The Economic Importance of the Coal Industry in B.C. and CanadaMichelle MondevilleDirector of Communications and Stakeholder Relations, Coal Association of Canada
Canadian Coal Mines
2
Coal Production (2011)
• Almost 68 million tonnes of coal produced• 27 million tonnes (40%) mined in B.C.• 89% of Canadian MET coal production in B.C.
3
Province Met. Coal Thermal Coal Total
BC 9 1 10
AB 2 7 9
Sask - 3 3
NS - 2 2
TOTALS 11 13 24
Production Volumes and Coal Prices
• 2011 was a historical milestone total value of Cdn. coal production reached $7.0 billion a three-fold increase from $1.6 billion in 2001 represented 22% of total B.C. exports $1 billion in capital investment
• Prices for thermal and metallurgical coal increased at a strong pace between 2008-2011 annual average growth rate of 15% over past 10 years depressed prices since Longer term prospects promising again
4
5
Coal Prices
Impact of Coal Production on Our Economy
• Coal industry contributed an estimated $5.2 billion to Canada’s GDP and $3.2 billion in B.C.
• Total Cdn. coal export sales reported at $8.0 billion over $7.0 billion in B.C.
• Coal exports grew over 300% over the last decade 16% average annual growth rate
6
Impact of Coal Production on Our Economy
7
• Canada the third largest exporter of MET coal after Australia and the U.S.
• Major buyers of Canadian coal: Japan (27%) South Korea (24%) Europe (16%) China (10%)
Employment
• Coal employment (direct and in-direct) 42,000 people across Canada 26,000 people in B.C.
• Many are highly skilled workers
• Average coal industry salaries over double the average national wage and amongst the highest in the mining sector
• Salary rates increased 37% over the past 10 years.
8
Government/Community Contributions
• Government Revenues 2011 tax payments made by the coal mining industry to
all levels of government were $715.2 million $399 million in tax revenue generated by economic activity $316.2 million in mineral taxes paid to the B.C. Government
Payments to governments support public infrastructure, such as roads, hospitals, schools and programs, which contribute to our well being and quality of life
• Coal companies and employees also actively involved in contributing to local communities
9
PwC Reports…..Bottom Line
Canada and B.C. would be disadvantaged financially and socially without the coal industry - all facets of the economy benefit from a thriving coal industry
10
What does the future hold for met coal?
• Global steel production has grown strongly since 2000
• WCA predicts 3% growth in steel markets in 2013/4
• A significant amount of steel is needed for the future.
• Emerging urbanizing economies will need steel for infrastructure, housing and transportation
11
What does the future hold for coal?
12
2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035
China 150-300Mt
India >400-600Mt
Indonesia >100-150Mt
Other Asia >80-150Mt
Africa >>400Mt
Other >100Mt
“The path expected for emerging economies as they urbanise is likely to lead to a intensity per capita of around 350-450kg as limitations on land require further increases in building height. Don’t forget China is not finished yet and
India and others have not really started!” – Neil Bristow
Canadian Coal’s Strategic Advantage• Canada outperforms peers on met coal margins• Growing port capacities• Proximity to fast growing Asian economies• Reliable alternative to large Australian and
Indonesian thermal coal suppliers
13
Canadian Coal’s Strategic Advantage (Ports)
14
Canadian port capacity and throughput (Mt)
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
Westshore Ridley Island Neptune Canada East
Texada Island Total exports* Historic Shipped Tons Metallurgical coal export demand
Mill
ion
tonn
es (c
hang
e in
cap
acity
)
Mill
ion
tonn
es (e
xpor
ts)
15
Canadian Coal Challenges
Criticisms of coal
• Myth: Coal isn’t safe Fact: Thousands of people (mine workers to train
operators to terminal operators) work at coal sites without issue
• Myth: Coal is toxic Fact: Coal is not classed as a dangerous or hazardous
material by Transport Canada. It’ s not on the International Agency for Research on Cancer’s list of carcinogenic agents. Nor is coal carcinogenic to humans
• Myth: Coal exacerbates climate change (and industry should be shut down) Fact: Coal is critical for developing nations to rise out of
poverty; to support economic development and growth
16
Coal is essential for developing nations• 1.3 billion without electricity• Coal – reliable energy where it is most needed• India – 70% of electricity comes from coal• 300 million in India have no electricity
17
Setting the Record Straight
• Coal Alliance Member coordinated public and media outreach web and social media
Website: coalalliance.ca
• Vote Mining: Raised the profile and importance of mining during the recent BC election candidate outreach Public education web and social media
18
Conclusion
• Canada would be disadvantaged if we didn’t produce and sell our coal - from the contribution to GDP, trade balance, jobs and communities….coal positively impacts all facets of our economy and society
• Share your knowledge of the coal industry and the important contributions it makes locally and globally
• For more information: Download our PwC Reports at www.coal.ca (see
Resources) Follow us on Twitter Attend our conference (Sept, 2014 in Vancouver) 19
Thank you!
Michelle MondevilleDirector of Communications and Stakeholder Relations
Coal Association of [email protected] (cell)
www.coal.ca
20