Task Force on Modelling and Task Force on Modelling and measurement activity : measurement activity : synergies with FAIRMODEsynergies with FAIRMODE

Laurence Rouïl (INERIS) Co-chair of the TFMM

The TFMM within the CLRTAP set The TFMM within the CLRTAP set upup

Measurement and modelling as a whole Measurement and modelling as a whole Support the implementation of the protocols of the

Convention on Long Range Transboundary Air Pollution: Gothenburg, HM, POPs

Assessment of the impact of the protocols: impact of the reduction of the emissions of air pollutants◦ Long term monitoring according to the EMEP monitoring strategy

(NILU/CCC)◦ Spatialized air concentration and deposition fields in the EMEP

area computed with the EMEP models : O3, PM (met.no/MSC-W) , POPs, HM (MSC-E)

◦ Input data for TFIAM : source/receptor matrices for the RAINS/GAINS model

◦ EMEP assessment Report ; EMEP PM assessment report (2007)◦ EMEP-unified model review (2004); EURODELTA 1 project

Main ions in precip PM10 and/or PM2.5 TC, OC or OM

Heavy metals POP VOC

Status 2006, incl intensive dataStatus 2006, incl intensive data

83

67 16 17

29 12

Level 1 sites

Level2 supersites

Level 1 sites

The modelling activity The modelling activity Added-value brought by the common work joining

measurement and modelling communities

Yearly production of trends analyses country by country and source/receptor relationships (transboundary contributions to “national” air pollution)

Support to the development and the evaluation of the EMEP models (/www.emep.int/OpenSource/index.html )

Exchange of experience with the modelling teams in the Parties; support for the development of modelling capacities in the Parties

Current prioritiesCurrent priorities PM modelling : realisation of EMEP field campaigns (2006-2007 and

2008-2009) dedicated to PM speciation ◦ Natural contributions◦ EC/OC

Nitrogen issues : according to the revised EMEP strategy and considering and the current initiatives

Improvement of the model accuracy (resolution?) Urban scale : how to better account for the urban scale in regional

air quality assessment : City-Delta Follow-up Inconsistencies between emissions, measurement and modelling

for some pollutants : heavy metals first Use of the new generation of observation data :

◦ Research monitoring networks (EUSAAR, EUCAARi, EARLINET...)◦ Earth Observation data

Nitrate, PM25

0

0,05

0,1

0,15

0,2

0,25

0,3

0,35

0,4

DE44 ES17 FI17 IT01 IT04 NO01 GB36 GB48 NL11

OBS

MOD

Nitrate, PM10

00,1

0,20,30,40,5

0,60,70,8

0,91

CH02 DE44 ES17 FI17 IT01 NO01 GB48 IT04 NL11

OBS

MOD

Nitrate, PM coarse

0

0,2

0,4

0,6

0,8

1

1,2

1,4

1,6

DE44 ES17 FI17 IT04 NO01 NL11 IT01 GB36 GB48

OBS

MOD

HNO3

0

0,1

0,2

0,3

0,4

0,5

0,6

0,7

AT02 IT01 GB36 GB48 IT04 NL11

OBS

MOD

June 2006- Evaluation of the EMEP-Unifed model -

Meteorologisk Institutt met.no

Example:

Improvement for Payerne

Current prioritiesCurrent priorities PM modelling : realisation of EMEP field campaigns (2006-2007 and 2008-

2009) dedicated to PM speciation Natural contributions EC/OC

Nitrogen issues : according to the revised EMEP strategy and considering and the current initiatives

Improvement of the model accuracy (resolution?) Urban scale : how to better account for the urban scale in regional air

quality assessment : City-Delta Follow-up Inconsistencies between emissions, measurement and modelling for

some pollutants : heavy metals, PM and even O3 (trends analysis) Use of the new generation of observation data :

◦ Research monitoring networks (EUSAAR, EUCAARi, EARLINET...)◦ Earth Observation data

Obvious cooperation with other on-going or emerging initiatives !

Identified areas for cooperationIdentified areas for cooperationTopics of interest for TFMM Potential collaborations

PM modelling -Research projects and networks- FAIRMODE

Nitrogen compounds Nitrogen initiatives

Urban scale - EC4MACS project- FAIRMODE- National initiatives

Inconsistency between emissions/modelling/measurement

CLRTAP bodies- FAIRMODE

New generation of observation data - Earth observation community- GMES projects

« Routine » tasks : model evaluation, trend analysis, S/R matrices

- To fulfil national needs- MACC/GMES – EURODELTA- FAIRMODE

Improvement of input data : emissions, BC, land cover ...

- CLRTAP task forces- GMES/MACC - EURODELTA – EC4MACS- FAIRMODE

Upcoming TFMM meetingsUpcoming TFMM meetings

TFMM workshop – November 2009, Ispra - back to back with the FAIRMODE plenary meeting◦ Identification of gaps to be filled in and future priorities for the

next EMEP field campaigns◦ Decision on the future modelling activities of the TFMM :

modelling objectives, national contribution, collaborations...

TFMM annual meeting– Spring 2010- Cyprus ; back to back with a joint day with the TFEIP annual meeting