THE ASSOCIATION OF SEASON OF BIRTH WITH CHILD INTERNALIZING PROBLEMS
by
FRED W. GREER
(Under the direction of Roy P. Martin)
ABSTRACT
The study investigated the relationship between children’s season of birth and their
development of internalizing problems. This research builds on previous studies that have
examined season of birth effects for nervous system disorders, schizophrenia, mental retardation
and learning disabilities. The sample consisted of 2,619 elementary school students between the
ages of 5 and 12 years who participated in a grant project (Project ACT Early). Using the
Behavior Assessment System for Children (BASC; Reynolds & Kamphaus, 1992), classroom
teachers rated each student on their behavioral adjustment. Five scales from the BASC
instrument were examined in this study: Anxiety, Depression, Somatization, Withdrawal, and the
Internalizing Problems Composite.
Chi-square tests of independence were used to assess the association between which half
of the year were born (Spring/Summer or Fall/Winter) and whether they had extreme scores on
one of the five BASC scales (above the 75th percentile). These analyses were conducted for the
overall population, by sex, and by age-group (5 to 8 years, 9 to 12 years).
It was postulated that births for high-scoring children would be greater in the Spring/Summer
than other times of the year.
Statistically significant effects were found for high-score children on the Anxiety scale
and Internalizing Problems composite. The peak birth period for these subjects was during the
Spring/Summer period as expected. Analyses of the data according to sex identified statistically
significant effects among females on these same scales, also with the frequency of births cresting
in the Spring/Summer period.
INDEX WORDS: Season of birth, Anxiety, Internalizing, Seasonal variation, Birth pattern,
Risk factor, Project ACT Early, BASC
THE ASSOCIATION OF SEASON OF BIRTH WITH CHILD INTERNALIZING PROBLEMS
by
FRED W. GREER
A.B., The University of Georgia, 1986
M.A., The University of Georgia, 1992
A Dissertation Submitted to the Graduate Faculty of The University of Georgia in Partial Fulfillment of the Requirements for the Degree
DOCTOR OF PHILOSOPHY
ATHENS, GEORGIA
2005
© 2005
Fred Warren Greer
All Rights Reserved
THE ASSOCIATION OF SEASON OF BIRTH WITH CHILD INTERNALIZING PROBLEMS
by
FRED W. GREER
Major Professor: Roy Martin
Committee: Randy Kamphaus Thomas Hébert
Arthur Horne Electronic Version Approved: Maureen Grasso Dean of the Graduate School The University of Georgia May 2005
iv
DEDICATION
For Chris
v
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
Completion of this dissertation would not have been possible without the assistance of so
many people. Among them, I wish to thank my major professor, Dr. Roy Martin, for his
thoughtful guidance and patience. I am as well grateful for the easy cooperation and detailed
attention rendered by each member of my committee: Dr. Randy Kamphaus, Dr. Andy Horne,
and Dr. Thomas Hébert. Additionally, the value of Dr. Stefan Dombrowski’s thoughts during
my initial writing of the proposal should also be recognized, as should Dr. Jan Hinson’s feedback
that contributed to successful revisions in its final stages.
While working toward my doctorate, I have benefited enormously from the friendly
support of those with whom I’ve worked. Certainly I must thank the teachers, staff, and
students of Rutland Psychoeducational Services for the experience I enjoyed with them during
my internship. I am particularly owing to my internship supervisor, Dr. Harvey Gayer, for his
direction of my efforts while providing me the opportunity to develop my own perspective on
assessment and intervention. Moreover, I am grateful for the steady and energetic
encouragement Dr. Gayer has given over the course of my training and the writing of my
dissertation.
Various staff members of the University of Georgia deserve my thanks for their
assistance in helping me toward realizing my goals. The Department of Educational
Psychology’s Demetrius Smith was always ready to help explain paperwork and remind me of
deadlines.
vi
I am especially thankful of the support of my family throughout my doctoral program.
Even as they have been there for me throughout my life, my father, mother, sister, and
grandmother have provided assurance to every step on this course in my career.
vii
TABLE OF CONTENTS ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS……………………………………………………………....v LIST OF TABLES…………………………………………………………………..….viii LIST OF FIGURES………………………………………………………………………ix CHAPTER
1 INTRODUCTION……………………………………………………………1
2 REVIEW OF THE LITERATURE………………………………………......5
3 METHODS………………………………………………………………….22
4 RESULTS…………………………………………………………………...28
5 DISCUSSION…………………………………………………………….…49
REFERENCES….…………………………………………………………………..54
APPENDIX…………………………………………………………………………62
viii
LIST OF TABLES
Page
Table 1: Contingency Table to Test Season of Birth Effect upon Internalizing Disorder….27
Table 2: Number of Births by Month and Sex………………………………………….. 29
Table 3: Descriptive Statistics on BASC Internalizing Scales by Sex…………………. 30
Table 4: Overall Population Above and Below the 75th Percentile Cutscore…………... 32
Table 5: Observed Frequencies for Half-Year Split, by BASC Scale and Sex…………. 34
Table 6: Chi-Square Test of Independence, Half-Year Splits…………………………… 35
Table 7: Descriptive Statistics for Younger Children, by BASC Scale and Sex………... 36
Table 8: Descriptive Statistics for Older Children, by BASC Scale and Sex………….... 37
Table 9: Observed Frequencies for Younger Children: Half-Year Split, by BASC Scale and
Sex…………………………………………………………………………... 39
Table 10: Observed Frequencies for Older Children: Half-Year Split, by BASC Scale and
Sex……………………………………………………………………………….. 40
Table 11: Chi-Square Test of Independence for Younger Children, Half-Year Splits by
Sex……………………………………………………………………………….. 41
Table 12: Chi-Squared Test of Independence for Older Children, Half-Year Splits by
Sex……………………………………………………………………………….. 42
Table 13: Descriptive Statistics for BASC Internalizing Scales by Age Group……….... 63
Table 14: Chi-Square Tests of Independence, Age Group by Half-Year Split……….… 64
Table 15: Chi-Square Tests of Independence, Age Group by Season…………………... 65
Table 16: Chi-Square Tests of Independence, Age Group by Month……………..…….. 66
ix
LIST OF FIGURES
Page
Figure 1: Percentage of Children (Male and Female) Rated as High on Anxiety Born During
Each Season……………………………………………………………............... 44
Figure 2: Percentage of Children (Male and Female) Rated as High on Depression Born During
Each Season……………………………………………………………............... 45
Figure 3: Percentage of Children (Male and Female) Rated as High on Somatization Born
During Each Season…………………………………………...…………............. 46
Figure 4: Percentage of Children (Male and Female) Rated as High on Withdrawal Born During
Each Season……………………………………………………………................ 47
Figure 5: Percentage of Children (Male and Female) Rated as High on Internalizing Problems
Born During Each Season……………...…………………………….................... 48
Figure 6: Percentage of Children (Younger and Older) Rated as High on Anxiety Born During
Each Season……………………………………………………………................ 69
Figure 7: Percentage of Children (Younger and Older) Rated as High on Depression Born
During Each Season…………………………...………………………….............. 70
Figure 8: Percentage of Children (Younger and Older) Rated as High on Somatization Born
During Each Season……………………………………...……………….............. 71
Figure 9: Percentage of Children (Younger and Older) Rated as High on Withdrawal Born
During Each Season……………………………...……………………….............. 72
Figure 10: Percentage of Children (Younger and Older) Rated as High on Internalizing
Problems Born During Each Season……………………………………...……... 73
1
CHAPTER 1
Introduction
The search for the origin of psychopathology has been the subject of thousands of
research articles. Some studies focus on the implications of evolutionary theory and the influence
of genetic effects on the risk for psychopathology. Others look to the environmental variables
that play roles in the development of psychopathology. With few exceptions, however, nearly all
current theories acknowledge that behavior issues from the interplay of environment and
organism. The central nervous system (CNS) is at the nexus of this relationship.
It has been hypothesized that deviations from the normal operation of the CNS can
contribute to an individual’s dysfunctional behavior, including psychopathology. Developmental
anomalies of the CNS may underlay some abnormal CNS functions. Threats to the proper
development of the CNS structure, then, can affect physiological, morphological, biochemical,
and neurological mechanisms that contribute to CNS activity and are of interest to the student of
psychopathology.
The array of known environmental risks to fetal development is varied and of
undetermined size. The field of embryology refers to any such threat by the term teratogen,
signifying “monster maker” (A fusion of the Greek tera, meaning “monster” and geni, meaning
“growth”, the word originally denoted any prenatal disturbance causing the development of
grossly abnormal or deformed offspring). Research literature currently employs teratogen in an
expanded sense, referring to traumatic events or factors that initiate maldevelopment of the
2
nervous system that may underlie neurobehavioral disorders, including psychopathology (Mays
& Ward, 2003).
The effects of teratogens upon development depend upon the form of insult (mechanical
trauma, toxin, malnutrition, etc.), intensity (physical force, maternal blood alcohol level,
radiation dose, etc.), duration (momentary, repeated, persistent, etc.), and time of incidence
during the developmental process (Mayes & Ward, 2003). Teratogenic insult can range in effect
from death of the organism, to gross malformation of CNS structures, to consequences of lesser
degree, such as mental retardation. The outcomes of exposure to teratogens of a certain
magnitude are readily observed and related to their source. Teratogenic exposure at lower
intensities, or shorter durations, however, may yield subtle, difficult to detect, effects.
While the identity and extent of postnatal risk factors have become more clearly
understood, a mature comprehension of what and how prenatal factors affect future
psychopathology is yet to emerge. For example, poverty, under stimulation, malnutrition, and
physical abuse are childhood stressors that have been linked to risk for development of a variety
of psychological disorders. The identity of prenatal teratogens is less known, however. It is
suspected that the vulnerability of the organism during its prenatal development is greater than
after birth (Anderson, Northam, Hendy & Wrennall, 2001). Hence, factors that may present a
negligible risk to postnatal development may have more serious effects in the early stages of
neurodevelopment.
Research has shown that the timing of an insult to the central nervous system is a major
factor in determining the type and degree of any resultant altering of neural development (Mayes
& Ward, 2003). That is to say, critical periods exist during which the CNS is more susceptible to
3
deleterious effect of trauma or exposure to environmental variables (e.g. toxins, malnutrition,
radiation, etc.).
Some environmental variables are more prevalent at different times of the year, however.
For example, weather, insect-borne illnesses, diet, and photoperiods vary with the seasons.
These annual cyclical patterns present the opportunity to observe fluctuations in the influence of
these factors on overall development. Studies examining these patterns of influence have formed
a body of research literature sometimes referred to as season of birth research (Pasamanick &
Knobloch, 1958; Dalén, 1975; Castrogiovanni, Iapichino, Pacchierotti, Pierraccini, 1998).
Fetal exposure to perturbations such as hyperthermia and maternal infection has been
shown to have teratogenic effects on central nervous system development (Hunter, 1984;
Milunsky, et al., 1992). The timing and degree of gestational insult has varying developmental
influence over the course of a pregnancy (Aylward, 1997). Some research suggests
(Dombrowski, 2000) that environmental variables affecting nervous system development during
the second trimester may contribute to later development of psychological disorders, including
emotional problems. The incidence of seasonally varying phenomena with potentially
perturbational effects on prenatal child development has been associated with a heightened rate
of births of individuals who later present emotional behavior problems and psychopathology
(Gortmaker, Kagan, Caspi, & Silva, 1997; Pulver, et al., 1992).
Purpose
This study builds on previous studies that have examined season of birth effects for
nervous system disorders, schizophrenia, mental retardation and learning disabilities by
investigating the link between season of birth and the potential for occurrence of internalizing
problems such as social withdrawal, depression and anxiety. This research is intended to
4
examine if there are associations between the period of birth and later incidence of internalizing
behavior problems. A large sample of elementary school students comprised the pool of
research participants. The Behavior Assessment System for Children (Reynolds & Kamphaus,
1992), a rating scale for the report of an array of childhood psychological, social, and behavior
problems, was used to obtain data on internalizing problems of children. Analyses examined
monthly birth distributions for the children who had extreme scores on internalizing measures.
These analyses were done separately for each sex, and African-American and European-
American children. It was hypothesized that birthrates of these extreme-scoring children would
be higher in the spring and summer than during other times of the year.
5
CHAPTER 2
Review of the Literature
Season of birth research has been most extensively conducted in relation to birth patterns
of individuals diagnosed with schizophrenia. This review of the literature investigates this area
of research, its expansion to include broader areas of psychopathology, and the various
perturbations that may present teratogenic risks. First, however, an overview of
neurodevelopment and its relevance to psychopathology is presented.
Prenatal neurodevelopment
If the risk for development of psychopathology fluctuates according to the time of year an
individual is born, then it is reasonable to examine the processes that could introduce such a
threat during prenatal development. A physiological diathesis for psychopathology may be
established during prenatal central nervous system (CNS) development, a period when the
emerging neural structures and network are most vulnerable to insult.
Human CNS development begins within the development of the neural tube of the fetus
during early gestation, near the 40th day of embryonic life (Anderson, et al., 2001). At this time,
the period of cell proliferation known as cortical neurogenesis begins generating around 250,000
cells per minute (Papalia & Olds, 1992) until it largely ceases in the sixth month of gestation.
Once neurogenesis is complete, the creation of new neurons can never resume. The consequent
irreplaceability of neurons, then, gives significance to the injury or death of any cells in the CNS.
In addition to cortical neurogenesis, gestational CNS development includes the processes
of cell migration and differentiation. Cell migration involves the movement of neurons from the
6
location of their genesis to their eventual permanent position in the CNS. The major period of
migration occurs between the 8th and 16th week of gestation, after which the process slows and
ceases at the 25th week (Kuzniecky, 1994).
Once neurons arrive at their ultimate destinations, they begin to differentiate, that is, to
develop into the specialized units specific to their role in the CNS. Development of the cell
soma, formation of axons and dendrites, establishment of synaptic connections, and selective cell
deaths adapt neurons to their functions. This maturation of neurons continues following birth
(Anderson, et al., 2001).
Postnatal neurodevelopment
The preponderance of research concerning neurodevelopmental pathology focuses on the
prenatal period, when the organism is particularly vulnerable to environmental teratogens. While
less susceptible to gross developmental errors, the ongoing development of the CNS is still
subject to disruption following birth. Postnatal development of the brain includes three
additional processes that are pertinent to the present study: dentritic arborisation, myelination,
and synaptogenesis. These aspects of CNS development concern the elaboration of the brain’s
neural network and enhancement of its functioning.
Dendritic arborisation involves the growth of narrowing appendages (dendrites) away
from the soma of nerve cells, thereby increasing the surface areas available for receiving
incoming information. Although this process may begin during the 25th to 30th week of
gestation, the majority of arborisation occurs postnatally with peak growth taking place between
5 and 21 weeks following birth (Becker, Armstrong, Chan, & Wood, 1984).
Myelination is the coiling growth of the myelin sheath over the axon, the outgoing
conduit for signals in transmission to the next neuron along the nerve path. This fatty matter
7
provides an insulation for nerves that increases the speed and efficiency of their transmission of
information. Myelination primarily occurs during the postnatal period, but its most rapid
development is found during the first three years of life and slower growth continues into
adolescence (Jernigan, & Tallal, 1990; Kinney, Brody, Kloman, & Gilles, 1988).
The development of the junctions between neurons (synapses), the process of
synaptogenesis begins in the second trimester as the cell migration phase draws to a close
(Molliver, Kostovic, & Van der Loos, 1973). The greatest period of development occurs
following birth, however. Unlike the neurodevelopmental processes previously discussed,
synaptogenesis seems to be largely invulnerable to environmental insults (Goldman-Rakic,
Bourgeois, & Rakic, 1997).
Teratogenic vulnerability
The term “teratogen” refers to any of the traumatic events or factors that initiate
maldevelopment of the nervous system that may underlie neurobehavioral disorders. Early
studies in neurodevelopmental teratology focused on grosser effects, such as physical
deformities, abnormal growths, major organ dysfunction, and death. The study of fetal exposure
to methyl mercury and radiation, for example, revealed clear teratogenic insults during some of
the emerging field’s initial research (Butcher, 1985). Teratogenic effects are not always so overt,
however, and researchers have expanded their investigations into more subtle effects of
environmental perturbations. Thereby, studies have come to gather on the identification of
teratogens and determination of their effects over periods of low and prolonged exposure (Mayes
& Ward, 2003).
The risks for neurological and psychiatric aftereffects from insults to the fetus were
highlighted fifty years ago by the research of Pasamanick and Knobloch (1965) and others.
8
Pregnancy and birthing complications have been associated with disorders such as cerebral palsy
(Lilienfeld & Pasamanick, 1955), epilepsy (Lilienfeld & Pasamanick, 1955), reading disability
(Kawl & Pasamanick, 1958), and hyperactivity and disorganized behaviors (Rogers, Lilienfeld,
& Pasamanick, 1955). This research also indicated that prenatal and parturitional insults tended
to affect the central nervous system in particular and could yield a continuum of negative
outcomes ranging from mild psychobehavioral deficits to death. The researchers came to refer to
the incidence of such outcomes as “reproductive casualty” (Pasamanick & Knobloch, 1965).
Most processes of neurodevelopment are subject to insults that threaten reproductive
casualty. Interference by environmental perturbations can alter the scheduled course of
development such that permanent disorders arise out of the subsequent abnormal CNS growth
and maturational processes. As Pennington (2002) describes:
Such mutations not only affect neuronal migration and lamination in a specific brain
structure but also alter neural connectivity more widely and presumably alter the
computational properties of neural networks. Hence, there is a resolution to the apparent
paradox of how a seemingly small, early change in brain development can have major
effects despite the sometimes impressive plasticity of the developing brain given a later
(and larger) acquired lesion. (p.xxx)
One of these developmental errors, disordered cell migration, for example, may result in
distribution of cells to wrong locations (Rayport, 1992) or abnormal concentrations of cells into
tight clusters (Kuzniecky, 1994). Dyslexia, schizophrenia, and deformed cerebral cortex are
among the disorders that have been associated with cell migration error (Geschwind, &
Galaburda, 1985; Weinberger, 1987; & Capone, 1996). Additionally, intellectual disability,
9
attention problems, and impaired processing speed have been linked to disruption of the
myelination process (van der Knapp, et al., 1991).
The type and intensity of insult naturally have implications for the nature of
neurodevelopmental pathology (e.g. radiation, mechanical trauma, and chemical toxins of
varying levels pose differing outcomes). Research has come to recognize, too, the existence of
general principles that govern the vulnerability of the developing CNS to insults and the degree
of abnormalities that may follow (Anderson, et al., 2001).
Aylward (1997), who estimates that developmental perturbations affect 25 percent of
conceptions, posits that the emergent structures are most vulnerable during the period of their
most rapid growth. Related to this idea, it is suggested that the timing of insult during certain
critical phases of neurodevelopment may have greater implications for outcomes than the nature
of the insult. It is thought, too, that the more prolonged a structure’s development, the more
subject it is to teratogenic insult; hence, the brain protracted developmental period makes it the
organ most susceptible to teratogenic insult.
The integrity of CNS development rests on the careful sequencing and timing of complex
processes, several of which have been mentioned. It is in the second trimester that much of the
prenatal CNS developmental neural pathways and network are formed. Near mid-gestation
(around week 20) both neurogenesis and cell migration are in full swing, a period that also sees
the onset of synaptogenesis (Anderson, et al., 2001).
In addition to general developmental errors of the CNS, disrupted functioning of specific
structures could have potential consequences for development of psychopathology. The
hypothalamus and limbic system contribute to the regulation of emotion, and the subcortical
limbic structures “profoundly influence affective behavior, including endocrine, autonomic,
10
arousal, and skeletomotor responses” (Devinsky & D’Esposito, 2004). Experimental stimulation
of the amygdala, for instance, “causes mild to moderate anxiety, terror, anger, a feeling of
"someone is behind me," paranoia, and visceral sensations” (Gloor, 1992). The idea of
neurodevelopmental disorder in these structures as a contributor to psychopathology has support
in data from magnetic resonance imaging that may link developmental errors in the amygdala
complex with bipolar disorder (Olsen, Bogerts, Coffman, Schwartzkopf, & Nasrallah, 1990;
Nasrallah, 1991).
Season of birth research
With knowledge of CNS development and its vulnerability to teratogens during critical
periods, researchers have begun to link the occurrence of developmental disorders to individuals’
season of birth. The perturbations posing risks to CNS development are continuously present
throughout the year. Cyclical amplification of these perturbations, however, may present
corresponding fluctuations in the incidence of negative neurodevelopmental outcomes. Season
of birth research, then, explores the possibility that birth patterns of individuals presenting with a
set of psychological problems can give insight into the identity and effects of teratogens
contributing to the risk for psychopathology.
The significance of season of birth to individuals’ behavior and emotions has been of
interest for centuries and may be seen in the origination of natal astrology by ancient Greeks
(Tester, 1987). The scientific examination of the relationship of season of birth to individual
characteristics, however, is a relatively recent occurrence. Huntington’s (1938) study of
intelligence and health marks one of the earlier efforts to apply scientific methods to the
association of individual differences and season of birth. Since then, the field has steadily
grown. A subset of this research has been devoted to the relation of season of birth to the risk
11
for psychopathology. Data collected in dozens of countries has now contributed to over 250
published studies considering this association, particularly as it relates to schizophrenia (Torrey,
Miller, Rawlings, & Yolken, 1997).
Schizophrenia Birth Patterns
An overview of the literature reveals that a considerable portion of season of birth studies
identify an excess of winter and early spring births of individuals diagnosed with schizophrenia,
between 5 and 15 percent more than expected by chance (Bradbury & Miller, 1985). Other
researchers have found birth peaks occurring later in the year. Kirkpatrick, Castanedo, and
Vazquez-Barquero (2002), for example, found an excess of births in the May to August period in
northern Spain, and a second study (Kirkpatrick, Tek, Alladyce, Morrison, & McCreadie, 2002)
revealed a similar pattern among Scottish subjects. This research indicates associations of
schizophrenic birth patterns with a variety of suspected cyclically occurring perturbations.
Maternal viral infection has been the focus of many of these studies.
Many, though not all, researchers have found an association between the rise and
subsidence of influenza epidemics and the season of birth patterns for schizophrenia (Adams,
Kendell, Hare, & Munk-Jorgensen, 1993; Andreasen, 1997; Boyd, Pulver, & Stewart, 1986;
Livingston, Adam, & Bracha, 1993). Data in these studies show increases in births of subjects
with schizophrenia starting approximately three months after the onset of influenza epidemics.
This suggests that some teratogenic insult may have been sustained during the critical
development period of the second trimester. It is yet, however, unclear what mechanism might
be at work as a result of any maternal viral infection. Flu symptoms, such as fever and nausea,
immune system response, and influenza treatment have been proposed as possibilities
12
(Dombrowski, Martin, & Huttunen, 2003; Lynberg, Khoury, Lu, & Cocian, 1994, as cited in
Takei, & O’Callaghan, 1995).
In addition to influenza, prenatal exposure to poliovirus has been related to the later
development of schizophrenia (Suvisaari, Haukka, Tanskanen, Hovi, & Lönnqvist, 1999; Torrey,
Rawlings, & Waldman, 1988, as cited by Suvisaari, Haukka, Tanskanen, Hovi, & Lönnqvist,
1999). Other researchers, however, have found no relationship between poliovirus exposure and
season of birth patterns (Watson, Kucula, Tilleskjor, & Jacobs, 1984, as cited by Suvisaari,
Haukka, Tanskanen, Hovi, & Lönnqvist, 1999).
Malnutrition is a known contributor to neurodevelopmental defects, and its relationship to
increased risk for developing schizophrenia has been shown in studies following the Dutch
famine in the latter days of the Second World War. Research on the birth cohort from this period
shows fetal exposure to the famine yielded significantly increased risk for development of
schizophrenia (Brown & Susser, 2003).
The importance of nutrition during gestation is well established. Gravid malnutrition can
lead to fetal development problems affecting every aspect of the organism. Nutritional deficits
have been considered as possible contributors to season of birth patterns (de Sauvage Nolting,
1954, as cited in Castrogiovanni, 1998; Torrey, Torrey, & Peterson, 1977, as cited in
Castrogiovanni, 1998) because of changes in diet that result in deficiencies of vitamins.
Researchers are now gaining an understanding of the mechanisms by which dietary and
nutritional deficiencies may compromise the development of the neural systems involved in
emotional regulation. New information in this area is coming from the field of epigenetics, the
study of heritable traits not involving alteration of the gene sequence.
13
A recent epigenetic study (Waterland & Jirtle, 2003) identified a mechanism in mice by
which maternal nutrition can effect permanent changes in the functioning of an offspring’s
genes. Researchers supplemented the diets of gravid yellow agouti mice with folic acid, B12,
choline, and betaine and found that this nutrient combination activated a trigger for a gene
determining hair color and predisposition for obesity, diabetes, and cancer. This direct link
between nutrition and epigenetic developmental outcomes in mice suggests that human genes
determining biological risks for psychopathology are also subject to nutritional teratogens.
The risk for developing schizophrenia has a significant heritable component, but not all
schizophrenics have a familial history of the disorder. Because season of birth patterns are
thought to be due to environmental variables, researchers have looked for distinctions between
schizophrenia probably brought about by genetics from that of a teratogenic etiology. With this
in mind, investigators have examined data on eye tracking dysfunction (ETD), one of several
comorbid conditions to which those with schizophrenia are vulnerable and which occurs at a
higher than normal rate among their relatives, both with and without schizophrenia. A 1999
study found that schizophrenics without ETD were significantly more likely to be born in months
of extreme temperature (hot or cold) than those with ETD (Kinney, Levy, Yurgelun-Todd,
Holzman, & Lajonchere, 1999). This suggests that seasonal birth excesses for schizophrenic
individuals are unlikely due to genetic factors operating independently of the environment. A
recent study lends additional support to this idea by finding no relationship between
schizophrenic individuals’ birth month and their siblings’ risk for developing schizophrenia
(Suvisaari, Haukka, & Lönnqvist, 2004).
Cyclical Events & Seasonal Birth Patterns
14
In exploring the relationship of season of birth to psychopathology, it is useful to look at
other birth phenomena that also exhibit patterns across the year. The crests and troughs of birth
patterns related to some phenomena are similar to those for mental disorders and may result from
shared environmental influences. Researchers have examined variables such as diet, climate,
work activities, and incidence of holidays as possible influences on the development of these
patterns.
The rate of births for the general population is not constant throughout the year and often
shows an annual seasonal pattern. Identifying these birth rate patterns lends context for the
interpretation of the birth seasonality of individuals with psychopathology. Recognition of ebbs
and rises in overall births is, of course, essential to detection of excessive proportions of births
among those with psychopathology. Moreover, research shows that birth rate patterns frequently
differ between ethnic groups and regions, and examination of this literature may assist in
resolving inconsistencies among the hundreds of published season of birth studies conducted
around the world.
In the southern United States, the lowest numbers of births occur in the April to May
period for both European-Americans and Nonwhites. The same nadir in births can be seen
among Nonwhites in northern states, but the pattern is more pronounced in the southern states
(Lam & Miron, 1994). Seasonal patterns in Israel, as well as the Delhi, Maharashtra, and Punjab
regions of India, are similar to those of the American south. The pattern of births is quite
different in western Europe, where the highest, not the lowest, numbers of births occur in the
spring. Within Europe, the amplitude of this pattern increases progressively from the
Mediterranean to Scandinavia (Lam & Miron, 1994; Levine, 1994). Interestingly, the latitudinal
positions of these regions generally correspond with the patterns of their birth rates; the southern
15
United States, Israel, Delhi, and Punjab all lay along the 30th parallel, whereas the majority of
Europe rests between the 40th and 60th parallels.
Although the exact significance of geographical latitude to seasonal birth patterns is
undetermined, some have looked to regional temperature differences for an explanation. Baker
and Lester (1986) compared May and November birth rates in the 48 coterminous U.S. states for
a five-year period and found a ratio varying from 0.85 in Louisiana to 1.12 for Washington and
Oregon. These results are consistent with the findings of other studies that identified low birth
rate in May in hot southern regions in comparison with the cooler northern areas (Lam & Miron,
1994; Levine, 1994). The researchers cited the contrast, for example, of the May/November
birth ratio of 0.73 in Singapore with that of 1.30 in Sweden.
Short-term increases in ambient temperature have been associated with lowered birth
rates nine months later in France, the southern United States, and rural Bangladesh. The most
well defined patterns of birthrate seasonality are found in zones of extreme summer heat. This
may be attributable, in part, to the known negative effect of high temperature on sperm
production and motility. These seasonal patterns have shifted somewhat during the past twenty
years, however. Even though the general rise and fall of birth numbers remained constant, the
peaks and troughs grew less pronounced. In Louisiana and Georgia, for example, the mean
annual low point for births during the 1942 to 1968 period fell in May, when the number of
births was 10 to 20 percent lower than the overall monthly average for the same period. Between
1969 and 1988, however, the amplitude of birth peaks and troughs diminished, with the low
point of European-American births approximately 5 to 9 percent lower than the overall monthly
average. This may be due to the advent of widespread use of air conditioning and the reduction
of outdoor and agricultural jobs during this period. Although Nonwhite birth patterns showed a
16
decrease in amplitude from the 1942 to 1968 period as well, it was only slight, perhaps a
reflection of less access to air conditioning or a slower transition to indoor work environments
(Lam & Miron, 1994).
When looking for environmental factors that vary with regularity over the passage of the
year, seasonal changes in daylength quickly come to mind. Photoperiod affects reproduction
(Foster, Ebling, Claypool, & Wood, 1989) and body weight (Bartness & Wade, 1985) in many
mammals. It has been hypothesized that such biochemical responses to length of daylight
exposure may be a contributory factor in some season of birth patterns for some individuals
(Gortmaker, et al., 1997).
Martin and Kimlin’s (unpublished manuscript) study of vitamin D as a possible influence
on season of birth patterns of neurodevelopment offers a connection between research regarding
nutrition and daylength. Vitamin D is produced by skin exposure to the ultraviolet (UV)
radiation in sunlight and is thought to contribute to the development and function of the nervous
system. Martin and Kimlin hypothesized that subnormal levels of maternal vitamin D may
increase the risk for mental retardation, a condition diagnosed for an excess of individuals born
in the August to November period and for fewer than expected in the winter months. Data
analysis established a relationship between births of children with mental retardation and the
amount of available UV radiation during the first and second months of gestation. These
findings open the way to further research into the influence of UV radiation on other season of
birth phenomena, such as internalizing disorders.
If regular annual events such as transitions in temperature and photoperiod bear upon
seasonal birth patterns, it may be anticipated that the patterns observed in the northern
hemisphere would be reversed below the equator: in other words, displaced by six months. This,
17
in fact, appears to be the case in South Africa, where the greatest number of births for both
European-Africans and Black-Africans occurs in September, a difference of about a half-year
from the birth peak in Europe. Australia and New Zealand also experience September peaks,
though Australia has another, slightly greater, peak in March (Lam & Miron, 1994).
Some southern hemisphere studies, however, have found little or no season of birth
effects. McGrath and Welham (1999), for instance, conducted a meta-analysis of four studies of
southern hemisphere populations and found small, non-significant differences in seasonal birth
patterns for individuals diagnosed with schizophrenia. The authors proposed that if season of
birth “acts as a proxy marker for fluctuating non-genetic risk-modifying factors for
schizophrenia…[then] in the Southern Hemisphere these factors may be weaker, less prevalent,
less regular, and/or may be modified by other confounding or modifying variables.”
The season of birth research regarding other cyclical meteorological phenomena has been
limited as yet. A 2001 report by de Messias, Cordeiro, Sampaio, Bartko, and Kilpatrick found an
association between monthly rainfall and the number of schizophrenic births three months later.
This finding is particularly compelling, because its data were drawn from northeastern Brazil, a
tropical region with little temperature change year round but offering distinct and extreme annual
wet and dry seasons.
Another meteorological phenomenon, geomagnetic storms, was investigated by Kay
(2004), who found that the birth data from six of eight schizophrenia studies negatively
correlated with indices of geomagnetic storm activity. Previous research has often found scant
evidence of season of birth patterns in equatorial and tropical zones (McGrath & Welham, 1999;
Parker, Mahendran, Koh, & Machin, 2000); therefore this study may guide future investigators
to include precipitation in their studies analyses of data. These results, like those of the Brazilian
18
study, remain unique until replicative investigation is conducted. They are important indicators,
however, of directions for future research.
Internalizing disorders
The preponderance of season of birth research has concerned schizophrenia, but attention
has also been directed to the examination of other forms of psychopathology. Internalizing
problems, the subject of the present study, have been the subject of a portion of this research.
Though far fewer internalizing problem studies exist than in schizophrenia-related birth research,
investigators have uncovered similar birth patterns and perturbation associations.
Some research has found seasonal patterns in the birth months of anxiety disorders. A
study of 843 subjects diagnosed with panic disorder (PD) found peaks in September and
December birth months (Castrogiovanni, Iapichino, Pacchierotti, & Pieraccini, 1999). This
pattern was consistent among patients having only a PD diagnosis and those with comorbid
disorders. This study found no significant variation in the birth month distribution among 1,181
subjects with other psychiatric diagnoses.
Penas-Lledo, Santos, Leal, and Waller (2003) found excess births for those with anorexia
in the June through August period. Anorexia has a high comorbidity with anxiety disorders, at
rates estimated as high as 73 percent (Toner, Garfinkel, & Garner, 1988, as cited in Wilson,
Heffernan, & Black, 1996). Those with acute anorexia have been reported to have comorbid
depression at a rate estimated between 21 and 91 percent (Kaye, Weltzen, & Hsu, 1993, as cited
in Wilson, et al., 1996).
In a review of season of birth research concerning affective disorders, Castrogiovanni, et
al., (1998) cite studies that consistently found an excess of winter/spring births and deficits in the
September to November period among patients with bipolar disorder. Similar season of birth
19
patterns have also been found among individuals with unipolar disorder. A study of 4,393 Irish
subjects diagnosed with the affective disorder found a significant excess of the individuals were
born in the spring and a significant deficit were born in the autumn (Clarke, et al., 1998).
At least one study has also linked maternal viral exposure to increased incidence of
internalizing disorders. Machón, Mednick, and Huttunen (1997) found within a Finnish
population that exposure to an influenza epidemic during the second trimester of gestation
increased the risk for development of major affective disorder in adulthood.
Season of birth effects have been found in age and method of suicide. A British study
(Salib, 2002) found a significant excess among 502 suicides for those individuals born in May.
Chotai, Renberg, and Jacobsson (1999) examined the 1,457 suicides that occurred between 1952
and 1993 in a region of Sweden. Analysis revealed that subjects younger than 45 years were
more likely to have been born during the February to April period. The investigators conducting
the Swedish study considered suicide as an indicator of internalizing problems. The periods of
elevated suicide are consistent with season of birth patterns related to fluctuations among
individuals’ levels of cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) monamine metabolites. Significantly low levels
of these metabolites have been found among patients diagnosed with mood, anxiety, and
adjustment disorders who were born in the February to April period (Chotai, & Åsberg, 1999).
Unusually low levels of these metabolites indicate a correspondingly low production of
serotonin, dopamine, and norepinephrine, a circumstance associated with depression. This study
is notable for its incorporation of medical data, an element largely missing from season of birth
research due to the expense and difficulty in obtaining such data from large numbers of subjects.
If suicide is a marker for depression and other affective disorders, then the risk for these
psychopathologies may be indicated in infant growth problems. Barker, Osmond, Rodin, Fall,
20
and Winter (1995) found an association between suicide and low weight gain during infancy. A
study of over 11,000 children between ages 6 and 24 months revealed that those born in the three
months following the year’s coldest months were at significantly greater risk for being below the
fifth percentile in weight (Frank, et al., 1996). The Barker, et al. study notes that patients with
depression have been found to have abnormal secretion of growth hormone and abnormalities in
the hypothalamus, which is thought to be programmed for hormonal secretions during gestation.
Although neuropsychologists have recently come to view the role of the hypothalamus in
emotion as less pivotal than in the past (Gainotti, 2000), its abnormal functioning may signal the
presence of developmental errors elsewhere in the CNS.
Because the majority of research programs are found in the nations of the North
American and European continents, the majority of season of birth studies have consequently
examined human populations in the northern hemisphere. With limited data from the southern
hemisphere, few have addressed the question of whether the opposite seasonal cycles of the
hemispheres present correspondingly inverse patterns of births for individuals with internalizing
problems.
One of the studies examining this question is that of Gortmaker, et al. (1997), who
compared U.S. and New Zealand populations and found an association between daylength during
pregnancy and shy offspring. Children whose gestation was centered during the interval of five
months with the shortest photoperiods (winter) were disproportionately likely to develop traits of
excessive shyness. In America, members of this group were 1.52 times more likely to be
considered shy than those whose gestation centered in months with longer lengths of daylight.
The New Zealand children who gestated during the span of winter months stood a similar 1.69
times greater chance of being rated as inhibited in comparison to those children exposed to
21
longer photoperiods en utero. The authors of the study estimated that the risk attributable to
gestation in shorter photoperiods was associated with approximately one of ever five cases of
extreme shyness in children.
Another study examined an Australian population for relationships between region of
gestation, internalizing symptoms and birth month. Joiner, Pfaff, Acres, and Johnson (2002)
examined data collected from residents of Australia, some of whom were born in that the
southern hemisphere and others who were born in the northern hemisphere. The researchers
found that subjects who were in utero in the southern hemisphere during that region’s flu peak
showed a higher degree of suicidal and depressive symptoms than other subjects who were in
gestation in the southern hemisphere. Likewise, those Australians who had been in utero in the
northern hemisphere’s peak flu season showed a greater level of suicidal and depressive
symptoms. The September to November period of high internalizing births for southern
hemisphere represents a six-month difference from the March to May birth peak of the northern
hemisphere in this study, suggesting the presence of a seasonal prenatal risk for depressive and
suicidal symptoms.
As stated earlier, the research concerning the season of birth of those with psychological
disorders remains an emerging field of study. The literature is diffuse and often inconsistent, yet
some patterns are beginning to appear for birth periods of increase risk. The present study is an
attempt to contribute to this growing body of research.
22
CHAPTER 3
Methods
Sample
Data studied in this investigation were obtained from 2,619 children between the ages of
5 and 12 years, who participated in Project ACT Early (ACT Early website:
http://www.coe.uga.edu/actearly/index.html). The project, funded by the U.S. Department of
Education, was designed to “understand the ecological context of risk in elementary school and
to help teachers acquire effective classroom strategies to intervene early in children's school
careers” (http://www.coe.uga.edu/actearly/index.html).
The ACT Early sample consists of 1,306 males (49.9%) and 1,313 females (50.1%).
Students receiving full-time special education services were not included in the study. The
sample to be analyzed is ethnically diverse. The majority of the students are from African-
American (848 students, 32.4%) or European-American backgrounds (560 students, 21.4%).
Other racial groups are present in smaller numbers. These include 62 (2.4%) Hispanic students,
41 (1.6%) Asian-American students, 30 (1.1%) Multi-racial students. Forty-one percent of the
sample (1076 students) did not provide race information.
Instrumentation
Emotional and behavioral problems of the sample children were assessed via the
Behavior Assessment System for Children (BASC; Reynolds & Kamphaus, 1992). The BASC
manual (Reynolds & Kamphaus, 1992) provides reliability estimates for the TRS-P and TRS-C
forms. The TRS-P reliablity estimates are: Anxiety = .84; Depression = .85; Somatization = .79;
23
Withdrawal = .92; Internalizing Problems = 86, for the TRS-C these are: Anxiety = .87;
Depression = .88; Somatization = .70; Withdrawal = .86; Internalizing Problems = 85. The
internal consistencies for the TRS-P and TRS-C are also reported for both the TRS-P (Anxiety =
.66; Depression = .77; Somatization = .67; Withdrawal = .84; Internalizing Problems = 82) and
the TRS-C (Anxiety = .74; Depression = .85; Somatization = .80; Withdrawal = .79;
Internalizing Problems = 89). These data indicate appropriate reliabilities for research purposes.
For purposes of the current study, elementary school teachers provided ratings of their
students using the Teacher Rating Scale – Child (TRS-C) and Teacher Rating Scale – Preschool
(TRS-P) forms. For each child, teachers provided ratings on a four-point Likert scale. The
resultant data are aggregated into 14 behavioral and social skills scales. Three of these scales
measure behaviors associated with internalizing disorders: Depression, Anxiety, Somatization.
These three internalizing scales have the same operational definition for both the TRS-P and
TRS-C forms.
The BASC scales are designed for individual interpretation. The instrument, however,
also yields composite scores for various domains of social-emotional behavior. The Depression,
Anxiety, and Somatization scales can be aggregated to form the Internalizing Problems
composite score. The fourth scale under examination in the present study, Withdrawal, is not
part of the BASC Internalizing Problems domain. The Withdrawal scale measures the
inclination to avoid social contact and was not highly related to other internalizing scales (some
socially withdrawn children experience no internalizing problems). It was, however, of interest
given the finding of a season of birth effect for shyness.
24
Methods
As a component of the ACT Early project, BASC questionnaires were distributed to the
homeroom teachers of students in four public elementary schools in Athens-Clarke County,
Georgia. These data were collected from the teachers during the fall and spring over a six-year
period.
The BASC manual (Reynolds & Kamphaus, 1992) designates a T-score of 60 as the
threshold for an at-risk level of behavior problems on its subscales and composite scales. The
present study, however, is not concerned with the clinical diagnosis of individual psychosocial
behaviors; rather, it is exploratory in nature and concerned with broad patterns across a research
population. Therefore, a lower cut score was used for selecting subjects for inclusion in groups
designated as having concerning levels of problems. Individual students were considered to
exhibit notable internalizing behaviors if any of their BASC scores on a particular subscale was
at or above the 75th percentile for the research population.
The hypotheses investigated are as follows:
Hypothesis 1: There will be a higher proportion of children with Depression scale scores at
or above the 75th percentile who were born in the spring and summer than during the fall and
winter.
Hypothesis 2: There will be a higher proportion of children with Anxiety scale scores at or
above the 75th percentile who were born in the spring and summer than during the fall and
winter.
Hypothesis 3: There will be a higher proportion of children with Somatization scale scores at
or above the 75th percentile who were born in the spring and summer than during the fall and
winter.
25
Hypothesis 4: There will be a higher proportion of children with Withdrawal scale scores at
or above the 75th percentile who were born in the spring and summer than during the fall and
winter.
Hypothesis 5: There will be a higher proportion of children with Internalizing Composite
scores at or above the 75th percentile who were born in the spring and summer than during
the fall and winter.
To address the hypotheses, the following steps were taken. First, students with scores at
or above the 75th percentile (P75) on the BASC TRS-C and TRS-P were noted. The frequency of
births per month for these students were compared to the frequency of births of students below
the cut score. Next, the students in the two groups (>75th percentile, ≤ 75th percentile) were
compared using a chi-square analysis test of independence. To test the hypothesis, the analysis
was carried out based on data in a 2 x 2 contingency table. Table 1 provides an example of the
contingency table and the categories was used in the testing.
It was expected that the frequency of students in cell D will be disproportionally high and
the frequency in cell B would be disproportionally low, compared to cells A and C, resulting in a
significant chi-square value. These analyses were investigated by gender and age range to
determine if seasonal birth patterns differed for males and females, or for younger (ages 5 to 7
years) and older (age 8 to 12 years) children.
Follow up analysis at the seasonal level (resulting in a 4 x 2 frequency table) and at the
monthly level (resulting in a 12 x 2 frequency table) were also be calculated. These analyses
helped determine if births during a particular season, or month, or series of months, were
disproportionally high for children above the 75th percentile cut score on each of the five
measures (anxiety, depression, somatization, Internalizing aggregate, and social withdrawal).
26
Seasons were defined as follows: Winter – January, February, March; Spring – April, May, June;
Summer – July, August, September; Fall – October, November, December.
It is noted that tests for the follow-up hypotheses followed the same sequencing as with
the intital hypotheses and also employed the 75th percentile as the cutoff score to identify
children with internalizing problems. Additionally, the set of analyses were conducted seperately
for males and females, and for older and younger age ranges, to determine gender effects of
season of birth on internalizing problems.
27
Table 1
Contingency Table to Test Season of Birth Effect upon Internalizing Disorder
Internalizing Scores
Low (<P75) High (≥ P75)
Birth Period
Fall, Winter A B
Spring Summer C D
28
CHAPTER 4
Results
To assess the possible impact of season of birth upon students judged to have high levels
of internalizing disorders, it is important to have a sizeable number of students who were born
during each month. Table 2 presents the distributions of births of all children, divided by month
of birth. Gender, by month of birth, is also included. Inspection of Table 2 indicates that data
from more than 200 students are available for each month of birth. This distribution affords a
sufficient number of children with extreme scores to test the hypotheses of interest in this study.
This study examined the possible associations between birth month and internalizing
behaviors. The sample size available for analysis was sufficient to examine this relationship
according to participants’ sex. Patterns of greater portions of spring and summer births of
children were observed for the entire sample as well as for each sex.
Descriptives
A total of five internalizing scales from the BASC were investigated. Descriptive
information for each of the scales is provided in Table 3. As seen in Table 3, most TRS-P and
TRS-C scores are close to the normed mean of 50 and standard deviation of 10. Considering the
results by gender, there are minor fluctuations by sex.
29
Table 2
Number of Births by Month and Sex
Month Male Female Total
January 134 86 220
February 102 102 204
March 95 111 206
April 114 105 219
May 105 121 226
June 90 124 214
July 117 138 255
August 104 117 221
September 104 103 207
October 113 96 209
November 112 98 210
December 116 112 228
Total 1,306 1,313 2,619
30
Table 3
Descriptive Statistics on BASC Internalizing Scales
Variable Mean Std. Dev. Min. Max.
Anxiety Total Sample 47.49 9.70 37 107
Male 47.79 9.69 37 104
Female 47.20 9.71 37 107
Depression Total Sample 48.88 10.05 37 113
Male 49.74 10.50 37 113
Female 48.03 9.52 37 105
Somatization Total Sample 48.19 10.01 40 98
Male 47.22 8.65 40 90
Female 49.17 11.13 40 98
Withdrawal Total Sample 48.29 10.28 35 106
Male 48.38 10.49 35 106
Female 48.19 10.08 35 100
Internalizing Total Sample 47.76 9.75 35 108
Composite Male 47.83 9.45 35 108
Female 47.69 10.05 35 98
31
Cut scores
It was necessary to quantitatively define the members of the data set to be regarded as
“at-risk” for the purpose of this study. BASC scores at or above P75 for the research population
were considered indicative of notably troubling behavior. All participants scores were ranked in
order to identify the third quartile point (P75) for each scale. The t-score equaling the 75th
percentile point on each scale served as the cut-score for identifying children presenting an at-
risk level of behavior problems. The cut scores for the five internalizing scales under study, as
well as counts of children above and below the 75th percentile level, are shown in Table 4.
Tests of Hypotheses
At the outset, a series of chi-square tests of independence were used to determine if a
relationship between season of birth and internalizing disorders could be identified.
Hypotheses 1-5 assert that there will be a higher proportion of children born in the
Spring/Summer period than in the Fall/Winter period who are viewed as having BASC subscale
scores ≥75th percentile. These hypotheses differ in that the dependent variables relate to different
BASC scales in each of 1 through 5.
The data set was split into two groups for the initial analysis. Participants were divided
according to which half of the year they were born. One group consisted of those born in the
Spring/Summer period, defined as spanning the months from April to September, inclusive. The
Fall/Winter group was formed by subjects born in the months from October to March, inclusive.
Table 5 presents frequency information for the four categories described in Table 3.
32
Table 4
Overall Population Above and Below the 75th Percentile Cutscore
BASC Scale t-score at P75 N < P75 N ≥ P75
Anxiety All 52 1870 (71.4%) 749 (28.6%)
Male 52 910 (69.7%) 396 (30.3%)
Female 52 960 (73.1%) 353 (26.9%)
Depression All 54 1888 (72.1%) 731 (27.9%)
Male 54 897 (68.7%) 409 (31.3%)
Female 51 903 (68.8%) 410 (31.2%)
Somatization All 51 1825 (69.7%) 794 (30.3%)
Male 51 943 (72.2%) 363 (27.8%)
Female 55 983 (74.9%) 330 (25.1%)
Withdrawal All 54 1964 (75.0%) 655 (25.0%)
Male 55 976 (94.7%) 330 (25.3%)
Female 51 885 (67.4%) 428 (32.6%)
Internalizing
Composite
All 52 1905 (72.7%) 714 (27.3%)
Male 52 954 (73.0%) 352 (27.0%)
Female 52 951 (72.4%) 362 (27.6%)
33
Higher than expected births during this phase were observed for high-score children on the
Anxiety scale and the Internalizing Problems Composite in overall samples. Also, more high-
score females on the Anxiety and Depression scales were born in Spring/Summer than expected.
Separate chi-square tests of independence were conducted for the overall population,
males, and females. Results of this test are provided in Table 6. The final column of the table
identifies the portion of the year containing the largest difference. It is noted that alpha levels of
below .05 denoted statistically significant results. However, because this is an exploratory study,
resultant probability values between .05 and .10 were also noted.
Results of the analyses showed a significant relationship between season of birth and
scores at or above the 75th percentile for two variables: Anxiety and the Internalizing Composite.
Investigating the relationships by gender showed a statistically significant relationship for
females’ Anxiety scores and a marginal difference was noted for the females’ Depression scores.
While many of the tests did not show statistically significant results, it is noted that all except
one test showed elevated scores in the intended direction.
In order to better understand these patterns, the data were separated into additional
sections by splitting the divided males and females into older and younger groups. Descriptive
information for these four catagories of children is presented in Tables 7 and 8.
34
Table 5
Observed Frequencies for Half-Year Split, by BASC Scale and Sex
Variable Split Fall/Winter
Score < P75
Fall/Winter
Score ≥ P75
Spring/Summer
Score < P75
Spring/Summer
Score ≥ P75
Anxiety All 939 (912) 338 (365) 931 (958) 411 (384)
Male 480 192 430 204
Female 459 (452) 146 (163) 501 (518) 207 (190)
Depression All 927 350 961 381
Male 459 213 438 196
Female 468 (457) 137 (148) 523 (534) 185 (174)
Somatization All 900 377 925 417
Male 488 184 455 189
Female 412 193 470 238
Withdrawal All 971 306 993 349
Male 508 164 463 171
Female 463 142 530 178
Internalizing
Composite
All 952 (929) 325 (348) 953 (976) 389 (366)
Male 502 170 452 182
Female 450 155 501 207
Note: Values in parentheses are expected values; expected values are reported for any test where p≤ .10.
35
Table 6
Chi-Square Test of Independence, Half Year Split (Spring/Summer, Winter/Fall)
Variable Split Χ2 Df P Peak
Anxiety All 5.539 1 .019* Spring/Summer
Male 2.007 1 .157 Spring/Summer
Female 4.325 1 .038* Spring/Summer
Depression All .314 1 .575 Spring/Summer
Male .093 1 .761 Fall/Winter
Female 3.617 1 .057† Spring/Summer
Somatization All .745 1 .388 Spring/Summer
Male .118 1 .731 Spring/Summer
Female 2.368 1 .124 Spring/Summer
Withdrawal All 1.457 1 .227 Spring/Summer
Male 1.409 1 .235 Spring/Summer
Female 1.754 1 .185 Spring/Summer
Internalizing
Composite
All 4.127 1 .042* Spring/Summer
Male 1.926 1 .165 Spring/Summer
Female 2.138 1 .144 Spring/Summer
Note: * = p < .05; † = p < .10
36
Table 7 Descriptive Statistics for Younger Children, by BASC Scale and Sex Variable Group Mean Std. Dev. Min. Max.
Anxiety Male 49.99 10.10 37 104
Female 49.84 10.66 37 107
Depression Male 49.74 10.69 37 100
Female 48.85 10.35 37 95
Somatization Male 48.26 9.82 40 90
Female 50.07 11.61 40 90
Withdrawal Male 48.51 11.00 35 96
Female 48.68 10.26 35 100
Internalizing Male 49.07 10.30 35 108
Composite Female 49.38 11.13 35 97
Note: Sample size for males = 571; Sample size for females = 550.
37
Table 8 Descriptive Statistics for Older Children, by BASC Scale and Sex Variable Group Mean Std. Dev. Min. Max.
Anxiety Male 46.08 9.00 34 99
Female 45.29 8.84 39 105
Depression Male 49.73 10.35 41 113
Female 47.44 8.84 41 105
Somatization Male 46.41 7.52 52 85
Female 48.51 10.73 42 98
Withdrawal Male 48.27 10.11 39 106
Female 47.85 9.93 39 100
Internalizing Male 46.88 8.62 39 97
Composite Female 46.47 9.01 39 98
Note: Sample size for males = 735; Sample size for females = 763.
38
Table 9 reports frequency information for younger children. Examination of the scores
above the 75th percentile shows higher numbers of births in Spring/Summer for many of the
scales. However, Table 11 did not report statistically significant differences between the scores.
Only one scale, Anxiety, where the alpha level <.10, showed more high-score younger females
than expected born in Spring/Summer.
Table 10 reports frequency information for older children. As seen in Table 12, there
were no significant differences from the expected for children in the older age group.
Data trends can be difficult to discern amid tabled test results. Therefore, birth season
statistics for the population were graphed for each BASC scale and are presented in Figures 1-7.
These are shown as percentages in order to simplify comparison between scales. For each BASC
scale, the number of participants with scores ≥P75 born in each season was stated as a percentage
of all high-score children. The derived figures create plotting points for another graph line for
comparing observed proportions with the expected. Separate graph lines for males and females
were created in the same manner.
The graph for Anxiety shows births of high-score females rising above the baseline of
births to a pronounced peak in the Spring period. Anxious males show a less discernable pattern
across the seasons, having a softer crest in births during the Summer period.
On the Depression scale, a peak in births of high-score females clearly occurs in the
Spring period and their nadir can be as easily observed for the Fall. The birth pattern for males
appears opposite, albeit to a somewhat more muted degree of amplitude from
39
Table 9
Observed Frequencies for Younger Children: Half-Year Split, by BASC Scale and Sex
Variable Split Fall/Winter
Score < P75
Fall/Winter
Score ≥ P75
Spring/Summer
Score < P75
Spring/Summer
Score ≥ P75
Anxiety Male 181 103 170 117
Female 177 (162) 83 (94) 179 (188) 117 (108)
Depression Male 194 90 198 89
Female 193 61 207 89
Somatization Male 200 84 192 95
Female 163 91 189 107
Withdrawal Male 216 68 204 83
Female 189 65 208 88
Internalizing Male 201 83 188 99
Composite Female 174 80 192 104
Note: Values in parentheses are expected values; expected values are reported for any test where p≤ .10.
40
Table 10 Observed Frequencies for Older Children: Half-Year Split, by BASC Scale and Sex
Variable Split Fall/Winter
Score < P75
Fall/Winter
Score ≥ P75
Spring/Summer
Score < P75
Spring/Summer
Score ≥ P75
Anxiety Male 299 89 260 87
Female 288 63 322 90
Depression Male 265 123 240 107
Female 275 76 316 96
Somatization Male 288 100 263 84
Female 249 102 281 131
Withdrawal Male 292 96 259 88
Female 274 77 322 90
Internalizing Male 301 87 264 83
Composite Female 276 75 309 103
41
Table 11 Chi-square Tests of Independence for Younger Children, Half-Year Splits by Sex
Variable Split Χ2 Df P Peak
Anxiety Male 1.220 1 .269 Fall/Winter
Female 2.772 1 .096 Spring/Summer
Depression Male 0.031 1 .864 Spring/Summer
Female 2.524 1 .112 Spring/Summer
Somatization Male 0.824 1 .364 Spring/Summer
Female 0.006 1 .938 Spring/Summer
Withdrawal Male 1.817 1 .178 Spring/Summer
Female 1.166 1 .280 Spring/Summer
Internalizing Male 1.825 1 .177 Spring/Summer
Composite Female 0.813 1 .367 Spring/Summer
42
Table 12 Chi-square Tests of Independence for Older Children, Half-Year Splits by Sex
Variable Split Χ2 Df P Peak
Anxiety Male 0.064 1 .801 Spring/Summer
Female 0.295 1 .587 Spring/Summer
Depression Male 0.458 1 .499 Fall/Winter
Female 1.794 1 .180 Spring/Summer
Somatization Male 0.239 1 .625 Fall/Winter
Female 0.669 1 .413 Spring/Summer
Withdrawal Male 0.037 1 .847 Spring/Summer
Female 0.001 1 .975 Fall/Winter
Internalizing Male 0.231 1 .631 Spring/Summer
Composite Female 1.398 1 .237 Spring/Summer
43
the baseline of births from the entire cohort. The line for the combined-sex group of high-score
subjects heels close to the baseline, a reflection of the opposing trends for males and females.
High-score females on the Somatization scale continue the presentation of a noticeable
peak in births for the Spring period. Here, however, the elevation of births for females continues
above the expected rate into the Summer period and falls sharply in the Fall and Winter periods.
Males show their opposite, but more subdued, crest in the Fall and have their lowest percent of
births in the Spring period. The overall group of high-score subjects roughly adheres to the
baseline of births.
The Spring peak in births for high-score females is noticeable again on the Withdrawal
scale. The highest percent of male births is found in the Summer period and the lowest in
Spring, however the male pattern is rather more restricted than that of the females. Births for
both males and females show a similar rise and decline as the baseline for the Summer and Fall
periods, and the line for the overall group of high-score subjects largely follows that of the
expected across the year.
As with all previous scales, females show their peak in percent of births in the Spring
period on the Internalizing Problems composite. High-score male births are highest in the
Summer period, though the amplitude of the peak, just as before, is not as great as that for
females. The line for the overall group of high-score individuals rises above the baseline at a
modest level that is approximately the same for the Spring as Fall period.
44
Winter Spring Summer Fall
Season
20.00
22.00
24.00
26.00
28.00
30.00
32.00
34.00
Perc
ent o
f Birt
hs
BaselineMaleFemale
Male
Baseline
Female
Figure 1 Percentage of Children (Male and Female) Rated as High on Anxiety Born During Each Season
45
Winter Spring Summer Fall
Season
15.00
20.00
25.00
30.00
35.00
Perc
ent o
f Birt
hs
BaselineMaleFemale
Baseline
Male
Female
Figure 2 Percentage of Children (Male and Female) Rated as High on Depression Born During Each Season
46
Fall Spring Summer Winter
Season
22.00
23.00
24.00
25.00
26.00
27.00
28.00
29.00
Perc
ent o
f Birt
hs
BaselineMaleFemale
Male
Baseline
Female
Figure 3 Percentage of Children (Male and Female) Rated as High on Somatization Born During Each Season
47
Fall Spring Summer Winter
Season
20.00
22.50
25.00
27.50
30.00
32.50
35.00
Perc
ent o
f Birt
hs
BaselineMaleFemale
Male
Baseline
Female
Figure 4 Percentage of Children (Male and Female) Rated as High on Withdrawal Born During Each Season
48
Winter Spring Summer Fall
Season
20.00
22.00
24.00
26.00
28.00
30.00
32.00
Perc
ent o
f Birt
hs
BaselineMaleFemale
Male
Baseline
Female
Figure 5
Percentage of Children (Male and Female) Rated as High on Internalizing Problems Born
During Each Season
49
CHAPTER 5
Discussion
Summary of results
The purpose of this study was to investigate the relationship between season of birth and
the presence of internalizing problems among children. Five BASC subscales were investigated:
Anxiety, Depression, Somatization, Withdrawal, and the Internalizing Scales Composite. Data
were provided by elementary school teachers using the BASC TRS-C or TRS-P form, thus
allowing for an investigation of the relationship between season of birth and internalizing
disorders within the context of school. A sample of 2,619 students was used in the current study.
Children with scores on these five scales that were at or above the 75th percentile were
designated as having a score above a level of concern. Chi-square tests of independence assessed
the level of relationship between period of birth and the internalizing scales scores. Further,
relationship effects were investigated by sex and age group to determine if there were any
patterns that were stronger for one sex than the other and if such patterns were equally present
among older and younger children.
When data were divided into half year birth periods, chi–square independence tests
revealed statistically significant effects for students scoring high on the Anxiety scale and
Internalizing Problems composite, supporting Hypothesis 2 and 5. The peak birth period for
these subjects was during the Spring/Summer period as expected. Analyses of the data
according to sex identified statistically significant effects among females on these same scales,
also with the crest of births falling in the Spring/Summer period. After splitting boys and girls
50
into older and younger groups, it was found that data for Spring/Summer born younger females
approached significance for Anxiety.
To illustrate the trends observed in the data, graphs were created to show the
relationships between season of birth and the percentages of births observed. Ten graphs were
developed, one for each internalizing variable tested and examining results by sex and age group.
The plots showed differences in observed birth levels for students with internalizing problems
above a level of concern for the overall group, males, and females. This series was repeated for
age groups. Expected birth information was plotted for comparison, and all information was
transferred into percentages to allow for comparison across groups.
Over the set of graphs, information showed distinct elevations during summer/spring for
females as well as for the total sample. Additionally, the increases of births with internalizing
problems over the spring season could be identified. For the set of graphs, the highest peak
information was seen in the spring, suggesting a relationship between season of birth and the
presence of elevated ratings of internalizing disorders.
Theoretical and practical implications
Many of the tests showed statistically significant results for girls; graphs clearly showed
differences between girls with elevated internalizing behavior scores from expected levels. The
recurring peak of internalizing problems across the BASC scales for females around the April to
July period is similar to that found by Sunderman (2000).
Internalizing problems are often considered to be more prevalent in girls (Macfarlane,
Allen, & Honzik, 1954). For example, higher numbers of girls suffer from anxiety disorders,
depression, and eating disorders (which are thought to be strongly related to anxiety) than do
boys (Achenbach, Howell, Quay, & Conners, 1991). The research suggests that not only do girls
51
show greater occurrence of internalizing problems, but also the results of the current study
suggest that these disorders are even more prevalent in girls born during the spring/early summer
months.
There may be other factors influencing the results of the present study. Teachers
provided ratings on each participant involved in this research. Based on the current literature that
internalizing problems are more prevalent with females, teachers may be looking for these
occurrences in girls more than boys. This expectation may result in higher ratings. Additionally,
the majority of teachers in the tested elementary schools are female. Perhaps female teachers are
more ‘in tune’ to these behaviors in girls and can more easily identify and recognize their
internalizing problems than those of boys.
While boys may feel the same emotions (worried, sad, fearful, nervous, etc.), their affect
may be expressed differently than by girls. For example, due to peer pressure at school, a boy
may not cry when depressed, but may act out or hit another child and the aggressive act is
recorded. Thus, the behavior, while stemming from negative mood, could be taken as an
aggression or social problem.
The trend of a spring/summer rise in births found this study are consistent with patterns
found in some previous research (Kirkpatrick, Castanedo, & Vazquez-Barquero, 2002;
Kirkpatrick, Tek, Alladyce, Morrison, & McCreadie, 2002; Penas, et al., 2003). The peak birth
periods identified in this study differ from those found by certain other researchers, however, in
that they crest approximately one month later than among other subjects (Bradbury & Miller,
1985; Castrogiovanni, et al., 1998; Gortmaker, et al., 1997).
It is not possible to identify the cause of the birth patterns found in this study. Even so,
because the trend of increased high internalizing births occurs during the spring and summer,
52
certain suspected risk factors attract attention. Those subjects born in the April to July period
were in their second trimester of gestation from approximately December to March. During this
vulnerable phase of CNS development, they would have been at greater risk of exposure to
wintertime upper respiratory infections, short photoperiod, and reduced UV radiation, all of
which have been suggested as teratogenic factors (Adams, Kendall, Hare, & Munk-Jorgensen,
1993; Gortmaker, et al., 1997; Martin & Kimlin, unpublished paper) on the fetus.
Without a clear etiology for increased internalizing problems, creating a preventive plan
is admittedly difficult. The birth trends identified by this study, however, recommend attention
to the array of risks that may contribute to a biological susceptibility to internalizing problems.
This study lends support to the body of literature addressing the importance of prenatal care and
education of mothers-to-be regarding their own health and exposure to suspected and known
teratogens.
It will be key to expand awareness of birth trends for internalizing behaviors. An
increased consciousness among parents, teachers, and caretakers that there are relationships
between birth season and the presence of internalizing problems could increase vigilance for
early signs of problem behaviors. Alerted parents, teachers, doctors, psychologists, and others
responsible for spring/summer born children may be more attentive to the emergence of
internalizing disorders at an early stage, when treatment is more likely to be successful.
Limitations
This study had several limitations. First, the data were provided solely by classroom
teachers. While this allows for a unique look at internalizing disorders in the classroom, teachers
are largely restricted to seeing students in this one environment. Further, internalizing symptoms
53
are often a private matter not easily observed by others. Future studies may be strengthened by
accumulating data from other sources (e.g., mothers, fathers, siblings, doctors) and using the data
to replicate as well as to triangulate the results.
As noted, this study investigated children in one context – school. While school is clearly
an important arena to assess behavior of children between the ages of 4 and 12, it is recognized
that this environment is different from the home environment or any other setting where
children’s behavior may be slightly, or even markedly, different. For example, children may be
shy at school due to situational or peer factors, while they may be more outgoing and expressive
in a more comfortable setting. Children may act differently in all of these different contexts, and
ratings concerning a child’s behavior may vary depending upon the context. Future studies
could be strengthened by analyzing ratings of children’s behavior in different environments to
achieve a well-rounded picture of behavior.
This study investigated the relationship between season of birth patterns and the presence
of internalizing disorders within the elementary school context. Patterns of behavior were found
to vary for children born in the spring and summer months. Females with a higher level of
internalizing behaviors were especially more likely to have been born in the spring/summer
period. The information presented here helps to understand the broad and complex nature of
child development by investigating the relationship of behavior to developmental factors that
occur before birth. Children, parents, doctors, teachers, psychologists, and others may be
assisted by the illumination of season of birth fluctuations that present serious health
implications. Further, the information is useful to mothers as they seek prenatal care to reduce
the risk of insult to CNS development.
54
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Appendix
In addition to examining the data for birth patterns for all students and for each sex,
supplementary analyses were conducted with the cohort divided by age. The younger half of the
participants was comprised of children between the ages of 5 and 7 years, inclusive. The older
children ranged from ages 8 to 12 years. The chi-square tests for independence applied to the
previous data groups were performed just as before.
Table 13 provides descriptive information for the older and younger subject groups in
comparison to that of the overall cohort. Both groups appear similar in the distribution of their
scores. The greatest difference between the two is found in the older group having a mean four
points lower than that of the younger group on the Anxiety scale.
Analysis of the data by age began with chi-square tests of independence for the
participants according to which half of the year they were born. Those with birthdates in April
through September were placed in the Spring/Summer group, and those born from October
through March were set into the Fall/Winter group. Separate chi-square tests of independence
were performed for the older and younger child groups. The results of these analyses are
provided in Table 14.
The results of the chi-square tests of independence showed a significant relationship between
season of birth and scores at or above the 75th percentile on the Anxiety scale for both older and
younger children, just as had been found for the overall group of subjects. The peak surplus of
births was found in the Summer/Spring period on all scales, except for older children on the
Depression scale, who showed a peak in the Fall/Winter period. This is similar to the to the
pattern found in the analysis of the data by sex, wherein all peaks were found in the
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Table 13 Descriptive Statistics for BASC Internalizing Scales by Age Group
Variable Mean Std. Dev. Min. Max.
Anxiety Total Sample 47.49 9.70 37 107
Younger 49.92 10.38 37 107
Older 45.68 8.74 39 105
Depression Total Sample 48.88 10.05 37 113
Younger 49.30 10.53 37 100
Older 48.57 9.68 41 113
Somatization Total Sample 48.19 10.01 40 98
Younger 49.15 10.77 40 90
Older 47.48 9.349 42 98
Withdrawal Total Sample 48.29 10.28 35 106
Younger 48.59 10.63 35 100
Older 48.06 10.02 39 106
Internalizing Total Sample 47.76 9.75 35 108
Composite Younger 49.22 10.71 35 108
Older 46.67 8.82 39 98
64
Table 14
Chi-Square Tests of Independence, Age Group by Half-Year Split (Spring/Summer, Fall/Winter)
Split χ2 Df P Peak
Anxiety All 5.539 1 .019* Spring/Summer
Younger 4.671 1 .031* Spring/Summer
Older 4.480 1 .034* Spring/Summer
Depression All .314 1 .575 Spring/Summer
Younger .820 1 .365 Spring/Summer
Older .006 1 .936 Fall/Winter
Somatization All .745 1 .388 Spring/Summer
Younger 1.075 1 .300 Spring/Summer
Older .184 1 .668 Spring/Summer
Withdrawal All 1.457 1 .227 Spring/Summer
Younger 3.169 1 .075 Spring/Summer
Older .011 1 .918 Spring/Summer
Internalizing
Composite
All 4.127 1 .042* Spring/Summer
Younger 2.679 1 .102 Spring/Summer
Older .797 1 .372 Spring/Summer
Note: * = p < .05, statistical significance
65
Table 15
Chi-Square Tests of Independence, Age Group by Season
Split χ2 Df P Peak
Anxiety All 9.162 3 .027* Spring
Younger 7.518 3 .057 Summer
Older 8.556 3 .036* Spring
Depression All 1.038 3 .792 Spring
Younger 5.382 3 .147 Summer
Older 1.121 3 .772 Spring
Somatization All .907 3 .824 Spring
Younger 1.623 3 .654 Summer
Older .969 3 .809 Spring
Withdrawal All 2.290 3 .514 Spring
Younger 6.270 3 .099 Summer
Older 2.800 3 .424 Winter
Internalizing
Composite
All 4.229 3 .239 Summer
Younger 3.924 3 .270 Summer
Older 1.899 3 .594 Spring
Note: * = p < .05, statistical significance
66
Table 16
Chi-Square Tests of Independence, Age Group by Month
Split χ2 Df P Peak
Anxiety All 10.934 11 .449 April
Younger 13.180 11 .282 July
Older 11.998 11 .364 June
Depression All 12.188 11 .350 July
Younger 9.458 11 .580 July
Older 14.090 11 .228 June
Somatization All 12.147 11 .353 June
Younger 8.073 11 .707 August
Older 8.594 11 .659 June
Withdrawal All 8.274 11 .689 June
Younger 9.830 11 .546 September
Older 11.997 11 .364 February
Internalizing
Composite
All 11.071 11 .437 July
Younger 12.856 11 .303 October
Older 11.749 11 .383 June
67
Spring/Summer period, except for males on the Depression scale, who likewise peaked in the
Fall/Winter period.
Next, individuals were separated into four groups for analysis according to the season in
which they were born. Chi-square tests of independence were conducted using 4 x 2
contingency tables for the older and younger groups of children. The results of these tests are
presented in Table 15.
Analysis of the Anxiety scale yielded statistically significant results for the older
children. For all scales, younger children had birth surpluses in the Summer period. Older
children had peak surpluses in the Spring period on all but the Withdrawal scale, for which there
was a Winter peak in birth numbers.
Members of the younger and older groups were next assembled by month of birth for
analysis on 12 x 2 contingency tables. The results of these chi-square tests of independence are
presented in Table 16.
No indications of statistical significance were found among the results of the series of
chi-square tests of independence for month of birth by age group. The large majority of peak
birth surpluses fell in the spring and summer months. Only the older children on the Withdrawal
scale and the younger children on the Internalizing Composite were exceptions, with their
respective February and October peaks.
The birth patterns of younger and older children varies little from that of the overall high-
score group combined on the Anxiety scale. Whether divided by age or taken together, the peak
percent of births occurs in the Spring period. It is particularly noticable in Figure 6 that Spring is
the only season for which births exceed the line of expectation, a suggestion of the peak’s
significance.
68
Figure 7 for the Depression scale shows the younger group and overall high-score group
to share a peak in percent of births in the Summer period. Older children, however, are seen to
have the greatest percent of births in the Fall, the season in which the percent of births in the
younger group is at its nadir. The percent of births of the younger, older, and overall high-score
group are near the level of expectation in the Spring period.
Figure 8 for Somatization reveals opposite birth patterns for the younger and older high-
score subjects. Younger children have their peak in percent of births in the Spring period and a
secondary level above the baseline in the Winter. The highest percent of older children are born
in the Fall and have a lower point above the line of expectation in the Summer period. Together
these groups’ birth patterns yield a line that approximates that of the baseline.
On the Withdrawal scale, the birth pattens of the younger and older children are similar to
that of these two groups combined as well as that of the total research population, as seen in
Figure 9. The younger group shows marginally greater deviation from the line of expectation
with a modest rise above the baseline in Summer, followed by a sharper decline below expected
births in the Fall period. Even so, all these patterns are generally unremarkable.
On Figure 10, younger children showed a peak in percent of births for the Spring period
on the Internalizing Composite. A Summer excess of births generally equal in amplitude is
noted for the older group of children.
69
Winter Spring Summer Fall
Season
18.00
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22.00
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30.00
Perc
ent o
f Birt
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BaselineYoungerOlder
Baseline
Younger
Older
Figure 6 Percentage of Children (Younger and Older) Rated as High on Anxiety Born During Each Season
70
Fall Spring Summer Winter
Season
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28.00
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f Birt
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Baseline
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Figure 7 Percentage of Children (Younger and Older) Rated as High on Depression Born During Each Season
71
Winter Spring Summer Fall
Season
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Figure 8 Percentage of Children (Younger and Older) Rated as High on Somatization Born During Each Season
72
Winter Spring Summer Fall
Season
15.00
18.00
21.00
24.00
27.00
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f Birt
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Younger
Figure 9 Percentage of Children (Younger and Older) Rated as High on Withdrawal Born During Each Season
73
Fall Spring Summer Winter
Season
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Figure 10 Percentage of Children (Younger and Older) Rated as High on Internalizing Problems Born During Each Season