Thai Capital Market Story
Thailand-China Capital Market Cooperation Seminar
October 2019
2
Million People66.4 (as of 2018)
Thailand Economic Outlook
Thailand Tourism Statistics 2018
No. of tourisms 38.3 Mil. People
- China 10.5 Mil. People
Total Revenue 2,007 Bil. THB
- China 580 Bil. THB
2.7%
1.0%
3.0%3.3%
4.0% 4.1%
3.0%
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 (F)
Expected GDP
(2.7 – 3.2%)
Thailand GDP growth
(Unit: %YOY)
% to GDP(2017)
%YoY
2017 2018 2019 (F)
- Private consumption 48% 3.2 4.6 4.2
- Public consumption 16% 0.5 1.8 2.2
- Private investment22%
1.7 3.9 3.7
- Public investment -1.2 3.3 4.0
- Export value 67% 9.8 7.7 -1.2
- Import value 54% 13.2 13.7 -1.6
- Tourism revenue (%YoY) 18% 11.7 9.6 9.3
- No. of tourists (million people) 35.6 38.3 41
Source: Office of the National Economic and Social Development Board (NESDB)
Highlight Industries
Manufacturing: Automotive, Electronic, Jewelry, Food Processing
Agriculture : Rice, Rubber, Tapioca, Sugar
Services: Tourism, Healthcare, Logistics
Population:
(27.5% of total)
(28.9% of total)
Export 12.0% of total export
Import 20.1% of total import
3
Thailand & Bangkok ranks Top 10 of global travel destination in 2018
Thailand Economic Outlook
Source: World Tourism Organization
Top 10 Destination Countries & Cities in 2018By International tourism
Receipts (USD Billion)% Change2017-2018
Destination countries
USA 214.5 1.8
Spain 73.8 8.4
France 67.3 10.9
Italy 49.3 11.5
Japan 41.1 20.5
German 43.0 8.0
Thailand 63.0 10.7
UK 51.9 5.9
China 40.4 4.7
Australia 45.0 7.9
Cities2018 International
Overnight
Visitors
Growth
Forecast for
2019
Average
Length of
Stay
Average Spend Per
Day (USD)
Bangkok 22.78 million 3.34% 4.8 nights $184
Paris 19.10 million 2.24% 2.5 nights $296
London 19.09 million 3.47% 5.8 nights $148
Dubai 15.93 million 1.68% 3.5 nights $553
Singapore 14.67 million 4.0% 4.2 nights $272
Kuala Lumpur 13.79 million 9.87% 5.7 nights $142
New York 13.60 million 2.94% 7.9 nights $152
Istanbul 13.40 million 8.14% 5.8 nights $106
Tokyo 12.93 million 10.02% 5.4 nights $196
Antalya, Turkey 12.41 million 8.14% 14.0 nights $44
“Bangkok rank no. 1 of Mastercard’s Global Destination Cities
Index For The Fourth Consecutive Year”
Source: Mastercard’s Global Destination Cities Index 2019
4
Thailand ranked sixth among countries with best healthcare system
Thailand Economic Outlook
Source: CEOWORLD
Rank CountriesHealthcare Index
OverallInfrastructure Professionals Cost
Medicine
Availability
Government
Readiness
1 Taiwan 78.72 87.16 14.23 83.59 82.30 87.89
2 South Korea 77.70 79.05 13.06 78.39 78.99 65.09
3 Japan 74.11 90.75 30.01 82.59 92.06 96.30
4 Austria 71.32 86.18 20.25 78.99 88.23 91.80
5 Denmark 70.73 78.77 21.60 74.88 74.18 93.20
6 Thailand 67.99 92.58 17.37 96.22 67.51 89.91
7 Spain 65.38 77.86 13.24 71.82 55.10 81.38
8 France 64.66 86.28 34.25 75.81 83.82 96.80
9 Belgium 64.63 72.48 24.51 68.68 64.78 94.90
10 Australia 61.73 88.63 14.66 75.61 90.25 88.41
The Health Care Index is a statistical analysis of the overall quality of the health care system, including health care infrastructure; health care professionals (doctors, nursing staff, and other health workers) competencies; cost (USD p.a.per capita); quality medicine availability, and government readiness.
Top 10 Countries With The Best Health Care Systems, 2019
5
Outline
Thai Capital Market Landscape
Current Investment Themes
12
6
ASEAN Peers Comparison
Thai Capital Market Landscape1
Source: World Federation of Exchanges
640
349 353 383
289
59
657
559500
384
271
152
Singapore Thailand Indonesia Malaysia Philippines Vietnam
Market Capitalization (Billion USD) as of September 2019
2015
2019
7
Thailand has become the most liquid capital market since 2012 and
the largest fund raising venue in ASEAN during 2014 - present
Thai Capital Market Landscape1Average daily trading value of equity markets*
Unit: Million USD
1,719
1,041
776
470 667
387
500
146
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Sep-19
Thailand
Singapore
Indonesia
Malaysia
Philippines
Size of IPO issued in ASEAN exchanges
Unit: Million USD
Country 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018Sep
2019
2014 –Sep 2019
Thailand 4,024 4,350 1,503 3,428 2,626 720 16,652
Singapore 2,577 372 1,662 3,367 1,535 1,671 11,184
Malaysia 1,251 1,283 293 1,718 163 392 5,101
Indonesia 768 878 1,043 709 1,287 778 5,463
Philippines 316 116 1,017 454 174 8 2,085
Indonesia
Malaysia
Note: Singapore data as of September 2019Source: The Stock Exchange of Thailand, World Federation of Exchanges (WFE)
Source: Bloomberg
8
SET has a relatively larger number of liquid large-cap listed companies and increasing number of constituents in MSCI, the benchmark index
Thai Capital Market Landscape1Number of Thai listed companies in MSCI Standard index
2529 29
34 33 35 36
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 43678
2019 MSCI membersADVANC, AOT, BANPU, BBL, BEM, BH, BGH, BTS, BJC, LH,
CPALL, CPF, CPN, DTAC, EA, GULF, HMPRO, EGCO,
INTUCH, IVL, IRPC, KBANK, KTB, MINT, MTC, PTT, PTTGC,
PTTEP, RATCH, ROBINS, SCB, SCC, TMB, TOP, TRUE, TU
44
23
6 6
1
Thailand Singapore Indonesia Malaysia Philippines
Number of listed companies having market capitalization >= $1 billion and average
daily trading value* >= $ 10 million
As of September 2019
*Calculated by 6 months average daily trading valueSource: Bloomberg
Sep 2019
9
SET has diverse business sectors listed on the exchange withservices sector being the largest industry among 8 industries in SET & mai.
Thai Capital Market Landscape1Sectors listed on the Exchange
Breakdown by number of companies Breakdown by Market Capitalization
Agro & Food629% Consumer
Product507%
Financials70
10%
Industrials13118%
Property & Construction
12417%
Resources669%
Services16123%
Technology497%
Source: The Stock Exchange of Thailand as end of September 2019
Total
713*Companies
Breakdown by number of companies
Companies in SET 550
Companies in mai 163
Note: *Excluding Property Fund & REITs 61 securities
Unit: Number of companies and Percent
Breakdown by Market Capitalization
Agro & Food37
6%
Consumer Product
4 1%
Financials85
15%
Industrials26
5%
Property & Construction
80 14%Resources
127 23%
Services146
26%
Technology55
10%
Total
560Billion USD
Unit: Billion USD and Percent
10
22%
29%
49%
Local Institute + Prop trading
Foreign Investors
Local Investors
Holding value by investor type*
Unit: Percent, data as of May 2019
Remark: Holding value by investor type on book closing date
Source: The Stock Exchange of Thailand
Investor base in Thai stock market is well diversified
Thai Capital Market Landscape1
766 801
713 729
594
287 381
446 650
712
121 150 163 188 193
119 156 154 219 225
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2015 2016 2017 2018 Sep-19
Prop. Trade
Institutional Investors
Foreign Investor
Retail Investors
(9%) (11%) (10%) (12%) (13%)
(9%)(10%) (11%) (11%) (11%)
(22%)(26%)
(30%)(36%)
(41%)
(69%)(54%)
(48%)(41%)
(35%)
Average daily trading value by investor type
Unit: Million USD (Percent), data as end of September 2019
11
Technology has made investment more accessible
Online trading & Digital channelfor investors
SET Application & SET Member
An internet based information database system
Source: The Stock Exchange of Thailand
Thai Capital Market Landscape1Number of retail trading accounts
Unit: Accounts
CAGR
12%
Average daily internet trading value by retail investors
Unit: Million USD
225
460 343
134
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Sep-19
Online trading Investment consultant
626,441 700,225 797,326974,851
1,098,7311,244,907 1,353,225
1,510,0531,661,046
1,783,049
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Sep-19
70%
30%23%
77%
12Source: The Stock Exchange of Thailand
MSCI stock addition & FTSE advanced emerging market country help
attract foreign investment
Thailand average daily trading value by investor type
252356 283 277
381 446650 712
787
1,282
1,116970
1,107 1,030
1,135 1,01224%22%
20%22%
25%
30%
36%
41%
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Sep-19
Proportion of
foreign trading to
total trading value
Local
trading
value
Foreign
Trading
value
(Unit: million USD)
176 242 200 200
271 303
464 500 76
114
83 87
110 144
186 212
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Sep-19
MSCI
Non-MSCI
Average daily foreign trading value in MSCI Thailand
Standard Index and non-MSCI stocks
(70%) (68%) (71%) (70%) (71%) (68%)
(Unit: million USD)
Note: Data as of May Semi Annual Index Review (SAIR) during 2011 – H1/2019
2225
29 29
34 3335 36
No. of stocks in MSCI Thailand Standard index
(73%)
Thai Capital Market Landscape1
(73%)
13
SET offers a wide range of attractive products to create valueand broaden investment opportunities for investors.
Thai Capital Market Landscape1
Common Stock
Preferred Stock
Warrants
Derivative Warrants
Exchange Traded Funds
Non-Voting Depositary Receipt
Depositary Receipt
Equities
SET50 Index Futures
SET50 Index Options
Single Stock Futures
50 Baht Gold Futures
10 Baht Gold Futures
Gold-D Futures
Interest Rate Futures
Oil Futures
Currency Futures
Sector Index Futures
Rubber Futures
Derivatives
Property Funds
REITs
Infrastructure Funds
Quasi-fixed income
14Source : The Stock Exchange of Thailand
PrimaryListing
2
SecondaryListing
3
Infrastructure Trust
4Real Estate
Investment Trust (REIT)
5
Foreign
Company
Listed company in
Home Exchange
(e.g. Cambodia, Laos)
Listed company on SET
Income generating
infrastructure assets
Infrastructure trust (IFT)
Income generating
real estate assets
Real estate
Investment trust
(REIT)
Ordinary Share Unit Trust
Listing of a company
incorporated abroad
on the SET as a
primary exchange
Allow foreign listed
companies to list on SET
as the Secondary Listing
Listing of Foreign
Infrastructure Assets
Listing of Foreign
Real Estate
Holding Company
1
Listing of the Thai
holding company with
core companies
operating overseas
Shareholders (Thai/foreign)
Holding Company(Thai incorporated)
Core Company(Foreign subsidiary)
> 50%
Various schemes to facilitate foreign listing are available to suit different capital requirements and business structures.
Thai Capital Market Landscape1
15Source : DJSI* New member in 2019 / Note: DJSI Emerging Market Index has been calculated since 2013.
Number of Thai listed companies in DJSI Index
2 3 4 4 5 5
8
11
3 4
10
1315 16
19 19
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
DJSI World Index DJSI Emerging Market Index
Thai Capital Market Landscape1No. Symbol
DJSI World
DJSI
Emerging Market 7 Industry Leaders
1 ADVANC*
2 AOT
3 BANPU Coal and Consumable Fuels
4 BTS
5 CPALL Food & Staples Retailing
6 CPF
7 CPN
8 HMPRO
9 IRPC
10 IVL
11 KBANK
12 MING
13 PTT
14 PTTEP Oil & Gas Upstream & Integrated
15 PTTGC Chemicals
16 SCB
17 SCC
18 TOP Oil and Gas Refining & Marketing
19 TRUE Telecommunication Services
20 TU Food products
Thai Listed Companies in 2019 DJSI Members
11 19
Thai listed companies continue to perform strongly on sustainability.
Ranking World’s Top Stock Exchanges on Sustainability Disclosure
Note : The evaluation takes into consideration
seven quantitative indicators of corporate ESG performance:
1)greenhouse gas emissions, 2) energy use, 3) water use,
4) waste, 5) occupational safety, 6) employee turnover, and
7) temporary staff.
20
Source: Measuring Sustainability Disclosure report 2018 by Corporate Knights
• SET won United Nation Sustainable Stock Exchange
(UN SSE) Market Transparency Award, the top ranked
emerging market exchange
16
• Well-being
• International exposure
• Infrastructure
• Sustainability
• High dividend
Outline
Thai Capital Market Landscape
Current Investment Themes
1
2
17
Positioning the Thai capital market as the “Market of Well-being” Current Investment Themes – Well Being2
Company GICs sectorMarket capitalization
(billion USD)
Ranked in global
sectorBusiness hi-light
Airport service 34.7 1st
(from 67firms)
Operates 6 international airports in
Thailand and serves 140 million
passengers a year
Health care facilities 12.5 3th
(from 244firms) 30% of customers from abroad
Real estate operating 10.09th
(from 644 firms)
Thailand largest retail developer with
30 shopping centers in Thailand and
1 developing project abroad
Hotel & resort 5.714th
(from 628firms)
Operates hotels in 26 countries and
restaurant presence in 20 countries
Note: Global Industrial classification standard (GICs)
Source: Bloomberg as end of September 2019, The Stock Exchange of Thailand
18
SET launches SET Well-Being Index to reflect the performance of highly competitive stocks in well-being related sectors which is the strength of Thailand
Current Investment Themes – Well Being2
Note: SETWB starts on April 1, 2019
Source : The Stock Exchange of Thailand
7 Sectors in SETWB index
• Tourism & Leisure
• Health Care Services
• Transportation &
Logistics
• Food & Beverage
• Commerce
• Agricultural
• Fashion
30 securities from 7sectors
with high competitiveness
95
100
105
110
April-19 May-19 June-19 July-19 August-19 September-19
SETWB index SET index
SETWB vs SET: total return index performance
(data as end of September 2019)
The SET Well-Being Index (SETWB)
19Source: The Stock Exchange of Thailand (data as of end 2018)
Number of listed companies investing abroad
Note: One company may invest in more than one country/region.
North Asia
91America
41
Europe
46
South Asia
37
Australia
17
Middle east 19
Africa
15
ASEAN 190
(CLMV 144)
68 65 59 57 57 5542
28
Myanmar Vietnam Singapore Laos Cambodia Indonesia Malaysia Philippines
Unit: Company
Thai listed companies have expanded abroad and
grabbed extra growth opportunities.
Current Investment Themes – International Exposure2
35%36%
37%
40% 40%41%
42%43%
45% 45%46% 46%
47%
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
The ratio of revenue from abroad to total revenue of Thai listed companies
Note: Revenue from abroad refers to the revenue derived from business operating overseas and exports revenue.
Nevertheless, some firms usually classify revenue from overseas based on geographical locations of customers without
indicating whether the amount is derived from operation overseas or exports. All foreign revenue that fall under these criteria
will be classified as ‘revenue from abroad’.
(Data of 108 companies which continually reported revenue from trade and investment abroad during 2006 – 2018)
20
SET launches CLMV Exposure index which will enable investors to benefit from CLMV economies.
Current Investment Themes – International Exposure2
Source : The Stock Exchange of Thailand
90
100
110
120
SET CLMV Index SET index
SETCLMV vs SET: total return index performanceSET CLMV Exposure Index
Selection criteria
• Stocks selected from Thai-listed companies, generating ≥ 10%
of annual revenues from CLMV countries or ≥ THB 100 million
annually (~USD 3.1 million).
• The market cap of selected stocks must be ≥ THB 5 billion
(~USD 1.5 million) with at least 20% of free-float.
• Monthly traded status, indicated by the turnover ratio, ≥ 0.5%
of total listed shares.
35
27% of Market Cap on SET & mai
Thai listed firms selected into 2019
SET THSI Index
dividend yields2.8%
(data as end of September 2019)
21
Current Investment Themes - Infrastructure2 Infrastructure development funds offer high yield.
96
105
212
907
1,943
1,979
2,082
6,050
ABPIF
BRRGIF
SUPEREIF
EGATIF
TFFIF
JASIF
BTSGIF
DIF
Infrastructure market capitalization
(Unit: million USD)
Noted: *SUPEREIF listed in SET on August 21, 2019,
Source: The Stock Exchange of Thailand, data as end of September 2019
Dividend yields,
higher than market average (3%)(Excluded SUPERIF)
Infrastructure funds listed in SET8 6%
9.93
6.25
5.94
2.10
8.36
3.77
5.87
12 Months trailing dividend yield
(Unit: Percent)
* N/A
Price at IPO
(Unit: Baht)
10.0
10.8
10.0
10.0
10.0
10.0
10.3
10.5
17.4
11.0
11.0
13.0
13.3
12.6
9.2
4.9
Current price(Sep 30, 2019)
(Unit: Baht)
27 Dec 2013
19 Apr 2013
16 Feb 2015
31 Oct 2018
13 Jul 2015
21 Aug 2019
7 Aug 2017
27 Sep 2013
Year of IPO
22
Current Investment Themes - Sustainability2 To deepen sustainability practice in to smaller Thai listed companies
Source : The Stock Exchange of Thailand
90
100
110
120
SETTHSI index SET index
SETTHSI vs SET: total return index performance
53
56% of Market Cap on SET & mai
Thai listed firms selected into 2019
SET THSI Index
dividend yields3.3%
SETTHSI Index (Thailand Sustainability Investment)
Selection criteria
• The market cap of selected stocks must be
≥ THB 5 billion (~USD 1.5 million) with at least 20% of free-float.
• Monthly traded status, indicated by the turnover ratio,
• ≥ 0.5% of total listed shares.
Stock selected from the THSI list and not limited to
the number of the stocks from the list.• Being DJ sustainability list (DJSI)
• Survey based (3 dimensions of ESG ratings by SET)
(data as end of September 2019)
23
Thai listed companies offer high dividend yield.
Current Investment Themes – High Dividend2
Source : The Stock Exchange of Thailand
30
5.2% Dividend yields
Thai listed firms selected into 2019 SETHD Index
90
100
110
120
De
c-1
7
Jan
-18
Fe
b-1
8
Ma
r-1
8
Ap
r-18
Ma
y-1
8
Jun
-18
Jul-
18
Au
g-1
8
Se
p-1
8
Oct-
18
No
v-1
8
De
c-1
8
Jan
-19
Fe
b-1
9
Ma
r-1
9
Ap
r-19
Ma
y-1
9
Jun
-19
Jul-
19
Au
g-1
9
Se
p-1
9
SETHD index SET index
SETHD vs SET: total return index performance
(data as end of September 2019)
The SET High Dividend 30 Index (SETHD)
6 6 6 6
5
1
< 4.00 4.01 - 5.00 5.01 - 6.00 6.01 - 7.00 7.01 - 8.00 > 8.00 (%)
Number of high dividend yield stock in SETHD classified by dividend yield
(data as of September 2019)
SETHD Index selection criteria• Stocks selected from SET100 index in the same period and
have paid dividends continuously in 3 accounting periods.
• Cash dividends (excluding special dividends) are paid
continuously for the last 3 years.
• Stocks that have passed the above criteria will be ranked in
descending order by the average daily dividend yield for the
past 3 months.