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Technical Report 16th April 2012

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 For Private Circulation Only |  1 Technical Research | April 16, 2012  On Friday, our Benchmark indices opened flat and traded with positive bias during the initial hour of the session to test the mentioned resistance zone of 5300. However, during the latter half, we witnessed a fall of more than 2% from day’s high and Nifty closed marginally above 5200 mark. On sectoral front, IT, and Teck counters contributed heavily in the fall whereas Health Care and FMCG sectors ended with marginal gains. The advance to decline ratio was in favor of declining count ers (A = 1236 D= 1567) (S ource – www.bseindia.com) Formation: T he 20 0-d ay S MA (S impl e Moving Av erage) and 20- day EMA (Exponential Moving Average) have now shifted to 1710 0 / 5150 and 174 00 / 5300 , respec tiv ely . The ‘20-Week EMA’ is place d at 1720 0 / 5200 le ve l. We are w itnes s ing a ‘Downward S lopi ng T rend L ine’ res is tanc e around 17400 / 5300 l ev el. Trading strategy: On account of significant selling pressure in Friday’s session, markets tumbled down from the day’s high and closed almost at the lowest point of the week. Indices are now approaching a strong support zone comprising of the ‘20-week EMA’ and ‘200-day SMA’. This support zone is at 17200 – 17100 / 5200 – 5150 l ev els . T here fore, going forward, ONLY if indices sustain below recent swing low of 169 20 / 51 35, we may witne s s intens e s elli ng press ure and markets are likely to drift towards the next support levels of 16828 – 16600 / 5076 – 5000. Convers ely , 17400 / 5300 level is now a crucial resistance for the indices. Only a sustainable move, with strong volumes, above the weekly high 174 08 / 5307 will i ndicat e res umption of a st rong uptrend. Indices then may rally towards 17664 – 18041 / 5379 – 5500 levels. Daily Technical Report S ensex (170 95 ) / NIF T Y (520 7) E xhibit 1: N ifty Daily Chart S ource: F alcon Actionable points: View Neutral R es istance levels 52 55 -5 307 Support L ev els 5170 - 5135 Considering, Friday’s sharp correction during the second half, we advise traders to stay light on positions and trade with strict stop losses.
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For Private Circulation Only |   1

Technical Research | April 16, 2012

 

On Friday, our Benchmark indices opened flat and traded

with positive bias during the initial hour of the session to test

the mentioned resistance zone of 5300. However, during

the latter half, we witnessed a fall of more than 2% from

day’s high and Nifty closed marginally above 5200 mark.

On sectoral front, IT, and Teck counters contributed heavily

in the fall whereas Health Care and FMCG sectors ended

with marginal gains. The advance to decline ratio was in

favor of declining counters (A= 1236 D= 1567) (Source – 

www.bseindia.com)

Formation:

• The 200-day SMA (Simple Moving Average) and 20-

day EMA (Exponential Moving Average) have now shifted to

17100 / 5150 and 17400 / 5300, respectively.

• The ‘20-Week EMA’ is placed at 17200 / 5200 level.

• We are witnessing a ‘Downward Sloping Trend Line’

resistance around 17400 / 5300 level.

Trading strategy:

On account of significant selling pressure in Friday’s

session, markets tumbled down from the day’s high and

closed almost at the lowest point of the week. Indices are

now approaching a strong support zone comprising of the

‘20-week EMA’ and ‘200-day SMA’. This support zone is at

17200 – 17100 / 5200 – 5150 levels. Therefore, going

forward, ONLY if indices sustain below recent swing low of

16920 / 5135, we may witness intense selling pressure and

markets are likely to drift towards the next support levels of

16828 – 16600 / 5076 – 5000. Conversely, 17400 / 5300

level is now a crucial resistance for the indices. Only a

sustainable move, with strong volumes, above the weekly

high 17408 / 5307 will indicate resumption of a strong

uptrend. Indices then may rally towards 17664 – 18041 / 

5379 – 5500 levels.

Daily Technical Report

Sensex (17095) / NIFTY (5207) 

Exhibit 1: N ifty Daily Chart

Source: Falcon 

Actionable points:

View NeutralResistance levels 5255-5307Support Levels 5170 - 5135

Considering, Friday’s sharp correction during the second

half, we advise traders to stay light on positions and trade

with strict stop losses.

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Technical Research | April 16, 2012 

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On Friday’s session, Bank Nifty opened with an upside

gap and traded in a narrow range during first half of the

session. However during the second half strong selling

pressure pushed the index to test the mentioned support

level of 10250. As expected we witnessed high volatility

during Friday’s session. The ADX (14) indicator is

currently placed at 11.38 which suggest that the current

trend is sideways. Moreover, the positioning of the

momentum oscillators on the daily chart reflects lack of

confidence amongst trading participants. Going into thepolicy week we may witness volatility in Bank Nifty. On

the upside 10588 – 10625 levels are likely to act as

resistance and 10130 – 10000 levels are likely to act as

support in coming trading sessions.

Actionable points:

View NeutralResistance Levels 10588 – 10625Support Levels 10130 - 10000

Bank N ifty Outlook - (10306) 

Exhibit 2: Bank Nifty Daily Chart

Source: Falcon 

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 Negative Bias:

Stock Name CMP 5 Day EMA 20 Day EMA NegativeBelow

ExpectedTarget

Remarks

ROLTA 91.2 93 94 88.9 79 View will change above 93

GMR INFRA 28.7 29.2 29.7 28 24View will change above

30.2

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SCRIPS S2 S1 PIVOT R1 R2

SENSEX 16,802 16,948 17,173 17,319 17,544

NIFTY 5,112 5,160 5,233 5,281 5,355

BANKNIFTY 10,024 10,165 10,377 10,518 10,729

ACC 1,221 1,240 1,272 1,291 1,324

AMBUJACEM 157 160 163 166 170

AXISBANK 1,118 1,140 1,178 1,201 1,239

BAJAJ-AUTO 1,597 1,618 1,653 1,674 1,708

BHARTIARTL 316 320 324 328 333

BHEL 250 254 258 262 266

BPCL 662 670 681 689 701

CAIRN 337 339 342 344 347

CIPLA 310 312 314 316 318

COALINDIA 330 335 340 344 349

DLF 191 195 200 203 208

DRREDDY 1,687 1,711 1,725 1,749 1,763

GAIL 347 352 359 363 371

HCLTECH 466 473 481 488 496

HDFC 672 676 681 685 690

HDFCBANK 516 523 530 537 544

HEROMOTOCO 2,000 2,028 2,063 2,092 2,127

HINDALCO 121 123 126 128 132

HINDUNILVR 420 423 425 428 431

ICICIBANK 822 843 872 894 922

IDFC 127 130 134 137 142

INFY 2,305 2,354 2,438 2,487 2,572

ITC 229 232 237 240 245JINDALSTEL 474 486 503 515 532

JPASSOCIAT 71 74 78 81 85

KOTAKBANK 561 571 578 588 594

LT 1,243 1,263 1,295 1,314 1,346

M&M 677 684 698 705 718

MARUTI 1,291 1,307 1,328 1,344 1,366

NTPC 164 165 167 169 170

ONGC 254 257 261 265 268

PNB 875 889 910 924 945

POWERGRID 109 111 112 113 115

RANBAXY 484 492 506 514 528

RCOM 80 82 86 88 92RELIANCE 726 739 750 763 775

RELINFRA 521 534 554 566 586

RPOWER 111 113 116 118 122

SAIL 92 93 94 95 97

SBIN 2,142 2,177 2,230 2,266 2,319

SESAGOA 181 184 188 190 194

SIEMENS 769 780 798 810 828

STER 104 105 108 109 111

SUNPHARMA 563 574 583 594 603

SUZLON 23 24 24 25 25

TATAMOTORS 283 286 290 294 298

TATAPOWER 100 101 104 105 107

TATASTEEL 438 444 453 459 469

TCS 1,035 1,052 1,078 1,095 1,122

WIPRO 399 409 423 434 448

Technical Research Team  

Daily Pivot Levels for Nif ty 50 Stocks 

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Technical Report

RESEARCH TEAM

Shardul Kulkarni Head - Technicals

Sameet Chavan Technical Analyst

Sacchitanand Uttekar Technical Analyst

Mehul Kothari Technical Analyst

Ankur Lakhotia Technical Analyst

For any Queries, Suggestions and Feedback kindly mail to [email protected] 

Research Team: 022-3952 6600 Website: www.angelbroking.com

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