t

1 4032 3923 4664 4675 4866 5007 4958 4989 487

10 50111 51712 62613 46314 46615 51916 51917 55418 55719 53020 55121 51722 54323 56424 65625 49126 47527 54828 56329 59930 57231 57532 60333 56834 57835 59036 69537 52538 49639 56840 57641 62442 59943 601

Yt

1 6 11 16 21 26 31 36 41 46 51 56 61 66 71 76 81 86 91 96 101 106 111 116 121 126 131 136 141 146 151 1560

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

Chart Title

44 61845 61946 61647 60448 75849 52950 52651 59952 62453 64354 64255 64456 65557 62058 63959 63260 78361 56562 57263 65564 65265 67766 68567 66868 69169 65770 66671 69872 85273 61074 59275 70476 69677 74978 74279 72080 76281 71882 70983 74184 88085 66086 63487 73988 722

89 76890 76591 74292 78493 72594 75595 77896 89697 65298 64099 744

100 740101 796102 767103 770104 797105 731106 758107 775108 902109 708110 713111 771112 793113 826114 820115 827116 829117 800118 841119 833120 1018121 739122 722123 820124 849125 878126 876127 886128 883129 853130 879131 902132 1089133 770

134 776135 918136 906137 933138 948139 926140 966141 927142 946143 971144 1164145 832146 817147 958148 935149 1004150 1010151 972152 1018153 961154 967155 1009156 1187

1 6 11 16 21 26 31 36 41 46 51 56 61 66 71 76 81 86 91 96 101 106 111 116 121 126 131 136 141 146 151 1560

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

Chart Title

t

1 4032 392 4033 466 392 4034 467 466 392 4035 486 467 466 392 4036 500 486 467 466 392 4037 495 500 486 467 466 392 4038 498 495 500 486 467 466 392 4039 487 498 495 500 486 467 466 392 403

10 501 487 498 495 500 486 467 466 39211 517 501 487 498 495 500 486 467 46612 626 517 501 487 498 495 500 486 46713 463 626 517 501 487 498 495 500 48614 466 463 626 517 501 487 498 495 50015 519 466 463 626 517 501 487 498 49516 519 519 466 463 626 517 501 487 49817 554 519 519 466 463 626 517 501 48718 557 554 519 519 466 463 626 517 50119 530 557 554 519 519 466 463 626 51720 551 530 557 554 519 519 466 463 62621 517 551 530 557 554 519 519 466 46322 543 517 551 530 557 554 519 519 46623 564 543 517 551 530 557 554 519 51924 656 564 543 517 551 530 557 554 51925 491 656 564 543 517 551 530 557 55426 475 491 656 564 543 517 551 530 55727 548 475 491 656 564 543 517 551 53028 563 548 475 491 656 564 543 517 55129 599 563 548 475 491 656 564 543 51730 572 599 563 548 475 491 656 564 54331 575 572 599 563 548 475 491 656 56432 603 575 572 599 563 548 475 491 65633 568 603 575 572 599 563 548 475 49134 578 568 603 575 572 599 563 548 47535 590 578 568 603 575 572 599 563 54836 695 590 578 568 603 575 572 599 56337 525 695 590 578 568 603 575 572 59938 496 525 695 590 578 568 603 575 57239 568 496 525 695 590 578 568 603 57540 576 568 496 525 695 590 578 568 60341 624 576 568 496 525 695 590 578 56842 599 624 576 568 496 525 695 590 57843 601 599 624 576 568 496 525 695 59044 618 601 599 624 576 568 496 525 69545 619 618 601 599 624 576 568 496 52546 616 619 618 601 599 624 576 568 49647 604 616 619 618 601 599 624 576 568

Yt Yt-1 Yt-2 Yt-3 Yt-4 Yt-5 Yt-6 Yt-7 Yt-8

48 758 604 616 619 618 601 599 624 57649 529 758 604 616 619 618 601 599 62450 526 529 758 604 616 619 618 601 59951 599 526 529 758 604 616 619 618 60152 624 599 526 529 758 604 616 619 61853 643 624 599 526 529 758 604 616 61954 642 643 624 599 526 529 758 604 61655 644 642 643 624 599 526 529 758 60456 655 644 642 643 624 599 526 529 75857 620 655 644 642 643 624 599 526 52958 639 620 655 644 642 643 624 599 52659 632 639 620 655 644 642 643 624 59960 783 632 639 620 655 644 642 643 62461 565 783 632 639 620 655 644 642 64362 572 565 783 632 639 620 655 644 64263 655 572 565 783 632 639 620 655 64464 652 655 572 565 783 632 639 620 65565 677 652 655 572 565 783 632 639 62066 685 677 652 655 572 565 783 632 63967 668 685 677 652 655 572 565 783 63268 691 668 685 677 652 655 572 565 78369 657 691 668 685 677 652 655 572 56570 666 657 691 668 685 677 652 655 57271 698 666 657 691 668 685 677 652 65572 852 698 666 657 691 668 685 677 65273 610 852 698 666 657 691 668 685 67774 592 610 852 698 666 657 691 668 68575 704 592 610 852 698 666 657 691 66876 696 704 592 610 852 698 666 657 69177 749 696 704 592 610 852 698 666 65778 742 749 696 704 592 610 852 698 66679 720 742 749 696 704 592 610 852 69880 762 720 742 749 696 704 592 610 85281 718 762 720 742 749 696 704 592 61082 709 718 762 720 742 749 696 704 59283 741 709 718 762 720 742 749 696 70484 880 741 709 718 762 720 742 749 69685 660 880 741 709 718 762 720 742 74986 634 660 880 741 709 718 762 720 74287 739 634 660 880 741 709 718 762 72088 722 739 634 660 880 741 709 718 76289 768 722 739 634 660 880 741 709 71890 765 768 722 739 634 660 880 741 70991 742 765 768 722 739 634 660 880 74192 784 742 765 768 722 739 634 660 88093 725 784 742 765 768 722 739 634 66094 755 725 784 742 765 768 722 739 63495 778 755 725 784 742 765 768 722 739

96 896 778 755 725 784 742 765 768 72297 652 896 778 755 725 784 742 765 76898 640 652 896 778 755 725 784 742 76599 744 640 652 896 778 755 725 784 742

100 740 744 640 652 896 778 755 725 784101 796 740 744 640 652 896 778 755 725102 767 796 740 744 640 652 896 778 755103 770 767 796 740 744 640 652 896 778104 797 770 767 796 740 744 640 652 896105 731 797 770 767 796 740 744 640 652106 758 731 797 770 767 796 740 744 640107 775 758 731 797 770 767 796 740 744108 902 775 758 731 797 770 767 796 740109 708 902 775 758 731 797 770 767 796110 713 708 902 775 758 731 797 770 767111 771 713 708 902 775 758 731 797 770112 793 771 713 708 902 775 758 731 797113 826 793 771 713 708 902 775 758 731114 820 826 793 771 713 708 902 775 758115 827 820 826 793 771 713 708 902 775116 829 827 820 826 793 771 713 708 902117 800 829 827 820 826 793 771 713 708118 841 800 829 827 820 826 793 771 713119 833 841 800 829 827 820 826 793 771120 1018 833 841 800 829 827 820 826 793121 739 1,018 833 841 800 829 827 820 826122 722 739 1,018 833 841 800 829 827 820123 820 722 739 1,018 833 841 800 829 827124 849 820 722 739 1,018 833 841 800 829125 878 849 820 722 739 1,018 833 841 800126 876 878 849 820 722 739 1,018 833 841127 886 876 878 849 820 722 739 1,018 833128 883 886 876 878 849 820 722 739 1,018129 853 883 886 876 878 849 820 722 739130 879 853 883 886 876 878 849 820 722131 902 879 853 883 886 876 878 849 820132 1089 902 879 853 883 886 876 878 849133 770 1,089 902 879 853 883 886 876 878134 776 770 1,089 902 879 853 883 886 876135 918 776 770 1,089 902 879 853 883 886136 906 918 776 770 1,089 902 879 853 883137 933 906 918 776 770 1,089 902 879 853138 948 933 906 918 776 770 1,089 902 879139 926 948 933 906 918 776 770 1,089 902140 966 926 948 933 906 918 776 770 1,089141 927 966 926 948 933 906 918 776 770142 946 927 966 926 948 933 906 918 776143 971 946 927 966 926 948 933 906 918

144 1164 971 946 927 966 926 948 933 906145 832 1,164 971 946 927 966 926 948 933146 817 832 1,164 971 946 927 966 926 948147 958 817 832 1,164 971 946 927 966 926148 935 958 817 832 1,164 971 946 927 966149 1004 935 958 817 832 1,164 971 946 927150 1010 1,004 935 958 817 832 1,164 971 946151 972 1,010 1,004 935 958 817 832 1,164 971152 1018 972 1,010 1,004 935 958 817 832 1,164153 961 1,018 972 1,010 1,004 935 958 817 832154 967 961 1,018 972 1,010 1,004 935 958 817155 1009 967 961 1,018 972 1,010 1,004 935 958156 1187 1,009 967 961 1,018 972 1,010 1,004 935

403392 403466 392 403467 466 392 403 -163 109 16 14 -11 3486 467 466 392 3 -163 109 16 14 -11500 486 467 466 53 3 -163 109 16 14495 500 486 467 0 53 3 -163 109 16498 495 500 486 35 0 53 3 -163 109487 498 495 500 3 35 0 53 3 -163501 487 498 495 -27 3 35 0 53 3517 501 487 498 21 -27 3 35 0 53626 517 501 487 -34 21 -27 3 35 0463 626 517 501 26 -34 21 -27 3 35466 463 626 517 21 26 -34 21 -27 3519 466 463 626 92 21 26 -34 21 -27519 519 466 463 -165 92 21 26 -34 21554 519 519 466 -16 -165 92 21 26 -34557 554 519 519 73 -16 -165 92 21 26530 557 554 519 15 73 -16 -165 92 21551 530 557 554 36 15 73 -16 -165 92517 551 530 557 -27 36 15 73 -16 -165543 517 551 530 3 -27 36 15 73 -16564 543 517 551 28 3 -27 36 15 73656 564 543 517 -35 28 3 -27 36 15491 656 564 543 10 -35 28 3 -27 36475 491 656 564 12 10 -35 28 3 -27548 475 491 656 105 12 10 -35 28 3563 548 475 491 -170 105 12 10 -35 28599 563 548 475 -29 -170 105 12 10 -35572 599 563 548 72 -29 -170 105 12 10575 572 599 563 8 72 -29 -170 105 12603 575 572 599 48 8 72 -29 -170 105568 603 575 572 -25 48 8 72 -29 -170578 568 603 575 2 -25 48 8 72 -29590 578 568 603 17 2 -25 48 8 72695 590 578 568 1 17 2 -25 48 8525 695 590 578 -3 1 17 2 -25 48496 525 695 590 -12 -3 1 17 2 -25

Yt-9 Yt-10 Yt-11 Yt-12 Yt-Yt-1 Yt-1-Yt-2 Yt-2-Yt-3 Yt-3-Yt-4 Yt-4-Yt-5 Yt-5-Yt-6

568 496 525 695 154 -12 -3 1 17 2576 568 496 525 -229 154 -12 -3 1 17624 576 568 496 -3 -229 154 -12 -3 1599 624 576 568 73 -3 -229 154 -12 -3601 599 624 576 25 73 -3 -229 154 -12618 601 599 624 19 25 73 -3 -229 154619 618 601 599 -1 19 25 73 -3 -229616 619 618 601 2 -1 19 25 73 -3604 616 619 618 11 2 -1 19 25 73758 604 616 619 -35 11 2 -1 19 25529 758 604 616 19 -35 11 2 -1 19526 529 758 604 -7 19 -35 11 2 -1599 526 529 758 151 -7 19 -35 11 2624 599 526 529 -218 151 -7 19 -35 11643 624 599 526 7 -218 151 -7 19 -35642 643 624 599 83 7 -218 151 -7 19644 642 643 624 -3 83 7 -218 151 -7655 644 642 643 25 -3 83 7 -218 151620 655 644 642 8 25 -3 83 7 -218639 620 655 644 -17 8 25 -3 83 7632 639 620 655 23 -17 8 25 -3 83783 632 639 620 -34 23 -17 8 25 -3565 783 632 639 9 -34 23 -17 8 25572 565 783 632 32 9 -34 23 -17 8655 572 565 783 154 32 9 -34 23 -17652 655 572 565 -242 154 32 9 -34 23677 652 655 572 -18 -242 154 32 9 -34685 677 652 655 112 -18 -242 154 32 9668 685 677 652 -8 112 -18 -242 154 32691 668 685 677 53 -8 112 -18 -242 154657 691 668 685 -7 53 -8 112 -18 -242666 657 691 668 -22 -7 53 -8 112 -18698 666 657 691 42 -22 -7 53 -8 112852 698 666 657 -44 42 -22 -7 53 -8610 852 698 666 -9 -44 42 -22 -7 53592 610 852 698 32 -9 -44 42 -22 -7704 592 610 852 139 32 -9 -44 42 -22696 704 592 610 -220 139 32 -9 -44 42749 696 704 592 -26 -220 139 32 -9 -44742 749 696 704 105 -26 -220 139 32 -9720 742 749 696 -17 105 -26 -220 139 32762 720 742 749 46 -17 105 -26 -220 139718 762 720 742 -3 46 -17 105 -26 -220709 718 762 720 -23 -3 46 -17 105 -26741 709 718 762 42 -23 -3 46 -17 105880 741 709 718 -59 42 -23 -3 46 -17660 880 741 709 30 -59 42 -23 -3 46634 660 880 741 23 30 -59 42 -23 -3

739 634 660 880 118 23 30 -59 42 -23722 739 634 660 -244 118 23 30 -59 42768 722 739 634 -12 -244 118 23 30 -59765 768 722 739 104 -12 -244 118 23 30742 765 768 722 -4 104 -12 -244 118 23784 742 765 768 56 -4 104 -12 -244 118725 784 742 765 -29 56 -4 104 -12 -244755 725 784 742 3 -29 56 -4 104 -12778 755 725 784 27 3 -29 56 -4 104896 778 755 725 -66 27 3 -29 56 -4652 896 778 755 27 -66 27 3 -29 56640 652 896 778 17 27 -66 27 3 -29744 640 652 896 127 17 27 -66 27 3740 744 640 652 -194 127 17 27 -66 27796 740 744 640 5 -194 127 17 27 -66767 796 740 744 58 5 -194 127 17 27770 767 796 740 22 58 5 -194 127 17797 770 767 796 33 22 58 5 -194 127731 797 770 767 -6 33 22 58 5 -194758 731 797 770 7 -6 33 22 58 5775 758 731 797 2 7 -6 33 22 58902 775 758 731 -29 2 7 -6 33 22708 902 775 758 41 -29 2 7 -6 33713 708 902 775 -8 41 -29 2 7 -6771 713 708 902 185 -8 41 -29 2 7793 771 713 708 -279 185 -8 41 -29 2826 793 771 713 -17 -279 185 -8 41 -29820 826 793 771 98 -17 -279 185 -8 41827 820 826 793 29 98 -17 -279 185 -8829 827 820 826 29 29 98 -17 -279 185800 829 827 820 -2 29 29 98 -17 -279841 800 829 827 10 -2 29 29 98 -17833 841 800 829 -3 10 -2 29 29 98

1,018 833 841 800 -30 -3 10 -2 29 29739 1,018 833 841 26 -30 -3 10 -2 29722 739 1,018 833 23 26 -30 -3 10 -2820 722 739 1,018 187 23 26 -30 -3 10849 820 722 739 -319 187 23 26 -30 -3878 849 820 722 6 -319 187 23 26 -30876 878 849 820 142 6 -319 187 23 26886 876 878 849 -12 142 6 -319 187 23883 886 876 878 27 -12 142 6 -319 187853 883 886 876 15 27 -12 142 6 -319879 853 883 886 -22 15 27 -12 142 6902 879 853 883 40 -22 15 27 -12 142

1,089 902 879 853 -39 40 -22 15 27 -12770 1,089 902 879 19 -39 40 -22 15 27776 770 1,089 902 25 19 -39 40 -22 15

918 776 770 1,089 193 25 19 -39 40 -22906 918 776 770 -332 193 25 19 -39 40933 906 918 776 -15 -332 193 25 19 -39948 933 906 918 141 -15 -332 193 25 19926 948 933 906 -23 141 -15 -332 193 25966 926 948 933 69 -23 141 -15 -332 193927 966 926 948 6 69 -23 141 -15 -332946 927 966 926 -38 6 69 -23 141 -15971 946 927 966 46 -38 6 69 -23 141

1,164 971 946 927 -57 46 -38 6 69 -23832 1,164 971 946 6 -57 46 -38 6 69817 832 1,164 971 42 6 -57 46 -38 6958 817 832 1,164 178 42 6 -57 46 -38

Jlhan Jlhan/12

-5 14 19 1 74 -11 60 5.003 -5 14 19 1 74 74 6.17 397 69

-11 3 -5 14 19 1 53 4.42 472 4714 -11 3 -5 14 19 52 4.33 471 4816 14 -11 3 -5 14 68 5.67 490 64

109 16 14 -11 3 -5 57 4.75 506 51-163 109 16 14 -11 3 35 2.92 500 30

3 -163 109 16 14 -11 53 4.42 501 5053 3 -163 109 16 14 30 2.50 491 26

0 53 3 -163 109 16 42 3.50 504 4035 0 53 3 -163 109 47 3.92 521 44

3 35 0 53 3 -163 30 2.50 630 26-27 3 35 0 53 3 28 2.33 466 2621 -27 3 35 0 53 9 0.75 468 7

-34 21 -27 3 35 0 29 2.42 520 2826 -34 21 -27 3 35 44 3.67 521 4221 26 -34 21 -27 3 45 3.75 558 4192 21 26 -34 21 -27 15 1.25 561 11

-165 92 21 26 -34 21 45 3.75 531 44-16 -165 92 21 26 -34 52 4.33 555 4873 -16 -165 92 21 26 51 4.25 521 4715 73 -16 -165 92 21 35 2.92 547 3136 15 73 -16 -165 92 26 2.17 567 23

-27 36 15 73 -16 -165 39 3.25 658 373 -27 36 15 73 -16 34 2.83 494 31

28 3 -27 36 15 73 21 1.75 478 18-35 28 3 -27 36 15 20 1.67 550 1810 -35 28 3 -27 36 13 1.08 565 1112 10 -35 28 3 -27 25 2.08 600 24

105 12 10 -35 28 3 27 2.25 574 25-170 105 12 10 -35 28 26 2.17 577 24

-29 -170 105 12 10 -35 15 1.25 605 1372 -29 -170 105 12 10 51 4.25 569 50

8 72 -29 -170 105 12 38 3.17 582 3448 8 72 -29 -170 105 14 1.17 593 11

Yt-6-Yt-7 Yt-7-Yt-8 Yt-8-Yt-9 Yt-9-Yt-10 Yt-10-Yt-11 Yt-11-Yt-12Ramalan

(Yt+1)et

-25 48 8 72 -29 -170 63 5.25 696 622 -25 48 8 72 -29 4 0.33 530 -1

17 2 -25 48 8 72 30 2.50 496 301 17 2 -25 48 8 31 2.58 571 29

-3 1 17 2 -25 48 48 4.00 579 45-12 -3 1 17 2 -25 19 1.58 628 15154 -12 -3 1 17 2 43 3.58 601 41

-229 154 -12 -3 1 17 43 3.58 605 39-3 -229 154 -12 -3 1 37 3.08 622 3373 -3 -229 154 -12 -3 1 0.08 622 -225 73 -3 -229 154 -12 23 1.92 616 2319 25 73 -3 -229 154 28 2.33 606 26-1 19 25 73 -3 -229 25 2.08 760 232 -1 19 25 73 -3 36 3.00 531 34

11 2 -1 19 25 73 46 3.83 529 43-35 11 2 -1 19 25 56 4.67 603 5219 -35 11 2 -1 19 28 2.33 629 23-7 19 -35 11 2 -1 34 2.83 645 32

151 -7 19 -35 11 2 43 3.58 645 40-218 151 -7 19 -35 11 24 2.00 648 20

7 -218 151 -7 19 -35 36 3.00 657 3483 7 -218 151 -7 19 37 3.08 623 34-3 83 7 -218 151 -7 27 2.25 642 2425 -3 83 7 -218 151 66 5.50 634 64

8 25 -3 83 7 -218 69 5.75 789 64-17 8 25 -3 83 7 45 3.75 571 3923 -17 8 25 -3 83 20 1.67 576 16

-34 23 -17 8 25 -3 49 4.08 657 479 -34 23 -17 8 25 44 3.67 656 40

32 9 -34 23 -17 8 72 6.00 681 68154 32 9 -34 23 -17 57 4.75 691 51

-242 154 32 9 -34 23 52 4.33 673 47-18 -242 154 32 9 -34 71 5.92 695 67112 -18 -242 154 32 9 61 5.08 663 55

-8 112 -18 -242 154 32 43 3.58 671 3853 -8 112 -18 -242 154 43 3.58 702 39-7 53 -8 112 -18 -242 28 2.33 856 24

-22 -7 53 -8 112 -18 50 4.17 612 4842 -22 -7 53 -8 112 42 3.50 596 38

-44 42 -22 -7 53 -8 35 2.92 708 32-9 -44 42 -22 -7 53 26 2.17 699 2332 -9 -44 42 -22 -7 19 1.58 751 17

139 32 -9 -44 42 -22 23 1.92 744 21-220 139 32 -9 -44 42 22 1.83 722 20

-26 -220 139 32 -9 -44 22 1.83 764 20105 -26 -220 139 32 -9 7 0.58 720 5-17 105 -26 -220 139 32 46 3.83 710 4546 -17 105 -26 -220 139 37 3.08 745 33

-3 46 -17 105 -26 -220 16 1.33 883 13-23 -3 46 -17 105 -26 -8 -0.67 661 -942 -23 -3 46 -17 105 6 0.50 633 7

-59 42 -23 -3 46 -17 5 0.42 740 530 -59 42 -23 -3 46 18 1.50 722 1823 30 -59 42 -23 -3 28 2.33 770 27

118 23 30 -59 42 -23 2 0.17 767 0-244 118 23 30 -59 42 28 2.33 742 28

-12 -244 118 23 30 -59 13 1.08 786 11104 -12 -244 118 23 30 6 0.50 726 5

-4 104 -12 -244 118 23 3 0.25 756 356 -4 104 -12 -244 118 -3 -0.25 778 -3

-29 56 -4 104 -12 -244 6 0.50 896 63 -29 56 -4 104 -12 56 4.67 653 56

27 3 -29 56 -4 104 73 6.08 645 68-66 27 3 -29 56 -4 27 2.25 750 2127 -66 27 3 -29 56 53 4.42 742 5117 27 -66 27 3 -29 30 2.50 800 26

127 17 27 -66 27 3 53 4.42 770 51-194 127 17 27 -66 27 57 4.75 774 53

5 -194 127 17 27 -66 32 2.67 802 2758 5 -194 127 17 27 69 5.75 734 6622 58 5 -194 127 17 83 6.92 764 7733 22 58 5 -194 127 58 4.83 782 51-6 33 22 58 5 -194 116 9.67 907 1117 -6 33 22 58 5 31 2.58 718 212 7 -6 33 22 58 9 0.75 716 6

-29 2 7 -6 33 22 49 4.08 772 4841 -29 2 7 -6 33 56 4.67 797 52-8 41 -29 2 7 -6 52 4.33 831 47

185 -8 41 -29 2 7 56 4.67 824 52-279 185 -8 41 -29 2 59 4.92 832 54

-17 -279 185 -8 41 -29 54 4.50 834 4998 -17 -279 185 -8 41 53 4.42 805 4929 98 -17 -279 185 -8 38 3.17 845 3429 29 98 -17 -279 185 69 5.75 836 66-2 29 29 98 -17 -279 71 5.92 1,024 6510 -2 29 29 98 -17 31 2.58 745 25-3 10 -2 29 29 98 54 4.50 725 51

-30 -3 10 -2 29 29 98 8.17 825 9426 -30 -3 10 -2 29 57 4.75 857 4923 26 -30 -3 10 -2 55 4.58 883 50

187 23 26 -30 -3 10 72 6.00 881 67-319 187 23 26 -30 -3 40 3.33 892 34

6 -319 187 23 26 -30 83 6.92 886 80142 6 -319 187 23 26 74 6.17 860 67-12 142 6 -319 187 23 67 5.58 885 6127 -12 142 6 -319 187 69 5.75 908 63

15 27 -12 142 6 -319 75 6.25 1,095 69-22 15 27 -12 142 6 62 5.17 776 5640 -22 15 27 -12 142 41 3.42 781 36

-39 40 -22 15 27 -12 40 3.33 921 3719 -39 40 -22 15 27 29 2.42 909 2625 19 -39 40 -22 15 71 5.92 935 69

193 25 19 -39 40 -22 62 5.17 954 56-332 193 25 19 -39 40 46 3.83 931 41

-15 -332 193 25 19 -39 52 4.33 970 48141 -15 -332 193 25 19 34 2.83 931 30-23 141 -15 -332 193 25 21 1.75 949 1869 -23 141 -15 -332 193 38 3.17 973 36

6 69 -23 141 -15 -332 23 1.92 1,167 20143

4,761.00 69.00 15% 15%2,193.36 46.83 9% 9%2,264.17 47.58 9% 9%4,053.44 63.67 11% 11%2,635.11 51.33 9% 9%

915.06 30.25 6% 6%2,508.34 50.08 9% 9%

654.51 25.58 5% 5%1,560.25 39.50 7% 7%1,892.25 43.50 8% 8%

680.34 26.08 4% 4%650.25 25.50 5% 5%

44.44 6.67 1% 1%798.06 28.25 5% 5%

1,729.17 41.58 7% 7%1,708.44 41.33 7% 7%

126.56 11.25 2% 2%1,914.06 43.75 8% 8%2,328.06 48.25 8% 8%2,177.78 46.67 8% 8%

945.56 30.75 5% 5%532.84 23.08 4% 4%

1,356.69 36.83 5% 5%945.56 30.75 6% 6%330.03 18.17 4% 4%333.06 18.25 3% 3%128.44 11.33 2% 2%572.01 23.92 4% 4%620.84 24.92 4% 4%564.06 23.75 4% 4%164.69 12.83 2% 2%

2,475.06 49.75 8% 8%1,139.06 33.75 5% 5%

117.36 10.83 2% 2%

et2 |et| |et|/Yt et/Yt

3,823.36 61.83 8% 8%1.56 1.25 0% 0%

880.11 29.67 6% 6%812.25 28.50 5% 5%

2,062.67 45.42 7% 7%225.00 15.00 2% 2%

1,715.34 41.42 6% 6%1,553.67 39.42 6% 6%1,116.67 33.42 5% 5%

4.34 2.08 0% 0%525.17 22.92 4% 4%680.34 26.08 4% 4%513.78 22.67 3% 3%

1,150.34 33.92 6% 6%1,849.00 43.00 8% 8%2,721.36 52.17 8% 8%

544.44 23.33 4% 4%1,002.78 31.67 5% 5%1,613.36 40.17 6% 6%

416.84 20.42 3% 3%1,156.00 34.00 5% 5%1,156.00 34.00 5% 5%

572.01 23.92 4% 4%4,064.06 63.75 9% 9%4,032.25 63.50 7% 7%1,540.56 39.25 6% 6%

264.06 16.25 3% 3%2,240.44 47.33 7% 7%1,593.34 39.92 6% 6%4,669.44 68.33 9% 9%2,601.00 51.00 7% 7%2,232.56 47.25 7% 7%4,444.44 66.67 9% 9%3,034.17 55.08 8% 8%1,437.67 37.92 5% 5%1,553.67 39.42 5% 5%

596.17 24.42 3% 3%2,272.11 47.67 7% 7%1,431.36 37.83 6% 6%

992.25 31.50 4% 4%532.84 23.08 3% 3%283.36 16.83 2% 2%458.67 21.42 3% 3%403.34 20.08 3% 3%406.69 20.17 3% 3%

26.69 5.17 1% 1%2,062.67 45.42 6% 6%1,100.03 33.17 4% 4%

166.84 12.92 1% 1%87.11 9.33 1% -1%44.44 6.67 1% 1%20.25 4.50 1% 1%

309.17 17.58 2% 2%702.25 26.50 3% 3%

0.11 0.33 0% 0%774.69 27.83 4% 4%113.78 10.67 1% 1%

24.17 4.92 1% 1%6.25 2.50 0% 0%

10.56 3.25 0% 0%39.06 6.25 1% 1%

3,080.25 55.50 8% 8%4,669.44 68.33 10% 10%

437.51 20.92 3% 3%2,575.56 50.75 6% 6%

654.51 25.58 3% 3%2,550.25 50.50 6% 6%2,765.01 52.58 6% 6%

742.56 27.25 3% 3%4,400.11 66.33 8% 8%5,967.56 77.25 9% 9%2,609.51 51.08 6% 6%

12,358.03 111.17 11% 11%455.11 21.33 3% 3%

41.17 6.42 1% 1%2,328.06 48.25 6% 6%2,695.34 51.92 6% 6%2,240.44 47.33 5% 5%2,669.44 51.67 6% 6%2,952.11 54.33 6% 6%2,409.17 49.08 6% 6%2,352.25 48.50 6% 6%1,127.84 33.58 4% 4%4,334.03 65.83 7% 7%4,257.56 65.25 6% 6%

629.17 25.08 3% 3%2,643.67 51.42 7% 7%8,742.25 93.50 10% 10%2,384.69 48.83 5% 5%2,525.06 50.25 5% 5%4,545.01 67.42 7% 7%1,156.00 34.00 4% 4%6,346.78 79.67 8% 8%4,500.17 67.08 7% 7%3,700.69 60.83 6% 6%4,021.67 63.42 7% 7%

4,795.56 69.25 6% 6%3,108.06 55.75 7% 7%1,284.03 35.83 4% 4%1,338.34 36.58 4% 4%

658.78 25.67 3% 3%4,703.67 68.58 7% 7%3,145.34 56.08 6% 6%1,667.36 40.83 4% 4%2,320.03 48.17 5% 5%

880.11 29.67 3% 3%330.03 18.17 2% 2%

1,314.06 36.25 4% 4%393.36 19.83 2% 2%

256,295.73 5,320.42 7.29 7.24

1792.28 37.21 0.05 0.05

MSE MAD MAPE MPE

t Jumlah Kumulatif

1 403 4032 392 795 403.00 -11.00 121.00 11.00 3%3 466 1261 397.50 68.50 4692.25 68.50 15%4 467 1728 420.33 46.67 2177.78 46.67 10%5 486 2214 432.00 54.00 2916.00 54.00 11%6 500 2714 442.80 57.20 3271.84 57.20 11%7 495 3209 452.33 42.67 1820.44 42.67 9%8 498 3707 458.43 39.57 1565.90 39.57 8%9 487 4194 463.38 23.63 558.14 23.63 5%

10 501 4695 466.00 35.00 1225.00 35.00 7%11 517 5212 469.50 47.50 2256.25 47.50 9%12 626 5838 473.82 152.18 23159.31 152.18 24%13 463 6301 486.50 -23.50 552.25 23.50 5%14 466 6767 484.69 -18.69 349.40 18.69 4%15 519 7286 483.36 35.64 1270.41 35.64 7%16 519 7805 485.73 33.27 1106.67 33.27 6%17 554 8359 487.81 66.19 4380.79 66.19 12%18 557 8916 491.71 65.29 4263.32 65.29 12%19 530 9446 495.33 34.67 1201.78 34.67 7%20 551 9997 497.16 53.84 2898.97 53.84 10%21 517 10514 499.85 17.15 294.12 17.15 3%22 543 11057 500.67 42.33 1792.11 42.33 8%23 564 11621 502.59 61.41 3771.08 61.41 11%24 656 12277 505.26 150.74 22722.29 150.74 23%25 491 12768 511.54 -20.54 421.96 20.54 4%26 475 13243 510.72 -35.72 1275.92 35.72 8%27 548 13791 509.35 38.65 1494.12 38.65 7%28 563 14354 510.78 52.22 2727.16 52.22 9%29 599 14953 512.64 86.36 7457.56 86.36 14%30 572 15525 515.62 56.38 3178.63 56.38 10%31 575 16100 517.50 57.50 3306.25 57.50 10%32 603 16703 519.35 83.65 6996.51 83.65 14%33 568 17271 521.97 46.03 2118.88 46.03 8%34 578 17849 523.36 54.64 2985.13 54.64 9%35 590 18439 524.97 65.03 4228.82 65.03 11%36 695 19134 526.83 168.17 28281.63 168.17 24%37 525 19659 531.50 -6.50 42.25 6.50 1%38 496 20155 531.32 -35.32 1247.81 35.32 7%39 568 20723 530.39 37.61 1414.16 37.61 7%40 576 21299 531.36 44.64 1992.82 44.64 8%41 624 21923 532.48 91.52 8376.83 91.52 15%42 599 22522 534.71 64.29 4133.55 64.29 11%43 601 23123 536.24 64.76 4194.10 64.76 11%44 618 23741 537.74 80.26 6441.00 80.26 13%45 619 24360 539.57 79.43 6309.41 79.43 13%46 616 24976 541.33 74.67 5575.11 74.67 12%

Yt Ramalan (Yt+1) et et2 |et| |et|/Yt

47 604 25580 542.96 61.04 3726.31 61.04 10%48 758 26338 544.26 213.74 45686.79 213.74 28%49 529 26867 548.71 -19.71 388.42 19.71 4%50 526 27393 548.31 -22.31 497.56 22.31 4%51 599 27992 547.86 51.14 2615.30 51.14 9%52 624 28616 548.86 75.14 5645.61 75.14 12%53 643 29259 550.31 92.69 8591.86 92.69 14%54 642 29901 552.06 89.94 8089.81 89.94 14%55 644 30545 553.72 90.28 8150.08 90.28 14%56 655 31200 555.36 99.64 9927.40 99.64 15%57 620 31820 557.14 62.86 3951.02 62.86 10%58 639 32459 558.25 80.75 6521.27 80.75 13%59 632 33091 559.64 72.36 5236.27 72.36 11%60 783 33874 560.86 222.14 49344.22 222.14 28%61 565 34439 564.57 0.43 0.19 0.43 0%62 572 35011 564.57 7.43 55.15 7.43 1%63 655 35666 564.69 90.31 8155.26 90.31 14%64 652 36318 566.13 85.87 7374.17 85.87 13%65 677 36995 567.47 109.53 11997.09 109.53 16%66 685 37680 569.15 115.85 13420.33 115.85 17%67 668 38348 570.91 97.09 9426.64 97.09 15%68 691 39039 572.36 118.64 14075.87 118.64 17%69 657 39696 574.10 82.90 6871.92 82.90 13%70 666 40362 575.30 90.70 8225.70 90.70 14%71 698 41060 576.60 121.40 14737.96 121.40 17%72 852 41912 578.31 273.69 74906.29 273.69 32%73 610 42522 582.11 27.89 777.79 27.89 5%74 592 43114 582.49 9.51 90.38 9.51 2%75 704 43818 582.62 121.38 14732.71 121.38 17%76 696 44514 584.24 111.76 12490.30 111.76 16%77 749 45263 585.71 163.29 26663.45 163.29 22%78 742 46005 587.83 154.17 23768.03 154.17 21%79 720 46725 589.81 130.19 16950.04 130.19 18%80 762 47487 591.46 170.54 29085.36 170.54 22%81 718 48205 593.59 124.41 15478.47 124.41 17%82 709 48914 595.12 113.88 12967.87 113.88 16%83 741 49655 596.51 144.49 20876.73 144.49 19%84 880 50535 598.25 281.75 79381.37 281.75 32%85 660 51195 601.61 58.39 3409.73 58.39 9%86 634 51829 602.29 31.71 1005.26 31.71 5%87 739 52568 602.66 136.34 18587.83 136.34 18%88 722 53290 604.23 117.77 13869.80 117.77 16%89 768 54058 605.57 162.43 26384.10 162.43 21%90 765 54823 607.39 157.61 24839.88 157.61 21%91 742 55565 609.14 132.86 17650.60 132.86 18%92 784 56349 610.60 173.40 30066.04 173.40 22%93 725 57074 612.49 112.51 12658.70 112.51 16%94 755 57829 613.70 141.30 19965.99 141.30 19%

95 778 58607 615.20 162.80 26503.15 162.80 21%96 896 59503 616.92 279.08 77888.00 279.08 31%97 652 60155 619.82 32.18 1035.36 32.18 5%98 640 60795 620.15 19.85 393.84 19.85 3%99 744 61539 620.36 123.64 15287.56 123.64 17%

100 740 62279 621.61 118.39 14017.12 118.39 16%101 796 63075 622.79 173.21 30001.70 173.21 22%102 767 63842 624.50 142.50 20304.84 142.50 19%103 770 64612 625.90 144.10 20764.24 144.10 19%104 797 65409 627.30 169.70 28797.76 169.70 21%105 731 66140 628.93 102.07 10417.74 102.07 14%106 758 66898 629.90 128.10 16408.39 128.10 17%107 775 67673 631.11 143.89 20703.41 143.89 19%108 902 68575 632.46 269.54 72652.92 269.54 30%109 708 69283 634.95 73.05 5335.76 73.05 10%110 713 69996 635.62 77.38 5987.07 77.38 11%111 771 70767 636.33 134.67 18136.74 134.67 17%112 793 71560 637.54 155.46 24167.64 155.46 20%113 826 72386 638.93 187.07 34995.72 187.07 23%114 820 73206 640.58 179.42 32190.08 179.42 22%115 827 74033 642.16 184.84 34166.60 184.84 22%116 829 74862 643.77 185.23 34311.92 185.23 22%117 800 75662 645.36 154.64 23912.89 154.64 19%118 841 76503 646.68 194.32 37758.80 194.32 23%119 833 77336 648.33 184.67 34102.82 184.67 22%120 1018 78354 649.88 368.12 135510.60 368.12 36%121 739 79093 652.95 86.05 7404.60 86.05 12%122 722 79815 653.66 68.34 4670.20 68.34 9%123 820 80635 654.22 165.78 27482.57 165.78 20%124 849 81484 655.57 193.43 37415.51 193.43 23%125 878 82362 657.13 220.87 48783.98 220.87 25%126 876 83238 658.90 217.10 47134.15 217.10 25%127 886 84124 660.62 225.38 50796.57 225.38 25%128 883 85007 662.39 220.61 48667.14 220.61 25%129 853 85860 664.12 188.88 35676.72 188.88 22%130 879 86739 665.58 213.42 45547.50 213.42 24%131 902 87641 667.22 234.78 55120.20 234.78 26%132 1089 88730 669.02 419.98 176387.18 419.98 39%133 770 89500 672.20 97.80 9565.43 97.80 13%134 776 90276 672.93 103.07 10622.94 103.07 13%135 918 91194 673.70 244.30 59681.76 244.30 27%136 906 92100 675.51 230.49 53125.13 230.49 25%137 933 93033 677.21 255.79 65430.63 255.79 27%138 948 93981 679.07 268.93 72321.74 268.93 28%139 926 94907 681.02 244.98 60014.35 244.98 26%140 966 95873 682.78 283.22 80211.20 283.22 29%141 927 96800 684.81 242.19 58657.38 242.19 26%142 946 97746 686.52 259.48 67327.37 259.48 27%

143 971 98717 688.35 282.65 79889.83 282.65 29%144 1164 99881 690.33 473.67 224364.53 473.67 41%145 832 100713 693.62 138.38 19149.56 138.38 17%146 817 101530 694.57 122.43 14988.51 122.43 15%147 958 102488 695.41 262.59 68953.00 262.59 27%148 935 103423 697.20 237.80 56550.13 237.80 25%149 1004 104427 698.80 305.20 93144.57 305.20 30%150 1010 105437 700.85 309.15 95572.27 309.15 31%151 972 106409 702.91 269.09 72407.63 269.09 28%152 1018 107427 704.70 313.30 98159.79 313.30 31%153 961 108388 706.76 254.24 64639.72 254.24 26%154 967 109355 708.42 258.58 66864.50 258.58 27%155 1009 110364 710.10 298.90 89342.76 298.90 30%156 1187 111551 712.03 474.97 225600.48 474.97 40%

155 4109309.86 20523.38 25.8926511.68 132.41 0.17MSE MAD MAPE

-3%15%10%11%11%

9%8%5%7%9%

24%-5%-4%7%6%

12%12%

7%10%

3%8%

11%23%-4%-8%7%9%

14%10%10%14%

8%9%

11%24%-1%-7%7%8%

15%11%11%13%13%12%

et/Yt

10%28%-4%-4%9%

12%14%14%14%15%10%13%11%28%

0%1%

14%13%16%17%15%17%13%14%17%32%

5%2%

17%16%22%21%18%22%17%16%19%32%

9%5%

18%16%21%21%18%22%16%19%

21%31%

5%3%

17%16%22%19%19%21%14%17%19%30%10%11%17%20%23%22%22%22%19%23%22%36%12%

9%20%23%25%25%25%25%22%24%26%39%13%13%27%25%27%28%26%29%26%27%

29%41%17%15%27%25%30%31%28%31%26%27%30%40%

25.090.16

MPE

t

1 4032 3923 4664 4675 4866 5007 4958 4989 487

10 50111 51712 62613 463 40314 466 392 403 63 3969 63 14% 14%15 519 466 392 127 16129 127 24% 24%16 519 467 466 53 2809 53 10% 10%17 554 486 467 87 7569 87 16% 16%18 557 500 486 71 5041 71 13% 13%19 530 495 500 30 900 30 6% 6%20 551 498 495 56 3136 56 10% 10%21 517 487 498 19 361 19 4% 4%22 543 501 487 56 3136 56 10% 10%23 564 517 501 63 3969 63 11% 11%24 656 626 517 139 19321 139 21% 21%25 491 463 626 -135 18225 135 27% -27%26 475 466 463 12 144 12 3% 3%27 548 519 466 82 6724 82 15% 15%28 563 519 519 44 1936 44 8% 8%29 599 554 519 80 6400 80 13% 13%30 572 557 554 18 324 18 3% 3%31 575 530 557 18 324 18 3% 3%32 603 551 530 73 5329 73 12% 12%33 568 517 551 17 289 17 3% 3%34 578 543 517 61 3721 61 11% 11%35 590 564 543 47 2209 47 8% 8%36 695 656 564 131 17161 131 19% 19%37 525 491 656 -131 17161 131 25% -25%38 496 475 491 5 25 5 1% 1%39 568 548 475 93 8649 93 16% 16%40 576 563 548 28 784 28 5% 5%41 624 599 563 61 3721 61 10% 10%42 599 572 599 0 0 0 0% 0%43 601 575 572 29 841 29 5% 5%44 618 603 575 43 1849 43 7% 7%45 619 568 603 16 256 16 3% 3%46 616 578 568 48 2304 48 8% 8%47 604 590 578 26 676 26 4% 4%

Yt Yt-12Ramalan

(Yt+1)et et

2 |et| |et|/Yt et/Yt

48 758 695 590 168 28224 168 22% 22%49 529 525 695 -166 27556 166 31% -31%50 526 496 525 1 1 1 0% 0%51 599 568 496 103 10609 103 17% 17%52 624 576 568 56 3136 56 9% 9%53 643 624 576 67 4489 67 10% 10%54 642 599 624 18 324 18 3% 3%55 644 601 599 45 2025 45 7% 7%56 655 618 601 54 2916 54 8% 8%57 620 619 618 2 4 2 0% 0%58 639 616 619 20 400 20 3% 3%59 632 604 616 16 256 16 3% 3%60 783 758 604 179 32041 179 23% 23%61 565 529 758 -193 37249 193 34% -34%62 572 526 529 43 1849 43 8% 8%63 655 599 526 129 16641 129 20% 20%64 652 624 599 53 2809 53 8% 8%65 677 643 624 53 2809 53 8% 8%66 685 642 643 42 1764 42 6% 6%67 668 644 642 26 676 26 4% 4%68 691 655 644 47 2209 47 7% 7%69 657 620 655 2 4 2 0% 0%70 666 639 620 46 2116 46 7% 7%71 698 632 639 59 3481 59 8% 8%72 852 783 632 220 48400 220 26% 26%73 610 565 783 -173 29929 173 28% -28%74 592 572 565 27 729 27 5% 5%75 704 655 572 132 17424 132 19% 19%76 696 652 655 41 1681 41 6% 6%77 749 677 652 97 9409 97 13% 13%78 742 685 677 65 4225 65 9% 9%79 720 668 685 35 1225 35 5% 5%80 762 691 668 94 8836 94 12% 12%81 718 657 691 27 729 27 4% 4%82 709 666 657 52 2704 52 7% 7%83 741 698 666 75 5625 75 10% 10%84 880 852 698 182 33124 182 21% 21%85 660 610 852 -192 36864 192 29% -29%86 634 592 610 24 576 24 4% 4%87 739 704 592 147 21609 147 20% 20%88 722 696 704 18 324 18 2% 2%89 768 749 696 72 5184 72 9% 9%90 765 742 749 16 256 16 2% 2%91 742 720 742 0 0 0 0% 0%92 784 762 720 64 4096 64 8% 8%93 725 718 762 -37 1369 37 5% -5%94 755 709 718 37 1369 37 5% 5%95 778 741 709 69 4761 69 9% 9%

96 896 880 741 155 24025 155 17% 17%97 652 660 880 -228 51984 228 35% -35%98 640 634 660 -20 400 20 3% -3%99 744 739 634 110 12100 110 15% 15%

100 740 722 739 1 1 1 0% 0%101 796 768 722 74 5476 74 9% 9%102 767 765 768 -1 1 1 0% 0%103 770 742 765 5 25 5 1% 1%104 797 784 742 55 3025 55 7% 7%105 731 725 784 -53 2809 53 7% -7%106 758 755 725 33 1089 33 4% 4%107 775 778 755 20 400 20 3% 3%108 902 896 778 124 15376 124 14% 14%109 708 652 896 -188 35344 188 27% -27%110 713 640 652 61 3721 61 9% 9%111 771 744 640 131 17161 131 17% 17%112 793 740 744 49 2401 49 6% 6%113 826 796 740 86 7396 86 10% 10%114 820 767 796 24 576 24 3% 3%115 827 770 767 60 3600 60 7% 7%116 829 797 770 59 3481 59 7% 7%117 800 731 797 3 9 3 0% 0%118 841 758 731 110 12100 110 13% 13%119 833 775 758 75 5625 75 9% 9%120 1018 902 775 243 59049 243 24% 24%121 739 708 902 -163 26569 163 22% -22%122 722 713 708 14 196 14 2% 2%123 820 771 713 107 11449 107 13% 13%124 849 793 771 78 6084 78 9% 9%125 878 826 793 85 7225 85 10% 10%126 876 820 826 50 2500 50 6% 6%127 886 827 820 66 4356 66 7% 7%128 883 829 827 56 3136 56 6% 6%129 853 800 829 24 576 24 3% 3%130 879 841 800 79 6241 79 9% 9%131 902 833 841 61 3721 61 7% 7%132 1089 1018 833 256 65536 256 24% 24%133 770 739 1018 -248 61504 248 32% -32%134 776 722 739 37 1369 37 5% 5%135 918 820 722 196 38416 196 21% 21%136 906 849 820 86 7396 86 9% 9%137 933 878 849 84 7056 84 9% 9%138 948 876 878 70 4900 70 7% 7%139 926 886 876 50 2500 50 5% 5%140 966 883 886 80 6400 80 8% 8%141 927 853 883 44 1936 44 5% 5%142 946 879 853 93 8649 93 10% 10%143 971 902 879 92 8464 92 9% 9%

144 1164 1089 902 262 68644 262 23% 23%145 832 770 1089 -257 66049 257 31% -31%146 817 776 770 47 2209 47 6% 6%147 958 918 776 182 33124 182 19% 19%148 935 906 918 17 289 17 2% 2%149 1004 933 906 98 9604 98 10% 10%150 1010 948 933 77 5929 77 8% 8%151 972 926 948 24 576 24 2% 2%152 1018 966 926 92 8464 92 9% 9%153 961 927 966 -5 25 5 1% -1%154 967 946 927 40 1600 40 4% 4%155 1009 971 946 63 3969 63 6% 6%156 1187 1164 971 216 46656 216 18% 18%

143 1389919 10913 14.77054 800.57%9719.71 76.31 10% 6%

MSE MAD MAPE MPE

t

1 4032 392 4033 466 392 4034 467 466 392 4035 486 467 466 392 4036 500 486 467 466 392 4037 495 500 486 467 466 392 4038 498 495 500 486 467 466 392 4039 487 498 495 500 486 467 466 392 403

10 501 487 498 495 500 486 467 466 39211 517 501 487 498 495 500 486 467 46612 626 517 501 487 498 495 500 486 46713 463 626 517 501 487 498 495 500 48614 466 463 626 517 501 487 498 495 50015 519 466 463 626 517 501 487 498 49516 519 519 466 463 626 517 501 487 49817 554 519 519 466 463 626 517 501 48718 557 554 519 519 466 463 626 517 50119 530 557 554 519 519 466 463 626 51720 551 530 557 554 519 519 466 463 62621 517 551 530 557 554 519 519 466 46322 543 517 551 530 557 554 519 519 46623 564 543 517 551 530 557 554 519 51924 656 564 543 517 551 530 557 554 51925 491 656 564 543 517 551 530 557 55426 475 491 656 564 543 517 551 530 55727 548 475 491 656 564 543 517 551 53028 563 548 475 491 656 564 543 517 55129 599 563 548 475 491 656 564 543 51730 572 599 563 548 475 491 656 564 54331 575 572 599 563 548 475 491 656 56432 603 575 572 599 563 548 475 491 65633 568 603 575 572 599 563 548 475 49134 578 568 603 575 572 599 563 548 47535 590 578 568 603 575 572 599 563 54836 695 590 578 568 603 575 572 599 56337 525 695 590 578 568 603 575 572 59938 496 525 695 590 578 568 603 575 57239 568 496 525 695 590 578 568 603 57540 576 568 496 525 695 590 578 568 60341 624 576 568 496 525 695 590 578 56842 599 624 576 568 496 525 695 590 57843 601 599 624 576 568 496 525 695 59044 618 601 599 624 576 568 496 525 69545 619 618 601 599 624 576 568 496 52546 616 619 618 601 599 624 576 568 496

Yt Yt-1 Yt-2 Yt-3 Yt-4 Yt-5 Yt-6 Yt-7 Yt-8

47 604 616 619 618 601 599 624 576 56848 758 604 616 619 618 601 599 624 57649 529 758 604 616 619 618 601 599 62450 526 529 758 604 616 619 618 601 59951 599 526 529 758 604 616 619 618 60152 624 599 526 529 758 604 616 619 61853 643 624 599 526 529 758 604 616 61954 642 643 624 599 526 529 758 604 61655 644 642 643 624 599 526 529 758 60456 655 644 642 643 624 599 526 529 75857 620 655 644 642 643 624 599 526 52958 639 620 655 644 642 643 624 599 52659 632 639 620 655 644 642 643 624 59960 783 632 639 620 655 644 642 643 62461 565 783 632 639 620 655 644 642 64362 572 565 783 632 639 620 655 644 64263 655 572 565 783 632 639 620 655 64464 652 655 572 565 783 632 639 620 65565 677 652 655 572 565 783 632 639 62066 685 677 652 655 572 565 783 632 63967 668 685 677 652 655 572 565 783 63268 691 668 685 677 652 655 572 565 78369 657 691 668 685 677 652 655 572 56570 666 657 691 668 685 677 652 655 57271 698 666 657 691 668 685 677 652 65572 852 698 666 657 691 668 685 677 65273 610 852 698 666 657 691 668 685 67774 592 610 852 698 666 657 691 668 68575 704 592 610 852 698 666 657 691 66876 696 704 592 610 852 698 666 657 69177 749 696 704 592 610 852 698 666 65778 742 749 696 704 592 610 852 698 66679 720 742 749 696 704 592 610 852 69880 762 720 742 749 696 704 592 610 85281 718 762 720 742 749 696 704 592 61082 709 718 762 720 742 749 696 704 59283 741 709 718 762 720 742 749 696 70484 880 741 709 718 762 720 742 749 69685 660 880 741 709 718 762 720 742 74986 634 660 880 741 709 718 762 720 74287 739 634 660 880 741 709 718 762 72088 722 739 634 660 880 741 709 718 76289 768 722 739 634 660 880 741 709 71890 765 768 722 739 634 660 880 741 70991 742 765 768 722 739 634 660 880 74192 784 742 765 768 722 739 634 660 88093 725 784 742 765 768 722 739 634 66094 755 725 784 742 765 768 722 739 634

95 778 755 725 784 742 765 768 722 73996 896 778 755 725 784 742 765 768 72297 652 896 778 755 725 784 742 765 76898 640 652 896 778 755 725 784 742 76599 744 640 652 896 778 755 725 784 742

100 740 744 640 652 896 778 755 725 784101 796 740 744 640 652 896 778 755 725102 767 796 740 744 640 652 896 778 755103 770 767 796 740 744 640 652 896 778104 797 770 767 796 740 744 640 652 896105 731 797 770 767 796 740 744 640 652106 758 731 797 770 767 796 740 744 640107 775 758 731 797 770 767 796 740 744108 902 775 758 731 797 770 767 796 740109 708 902 775 758 731 797 770 767 796110 713 708 902 775 758 731 797 770 767111 771 713 708 902 775 758 731 797 770112 793 771 713 708 902 775 758 731 797113 826 793 771 713 708 902 775 758 731114 820 826 793 771 713 708 902 775 758115 827 820 826 793 771 713 708 902 775116 829 827 820 826 793 771 713 708 902117 800 829 827 820 826 793 771 713 708118 841 800 829 827 820 826 793 771 713119 833 841 800 829 827 820 826 793 771120 1018 833 841 800 829 827 820 826 793121 739 1018 833 841 800 829 827 820 826122 722 739 1018 833 841 800 829 827 820123 820 722 739 1018 833 841 800 829 827124 849 820 722 739 1018 833 841 800 829125 878 849 820 722 739 1018 833 841 800126 876 878 849 820 722 739 1018 833 841127 886 876 878 849 820 722 739 1018 833128 883 886 876 878 849 820 722 739 1018129 853 883 886 876 878 849 820 722 739130 879 853 883 886 876 878 849 820 722131 902 879 853 883 886 876 878 849 820132 1089 902 879 853 883 886 876 878 849133 770 1089 902 879 853 883 886 876 878134 776 770 1089 902 879 853 883 886 876135 918 776 770 1089 902 879 853 883 886136 906 918 776 770 1089 902 879 853 883137 933 906 918 776 770 1089 902 879 853138 948 933 906 918 776 770 1089 902 879139 926 948 933 906 918 776 770 1089 902140 966 926 948 933 906 918 776 770 1089141 927 966 926 948 933 906 918 776 770142 946 927 966 926 948 933 906 918 776

143 971 946 927 966 926 948 933 906 918144 1164 971 946 927 966 926 948 933 906145 832 1164 971 946 927 966 926 948 933146 817 832 1164 971 946 927 966 926 948147 958 817 832 1164 971 946 927 966 926148 935 958 817 832 1164 971 946 927 966149 1004 935 958 817 832 1164 971 946 927150 1010 1004 935 958 817 832 1164 971 946151 972 1010 1004 935 958 817 832 1164 971152 1018 972 1010 1004 935 958 817 832 1164153 961 1018 972 1010 1004 935 958 817 832154 967 961 1018 972 1010 1004 935 958 817155 1009 967 961 1018 972 1010 1004 935 958156 1187 1009 967 961 1018 972 1010 1004 935

403392 403466 392 403467 466 392 403486 467 466 392 403 6767500 486 467 466 392 6883 483.36 35.64 1270.41495 500 486 467 466 7010 491.64 27.36 748.41498 495 500 486 467 7098 500.71 53.29 2839.37487 498 495 500 486 7188 507.00 50.00 2500.00501 487 498 495 500 7232 513.43 16.57 274.61517 501 487 498 495 7283 516.57 34.43 1185.33626 517 501 487 498 7305 520.21 -3.21 10.33463 626 517 501 487 7350 521.79 21.21 450.05466 463 626 517 501 7427 525.00 39.00 1521.00519 466 463 626 517 7582 530.50 125.50 15750.25519 519 466 463 626 7556 541.57 -50.57 2557.47554 519 519 466 463 7405 539.71 -64.71 4187.94557 554 519 519 466 7490 528.93 19.07 363.72530 557 554 519 519 7587 535.00 28.00 784.00551 530 557 554 519 7667 541.93 57.07 3257.15517 551 530 557 554 7720 547.64 24.36 593.27543 517 551 530 557 7741 551.43 23.57 555.61564 543 517 551 530 7787 552.93 50.07 2507.15656 564 543 517 551 7825 556.21 11.79 138.90491 656 564 543 517 7852 558.93 19.07 363.72475 491 656 564 543 7925 560.86 29.14 849.31548 475 491 656 564 8077 566.07 128.93 16622.58563 548 475 491 656 8038 576.93 -51.93 2696.58599 563 548 475 491 7878 574.14 -78.14 6106.31572 599 563 548 475 7955 562.71 5.29 27.94575 572 599 563 548 8056 568.21 7.79 60.62603 575 572 599 563 8132 575.43 48.57 2359.18568 603 575 572 599 8168 580.86 18.14 329.16578 568 603 575 572 8170 583.43 17.57 308.76590 578 568 603 575 8216 583.57 34.43 1185.33695 590 578 568 603 8260 586.86 32.14 1033.16525 695 590 578 568 8273 590.00 26.00 676.00

Yt-9 Yt-10 Yt-11 Yt-12 Yt-13Jumlah 14

KuartalRamalan

(Yt+1)et et

2

496 525 695 590 578 8309 590.93 13.07 170.86568 496 525 695 590 8489 593.50 164.50 27060.25576 568 496 525 695 8428 606.36 -77.36 5984.13624 576 568 496 525 8259 602.00 -76.00 5776.00599 624 576 568 496 8333 589.93 9.07 82.29601 599 624 576 568 8461 595.21 28.79 828.62618 601 599 624 576 8536 604.36 38.64 1493.27619 618 601 599 624 8602 609.71 32.29 1042.37616 619 618 601 599 8622 614.43 29.57 874.47604 616 619 618 601 8678 615.86 39.14 1532.16758 604 616 619 618 8697 619.86 0.14 0.02529 758 604 616 619 8718 621.21 17.79 316.33526 529 758 604 616 8731 622.71 9.29 86.22599 526 529 758 604 8898 623.64 159.36 25394.70624 599 526 529 758 8859 635.57 -70.57 4980.33643 624 599 526 529 8673 632.79 -60.79 3694.90642 643 624 599 526 8799 619.50 35.50 1260.25644 642 643 624 599 8925 628.50 23.50 552.25655 644 642 643 624 9003 637.50 39.50 1560.25620 655 644 642 643 9064 643.07 41.93 1758.01639 620 655 644 642 9089 647.43 20.57 423.18632 639 620 655 644 9138 649.21 41.79 1746.05783 632 639 620 655 9151 652.71 4.29 18.37565 783 632 639 620 9162 653.64 12.36 152.70572 565 783 632 639 9240 654.43 43.57 1898.47655 572 565 783 632 9453 660.00 192.00 36864.00652 655 572 565 783 9431 675.21 -65.21 4252.90677 652 655 572 565 9240 673.64 -81.64 6665.56685 677 652 655 572 9379 660.00 44.00 1936.00668 685 677 652 655 9503 669.93 26.07 679.72691 668 685 677 652 9597 678.79 70.21 4930.05657 691 668 685 677 9687 685.50 56.50 3192.25666 657 691 668 685 9730 691.93 28.07 788.01698 666 657 691 668 9807 695.00 67.00 4489.00852 698 666 657 691 9857 700.50 17.50 306.25610 852 698 666 657 9875 704.07 4.93 24.29592 610 852 698 666 9959 705.36 35.64 1270.41704 592 610 852 698 10173 711.36 168.64 28440.41696 704 592 610 852 10135 726.64 -66.64 4441.27749 696 704 592 610 9917 723.93 -89.93 8087.15742 749 696 704 592 10046 708.36 30.64 938.98720 742 749 696 704 10176 717.57 4.43 19.61762 720 742 749 696 10240 726.86 41.14 1692.73718 762 720 742 749 10309 731.43 33.57 1127.04709 718 762 720 742 10302 736.36 5.64 31.84741 709 718 762 720 10344 735.86 48.14 2317.73880 741 709 718 762 10349 738.86 -13.86 192.02660 880 741 709 718 10342 739.21 15.79 249.19

634 660 880 741 709 10402 738.71 39.29 1543.37739 634 660 880 741 10589 743.00 153.00 23409.00722 739 634 660 880 10500 756.36 -104.36 10890.41768 722 739 634 660 10260 750.00 -110.00 12100.00765 768 722 739 634 10344 732.86 11.14 124.16742 765 768 722 739 10450 738.86 1.14 1.31784 742 765 768 722 10507 746.43 49.57 2457.33725 784 742 765 768 10552 750.50 16.50 272.25755 725 784 742 765 10554 753.71 16.29 265.22778 755 725 784 742 10586 753.86 43.14 1861.31896 778 755 725 784 10575 756.14 -25.14 632.16652 896 778 755 725 10549 755.36 2.64 6.98640 652 896 778 755 10599 753.50 21.50 462.25744 640 652 896 778 10746 757.07 144.93 21004.29740 744 640 652 896 10676 767.57 -59.57 3548.76796 740 744 640 652 10493 762.57 -49.57 2457.33767 796 740 744 640 10612 749.50 21.50 462.25770 767 796 740 744 10765 758.00 35.00 1225.00797 770 767 796 740 10847 768.93 57.07 3257.15731 797 770 767 796 10927 774.79 45.21 2044.33758 731 797 770 767 10958 780.50 46.50 2162.25775 758 731 797 770 11020 782.71 46.29 2142.37902 775 758 731 797 11050 787.14 12.86 165.31708 902 775 758 731 11094 789.29 51.71 2674.37713 708 902 775 758 11196 792.43 40.57 1646.04771 713 708 902 775 11456 799.71 218.29 47648.65793 771 713 708 902 11420 818.29 -79.29 6286.22826 793 771 713 708 11240 815.71 -93.71 8782.37820 826 793 771 713 11352 802.86 17.14 293.88827 820 826 793 771 11488 810.86 38.14 1454.88829 827 820 826 793 11595 820.57 57.43 3298.04800 829 827 820 826 11678 828.21 47.79 2283.47841 800 829 827 820 11738 834.14 51.86 2689.16833 841 800 829 827 11801 838.43 44.57 1986.61

1018 833 841 800 829 11827 842.93 10.07 101.43739 1018 833 841 800 11877 844.79 34.21 1170.62722 739 1018 833 841 11979 848.36 53.64 2877.56820 722 739 1018 833 12227 855.64 233.36 54455.56849 820 722 739 1018 12164 873.36 -103.36 10682.70878 849 820 722 739 11922 868.86 -92.86 8622.45876 878 849 820 722 12101 851.57 66.43 4412.76886 876 878 849 820 12285 864.36 41.64 1734.13883 886 876 878 849 12398 877.50 55.50 3080.25853 883 886 876 878 12497 885.57 62.43 3897.33879 853 883 886 876 12545 892.64 33.36 1112.70902 879 853 883 886 12635 896.07 69.93 4890.01

1089 902 879 853 883 12676 902.50 24.50 600.25770 1089 902 879 853 12739 905.43 40.57 1646.04

776 770 1089 902 879 12857 909.93 61.07 3729.72918 776 770 1089 902 13142 918.36 245.64 60340.41906 918 776 770 1089 13072 938.71 -106.71 11387.94933 906 918 776 770 12800 933.71 -116.71 13622.22948 933 906 918 776 12988 914.29 43.71 1910.94926 948 933 906 918 13147 927.71 7.29 53.08966 926 948 933 906 13233 939.07 64.93 4215.72927 966 926 948 933 13337 945.21 64.79 4197.19946 927 966 926 948 13376 952.64 19.36 374.70971 946 927 966 926 13446 955.43 62.57 3915.18

1164 971 946 927 966 13481 960.43 0.57 0.33832 1164 971 946 927 13482 962.93 4.07 16.58817 832 1164 971 946 13564 963.00 46.00 2116.00958 817 832 1164 971 13805 968.86 218.14 47586.31

142 7000254929.75MSE

35.64 7% 7%27.36 5% 5%53.29 10% 10%50.00 9% 9%16.57 3% 3%34.43 6% 6%

3.21 1% -1%21.21 4% 4%39.00 7% 7%

125.50 19% 19%50.57 10% -10%64.71 14% -14%19.07 3% 3%28.00 5% 5%57.07 10% 10%24.36 4% 4%23.57 4% 4%50.07 8% 8%11.79 2% 2%19.07 3% 3%29.14 5% 5%

128.93 19% 19%51.93 10% -10%78.14 16% -16%

5.29 1% 1%7.79 1% 1%

48.57 8% 8%18.14 3% 3%17.57 3% 3%34.43 6% 6%32.14 5% 5%26.00 4% 4%

|et| |et|/Yt et/Yt

13.07 2% 2%164.50 22% 22%

77.36 15% -15%76.00 14% -14%

9.07 2% 2%28.79 5% 5%38.64 6% 6%32.29 5% 5%29.57 5% 5%39.14 6% 6%

0.14 0% 0%17.79 3% 3%

9.29 1% 1%159.36 20% 20%

70.57 12% -12%60.79 11% -11%35.50 5% 5%23.50 4% 4%39.50 6% 6%41.93 6% 6%20.57 3% 3%41.79 6% 6%

4.29 1% 1%12.36 2% 2%43.57 6% 6%

192.00 23% 23%65.21 11% -11%81.64 14% -14%44.00 6% 6%26.07 4% 4%70.21 9% 9%56.50 8% 8%28.07 4% 4%67.00 9% 9%17.50 2% 2%

4.93 1% 1%35.64 5% 5%

168.64 19% 19%66.64 10% -10%89.93 14% -14%30.64 4% 4%

4.43 1% 1%41.14 5% 5%33.57 4% 4%

5.64 1% 1%48.14 6% 6%13.86 2% -2%15.79 2% 2%

39.29 5% 5%153.00 17% 17%104.36 16% -16%110.00 17% -17%

11.14 1% 1%1.14 0% 0%

49.57 6% 6%16.50 2% 2%16.29 2% 2%43.14 5% 5%25.14 3% -3%

2.64 0% 0%21.50 3% 3%

144.93 16% 16%59.57 8% -8%49.57 7% -7%21.50 3% 3%35.00 4% 4%57.07 7% 7%45.21 6% 6%46.50 6% 6%46.29 6% 6%12.86 2% 2%51.71 6% 6%40.57 5% 5%

218.29 21% 21%79.29 11% -11%93.71 13% -13%17.14 2% 2%38.14 4% 4%57.43 7% 7%47.79 5% 5%51.86 6% 6%44.57 5% 5%10.07 1% 1%34.21 4% 4%53.64 6% 6%

233.36 21% 21%103.36 13% -13%

92.86 12% -12%66.43 7% 7%41.64 5% 5%55.50 6% 6%62.43 7% 7%33.36 4% 4%69.93 7% 7%24.50 3% 3%40.57 4% 4%

61.07 6% 6%245.64 21% 21%106.71 13% -13%116.71 14% -14%

43.71 5% 5%7.29 1% 1%

64.93 6% 6%64.79 6% 6%19.36 2% 2%62.57 6% 6%

0.57 0% 0%4.07 0% 0%

46.00 5% 5%218.14 18% 18%

7365 10 451.87 0.07 0.03

MAD MAPE MPE

N = 12P = 6

t Mt Mt' at bt

1 4032 3923 4664 4675 4866 5007 4958 4989 487

10 50111 51712 626 5838 486.5013 463 5898 491.5014 466 5972 497.6715 519 6025 502.0816 519 6077 506.4217 554 6145 512.0818 557 6202 516.8319 530 6237 519.7520 551 6290 524.1721 517 6320 526.6722 543 6362 530.17 5613.83 467.82 592.51 11.34 660.5323 564 6409 534.08 5661.42 471.78 596.38 11.33 664.3424 656 6439 536.58 5706.50 475.54 597.63 11.10 664.2225 491 6467 538.92 5747.75 478.98 598.85 10.90 664.2426 475 6476 539.67 5785.33 482.11 597.22 10.46 660.0127 548 6505 542.08 5821.00 485.08 599.08 10.36 661.2728 563 6549 545.75 5854.67 487.89 603.61 10.52 666.7329 599 6594 549.50 5887.33 490.61 608.39 10.71 672.6330 572 6609 550.75 5918.33 493.19 608.31 10.46 671.0931 575 6654 554.50 5948.67 495.72 613.28 10.69 677.4032 603 6706 558.83 5980.83 498.40 619.26 10.99 685.1933 568 6757 563.08 6013.75 501.15 625.02 11.26 692.5934 578 6792 566.00 6045.67 503.81 628.19 11.31 696.0435 590 6818 568.17 6077.25 506.44 629.90 11.22 697.2436 695 6857 571.42 6109.75 509.15 633.69 11.32 701.6237 525 6891 574.25 6144.33 512.03 636.47 11.31 704.3538 496 6912 576.00 6178.25 514.85 637.15 11.12 703.8539 568 6932 577.67 6210.17 517.51 637.82 10.94 703.4440 576 6945 578.75 6239.42 519.95 637.55 10.69 701.6941 624 6970 580.83 6269.50 522.46 639.21 10.61 702.8942 599 6997 583.08 6298.08 524.84 641.33 10.59 704.8643 601 7023 585.25 6324.50 527.04 643.46 10.58 706.9644 618 7038 586.50 6347.92 528.99 644.01 10.46 706.74

YtJumlah 12 Mingguan

Jumlah Mt 12 mingguan

Ramalan (Yt+1)

45 619 7089 590.75 6372.67 531.06 650.44 10.85 715.5746 616 7127 593.92 6398.42 533.20 654.63 11.04 720.8747 604 7141 595.08 6422.08 535.17 654.99 10.89 720.3548 758 7204 600.33 6448.17 537.35 663.32 11.45 732.0349 529 7208 600.67 6472.83 539.40 661.93 11.14 728.7650 526 7238 603.17 6498.33 541.53 664.81 11.21 732.0551 599 7269 605.75 6525.33 543.78 667.72 11.27 735.3352 624 7317 609.75 6554.25 546.19 673.31 11.56 742.6553 643 7336 611.33 6582.50 548.54 674.1354 642 7379 614.92 6612.17 551.01 678.8255 644 7422 618.50 6644.17 553.68 683.3256 655 7459 621.58 6675.00 556.25 686.9257 620 7460 621.67 6702.75 558.56 684.7758 639 7483 623.58 6731.25 560.94 686.2359 632 7511 625.92 6756.83 563.07 688.7660 783 7536 628.00 6784.17 565.35 690.6561 565 7572 631.00 6812.00 567.67 694.3362 572 7618 634.83 6841.08 570.09 699.5863 655 7674 639.50 6870.83 572.57 706.4364 652 7702 641.83 6901.33 575.11 708.5665 677 7736 644.67 6931.08 577.59 711.7466 685 7779 648.25 6960.83 580.07 716.4367 668 7803 650.25 6989.50 582.46 718.0468 691 7839 653.25 7021.08 585.09 721.4169 657 7876 656.33 7053.83 587.82 724.8570 666 7903 658.58 7086.50 590.54 726.6371 698 7969 664.08 7122.58 593.55 734.6272 852 8038 669.83 7161.42 596.78 742.8873 610 8083 673.58 7200.17 600.01 747.1574 592 8103 675.25 7235.92 602.99 747.5175 704 8152 679.33 7273.42 606.12 752.5576 696 8196 683.00 7311.75 609.31 756.6977 749 8268 689.00 7352.50 612.71 765.2978 742 8325 693.75 7396.00 616.33 771.1779 720 8377 698.08 7440.83 620.07 776.1080 762 8448 704.00 7488.50 624.04 783.9681 718 8509 709.08 7539.00 628.25 789.9282 709 8552 712.67 7587.58 632.30 793.0383 741 8595 716.25 7634.00 636.17 796.3384 880 8623 718.58 7679.00 639.92 797.2585 660 8673 722.75 7726.50 643.88 801.6386 634 8715 726.25 7773.42 647.78 804.7287 739 8750 729.17 7819.58 651.63 806.7088 722 8776 731.33 7861.92 655.16 807.5189 768 8795 732.92 7901.08 658.42 807.4190 765 8818 734.83 7937.83 661.49 808.1891 742 8840 736.67 7970.50 664.21 809.1292 784 8862 738.50 7999.92 666.66 810.34

93 725 8869 739.08 8026.33 668.86 809.3194 755 8915 742.92 8053.00 671.08 814.7595 778 8952 746.00 8080.42 673.37 818.6396 896 8968 747.33 8105.00 675.42 819.2597 652 8960 746.67 8125.42 677.12 816.2298 640 8966 747.17 8143.42 678.62 815.7299 744 8971 747.58 8159.67 679.97 815.19

100 740 8989 749.08 8175.83 681.32 816.85101 796 9017 751.42 8192.42 682.70 820.13102 767 9019 751.58 8207.33 683.94 819.22103 770 9047 753.92 8222.75 685.23 822.60104 797 9060 755.00 8238.67 686.56 823.44105 731 9066 755.50 8251.25 687.60 823.40106 758 9069 755.75 8261.00 688.42 823.08107 775 9066 755.50 8269.17 689.10 821.90108 902 9072 756.00 8278.50 689.88 822.13109 708 9128 760.67 8292.00 691.00 830.33110 713 9201 766.75 8311.17 692.60 840.90111 771 9228 769.00 8331.08 694.26 843.74112 793 9281 773.42 8353.08 696.09 850.74113 826 9311 775.92 8377.42 698.12 853.72114 820 9364 780.33 8403.83 700.32 860.35115 827 9421 785.08 8433.92 702.83 867.34116 829 9453 787.75 8466.17 705.51 869.99117 800 9522 793.50 8503.92 708.66 878.34118 841 9605 800.42 8548.83 712.40 888.43119 833 9663 805.25 8598.08 716.51 893.99120 1018 9779 814.92 8652.33 721.03 908.81121 739 9810 817.50 8703.08 725.26 909.74122 722 9819 818.25 8752.33 729.36 907.14123 820 9868 822.33 8801.25 733.44 911.23124 849 9924 827.00 8852.33 737.69 916.31125 878 9976 831.33 8903.33 741.94 920.72126 876 10032 836.00 8954.25 746.19 925.81127 886 10091 840.92 9007.42 750.62 931.22128 883 10145 845.42 9059.33 754.94 935.89129 853 10198 849.83 9108.75 759.06 940.60130 879 10236 853.00 9156.50 763.04 942.96131 902 10305 858.75 9200.33 766.69 950.81132 1089 10376 864.67 9247.50 770.63 958.71133 770 10407 867.25 9296.50 774.71 959.79134 776 10461 871.75 9345.92 778.83 964.67135 918 10559 879.92 9398.83 783.24 976.60136 906 10616 884.67 9452.17 787.68 981.65137 933 10671 889.25 9505.42 792.12 986.38138 948 10743 895.25 9559.75 796.65 993.85139 926 10783 898.58 9612.92 801.08 996.09140 966 10866 905.50 9668.58 805.72 1005.28

141 927 10940 911.67 9727.25 810.60 1012.73142 946 11007 917.25 9785.75 815.48 1019.02143 971 11076 923.00 9844.08 820.34 1025.66144 1164 11151 929.25 9906.08 825.51 1032.99145 832 11213 934.42 9968.75 830.73 1038.10146 817 11254 937.83 10026.67 835.56 1040.11147 958 11294 941.17 10083.17 840.26 1042.07148 935 11323 943.58 10137.50 844.79 1042.38149 1004 11394 949.50 10191.75 849.31 1049.69150 1010 11456 954.67 10247.83 853.99 1055.35151 972 11502 958.50 10300.83 858.40 1058.60152 1018 11554 962.83 10352.00 862.67 1063.00153 961 11588 965.67 10400.42 866.70 1064.63154 967 11609 967.42 10444.83 870.40 1064.43155 1009 11647 970.58 10486.17 873.85 1067.32156 1187 11670 972.50 10524.25 877.02 1067.98

-117.53 13813.08 117.53 22% -22%-100.34 10068.93 100.34 18% -18%

-8.22 67.50 8.22 1% -1%-173.24 30012.28 173.24 35% -35%-185.01 34228.74 185.01 39% -39%-113.27 12828.99 113.27 21% -21%-103.73 10760.39 103.73 18% -18%

-73.63 5421.57 73.63 12% -12%-99.09 9819.51 99.09 17% -17%

-102.40 10485.55 102.40 18% -18%-82.19 6754.89 82.19 14% -14%

-124.59 15522.42 124.59 22% -22%-118.04 13934.13 118.04 20% -20%-107.24 11499.72 107.24 18% -18%

-6.62 43.82 6.62 1% -1%-179.35 32166.78 179.35 34% -34%-207.85 43201.78 207.85 42% -42%-135.44 18344.17 135.44 24% -24%-125.69 15798.62 125.69 22% -22%

-78.89 6223.66 78.89 13% -13%-105.86 11207.24 105.86 18% -18%-105.96 11227.17 105.96 18% -18%

-88.74 7875.11 88.74 14% -14%

et et2 |et| |et|/Yt et/Yt

-96.57 9324.93 96.57 16% -16%-104.87 10997.04 104.87 17% -17%-116.35 13537.12 116.35 19% -19%

25.97 674.36 25.97 3% 3%-199.76 39905.61 199.76 38% -38%-206.05 42455.77 206.05 39% -39%-136.33 18585.40 136.33 23% -23%-118.65 14078.63 118.65 19% -19%

31 ### 3547.47 6.35 -6.2815511.77 114.43 0.20 -0.20

MSE MAD MAPE MPE