Tax Policy & Politics:A Glass Half Full or Half Empty?Storme Sixeas, Washington National Tax
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$6.6 billion* later…* Estimated cost of 2016 federal campaigns, according to the Center for Responsive Politics
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• Despite a clear electoral win, President-elect Trump seems to have a strong mandate for “change” but not necessarily for his agenda, especially since the campaign was light on policy
Election 2016: A few observations
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One-third of Americans didn’t like their choices this yearA mandate for the President-elect?
Favorable view of Trump,Unfavorable view of Clinton
24%
Favorable view of Clinton,Unfavorable view of Trump
33%
Unfavorable view of bothClinton & Trump
35%
Favorable view of both Clinton & Trump
2%No opinion
6%Source: Monmouth University Poll, Aug. 25-28, 2016
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• Despite a clear electoral win, President-elect Trump seems to have a strong mandate for “change” but not necessarily for his agenda, especially since the campaign was light on policy
• The new President will confront a Congress with sharp divisions and its own agenda(s) and political dynamics
• Incoming Senate Democratic Leader Chuck Schumer is more open to tax reform than outgoing leader Harry Reid. However, Schumer faces a daunting map for 2018 and a potentially expanding rift between the progressive and more moderate members of his caucus
Election 2016: A few observations
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The Senate Story - 2016
Light color = retirement/open seat
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2016: A good map (on paper) for Democrats; 2018: A very different story
Senate Seats Contested In 2016 Senate Seats To Be Contested in 2018
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• Despite a clear electoral win, President-elect Trump seems to have a strong mandate for “change” but not necessarily for his agenda, especially since the campaign was light on policy
• The new President will confront a Congress with sharp divisions and its own agenda(s) and political dynamics
• Expected incoming Senate Democratic Leader Chuck Schumer is more open to tax reform than outgoing Democratic leader Harry Reid. However, Schumer faces a daunting map for 2018 and a potentially expanding rift between the progressive and more moderate members of his caucus
• In the House, Republicans saw the size of their majority reduced slightly, from 246-186 to 238-194 (with 3 races outstanding)
‒ This governing challenge will be made greater because almost none of the members leaving Congress at the end of this session are from the cohort typically reluctant to follow leadership’s chosen strategy
Election 2016: A few observations
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Who is returning to the House GOP next year?The math won’t get easier
Note: The 2015 votes included Omnibus spending, Tax extenders, Long-term highway bill, Ryan for Speaker, Debt ceiling, Continuing Resolution (9/30), Trade Promotion Authority, Budget Resolution, Doc Fix, Short-term DHS fundingSource: Voting data compiled by Bruce Mehlman, Mehlman Castagnetti, and Deloitte Tax LLP
136
94
14
118
80
13
Loyalists (8-10 YES votes) Maybes (4-7 YES votes) Reluctants (0-3 YES votes)
2015 2017
Plus at least 26 new GOP Members whose voting patterns will take time to come into focus
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Setting the stage for 2017: The big picture
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Red ink falling but for how long?
0
2
4
6
8
10
12%
of G
DP
Budget Deficits as a Share of GDP
Source: Congressional Budget Office, Updated Budget Projections: 2016 to 2026 (Mar. 2016), The 2016 Long-Term Budget Outlook (Jul. 2016)
50-year average (1966-2015)2.8%
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Red ink falling but for how long?
0
2
4
6
8
10
12%
of G
DP
Budget Deficits as a Share of GDP
Source: Congressional Budget Office, Updated Budget Projections: 2016 to 2026 (Mar. 2016), The 2016 Long-Term Budget Outlook (Jul. 2016)
50-year average (1966-2015)2.8%
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Red ink falling but for how long?
0
2
4
6
8
10
12%
of G
DP
Budget Deficits as a Share of GDP
Source: Congressional Budget Office, Updated Budget Projections: 2016 to 2026 (Mar. 2016), The 2016 Long-Term Budget Outlook (Jul. 2016)
50-year average (1966-2015)2.8%
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Automatic spending has taken over the budget
Source: Congressional Budget Office (CBO)
34%
66%
1965
68%
32%
2015
78%
22%
2026 (projected)
Mandatory spending+ net interest
Discretionary spending
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How much revenue should the government raise?
Note: “Revenue baseline” assumes current laws remain unchanged (e.g., expiring tax cuts lapse as scheduled). Senate Democrats’ figures represent the CBO baseline adjusted upward by the annual revenue increases proposed in the Senate Democrats’ FY2014 budget (proposed increase was $923 billion relative to then-current law).Source: Congressional Budget Office (CBO) publications Updated Budget Projections: 2015 to 2025 (August 2015) and Updated Budget Projections: 2016 to 2026 (March 2016)
17.6
17.8
18.0
18.2
18.4
18.6
18.8
19.0
19.2
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
% o
f G
DP
Revenue Baseline Projections
CBO Revenue Baseline - August 2015Senate Democrats' Revenue BaselineCBO Revenue Baseline - March 2016
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More than just “closing loopholes”Broadening the base
Source: Joint Committee on Taxation publication JCX-141R-15, “Estimates Of Federal Tax Expenditures For Fiscal Years 2015-2019,” Dec. 7, 2015.
Largest Corporate Tax Expenditures – 2015 $ Billion
Deferral of active CFC income 99.3
§199 deduction 11.7
Deferral on like-kind exchanges 11.0
Exclusion for muni bond interest 9.7
Low-income housing tax credit 7.3
Deferral of gain on installment sales 6.9
§179 expensing 4.8
Expensing of R&D expenditures 4.7
Reduced tax on corporate income below $10M 4.0
Special treatment of life insurance co. reserves 2.9
Accelerated depreciation -20.0*
Largest Individual Tax Expenditures – 2015 $ Billion
Tax-preferred retirement plans 157.4
Exclusion of employer-provided health benefits 145.5
Reduced rates on LT cap gains/dividends 131.7
Earned Income Tax Credit 72.7
Mortgage interest deduction 71.0
State and local tax deduction 62.2
Child tax credit 57.1
Charitable contribution deduction 45.6
Exclusion of Social Security benefits 37.6
Property taxes deduction 32.4
Exclusion of cap gains at death 32.4*Accelerated depreciation is a negative expenditure (brings in revenue) in the short term but a revenue loss in the longer term.
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Setting the stage for 2017: Summarizing the Trump Tax Plan
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Business taxesTrump tax plan
Corporate Rate 15%
Pass-through Rate 15%, but unclear to which entities and income it applies/other restrictions
Corporate AMT Eliminate
Full ExpensingUS manufacturers may elect full expensing or interest deductibility; election irrevocable after 3 yearsInterest
Deduction
International• No changes currently specified to current regime (2015 plan called for retaining
current-law worldwide regime and foreign tax credit but repealing deferral)
• Deemed repatriation at 10% tax rate
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Business taxesTrump tax plan
Financial Products & Institutions Phase out deferral of inside build-up on life insurance contracts for high earners
Energy No change specified, but has called for repeal of most business tax expenditures except R&D credit
Employer-Provided Childcare
• Increase credit cap to $500k
• Shorten recapture period to 5 years
Other• Repeal Affordable Care Act and all related taxes
• Eliminate most business tax expenditures except R&D credit
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Individual taxesTrump tax plan
Individual Rate• New brackets: 12% on <$75k; 25% on $75k-225k; 33% top rate on >$225k
• Eliminate 3.8% net investment income tax
Capital Gains /Dividends 0% on <$75k; 15% on $75k-225k; 20% top rate on >$225k
Carried Interest Tax as ordinary income
AMT Eliminate
Deductions
• Standard deduction $15k/$30k
• Cap itemized deductions at $200k/$100k
• Eliminate personal exemptions and head of household
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Individual taxesTrump tax plan
Estate & Gift Tax
• Eliminate, but capital gains held until death subject to tax, with first $10m tax-free (unclear whether this is per person or per couple)
• Disallow “contributions of appreciated assets into a private charity established by the decedent or the decedent’s relatives”
New Tax Benefits
• Deduction for childcare (avg. state cost) and eldercare (inflation-adjusted $5k cap), for those with income <$500k/$250k
• Refundable childcare credit for EITC recipients
• Dependent Care Savings Accounts with 50% govt match for low-income families
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Revenue estimatesTrump tax plan
Tax Policy CenterStatic estimate • 10-year revenue effect = -$6.2 trillion
Tax Policy CenterDynamic estimate
• 10-year revenue effect = -$6 trillion• 10-year GDP impact = -0.5%
Tax FoundationStatic estimate* • 10-year revenue effect = -$4.4 trillion to -$5.9 trillion
Tax FoundationDynamic estimate*
• 10-year revenue effect = -$2.6 trillion to -$3.9 trillion• 10-year GDP impact = +6.9% to +8.2%
Most impactful provisions:• Corporate rate reduction• Individual rate reduction• Repeal of net investment income tax
* Ranges provided because of uncertainty about application of pass-through tax rate
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Congress will also want to be heard on tax policy…
And it won’t be with one voice
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House Republicans
Senate Republicans
Obama Administration
House Democrats
Senate Democrats
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Continued focus on tax reform for growthHouse Republicans
• House Republicans released a tax reform “blueprint” on June 24, showing where they want to take the debate
• Primary focus: policies designed to create economic growth‒ At every juncture, when forced to choose between two options, the answer is “whichever the
economists believe will boost GDP most”‒ Poses interesting trade-offs, most notably by moving to full expensing while repealing the
deduction for net business interest expense (shifting towards a consumption-based system)
• Stated goal to be revenue neutral relative to the current policy baseline and when scored dynamically, but outside estimates vary greatly and require many assumptions due to lack of legislative text‒ Tax Foundation: $191 billion/10-year cost, with GDP 9.1% higher over the same period‒ Tax Policy Center: $2.1 trillion to $3 trillion/10-year cost, with change in GDP of 1% or less
• With Republicans also controlling the White House and Senate next year, House Republicans can be expected to press hard for tax reform
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Why the House GOP is focused on “growth”
Source: POLITICO Caucus November 2015 survey of a bipartisan group of influential political strategists, operatives and activists in Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina and Nevada
Democrats
Economic growth 17%
Unemployment 2%
Republicans
Taxes 10%
Deficit reduction
23%
Unemployment 2%
Economic growth 65%
Economic inequality
81%
What is the most important economic issue driving the 2016 presidential campaign?
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Blueprint summaryHouse Republicans
Business Tax
• 20% corporate tax rate; 25% rate on pass-through business income
• 100% expensing (rather than depreciation); repeal deductibility of business interest
• Repeal corporate AMT
• R&D credit and LIFO retained; most other business tax credits and deductions assumed to be repealed
International Tax
• Full territorial system (no tax on repatriation of future foreign profits)
• Transition rule that has a deemed repatriation of past foreign profits (8.75% rate on cash and cash equivalents; 3.5% rate on everything else; payable over eight years)
• Border adjustable, which the blueprint says will obviate the need for most base erosion safeguards
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Blueprint summaryHouse Republicans
Individual Tax
• Reduce seven tax brackets down to three – 33%, 25%, and 12%
• 50% exclusion for investment income (capital gains, dividends, interest)
• Combine and expand the standard deduction and personal exemption, allowing fewer taxpayers to go through the complexity of itemizing
• Retain, though possibly in a modified form, the deductions for mortgage interest and charitable contributions as well as incentives for savings and education
• Repeal most other individual income tax preferences, including for state and local taxes
• Repeal AMT
• Repeal estate and gift tax
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Focused more on “flaws” in the tax codeHouse Democrats
• Some Ways & Means Democrats seem interested in tax reform and have led the way on discrete parts (e.g., Rep. Richie Neal pairing with GOP Rep. Charles Boustany in 2015 to unveil an innovation box)
• However, the general approach of Ways & Means Committee Democrats is to continue to push for action to address what they say are deep flaws in the tax code, including:
‒ Treatment of carried interest
‒ Inversions and tax benefits available for formerly U.S.-domiciled firms
‒ Fossil fuel incentives
• As the minority party in the House, they have an important role to play in drawing contrasts with the majority but rarely see their ideas enacted into law
• They are unlikely to be helpful in supporting the sort of tax reform that Trump and House Republicans will likely pursue
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A different type of tax reform?Senate Republicans
• Senate Finance Committee Chairman Hatch has been working on “corporate integration” proposal all year‒ Generally expected that it would give corporations a deduction for dividends paid while
requiring all dividend recipients to pay tax on them at ordinary income rates‒ Recipients subject to full tax (i.e., not at preferred rates) would include not just taxable
shareholders but also foreign investors and those individuals who hold stocks in retirement accounts, charities, and pension funds
‒ To avoid favoring debt over equity, the proposal is also expected to impose a similar tax regime on recipients of interest payments on corporate bonds
‒ Prospects for any action are unclear; Chairman Hatch has so far delayed releasing it but may still do so this year
• In 2017, Senate Republicans may find themselves pivoting back toward a more traditional and comprehensive approach to tax reform
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Hopes of the majority dashedSenate Democrats
• Like his House counterparts, Senate Finance Committee Ranking Member Ron Wyden has urged Congress to act in the short term on the issue of inversions
• Unlike his House counterparts, he has also worked on a broader vision of tax reform, unveiling two (with Republican co-sponsors) in previous years when he was just a “back-bencher” on the panel
• This year, he has released discussion drafts on three pieces of tax reform as a way to “be in position” in case Clinton won and made tax reform a priority‒ Streamlining depreciation‒ Simplification of financial products taxation ‒ Reforming rules for retirement savings accounts
• Incentives for Senate Democrats to push for tax reform are unclear under a Trump presidency, but there may be areas of agreement on which legislation can be built
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Could 2017 be the year for tax reform?
It depends…
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Will 2017 be the year for tax reform?
• It is hard to view this campaign as having been a public affirmation of anything related to tax policy and certainly not corporate tax reform.
• Trump and Speaker Ryan may not start out on the best of terms.
• Working collaboratively with the new President might be politically difficult for Democratic members, whose constituents have expressed a strong dislike for Trump.
• Trump could use his “honeymoon” period to advance a key issue such as tax reform.
• President Obama and congressional Republicans got off on a bad foot in 2009, and things only got worse from there. As a newcomer to elected office, Trump has the opportunity for a “fresh start” with Congress.
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Will 2017 be the year for tax reform?
• Tax reform needs strong presidential focus. President Obama did not provide it and, to this point, it is not entirely clear where this falls on the list of the President-elect’s priorities.
• Senate Democrats are likely to face substantial internal disagreements about whether – and in what way – to help advance the ball on tax reform.
• Leaders in Congress (House Speaker Ryan and incoming Senate Democratic Leader Schumer) are more interested in tax reform than those who held similar positions in 2013-2014, when then-Finance Committee Chairman Max Baucus and Ways & Means Committee Chairman Dave Camp made a run at reform.
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Will 2017 be the year for tax reform?
• Under current rules, tax reform enacted via reconciliation cannot lose revenue after the first decade, and that does not square with what we expect Republicans to push. This means they will have to either temper their expectations or work towards temporary tax reform, a prospect that could cause otherwise supportive stakeholders to balk.
• Other procedural barriers under reconciliation (prohibitions on extraneous provisions that don’t have substantial revenue implications, etc.) may impede passage.
• Republican-only tax reform comes with substantial political/policy challenges; internal disagreements could keep them from “getting to yes.”
• With Trump in the White House and Republicans retaining control of the House and Senate, the GOP is firmly in control, in general agreement on the need for tax reform, and could use their clean sweep to push it via reconciliation.
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Will 2017 be the year for tax reform?
• Deemed repatriation by itself is not tax reform and many fear it could sap momentum for broader reform.
• It is an open question as to whether Republicans would even go for such a package, which looks a lot like “tax and spend.”
• A shared interest in boosting the economy could lead lawmakers to support an infrastructure spending plan, and deemed repatriation is a potential funding source.
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Will 2017 be the year for tax reform?
• Tax reform is always easier said than done. The actual task of paring back popular credits and deductions offers ample opportunities for well-organized opposition to arise.
• Not all Senate Democrats are on board. Progressive Senators Elizabeth Warren and Bernie Sanders oppose corporate rate cuts generally, and top Finance Committee Democrat Ron Wyden has once again embraced his support for repealing deferral.
• It is politically easier to demagogue “bad actors” than to develop solutions that can be portrayed as benefiting companies that shift jobs overseas.
• There is growing bipartisan agreement in Congress on the need for tax reform. Even House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi said in September that the US needs a lower corporate tax rate that produces growth.
• Inversions, foreign acquisitions, state aid cases, and BEPS make action on tax reform more politically urgent than ever.
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Will 2017 be the year for tax reform?
• We can’t ignore the risk of a “black swan” event.
• A closely divided Congress may be more conducive to continued gridlock.
• The 2018 mid-term elections are about 710 days away, followed closely by the 2020 Presidential election in about 1435 days.
• The economy appears to be solid, if unexceptional, allowing Congress space to work on big but difficult issues.
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Questions?
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Appendix
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• President submits budget by first Monday in February
• House and Senate Budget Committees report budgets by April 1
• Full House and Senate agree on a concurrent budget resolution by April 15 ‒ Establishes a spending ceiling and revenue floor that are designed to constrain the budget
impact of subsequent legislation ‒ Covers both mandatory (Medicare, Social Security, etc.) and discretionary (defense,
education, etc.) spending‒ Can be used to make “reconciliation” bills in order – valuable to the majority party, because
they are not subject to filibuster in the Senate
• House and Senate Appropriations Committees use budget to draft 12 appropriations bills, which Congress passes and the President signs by October 1‒ Divvies up the budget into specific spending categories and line items by agency
The budget process: in theory
1APRIL
15OCTOBER
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• The President is often late in his budget submission to Congress, especially in the first year of an Administration ‒ Last year’s was the first on time since 2010; this year’s was submitted Feb. 9 (8 days late)‒ Clinton’s first budget submission: April 8, 1993; G.W. Bush’s: April 9, 2001; Obama’s: May
7, 2009
• Congress rarely adopts a concurrent resolution on the budget by April 15, if at all‒ Last year’s resolution (adopted May 5, 2015) was the first since 2009
• Budget points of order are often waived ‒ In the Senate, waiver requires 3/5 vote; in the House, a simple majority will usually suffice
• Discretionary accounts are often funded through continuing resolutions, not appropriations bills‒ All 12 appropriations bills were last enacted on time in 1996 (for FY97) ‒ Since 2010, 29 continuing resolutions have been needed to keep the government open
• A separate debt limit constrains overall federal borrowing and must be raised or waived from time to time
The budget process: in practice
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How does it work?GOP control raises prospects of “budget reconciliation”
• House and Senate must agree on a budget resolution that includes reconciliation instructions
• Reconciliation instructions cannot be prescriptive – they may specify only:‒ The Committee(s) charged with reporting legislation‒ The budget impact of legislation to be reported ‒ Date by which Committee(s) must report conforming legislation
• Maximum of 3 reconciliation bills can be moved in a year – one each for revenues, spending, and debt limit
• Limited debate – legislation moved under reconciliation cannot be filibustered in the Senate
• The “Byrd Rule” can set up 60-vote hurdles in the Senate, including with respect to:‒ Provisions which have no budgetary effect or whose budget effect is “merely incidental”‒ Provisions which would increase the deficit in any year beyond the period covered by the
budget (recall the expiring 2001/2003 tax cuts)
• Recent uses: 1996 welfare reform, 2001 tax cuts, 2003 tax cuts, 2010 health care reform law
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Storme SixeasSpeaker bio
Storme Sixeas is a member of the Tax Policy Group within the Washington National Tax practice of Deloitte Tax LLP. Drawing on her extensive experience in the policy arena, she identifies, evaluates, and monitors legislative proposals, and interprets the practical issues surrounding the application of tax proposals. Storme provides political intelligence based on ongoing interaction with Congressional members and staff and helps Deloitte’s clients stay on top of the numerous and often complicated debates in tax policy.
Prior to joining Deloitte in 2015, Storme spent a dozen years as a corporate policy lobbyist, covering issues including corporate tax, trade, federal contracting, technology policy, and intellectual property. During that time, she was the chief policy lobbyist for defense company BAE Systems, Inc., and for the Electronic Industries Alliance (EIA), a high-tech trade association; and she represented clients in the technology and defense industries as a consultant. Previously, Storme served as a House of Representatives leadership aide on Capitol Hill.
Before entering the legislative and policy arenas, Storme spent several years in financial and technology journalism, working in various reporting and editing capacities at organizations including the Financial Times Group in London.
After growing up around the globe as an Air Force brat, Storme earned a Bachelor of Journalism from the University of Missouri-Columbia. She also holds an MBA in financial management from George Mason University.
Phone +1 202-220-2078Email [email protected]
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This presentation contains general information only and Deloitte is not, by means of this presentation, rendering accounting, business, financial, investment, legal, tax, or other professional advice or services. This presentation is not a substitute for such professional advice or services, nor should it be used as a basis for any decision or action that may affect your business. Before making any decision or taking any action that may affect your business, you should consult a qualified professional advisor.
Deloitte shall not be responsible for any loss sustained by any person who relies on this presentation.
Disclaimer
Copyright © 2016 Deloitte Development LLC. All rights reserved.36 USC 220506Member of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu Limited
About DeloitteDeloitte refers to one or more of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu Limited, a UK private company limited by guarantee (“DTTL”), its network of member firms, and their related entities. DTTL and each of its member firms are legally separate and independent entities. DTTL (also referred to as “Deloitte Global”) does not provide services to clients. Please see www.deloitte.com/about for a detailed description of DTTL and its member firms. Please see www.deloitte.com/us/about for a detailed description of the legal structure of Deloitte LLP and its subsidiaries. Certain services may not be available to attest clients under the rules and regulations of public accounting.
Economic Outlook in a time of transitionPatricia BuckleyNovember 2016
Copyright © 2016 Deloitte Services LP 2
These three trends continue to shape the outlook…so how will the new policies interact with these trends?
High value of the US dollar
Slower GrowthLow oil prices
OIL
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Low oil prices create many winners and losers: consumers and business users (for production and feedstock) gain, while oil producers and their suppliers lose
$ per barrel (WTI)
Source: Energy Information Agency and FRED Graph
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The rising value of the dollar challenges US exporters, but helps US consumers and countries that import to the US
Trade-weighted value of the $
Source: Federal Reserve Board of Governors and FRED Graph
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World growth is slowing…
Annual Percent Change in World GDP Growth
Source: International Monetary Fund, World Economic Outlook
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Led by a slower growing China
Percent Change in China's Real GDP Year over Year
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Recovering from the recession has been tough
Change in Real GDP - Q1 2008 = 100
Source: Eurostat, ONS and BEA
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Japan faces structural issues
Source: US Census Bureau
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
Retiree Dependency Ratio Population 65 and above as a percent of 100 Population 15-64
Japan
Germany
China
US
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Eurozone is in its 3rd year of recovery and some of its most troubled economies are improving
The Eurozone as a whole grew by 1.6% in 2015, improvement over the 0.9% GDP growth in 2014.
GDP growth, 2015
Source: European Commission
6.0
3.2 3.12.0 1.7
1.1 0.9
-1.4-2-101234567
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Issues remain for the Eurozone
Source: Eurostat
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Issues remain for the Eurozone
Source: Eurostat
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Forces shaping US growth
Contributions to percent change in GDP
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Individuals are doing better…on average
Household Net Worth
Unemployment RateReal Disposable Income per Capita
Source: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis FRED Charts using data from Bureau of Economic Analysis and Bureau of Labor Statistics
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So what is the debate surrounding the unemployment rate?
U4 versus U6
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So what is the debate surrounding the unemployment rate?
U4 versus U6
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Not all sectors are gaining to the same extent
Employment change by selected industry
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Rise in real consumption is partially attributable to lower prices of oil and imports, but also to increased employment…
…but will strong employment growth continue this year?
?
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics
Change in thousands
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Some business indicators slowing even as stocks remain highCorporate Profits After tax with inventory and capital consumption adjustments
Manufacturing Industrial Production
Source: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis FRED Charts using data from Bureau of Economic Analysis and Federal Reserve Board
S&P 500
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Exports will continue to be a weak component
Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis
Exports contribution to GDP growth
3.21.6 2.0 2.6 2.9 2.7
1.80.8
-1.0 -0.71.2 0.7
1.7 1.11.9 2.3
0.9
-0.6 -0.2
0.20.9 0.6
0.91.0
0.7
-1.1
1.30.9
0.50.4
0.5 0.2
-3-2-1012345
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
GDP minus exports Exports
Perc
enta
ge
0.85 pp 0.4 pp 0.2 pp
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Additional factors that will shape the near term
• Slow productivity growth
• How will Brexit play out?
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Where will tomorrow’s growth come from?
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Slow population growth will limit economic growth going forward
Growth in the US working age population
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.0
1.2
1.4
2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
US working age population growth ratePercent
Source: Census/Haver Analytics
2001-2015 average=.9
2016-2030 average = .3
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So growth will depend on a pickup in productivity
-1
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10 12 14
1995-2003 average = 2.9
2004-2015 average = 1.5
Source: BLS/Haver Analytics
Output per hour, business sector. Percent change, year ago
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The distribution of income remains an issue--A larger share of total income is going to the top of the distribution
• Income inequality is rising—by a lot.
• The top 10% took about 1/3 of all income from the end of WW2 to the 1980s.
• The top 10% now take about half of all income.
• Notice the rise of about 16 percentage points
28
32
36
40
44
48
20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 00 10
Share of total income earned by peoplein the top 10% of the income distribution
Source: The world wealth and income database
Copyright © 2016 Deloitte Services LP 25
And the top 1% is doing even better.
• Notice the rise of about 10%. More than half of the rise in the top 10% share (16%) was due to the rise of the top 1% share!
• The top 1% takes almost 1/5 of all national income.
• Maybe it’s not surprising that some people are calling this “the new gilded age.”6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 00 10
Share of total income earned by people in the top 1% of the income distribution
Source: The world wealth and income database
And what about Brexit?
Copyright © 2016 Deloitte Services LP 27
Snapshot of Britain's uneven relationship with “Europe”
• The UK didn’t join the original EEC.
• Then when it tried to join in early 1960s, Charles De Gaulle said “Non”.
• The UK finally joined in 1973.
• Then came the 1975 referendum. It was the first referendum in UK history, with 67% voting to remain in the EEC.
• The long saga of the UK’s contribution to EEC budgets resulted with a Margaret Thatcher victory—and special status for the UK.
• The UK stayed out of the Schengen agreement in 1990 and the common currency in 1992-2000. That required special agreements, especially for London’s financial sector.
Copyright © 2016 Deloitte Services LP 28
1•National authorities notify the EU they want to leave. PM Theresa May recently announced that Article 50 will be invoked before the end of March.
2• A two year clock starts. The country’s authorities
negotiate the new relationship with the EU authorities.
3• Either an agreement is reached on a new relationship
or…when time is up, the country’s relationship becomes “generic,” i.e., reverts to WTO rules, where the EU gives NO special concessions to the former member.
Process to leave the EU – Article 50
Copyright © 2016 Deloitte Services LP 29
Some trade arithmetic
Source: BEA and Deloitte calculations
The above calculations suggest that the direct impact of the slowdown in Europe on the United States will likely be limited.
USD Billions % of GDP
US GDP (2015) 17,947
US exports (2015) 2,253 12.5
US exports to the UK (2015) 123 0.7
US exports to the rest of the EU (2015) 377 2.1
Copyright © 2016 Deloitte Services LP 30
Expected future outcome
45
1Unless there is a financial markets crisis, the short-term impact of Brexit on the US (and even on Europe) will likely be minimal.
2 Slower investment and higher trade barriers will likely slow growth in the medium to long run in the UK and the Eurozone.
3 The medium-long run impact on the US will likely be small.
Despite the expected minimal impact, the US did not need another economic headwind.
Copyright © 2016 Deloitte Services LP 31
We continue to forecast moderate growth, but what are some things that could cause a change in outlook?
•Hard landing for China
•Fed makes a mistake—on either side
•Brexit gone bad
•Banking crisis from Europe
Copyright © 2015 Deloitte Development LLC. All rights reserved.
This presentation contains general information only and Deloitte is not, by means of this presentation, rendering accounting, business, financial, investment, legal, tax, or other professional advice or services. This presentation is not a substitute for such professional advice or services, nor should it be used as a basis for any decision or action that may affect your business. Before making any decision or taking any action that may affect your business, you should consult a qualified professional advisor. Deloitte shall not be responsible for any loss sustained by any person who relies on this presentation.
As used in this document, “Deloitte” means Deloitte LLP and its subsidiaries. Please see www.deloitte.com/us/about for a detailed description of the legal structure of Deloitte LLP and its subsidiaries. Certain services may not be available to attest clients under the rules and regulations of public accounting.
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SEC ServicesSEC UpdateNovember 29, 2016
Sam Fannin, ManagerJonathan Tambourine, Manager SEC Services
Copyright © 2016 Deloitte Services LP 34
Agenda
SEC organizational structure, environment, and rulemaking
Disclosure effectiveness
Non-GAAP measures
SEC review process
SEC comment letter trends and statistics
Question and answer
Copyright © 2016 Deloitte Services LP 35
Assistant Director
Branch Chief
Senior Assistant Chief Accountant
Branch ChiefLegal Branch Chief
Associate Director
Office of Chief Accountant OCA
Wes Bricker
InvestmentManagement
Trading & Markets
CommissionerPiwowar
CommissionerStein
22 other offices
Corporation Finance
Keith Higgins
Economic and Risk Analysis Enforcement
Industry AD Group
10 other AD groups
Corp Fin—Office of the Chief Accountant
Mark Kronforst
Source: Information from www.sec.gov/corpfin/Article/filing-review-process---corp-fin.html
Chair WhiteOpenOpen
*Lisa Fairfax and Hester Peirce nominated for open seats by President Obama, subject to Senate confirmation
SEC organizational structure
Copyright © 2016 Deloitte Services LP 36
Enforcement initiatives
• Financial Reporting and Audit (“FRAud”) Task Force−Continued to prioritize issuer reporting and disclosure matters in FY 2016 −Monitors restatement activities and audit failures −Uses technology and tools for “data mining” and data analysis
• Other policy-related initiatives−Admission of wrong-doing−Focus on the individual
• Whistleblower Program−Awarded $111 million to 34 whistleblowers since inception−Retaliation and “pre-taliation” concerns
FY 2016 FY 2015 FY 2014
Number of enforcement actions 868 807 755
Orders for penalties & disgorgements (approx.) $4.0 billion $4.19 billion $4.16 billion
Copyright © 2016 Deloitte Services LP 37
SEC environment and rulemaking
Dodd-Frank Act
JOBS Act
FAST Act
Non-GAAP Measures - Updated Compliance & Disclosure Interpretations (C&Dis)
Disclosure Effectiveness
Resource Extractors Disclosures –Final Rule
Small Reporting Company Definition -Amendment
Copyright © 2016 Deloitte Services LP 38
Disclosure effectiveness
What is it?
• Providing better information to investors – more understandable, more useful and eliminating excessive disclosure
• Could result in additional disclosures
What has the SEC staff done lately?
• Request for comment on financial disclosures about entities other than the registrant – comment period closed November 30, 2015
• S-K concept release – comments closed July 21, 2016
• Disclosure Update and Simplification proposed rule – issued July 13, 2016, comment period closed Nov 2, 2016
1
2
3 Focus on material and relevant matters
Reduce or eliminate redundant disclosures
Tailor disclosures to company’s facts and circumstances
Copyright © 2016 Deloitte Services LP 39
Disclosure effectiveness
Background on Regulation S-K and the Release
What’s in?
• The overall disclosure framework
• Disclosures for investment and voting decisions –
Specific business and financial disclosure requirements in Regulation S-K
1
2
3
Focus on material and relevant matters
Reduce or eliminate redundant disclosures
• Core company business information • Public policy and sustainability matters
• Company performance, financial information, and future prospects • Exhibits
• Risk and risk management • Scaled requirements
• Securities of the registrant • Frequency of interim reporting
• Industry guides • Presentation and delivery
Regulation S-K Concept Release
Copyright © 2016 Deloitte Services LP 40
Disclosure effectiveness
What’s out?
Public-company disclosure issues that are not a focus of the release
SEC encouraged comments on any disclosure topic
1 Focus on material and relevant matters
Reduce or eliminate redundant disclosures
• Proxy Info – Compensation and governance information
• Modernization of the EDGAR system
• Non-GAAP measures • Disclosures required for foreign private issuers
• Inline XBRL • Business development companies
These topics may be considered in future stages of the SEC’s disclosure effectiveness project
Regulation S-K Concept Release
Copyright © 2016 Deloitte Services LP 41
Disclosure effectiveness
Category of proposed change Goal of proposed change
Example topic(s) affected (see proposal for specified changes)
Redundant or duplicative requirements
Eliminate requirements that result in substantially the same information under SEC rules, US GAAP or IFRS
FXConsolidationsDebt obligations
Overlappingrequirements*
Eliminate requirements that result in reasonably similar information or information that may no longer be useful to investors
ConsolidationsSegments
Outdated requirements Amend requirements that are obsolete Market price disclosures
Superseded requirements
Amend requirements that are inconsistent with new requirements Extraordinary items
1
2
Focus on material and relevant matters
Reduce or eliminate redundant disclosures
Tailor disclosures to company’s facts and
circumstances
Disclosure Update and Simplification proposed rule
Copyright © 2016 Deloitte Services LP 42
Consider for 2016 10-K:
• Additional qualitative disclosure if impact cannot be reasonably estimated:
−The effect of any accounting policies you expect to select upon adopting the ASU(s)
−How such policies may differ from the your current accounting policies
−The status of the implementation process and the nature of any significant implementation matters that have not yet been addressed
Revised financial statements in registration statements
“Investors should expect the level of disclosures to increase as companies make further progress in their implementation plans” in connection with newly issued standards.—
Wesley Bricker, Interim Chief Accountant, Office of the Chief Accountant
Newly issued accounting standardsSAB Topic 11.M (SAB 74) disclosures on new revenue, lease and credit loss accounting standards
Copyright © 2016 Deloitte Services LP 43
Non-GAAP measuresEvolution of non-GAAP measure rules and regulations
2001
2003
2010
2015
2016
SEC issues “cautionary advice” to registrants
SEC issues Regulation G and S-K Item 10(e)
Compliance & Disclosure Interpretations (C&DI’s) issued by SEC
SEC increases focus on non-GAAP measures as measures increase in use and prominence
New and updated C&DIs issued by SEC
Copyright © 2016 Deloitte Services LP 44
Updated compliance and disclosure interpretationsNon-GAAP measures
• More prominent presentation of non-GAAP measures (C&DI 102.10)
−Full non-GAAP income statement
−Omitting comparable GAAP measures from press release headlines
−Bolder or larger font
−Non-GAAP measure that precedes a comparable GAAP measure
−Equally prominent description for a GAAP measure (e.g. “record performance”)
−Disclosures related to forward looking non-GAAP measures
−Same discussion and prominence for GAAP measures
−Tabular disclosure/reconciliation that starts with a non-GAAP measure
“Non-GAAP measures are intended to supplement …and not supplant the information in the financial statements.”-Jim Schnurr, Chief Accountant, Office of the Chief Accountant
Copyright © 2016 Deloitte Services LP 45
Updated compliance and disclosure interpretations and current thinking
Non-GAAP measures
Misleading measures (C&DI 100.01–100.04)• Financial measures using individually tailored accounting principles (C&DI 100.4)
−Using a registrants' own set of accounting principles to determine a non-GAAP measure
−Staff will not object to a measure that adjusts to reflect the adoption of the new revenue recognition accounting standard
• Prohibition on presenting liquidity measures on a per share basis (C&DI 102.05)
−Designated performance measures that are really liquidity measures
• Non-GAAP tax expense (C&DI 102.11)
−Tax adjustments commensurate with the non-GAAP measure of profitability
−Clear explanation of how the adjustment was determined
• Challenge non-GAAP adjustments
−Restructuring and litigation
Copyright © 2016 Deloitte Services LP 46
Non-GAAP measures – What to ask?
1. Is the measure misleading or prohibited?
2. Is the measure presented with the most directly comparable GAAP measure and with no greater prominence than the GAAP measure?
3. Is the measure appropriately defined and described, and clearly labeled as non-GAAP?
4. Does the reconciliation between the GAAP and non-GAAP measure clearly label and describe the nature of each adjustment, and is each adjustment appropriate?
6. Is there transparent and company-specific disclosure of the reason(s) why the measure is useful for investors and the purpose for which management uses the measure?
7. Is the measure balanced (i.e., it adjusts not only for nonrecurring expenses but also for nonrecurring gains) and consistently prepared?
8. Does the measure appropriately focus on material adjustments and not include immaterial adjustments that would not seem to be a focus of management?
9. Do the disclosure controls and procedures address non-GAAP measures?
10. Is the audit committee involved in the oversight of the preparation and use of non-GAAP measures?
Non-GAAP measures
Copyright © 2016 Deloitte Services LP 47
Roadmap to Non-GAAP Financial Measures
• Devoted to non-GAAPS
• Assess appropriateness of non-GAAP measures
• Combines SEC guidance with interpretations and examples
• Appendixes also includes
−Questions to ask when disclosing non-GAAPs
−Highlights and remarks from recent SEC officials
−Example comments on non-GAAPS
Copyright © 2016 Deloitte Services LP 48
Filing Reviews
• About 9,000 registrants
• Focus on 2,500 registrants that comprise 98% of market cap
• All issuers reviewed at least 1 out of every 3 years
• No more Tandy language
• Staff is listening to analyst/earnings calls, reviewing press releases, Web sites, social media, and issuing comments
• Comments are posted to EDGAR 20 days after completion of review
* Source: The data presented in the chart were obtained from the SEC’s FY 2015 Annual Performance Report and FY 2017 Annual Performance Plan. Further, the SEC’s fiscal year ends on September 30.
SEC review process
Copyright © 2016 Deloitte Services LP 49
Review processSEC review process
Reviews With Comment Letters and Number of Comment Letters Trending Downward
2,171 2,1031,770
1,476
998
3,6473,329
2,803
2,212
1,485
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Reviews with Comment Letters Number of Comment Letters
Linear (Reviews with Comment Letters) Linear (Number of Comment Letters)
Source: Information in the table is derived from data provided by Audit Analytics, includes comments related to Forms 10-K and 10-Q, as well as related amendments, for reviews that have been “closed.” Current and prior year information includes comments for the 12-month periods ended July 31, 2016 and 2015, respectively.
Copyright © 2016 Deloitte Services LP 50
Deloitte comment letter seriesSEC comment letter trends and statistics
• Ninth Edition — October 2015
• Insights into areas the SEC staff has focused on in recent comment letters including:
− Financial Statement Accounting and Disclosure Topics
− SEC Disclosure Topics
− Disclosure Topics in Initial Public Offerings
− Industry-Specific Topics
• Consumer & Industrial Products
• Energy & Resources
• Financial Services
• Health Sciences
• Technology & Telecommunications
• Supplement issued October 2016 provides updated analysis, which includes:‒ Update of SEC’s strategic priorities
‒ Updated top-10 list of most common trends
‒ Expanded presentation of comment letter statistics
‒ New trends in business combinations, leases and pensions
Copyright © 2016 Deloitte Services LP 51
Source: Information in the table is derived from data provided by Audit Analytics, includes comments related to Forms 10-K and 10-Q, as well as related amendments, for reviews that have been “closed.” Current and prior year information includes comments for the 12-month periods ended July 31, 2016 and 2015, respectively.
Top 10 Topics in ReviewsSEC comment letter trends and statistics
Copyright © 2016 Deloitte Services LP 52
Source: Information in the table is derived from data provided by Audit Analytics, includes comments related to Forms 10-K and 10-Q, as well as related amendments, for reviews that have been “closed.” Current and prior year information includes comments for the 12-month periods ended July 31, 2016 and 2015, respectively.
SEC comment letter trends and statisticsComment Letters per Review
Copyright © 2016 Deloitte Services LP 53
Source: Information in the table is derived from data provided by Audit Analytics, includes comments related to Forms 10-K and 10-Q, as well as related amendments, for reviews that have been “closed.” Current and prior year information includes comments for the 12-month periods ended July 31, 2016 and 2015, respectively.
SEC comment letter trends and statisticsDays to Complete a Review
Copyright © 2016 Deloitte Services LP 54
Source: Information in the table is derived from data provided by Audit Analytics, includes comments related to Forms 10-K and 10-Q, as well as related amendments, for reviews that have been “closed.” Current and prior year information includes comments for the 12-month periods ended July 31, 2016 and 2015, respectively.
SEC comment letter trends and statisticsObservations About Reviews by Filing Status
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Areas of FocusSEC comment letter trends
Non-GAAP Measures Transparency & Consistency
Can’t be used in misleading way
Recent press and SEC focus
MetricsClearly define metrics and explain how calculated
Explain how used by management and why important to investors
Describe how a metric is related to current or future results of operations
Copyright © 2016 Deloitte Services LP 56
SEC comment letter trends
Revenue Recognition
• Gross vs Net
• Multiple element arrangements
• Contra-revenue items
• New revenue standard
− SAB 74 disclosures
− Full retrospective adoption and registration statement
− Prospectus supplements not fundamental change
Areas of Focus
Copyright © 2016 Deloitte Services LP 57
SEC comment letter trends
Income Taxes
• Valuation Allowance
• Rate reconciliation
− Appropriate breakout (and descriptions of) adjustments
• Impact of foreign operations
• Repatriation of foreign cash
Areas of Focus
Copyright © 2016 Deloitte Services LP 58
SEC comment letter trends
Segments
• SEC staff’s focus is evolving:
− Chief Operating Decision Maker (CODM) package- no longer determinative
− Staff will consider total mix of information
• Aggregation of operating segments still a focus - consider both quantitative and qualitative factors
• Consider whether CODM is someone other than CEO
• Both SEC and PCAOB are focusing on segments
Areas of Focus
Copyright © 2016 Deloitte Services LP 59
SEC comment letter trends
Business Combinations
• Purchase price allocation
• Determination of fair values and key assumptions
• Determining the accounting acquirer (NEW TREND)
Goodwill and Intangibles Impairment
• Valuation Assumptions and sensitivity (FRM 9510)
• Specific events that caused the impairment – “why now”
• Early warning disclosures
Areas of Focus
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SEC comment letter trends
Immaterial restatements and ICFR
• Material weaknesses typically identified in conjunction with a material restatement or audit adjustment
• Impact of immaterial restatements on ICFR
− The “could” factor
◦ Not limited to the size of the error identified
◦ Level of deficiency should be based on potential error
− Must disclose material changes in ICFR
• Significant focus of SEC and PCAOB
Areas of Focus
Copyright © 2016 Deloitte Services LP 61
SEC comment letter trends
Leases
• Build-to-suit transactions (NEW TREND)
Pensions and other post retirement benefits
• Alternatives to applying discount rates for defined benefit plans (NEW TREND)
Areas of Focus
Copyright © 2016 Deloitte Services LP 62
SEC comment letter trends
• Disclosures on Newly Issued Standards (SAB 74) and related implementation issues
• Consider for revenue, leases, and credit impairment, among others
• Additional qualitative disclosure if impact cannot be reasonably estimated:
− The effect of any accounting policies you expect to select upon adopting the ASU(s)
− How such policies may differ from the your current accounting policies
− The status of the implementation process and the nature of any significant implementation matters that have not yet been addressed
“Investors should expect the level of disclosures to increase as companies make further progress in their implementation plans for adopting the new standards…”-Wesley Bricker, Interim Chief Accountant, Office of the Chief Accountant
Areas of Focus
Presentation title[To edit, click View > Slide Master > Slide Master]
63
Questions?
About DeloitteDeloitte refers to one or more of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu Limited, a UK private company limited by guarantee (“DTTL”), its network of member firms, and their related entities. DTTL and each of its member firms are legally separate and independent entities. DTTL (also referred to as “Deloitte Global”) does not provide services to clients. Please see www.deloitte.com/about for a detailed description of DTTL and its member firms. Please see www.deloitte.com/us/about for a detailed description of the legal structure of Deloitte LLP and its subsidiaries. Certain services may not be available to attest clients under the rules and regulations of public accounting.
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AgendaAccounting & Auditing Update
Revenue recognition implementation efforts
FASB standard setting
Deep Dive: Leases
Question and answer
66Copyright © 2016 Deloitte Development LLC. All rights reserved.
Keep in mind
This presentation does not provide official Deloitte & Touche LLP interpretive accounting guidance.
67Copyright © 2016 Deloitte Development LLC. All rights reserved.
Learning objective
To enhance participants’ understanding of important accounting issues and developments pertaining to recent actions of standard setters, regulators, and others.
ASC 606 – Revenue recognitionImplementation efforts
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FASB & IASB boards• Amend standard for clarifications
and practical expedients
TRG• Inform the boards of
implementation issues• Quarterly meetings
AICPA• 16 Industry-specific working
groups• Audit & Accounting Guides
SEC• Staff announcements
PCAOB
Preparers
Users
Auditors
ASU 2014-09 / IFRS 15 Issued May 2014
Key participantsImplementation efforts
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TRGImplementation efforts
Joint Revenue Transition Resource Group
• Jointly discussed about 40 topics in six meetings over approximately 18 months
• Led to standard-setting to further clarify ASC 606
− Four final ASUs and one proposed ASU (regarding certain technical corrections)
• No longer joint (in January 2016, IASB announced it has completed its decision-making)
• Three FASB-only meetings scheduled in 2016
− TRG met in April but did not meet in July
Recent SEC staff comments expressing expectations of U.S. and foreign filers:
• SEC staff will consider TRG discussions and meeting minutes when assessing the appropriateness of a filer’s revenue recognition accounting policies.
− Therefore, filers should monitor and consider such information (i.e., particularly when general agreement is reached).
• Strongly encourage filers to consult with the SEC staff if a filer anticipates selecting an accounting policy that is inconsistent with TRG discussions.
• Although IFRS constituents will no longer participate in TRG meetings, U.S. TRG participants are expected to discuss topics from a global perspective.
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No. of issues No. of issues
Aerospace and defense 14 Hospitality 7
Airlines 20 Insurance 6
Asset management 10 Not-for-profit 5
Broker-dealers 9 Oil and gas 3
Construction contractors 11 Power and utility 10
Depository institutions 6 Software 13
Gaming 15 Telecommunications 12
Health care 10 Timeshare 12
Total 163
AICPA industry revenue task forcesImplementation efforts
Number of issues that the task forces are addressing:
http://www.aicpa.org/InterestAreas/FRC/AccountingFinancialReporting/RevenueRecognition/Pages/RevenueRecognition.aspx
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Other considerations for SEC registrantsImplementation efforts
SAB Topic 11.M (SAB 74) disclosures
• Important for investors’ “timely education and engagement”
• Disclosure of specific impact of new standard to the registrant expected to be more precise as effective date approaches
• Staff has cited how transparent disclosures regarding the adoption of other new standards prevented adverse market reactions
Revised financial statements in registration statements
• “Fourth” year and impracticability
Consultations and resources
• Office of the Chief Accountant (OCA) has conducted consultations and encourages registrants to consult with OCA
− Regarding complex, innovative transactions without clear guidance
• Topic 11 recently added to Division of Corporation Finance’s Financial Reporting Manual
− Selected financial data, quarterly financial data, ratio of earnings to fixed charges
− Significance tests related to provision of other entities’ financial statements
FASB invitation to commentAgenda consultation
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Overview of the agenda consultation
On August 4th, the FASB issued an invitation to comment (ITC) to solicit feedback about potential financial accounting and reporting topics that it should add to its agenda.
The ITC identifies financial reporting issues and possible solutions for the following topics:
1. Intangible assets (including research and development)
2. Pensions and other postretirement benefit plans
3. Distinguishing liabilities from equity
4. Reporting performance and cash flows (includes income statement, segment reporting, other comprehensive income, and statement of cash flows)
The comment period ends on October 17th
FASB invitation to comment
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Potential improvements
• Alternative A - Recognize at cost or fair value internally generated intangible assets
• Alternative B - Recognize at cost or fair value research and/or development costs
• Alternative C - Disclose internally generated intangible items
• Alternative D - Adopt IAS 38
Intangible assetsFASB invitation to comment
Issue - lack of overarching recognition and measurement framework for internally developed intangible assets
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Potential improvements• Alternative A - converge with IAS 19, Employee Benefits
• Alternative B - eliminate all smoothing and recognize measured changes immediately in the income statement
Pensions and other postretirement benefitsFASB invitation to comment
Issue - Delayed recognition (smoothing) in earnings
The FASB is also considering whether a comprehensive change to pension and postretirement benefit plan accounting would be more effective
77Copyright © 2016 Deloitte Development LLC. All rights reserved.
Distinguishing liabilities from equity
The issue - current GAAP is:
1. Difficult to navigate and
2. Internally inconsistent, conceptually flawed and rules-based (which can lead to financial structuring)
Potential improvements
Holistic approach to determine whether a present obligation to transfer shares of the entity meets the definition of a liability
• Alternative A – Classify an instrument as a liability if there is a present obligation to transfer assets or shares of the entity
• Alternative B – Classify an instrument as a liability only if there is a present obligation to transfer assets
FASB invitation to comment
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Reporting performance and cash flowsFASB invitation to comment
Issues Potential improvements
Income statement
1. Categorize the income statement into operating and nonoperating activities
2. Combining or separating performance information and presenting discrete lines
Othercomprehensive income (OCI)
1. Minimize the use of recycling2. Remove the option for presenting comprehensive income over two
statements3. Emphasize other earnings-per-share measures
Segment reporting
1. Reexamine disclosure requirements of ASC 2802. Reexamine aggregation criteria3. View segment reporting from a governance perspective
Statement of cash flows
1. Targeted improvement to provide further disaggregation of specific cash flows
2. Provide additional classification guidance for certain types of cash flows3. Reconsider definitions of each classification category and the three-
category structure
79Copyright © 2016 Deloitte Development LLC. All rights reserved.
AgendaDeep Dive: Leases
• The “Big Picture”
• Identifying a lease
• Key ingredients of the leases model
• Overview of the core accounting models
• Other provisions, transition, and effective date
• Operational considerations
• Question and answer
80Copyright © 2016 Deloitte Development LLC. All rights reserved.
Key takeaways from this Dbriefs webcastThe “Big Picture”
Most leases on balance sheet for lessees
Classification will drive expense profile
Lessor model largely unchanged
Most changes result from alignment with ASC 606
FASB tried to make things easy
Classification, reassessment, transition
Effective 2019 but don’t wait to assess impact
Process and systems changes may be requiredPotential impact on debt covenants
Identifying a lease
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Scope
What’s in and what’s out?Introducing the new standard
Applies to leases of property, plant, or equipment
Does not apply to:
Leases of intangible assets
Leases to explore for or use nonregenerative resources
Leases of biological assets
Leases of inventory
Leases of assets under construction
83Copyright © 2016 Deloitte Development LLC. All rights reserved.
A lease is a contract, or part of a contract, that conveys the right to control the use of identified property, plant, or equipment for a period of time in
exchange for consideration
ConsiderationLessor Lessee
Control the use of an identified asset
What does the new definition look like?Definition of a lease
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Definition of a lease
For a contract to be, or contain, a
lease it must
Depend on the use of an identified
asset, and
Convey the right to control the use
Right to obtain substantially all of the economic benefits from
asset use
Right to direct the use of the asset over lease
term
and
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Identified asset criteriaIdentified asset — Overview
Contract must depend on use of identified asset• Asset must be explicitly or implicitly identified• Physically distinct portion of a larger asset may be an identified asset• Capacity portion of a larger asset is generally not an identified asset
Right of substitution• Would result in the asset not being deemed a specified asset• Substitution would be considered substantive if . . .
o Lessor has the practical ability to substitute the asseto Lessor would benefit from exercising its right of substitution
Warranty or upgrade considerations• Supplier’s right or obligation to substitute an alternative asset due to operational failure
does not mean the asset is not an identified asset • Supplier’s right or obligation to upgrade the asset similarly does not mean the asset is
not an identified asset
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Benefits related to the ownership of an asset should not be included in the assessment of whether an arrangement contains a lease
Can obtain economic benefits from the use of an asset directly or indirectly in many ways
Economic benefits from the use of an asset include its primary output and by-products, including potential cash flows derived from these items
RIGHT TO OBTAIN SUBSTANTIALLY ALL OF THE ECONOMIC BENEFITS FROM USE
Convey the right to control the useDefinition of a lease
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Protective rights, while defining the scope of the asset use, generally do not, in isolation, prevent the customer from being able to direct the
use of the asset
• Right to direct “how and for what purpose” asset is used throughout the period of use; or
• Relevant decisions about “how and for what purpose” asset is used are predetermined before the period of use, and Customer has the right to operate asset without supplier having the right to
change operating instructions; or Customer designed the asset in a way that predetermines the most relevant
decisions about how and for what purpose the asset will be used during the period of use
RIGHT TO DIRECT THE USE OF THE ASSET
Convey the right to control the use (cont’d)Definition of a lease
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CONTRACT FOR THE USE OF A SHIP — FACTS
Customer A enters into a contract with Supplier B for the use of a specific ship for a four-year period
• Supplier B is not permitted to substitute the ship• Customer A decides whether and what cargo will be transported and when and to
which ports the ship will sail throughout the contract period• Certain restrictions prevent Customer A from sailing the ship in waters where there is
a high risk of piracy or from carrying hazardous materials as cargo
• During the contract period, Supplier B operatesand maintains the ship and is responsible for the safe passage of the cargo onboard the ship
• Customer A is prohibited from hiring another operator for the ship during the term of the contract or operating the ship itself
Illustrative exampleDefinition of a lease
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CONTRACT FOR THE USE OF A SHIP — ANALYSIS
In this scenario, A has the right to control the use of the ship throughout the four-year contract period
• Customer A has the right to obtain substantially all of the economic benefits from the use of the ship during the contract period through its exclusive use of the ship
• Customer A has the right to direct activities related to the use of the ship because it decides where and when the ship will travel, what cargo it will carry, or whether it will be transporting cargo at any given time
• While there are contractual restrictions about where the ship can sail and the nature of the cargo to be transported, these are protective rights and do not prevent Customer A from having the right to direct the use of the asset
Illustrative example (cont’d)Definition of a lease
Key ingredients of the leases model
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Separating lease and nonlease components
An asset will be considered a separate lease component if:
• Lessee can benefit from the use of the underlying asset either on its own or using other resources that are readily available
• The underlying asset is not highly dependent on or highly interrelated with other assets in the arrangement
NOTE: Land and other elements evaluated separately unless the accounting for the land element would not be significantly different
Contracts with multiple lease components for different
underlying assets
Contracts with lease and nonlease components
(i.e., separate services)
An activity is a nonlease component if it transfers a good or service to the lessee
• CAM and utilities would likely be nonleasecomponents
• Property taxes and insurance would likely be combined with the lease component(s)
Standard provides specific lessee and lessor guidance on how consideration should be allocated to each contract component
Contracts that contain multiple components
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Lease would be classified as a finance lease (lessee) or a sales-type lease (lessor) when . . . Lease transfers ownership of the underlying asset to lessee by the end of the lease
term Lease grants the lessee an option to purchase the underlying asset that the lessee is
reasonably certain to exercise Lease term is for a major part of the remaining economic life of the underlying
asset Present value of the lease payments and any residual value guaranteed by the
lessee equals or exceeds substantially all of the fair value of the underlying asset Leased asset is so specialized in nature that it is expected to have no alternative use
to the lessor at the end of the lease term
Overview of the criteriaLease classification
CLASSIFICATION CRITERIA
The standard states that the bright-line thresholds that exist under ASC 840 could be a reasonable approach to evaluate whether a lease would be classified as a finance lease
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Initial determination and reassessmentLease term
LEASE TERMNoncancelable period, plus… Renewal options that are reasonably certain to be exercised by a lessee Termination options that are reasonably certain not to be exercised by a lessee Options to extend (or not to terminate) that are controlled by the lessor
REASSESSMENT REQUIREMENTSLessees are required to reassess lease term when A significant event or change in circumstances occurs that is in the control of the
lessee A contract term obliges the lessee to exercise (or not exercise) a renewal or
termination option Lessee elects to exercise or not exercise a renewal or termination option that was
not previously deemed reasonably certain of being or not being exercised Would reassess when there is a modification that does not result in a separate
contractLessors would not be required to reassess lease term, unless there is a modification that does not result in a separate contract
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What amounts are included in lease payments?Lease payments
•Payments specified in the lease agreement
•In-substance fixed paymentsFixed lease payments
•Payments that depend on an index or a rate•Excludes payments based on usage or performance•Reassessment required under certain circumstances
Variable payments
•Lessees — amount that it is probable will be owed under the RVG at the end of the lease term
•Lessors — the full amount at which the residual asset is guaranteed by the lessee or third party
Residual value
guarantees
•Treated in a manner consistent with the accounting for renewal options
•Include options that a lessee is reasonably certain to exercise
Purchase and termination
options
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What discount rate should be used?Discount rate
Lessee must use the rate the lessor charges in the lease if readily determinable or, alternatively, its incremental borrowing rate
Lessor would use the rate it charges the lessee, which is known as the rate implicit in the lease
Nonpublic business entities are permitted to make an accounting policy election to use the risk-free rate when measuring their lease obligations
REASSESSMENT REQUIREMENTS
Lessee Lessor• Would generally be updated when there
is a remeasurement of the lease obligation
• Would reassess when there is a modification that does not result in a separate contract
• Would reassess, in certain instances, when there is a modification that does not result in a separate contract
Overview of the core accounting models
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What does the lessee model look like?Lessee accounting model
InitialMeasurement
Most* leases are recorded on the balance sheet using a right-of-use asset approach:
SubsequentMeasurement
• Lease obligation — PV of lease payments not yet paid• ROU asset — lease obligation + initial direct costs – lease
incentives + prepaid lease payments
• Lease obligation — amortized using the effective interest method
• ROU asset — depends upon lease classification • Expense recognition pattern:o Finance lease — front-loadedo Operating lease — generally straight-line
Short-term leases: A lessee can elect, by asset class, not to record on its balance sheet a lease with a lease term of 12 months or less and which does not include a purchase option that the lessee is reasonably certain to exercise
*
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Illustrative exampleLessee accounting model
Finance lease Operating lease
This table highlights the differences in accounting for the lease under the finance lease and operating lease models:
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What does the lessor model look like?Lessor accounting model
• Existing lessor accounting retained with minimal changes• Classification depends on an assessment of control of the underlying asset
Sales-type Direct financing Operating• Lessee gains control of the
underlying asset
• Underlying asset is derecognized
• Net investment in a lease is recognized
• Selling profit or loss recognized at lease commencement
• Initial direct costs recognizedat lease commencementunless no selling profit or loss
• Lessee does not obtain control of the asset, but the lessor relinquishes control
• Underlying asset is derecognized
• Net investment in a lease is recognized
• Profit deferred and amortized into income over the lease term
• Initial direct costs deferred and amortized into income over the lease term
• Lessor retains control of the underlying asset
• Underlying asset remains on the lessor’s balance sheet
• Income recognized on a straight-line basis unless another systematic basis is more appropriate
• Initial direct costs deferred and expensed over the lease term in a manner consistent with income
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New lessor guidance aligned with the FASB’s new revenue standard
in many respects
Interaction between ASC 842 and ASC 606Lessor accounting model
Sale treatment linked to lessee
control of underlying asset
Sale recognition depends on whether collectibility of the
lease payments plus the residual value
guarantee is probable
Must consider guidance in
ASC 606 when determining how to allocate payments between lease and
nonlease components
Lease modifications
accounted for in a manner similar to the modification
guidance in ASC 606
Determination of initial direct costs linked to
incremental costs of obtaining a contract in ASC 606
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ROU assetLease liability
Amortization expenseInterest expense
Principal (Financing)
Interest (Operating)
ROU assetLease liability
Lease expense (single line on straight-line
basis)
Lease payments
(Operating)
Balance Sheet Income Statement Cash Flow Statement
Financing Lease
Operating Lease
Presentation requirements
Lessee model
Presentation consistent with current lessor model:• Balance sheet — presentation depends on lease classification• Income statement — profit or loss recognized in a manner consistent with business model• Cash flow statement — recognized as cash inflows from operating activities
Lessor model
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Disclosure requirements
DISCLOSURE OBJECTIVEEnable financial statement users to assess the amount, timing, and uncertainty
of cash flows arising from leases
LESSEE DISCLOSURES Nature of its leases Information about leases that have not
yet commenced Related-party lease transactions Accounting policy election regarding
short-term leases Finance and operating lease costs Short-term and variable lease costs Sublease income Gain or loss from sale-and-leaseback Maturity analysis for lease obligations Weighted-average remaining lease
term Weighted-average discount rate
LESSOR DISCLOSURES Nature of its leases Significant assumptions and
judgments used Related-party leases transactions Tabular disclosure of lease-related
income Components of the net investment in
a lease Information on the management of
risk associated with residual asset Maturity analysis of operating lease
payments and lease receivable Information required by ASC 360
Other provisions, effective date, and transition
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Sale-and-leaseback transactions
• Seller-lessee should evaluate the transfer of the underlying asset under the requirements of ASC 606
• Existence of leaseback would not prevent a conclusion that underlying asset was sold
−Arrangement in which leaseback is classified as a finance lease would preclude sale accounting
• Substantive repurchase options would preclude sale accounting
•Entire gain resulting from the sale recognized immediately•Special considerations for off-market terms
Gain recognition
•Account for leaseback in a manner consistent with other leases•Seller-lessee applies lessee model; buyer-lessor applies lessor model
Leaseback accounting
•A “failed sale” will be accounted for as a financing arrangement by both parties
“Failed” sale-leaseback
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Current “build-to-suit” guidance is not carried forward in the new standard
Lessee controls asset during construction
• Asset is effectively owned by the lessee during theconstruction period
• Arrangement would be subject to sale-and-leasebackaccounting upon completion of construction
Lessee does notcontrol asset during
construction
• Costs related to the construction or design of the underlying asset would be accounted for under other U.S. GAAP topics
Standard provides indicators a lessee should consider when evaluating whether it controls the asset being constructed
New accounting depends on whether the lessee
controls the underlying asset during the construction period:
Lessee involvement in asset construction
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Effective date• Public business entities — effective for calendar periods beginning on January 1, 2019
and interim periods therein• All other entities — effective for calendar periods beginning on January 1, 2020, and
interim periods thereafter• Early adoption will be permitted
• Lessees and lessors are required to use a modified retrospective transition method for all existing leases
• Would apply the new model for the earliest year presented in the financial statements• Application of approach linked to current lease classification and new lease classification• An entity can use hindsight when evaluating lease term
Transition
TRANSITION RELIEF PACKAGELessees and lessors are not required to reassess the following upon transition: Whether any expired or existing contracts are leases or contain leases The lease classification for any expired or existing leases Initial direct costs for any existing leases
Effective date and transition
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But wait, there’s more…Other key provisions and resources
Lease modifications Contract combinations Sublease accounting Leveraged lease accounting Accounting for leases at a portfolio level Leases in a business combination Related-party leases Accounting for leasehold improvements Impairment considerations US GAAP to IFRS comparisonFASB’s new standard brings most leases onto the balance sheet*Read the complete Heads Up” via the link to your left in the console.
Operational considerations
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What to look for
High lease volume
Complex lease contracts
Disparate systems/spreadsheets
Decentralized lease transaction processing
International locations
Prior challenges in lease accounting
Potential M&A activity
As you prepare to implement the new lease accounting standard, the following indicators may suggest a higher level of work effort:
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Internal Controls
High volume of data fields
Multiple currencies
and languages
Judgment requirements
Information isn’t all in one
agreement
Different arrangements
in different countries
Data housed in disparatesystems
During the implementation period, your operations don’t cease. New leases are entered into and existing leases are modified or terminated
Internalcontrols
Operational challenges — Data
The reporting and disclosure requirements of the new lease accounting standard may result in an increase in electronic data needs and a long lead time to abstract and validate data. Factors to consider may include:
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As you review your current lease technology capabilities the following functional requirements should be considered:
Abstraction technology to support efficient data gathering for large volumes of leases
Storage of electronic lease documents and related data fields
Reporting capabilities to perform necessary calculations and create required disclosures
Operational considerations including key event notifications, “what if” analyses, workflow management, and data analytics
Technology changes may be a longer lead time activity which may necessitate a temporary solution to facilitate data capture and pro forma reporting
Operational challenges — Technology
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The following additional challenges should be considered as you plan your implementation roadmap:
Application of Judgment and Estimation
Debt Covenants
Data Management
Internal Controls and Business Process Environment
Training
Income Taxes
Judgment is often required in the lease assessment; proper documentation is critical
Increased scrutiny from auditors and regulators may require entities to reexamine their internal controls and processes
Careful examination of the effects of increased leverage and potential debt covenant violations will be required
Potential tax implications are situational, which requires entities’ tax department involvement
Third-party data may be needed to ensure a high level of operational quality and efficiency
Entities may need to establish change management andemployee training programs
Other implementation considerations
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Initial steps to understand and plan the road aheadGetting started
Understand the accounting requirements
1 Understand the lease population
2 Assess capabilities of existing technology
3
Perform a data gap analysis
4 Develop an implementation roadmap
5
Question and answer
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ASC: Accounting Standards CodificationASU: FASB Accounting Standards UpdateCAM: Common Area MaintenanceCF: Cash FlowFASB: Financial Accounting Standards BoardFV: Fair ValueIASB: International Accounting Standards BoardIFRS: International Financial Reporting StandardsIT: Information TechnologyP&L: Profit and LossPV: Present ValueROU: Right-Of-Use
Acronyms used in presentation
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Contact info
Bob UhlPartner, Deloitte & Touche [email protected]
Connect with me on LinkedIn
James BarkerPartner, Deloitte & Touche [email protected]
Stephen McKinneyDirector, Deloitte & Touche [email protected]
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Tim KolberSenior Manager, Deloitte & Touche [email protected]
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Sean TorrDirector, Deloitte & Touche [email protected]
Connect with me on LinkedIn
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This presentation contains general information only and Deloitte is not, by means of this presentation, rendering accounting, business, financial, investment, legal, tax, or other professional advice or services. This presentation is not a substitute for such professional advice or services, nor should it be used as a basis for any decision or action that may affect your business. Before making any decision or taking any action that may affect your business, you should consult a qualified professional advisor. Deloitte shall not be responsible for any loss sustained by any person who relies on this presentation.
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