Technical Analysis(TA)

Oleh Nurul Aini Abdul Rahim

Pengenalan

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Apakah TA?• chart analysis di mana kita menganalisa

chart/graf• menggunakan technical indicators dan

charting tools• Supply & demand – support & resistance• Metatrader 4

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Jenis Chart• Bar Chart

• Line chart

• Candlestick Chart

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Candlestick

• Bullish Candlestick

• Bearish Candlestick

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Time Frame

• Setiap time frame mempunyai trend pergerakan tersendiri. Tetapi secara keseluruhannya, pergerakan price pada time frame yang kecil akan mengikut arah trend pada time frame yang lebih besar

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Technical Indicators• Bollinger Band• RSI• MACD• Stochastic Oscillator• Moving Average• Commodity Channel Index (CCI)• Volume

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Charting Tools

• Trendline• Channel• Fibonacci Retracement• Fibonacci Expansion• Andrew’s Pitchfork

Support & Resistance(S&R)

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Apakah maksud S&R?• Supply & demand • Demand > supply = harga naik• Supply > demand = harga turun• Resistance = Halangan utk price naik

lebih tinggi• Support = halangan utk price turun

lebih rendah

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Indicator/Tools utk S&R• ZigZag• Moving Average• Fibonacci Retracement• Trendline• Channel• Andrew’s Pitchfork

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Kekuatan S&R• 3 candle tak dpt lepas S&R – close

price• 50% retracement – daily chart• Byk indicator/tools overlapped

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Daily Pivots• Daily range• Pivot, S & R• Profit target• Breakout

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Breakout• Break of S&R• Continue trend• Trand reversal

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Gaps• Gap’s range – S & R level• Filled gaps

Trend

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Trend• Trend or No Trend?• Trending or Ranging?• Trending UP or DOWN?

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Identify Trend• Bollinger Band• Trendline• EMA 5, 20, 55

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Trend Reversal• Break of trendline• Candlestick reversal patterns• Divergence• Strong S&R

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Trade With The Trend• Majoriti – 80% fail• Minoriti – 20% success• Majoriti tend to be rebellious• Majoriti trade against the trend• Trade with the trend – high reward, low

risk

Money Management

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Risk : Reward Ratio• Entry price• Exit price (Stop Loss)• Profit target (Take Profit)• 1:2• Manage risk

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Profit Target• 20 EMA & 55 EMA – daily chart• Trendline• Pivot• Fibo retracement, extension &

expansion• Envelope• S&R

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Stop Loss• Below support• Above resistance

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Trailing Stop Loss

• Protect & lock profit• Maximize profit

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Trading Strategies

• Bull Market• Bear Market• Large Trading Range• Small Trading Range

Trading System

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