THE CHALLENGES OF RAPID GROWTH AND THE CHALLENGES OF RAPID GROWTH AND INFLUENCING STATE GOVERNMENTINFLUENCING STATE GOVERNMENT
A PRESENTATION TO THEA PRESENTATION TO THE
REGIONAL SOCIAL IMPACTS OF ECONOMIC GROWTH FORUMREGIONAL SOCIAL IMPACTS OF ECONOMIC GROWTH FORUM
From the
Tuesday, 21 August 2007
MACKAY
Tuesday, 21 August 2007 2
WelcomeWelcome Acknowledging the Traditional Owners Thankyou – Regional Managers Coordination
Network Apologies – Cr Peter Maguire – BBMG
Spokesperson
Tuesday, 21 August, 2007
3
Presentation DeliverablesPresentation Deliverables The Growth Advocacy Approaches Political Will & Timing BBMG Directors General Visits Converting Information & Effort into
Influence & Action
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Global DriversGlobal DriversIn the short term, both thermal and metallurgical coal imports in China are forecast to increase – as China’s rapid economic growth – and consequently coal consumption – exceeds the capacity of domestic production.
India’s power ministry has plans to develop five “ultra-mega” coal fired power plants – with a capacity of 4000 megawatts – which would each require around 20 million tonnes of coal a year. At least three of these plants are intended to operate on imported coal.
The “ultra-mega” projects are intended to be developed by 2012, although a range of new coal projects in the interim will boost demand for imported coal.
Source: ABARE, NAB Group Economics – August 2006
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Coal Mining GrowthCoal Mining Growth
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Coal Production OutlookCoal Production OutlookQld total coal production 1996-2010 (est.)
9376399437
105752112634
124348
138352
148363153602
160062
172666
235000
0
50000
100000
150000
200000
250000
1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2010
MT
5% annual growth compounded – from 172 MT to estimated 235 MT by 2010
Sustained growth - coal exports up 7% pa over the decade 1994-2004
Compiled by the Qld Resources Council (QRC) – October 2006
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PopulationPopulationEstimated Resident Population plus Full-time Equivalents
2005 2006Banana 14,340 270
Bauhinia 2,238 150
Belyando 10,651 2,120
Broadsound 6,753 1,830
Duaringa 6,725 750
Emerald 13,636 340
Jericho 1,104 0
Nebo 2,170 3,140
Peak Downs 3,309 1,080
60,926 10,080 = 71,006
Source: ABS Cat no. 3218.0, Queensland's Future Population, 2006 Ed (High Series)
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Top 20 QLD LGAs ranked by % growth, 2005-2011
ERPProjected
Pop Total GrowthAverage Annual
Growth
RankLocal Government Area(a) 2006p 2011 No. % No. %
1 Belyando (S) 11,022 16,193 5,171 46.9 1,034 8.0
2 Ipswich (C) 145,411 181,871 36,460 25.1 7,292 4.6
3 Emerald (S) 13,842 16,888 3,046 22.0 609 4.1
4 Caloundra (C) 92,309 109,570 17,261 18.7 3,452 3.5
5 Nebo (S) 2,190 2,594 404 18.4 81 3.4
6 Crows Nest (S) 12,950 15,224 2,274 17.6 455 3.3
7 Miriam Vale (S) 5,763 6,734 971 16.8 194 3.2
8 Pine Rivers (S) 148,529 173,055 24,526 16.5 4,905 3.1
9 Burnett (S) 27,856 32,432 4,576 16.4 915 3.1
10 Duaringa (S) 6,838 7,892 1,054 15.4 211 2.9
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ERPProjected
Pop Total GrowthAverage Annual
Growth
Rank LGA 2005p 2011 No. % No. %
11 Livingstone (S) 29,460 33,989 4,529 15.4 906 2.9
12 Broadsound (S) 6,858 7,899 1,041 15.2 208 2.9
13 Beaudesert (S) 61,592 70,926 9,334 15.2 1,867 2.9
14 Peak Downs (S) 3,389 3,900 511 15.1 102 2.8
15 Maroochy (S) 149,232 171,194 21,962 14.7 4,392 2.8
16 Caboolture (S) 134,820 154,538 19,718 14.6 3,944 2.8
17 Mirani (S) 5,585 6,391 806 14.4 161 2.7
18 Thuringowa (C) 61,655 70,066 8,411 13.6 1,682 2.6
19 Cambooya (S) 5,935 6,732 797 13.4 159 2.6
20 Gold Coast (C) 497,568 563,786 66,218 13.3 13,244 2.5
Source: PIFU - Fastest Growing LGAs in Queensland – 2006-2011, 2006 Edition, Medium and High Series Projections
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Message
Big Region
One of Australia’s most important coal-bearing basins
Global Demand – Regional Impact
Resources of more than 25billion tonnes
70% of States Coal Inventory
Leading Rapid Population Growth in Queensland
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Central HighlandsCentral Highlands
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ShiresShires
Friday, 21 April 2023 13
Advocacy ApproachesAdvocacy Approaches
May 2004 – Infrastructure Forum
November 2004 – Mining Forum I
December 2004 – Construction & Development Forum
February 2005 – Population Forum – PIFU
March 2005 - Mining Forum II
May 2005 - Regional Briefings - Regional Directors/Managers, RMCN, CQANM
July 2005 - Ministerial Deputations – Treasurer, Local Government, State Development
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Advocacy ApproachesAdvocacy Approaches
July 2005 - Directors General Deputations – Local Government, Natural Resources & Mines, Communities, State Development, Housing, Treasury
July 2005 - Mining Forum III
September 2005 – Development Forum
October 2005 – Ministerial Regional Community Forum – Emerald
Good reception at the regional level
Frank discussions with DGs
Dissappointing response from Ministers
Where to from here???
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Advocacy ApproachesAdvocacy Approaches
RAPAD – No Forced Amalgamations Campaign - $250K – Rallies, SEQ Letter Drops, TV Ads, Use of Celebrities, Internet – You Tube
SEQ Council of Mayors – Previous ROC, Legal Entity, Paid Staff, Public Agenda – Water, Broadband, Development
Police Union – Pay Dispute – Paid Staff, TV Ads, Rally
Environmental Lobby – Climate Change - Al Gore, International Documentary, Master Classes, Internet
Kevin Rudd – Federal Election – Kevin 07, Use of All Media, Language and Topics Carefully Selected, TV Ads, Internal Research of People, Generational Thinking and Strategies, Internet
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Political Will & TimingPolitical Will & Timing
May 2006 – ACARP, ISRD, CHDC Regional Forum – Emerald
Jim Pearce – MP for Fitzroy
Lobby’s the Premier on behalf of Bowen Basin communities
State Government Election Promise – DGs to visit region
September 2006 - Bowen Basin Mayors Group established
October 2006 - DGs Visit – 2 Day visit – Moura, Blackwater, Emerald, Dysart, Moranbah
BBMG Presentation to DGs
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Bowen BasinBowen Basin
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ShiresShires
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Key PrioritiesKey Priorities 1.1. CommunicationCommunication between Local Authorities and
State Government Agencies - Effectiveness and New Protocols
2.2. WaterWater Infrastructure Infrastructure - Availability and Cost3.3. Housing InfrastructureHousing Infrastructure – Affordability and Land
Tenure 4.4. HealthHealth – Birthing Services 5.5. Road InfrastructureRoad Infrastructure - Maintenance and Priority 6.6. Social InfrastructureSocial Infrastructure - Impacts on People
Bowen Basin Mayors Group – Planning Meeting – Emerald - September 2006
Tuesday, 21 August 2007 20
Message
Central Highlands – regional recognition
Limited impact with Government
Others Ways to Influence
Political Will & Timing
BBMG
Key Prioirities
DGs Visit
21Tuesday, 21 August 2007
Directors General VisitDirectors General Visit Deputy Premier announces CQ Coal Communities
Taskforce prior to DGs Visit – without hearing the outcome of the visit
Two days – five coal mining communities Each town held Community and Business Talks DGs Very Impressed with Presentation and Visit DGs Promise to Develop Cabinet Submission DGs are the CQ Coal Communities Taskforce BBMG and QRC thankful for visit – but….
Friday, 21 April 2023 22
Directors General Come BackDirectors General Come Back April 12 – DGs return with Response Presented to BBMG on the morning of meeting Two New Policy Initiatives –
Sustainable Futures Framework for Qld Mining Towns
Acceleration of the Implementation of the WHaM Plan and CQANM
37 Pages of Actions and Initiatives BBMG Question What’s New and as a Consequnce
of their efforts April 17 – Local Government Reform Announced
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Next StepNext Step BBMG Request Meeting with DGs for
August/September Letter from DGs Group - Deal with the CEOs
Committee on Progressive and Productive Economy Local/Regional Government – Overwhelmed with
Reform – Concentration on Rapid Growth Issues Needed
Time to Engage with CEOs Committee on Progressive and Productive Economy
Friday, 21 April 2023 24
Message
It’s time to Convert Information & Effort into Influence & Action
The Bowen Basin Mayors Group Welcomes the Opportunity to Further Discuss a Positive Way Forward
Thankyou
