The Analytical TraderMarketfy Webinar

March 12, 2013

A Little About Me

• Started Investing 1978• Professional since 1986• Independent since 2007

– Consult to Money Managers– Independent Research– Blogger on Seeking Alpha and for

TradeKing– Model Portfolios and Private Blog

A Little About The Analytical Trader

• Disciplined Process– 4 Trades– 2 Week Max– 4:1 Reward/Risk– Fundamental/Technical

• Tested• What You Get

– Alerts– Research– Commentary

Today’s Agenda

• Market Outlook

• Why I Expect to Share Short Trades

• A Look at 5 Specific Stocks

• Q&A

Market Outlook

• Trees and Forest• Fundamental and

Technical• 1664 on S&P 500• Small Pullback Ahead

– Technical (extended, overbought)

– Fundamental (taxes, Fed fears, currency)

The Really Big Picture (s)

What is “Overextended”

• 10dma vs. 50dma vs. 150dma

• Score 1-5 (1 is good)• Can’t stay 1 forever!• Do you double down

when dealt and 11 against a dealer showing a 6?

22% of My Watchlist is Extended!

Criteria for Selecting 5

• How long?• Distance from 52-week

low• Distance from 50dma• 10dma vs. 150dma• One-year expected return• Price Momentum Indicator• LT Trend

The “Winners”

• APOG• CSL• HRL• PRIM• RRGB

APOG

CSL

HRL

PRIM

RRGB

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