Telecom Argentina
4Q16 Earnings Release
Conference Call Presentation
This presentation may include statements that could constitute forward-looking statements, including, but not limited to,
the Company’s and it’s management expectations for the Company’s future performance, revenues, income, earnings per
share, capital expenditures, dividends, liquidity and capital structure; the impact of the emergency laws enacted by the
Argentine government; and the impact of rate changes and competition on the Company’s future financial performance.
Forward-looking statements may be identified by words such as “believes”, “expects”, “anticipates”, “projects”, “intends”,
“should”, “seeks”, “estimates”, “future” and other similar expressions, but they are not the only way the Company
identifies forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties that could significantly
affect the Company’s expected results. Due to extensive and rapid changes in laws and economic and business conditions
in Argentina, it is difficult to predict the impact of these changes on the Company’s financial condition. Other factors may
include, but are not limited to, the evolution of the economy in Argentina, growing inflationary pressure and reduction in
consumer spending and the outcome of certain legal proceedings. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on
forward-looking statements, which speak only as the date of this document. The Company undertakes no obligation to
release publicly the results of any revisions to forward-looking statements which may be made to reflect events and
circumstances after the date of this presentation, including, without limitation, changes in the Company’s business or to
reflect the occurrence of unanticipated events or as a result of new information or otherwise. Information included in this
presentation is unaudited and may not coincide with that included in the financial statements of the Company, due to
rounding, reclassification matters, and other reasons. Readers are encouraged to consult the Company’s Annual Report
and Form 20-F as well as periodic filings made on Form 6-K, which are filed with or furnished to the United States Securities
and Exchange Commission and the Argentine Comisión Nacional de Valores.
1
Disclaimer
Agenda
Macro Overview
Vision & Strategy
Business Highlights
2
Financials
Q&A
13.01
15.85
Mean - FY16 = 14.79
Mean - 4Q16 = 15.49
3
(Billion U$S)
Peso depreciation accelerated in 4Q16, reaching levels of almost P$ 16 to U$S 1. CB continued to exercise low direct intervention in FX markets, and cutting reference interest rates due to lower monthly inflation readings.
Trade balance achieved a surplus of more than U$S 2,1 Bn during 2016, responding mostly to a decrease on cumulative imports YoY.
Central Bank Reserves
Macro: Capital inflows strengthen reserves
30,6 31,4
25,6 29,6 30,5 29,9
38,8
2013 2014 2015 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16
Official FX (BCRA)
4Q16: Total repayment of Jan-16 Repo agreement (U$S 1Bn left outstanding)
FX Rate
Managed Floating Exchange Rate Regime during 2016 9.83
13.01
15.85
Official FX Rate Blue FX Rate
Pre - electionary period
Closing of the gap
Unification of Exchange Rates
EXTERNAL FRONT
International Reserves showed an increase of U$S 13,2 Bn during 2016,
mainly explained by a rise during 4Q16 in deposits denominated in
foreign currency, due to cash inflows generated via government’s Tax
Amnesty Plan.
Strong influence of monetary policy and interest rates. Nominal FX increased during 4Q16 after US Elections
3,6%
-4,4%
3,5% 2,2%
-2,6% -3,1% -2,0%
2013 2014 2015 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16e
Macro: Activity turnaround yet to come, inflation continues its declining trend
4
Household consumption
26,5%
40,6%
27,2% 32,8%
41,7% 37,9% 37,6%
2013 2014 2015 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16
Consumer Price Index (FIEL) CPI (YoY)
Economic activity per sector
Inflation decline mainly pulled by lower core inflation
Revised official figures as of 3Q16
Construction Agriculture
Financial interm. Minery
Retail & Wholesale commerce Manufacturer Industry
Transport & Communications Real Estate
Public Admin & Defense Electricity, gas & water
Social services & Healthcare Total
Overall household consumption shows weak signs of recovery as
of 4Q16 and remains depressed, after being affected by
important increases in prices and tariffs that in turn affected real
household’s income. Slight improvements have been observed in
durable good’s consumer confidence during the last quarter of
the year.
Economic activity closed 2016 with a weak performance. Although the
majority of sectors are decreasing their output, with construction and
agriculture leading the decline, some sectors are beginning to show
some positive signs in 4Q16.
Industrial production continues to show a decline on YoY comparison,
registering a fall of 4.7% in FY16, but moderating the rate of decline
from previous quarters.
DOMESTIC ACTIVITY & INFLATION
CPI measured by private consultants rose to 37.6% YoY, showing
very moderate variation in 3Q16 readings. In particular, October
measures were influenced by postponed increases in gas tariffs
that came into effect. Nonetheless, core inflation shows a strong
decrease YoY, reaching 32.4% but signaling that inflation trend is
heading to lower levels onward.
Agenda
Macro Overview
Vision & Strategy
Business Highlights
5
Q&A
Financials
6
Vision & Business Anchors
Gain share in Individuals, Households and Companies
Segments
Drive Operational Excellence
Transform Customer Experience
STRATEGIC HIGHWAYS
ANCHORS
Keep developing new convergent products and services New business plan & business development Develop ability to provide media services, home + mobile VOD solution
Strategic Highways
02
03
01 01
Capex Plan for 2016-2018 > P$ 40 bn; P$11.4 bn were already executed in 2016 Implementation of virtualized core infraestructure +37% 4G sites 5.5 million customers
7
Capex 2017 > P$13 billion
Redefinition of the commercial offer Launch of first convergent bundled offer (Voice + BB +Mobile Internet)
Integration of Operations, revision of BSP New Convergent CRM System, discovery phase
New charging, billing, order manager systems with convergent customer centric architecture Customer excellence process Resignification of NPS
Infrastructure and investment plan
Customer Centric Vision
Convergence of Services
WHERE WE STAND 2017 ACTION ITEMS
Home convergence
06
05
Strategic Highways
04
8
Continuous rollout of FTTx technology Integration of field services
FTTH: increase in covered neighborhoods FTTC: strenghten current infraestructure to provide up to 100mbps speed Develop ability to provide media services, home + mobile VOD solutions CPE visibility Transformation from installation/ maintainance capabilities to home advisor force
New offers for the enterprise management Alliances with Microsoft, Microstrategy and Oracle to promote Cloud Services
Development of vertical platforms
ICT portfolio of services for SMEs
Redefinition of content strategy: •Change in business nature •Change in client management, double OPT-in, churn reduction •Evolution to new generation content
Relaunch of Personal Store
New generation content/ selection of value added content
Cloud Services
Content Management
WHERE WE STAND 2017 ACTION ITEMS
9
New telecommunication convergent model
HOME & INDIVIDUALS
BENEFITS
COST OPTIMIZATION
SIMPLIFICATION OF PROCESSES
INTEGRATION OF SALES & CLIENTS
MULTIPLE ACCESSES
MULTISERVICE NETWORK
Leader in solutions and convergent connectivity services, with an agile structure and focused on our customers
MULTIFUNCIONAL DEVICES
VOICE
DATA
VIDEO & MULTIMEDIA
AL
WA
YS
O
N
CLIENT
VISION
Agenda
Macro Overview
Vision & Strategy
10
Business Highlights
Q&A
Financials
11
FY16 Highlights BUSINESS
FINANCIALS
Retail Fixed Voice gained 41% to P$4,654 million during FY16. ARBU is 48% higher, reaching P$112.4 per month in 4Q16
New price adjustments took place on Feb-17 Broadband & Fixed Data grew by 41% YoY 6Mb and 10 Mb still remain the most demanded
speeds gaining 31% and 26% YoY respectively Data & ICT revenues are 64% higher than a year ago
Retail Mobile grew 27% achieving P$25,971 million
Mobile Internet in Argentina grew 73% YoY Browsing represents 39% of revenue mix
in 2016 with sustainable growth during 4Q16 raising P$3,335 million
Data Usage grew by 90% YoY with 1,207 MBOU/ month
Fixed
Consolidated Revenues up 31% in FY16 Service Revenues growth of 30% in Argentina, mainly driven by: -Mobile Internet (+73% in FY16) -Broadband & Fixed Data (+41% vs FY15) EBITDA increased by 33% achieving a 27% profitability, continuing with the positive trend of last quarter Relevant improvement in dividend payment with an exceptional payout ratio of 59% and a P$2.06 DPS Two new series of Notes for Telecom Personal were issued for an amount of P$722 million and U$S77.9
million and disbursement of IFC loan of U$S400 MM.
Mobile
FY16
Retail Fixed Voice
FY15
4% 4%
15% 15%
7% 6%
50% 49%
16% 17%
8% 9%
+31% +21%
BB and Fixed Data
Retail Mobile
Paraguay
Handsets
Wholesale
Traditional fixed services % on Total Rev
7.0% 7.6%
Revenues YoY
745 975 788
1.117
846
1.241 925
1.321
FY15 FY16
41%
1.380
2.079
1.534
2.161
1.649
2.244
1.773
2.429
FY15 FY16
+41%
4.735 5.986 5.274
6,264 5.207
6.605 5.158
7.116
FY15 FY16
FY15 FY16
+73%
+27%
Group Revenues: Growth acceleration continued due to higher usage and price adjustments
12
GROUP REVENUE MIX RETAIL
1Q
2Q
3Q
4Q
31%
42%
47%
43%
51%
41%
36%
37%
3,304
4,654
6,336
8,913
20,374 25,971
1Q
2Q
3Q
4Q
1Q
2Q
3Q
4Q
26%
19%
27%
38%
Fixed Voice Mobile
6,254
10,832
Mobile Internet in Argentina
BROADBAND & FIXED DATA
In P$ Million
In P$ Million
In P$ Million
% of CB
13
1.4% 1.4% 1.7% 1.4% 2.2%
231,5 248,8 259,8 272,8 302,9
4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16
Monthly Churn ARPU (P$)
+31%
492 618
FY15 FY16
963 1.470
1.780
2.919
FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16
IFRS Million of P$
+53%
+21%
Fixed – Consolidated growth in UBB connections
519 681
FY15 FY16
Data / ICT Revenues increased due to the FX variation in contracts that are set in dollars
BB ARPU & CHURN
DATA / ICT REVENUES
6Mb subs
+162k, 31%
10Mb subs
+126k, 26%
% of CB 29% 39%
27% 36%
Thousand of clients
MOST DEMANDED SPEEDS
+64%
14
4,0 4,0 4,0 3,9 3,9
4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16
Million of lines
P$/Month
76,2 80,9
93,7
105,1 112,4
4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16
Source: OVUM (**) Information after adjustments on residential tariffs. Latam Avg: Simple Average of 7 countries, without including Argentina
+48%
Fixed – ARBU increase driven by price adjustments in monthly fees
5,0
15,3
AR Latam Avg
USD w/o VAT(**)
~3x
+39%
Price Adjustments
BUSINESS SEGMENT
February 2016 From P$77 to P$95 (Δ23%) September 2016 From P$95 to P$115 (Δ21%) February 2017 From P$115 to P$140 (Δ22%)
RESIDENCIAL SEGMENT May 2016 From P$13 to P$38 (Δ192%) February 2017 From P$38 to P$75 (Δ97%)
ARBU DRIVERS OF ARBU INCREASE
LINES IN SERVICE LATAM BENCHMARK
Dec-15 Dec-16
15
13.0 (*)
6,5
Prepaid
Postpaid
9.0 8.5
FY16 FY15
28% 39%
32% 24%
40% 38%
Browsing SMS + Content Voice
FY15 FY16
2.202 2.468 2.827
3.335
1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16
SERVICE REVENUE MIX
BROWSING
DATA PENETRATION
Monthly unique users in million
634 707 827 1.033 1.207
4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16
MBOU/ month
DATA USAGE
CUSTOMER BASE (Mill)
Mobile in Argentina: Enhancing our value proposition
6%
OVERALL NETWORK COMPARISSON
2 1
3
Source: Open Signal
In P$ Million
Figures may not sum up due to rounding
AVG AMOUNT OF PREPAID RECHARGE
19.5
+32%
+90%
(*) 65% of de total prepaid base are subscribers that recharge within 180 days
Mobile – 4G evolution
16
3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16
2.0 1.0
2.5 3.0 4.3
5.5
4G Subs Evolution
17
42%
15% 30%
13%
Mobile Access Fixed Access Core & Infrastructure*
IT
5.427 7.844
11.386
3,530 2,256
FY14 FY15 FY16
21% 16% 19%
Capex: Network deployment to improve network capacity and quality
FY15 FY16
+21%
FY15 FY16 FY15 FY16
>4x
*Core & infrastructure refers to network related capex, including quality and innovation capex
Spectrum
8,957 10,100
% Revenues (without Spectrum)
CAPEX EVOLUTION
Million of P$
TOTAL NEW SITES
+37%
4G sites
+45% +13%
TECHNICAL CAPEX BREAKDOWN
FO deployment
Agenda
Macro Overview
Vision & Strategy
18
Business Highlights
Q&A
Financials
19
7.564 8.702
2.634 3.394
2.501 3.361
2.529
3.453 3.202
4,216
FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16
TEO Group: Consolidated Results
IFRS, Million of P$, Percentage IFRS, Million of P$, Percentage
24% 30% 31% 30% 30%
4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16
27.287 33.341
8.872 12.455
9.624 12.951
10.094
13.412 11.906
14.422
FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16
40%
35%
53,240
40,496
29%
34%
21%
37%
14,424
10,866
28% 26% 27% 27%
EBITDA Mg
30% 26% 25% 27%
1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15
27% 26% 26% 29%
1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16
33%
32%
REVENUES EBITDA
+22%
+31%
+21%
+15%
+33%
+25%
1Q
2Q
3Q
4Q
1Q
2Q
3Q
4Q
SERVICE REV GROWTH
In Argentina (yoy) EBITDA Mg Trend
EBITDA Margin
TEO Group: Consolidated costs and EBITDA evolution
*Others include bad debt expenses, provisions, VAS costs and others
10% 9% 5% 18% 9% 10% 12%
20
+0.1% +1.0% +0.3% 27.1% -1.0% 26.8% -0.5% +0.6% -0.3%
Figures may not sum up due to rounding
As % of Revenues
YoY
Variation IFRS, Million of P$
EBITDA FY15 – FY16
+3,558;+33%
3.202 3.673
1.028 925
928 800
801 746
646 1,504
FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16
4.518 5.443
1.680 1.997
1.468 1.724
1.311 1.802
1.770
2,320
FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16
21
TEO Group: Consolidated Results
17% 16% 12% 11% 15% 15% 8% 7%
IFRS, Million of P$, Percentage
15%
+26%
+20%
17%
19%
17%
7,843
6,229
-10%
-14%
3,975 3,403
37% -7%
O.Income Margin Net Income Margin
31%
133%
OPERATING INCOME
+14%
1Q
2Q
3Q
4Q
1Q
2Q
3Q
4Q
NET INCOME
(Attributable to Telecom)
-7%
+42%
Period D & A3G/4G Spectrum
Amortization
Results on write-
down of PP&ETotal
FY15 4,114 324 199 4,637
FY16 5,860 338 383 6,581
IFRS, Million of P$, Percentage
2.277
5.892
FY15 FY16
22
TEO Group: Net Income Evolution
*Total Net Income includes the part attributable to Telecom and the non-controlling interest
‘Quantity Effect’ on Financial Results
Dividend payments (May-15, May -16 and Aug-16)
IFRS, Million of P$
in million of P$ FY15 FY16
Net Interests -$ 526 -$ 1,483
Gains on Mutual Funds &
other inv.$ 601 $ 348
FX results net of NDF
instruments-$ 1,140 -$ 1,055
Others -$ 37 -$ 54
Total -$ 1,102 -$ 2,244
NET DEBT
2015 2016 2015 2016
Avg. FX Rate
Avg. Interest Rate (BADLAR)
+59%
+420bps
Price Effect on Financial Results
** Includes P$368 MM and P$98 MM for FY15 and FY16, related to administrative recourse claims at the tax authority related to the lack of application of inflation adjustment in the determination of Income Tax
+P$1,151 MM
23
TEO Group: FCF, Net Financial Position IFRS, Million of P$. Last 12 months
Free Cash Flow = -6
(1) OFCF: Operating Free Cash Flow before Taxes
On November 16th 2016, Telecom Personal successfully issued two series of Notes for a total nominal value of P$722.0 million and U$S77,9 million:
18-month bullet maturity, at a floating interest rate (BADLAR rate + 290bps), P$ denominated
24-month bullet maturity, at a fixed interest rate (4.85%), U$S denominated
P$ 722.0 MM
U$S 77.9 MM
SERIES III
SERIES IV
FREE CASH FLOW
TELECOM PERSONAL’S NOTES
Net Debt FY15
Net Debt FY16
Net Interest & Others
FX Variations
Operating Free Cash
Flow1
Taxes Dividend Payments
14.424 11.386
1.344
EBITDA Capex Δ WK & others
OPERATING FREE CASH FLOW
1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16
FCF GENERATION - QoQ
Δ vs. 2015 +1,330 +1,151 +170 +69 +129
2.277 1.694 1.700
1.269 3402.000
5.892
Debt Tenor FY15 FY16
< 1 year 60% 28%
1-2 years 32% 20%
> 3 years 8% 52%
Low leverage levels supported by sound financial strategy
24
Telecom Argentina has maintained low levels of financial leverage, although indebtedness has increased since the 2nd stage of frecuency allocation corresponding to the 2014 Spectrum Auction
During 4Q16, through the IFC loan agreement and
the issuance of Series III and IV Notes, the Company has managed to extend the tenor of its financial debt.
7.564 8.702 10.866
14.424
2.277 5.892
-0,7 x
-0,1 x
0,2 x 0,4 x
2013 2014 2015 2016
EBITDA Net Debt Net Debt / EBITDA
Net
De
bt/
EB
ITD
A
Inte
rest
Co
vera
ge
7.564 8.702
10.866
14.424
17 30 566
1,613
444,9 x
290,1 x
19,2 x 8,9 x
2013 2014 2015 2016
EBITDA Interest Expense Interest Coverage
LEVERAGE
Local & International Bank Loans
Multillateral Credit Agencies
Capital Markets
ECA’s
International Trade Operations Finance
FINANCIAL STRATEGY- FUNDING SOURCES DIVERSIFICATION
Gross Debt
Cash + Cash Eq.
433
1,178
4,900
2,623
11,912
6,020
235
5,589
-5.354
-745
Agenda
Macro Overview
Vision & Strategy
25
Business Highlights
Q&A
Financials