/ Slide 1 Public
Taiwan, Technology and Beyond ConferenceBank of America Merrill Lynch
Craig DeYoung –
VP Investor Relations
Taipei, TaiwanMarch 15, 2011
/ Slide 2 Public
Safe Harbor"Safe Harbor" Statement under the US Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995: the matters discussed in this document may include forward-looking statements, including statements made about our outlook, realization of backlog, IC unit demand, financial results, average selling price, gross margin and expenses, dividend policy and intention to repurchase shares.
These forward looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties including, but not limited to: economic conditions, product demand and semiconductor equipment industry capacity, worldwide demand and manufacturing capacity utilization for semiconductors (the principal product of our customer base), including the impact of general economic conditions on consumer confidence and demand for our customers’
products, competitive products and pricing, the impact of manufacturing efficiencies and capacity constraints, the pace
of new product development and customer acceptance of new products, our ability
to enforce patents and protect intellectual property rights, the risk of intellectual property litigation, availability of raw materials and critical manufacturing equipment, trade environment, changes in exchange rates, available cash, distributable reserves for dividend payments and share repurchases and other risks indicated in the risk factors included in ASML’s Annual Report on Form 20-F and other filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.
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Agenda
ASML overviewMarket updateASML business updateOutlook and summary
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ASML Overview
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ASML –
one of the world’s leading suppliers of lithography equipment
for semiconductor manufacturing
Veldhoven, the Netherlands
NXT 1950 Immersion
Scanner
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Fourth Quarter 2010 Highlights
Revenue growth of 160% YoY and 30% QoQ
Operating margin of 32.4%
Shipped 28 immersion systems (leading edge tools)
Record bookings of € 2,315 million
Backlog increased to € 3,856 million, 157 systems with ASP of € 27.7 million for new tools, including 67 immersion tools
Continue to invest significantly in R&D
Generated € 302 million cash from operations, € 1,950M end of year cash balance
Proposed a doubling of dividend and announced a € 1B share buy back program
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685 629949 919
183742
763 942930 844
277
1,069
533958
934697
555
1,176548
1,053955
494
581
1,521
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
4,500
5,000
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Net
sal
es
Q4Q3Q2Q1
Total net sales M€
2,529
3,5823,768
Numbers have been rounded for readers’
convenience.
2,954
1,596
4,508
/ Slide 8 Public
Backlog in value per December 31, 2010Total value M€ 3,856
Technology
ArF immersion
71%
KrF22% I-Line 1%
Region (ship to location)
USA 28%
Taiwan 23%
Korea 11%
Europe 11%
Japan 4%End-use
DRAM 27%
IDM 21% Foundry
33%
Numbers have been rounded for readers’ convenience.
Singapore 13%
China 10%
ArF dry 6%
NAND 19%
/ Slide 9 Public
Semi Equipment Market grew 101% in 2010 –
ASML grew 163% -
Takes # 2 slot amongst Semi Equip suppliers
Source: VLSI Research
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Market Update
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All sectors are ramping their new nodes Wafer starts per node
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Q12011
Q22011
Q32011
Q42011
Q12012
Q22012
Q32012
Q42012
2x3x4x5x6x7x
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Q12011
Q22011
Q32011
Q42011
Q12012
Q22012
Q32012
Q42012
1x22283x4x5x
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Q12011
Q22011
Q32011
Q42011
Q12012
Q22012
Q32012
Q42012
2x3x4x
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Q12011
Q22011
Q32011
Q42011
Q12012
Q22012
Q32012
Q42012
2x3x4x6x9x1xx
DRAM NAND
Logic MPU
Source: ASML estimates
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Memory
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MAIN DRAM SPOT & CONTRACT PRICES (01/2008 - 2011YTD)
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
2
2.2
2.4
2.6
2.8
3
Jan-
08Fe
b-08
Mar
-08
Apr
-08
May
-08
Jun-
08Ju
l-08
Aug
-08
Sep-
08O
ct-0
8N
ov-0
8D
ec-0
8Ja
n-09
Feb-
09M
ar-0
9A
pr-0
9M
ay-0
9Ju
n-09
Jul-0
9A
ug-0
9Se
p-09
Oct
-09
Nov
-09
Dec
-09
Jan-
10Fe
b-10
Mar
-10
Apr
-10
May
-10
Jun-
10Ju
l-10
Aug
-10
Sep-
10O
ct-1
0N
ov-1
0D
ec-1
0Ja
n-11
Feb-
11M
ar-1
1
Chi
p A
SP [$
US]
1Gb DDR2 800 MHz SPOT PRICE1Gb DDR2 800 MHz CONTRACT PRICE1Gb DDR3 1333 MHz SPOT PRICE1Gb DDR3 1333 MHz CONTRACT PRICE2Gb DDR3 1333MHz SPOT PRICE2Gb DDR3 1333MHz CONTRACT PRICE
Source: DRAMeXchange
(4/3/2011), ASML MCC
DDR3 contract prices stable (at low level) Only aggressive shrink during Q1/11 could bring tier 2/3 players
back to profitability
DRAM
6X node, 1Gb
5x H node, 1 Gb
5x L node, 1 Gb
4x node, 2 Gb
Estimated DRAM cash costs in Q1/11 (avg. production node in nm)
Current DDR3 1 Gb
contract ASP at 0.88 $ Poor 5x nm yields
increases avg. costs
About 25% cash profit on 2Gb DDR3 ICs, if manufactured
at 4x nm and sold at current contract prices
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MAIN NAND SPOT & CONTRACT PRICES (01/2008 - 2011YTD)
0123456789
1011121314151617181920
Jan-
08Fe
b-08
Mar
-08
Apr
-08
May
-08
Jun-
08Ju
l-08
Aug
-08
Sep-
08O
ct-0
8N
ov-0
8D
ec-0
8Ja
n-09
Feb-
09M
ar-0
9A
pr-0
9M
ay-0
9Ju
n-09
Jul-0
9A
ug-0
9Se
p-09
Oct
-09
Nov
-09
Dec
-09
Jan-
10Fe
b-10
Mar
-10
Apr
-10
May
-10
Jun-
10Ju
l-10
Aug
-10
Sep-
10O
ct-1
0N
ov-1
0D
ec-1
0Ja
n-11
Feb-
11M
ar-1
1
Chi
p A
SP [$
US]
16Gb NAND SLC SPOT PRICE16Gb NAND SLC CONTRACT PRICE32Gb NAND MLC SPOT PRICE32Gb NAND MLC CONTRACT PRICE64Gb NAND TLC SPOT PRICE64Gb NAND TLC CONTRACT PRICE
NAND
300 mm cash-costs for 3x nm
32 Gb 2 b/c
MLC NAND between 3,2 and 4,0 USD
Healthy demand for NAND-based electronic devices resulting in recent price increases for SLC-, MLC-
and TLC-ICs
Source: DRAMeXchange
(4/3/2011), ASML MCC
300 mm cash-costs for 3x nm
32 Gb 3 b/c
MLC NAND between 2,6 and 3,2 USD
300 mm costs for mature 2x nm
64 Gb MLC NAND between 5.5 and 6,5 USD
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Number of immersion layers keeps increasing per node, per year for memory devices
Node 8x, 6x 6x, 5x 5x, 4x 4x, 3x 3x, 2x Node 5x, 4x 4x, 3x 4x, 3x 3x, 2x 2x, 1x
0
2
4
6
8
10
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Add. layers per year
Immersion Exposures
Average DRAM immersion layers per year
0
2
4
6
8
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Add. layers per year
Immersion Exposures
Average NAND immersion layers per year
Source: ASML Marketing (03/11) 300mm wafers only
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Logic
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IDMs
transfer leading edge process to foundries in time
Source: ASML Marketing (3/11), Gartner (2/11)
130 nm 90 nm 65 nm 45 nm 32 nm 28/22 nmIntel Intel Intel Intel Intel IntelAMD AMD AMD AMD IBM STMIBM IBM IBM IBM STM Samsung
Toshiba Toshiba Toshiba Toshiba NECSTM STM STM STM Samsung
TI TI TI TI PanasonicFujitsu Fujitsu Fujitsu Fujitsu Renesas
NEC NEC NEC NEC Crolles AllianceSamsung Samsung Samsung Samsung
Sony Sony Panasonic PanasonicPanasonic Panasonic Renesas RenesasRenesas Renesas Freescale Crolles AllianceInfineon Infineon Crolles AllianceMotorola NXPHitachi CypressPhilips Freescale
Mitsubishi Crolles AllianceSiemens SharpCypress
FreescaleCrolles Alliance
AtmelAnalog Devices
On SemiRohm
NationalSanyoSharpTower
Based on public information
FOUNDRIES
Logic (including Micro) & Analog IDMs: overview of INTERNAL manufacturing capability by technology node
Foundries
/ Slide 18 PublicSource: IBS (10/2010)
Foundries expected to manufacture 92% of the WW leading-edge* logic wafers by 2014 vs. 69% in 2009
* Include Application Processors, ASSPs, FPGAs, GPUs
and other advanced logic manufactured at ≤90 nm
done
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1000
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
% o
f Fou
ndry
Lea
ding
-Edg
e Lo
gic
Cap
acity
Waf
er D
eman
d [3
00 e
quiv
. KW
SM]
WW Leading-Edge LOGIC (without Intel) Wafer Demand Forecast and Split between Foundries and IDMs*
Total leading-edge demand (Foundries)
Total leading-edge demand (IDM) without Intel
Foundries % of total leading edge demand
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Number of immersion layers keeps increasing per node, per year for all logic devices
Source: ASML Marketing (03/11) 300mm wafers only
Node 9x,6x 9x, 6x 6x
,4x 6x, 4x 4x, 3x Node 6x, 4x 6x, 4x 4x, 3x 3x, 2x 2x, 1x
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
8.0
9.0
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012Add. layers per year [300mm only]
Immersion Exposures [300mm only]
Average Logic +DSP +MCU immersion layers per year
0
5
10
15
20
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Add. layers per year
Immersion Exposures
Average MPU immersion layers per year
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Logic lithography requires 4.5X Euro investment in ASML immersion scanner vs
NAND for same size wafer start fab
at current nodes
45k wafers/monthAll scenarios are based on “typical” process using 2011 system productivity
levels. Customers process and wafer start requirements will vary.
120k wafers/month
3xnm NAND
29 litho layers
ArFiArF
KrFKrF
ArF I-LineI-Line
KrFKrF
I-LineI-Line
KrF I-LineI-LineI-Line
ArFiArFiArFiArFi
I-LineI-LineI-Line
KrFKrF
ArFi
KrFKrFKrFKrFKrFKrFKrFKrFKrFKrF
I-LineI-LineI-Line
ArF
240M Euroimmersion
spend
4xnm Logic
ArFi
39 litho layers
KrFKrF
I-LineI-Line
KrFKrFKrF
KrFArFiArFiArFiArFiArFiArFi
KrFKrF
ArFiArFiArFi
KrFKrFKrFKrF
400M Euroimmersion
spend1080M Euro for equiv.
wafer starts
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World-wide under-investment in advanced logic capacity requires a structural catch up
Source: ASML Marketing (3/11), Gartner (2/11) (forecast)
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
100%
Capital Intensity
Foundry Capital Intensity
Capital Intensity
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Sector Review•
Memory sectors appear to be under investing in litho to forecasted demand levels. DRAM pricing is stable and may turn in manufacturers favor. Both DRAM & NAND are expected to show shortages during 2H/11.
•
If simulated memory demand levels cannot be delivered in 2011 an
additional 400 M€
memory investments can be expected in 2012.Logic is beginning a possible return to past historic capital intensity levels. Real demand and competition drives spend. Strong leading-edge logic/foundry investments during 2010 & 2011 may not create excess capacity, depending on overall efficiency/demand in this sector but also on recent 200 mm capacity retirements, which are under detailed investigation.
•
MPU continues on 2 year manufacturing node transition schedule.
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Products/Technology
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YEAR200720082009201020112012201320142015 11 / 22
LOGICNode
/ HP [nm]
45 / 7040 / 70
22 / 4032 / 50
22 / 35 DPT15 / 30
28 / 50
MPUNode
/ HP [nm]45 / 80
32 / 60
DRAM
65
NAND
55
Node = HP [nm] Node = HP [nm]
22
28
4235
5552
22
18
12
2838
25
20
15
32
45
Expected customer lithography roadmap by sector Manufacturing insertion timing
EUVSingle exposure
Double patterningie.,Spacer
Double patterning
LELE
Source: ASML Marketing (4/10)
EUV INSERTION TIME FAVORED BY DESIGN LIMITATIONS, COST AND PROCESS CONTROL REQUIREMENTS OF DOUBLE PATTERNING, MAKING EUV PROCESS OF CHOICE WHEN ACHIEVING ITS COST TARGETS
15/30
/ Slide 25 Public
Leading Position in Immersion and EUV
Source: ASML
Immersion Lithography Leader Installed Base >239 Systems
at 22 Customers, across all sectors and geographies
Pilot Production EUV for 22nm and beyond
6 systems shipping to all sectorsthru 2011
NXT:1950i
NXE:3100
/ Slide 26 Public
Technology -
EUV
Orders received for 9 NXE:3300 production systems to be delivered in 2012 EUV confirmed to be the most likely lithography platform to continue Moore’s law to beyond 2020
NXE: 3300
/ Slide 27 Public
ASML EUV Product Roadmap NXE:3300 numerical aperture increased to 0.33
* Requires <7 nm resist diffusion length
2006 2010 2012 2013Proto System NXE:3100 NXE:3300B NXE:3300C
Resolution 32 nm 27 nm 22 nm 18/16* nm
NA / σ 0.25 / 0.5 0.25 / 0.8 0.33 / 0.2-0.9 0.33 / OAI
Overlay (DCO/MMO) < 7
nm < 4/7
nm < 3/5
nm < 2.5/4.5
nm
Throughput W/hr 4 W/hr 60 W/hr 125 W/hr 150 W/hr
Dose, Source 5 mJ/cm2, ~8 W 10 mJ/cm2, >100 W 15 mJ/cm2, >250 W 15 mJ/cm2, >350 W
Main improvements1)
New EUV platform: NXE 2)
Improved low flare optics 3)
New high sigma illuminator4)
New high power source5)
Dual stages
Main improvements1)
New high NA 6 mirror lens2)
New high efficiency illuminator3)
Off-axis illumination optional4)
Source power increase5)
Reduced footprint
Platform enhancements1)
Off-Axis illumination2)
Source power increase
/ Slide 28 Public
Source power progress 10x per year 60 W/hr still provides challenge
Timeline
0.1
1
10
100
1000
Q1/2009 Q1/2010 Q1/2011 end/2012
250W125wph
15mJ/cm2
~10W5wph
10mJ/cm2
~1W0.5wph
10mJ/cm2
end/2011
~105W60wph
10mJ/cm2
Sour
ce p
ower
[W]
Aggregate roadmaps of source suppliers
/ Slide 29 Public
Existing EUV offices & manufacturing, 8 cabins.
New EUV offices & manufacturing,15 cabins.
Construction of new EUV facilities has started Planned NXE production capacity increases ~3x
/ Slide 30 Public
EUV is moving forward
●
ASML has 4 years of accumulated EUV field experience with 1st
generation EUV tools at research institutes in Belgium and the US
●
2nd
generation EUV NXE:3100 system shipment in progress, 1 system installed and used on customer production site 1 system in installation, 4 additional systems to ship the next half year
●
3th
generation EUV tool NXE:3300 in development, capable of printing features down to 16 nm in volume manufacturing
●
ASML has customer commitments for 10 NXE:3300 systems to be delivered starting in 2012
●
To meet future EUV demand, construction on the new EUV factory extension has started
●
Productivity roadmap remains significant challenge although major progress continued to be made by 3 source suppliers
/ Slide 31 Public
ASML Strategy and Focus
Continue the large R&D outlay to ensure leadership through high product differentiation and provide customers with enabling technologies
Improve profitability further by:
Improving product mix towards value added software support tools
Keeping fixed cost structure to a low break even point, while growing top line
Improving further operational performance, by reducing cycle times further, improving its yield and developing even stronger supplier partnerships
Continue to returning cash to investors through our existing dividend policy and current excess cash return program
Execute on revenue growth trajectory available to ASML in Semiconductor Lithography, and keep reviewing synergistic developments outside Semiconductors for potential limited investments
/ Slide 32 Public