The Coming Transformation of the Internet

Invited Keynote to the

UCSD CONNECT Financial Forum

Sheraton Hotel at Harbor Island

San Diego, CA

February 21, 2001

• Wireless Access--Anywhere, Anytime

• Broadband to the Home and Small Businesses

• Vast Increase in Internet End Points– Embedded Processors

– Sensors and Actuators

– Information Appliances

• Highly Parallel Light Waves Through Fiber

• Emergence of a Distributed Planetary Computer– Storage of Data Everywhere

– Scalable Computing Power

– Artificial Intelligence Learning Software

The Emerging Brilliant CloudA Mobile Internet Powered by a Planetary Computer

The Perfect Storm: Convergence of Engineering with Biology, Physics, & IT

50 nanometersHuman Rhinovirus

IBM Quantum CorralIron Atoms on Copper150x

Magnification

From MEMS to Nanotech

VCSELaser

50x Magnification

0.1 mm

Can Use of These Technologies Help Us Avoid the Downsides of Prolonged Growth?

• Add Wireless Sensor Array

• Build GIS Data• Focus on:

– Pollution– Water Cycle– Earthquakes– Bridges– Traffic– Policy

• Work with the Community to Adapt to Growth

HuntingtonBeach

Mission Bay

San Diego Bay

UCSD

UCI

High Tech Coast

Governor Davis Created New Institutes for Science, Innovation, and Tech Transfer

www.calit2.net

220 UCSD & UCI Faculty and StaffWorking in Multidisciplinary Teams

With Students, Industry, and the Community

The State Provides $100M for New Buildings, Laboratories, and High Tech Equipment

A Broad Partnership Response from the Private Sector

Akamai Boeing

BroadcomAMCC CAIMISCompaq

Conexant Copper Mountain

EmulexEnterprise Partners VC

EntropiaEricsson

Global PhotonIBM

IdeaEdge VenturesIntersil

Irvine SensorsLeap Wireless

Litton IndustriesMedExpert

Merck Microsoft

Mission VenturesNCR

Newport CorporationOrincon

Panoram Technologies Printronix

QUALCOMMQuantum

R.W. Johnson Pharmaceutical RISAIC

SciFrameSeagate Storage

Silicon Wave Sony

STMicroelectronicsSun Microsystems

TeraBurst Networks Texas InstrumentsUCSD Healthcare The Unwired Fund

WebEx

ComputersCommunications

SoftwareSensors

BiomedicalStartups

Venture Firms

$140 M Match From Industry

Elements of the Cal -(IT)2 Industrial Partnerships

• Endowed Chairs for Professors

• Start-Up Support for Young Faculty

• Graduate Student Fellowships

• Research and Academic Professionals

• Sponsored Research Programs

• Equipment Donations for Cal-(IT)2 and Campus

• Named Laboratories in new Institute Buildings

• Pro Bono Services and Software

½ Mile

•Commodity Internet, Internet2•High-speed WAN (OC48+)•Link UCSD and UCI

• Campus Wireless

The UCSD “Living Laboratory”—Fiber, Wireless, Compute, Data, Software

SIO

SDSC

CS

ChemMed

Eng. / Cal-(IT)2

Hosp

• High-speed optical core• 8 Gigabit now• 80 Gigabit in 18 months• 1 Terabit in 36 Months

Source: Phil Papadopoulos

WhatAre the Special Requirements of the Arts?

Augmented Reality Requires Overlaying the Physical and Cyber Realities

Source: Virginia Tech/Univ. Illinois, MIT, Univ Washington, UCSD

0

4

8

12

16

1997 1999 2001 2003

US

In

sta

lle

d (

Millio

ns

)

DSL

Cable Modems

Broadband Will Connect 30 Million Homes and Small Businesses in Three Years

• PCs Always On• High Bandwidth Access• Stage is Set for Explosion

of Internet Computing– Tie PCs Together as

Virtual Computer Cluster

• Everyone Has Access to:– Supercomputing– Large Storage

Source: Kinetic Strategies Inc., Gilder Technology Report

Pioneer Consulting

SETI@home Demonstrated that PC Internet Computing Could Grow to Megacomputers

• Running on 500,000 PCs, ~1000 CPU Years per Day– Over Half a Million CPU Years so far!– 22 Teraflops sustained 24x7

• Sophisticated Data & Signal Processing Analysis• Distributes Datasets from Arecibo Radio Telescope

Next Step-Allen Telescope Array

AreciboRadio Telescope

Extending the Grid to Planetary Dimensions Using Distributed Computing and Storage

AutoDock Application Software Has Been Downloaded to Over 12,000 PCsNearly 1.5 Million CPU-Hours Computed

In SilicoDrug Design

Art Olson, TSRI