Date post: | 23-Jan-2018 |
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Technology |
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Patrick LopezVP, NETWORKS INNOVATION
TELEFONICA
CONNECTING THE UNCONNECTED IN LATAM
Internet Para Todos
21countries
346
The need for the industry
to transform
IP
SOURCE: CISCO VNI GLOBAL IP TRAFFIC FORECAST,
2016-2021
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
96
122
151
186
228
278
24%CAGR
2016-2021
EX
AB
YT
ES
PE
R M
ON
THTotal Traffic Growth
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
EX
AB
YT
ES
PE
R M
ON
TH
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
File Sharing 2% 2% Audio 8% 5% Web/Data/VoIP 30% 14% Video 60% 78%
Total Traffic GrowthMOBILE
SOURCE: CISCO VNI GLOBAL IP TRAFFIC FORECAST,
2016-2021
SOURCE: SOURCE: CISCO VNI MOBILE, 2017
REGIONS
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
MIDDLE EAST & AFRICA 96%
71%
66%
64%
52%
44%
ASIA PACIFIC
LATIN AMERICA
CENTRAL & EASTERN
EUROPE
WESTERN EUROPE
NORTH AMERICA
Total Traffic Growth
SOURCE: STRATEGY & RESEARCH AND
ANALYSIS
Telecom Industry DecreaseAVERAGE ARPU COMPOUND ANNUAL CHANGE RATE
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
2006 2011 2016
-1% -2%
-6% -6%
-4% -1%
-4% -4%
-6% -10%
10 YEAR
2006-16
5 YEAR
2011-16
NORTHERN
AMERICA
WESTERN
EUROPE
MIDDLE EAST LATIN AMERICA
ASIA
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
161
183198
216229 233 233 236
244 250
SOURCE: GSMA: THE MOBILE ECONOMY, 2017
2.5%CAGR
2014-2020
4.7%CAGR
2008-2014
CapexGLOBAL
MOBILE
$U
S B
N
75%
VIDEO
X2 EVERY 2 YEARS
TRAFFIC
$20/€20s
ARPU
UNLIMITED
VOICE, DATA, MESSAGING
2020 Outlook
How we transform
Reorganize the valuechain
Build a virtualizedand programmable
network
Modular open network fabric
We Need a Change of Paradigm
JOINED
OPENCELLULAR
CONTRIBUTING
ONLIFE
PROGRAMMABLE
EDGE
COMPUTING
PLATFORM
JOINED PEOPLE
AND PROCESS
CO-CHAIR ML
GROUP
JOINED
TIP
BOARD
DEPLOYING
OPEN CELLULAR
IN THE FIELD
CO-CHAIR EDGE
COMPUTING
GROUP
Adapt, Personalize, Uncover New Markets
Voice
Data
Messaging
Video
IoT
VPN
Gaming
Rural
Voice
Data
Messaging
Video
5GDISTINCT EXPERIENCES
NEXT BATTLE
PERSONALIZED SERVICES
2G 3G 4GCOVERAGE AVAILABILITY CAPACITY
FOR GRANTED
VOICE DATA VIDEO
RURAL
MARKET
DILEMMA
Improve our rural intelligence
Assemble innovative networks
Explore innovative commercial models
Test alternative operating models
Our services don’t reach rural costumers
Our operations are not fit for rural
needs
Demand is unclear
Telco tech is not optimized for low
density
PROBLEM APPROACH
POPULATION
DENSITY
DISTRIBUTION
Data Mining: Satellite imagery
Estimation Model: Neural networks to identify and count households
Clustering (DBSCAN) to group households into settlements
Training Sample: Census data to train and iterate the model
INTERNET COVERAGE
BY TECHNOLOGY &
OPERATOR
Data Mining: Geolocate mobile sessions
Estimation Logic: Generate internet coverage polygons by technology as perceived by mobile internet users
Training Sample: Telefonica coverage and infrastructure information + reported regulatory data
INTERNET UNSERVED
POPULATION
DISTRIBUTION
Geolocate population distribution by internet coverage status, by technology (LTE, 3G, Wifi, 2G/Edge)
Improve Rural
IntelligenceMETHODOLOGY SNAPSHOT
Assemble Innovative
Networks1. Commoditized, open and modular radio
nodes for low cost connectivity
2. Open Compute SDN NFV edgecomputing platform
3. People and Process
4. OpenCellular deployments
5. Machine learning and AI
Innovative
Commercial and
Operating ModelsOPERATOR OF MOBILE RURAL
INFRASTRUCTURE
• Leveraging 3rd parties as channels to extend network, operations and sales
• Local market knowledge, operations and relationships
• Nimble, efficient operating model
• Revenue share helps align incentives
We believe there is a large opportunity
to connect the unconnected and underserved
The industry needs to change to address it
We need your help to innovate
If you build it, we will deploy it
Conclusions
(…and buy it)