11,874 2030 12,718 2046 13,562 2062 14,407

2015 11,926 2031 12,771 2047 13,615 2063 14,460

2016 11,979 2032 12,824 2048 13,668 2064 14,512

2017 12,032 2033 12,876 2049 13,721 2065 14,565

2018 12,085 2034 12,929 2050 13,773 2066 14,618

2019 12,138 2035 12,982 2051 13,826 2067 14,671

2020 12,190 2036 13,035 2052 13,879 2068 14,723

2021 12,243 2037 13,087 2053 13,932 2069 14,776

2022 12,296 2038 13,140 2054 13,985 2070 14,829

2023 12,349 2039 13,193 2055 14,037 2071 14,882

2024 12,401 2040 13,246 2056 14,090 2072 14,934

2025 12,454 2041 13,299 2057 14,143 2073 14,987

2026 12,507 2042 13,351 2058 14,196 2074 15,040

2027 12,560 2043 13,404 2059 14,248 2075 15,093


142 | P a g e

Roger Mills County

Roger Mills County is forecast to experience an average annual decline in population of ‐0.46% over the

next 65 years. The rate of decline is expected to be most pronounced in the short term, with the rate of

longer term population decline expected to gradually slow. A power regression trendline based on

historic population data indicates a fair degree of fit but some variation from year to year population

forecasts can be expected.

Decennial Census population counts Roger Mills

1910 12,861 1960 5,090 2010 3,647

1920 10,638 1970 4,452

1930 14,164 1980 4,799

1940 10,736 1990 4,147

1950 7,395 2000 3,436


12,861

10,638

14,164

10,736

7,395

5,090

4,452 4,799

4,147

3,436 3,647

0

2,500

5,000

7,500

10,000

12,500

15,000

1910

1915

1920

1925

1930

1935

1940

1945

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

2055

2060

2065

2070

2075

Roger Mills County2012 to 2075 Forecast


Roger Mills County Annual Estimates 1960‐2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)

Roger Mills Forecast 2012‐2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)

Roger Mills Decennial Census 1910‐2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)

Power Trendline

143 | P a g e

Annual population estimates Roger Mills

1960 5,090 1973 4,200 1986 5,001 1999 3,483

1961 5,100 1974 4,000 1987 4,707 2000 3,436

1962 5,100 1975 3,900 1988 4,420 2001 3,310

1963 5,000 1976 4,000 1989 4,302 2002 3,195

1964 4,900 1977 3,900 1990 4,147 2003 3,154

1965 4,800 1978 3,900 1991 4,081 2004 3,212

1966 4,700 1979 4,300 1992 3,959 2005 3,261

1967 4,700 1980 4,799 1993 3,904 2006 3,241

1968 4,600 1981 5,529 1994 3,789 2007 3,273

1969 4,500 1982 6,001 1995 3,735 2008 3,370

1970 4,452 1983 6,006 1996 3,663 2009 3,407

1971 4,400 1984 5,590 1997 3,502 2010 3,647

1972 4,200 1985 5,168 1998 3,488 2011 3,702


Population projections Roger Mills

2012 3,421 2028 3,132 2044 2,900 2060 2,709

2013 3,401 2029 3,116 2045 2,887 2061 2,698

2014 3,381 2030 3,101 2046 2,874 2062 2,687

2015 3,361 2031 3,085 2047 2,862 2063 2,676

2016 3,342 2032 3,070 2048 2,849 2064 2,666

2017 3,323 2033 3,055 2049 2,836 2065 2,655

2018 3,305 2034 3,040 2050 2,824 2066 2,645

2019 3,286 2035 3,025 2051 2,812 2067 2,635

2020 3,268 2036 3,010 2052 2,800 2068 2,624

2021 3,250 2037 2,996 2053 2,788 2069 2,614

2022 3,233 2038 2,982 2054 2,776 2070 2,605

2023 3,215 2039 2,968 2055 2,765 2071 2,595

2024 3,198 2040 2,954 2056 2,753 2072 2,585

2025 3,181 2041 2,940 2057 2,742 2073 2,575

2026 3,165 2042 2,927 2058 2,731 2074 2,566

2027 3,148 2043 2,913 2059 2,720 2075 2,556


144 | P a g e

Rogers County

Rogers County is forecast to experience a 1.53% average annual growth rate over the coming 65 years,

double the rate of growth forecast for the state as a whole. A linear regression trendline based on

historic population data indicates a strong fit and year to year variation in population forecasts are

expected to be relatively slight.

Decennial Census population counts Rogers

1910 17,736 1960 20,614 2010 86,905

1920 17,605 1970 28,425

1930 18,956 1980 46,436

1940 21,078 1990 55,170

1950 19,532 2000 70,641


17,736 17,605 18,956 21,078 19,532 20,614

28,425

46,436 55,170

70,641

86,905

0

40,000

80,000

120,000

160,000

200,000

1910

1915

1920

1925

1930

1935

1940

1945

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

2055

2060

2065

2070

2075

Rogers County2012 to 2075 Forecast


Rogers County Annual Estimates 1960‐2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)

Rogers Forecast 2012‐2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)

Rogers Decennial Census 1910‐2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)

Linear Trendline

145 | P a g e

Annual population estimates Rogers

1960 20,614 1973 32,800 1986 55,101 1999 68,884

1961 21,800 1974 34,400 1987 55,067 2000 70,641

1962 22,800 1975 36,100 1988 54,425 2001 72,974

1963 23,400 1976 38,100 1989 54,558 2002 74,960

1964 23,900 1977 40,000 1990 55,170 2003 76,890

1965 24,400 1978 41,800 1991 56,412 2004 78,565

1966 25,000 1979 45,200 1992 57,522 2005 79,669

1967 26,000 1980 46,436 1993 59,194 2006 81,476

1968 26,700 1981 48,443 1994 60,098 2007 83,188

1969 27,700 1982 51,241 1995 61,246 2008 84,464

1970 28,425 1983 53,511 1996 62,692 2009 85,654

1971 29,300 1984 53,917 1997 64,563 2010 86,905

1972 30,800 1985 54,878 1998 66,778 2011 87,706


Population projections Rogers

2012 87,842 2028 109,501 2044 131,159 2060 152,818

2013 89,196 2029 110,854 2045 132,513 2061 154,171

2014 90,550 2030 112,208 2046 133,866 2062 155,525

2015 91,903 2031 113,562 2047 135,220 2063 156,879

2016 93,257 2032 114,915 2048 136,574 2064 158,232

2017 94,611 2033 116,269 2049 137,927 2065 159,586

2018 95,964 2034 117,623 2050 139,281 2066 160,940

2019 97,318 2035 118,976 2051 140,635 2067 162,293

2020 98,672 2036 120,330 2052 141,988 2068 163,647

2021 100,025 2037 121,684 2053 143,342 2069 165,001

2022 101,379 2038 123,037 2054 144,696 2070 166,354

2023 102,732 2039 124,391 2055 146,049 2071 167,708

2024 104,086 2040 125,745 2056 147,403 2072 169,061

2025 105,440 2041 127,098 2057 148,757 2073 170,415

2026 106,793 2042 128,452 2058 150,110 2074 171,769

2027 108,147 2043 129,806 2059 151,464 2075 173,122


146 | P a g e

Seminole County

Seminole County is forecast to have a slight population decline over the next 65 years, with an average

annual rate of decline of ‐0.31% between now and 2075. This is slightly higher than the ‐0.18% average

annual rate of decline experienced over the last 50 years, where the decline has consistently been

gradual but clear. A linear trendline drawn on the past 50 years of population history indicates a fair

degree of fit, with some degree of year to year variation from projections expected.

Decennial Census population counts Seminole

1910 19,964 1960 28,066 2010 25,482

1920 23,808 1970 25,144

1930 79,621 1980 27,473

1940 61,201 1990 25,412

1950 40,672 2000 24,894


19,964 23,808

79,621

61,201

40,672

28,066 25,144

27,473 25,412

24,894 25,482

0

15,000

30,000

45,000

60,000

75,000

90,000

1910

1915

1920

1925

1930

1935

1940

1945

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

2055

2060

2065

2070

2075

Seminole County2012 to 2075 Forecast


Seminole County Annual Estimates 1960‐2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)

Seminole Forecast 2012‐2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)

Seminole Decennial Census 1910‐2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)

Linear Trendline

147 | P a g e

Annual population estimates Seminole

1960 28,066 1973 26,800 1986 28,351 1999 24,902

1961 28,000 1974 26,900 1987 27,249 2000 24,894

1962 28,100 1975 27,500 1988 26,444 2001 24,497

1963 27,600 1976 27,500 1989 25,922 2002 24,193

1964 27,100 1977 27,300 1990 25,412 2003 24,093

1965 26,500 1978 27,100 1991 24,994 2004 24,180

1966 26,200 1979 26,800 1992 24,813 2005 24,119

1967 26,000 1980 27,473 1993 24,983 2006 24,109

1968 25,600 1981 27,613 1994 25,142 2007 24,025

1969 25,400 1982 28,473 1995 25,158 2008 24,110

1970 25,144 1983 28,767 1996 25,122 2009 24,296

1971 25,500 1984 28,552 1997 25,260 2010 25,482

1972 26,600 1985 28,577 1998 25,051 2011 25,292


Population projections Seminole

2012 24,397 2028 23,368 2044 22,339 2060 21,311

2013 24,333 2029 23,304 2045 22,275 2061 21,246

2014 24,269 2030 23,240 2046 22,211 2062 21,182

2015 24,204 2031 23,175 2047 22,147 2063 21,118

2016 24,140 2032 23,111 2048 22,082 2064 21,053

2017 24,076 2033 23,047 2049 22,018 2065 20,989

2018 24,011 2034 22,982 2050 21,954 2066 20,925

2019 23,947 2035 22,918 2051 21,889 2067 20,860

2020 23,883 2036 22,854 2052 21,825 2068 20,796

2021 23,818 2037 22,790 2053 21,761 2069 20,732

2022 23,754 2038 22,725 2054 21,696 2070 20,668

2023 23,690 2039 22,661 2055 21,632 2071 20,603

2024 23,625 2040 22,597 2056 21,568 2072 20,539

2025 23,561 2041 22,532 2057 21,504 2073 20,475

2026 23,497 2042 22,468 2058 21,439 2074 20,410

2027 23,433 2043 22,404 2059 21,375 2075 20,346


148 | P a g e

Sequoyah County

Sequoyah County is forecast to experience an average annual growth rate of 1.10% over the next 65

years. A review of the past 50 years of population growth for the county yields a linear regression

formula with a strong level of fit. Year to year variation from forecasts are expected, but should be

relatively slight over the long term.

Decennial Census population counts Sequoyah

1910 25,005 1960 18,001 2010 42,391

1920 26,786 1970 23,370

1930 19,505 1980 30,749

1940 23,138 1990 33,828

1950 19,773 2000 38,972


25,005

26,786

19,505

23,138 19,773

18,001

23,370

30,749 33,828

38,972

42,391

0

15,000

30,000

45,000

60,000

75,000

90,000

1910

1915

1920

1925

1930

1935

1940

1945

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

2055

2060

2065

2070

2075

Sequoyah County2012 to 2075 Forecast


Sequoyah County Annual Estimates 1960‐2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)

Sequoyah Forecast 2012‐2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)

Sequoyah Decennial Census 1910‐2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)

Linear Trendline

149 | P a g e

Annual population estimates Sequoyah

1960 18,001 1973 25,100 1986 33,574 1999 38,661

1961 18,800 1974 26,500 1987 34,119 2000 38,972

1962 19,400 1975 27,500 1988 33,742 2001 39,228

1963 19,900 1976 28,100 1989 33,818 2002 39,401

1964 20,300 1977 29,000 1990 33,828 2003 39,634

1965 20,700 1978 29,600 1991 34,149 2004 40,064

1966 21,100 1979 30,700 1992 34,755 2005 40,204

1967 21,800 1980 30,749 1993 35,167 2006 40,728

1968 22,200 1981 30,840 1994 35,471 2007 40,975

1969 22,900 1982 30,997 1995 36,368 2008 41,089

1970 23,370 1983 32,046 1996 37,119 2009 41,433

1971 24,100 1984 32,789 1997 37,654 2010 42,391

1972 24,400 1985 33,191 1998 38,293 2011 42,341


Population projections Sequoyah

2012 42,425 2028 50,122 2044 57,818 2060 65,515

2013 42,906 2029 50,603 2045 58,299 2061 65,996

2014 43,387 2030 51,084 2046 58,780 2062 66,477

2015 43,868 2031 51,565 2047 59,261 2063 66,958

2016 44,349 2032 52,046 2048 59,742 2064 67,439

2017 44,831 2033 52,527 2049 60,223 2065 67,920

2018 45,312 2034 53,008 2050 60,704 2066 68,401

2019 45,793 2035 53,489 2051 61,185 2067 68,882

2020 46,274 2036 53,970 2052 61,667 2068 69,363

2021 46,755 2037 54,451 2053 62,148 2069 69,844

2022 47,236 2038 54,932 2054 62,629 2070 70,325

2023 47,717 2039 55,413 2055 63,110 2071 70,806

2024 48,198 2040 55,894 2056 63,591 2072 71,287

2025 48,679 2041 56,375 2057 64,072 2073 71,768

2026 49,160 2042 56,856 2058 64,553 2074 72,249

2027 49,641 2043 57,337 2059 65,034 2075 72,730


150 | P a g e

Stephens County

Stephens County is forecast to experience a gradual rate of population growth, averaging 0.34%

annually. This is nearly identical to the county’s historic average annual growth rate of 0.37%. Strong

growth in the 1970s and early 1980s, offset by a declining population level in the late 1980s, combine to

reduce level of fit for a linear regression formula based on the last 50 years of population trends. Year

to year variation from forecasts are likely, but the long term trend of population growth is expected to

continue.

Decennial Census population counts Stephens

1910 22,252 1960 37,990 2010 45,048

1920 24,692 1970 35,902

1930 33,069 1980 43,419

1940 31,090 1990 42,299

1950 34,071 2000 43,182


22,252

24,692

33,069 31,090 34,071

37,990 35,902

43,419 42,299 43,182

45,048

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

1910

1915

1920

1925

1930

1935

1940

1945

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

2055

2060

2065

2070

2075

Stephens County2012 to 2075 Forecast


Stephens County Annual Estimates 1960‐2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)

Stephens Forecast 2012‐2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)

Stephens Decennial Census 1910‐2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)

Linear Trendline

151 | P a g e

Annual population estimates Stephens

1960 37,990 1973 37,500 1986 44,375 1999 43,344

1961 38,200 1974 37,700 1987 43,157 2000 43,182

1962 38,400 1975 38,100 1988 42,525 2001 42,623

1963 38,000 1976 39,200 1989 42,901 2002 42,460

1964 37,600 1977 40,000 1990 42,299 2003 42,255

1965 36,900 1978 40,800 1991 42,790 2004 42,446

1966 36,500 1979 42,400 1992 43,098 2005 42,544

1967 36,500 1980 43,419 1993 43,106 2006 42,751

1968 36,200 1981 44,601 1994 43,299 2007 43,148

1969 36,000 1982 46,669 1995 43,000 2008 43,351

1970 35,902 1983 47,139 1996 43,383 2009 43,487

1971 36,700 1984 45,594 1997 43,583 2010 45,048

1972 37,500 1985 45,136 1998 43,808 2011 45,197


Population projections Stephens

2012 45,477 2028 47,927 2044 50,377 2060 52,827

2013 45,630 2029 48,080 2045 50,530 2061 52,980

2014 45,784 2030 48,234 2046 50,684 2062 53,134

2015 45,937 2031 48,387 2047 50,837 2063 53,287

2016 46,090 2032 48,540 2048 50,990 2064 53,440

2017 46,243 2033 48,693 2049 51,143 2065 53,593

2018 46,396 2034 48,846 2050 51,296 2066 53,746

2019 46,549 2035 48,999 2051 51,449 2067 53,899

2020 46,702 2036 49,152 2052 51,602 2068 54,052

2021 46,855 2037 49,305 2053 51,755 2069 54,205

2022 47,009 2038 49,459 2054 51,909 2070 54,359

2023 47,162 2039 49,612 2055 52,062 2071 54,512

2024 47,315 2040 49,765 2056 52,215 2072 54,665

2025 47,468 2041 49,918 2057 52,368 2073 54,818

2026 47,621 2042 50,071 2058 52,521 2074 54,971

2027 47,774 2043 50,224 2059 52,674 2075 55,124


152 | P a g e

Texas County

Texas County is forecast to experience an average annual population growth rate of 0.54% over the next

65 years. A steep drop in population experienced in the late 1980s was offset by a rapid increase in

population over the 1990s. That shift in population reduces the overall fit of the county’s linear

regression trendline, but outside of that time period, the match remains strong. Some year to year

population variation from forecasts may be expected, but the long term growth trend is expected to

continue.

Decennial Census population counts Texas

1910 14,249 1960 14,162 2010 20,640

1920 13,975 1970 16,352

1930 14,100 1980 17,727

1940 9,896 1990 16,419

1950 14,235 2000 20,107


14,249 13,975

14,100

9,896

14,235 14,162

16,352 17,727

16,419

20,107 20,640

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

1910

1915

1920

1925

1930

1935

1940

1945

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

2055

2060

2065

2070

2075

Texas County2012 to 2075 Forecast


Texas County Annual Estimates 1960‐2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)

Texas Forecast 2012‐2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)

Texas Decennial Census 1910‐2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)

Linear Trendline

153 | P a g e

Annual population estimates Texas

1960 14,162 1973 17,200 1986 18,271 1999 19,878

1961 14,600 1974 17,900 1987 18,154 2000 20,107

1962 14,900 1975 18,100 1988 17,227 2001 20,113

1963 15,100 1976 18,200 1989 16,457 2002 20,014

1964 15,200 1977 18,300 1990 16,419 2003 19,847

1965 15,200 1978 18,000 1991 16,388 2004 20,198

1966 15,400 1979 17,700 1992 16,454 2005 20,021

1967 15,700 1980 17,727 1993 16,430 2006 20,096

1968 15,800 1981 17,967 1994 16,817 2007 20,151

1969 16,100 1982 17,990 1995 17,313 2008 20,573

1970 16,352 1983 18,676 1996 18,272 2009 21,135

1971 16,700 1984 18,630 1997 19,082 2010 20,640

1972 16,900 1985 18,404 1998 19,791 2011 21,312


Population projections Texas

2012 21,167 2028 22,869 2044 24,572 2060 26,274

2013 21,273 2029 22,976 2045 24,678 2061 26,380

2014 21,380 2030 23,082 2046 24,784 2062 26,487

2015 21,486 2031 23,188 2047 24,891 2063 26,593

2016 21,592 2032 23,295 2048 24,997 2064 26,699

2017 21,699 2033 23,401 2049 25,103 2065 26,806

2018 21,805 2034 23,508 2050 25,210 2066 26,912

2019 21,912 2035 23,614 2051 25,316 2067 27,019

2020 22,018 2036 23,720 2052 25,423 2068 27,125

2021 22,124 2037 23,827 2053 25,529 2069 27,231

2022 22,231 2038 23,933 2054 25,635 2070 27,338

2023 22,337 2039 24,040 2055 25,742 2071 27,444

2024 22,444 2040 24,146 2056 25,848 2072 27,551

2025 22,550 2041 24,252 2057 25,955 2073 27,657

2026 22,656 2042 24,359 2058 26,061 2074 27,763

2027 22,763 2043 24,465 2059 26,167 2075 27,870


154 | P a g e

Tillman County

Tillman County is forecast to experience a continued population decline, averaging ‐0.55% annually

between now and 2075. The rate of decline is expected to be most pronounced in the short term, with

a gradual slowing in the longer term. Between 1960 and 2010, the county experienced an average

annual rate of decline of ‐0.91%. A power regression trendline based on that time period yields a strong

fit, with slight year to year variation from forecasts expected.

Decennial Census population counts Tillman

1910 18,650 1960 14,654 2010 7,992

1920 22,433 1970 12,901

1930 24,390 1980 12,398

1940 20,754 1990 10,384

1950 17,598 2000 9,287


18,650

22,433

24,390

20,754

17,598

14,654

12,901 12,398

10,384 9,287

7,992

0

5000

10000

15000

20000

25000

30000

1910

1915

1920

1925

1930

1935

1940

1945

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

2055

2060

2065

2070

2075

Tillman County2012 to 2075 Forecast


Tillman County Annual Estimates 1960‐2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)

Tillman Forecast 2012‐2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)

Tillman Decennial Census 1910‐2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)

Power Trendline

155 | P a g e

Annual population estimates Tillman

1960 14,654 1973 12,600 1986 11,227 1999 9,378

1961 14,600 1974 12,400 1987 11,346 2000 9,287

1962 14,600 1975 12,400 1988 11,087 2001 9,190

1963 14,400 1976 12,300 1989 10,705 2002 8,810

1964 14,100 1977 12,200 1990 10,384 2003 8,747

1965 13,800 1978 12,100 1991 10,231 2004 8,587

1966 13,500 1979 12,200 1992 10,065 2005 8,358

1967 13,400 1980 12,398 1993 10,034 2006 8,259

1968 13,200 1981 12,132 1994 9,766 2007 8,108

1969 13,000 1982 12,063 1995 9,690 2008 7,928

1970 12,901 1983 12,190 1996 9,615 2009 7,796

1971 12,600 1984 11,749 1997 9,628 2010 7,992

1972 12,400 1985 11,405 1998 9,507 2011 8,061


Population projections Tillman

2012 8,026 2028 7,023 2044 6,248 2060 5,629

2013 7,955 2029 6,969 2045 6,205 2061 5,595

2014 7,885 2030 6,916 2046 6,163 2062 5,561

2015 7,817 2031 6,863 2047 6,121 2063 5,527

2016 7,749 2032 6,812 2048 6,080 2064 5,494

2017 7,683 2033 6,761 2049 6,040 2065 5,461

2018 7,618 2034 6,710 2050 6,000 2066 5,428

2019 7,554 2035 6,661 2051 5,961 2067 5,396

2020 7,491 2036 6,612 2052 5,922 2068 5,364

2021 7,429 2037 6,564 2053 5,884 2069 5,333

2022 7,368 2038 6,517 2054 5,846 2070 5,302

2023 7,308 2039 6,471 2055 5,809 2071 5,272

2024 7,249 2040 6,425 2056 5,772 2072 5,241

2025 7,191 2041 6,380 2057 5,735 2073 5,211

2026 7,135 2042 6,335 2058 5,700 2074 5,182

2027 7,079 2043 6,291 2059 5,664 2075 5,153


156 | P a g e

Tulsa County

Tulsa County is forecast to have a 0.84% average annual population growth rate over the next 65 years,

slightly above the projected national and statewide growth rates. This is a slowdown compared to

Tulsa’s average annual growth rate of 1.49% from the prior 50 years, but reflects a similar growth

slowdown expected to occur statewide and nationally. A linear regression trendline drawn over the

county’s population history since 1960 shows strong fit.

Decennial Census population counts Tulsa

1910 34,995 1960 346,038 2010 603,403

1920 109,023 1970 401,663

1930 187,574 1980 470,593

1940 193,363 1990 503,341

1950 251,686 2000 563,299


34,995

109,023

187,574 193,363

251,686

346,038 401,663

470,593 503,341

563,299 603,403

0

200,000

400,000

600,000

800,000

1,000,000

1910

1915

1920

1925

1930

1935

1940

1945

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

2055

2060

2065

2070

2075

Tulsa County2012 to 2075 Forecast


Tulsa County Annual Estimates 1960‐2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)

Tulsa Forecast 2012‐2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)

Tulsa Decennial Census 1910‐2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)

Linear Trendline

157 | P a g e

Annual population estimates Tulsa

1960 346,038 1973 413,700 1986 507,932 1999 561,682

1961 356,100 1974 417,600 1987 505,740 2000 563,299

1962 364,800 1975 424,300 1988 499,454 2001 566,789

1963 367,800 1976 430,200 1989 499,452 2002 570,207

1964 370,900 1977 434,300 1990 503,341 2003 569,584

1965 371,600 1978 439,300 1991 514,116 2004 567,695

1966 375,800 1979 454,600 1992 521,681 2005 570,051

1967 383,200 1980 470,593 1993 526,344 2006 577,271

1968 387,400 1981 482,745 1994 529,054 2007 585,407

1969 394,700 1982 497,599 1995 531,124 2008 592,406

1970 401,663 1983 507,078 1996 537,887 2009 601,961

1971 404,500 1984 506,414 1997 546,009 2010 603,403

1972 409,700 1985 504,424 1998 554,563 2011 610,599


Population projections Tulsa

2012 611,160 2028 693,205 2044 775,251 2060 857,297

2013 616,287 2029 698,333 2045 780,379 2061 862,425

2014 621,415 2030 703,461 2046 785,507 2062 867,553

2015 626,543 2031 708,589 2047 790,635 2063 872,681

2016 631,671 2032 713,717 2048 795,763 2064 877,809

2017 636,799 2033 718,845 2049 800,891 2065 882,936

2018 641,927 2034 723,973 2050 806,018 2066 888,064

2019 647,055 2035 729,100 2051 811,146 2067 893,192

2020 652,183 2036 734,228 2052 816,274 2068 898,320

2021 657,310 2037 739,356 2053 821,402 2069 903,448

2022 662,438 2038 744,484 2054 826,530 2070 908,576

2023 667,566 2039 749,612 2055 831,658 2071 913,704

2024 672,694 2040 754,740 2056 836,786 2072 918,831

2025 677,822 2041 759,868 2057 841,913 2073 923,959

2026 682,950 2042 764,996 2058 847,041 2074 929,087

2027 688,078 2043 770,123 2059 852,169 2075 934,215


158 | P a g e

Wagoner County

Wagoner County is forecast to experience 1.51% average annual growth between now and 2075. This is

double the statewide growth rate forecast for the same period. A linear regression trendline drawn from

historic population data since 1960 indicates a strong level of fit, with slight year to year variation

expected from the overall trend.

Decennial Census population counts Wagoner

1910 22,086 1960 15,673 2010 73,085

1920 21,371 1970 22,163

1930 22,428 1980 41,801

1940 21,642 1990 47,883

1950 16,741 2000 57,491


22,086 21,371 22,428

21,642 16,741 15,673

22,163

41,801 47,883

57,491

73,085

0

25,000

50,000

75,000

100,000

125,000

150,000

1910

1915

1920

1925

1930

1935

1940

1945

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

2055

2060

2065

2070

2075

Wagoner County2012 to 2075 Forecast


Wagoner County Annual Estimates 1960‐2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)

Wagoner Forecast 2012‐2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)

Wagoner Decennial Census 1910‐2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)

Linear Trendline

159 | P a g e

Annual population estimates Wagoner

1960 15,673 1973 27,300 1986 47,607 1999 56,735

1961 16,600 1974 28,600 1987 47,831 2000 57,491

1962 17,300 1975 30,500 1988 47,007 2001 58,758

1963 17,900 1976 32,100 1989 47,455 2002 60,178

1964 18,400 1977 34,800 1990 47,883 2003 61,085

1965 18,900 1978 36,800 1991 48,712 2004 61,981

1966 19,500 1979 39,800 1992 49,436 2005 63,119

1967 20,200 1980 41,801 1993 50,708 2006 65,071

1968 20,800 1981 43,449 1994 51,576 2007 67,220

1969 21,600 1982 44,931 1995 52,402 2008 69,040

1970 22,163 1983 47,040 1996 53,575 2009 70,394

1971 23,800 1984 47,739 1997 54,507 2010 73,085

1972 25,700 1985 47,739 1998 55,675 2011 74,098


Population projections Wagoner

2012 74,143 2028 92,136 2044 110,129 2060 128,122

2013 75,267 2029 93,260 2045 111,253 2061 129,247

2014 76,392 2030 94,385 2046 112,378 2062 130,371

2015 77,516 2031 95,509 2047 113,503 2063 131,496

2016 78,641 2032 96,634 2048 114,627 2064 132,620

2017 79,766 2033 97,759 2049 115,752 2065 133,745

2018 80,890 2034 98,883 2050 116,876 2066 134,869

2019 82,015 2035 100,008 2051 118,001 2067 135,994

2020 83,139 2036 101,132 2052 119,125 2068 137,119

2021 84,264 2037 102,257 2053 120,250 2069 138,243

2022 85,388 2038 103,381 2054 121,375 2070 139,368

2023 86,513 2039 104,506 2055 122,499 2071 140,492

2024 87,638 2040 105,631 2056 123,624 2072 141,617

2025 88,762 2041 106,755 2057 124,748 2073 142,741

2026 89,887 2042 107,880 2058 125,873 2074 143,866

2027 91,011 2043 109,004 2059 126,997 2075 144,991


160 | P a g e

Washington County

Washington County is forecast to have an average annual growth rate of 0.37% over the next 65 years.

The county experienced strong population growth in the 1970 and early 1980s, but that growth was

partially offset by population declines over the mid to late1980s. These events combine to reduce the

overall fit for the county’s linear regression trendline. While some year to year variation in population

forecasts can be expected, the long term positive growth trend is expected to continue.

Decennial Census population counts Washington

1910 17,484 1960 42,347 2010 50,976

1920 27,002 1970 42,277

1930 27,777 1980 48,113

1940 30,559 1990 48,066

1950 32,880 2000 48,996


17,484

27,002 27,777 30,559

32,880

42,347 42,277

48,113 48,066 48,996 50,976

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

70,000

1910

1915

1920

1925

1930

1935

1940

1945

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

2055

2060

2065

2070

2075

Washington County2012 to 2075 Forecast


Washington County Annual Estimates 1960‐2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)

Washington Forecast 2012‐2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)

Washington Decennial Census 1910‐2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)

Linear Trendline

161 | P a g e

Annual population estimates Washington

1960 42,347 1973 41,500 1986 51,246 1999 49,013

1961 42,800 1974 41,200 1987 49,057 2000 48,996

1962 43,300 1975 41,800 1988 48,051 2001 48,875

1963 43,100 1976 42,600 1989 47,228 2002 48,988

1964 42,700 1977 43,100 1990 48,066 2003 48,911

1965 42,200 1978 43,700 1991 48,850 2004 48,890

1966 42,000 1979 46,300 1992 48,667 2005 48,740

1967 42,200 1980 48,113 1993 48,094 2006 49,058

1968 42,000 1981 50,626 1994 48,161 2007 49,903

1969 42,200 1982 52,988 1995 48,312 2008 50,556

1970 42,277 1983 53,859 1996 48,425 2009 50,706

1971 41,500 1984 53,098 1997 48,663 2010 50,976

1972 41,100 1985 52,910 1998 48,847 2011 51,476


Population projections Washington

2012 51,413 2028 54,445 2044 57,478 2060 60,511

2013 51,602 2029 54,635 2045 57,668 2061 60,700

2014 51,792 2030 54,824 2046 57,857 2062 60,890

2015 51,981 2031 55,014 2047 58,047 2063 61,079

2016 52,171 2032 55,204 2048 58,236 2064 61,269

2017 52,360 2033 55,393 2049 58,426 2065 61,458

2018 52,550 2034 55,583 2050 58,615 2066 61,648

2019 52,739 2035 55,772 2051 58,805 2067 61,837

2020 52,929 2036 55,962 2052 58,994 2068 62,027

2021 53,119 2037 56,151 2053 59,184 2069 62,217

2022 53,308 2038 56,341 2054 59,373 2070 62,406

2023 53,498 2039 56,530 2055 59,563 2071 62,596

2024 53,687 2040 56,720 2056 59,752 2072 62,785

2025 53,877 2041 56,909 2057 59,942 2073 62,975

2026 54,066 2042 57,099 2058 60,132 2074 63,164

2027 54,256 2043 57,288 2059 60,321 2075 63,354


162 | P a g e

Washita County

Washita County is forecast to experience a ‐0.31% average annual rate of population decline over the

next 65 years. However, the possibility of strong year to year variation is expected based on the strong

population swings experienced in the 1960s, 1970s and 1980s. A power regression trendline based on

historic population counts over the last half century shows a weak fit. Because the county’s population

appears to have stabilized over the last two decades, it is possible that the declining trendline

Decennial Census population counts Washita

1910 25,034 1960 18,121 2010 11,629

1920 22,237 1970 12,141

1930 29,435 1980 13,798

1940 22,279 1990 11,441

1950 17,657 2000 11,508


25,034

22,237

29,435

22,279

17,657 18,121

12,141 13,798

11,441 11,508 11,629

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

1910

1915

1920

1925

1930

1935

1940

1945

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

2055

2060

2065

2070

2075

Washita County2012 to 2075 Forecast


Washita County Annual Estimates 1960‐2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)

Washita Forecast 2012‐2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)

Washita Decennial Census 1910‐2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)

Power Trendline

163 | P a g e

Annual population estimates Washita

1960 18,121 1973 11,800 1986 13,369 1999 11,528

1961 17,500 1974 11,900 1987 12,549 2000 11,508

1962 17,200 1975 12,400 1988 11,934 2001 11,377

1963 16,400 1976 12,600 1989 11,549 2002 11,263

1964 15,800 1977 12,600 1990 11,441 2003 11,226

1965 15,000 1978 12,800 1991 11,464 2004 11,234

1966 14,400 1979 13,200 1992 11,473 2005 11,264

1967 13,900 1980 13,798 1993 11,387 2006 11,465

1968 13,200 1981 15,362 1994 11,464 2007 11,630

1969 12,600 1982 17,855 1995 11,585 2008 11,691

1970 12,141 1983 17,149 1996 11,558 2009 11,813

1971 9,600 1984 15,188 1997 11,510 2010 11,629

1972 11,600 1985 14,120 1998 11,692 2011 11,574


Population projections Washita

2012 11,496 2028 10,781 2044 10,194 2060 9,701

2013 11,446 2029 10,741 2045 10,161 2061 9,673

2014 11,398 2030 10,701 2046 10,128 2062 9,645

2015 11,350 2031 10,662 2047 10,095 2063 9,617

2016 11,302 2032 10,623 2048 10,063 2064 9,590

2017 11,256 2033 10,585 2049 10,031 2065 9,562

2018 11,210 2034 10,548 2050 9,999 2066 9,536

2019 11,164 2035 10,510 2051 9,968 2067 9,509

2020 11,119 2036 10,474 2052 9,937 2068 9,482

2021 11,075 2037 10,437 2053 9,907 2069 9,456

2022 11,031 2038 10,401 2054 9,876 2070 9,430

2023 10,988 2039 10,366 2055 9,846 2071 9,405

2024 10,946 2040 10,331 2056 9,817 2072 9,379

2025 10,904 2041 10,296 2057 9,787 2073 9,354

2026 10,862 2042 10,261 2058 9,758 2074 9,329

2027 10,821 2043 10,227 2059 9,730 2075 9,304


164 | P a g e

Woods County

Woods County is forecast to experience a ‐0.39% average annual rate of population decline between

now and 2075, a slowing of the of the ‐0.51% average annual rate of decline experienced since 1960. A

linear regression trendline drawn over the last 50 years of population data indicates a strong level of fit,

with year over year variations from forecasts expected to be small.

Decennial Census population counts Woods

1910 17,567 1960 11,932 2010 8,878

1920 15,939 1970 11,920

1930 17,005 1980 10,923

1940 14,915 1990 9,103

1950 14,526 2000 9,089


17,567

15,939

17,005

14,915 14,526

11,932 11,920

10,923

9,103 9,089 8,878

0

4,000

8,000

12,000

16,000

20,000

1910

1915

1920

1925

1930

1935

1940

1945

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

2055

2060

2065

2070

2075

Woods County2012 to 2075 Forecast


Woods County Annual Estimates 1960‐2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)

Woods Forecast 2012‐2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)

Woods Decennial Census 1910‐2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)

Linear Trendline

165 | P a g e

Annual population estimates Woods

1960 11,932 1973 11,000 1986 10,089 1999 9,125

1961 12,100 1974 11,000 1987 9,814 2000 9,089

1962 12,200 1975 11,100 1988 9,382 2001 8,846

1963 12,100 1976 11,100 1989 9,216 2002 8,837

1964 12,100 1977 10,700 1990 9,103 2003 8,641

1965 11,900 1978 10,500 1991 9,078 2004 8,566

1966 11,900 1979 10,700 1992 9,201 2005 8,540

1967 11,900 1980 10,923 1993 9,019 2006 8,390

1968 11,900 1981 10,963 1994 9,045 2007 8,471

1969 11,900 1982 11,000 1995 9,048 2008 8,379

1970 11,920 1983 11,145 1996 9,058 2009 8,418

1971 11,700 1984 10,833 1997 9,028 2010 8,878

1972 11,000 1985 10,388 1998 9,130 2011 8,775


Population projections Woods

2012 8,712 2028 8,010 2044 7,446 2060 6,980

2013 8,663 2029 7,972 2045 7,414 2061 6,953

2014 8,615 2030 7,933 2046 7,383 2062 6,927

2015 8,568 2031 7,895 2047 7,352 2063 6,901

2016 8,521 2032 7,858 2048 7,321 2064 6,875

2017 8,475 2033 7,821 2049 7,291 2065 6,850

2018 8,430 2034 7,785 2050 7,261 2066 6,825

2019 8,385 2035 7,749 2051 7,231 2067 6,800

2020 8,341 2036 7,714 2052 7,202 2068 6,775

2021 8,298 2037 7,679 2053 7,173 2069 6,751

2022 8,255 2038 7,644 2054 7,145 2070 6,727

2023 8,213 2039 7,610 2055 7,116 2071 6,703

2024 8,171 2040 7,576 2056 7,089 2072 6,679

2025 8,130 2041 7,543 2057 7,061 2073 6,656

2026 8,090 2042 7,510 2058 7,034 2074 6,633

2027 8,050 2043 7,478 2059 7,006 2075 6,610


166 | P a g e

Woodward County

Woodward County is forecast to have a 0.45% average annual rate of population growth between now

and 2075. The county has experienced significant population variation during the last 50 years, with a

peak experienced in the early 1980s, followed by a sharp population decline. The resulting spike

reduces the overall fit of a linear regression trendline, indicating that some year to year population

variation from forecasts can be expected.

Decennial Census population counts Woodward

1910 16,592 1960 13,902 2010 20,081

1920 14,663 1970 15,537

1930 15,844 1980 21,172

1940 16,270 1990 18,976

1950 14,383 2000 18,486


16,592 14,663

15,844 16,270 14,383

13,902

15,537

21,172 18,976

18,486 20,081

0

5000

10000

15000

20000

25000

30000

1910

1915

1920

1925

1930

1935

1940

1945

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

2055

2060

2065

2070

2075

Woodward County2012 to 2075 Forecast


Woodward County Annual Estimates 1960‐2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)

Woodward Forecast 2012‐2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)

Woodward Decennial Census 1910‐2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)

Linear Trendline

167 | P a g e

Annual population estimates Woodward

1960 13,902 1973 15,900 1986 21,298 1999 18,655

1961 14,200 1974 16,600 1987 19,887 2000 18,486

1962 14,600 1975 17,100 1988 19,469 2001 18,317

1963 14,700 1976 18,100 1989 19,117 2002 18,382

1964 14,700 1977 18,900 1990 18,976 2003 18,416

1965 14,700 1978 19,600 1991 18,864 2004 18,720

1966 14,800 1979 20,300 1992 18,944 2005 18,849

1967 15,100 1980 21,172 1993 18,745 2006 19,016

1968 15,200 1981 22,829 1994 18,832 2007 19,595

1969 15,400 1982 25,084 1995 18,790 2008 19,729

1970 15,537 1983 24,441 1996 18,693 2009 19,959

1971 15,600 1984 23,034 1997 18,689 2010 20,081

1972 15,600 1985 22,260 1998 18,680 2011 20,034


Population projections Woodward

2012 20,004 2028 21,518 2044 23,032 2060 24,547

2013 20,098 2029 21,613 2045 23,127 2061 24,641

2014 20,193 2030 21,707 2046 23,222 2062 24,736

2015 20,288 2031 21,802 2047 23,316 2063 24,831

2016 20,382 2032 21,897 2048 23,411 2064 24,925

2017 20,477 2033 21,991 2049 23,506 2065 25,020

2018 20,572 2034 22,086 2050 23,600 2066 25,115

2019 20,666 2035 22,181 2051 23,695 2067 25,209

2020 20,761 2036 22,275 2052 23,790 2068 25,304

2021 20,856 2037 22,370 2053 23,884 2069 25,398

2022 20,950 2038 22,465 2054 23,979 2070 25,493

2023 21,045 2039 22,559 2055 24,073 2071 25,588

2024 21,140 2040 22,654 2056 24,168 2072 25,682

2025 21,234 2041 22,748 2057 24,263 2073 25,777

2026 21,329 2042 22,843 2058 24,357 2074 25,872

2027 21,423 2043 22,938 2059 24,452 2075 25,966


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Appendix 1 – Summary Fertility Rates by County Source: US Census Bureau’s 2006‐2010 American Community Survey 5‐year estimates; Table S1301

Women 15 to 50 years

Total Women with births in the past 12 months

Number Rate per 1,000 women

Geography Estimate Margin of Error

Estimate Margin of Error


Oklahoma 892,680 1,161 52,619 1,438 59 2

Adair 5,294 67 434 110 82 21

Alfalfa 877 40 60 25 68 30

Atoka 2,932 84 165 82 56 27

Beaver 1,213 33 66 32 54 26

Beckham 4,673 169 393 132 84 29

Blaine 2,230 152 194 66 87 29

Bryan 9,873 134 422 145 43 15

Caddo 6,384 129 447 95 70 15

Canadian 27,591 212 1,896 332 69 12

Carter 10,802 230 678 191 63 18

Cherokee 11,709 221 591 150 50 13

Choctaw 3,252 66 203 71 62 22

Cimarron 433 35 33 26 76 60

Cleveland 67,000 237 3,665 391 55 6

Coal 1,188 56 74 43 62 37

Comanche 30,036 165 2,209 301 74 10

Cotton 1,371 49 149 65 109 48

Craig 3,223 87 107 71 33 22

Creek 15,735 126 833 177 53 11

Custer 6,929 125 591 152 85 22

Delaware 8,650 151 255 107 29 12

Dewey 942 34 41 26 44 27

Ellis 769 26 39 19 51 25

Garfield 13,820 206 821 223 59 16

Garvin 6,131 102 288 91 47 15

Grady 12,292 122 876 202 71 17

Grant 951 26 29 23 30 25

Greer 1,051 73 24 23 23 22

Harmon 583 66 67 31 115 54

Harper 735 57 79 47 107 63

Haskell 2,713 53 129 61 48 23

Hughes 2,617 84 208 72 79 28

Jackson 6,246 130 397 128 64 21

Jefferson 1,408 40 110 39 78 27

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Johnston 2,435 103 106 78 44 31

Kay 10,197 115 720 123 71 12

Kingfisher 3,485 81 180 83 52 24

Kiowa 2,085 113 69 34 33 17

Latimer 2,526 69 113 61 45 24

Le Flore 11,331 136 756 138 67 12

Lincoln 7,794 130 314 94 40 12

Logan 9,783 133 672 212 69 21

Love 2,114 95 123 70 58 34

McClain 7,704 132 465 133 60 17

McCurtain 7,560 80 464 131 61 17

McIntosh 4,034 106 167 92 41 23

Major 1,483 47 105 48 71 33

Marshall 3,119 148 213 109 68 33

Mayes 9,206 107 594 169 65 18

Murray 2,890 113 117 69 40 24

Muskogee 16,844 196 1,055 252 63 15

Noble 2,651 115 110 67 41 25

Nowata 2,218 68 214 98 96 44

Okfuskee 2,394 81 110 54 46 23

Oklahoma 179,533 469 11,816 807 66 5

Okmulgee 8,847 135 506 163 57 18

Osage 10,378 125 578 133 56 13

Ottawa 7,282 79 423 91 58 13

Pawnee 3,622 84 259 98 72 27

Payne 21,973 151 1,058 251 48 11

Pittsburg 9,562 122 663 141 69 15

Pontotoc 9,222 192 546 137 59 15

Pottawatomie 17,117 137 781 156 46 9

Pushmataha 2,456 60 115 48 47 19

Roger Mills 693 30 46 25 66 36

Rogers 20,586 191 802 173 39 8

Seminole 5,779 113 336 111 58 19

Sequoyah 9,744 155 496 129 51 13

Stephens 9,963 129 499 163 50 16

Texas 4,649 90 267 93 57 20

Tillman 1,763 90 128 72 73 41

Tulsa 148,911 372 8,173 598 55 4

Wagoner 16,851 132 959 207 57 12

Washington 11,331 152 482 151 43 13

Washita 2,555 58 140 51 55 20

Woods 1,927 138 72 55 37 29

Woodward 4,430 143 234 94 53 21

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Oklahoma 129,023 962 4,826 478 37 4 Adair 855 59 28 19 33 23 Alfalfa 109 18 ‐ 109 ‐ 221 Atoka 382 76 30 43 79 106 Beaver 195 41 15 18 77 88 Beckham 727 105 15 23 21 32 Blaine 427 106 ‐ 109 ‐ 62 Bryan 1,578 108 16 22 10 14 Caddo 1,056 142 29 29 27 28 Canadian 3,883 133 105 71 27 18 Carter 1,646 133 140 89 85 55 Cherokee 2,165 190 55 46 25 22 Choctaw 507 55 28 26 55 50 Cimarron 43 31 8 13 186 283 Cleveland 9,661 214 150 89 16 9 Coal 154 45 8 9 52 63 Comanche 4,264 75 200 95 47 22 Cotton 140 25 17 17 121 106 Craig 453 95 14 29 31 58 Creek 2,364 60 50 45 21 19 Custer 1,049 105 7 10 7 9 Delaware 1,356 62 15 18 11 13 Dewey 124 22 4 5 32 40 Ellis 123 24 ‐ 109 ‐ 199 Garfield 2,089 169 77 59 37 29 Garvin 864 73 22 24 25 29 Grady 1,852 87 132 79 71 43 Grant 153 23 ‐ 109 ‐ 164 Greer 126 60 ‐ 109 ‐ 195 Harmon 79 30 ‐ 109 ‐ 286 Harper 120 67 32 34 267 266 Haskell 380 28 10 13 26 34 Hughes 442 56 37 33 84 75 Jackson 699 100 87 91 124 131 Jefferson 219 25 12 14 55 60 Johnston 416 73 24 28 58 69

171 | P a g e

Kay 1,697 55 68 51 40 30 Kingfisher 548 46 11 15 20 28 Kiowa 382 100 26 22 68 62 Latimer 589 133 18 22 31 35 Le Flore 1,771 63 37 28 21 16 Lincoln 1,336 81 19 18 14 14 Logan 1,407 112 72 53 51 38 Love 338 85 ‐ 109 ‐ 78 McClain 998 76 ‐ 109 ‐ 27 McCurtain 1,060 72 38 33 36 31 McIntosh 711 144 13 16 18 23 Major 197 33 5 7 25 35 Marshall 530 102 21 24 40 46 Mayes 1,544 64 62 49 40 32 Murray 381 97 18 32 47 85 Muskogee 2,306 162 250 175 108 75 Noble 393 78 ‐ 109 ‐ 68 Nowata 260 82 12 15 46 60 Okfuskee 330 85 9 11 27 34 Oklahoma 23,382 3 1,029 191 44 8 Okmulgee 1,180 97 85 66 72 54 Osage 1,644 89 26 26 16 16 Ottawa 1,297 38 63 43 49 34 Pawnee 531 55 21 21 40 40 Payne 4,032 198 49 56 12 14 Pittsburg 1,436 74 51 36 36 25 Pontotoc 1,444 121 54 43 37 31 Pottawatomie 2,547 121 136 77 53 30 Pushmataha 392 45 26 24 66 62 Roger Mills 81 22 4 6 49 70 Rogers 3,153 99 60 46 19 15 Seminole 910 75 24 30 26 32 Sequoyah 1,469 82 21 23 14 16 Stephens 1,415 112 86 63 61 43 Texas 706 62 23 29 33 41 Tillman 308 76 11 11 36 36 Tulsa 20,307 59 811 168 40 8 Wagoner 2,389 103 90 69 38 28 Washington 1,630 79 80 76 49 46 Washita 376 33 15 14 40 36 Woods 378 133 15 23 40 67 Woodward 538 112 ‐ 109 ‐ 50

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Oklahoma 368,582 852 41,696 1,338 113 4 Adair 2,030 80 402 111 198 53 Alfalfa 330 23 60 25 182 79 Atoka 1,084 84 118 69 109 63 Beaver 372 37 41 20 110 56 Beckham 1,879 120 371 131 197 71 Blaine 695 91 187 66 269 96 Bryan 4,175 96 382 138 91 33 Caddo 2,265 81 397 87 175 38 Canadian 10,609 96 1,482 297 140 28 Carter 4,240 155 506 157 119 36 Cherokee 4,826 141 520 151 108 32 Choctaw 1,231 67 175 68 142 55 Cimarron 161 46 18 21 112 130 Cleveland 30,888 200 2,951 354 96 11 Coal 456 36 59 39 129 82 Comanche 13,283 118 1,897 276 143 21 Cotton 514 43 111 62 216 116 Craig 1,133 61 90 62 79 54 Creek 5,712 85 749 168 131 29 Custer 3,430 137 494 151 144 45 Delaware 2,963 59 216 97 73 33 Dewey 359 31 31 24 86 67 Ellis 257 25 39 19 152 72 Garfield 5,538 154 681 203 123 36 Garvin 2,394 96 200 82 84 34 Grady 4,583 135 618 184 135 41 Grant 330 25 29 23 88 69 Greer 450 73 24 23 53 51 Harmon 221 50 63 32 285 157 Harper 271 52 47 35 173 126 Haskell 1,019 54 84 43 82 42 Hughes 947 60 158 64 167 66 Jackson 2,767 61 263 84 95 30 Jefferson 479 32 98 38 205 81 Johnston 955 219 73 71 76 86 Kay 3,874 50 590 119 152 31 Kingfisher 1,242 95 166 83 134 65

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Kiowa 692 62 43 31 62 45 Latimer 750 115 74 51 99 62 Le Flore 4,287 79 643 129 150 30 Lincoln 2,532 65 229 72 90 28 Logan 3,797 115 542 186 143 48 Love 764 56 85 58 111 77 McClain 2,808 132 404 122 144 45 McCurtain 3,060 84 420 132 137 43 McIntosh 1,384 109 135 86 98 60 Major 513 36 74 40 144 75 Marshall 1,124 122 152 87 135 78 Mayes 3,387 28 486 152 143 45 Murray 1,074 100 87 61 81 56 Muskogee 6,901 173 690 170 100 25 Noble 980 78 103 64 105 65 Nowata 856 66 202 98 236 113 Okfuskee 923 68 88 50 95 52 Oklahoma 80,175 94 9,391 713 117 9 Okmulgee 3,613 127 408 138 113 38 Osage 3,408 152 427 106 125 32 Ottawa 2,691 27 356 77 132 29 Pawnee 1,249 54 204 92 163 74 Payne 11,754 209 862 219 73 19 Pittsburg 3,547 116 549 130 155 36 Pontotoc 3,954 89 410 122 104 32 Pottawatomie 6,958 105 507 126 73 18 Pushmataha 829 18 63 35 76 42 Roger Mills 239 18 42 24 176 101 Rogers 7,193 118 694 163 96 23 Seminole 2,185 75 303 101 139 45 Sequoyah 3,497 95 382 108 109 31 Stephens 3,740 129 334 129 89 35 Texas 2,037 47 220 90 108 44 Tillman 546 92 111 68 203 113 Tulsa 62,813 47 6,143 483 98 8 Wagoner 6,312 121 717 188 114 29 Washington 4,289 115 394 126 92 30 Washita 988 39 117 46 118 47 Woods 827 72 49 40 59 49 Woodward 1,944 131 166 93 85 48

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Oklahoma 395,075 986 6,097 501 15 1 Adair 2,409 81 4 6 2 2 Alfalfa 438 28 ‐ 109 ‐ 61 Atoka 1,466 79 17 17 12 11 Beaver 646 34 10 15 15 23 Beckham 2,067 132 7 13 3 6 Blaine 1,108 142 7 7 6 7 Bryan 4,120 108 24 27 6 7 Caddo 3,063 88 21 20 7 7 Canadian 13,099 189 309 111 24 8 Carter 4,916 191 32 32 7 6 Cherokee 4,718 151 16 14 3 3 Choctaw 1,514 63 ‐ 109 ‐ 18 Cimarron 229 40 7 10 31 43 Cleveland 26,451 229 564 175 21 7 Coal 578 40 7 11 12 19 Comanche 12,489 174 112 69 9 6 Cotton 717 55 21 22 29 31 Craig 1,637 61 3 6 2 4 Creek 7,659 128 34 33 4 4 Custer 2,450 132 90 68 37 28 Delaware 4,331 162 24 31 6 7 Dewey 459 25 6 9 13 20 Ellis 389 23 ‐ 109 ‐ 68 Garfield 6,193 197 63 43 10 7 Garvin 2,873 103 66 44 23 15 Grady 5,857 140 126 90 22 15 Grant 468 27 ‐ 109 ‐ 57 Greer 475 77 ‐ 109 ‐ 56 Harmon 283 34 4 7 14 24 Harper 344 45 ‐ 109 ‐ 77 Haskell 1,314 51 35 42 27 32 Hughes 1,228 49 13 19 11 16 Jackson 2,780 105 47 41 17 15 Jefferson 710 44 ‐ 109 ‐ 38 Johnston 1,064 263 9 13 8 12 Kay 4,626 127 62 39 13 8 Kingfisher 1,695 107 3 6 2 3

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Kiowa 1,011 82 ‐ 109 ‐ 27 Latimer 1,187 70 21 22 18 18 Le Flore 5,273 126 76 53 14 10 Lincoln 3,926 125 66 50 17 13 Logan 4,579 116 58 42 13 9 Love 1,012 60 38 38 38 37 McClain 3,898 145 61 74 16 19 McCurtain 3,440 96 6 9 2 3 McIntosh 1,939 93 19 19 10 10 Major 773 41 26 26 34 34 Marshall 1,465 128 40 46 27 30 Mayes 4,275 101 46 40 11 9 Murray 1,435 95 12 14 8 10 Muskogee 7,637 174 115 73 15 10 Noble 1,278 109 7 13 5 10 Nowata 1,102 55 ‐ 109 ‐ 25 Okfuskee 1,141 62 13 19 11 17 Oklahoma 75,976 448 1,396 248 18 3 Okmulgee 4,054 113 13 17 3 4 Osage 5,326 158 125 89 23 17 Ottawa 3,294 66 4 6 1 2 Pawnee 1,842 70 34 29 18 16 Payne 6,187 149 147 81 24 13 Pittsburg 4,579 138 63 46 14 10 Pontotoc 3,824 138 82 53 21 14 Pottawatomie 7,612 115 138 66 18 9 Pushmataha 1,235 50 26 28 21 22 Roger Mills 373 22 ‐ 109 ‐ 71 Rogers 10,240 174 48 31 5 3 Seminole 2,684 91 9 13 3 5 Sequoyah 4,778 143 93 54 19 11 Stephens 4,808 163 79 60 16 13 Texas 1,906 62 24 29 13 15 Tillman 909 79 6 9 7 10 Tulsa 65,791 377 1,219 236 19 4 Wagoner 8,150 153 152 69 19 9 Washington 5,412 140 8 14 1 3 Washita 1,191 51 8 12 7 10 Woods 722 60 8 12 11 17 Woodward 1,948 99 68 43 35 22

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Appendix 2 – US Mortality Rates 2007 Source: US Center for Disease Controll, as accessed at

http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/nvsr/nvsr59/nvsr59_09.pdf

Table 2. Life table for males: United States, 2007

Age Probablity of dying between ages x to

x+1

Number surviving to age x

Number dying between ages x to x+1

Person-years lived between ages x to x+1

Total number of person-years lived

above age x

Expectation of life at

age x

0-1 0.007390 100,000 739 99,352 7,537,883 75.4

1-2 0.000490 99,261 49 99,237 7,438,531 74.9

2-3 0.000316 99,212 31 99,197 7,339,295 74.0

3-4 0.000242 99,181 24 99,169 7,240,098 73.0

4-5 0.000201 99,157 20 99,147 7,140,929 72.0

5-6 0.000182 99,137 18 99,128 7,041,782 71.0

6-7 0.000170 99,119 17 99,111 6,942,654 70.0

7-8 0.000156 99,102 15 99,095 6,843,543 69.1

8-9 0.000134 99,087 13 99,080 6,744,448 68.1

9-10 0.000107 99,074 11 99,068 6,645,368 67.1

10-11 0.000085 99,063 8 99,059 6,546,300 66.1

11-12 0.000089 99,055 9 99,050 6,447,241 65.1

12-13 0.000143 99,046 14 99,039 6,348,191 64.1

13-14 0.000256 99,032 25 99,019 6,249,153 63.1

14-15 0.000411 99,006 41 98,986 6,150,134 62.1

15-16 0.000573 98,966 57 98,937 6,051,148 61.1

16-17 0.000725 98,909 72 98,873 5,952,211 60.2

17-18 0.000873 98,837 86 98,794 5,853,338 59.2

18-19 0.001014 98,751 100 98,701 5,754,544 58.3

19-20 0.001149 98,651 113 98,594 5,655,843 57.3

20-21 0.001292 98,537 127 98,474 5,557,249 56.4

21-22 0.001427 98,410 140 98,340 5,458,775 55.5

22-23 0.001512 98,270 149 98,195 5,360,435 54.5

23-24 0.001529 98,121 150 98,046 5,262,240 53.6

24-25 0.001497 97,971 147 97,898 5,164,194 52.7

25-26 0.001448 97,824 142 97,754 5,066,296 51.8

26-27 0.001409 97,683 138 97,614 4,968,543 50.9

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27-28 0.001382 97,545 135 97,478 4,870,929 49.9

28-29 0.001376 97,410 134 97,343 4,773,451 49.0

29-30 0.001390 97,276 135 97,209 4,676,108 48.1

30-31 0.001412 97,141 137 97,072 4,578,899 47.1

31-32 0.001437 97,004 139 96,934 4,481,827 46.2

32-33 0.001474 96,864 143 96,793 4,384,893 45.3

33-34 0.001516 96,722 147 96,648 4,288,100 44.3

34-35 0.001570 96,575 152 96,499 4,191,451 43.4

35-36 0.001634 96,423 158 96,345 4,094,952 42.5

36-37 0.001716 96,266 165 96,183 3,998,607 41.5

37-38 0.001821 96,101 175 96,013 3,902,424 40.6

38-39 0.001956 95,926 188 95,832 3,806,411 39.7

39-40 0.002120 95,738 203 95,636 3,710,579 38.8

40-41 0.002303 95,535 220 95,425 3,614,943 37.8

41-42 0.002505 95,315 239 95,196 3,519,518 36.9

42-43 0.002735 95,076 260 94,946 3,424,322 36.0

43-44 0.002992 94,816 284 94,674 3,329,376 35.1

44-45 0.003270 94,533 309 94,378 3,234,702 34.2

45-46 0.003556 94,223 335 94,056 3,140,324 33.3

46-47 0.003855 93,888 362 93,707 3,046,268 32.4

47-48 0.004187 93,526 392 93,331 2,952,560 31.6

48-49 0.004570 93,135 426 92,922 2,859,230 30.7

49-50 0.005001 92,709 464 92,477 2,766,308 29.8

50-51 0.005474 92,246 505 91,993 2,673,831 29.0

51-52 0.005969 91,741 548 91,467 2,581,838 28.1

52-53 0.006473 91,193 590 90,898 2,490,371 27.3

53-54 0.006971 90,603 632 90,287 2,399,473 26.5

54-55 0.007469 89,971 672 89,635 2,309,186 25.7

55-56 0.007995 89,299 714 88,942 2,219,551 24.9

56-57 0.008567 88,585 759 88,206 2,130,609 24.1

57-58 0.009179 87,826 806 87,423 2,042,403 23.3

58-59 0.009843 87,020 857 86,592 1,954,980 22.5

59-60 0.010571 86,164 911 85,708 1,868,389 21.7

60-61 0.011378 85,253 970 84,768 1,782,680 20.9

61-62 0.012264 84,283 1,034 83,766 1,697,913 20.1

62-63 0.013227 83,249 1,101 82,699 1,614,147 19.4

63-64 0.014275 82,148 1,173 81,562 1,531,448 18.6

64-65 0.015434 80,975 1,250 80,350 1,449,887 17.9

65-66 0.016771 79,726 1,337 79,057 1,369,536 17.2

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66-67 0.018156 78,388 1,423 77,677 1,290,479 16.5

67-68 0.019682 76,965 1,515 76,208 1,212,802 15.8

68-69 0.021327 75,450 1,609 74,646 1,136,594 15.1

69-70 0.023144 73,841 1,709 72,987 1,061,948 14.4

70-71 0.025204 72,132 1,818 71,223 988,962 13.7

71-72 0.027616 70,314 1,942 69,343 917,738 13.1

72-73 0.030417 68,373 2,080 67,333 848,395 12.4

73-74 0.033598 66,293 2,227 65,179 781,062 11.8

74-75 0.037153 64,066 2,380 62,875 715,883 11.2

75-76 0.041097 61,685 2,535 60,418 653,008 10.6

76-77 0.045315 59,150 2,680 57,810 592,590 10.0

77-78 0.049944 56,470 2,820 55,060 534,780 9.5

78-79 0.055019 53,649 2,952 52,174 479,720 8.9

79-80 0.060576 50,698 3,071 49,162 427,547 8.4

80-81 0.066655 47,627 3,175 46,039 378,384 7.9

81-82 0.073296 44,452 3,258 42,823 332,345 7.5

82-83 0.080542 41,194 3,318 39,535 289,522 7.0

83-84 0.088435 37,876 3,350 36,201 249,987 6.6

84-85 0.097021 34,527 3,350 32,852 213,785 6.2

85-86 0.106343 31,177 3,315 29,519 180,934 5.8

86-87 0.116446 27,861 3,244 26,239 151,415 5.4

87-88 0.127371 24,617 3,135 23,049 125,175 5.1

88-89 0.139160 21,482 2,989 19,987 102,126 4.8

89-90 0.151850 18,492 2,808 17,088 82,139 4.4

90-91 0.165475 15,684 2,595 14,386 65,051 4.1

91-92 0.180063 13,089 2,357 11,910 50,665 3.9

92-93 0.195635 10,732 2,100 9,682 38,754 3.6

93-94 0.212205 8,632 1,832 7,717 29,072 3.4

94-95 0.229779 6,801 1,563 6,019 21,355 3.1

95-96 0.248348 5,238 1,301 4,588 15,336 2.9

96-97 0.267897 3,937 1,055 3,410 10,749 2.7

97-98 0.288394 2,882 831 2,467 7,339 2.5

98-99 0.309795 2,051 635 1,733 4,872 2.4

99-100 0.332043 1,416 470 1,181 3,139 2.2

100 and over

1.000000 946 946 1,958 1,958 2.1

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Table 3. Life table for females: United States, 2007

Age Probablity of dying between ages x to

x+1

Number surviving to age x

Number dying between ages x to x+1

Person-years lived between ages x to x+1

Total number of person-years lived

above age x

Expectation of life at

age x

0-1 0.006103 100,000 610 99,464 8,040,632 80.4

1-2 0.000430 99,390 43 99,368 7,941,168 79.9

2-3 0.000255 99,347 25 99,334 7,841,800 78.9

3-4 0.000193 99,322 19 99,312 7,742,465 78.0

4-5 0.000149 99,303 15 99,295 7,643,153 77.0

5-6 0.000145 99,288 14 99,281 7,543,858 76.0

6-7 0.000132 99,273 13 99,267 7,444,577 75.0

7-8 0.000122 99,260 12 99,254 7,345,311 74.0

8-9 0.000112 99,248 11 99,243 7,246,057 73.0

9-10 0.000103 99,237 10 99,232 7,146,814 72.0

10-11 0.000096 99,227 10 99,222 7,047,582 71.0

11-12 0.000100 99,217 10 99,212 6,948,360 70.0

12-13 0.000120 99,207 12 99,201 6,849,148 69.0

13-14 0.000160 99,195 16 99,188 6,749,947 68.0

14-15 0.000212 99,180 21 99,169 6,650,759 67.1

15-16 0.000271 99,159 27 99,145 6,551,590 66.1

16-17 0.000325 99,132 32 99,116 6,452,445 65.1

17-18 0.000369 99,100 37 99,081 6,353,329 64.1

18-19 0.000400 99,063 40 99,043 6,254,248 63.1

19-20 0.000422 99,023 42 99,003 6,155,205 62.2

20-21 0.000443 98,982 44 98,960 6,056,202 61.2

21-22 0.000467 98,938 46 98,915 5,957,243 60.2

22-23 0.000488 98,892 48 98,868 5,858,328 59.2

23-24 0.000504 98,843 50 98,818 5,759,460 58.3

24-25 0.000518 98,794 51 98,768 5,660,642 57.3

25-26 0.000532 98,742 53 98,716 5,561,874 56.3

26-27 0.000548 98,690 54 98,663 5,463,158 55.4

27-28 0.000565 98,636 56 98,608 5,364,495 54.4

28-29 0.000583 98,580 57 98,551 5,265,887 53.4

29-30 0.000605 98,523 60 98,493 5,167,336 52.4

30-31 0.000634 98,463 62 98,432 5,068,843 51.5

31-32 0.000670 98,401 66 98,368 4,970,411 50.5

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32-33 0.000714 98,335 70 98,300 4,872,043 49.5

33-34 0.000767 98,264 75 98,227 4,773,744 48.6

34-35 0.000824 98,189 81 98,149 4,675,517 47.6

35-36 0.000887 98,108 87 98,065 4,577,369 46.7

36-37 0.000959 98,021 94 97,974 4,479,304 45.7

37-38 0.001040 97,927 102 97,876 4,381,330 44.7

38-39 0.001137 97,825 111 97,770 4,283,454 43.8

39-40 0.001248 97,714 122 97,653 4,185,684 42.8

40-41 0.001367 97,592 133 97,525 4,088,031 41.9

41-42 0.001495 97,459 146 97,386 3,990,505 40.9

42-43 0.001644 97,313 160 97,233 3,893,120 40.0

43-44 0.001812 97,153 176 97,065 3,795,887 39.1

44-45 0.001994 96,977 193 96,880 3,698,822 38.1

45-46 0.002182 96,784 211 96,678 3,601,941 37.2

46-47 0.002373 96,572 229 96,458 3,505,263 36.3

47-48 0.002569 96,343 247 96,220 3,408,805 35.4

48-49 0.002775 96,096 267 95,962 3,312,586 34.5

49-50 0.002995 95,829 287 95,686 3,216,623 33.6

50-51 0.003236 95,542 309 95,388 3,120,938 32.7

51-52 0.003494 95,233 333 95,067 3,025,550 31.8

52-53 0.003763 94,900 357 94,722 2,930,484 30.9

53-54 0.004041 94,543 382 94,352 2,835,762 30.0

54-55 0.004330 94,161 408 93,957 2,741,410 29.1

55-56 0.004639 93,753 435 93,536 2,647,452 28.2

56-57 0.004981 93,319 465 93,086 2,553,916 27.4

57-58 0.005372 92,854 499 92,604 2,460,830 26.5

58-59 0.005826 92,355 538 92,086 2,368,226 25.6

59-60 0.006347 91,817 583 91,525 2,276,140 24.8

60-61 0.006942 91,234 633 90,917 2,184,615 23.9

61-62 0.007595 90,601 688 90,257 2,093,697 23.1

62-63 0.008293 89,913 746 89,540 2,003,441 22.3

63-64 0.009029 89,167 805 88,764 1,913,901 21.5

64-65 0.009826 88,362 868 87,928 1,825,136 20.7

65-66 0.010753 87,494 941 87,023 1,737,208 19.9

66-67 0.011692 86,553 1,012 86,047 1,650,185 19.1

67-68 0.012722 85,541 1,088 84,997 1,564,138 18.3

68-69 0.013830 84,453 1,168 83,869 1,479,141 17.5

69-70 0.015062 83,285 1,254 82,657 1,395,273 16.8

70-71 0.016484 82,030 1,352 81,354 1,312,615 16.0

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71-72 0.018170 80,678 1,466 79,945 1,231,261 15.3

72-73 0.020151 79,212 1,596 78,414 1,151,316 14.5

73-74 0.022445 77,616 1,742 76,745 1,072,902 13.8

74-75 0.025056 75,874 1,901 74,923 996,157 13.1

75-76 0.028016 73,973 2,072 72,937 921,234 12.5

76-77 0.031215 71,900 2,244 70,778 848,297 11.8

77-78 0.034767 69,656 2,422 68,445 777,519 11.2

78-79 0.038707 67,234 2,602 65,933 709,074 10.5

79-80 0.043073 64,632 2,784 63,240 643,141 10.0

80-81 0.047907 61,848 2,963 60,366 579,901 9.4

81-82 0.053254 58,885 3,136 57,317 519,534 8.8

82-83 0.059160 55,749 3,298 54,100 462,217 8.3

83-84 0.065676 52,451 3,445 50,729 408,117 7.8

84-85 0.072854 49,006 3,570 47,221 357,389 7.3

85-86 0.080749 45,436 3,669 43,601 310,168 6.8

86-87 0.089416 41,767 3,735 39,900 266,566 6.4

87-88 0.098914 38,032 3,762 36,151 226,666 6.0

88-89 0.109300 34,270 3,746 32,398 190,515 5.6

89-90 0.120630 30,525 3,682 28,684 158,117 5.2

90-91 0.132959 26,842 3,569 25,058 129,434 4.8

91-92 0.146339 23,274 3,406 21,571 104,376 4.5

92-93 0.160816 19,868 3,195 18,270 82,805 4.2

93-94 0.176428 16,673 2,942 15,202 64,535 3.9

94-95 0.193208 13,731 2,653 12,405 49,333 3.6

95-96 0.211174 11,078 2,339 9,908 36,928 3.3

96-97 0.230333 8,739 2,013 7,732 27,020 3.1

97-98 0.250679 6,726 1,686 5,883 19,288 2.9

98-99 0.272186 5,040 1,372 4,354 13,405 2.7

99-100 0.294812 3,668 1,081 3,127 9,051 2.5

100 and over

1.000000 2,587 2,587 5,923 5,923 2.3

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Appendix 3 – Historic Components of Change for Oklahoma’s Population Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division

STATE OF OKLAHOMA

Table A-3

Historical Population, Births, Deaths, and Migration: 1920 - 2001

Natural Population Percent

Year Population Births Deaths Natural Increase

Migration Population Change

Percent Change

1920 2,028,283 40,636 16,054 24,582 700 25,300 1.26

1921 2,108,000 47,068 16,340 30,728 49,000 79,700 3.93

1922 2,140,000 50,944 16,378 34,566 (2,600) 32,000 1.52

1923 2,159,000 47,452 17,273 30,179 (11,200) 19,000 0.89

1924 2,179,000 50,453 17,103 33,350 (13,400) 20,000 0.93

1925 2,216,000 54,915 20,026 34,889 2,100 37,000 1.7

1926 2,256,000 55,770 20,507 35,263 4,700 40,000 1.81

1927 2,306,000 51,856 21,170 30,686 19,300 50,000 2.22

1928 2,344,000 42,986 20,953 22,033 16,000 38,000 1.65

1929 2,372,000 39,738 21,398 18,340 9,700 28,000 1.19

1930 2,396,040 42,505 19,646 22,859 1,200 24,000 1.01

1931 2,403,000 43,269 18,802 24,467 (17,500) 7,000 0.29

1932 2,394,000 41,039 19,285 21,754 (30,800) (9,000) -0.37

1933 2,392,000 43,697 20,309 23,388 (25,400) (2,000) -0.08

1934 2,391,000 47,302 21,373 25,929 (26,900) (1,000) -0.04

1935 2,386,000 43,691 21,091 22,600 (27,600) (5,000) -0.21

1936 2,365,000 41,815 23,350 18,465 (39,500) (21,000) -0.88

1937 2,334,000 41,223 21,399 19,824 (50,800) (31,000) -1.31

1938 2,324,000 44,190 20,422 23,768 (33,800) (10,000) -0.43

1939 2,333,000 42,760 20,657 22,103 (13,100) 9,000 0.39

1940 2,336,434 44,258 20,618 23,640 (20,200) 3,400 0.15

1941 2,262,000 45,313 20,097 25,216 (99,700) (74,400) -3.19

1942 2,215,000 45,277 18,985 26,292 (73,300) (47,000) -2.08

1943 2,205,000 47,800 19,765 28,035 (38,000) (10,000) -0.45

1944 2,043,000 46,885 18,438 28,447 (190,400) (162,000) -7.35

1945 2,028,000 43,405 18,731 24,674 (39,700) (15,000) -0.73

1946 2,128,000 50,043 18,420 31,623 68,400 100,000 4.93

1947 2,133,000 52,691 19,101 33,590 (28,600) 5,000 0.23

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1948 2,089,000 50,428 19,074 31,354 (75,400) (44,000) -2.06

1949 2,105,000 49,971 19,346 30,625 (14,600) 16,000 0.77

1950 2,233,351 50,472 19,431 31,041 97,300 128,400 6.1

1951 2,229,000 50,597 20,082 30,515 (34,900) (4,400) -0.19

1952 2,210,000 50,146 19,645 30,501 (49,500) (19,000) -0.85

1953 2,219,000 51,275 19,820 31,455 (22,500) 9,000 0.41

1954 2,182,000 51,457 20,121 31,336 (68,300) (37,000) -1.67

1955 2,250,000 50,636 19,705 30,931 37,100 68,000 3.12

1956 2,273,000 51,894 20,954 30,940 (7,900) 23,000 1.02

1957 2,282,000 51,349 21,568 29,781 (20,800) 9,000 0.4

1958 2,267,000 50,552 21,812 28,740 (43,700) (15,000) -0.66

1959 2,289,000 51,141 21,996 29,145 (7,100) 22,000 0.97

1960 2,328,284 50,900 22,932 27,968 11,300 39,300 1.72

1961 2,380,000 50,859 22,973 27,886 23,800 51,700 2.22

1962 2,427,000 51,351 24,005 27,346 19,700 47,000 1.97

1963 2,439,000 49,955 24,458 25,497 (13,500) 12,000 0.49

1964 2,446,000 47,563 24,194 23,369 (16,400) 7,000 0.29

1965 2,440,000 42,806 24,304 18,502 (24,500) (6,000) -0.25

1966 2,454,000 39,993 24,806 15,187 (1,200) 14,000 0.57

1967 2,489,000 40,102 24,859 15,243 19,800 35,000 1.43

1968 2,503,000 40,973 25,708 15,265 (1,300) 14,000 0.56

1969 2,535,000 42,737 25,972 16,765 15,200 32,000 1.28

1970 2,559,229 44,991 26,750 18,241 6,200 24,500 0.97

1971 2,618,000 45,353 25,682 19,671 39,500 59,100 2.31

1972 2,657,000 42,303 26,935 15,368 24,600 40,000 1.53

1973 2,694,000 40,765 27,357 13,408 23,900 37,300 1.4

1974 2,732,000 42,363 27,228 15,135 23,800 38,900 1.44

1975 2,772,000 43,130 27,165 15,965 23,900 39,900 1.46

1976 2,823,000 43,663 27,103 16,560 35,500 52,100 1.88

1977 2,866,000 45,449 26,766 18,683 24,500 43,200 1.53

1978 2,913,000 45,885 27,892 17,993 29,300 47,300 1.65

1979 2,970,000 49,007 27,756 21,251 36,700 58,000 1.99

1980 3,025,290 52,065 28,227 23,838 26,300 50,200 1.69

1981 3,096,159 53,620 28,568 25,052 45,700 70,700 2.34

1982 3,206,129 58,748 29,305 29,443 80,500 109,900 3.55

1983 3,290,404 56,859 29,426 27,433 56,900 84,300 2.63

1984 3,285,535 54,323 28,635 25,688 (30,600) (4,900) -0.15

1985 3,271,333 53,100 29,735 23,365 (37,600) (14,200) -0.43

1986 3,252,735 50,536 29,708 20,828 (39,400) (18,600) -0.57

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1987 3,210,124 47,701 29,191 18,510 (61,100) (42,600) -1.31

1988 3,167,064 47,279 29,766 17,513 (60,500) (43,000) -1.34

1989 3,150,304 47,238 29,487 17,751 (34,600) (16,800) -0.53

1990 3,145,585 47,725 30,301 17,424 (22,100) (4,700) -0.15

1991 3,175,440 47,759 30,172 17,587 12,200 29,800 0.95

1992 3,220,517 47,544 30,425 17,119 28,000 45,100 1.42

1993 3,252,285 46,165 32,265 13,900 17,900 31,800 0.99

1994 3,280,940 45,607 32,082 13,525 15,100 28,600 0.88

1995 3,308,208 45,365 32,431 12,934 14,400 27,300 0.83

1996 3,340,129 46,133 32,872 13,261 18,600 31,900 0.96

1997 3,372,917 48,162 33,780 14,380 18,400 32,800 0.98

1998 3,405,194 49,354 33,810 15,544 16,800 32,300 0.96

1999 3,437,147 48,470 34,266 14,396 17,500 31,953 0.94

2000 3,450,654 49,712 34,766 14,946 (739) 13,507 0.39

2001 3,464,729 49,570 35,007 14,563 (1,922) 14,075 0.41

2002 3,484,754 50,371 35,080 15,291 6,867 20,025 0.58

2003 3,498,687 50,632 35,020 15,612 1,033 13,933 0.40

2004 3,514,449 50,923 35,736 15,187 3,032 15,762 0.45

2005 3,532,769 51,859 35,856 16,003 5,064 18,320 0.52

2006 3,574,334 52,485 35,765 16,720 25,700 41,565 1.18

2007 3,612,186 54,988 35,173 19,815 18,205 37,852 1.06

2008 3,644,025 54,579 34,792 19,787 12,052 31,839 0.88

2009 3,687,050 54,262 34,815 19,447 23,685 43,025 1.18

2010 3,751,351 51,796 35,037 16,759 47,542 64,301 1.74

2011 3,791,508 53,727 34,528 19,199 12,103 40,157 1.07

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