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1. The government imposes new regulations on car producers that require pollution devices on the tailpipes to cut pollution levels. 2. Positive business profit expectations affect investment. 3. A 50% increase in the value of stocks affects consumer spending. 4. The government will pick up all tuition expenses for private school students who have an “80 average” in economics. 5. Although the price level is constant, the Fed raises interest rates. 6. Government spending is affected by the closing of 50 military bases and decreasing Armed Forces personnel by 250,000 soldiers. 7. The dollar appreciates by 20% which affects the price of imported resources. 8. Congress cuts personal income taxes by 10% which affect consumer spending. 9. Investment is affected after factory inventories are being depleted in a hot [booming] economy. 10. Productivity (over a 6 month period) triples in the economy.
1. D 2. A 3. A 4. A 5. B 6. B 7. C 8. A 9. A 10. C
THE AD /AS QUIZA) AD B) AD D) ASC) AS
Change in Consumer Spending
Change in government Spending
Change in investment Spending
Net EXport Spending
AD = C + I + G + X
shifters of aggregate demand
As = R + A + P
shifters of aggregate Supply
Change in resource prices
Change in productivity (technology)actions of the government
GDPR
P
AD
WHY IS THE AD CURVE DOWNWARD-SLOPING?
Think fast!
Effect #1 _____________________
Effect #2 ____________________
Effect #3 ____________________
THREE EFFECTS!
REAL BALANCES
FOREIGN TRADE
INTEREST RATE
GDPR
PSRAS Wages _____________________
Real profits ________________ GDPr Output ________________
What’s the difference between SRAS and LRAS?
LRAS
QF
IN THE SHORT-RUN...
Think fast!
Wages _____________________ Real profits ________________ GDPr Output ________________ GDPr Output is ________________
IN THE LONG-RUN...
ARE FIXED
INCREASE
INCREASES
MATCH INFLATION
DON’T INCREASE
STAYS THE SAME
FULL EMPLOYMENT
FULL EMPLOYMENT
GDPR
PSRAS
What’s happening in this economy?
LRAS
QF
AD
P1
Prices ______________ GDPr Output ________________ Unemployment _______________
WE’ ARE OPTIMAL!
STABLE
FULL EMPLOYMENT
OPTIMAL
this is aggregate equilibrium
GDPR
PSRAS
What’s happening in this economy?
LRAS
this is a GDP Surplus
AD
P2
$200B $400B
Prices _____________________ GDPr Output ________________ Size of Surplus ________________
WE HAVE A GDP SURPLUS!
TOO HIGH
QS > QD
$200 BILLION
SOLUTION?
EXPORT $200 BILLION OF GDP OUTPUT!
GDPR
PSRAS
What’s happening in this economy?
LRAS
this is a GDP Shortage
ADP3
$200B $500B
Prices _____________________ GDPr Output ________________ Size of Shortage ________________
WE HAVE A GDP SHORTAGE!
TOO LOW
QD > QS
$300 BILLION
SOLUTION?
IMPORT $300 BILLION OF GDP OUTPUT!
GDPR
PSRAS
What happens if the government issues tax
refunds to consumers?
LRAS
QF
Economic performance
AD
P1
P2
Q2
AD2
GDPR
PSRAS
What happens if the government issues tax
refunds to consumers?
LRAS
QF
Economic performance
AD2
P2
Q2
WE HAVEDEMAND-PULL INFLATION!
GDPr Output ______________________ Unemployment _____________________
WE HAVE AN
INFLATIONARY GAP!ABOVE (POTENTIAL) QF
BELOW FULL EMP.
Good News? Bad News?
GDPR
PSRAS
What happens if trade tariffs increased the
prices of imported inputs?
LRAS
QF
Economic performance
AD
P1
P2
Q2
SRAS2
GDPR
P
What happens if trade tariffs increased the
prices of imported inputs?
LRAS
QF
Economic performance
AD
P2
SRAS2
Q2
WE HAVECOST-PUSH INFLATION!
WE HAVE AN
RECESSIONARY GAP!
Good News? Bad News?
GDPr Output ______________________ Unemployment _____________________
BELOW (POTENTIAL) QF
ABOVE FULL EMP.
GDPR
P
What happens if trade tariffs increased the
prices of imported inputs?
LRAS
QF
Economic performance
AD
P2
SRAS2
Q2
WE ALSO HAVE
DEADLY to any economy!
Economic Status_______________________ Unemployment ________________________ Prices _______________________________
STAGNATION/CONTRACTION
STAGFLATION
ABOVE FULL EMPLOYMENT
INFLATION
3 ways to show recession, inflation, and unemployment
Business Cycle
Capital Goods
Cons
umer
Goo
ds
PPC
Real GDP Output
Pric
e
AD/AS
Scenario 1: Increased productivity (economic growth)
Business Cycle
Capital Goods
Cons
umer
Goo
ds
PPC
Real GDP Output
Pric
e
AD/AS
Scenario 2: Unemployment (economic contraction)
Business Cycle
Capital Goods
Cons
umer
Goo
ds
PPC
Real GDP Output
Pric
e
AD/AS
Scenario 3: Optimal economic performance
Business Cycle
Capital Goods
Cons
umer
Goo
ds
PPC
Real GDP Output
Pric
e
AD/AS
Unemployment Inflation GDP Growth
Good 6% or less 1%-4% 2.5%-5%
Worry 6.5%-8% 5%-8% 1%-2%
Bad 8.5 % or more 9% or more .5% or less
THESE ARE USEFUL ECONOMIC INDICATORS!
The Good, The Bad, and the Ugly of Economic Performance