The Effects of Sequestrationon Economic Statistics

Surviving the Loss of Public data

Suzan Reagan, Sr. Program Mgr. Data Bank

November 13, 2013

Government Shutdown October 1, 2013

Short term effect of data loss

Projects put on hold.

Local Programs Effected

Sequestration – Related Budget Cuts

Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA)• 3 programs

Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS)• 3 programs

Energy Information Administration (EIA)• 2 programs

US Department of Agriculture• 2 programs

US Census Bureau• 5 programs

15 public

data sources

effected!

Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA)

• Metropolitan & County personal income statistics.

• Alternate source: QCEW average weekly wage.

Local Area Personal Income Statistics (LAPD)

• Modeling estimates for private sector, Federal, State & local Government.

• Alternate source: Private estimates IMPLAN

Regional Input-Output Modeling System (RIMS)

• Data for multinational companies, offshoring and impact of global value chains for measuring economic activity.

• Alternate source: International data

Foreign Direct Investment Analytical

Products

Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS)

• Demographic & other stats on major job cutbacks.

• Alternate source: UI claims ETA

Mass Layoff Statistics Program

(MLS)

• Special employer surveys (OES) & Career information products.

• Alternate source: none

Measuring Green Jobs

• Adjusted foreign data to common definitions & classifications.

• Alternate source: International data

International Labor Comparisons Program (ILC)

International Data Sources• European Union: Eurostat http://ec.europa.eu/ • Food and Agricultural Organization (FAO) http://www.fao.org/home/en/ • International Energy Agency (IEA) http://www.iea.org/ • International Labour Organization (ILO) http://www.ilo.org/global/lang--en/index.htm • LABORSTA (ILO) http://laborsta.ilo.org/ • United Nations Statistics Programmes http://laborsta.ilo.org/links_E.html • Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD)

http://www.oecd.org/ • United Nations Statistical Division http://unstats.un.org/unsd/default.htm • UN Economic Commission for Europe (UN/ECE) Statistical Division

http://www.unece.org/ • World Health Organization Statistical Information

http://www.who.int/gho/en/

Energy Information Administration (EIA)

• Annual publication with energy consumption included petroleum, natural gas, coal, electricity, nuclear, & renewable energy statistics.

• Alternate Source:

Annual Energy Review

• Delayed data and upgrades to system included weekly petroleum & natural gas statistics.

• Alternate Source:

Residential Energy

Consumption Survey (RECS)

US Department of Agriculture

• Surveys & Reports• Alternative source: www.agricola.com

National Agricultural

Statistics Service (NASS)

• Agricultural Productivity in the US• County-Level data sets (County look-Up

Tables)• Alternative source: State & local

agriculture cooperatives

Economic Research

Service (ERS)

US Census Bureau

• 6 month delay delivery of over 1,600 products from the 2012 Economic Census.Economic Census

• Reduction in infrastructure upgrades, program management, and research.

American Community Survey

• Implementation of new supplemental poverty measures.• Delay data releases for the 2014 panel of the Survey of Income and

program participation.

Demographic Program

• Loss of planned research and testing for 2020.• Delay of preparatory work for the field test.• Delay of 2020 design decisions.

2020 Decennial Census Program

• Delay in 2020 Census address canvassing.Geographic

Support Program

Census Data Alternative websites

• Missouri Census Data Center http://mcdc.missouri.edu/

• Stats America http://www.statsamerica.org/ • National Historical Geographic Information System

https://www.nhgis.org/ • Minnesota Population Center IPUMS https://

usa.ipums.org/usa/index.shtml • Census Reporter http://beta.censusreporter.org/

What is the big deal? It’s just data anyway.

Informed Decision Making

Quantified observations

Identify resources

Understand complex systems

Share data

Why data is important!

Data Sources

PublicPrivate

Issues:Methodology - accepted statistical practices and available for reviewData – quality & comparable across geographiesSurveys & Census - sample sizes and response ratesCost & Sharing - data collection and access & Available to public programs without additional costAcademic – replicate and verification

Thank You!

Suzan ReaganPhone: 277-3038Email: sreagan@unm.eduUniversity of New Mexico1919 Las Lomas NEMSC06 3510Albuquerque, NM 87131-0001