TCCI Barometer · 2013. 1. 18. · TCCI Barometer September 2010 “Establishing a reliable tool...

TCCI Barometer

September 2010

“Establishing a reliable tool for monitoring the

financial, business and social activity in the

Prefecture of Thessaloniki”

•Conduct every six months (September – September, 2nd fortnight)

•Monitoring five (5) populations of interest:

- Residents – Consumers in the Prefecture of Thessaloniki (Consumer Survey)

- Retail Trade companies in the Prefecture of Thessaloniki (Retail Trade Survey)

- Industries – Manufacturers in the Prefecture of Thessaloniki (Industry Survey)

- Services companies in the Prefecture of Thessaloniki (Services Survey)

- Construction companies in the Prefecture of Thessaloniki (Construction Survey)

• Conduct via telephone interviews (CATI system)

• Total sample of 1.500 respondents (700 consumers & 800 companies)

• Questionnaires along the lines of instructions for investigating

economic climate (DG – ECFIN)

Consumer Survey

Industry Survey

Services Survey

Retail Trade Survey4

3

2

1

Construction Survey5

Consumer Survey1

Consumer Confidence Indicator

Prefecture of Thessaloniki : -63

Greece : -67

European Union : -12

Consumer Survey1

Source:

1.Prefecture of Thessaloniki: TCCI Barometer

2.Greece : FEIR

3.European Union : DG ECFIN

Consumer Confidence Indicator (March 2010)


Greece : -57


Consumer Survey1

Balances (Positive – Negative)THE: -48

GR: -55

EU: -14


GR: -62

EU: -14

March 2010

0% 1%

26%

49%

24%

How has the financial situation of your household changed

over the last 12 months? It has...

got a lot better

got a little better

stayed the same

got a little worse

got a lot worse

0%1%

18%

44%

37%

How has the financial situation of your household changed

over the last 12 months? It has...

got a lot better

got a little better

stayed the same

got a little worse

got a lot worse

Consumer Survey1

Balances (Positive– Negative)THE: -47

GR: -45

EU: -2


GR: -57

EU: -4

March 2010

0%

5%

20%

45%

27%

3%

How do you expect the financial position of your household to change over the next 12 months? It

will…

get a lot better

get a little better

stay the same

get a little worse

get a lot worse

don't know

1%

8%

18%

37%

33%

3%

How do you expect the financial position of your household to change over the next 12 months? It

will…

get a lot better

get a little better

stay the same

get a little worse

get a lot worse

don't know

Consumer Survey1


GR: -76

EU: -46


GR: -80

EU: -32

March 2010

0%1%

8%

43%

46%

2%

How do you think the general economic situation in the country has changed over the past 12 months?

It has…

got a lot better

got a little better

stayed the same

got a little worse

got a lot worse

don't know

0%

3%

10%

33%52%

2%

How do you think the general economic situation in the country has changed over the past 12 months?

It has…

got a lot better

got a little better

stayed the same

got a little worse

got a lot worse

don't know

Consumer Survey1


GR: -44

EU: -7


GR: -65

EU: -11

March 2010

0%

10%

15%

31%

41%

3%

How do you expect the general economic situation in this country to develop over the next 12 months? It

will…

get a lot better

get a little better

stay the same

get a little worse

get a lot worse

don't know

1%

11%

16%

28%

42%

2%

How do you expect the general economic situation in this country to develop over the next 12 months? It

will…

get a lot better

get a little better

stay the same

get a little worse

get a lot worse

don't know

Consumer Survey1

Balances (Positive – Negative)THE: +35

GR: +42

EU: +05


GR: +61

EU: +14

March 2010

2%

12%

21%

40%

23%

2%

How do you think that consumer prices have developed over the last 12 months? They have…

fallen

stayed about the same

risen slightly

risen moderately

risen a lot

don't know

5%6%

12%

37%

38%

2%

How do you think that consumer prices have developed over the last 12 months? They have…

fallen

stayed about the same

risen slightly

risen moderately

risen a lot

don't know

Consumer Survey1


GR: +25

EU: +07


GR: +41

EU: +14

March 2010

4%

15%

11%

28%

39%

3%

By comparison with the past 12 months, how do you expect that consumer prices will develop in

the next 12 months? They will...

fall

stay about the same

increase at a slower rate

increase at the same rate

increase more rapidly

don't know

6%

14%

10%

30%

34%

6%

By comparison with the past 12 months, how do you expect that consumer prices will develop in the next

12 months? They will...

fall

stay about the same

increase at a slower rateincrease at the same rateincrease more rapidly

don't know

Consumer Survey1


GR: +82

EU: +41


GR: +89

EU: +25

March 2010

0%2%

5%

17%

74%

2%

How do you expect the number of people unemployed in this country to change over the next 12 months?

The number will…

fall sharply

fall slightly

remain the same

increase shlightly

increase sharply

don't know

0% 1%

4%

14%

79%

2%

How do you expect the number of people unemployed in this country to change over the next 12 months?

The number will…

fall sharply

fall slightly

remain the same

increase shlightly

increase sharply

don't know

Consumer Survey1


GR: -56

EU: -15


GR: -62

EU: -14

March 2010

1%

12%

18%

69%

In the view of the general economic situation, do you think that now it is the right moment for people

to make major purchases such as furniture, electrical/electronic devices, etc.?

don’t know

yes,it is the right moment now

it is neither the right moment nor the wrong moment

no, it is not the right moment now

2%

12%

16%

70%

In the view of the general economic situation, do you think that now it is the right moment for people

to make major purchases such as furniture, electrical/electronic devices, etc.?

don’t know

yes,it is the right moment now

it is neither the right moment nor the wrong moment

no, it is not the right moment now

Consumer Survey1


GR: -55

EU: -24


GR: -73

EU: -25

March 2010

3%6%

11%

26%

53%

1%

Compared to the past 12 months, do you expect to spend more or less money on major purchases

(furniture, electrical/electronic devices, etc.) over the next 12 months? I will spend…

much more

a little more

about the same

a little less

much less

don't know

6%4%

9%

18%63%

0%

Compared to the past 12 months, do you expect to spend more or less money on major purchases

(furniture, electrical/electronic devices, etc.) over the next 12 months? I will spend…

much more

a little more

about the same

a little less

much less

don't know

Consumer Survey1


GR: -45

EU: -


GR: -48

EU: -

March 2010

6%

13%

27%

53%

1%

In view of the general economic situation, do you think that now is…?

a very good moment to save

a fairly good moment to save

not a good moment to save

a very bad moment to save

don't know

7%

11%

20%

57%

5%

In view of the general economic situation, do you think that now is…?

a very good moment to save

a fairly good moment to save

not a good moment to save

a very bad moment to save

don't know

Consumer Survey1


GR: -60

EU: -5


GR: -57

EU: -06

March 2010

4%11%

21%

63%

1%

Over the next 12 months, how likely is it that you save any money?

very likely

fairly likely

not likely

not at all likely

don't know

3% 7%

23%

66%

1%

Over the next 12 months, how likely is it that you save any money?

very likely

fairly likely

not likely

not at all likely

don't know

Consumer Survey1

March 2010

1%

16%

49%

18%

16%

0%

Which of these statements best describes the current financial situation of your household?

we are saving a lot

we are saving a little

we are just managing to make ends meet on our incomewe are having to draw on our savings

we are running into debt

don't know

2%

11%

40%23%

24%

0%

Which of these statements best describes the current financial situation of your household?

we are saving a lot

we are saving a little

we are just managing to make ends meet on our incomewe are having to draw on our savings

we are running into debt

don't know

Consumer Survey1


GR*: -63

EU*: -74

*Data of January ‘10


GR*: -85

EU*: -75

*Data of July ‘10

March 2010

3%3%

4%

90%

How likely are you to buy a car over the next 12 months?

very likely

fairly likely

not likely

not at all likely

4%

2%2%

92%

How likely are you to buy a car over the next 12 months?

very likely

fairly likely

not likely

not at all likely

Consumer Survey1


GR*: -90

EU*: -89



GR*: -93

EU*: -90

*Data of July ‘10

March 2010

1%

3%4%

92%

Are you planning to buy or build a home over the next 12 months (to live in yourself, for a member of

your family, as a holiday home, to let etc.)?

yes, definitely

possibly

probably not

no

2%

4%

2%

92%

Are you planning to buy or build a home over the next 12 months (to live in yourself, for a member of

your family, as a holiday home, to let etc.)?

yes, definitely

possibly

probably not

no

Consumer Survey1



GR*: -61

EU*: -57

*Data of July ‘10


GR*: -71

EU*: -59

March 2010

3%8%

13%

76%

How likely are you to spend any large sums of money on home improvements or renovations

over the next 12 months?

very likely

fairly likely

not likely

not at all likely

3%5%

9%

83%

How likely are you to spend any large sums of money on home improvements or renovations

over the next 12 months?

very likely

fairly likely

not likely

not at all likely

Industry Survey2

Industry Survey2

Business Expectations Indicator (Industrial Sector) – March 2010


Greece : -23

European Union : -10Source:


2.Greece : FEIR

3.European Union : DG ECFIN

Business Expectations Indicator (Industrial Sector)


Greece : -24

European Union : -2

Industry Survey2


GR: -15

EU: +2


GR: -10

EU: +12

March 2010

decreased64%

remain unchanged

24%

increased9%

don't know3%

How has your production developed over the past 6 months? It has:

decreased66%

remain unchanged

23%

increased10%

don't know1%

How has your production developed over the past 6 months? It has:

Industry Survey2


GR: -52

EU: -39


GR: -51

EU: -17

March 2010

not sufficient

65%

sufficient33%

more than sufficient

1%

don't know1%

Do you consider your current overall order books to be:

not sufficient

70%

sufficient25%


4%

don't know1%


Industry Survey2


GR: -40

EU: -35


GR: -30

EU: -15

March 2010

not sufficient43%

don't know 29%

sufficient27%


1%

Do you consider your current export order books to be:

not sufficient40%

don't know 29%

sufficient25%


6%

Do you consider your current export order books to be:

Industry Survey2


GR: +17

EU: +1


GR: +16

EU: +01

March 2010

adequate60%

too small14%

too large19%

don't know7%

Do you consider your current stock of finished products to be:

adequate62%

too small17%

too large19%

don't know2%

Do you consider your current stock of finished products to be:

Industry Survey2


GR: +01

EU: +10


GR: -05

EU: +13

March 2010

decrease36%

remain unchanged

36%

increase16%

don't know12%

How do you expect your production to develop over the next 6 months? It will…

decrease43%

remain unchanged

38%

increase13%

don't know6%

How do you expect your production to develop over the next 6 months? It will…

Industry Survey2


GR: +02

EU: +01


GR: +06

EU: +10

March 2010

remain unchanged

56%decrease

24%

increase14%

don’t know8%

How do you expect your selling prices to change over the next 6 months? They will…

remain unchanged

65%

decrease19%

increase15%

don’t know1%

How do you expect your selling prices to change over the next 6 months? They will…

Industry Survey2


GR: -20

EU: -15


GR: -28

EU: -02

March 2010

remain unchanged

65%

decrease31%

don’t know 3%

increase2%

How do you expect your firm’s total employment to change over the next 6 months? It will…

remain unchanged

62%

decrease35%

don’t know 1%

increase2%


Industry Survey2

March 2010

1%

10%

5%

3%

7%

40%

65%

don't know

other factors

shortage of material and/or equipment

shortage of labour force

none

financial constraints

insufficient demand

What main factors are currently limiting your production?

1%

13%

7%

2%

2%

54%

54%

don't know

other factors

shortage of material and/or equipment


none


insufficient demand

What main factors are currently limiting your production?

Industry Survey2

March 2010

decreased64%

remain unchanged

26%

increased7%

don't know3%

How have your orders developed over the past 6 months? They have…

decreased59%

remain unchanged

29%

increased11%

don't know1%

How have your orders developed over the past 6 months? They have…

Industry Survey2


GR:* +37

EU:* +36



GR:* +40

EU:* +22

*Data of July ‘10

March 2010

sufficient68%

not sufficient17%


10%

don't know5%

Considering your current order books and the expected change in demand over the coming

months, how do you assess your current production capacity? The current production capacity is…

sufficient59%

not sufficient24%


14%

don't know3%

Considering your current order books and the expected change in demand over the coming

months, how do you assess your current production capacity? The current production capacity is…

Industry Survey2


GR: +02

EU: +12


GR: +12

EU: +09

March 2010

don't know31%

remain unchanged

32%

decrease28%

increase9%

How do you expect your export orders to develop over the next 6 months? They will…

don't know32%

remain unchanged

35%

decrease22%

increase11%

How do you expect your export orders to develop over the next 6 months? They will…

Industry Survey2

Source:


2.*Greece : FEIR

3.*European Union : DG ECFIN

Thessaloniki Greece* European Union*

**How many months of production are assured by

your current overall order books? 3,3 3,6 3,8

***At what capacity is your company currently

operating (as a percentage of full capacity)? 62,8% 66,6% 77,5%

** Percentage of those who answered: 94%

*** Percentage of those who answered: 97%

Services Survey3

Business Expectations Indicator (Services Sector) – March 2010


Greece : -21

European Union : +01

Services Survey3

Source:

1. Prefecture of Thessaloniki: TCCI Barometer

2. Greece : FEIR

3. European Union : DG ECFIN

Business Expectations Indicator (Services Sector)


Greece : -17


Services Survey3


GR: -20

EU: -06


GR: -31

EU: -01

March 2010

deteriorated64%

remained unchanged

28%

improved8%

How has your business situation developed over the past 6 months? It has…

deteriorated66%

remained unchanged

26%

improved7%

How has your business situation developed over the past 6 months? It has…

Services Survey3


GR: -21

EU: +01


GR: -09

EU: +05

March 2010

decreased51%remained

unchanged33%

increased13%

don’t know1%

How has demand (turnover) for your company’s services changed over the past 6 months? It

has…

decreased63%

remained unchanged

28%

increased8%

Don’t know1%

How has demand (turnover) for your company’s services changed over the past 6 months? It

has…

Services Survey3


GR: -21

EU: +08


GR: -11

EU: +10

March 2010

decrease43%

remain unchanged

33%

increase18%

don't know6%

How do you expect the demand (turnover) for your company’s services to change over the next 6

months? It will…

decrease42%

remain unchanged

37%

increase17%

don't know4%

How do you expect the demand (turnover) for your company’s services to change over the next 6

months? It will…

Services Survey3


GR: -14

EU: -13


GR: -38

EU: +01

March 2010

remained unchanged

70%

decreased24%

increased4%

don't know2%

How has your firm’s total employment changed over the past 6 months? It has…

remained unchanged

69%

decreased25%

increased5%

don't know1%

How has your firm’s total employment changed over the past 6 months? It has…

Services Survey3


GR: -23

EU: -04


GR: -06

EU: +04

March 2010

remain unchanged

68%

decrease22%

increase6%

don't know4%


remain unchanged

73%

decrease22%

increase3%

don't know2%


Services Survey3


GR: -09

EU: -03


GR: -10

EU: +01

March 2010

remain unchanged

64%

decrease18%

increase11%

don't know7%

How do you expect the prices you charge to change over the next 6 months? They will…

remain unchanged

65%

decrease23%

increase6%

don't know6%


Services Survey3

March 2010

46%

47%

15%

13%

1%

2%

1%

insufficient demant


other factors

none


shortage of space and/or equipment

don't know

What main factors are currently limiting your business?

39%

39%

14%

5%

2%

1%

1%

insufficient demant


other factors

none


shortage of space and/or equipment

don't know

What main factors are currently limiting your business?


Business Expectations Indicator (Retail Trade Sector) – March 2010


Greece : -32



Source:


2. Greece : FEIR


Business Expectations Indicator (Retail Trade Sector)


Greece : -45




GR: -45

EU: -06


GR: -68

EU: +01

March 2010

deteriorated76%

remained unchanged

20%

improved4%

How has (have) your business activity (sales) developed over the past 6 months? It has…(They

have…)

deteriorated80%

remained unchanged

16%

improved4%

How has (have) your business activity (sales) developed over the past 6 months? It has…(They

have…)



GR: +07

EU: +09


GR: +28

EU: +09

March 2010

adequate (normal for the season)

61%

too large (above normal)

20%

too small (below normal)

15%

don't know4%

Do you consider the volume of stock you currently hold to be:

adequate (normal for the season)

54%

too large (above normal)

25%

too small (below normal)

20%

don't know1%

Do you consider the volume of stock you currently hold to be:



GR: -52

EU: -05


GR: -58

EU: +03

March 2010

decrease58%

remain unchanged

28%

increase7%

don't know7%

How do you expect your orders placed with suppliers to change over the next 6 months?

They will…

decrease67%

remain unchanged

25%

increase7%

don't know1%

How do you expect your orders placed with suppliers to change over the next 6 months?

They will…



GR: -45

EU: +03


GR: -39

EU: +13

March 2010

deteriorate (decrease)

56%

remain unchanged

28%

improve (increase)

12%

don't know4%

How do you expect your business activity (sales) to change over the next 6 months? It (They) will…

deteriorate (decrease)

56%

remain unchanged

34%

improve (increase)

8%

don't know2%

How do you expect your business activity (sales) to change over the next 6 months? It (They) will…



GR: -22

EU: -03


GR: 0

EU: +02

March 2010

remain unchanged

70%

decrease22%

don't know5%

increase3%


remain unchanged

75%

decrease22%

don't know2%

increase1%




GR: -01

EU: +03


GR: -14

EU: +14

March 2010

remain unchanged

53%

decrease23%

increase20%

don't know4%


remain unchanged

48%

decrease30%

increase19%

don't know3%



Business Expectations Indicator (Constructions Sector) – March 2010


Greece : -60



Source:


2. Greece : FEIR


Business Expectations Indicator (Constructions Sector)


Greece : -66




GR: -30

EU: -22


GR: -49

EU: -17

March 2010

decreased72%

remained unchanged

23%

increased5%

How has your building activity developed over the past 6 months? It has…

decreased76%

remained unchanged

17%

increased7%

How has your building activity developed over the past 6 months? It has…


March 2010

1%

5%

3%

11%

5%

9%

57%

54%

don't know


shortage of equipment

weather conditions

none

other factors


insufficient demand

What main factors are currently limiting your building activity?

1%

3%

4%

1%

4%

5%

51%

64%

don't know


shortage of equipment

weather conditions

none

other factors


insufficient demand

What main factors are currently limiting your building activity?



GR: -72

EU: -43


GR: -75

EU: -44

March 2010

sufficient26%

not sufficient72%


1%

don't know1%


sufficient19%

not sufficient77%


4%

don't know0%




GR: -18

EU: -18


GR: -31

EU: -16

March 2010

remain unchanged

57%

decrease26%

increase9%

don't know8%


remain unchanged

65%

decrease25%

increase3%

don't know7%




GR: -48

EU: -16


GR: -58

EU: -14

March 2010

remain unchanged

60%

decrease31%

increase5%

don't know4%


remain unchanged

52%

decrease40%

increase4%

don't know4%


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TCCI Barometer · 2013. 1. 18. · TCCI Barometer September 2010 “Establishing a reliable tool...

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