T2040 Performance MeasuresBPAC • May 9, 2017

PSRC Regional Outcomes – Above and Beyond RequirementsV

ISIO

N 2

04

0

Air Quality & Climate Change - Clean air and reduce climate change precursors

Freight - Efficient, reliable freight mobility

Health Equity - Travel options promote health and well being

Jobs – Access to Jobs

Multi-Modal - System is integrated and provides alternatives to driving alone

Puget Sound Land and Water - Clean water and land

Safety & System Security - Safe and secure transportation system

Social Equity & Access to Opportunity - Improved mobility for all and reduced negative impacts to vulnerable populations

Maintenance and Preservation - The system is maintained and in good repair

Support for Centers - Support existing and new populations in centers

Travel - Transportation system is efficient, reliable and convenient for people, goods and services

PSRC Regional Outcomes – Above and Beyond RequirementsV

ISIO

N 2

04

0

Air Quality & Climate Change - Clean air and reduce climate change precursors*

Freight - Efficient, reliable freight mobility *

Health Equity - Travel options promote health and well being

Jobs – Access to Jobs

Multi-Modal - System is integrated and provides alternatives to driving alone *

Puget Sound Land and Water - Clean water and land

Safety & System Security - Safe and secure transportation system *

Social Equity & Access to Opportunity - Improved mobility for all and reduced negative impacts to vulnerable populations

Maintenance and Preservation - The system is maintained and in good repair *

Support for Centers - Support existing and new populations in centers

Travel - Transportation system is efficient, reliable and convenient for people, goods and services *

* New requirements integrate with

existing Regional Outcomes

4

Evaluating Measures at various scales

T2040 Update - 2018 Update T2040 Implementation - 2018 and Beyond

by end of January 2017 Summer 2017 Post 2018 Adoption Ongoing Review

Project Screening for Capacity Projects in T2040

(project scale analysis)

Travel Model and Benefits Analysis

(system scale analysis)

Project Selection for Federal Funds

(project scale analysis)

Performance Trends

(system scale analysis)

5

Evaluating Measures at various scales

T2040 Update - 2018 Update T2040 Implementation - 2018 and Beyond

by end of January 2017 Summer 2017 Post 2018 Adoption Ongoing Review

Project Screening for Capacity Projects in T2040

(project scale analysis)

Travel Model and Benefits Analysis

(system scale analysis)

Project Selection for Federal Funds

(project scale analysis)

Performance Trends

(system scale analysis)

Top ten fastest growing cities: Percent Change

Source: Office of Financial Management, April 1, 2016 Population of Cities, Towns and Counties

Top 10 Cities by Percent Population

change • Sammamish’s large total change is reflective of a January 2016 annexation.

• Seattle was the 8th fastest growing city by % change last year.

Jurisdiction 2015 2016

Total

Change % Change

Sammamish 49,980 61,250 11,270 22.5%

Gig Harbor 8,555 9,065 510 6.0%

Milton 7,385 7,695 310 4.2%

Sultan 4,680 4,860 180 3.8%

Fife 9,545 9,910 365 3.8%

Kenmore 21,500 22,320 820 3.8%

Issaquah 33,330 34,590 1,260 3.8%

Seattle 662,400 686,800 24,400 3.7%

Orting 7,290 7,535 245 3.4%

Carnation 1,790 1,850 60 3.4%

Source: Office of Financial Management, Postcensal of April 1 Housing Units, 1980, 1990 to

Present

Population growth is surging ahead of housing

Annual Population & Housing Unit Changes

0.0%

1.0%

2.0%

3.0%

2000-01 2003-04 2006-07 2009-10 2012-13 2015-16

Population Housing

Regional Transit growth was the fastest in the nation

Source: National Transit Database (NTD), Federal Transit Administration

Annual Growth in Transit Ridership in 2016• Central Puget Sound Region

transit ridership grew at a faster rate than any of the 52 metropolitan areas with a population of more than one million people (only 10 of these regions experienced an increase).

• Only New York City added more total transit boardings than the Central Puget Sound Region.

Central Puget

SoundMilwaukee

San FranciscoBoston

Chicago

Los Angeles

Washington DC

Philadelphia

Houston

DenverPortland

-15.0%

-12.5%

-10.0%

-7.5%

-5.0%

-2.5%

0.0%

2.5%

5.0%

0 million 200 million 400 million 600 million 800 million

Delay continues to increase on our Freeways

Source: Freeway Count Detectors, TRAC Flow, – Washington State Department of Transportation

2016

2015

2014

I-5 I-405 I-90 SR 167 SR 520

+30%

+14%

• I-5 accounted for over 65% of the regional delay in 2016 (up from 56% in 2014)

10

Evaluating Measures at various scales

T2040 Update - 2018 Update T2040 Implementation - 2018 and Beyond

by end of January 2017 Summer 2017 Post 2018 Adoption Ongoing Review

Project Screening for Capacity Projects in T2040

(project scale analysis)

Travel Model and Benefits Analysis

(system scale analysis)

Project Selection for Federal Funds

(project scale analysis)

Performance Trends

(system scale analysis)

11

Travel Model Improvements

• Activity-based model means:

• Person-oriented

• Can describe travel by:

• Income

• Home location

• Age

• No longer bound to “areas of concern,” can directly analyze population groups

12

New ways to collaborate

• Tableau dashboards were utilized to share data

• Dashboards allowed for detailed review of results

• New performance measures were tested and shared

Equity Metrics

Interactive dashboard tools

Equity Metrics

Equity Metrics

Equity Metrics

Health Metrics

18

T2040 Modeling (Benefits Analysis)

Equity:

• Geographic Distribution of Benefits

• Income Distribution of Benefits

• Benefits to Passenger & Commercial Users

• Benefits to EJ Populations

• Benefits to Low & High-Wage Employment

• Cost to commute to work and school (by mode and income group)

• Auto ownership costs by income group

Health:

• Time travelling by walk/ bike, % of people walking and bicycling for

transportation Mode share

• Crash Rates

• Vehicle & Stationary Emission Benefits

T2040 Update - 2018 Update T2040 Implementation - 2018 and Beyond

by end of January 2017 Summer 2017 Post 2018 Adoption Ongoing Review

Project Screening for Capacity Projects in T2040

(project scale analysis)

Benefits Analysis

(system scale analysis)

Project Selection for Federal Funds

(project scale analysis)

Performance Trends

(system scale analysis)

19

Opportunities for Evaluating Health Equity

20

Project Screening for Capacity Projects

Safety and System Security• How a project improves safety related to geometric issues to avoid future crash

incidences.

Social Equity and Access to Opportunity• How a project improves environmental health and avoids/eliminates negative

impacts for minority, low-income, elderly, youth, people with disabilities and

households without vehicles.

• How a project improves access to opportunity.

Air Quality• How a project reduced air quality related impacts to people and the environment.

Multimodal• How a project provides alternatives to driving alone.

Process to develop measures

took over 20 months working

with boards.

21

Project Screening for Capacity Projects

Additional Questions added to 2018 Process based on

feedback:If yes: Has design on this project begun yet?

Yes/No

If yes: If yes and this project is located within

the Urban Growth Area, do you plan to follow

the Urban Bikeway Design Guide and/or the

Urban Street Design Guide from the National

Association of City Transportation Officials?

These guides provide information related to

the safety and comfort of bicycle and

pedestrian facilities relative to the adjacent

roadway environment. Yes/No

This guide provides recommendations for safe

and accessible pedestrian crossings? Yes/No

For projects that

add incentives for

bicycle and

pedestrian travel,

they are asked

additional questions:

• Mode Split

• Ferry Ridership

• Transit On Time Performance

• Transit and Vanpool Ridership

• Park and Ride Utilization / Capacity

Percent of non-SOV Travel^ (final on May 20)

Performance Measures – Observed Data

• Mode Share Total, by County, by All Centers- Observed-

HH Survey and ACS/SoundCast

• Total Trips by Mode- SoundCast

• Transit Ridership (Boardings)- Observed/SoundCast

PSRC Forecasts and Modeling

Regional Outcome: Multimodal

The System is Integrated and Provides

Alternatives to Driving Alone

• Number of Serious Injuries and Fatalities^

• Serious Injuries and Fatalities by Transportation Mode and

Mode Share

• Serious Injuries and Fatalities per 100 million VMT^

• Number of Non-motorized Fatalities and Non-motorized Serious

Injuries^

Performance Measures – Observed Data

• Total Motor-Vehicle Accidents by

• Total Cost by Accident Type

PSRC Forecasts and Modeling

Regional Outcome: Safety and System Security

Safe and Secure Transportation System

• Low income populations (ACS)

• Minority populations (ACS)

Performance Measures – Observed Data

• Out-of-Pocket Travel Cost by Income, Person Type -

SoundCast

• Commute travel time and cost -SoundCast

• Total travel time and delay by income - SoundCast

• Auto Ownership Cost by Income - SoundCast

• Benefits to areas with high minority and/or low-income

populations - BCA

PSRC Forecasts and Modeling

Regional Outcome: Social Equity and Access to Opportunity

Improved mobility for all and reduced negative impacts to minority, low income, youth, people

with disability and populations who do not own a vehicle

Regional Outcome: Health and Equity

Travel Options Promote Health and Well Being for All

Additional Opportunities

1. increase in the number of bike facilities in the region 2. % of population with access to a bike facility or a trail3. share of total trips < 1 or 3 miles compared to the share of auto trips < 1 or 3 miles4. number of jurisdictions with complete streets policies 5. considering the comparison – collision rates to mode share

Questions?