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Technical Research | April 16, 2012
On Friday, our Benchmark indices opened flat and traded
with positive bias during the initial hour of the session to test
the mentioned resistance zone of 5300. However, during
the latter half, we witnessed a fall of more than 2% from
day’s high and Nifty closed marginally above 5200 mark.
On sectoral front, IT, and Teck counters contributed heavily
in the fall whereas Health Care and FMCG sectors ended
with marginal gains. The advance to decline ratio was in
favor of declining counters (A= 1236 D= 1567) (Source –
www.bseindia.com)
Formation:
• The 200-day SMA (Simple Moving Average) and 20-
day EMA (Exponential Moving Average) have now shifted to
17100 / 5150 and 17400 / 5300, respectively.
• The ‘20-Week EMA’ is placed at 17200 / 5200 level.
• We are witnessing a ‘Downward Sloping Trend Line’
resistance around 17400 / 5300 level.
Trading strategy:
On account of significant selling pressure in Friday’s
session, markets tumbled down from the day’s high and
closed almost at the lowest point of the week. Indices are
now approaching a strong support zone comprising of the
‘20-week EMA’ and ‘200-day SMA’. This support zone is at
17200 – 17100 / 5200 – 5150 levels. Therefore, going
forward, ONLY if indices sustain below recent swing low of
16920 / 5135, we may witness intense selling pressure and
markets are likely to drift towards the next support levels of
16828 – 16600 / 5076 – 5000. Conversely, 17400 / 5300
level is now a crucial resistance for the indices. Only a
sustainable move, with strong volumes, above the weekly
high 17408 / 5307 will indicate resumption of a strong
uptrend. Indices then may rally towards 17664 – 18041 /
5379 – 5500 levels.
Daily Technical Report
Sensex (17095) / NIFTY (5207)
Exhibit 1: N ifty Daily Chart
Source: Falcon
Actionable points:
View NeutralResistance levels 5255-5307Support Levels 5170 - 5135
Considering, Friday’s sharp correction during the second
half, we advise traders to stay light on positions and trade
with strict stop losses.
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On Friday’s session, Bank Nifty opened with an upside
gap and traded in a narrow range during first half of the
session. However during the second half strong selling
pressure pushed the index to test the mentioned support
level of 10250. As expected we witnessed high volatility
during Friday’s session. The ADX (14) indicator is
currently placed at 11.38 which suggest that the current
trend is sideways. Moreover, the positioning of the
momentum oscillators on the daily chart reflects lack of
confidence amongst trading participants. Going into thepolicy week we may witness volatility in Bank Nifty. On
the upside 10588 – 10625 levels are likely to act as
resistance and 10130 – 10000 levels are likely to act as
support in coming trading sessions.
Actionable points:
View NeutralResistance Levels 10588 – 10625Support Levels 10130 - 10000
Bank N ifty Outlook - (10306)
Exhibit 2: Bank Nifty Daily Chart
Source: Falcon
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Negative Bias:
Stock Name CMP 5 Day EMA 20 Day EMA NegativeBelow
ExpectedTarget
Remarks
ROLTA 91.2 93 94 88.9 79 View will change above 93
GMR INFRA 28.7 29.2 29.7 28 24View will change above
30.2
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SCRIPS S2 S1 PIVOT R1 R2
SENSEX 16,802 16,948 17,173 17,319 17,544
NIFTY 5,112 5,160 5,233 5,281 5,355
BANKNIFTY 10,024 10,165 10,377 10,518 10,729
ACC 1,221 1,240 1,272 1,291 1,324
AMBUJACEM 157 160 163 166 170
AXISBANK 1,118 1,140 1,178 1,201 1,239
BAJAJ-AUTO 1,597 1,618 1,653 1,674 1,708
BHARTIARTL 316 320 324 328 333
BHEL 250 254 258 262 266
BPCL 662 670 681 689 701
CAIRN 337 339 342 344 347
CIPLA 310 312 314 316 318
COALINDIA 330 335 340 344 349
DLF 191 195 200 203 208
DRREDDY 1,687 1,711 1,725 1,749 1,763
GAIL 347 352 359 363 371
HCLTECH 466 473 481 488 496
HDFC 672 676 681 685 690
HDFCBANK 516 523 530 537 544
HEROMOTOCO 2,000 2,028 2,063 2,092 2,127
HINDALCO 121 123 126 128 132
HINDUNILVR 420 423 425 428 431
ICICIBANK 822 843 872 894 922
IDFC 127 130 134 137 142
INFY 2,305 2,354 2,438 2,487 2,572
ITC 229 232 237 240 245JINDALSTEL 474 486 503 515 532
JPASSOCIAT 71 74 78 81 85
KOTAKBANK 561 571 578 588 594
LT 1,243 1,263 1,295 1,314 1,346
M&M 677 684 698 705 718
MARUTI 1,291 1,307 1,328 1,344 1,366
NTPC 164 165 167 169 170
ONGC 254 257 261 265 268
PNB 875 889 910 924 945
POWERGRID 109 111 112 113 115
RANBAXY 484 492 506 514 528
RCOM 80 82 86 88 92RELIANCE 726 739 750 763 775
RELINFRA 521 534 554 566 586
RPOWER 111 113 116 118 122
SAIL 92 93 94 95 97
SBIN 2,142 2,177 2,230 2,266 2,319
SESAGOA 181 184 188 190 194
SIEMENS 769 780 798 810 828
STER 104 105 108 109 111
SUNPHARMA 563 574 583 594 603
SUZLON 23 24 24 25 25
TATAMOTORS 283 286 290 294 298
TATAPOWER 100 101 104 105 107
TATASTEEL 438 444 453 459 469
TCS 1,035 1,052 1,078 1,095 1,122
WIPRO 399 409 423 434 448
Technical Research Team
Daily Pivot Levels for Nif ty 50 Stocks
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Technical Report
RESEARCH TEAM
Shardul Kulkarni Head - Technicals
Sameet Chavan Technical Analyst
Sacchitanand Uttekar Technical Analyst
Mehul Kothari Technical Analyst
Ankur Lakhotia Technical Analyst
For any Queries, Suggestions and Feedback kindly mail to [email protected]
Research Team: 022-3952 6600 Website: www.angelbroking.com
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