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The Agenda of BE Good theories – abstractions; 4 criteria Behavioral revisions – game theory,...

Date post: 17-Jan-2018
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Are We Really Irrational?  Trivializations Even highly motivated experts biased.  Misinterpretations e.g. conjunction error, representativeness heuristic, framing.  Inappropriate tests Computational limitations, inappropriate problem formats, norms.  Rational rationality
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The Agenda of BE Good theories – abstractions; 4 criteria Behavioral revisions game theory, loss-aversion, time-inconsistent preferences, inequality-aversion, reciprocity, endowment effects, framing effects, anchoring effects, lack of fungibility, choice bracketing
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Page 1: The Agenda of BE  Good theories – abstractions; 4 criteria  Behavioral revisions – game theory, loss-aversion, time- inconsistent preferences, inequality-aversion,

The Agenda of BE Good theories – abstractions; 4 criteria

Behavioral revisions – game theory, loss-aversion, time-inconsistent preferences, inequality-aversion, reciprocity, endowment effects, framing effects, anchoring effects, lack of fungibility, choice bracketing

Page 2: The Agenda of BE  Good theories – abstractions; 4 criteria  Behavioral revisions – game theory, loss-aversion, time- inconsistent preferences, inequality-aversion,

Criticisms of BE Profusion of models

1. Situation-specific models 2. Heterogeneous Populations 3. Conflicting theories feature of science4. Relatively new area

Lack of normative status

Complicates policy implications

Page 3: The Agenda of BE  Good theories – abstractions; 4 criteria  Behavioral revisions – game theory, loss-aversion, time- inconsistent preferences, inequality-aversion,

Are We Really Irrational? Trivializations

Even highly motivated experts biased.

Misinterpretationse.g. conjunction error, representativeness heuristic, framing.

Inappropriate testsComputational limitations, inappropriate problem formats, norms.

Rational rationality

Page 4: The Agenda of BE  Good theories – abstractions; 4 criteria  Behavioral revisions – game theory, loss-aversion, time- inconsistent preferences, inequality-aversion,

Policy Implications Individuals1) Emotions and memory – durability bias, forgetfulness2) Inter-temporal conflicts in decision-making – time-

inconsistency3) Game theory – repeated interactions

Firms1) Inter-temporal conflicts – charging for investment and

leisure goods2) Loss-aversion – reference prices, reducing Q instead of

increasing P3) Game theory – signalling to competitors, labour contracts

and fairness

Governments1) Loss-aversion – policies in recession, trade-offs2) Inter-temporal conflicts – policy trade-offs, pensions,

health issues3) Game theory – auctions, trade policy, environmental

policy, mediation


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