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The February 2013 storm

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    Potential Historic Winter StormFebruary 8-9, 2013

    Briefing Summary:

    830 AM Thursday, February 7th, 2013

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    Overview High confidence across most of the region with 1 to 2

    feet of snow accumulations expected A bit more uncertainty on Snow Accumulations for

    Cape/Islands

    Potential Impacts: Damaging Wind Gusts

    Widespread Prolonged

    Power Outages

    Coastal Flooding

    Potential for stranded

    vehicles

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    Timingo Spotty Light Snow Develops early Friday morning

    o No more than a dusting of snow expected for the Fridaymorning rush hour

    o Snow becomes widespread during Friday afternoon

    o Heavy snow overspreads the region from south to north

    between 3 and 6 pm. Evening rush hour becomes

    treacherous, with 1 to 2 inch per hour snow developing.

    o Heavy snow along with blizzard conditions Fri night/Sat

    morning. Travel not recommended with whiteout

    conditions possible. 2 to 3 inch per hour snowfall rates.

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    SnowfallHigh confidence in 1 to 2

    feet of snow across much ofsouthern New England.

    Still some uncertainty as to

    how much snow will fall on

    the Cape and Islands with awintry mix or a changeover

    to rain possible.

    Best chance for higher

    amounts will be along theI-95 Boston to Providence

    corridor.

    Latest Snowfall Forecast

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    SnowfallHighest probabilities: Northeastern Massachusetts

    Experimental Snowfall Probability Forecasts

    8 or Greater 12 or Greater

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    WindStrongest winds late Friday night into Sat afternoon

    Significant damage is possible with gusts up to and inexcess of hurricane force (74mph) across Cape and

    Islands. Downed trees and widespread power

    outages are likely along the far southeast new

    England Coast.

    Blizzard Watches account for

    high wind threat

    Sustained winds early Saturday morning

    Wind Gust potential Saturday Morning

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    Marine ImpactDangerous and Life Threatening storm for mariners!

    Storm Force and Hurricane Wind Watches continue for all waters.

    Strongest winds from Cape Cod Bay and Nantucket and points east.

    Wind gusts of 55 to 65 kts. Up to Hurricane Force!

    Seas between 25 and 30 feet.

    Timing: The worst conditions with highest seas and strongest winds

    occur late Friday night into Saturday afternoon.

    Conditions will gradually improve Saturday night and Sunday, but gale

    Force wind gusts still expected.

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    Coastal FloodingHigh Tides of concern east coastal MA:

    Late evening Friday (9:30 to 10 pm)

    Mid-morning Saturday (10 to 10:30 am)Minor to Moderate impact Friday evening:

    - Surge 2 to 3 feet

    - Seas just offshore 15 to 20 feet

    Saturday mid morning high tide

    - Boston northward: Moderate

    - Surge around 2 feet

    - Seas just offshore around 25 feet

    - South of Boston: Moderate to Major

    - Surge 2 to 3 feet (possibly 4 feet

    north side of Cape)

    - Seas just offshore around 30 feetPockets of minor flooding possible along the

    south coast (confidence not as high)

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    SummaryPotential for a Historic Winter Storm and Blizzard

    Summary:

    Heavy Snow and blizzard conditions late Friday into

    Saturday morning

    Travel may become nearly impossible withblowing/drifting snow and near 0 Visibilities.

    Moderate to perhaps a few pockets of major coastal

    flooding Friday night/Sat AM High Tide Cycle

    Winds to Hurricane Force across far Southeast NewEngland coast resulting in structural damage

    Concern for Stranded Vehicles

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    Questions? Get the latest information at:

    www.weather.gov/boston Area Forecast Discussion

    Hazardous Weather Outlook

    Call us: 508-823-2228

    NWSChat Online https://nwschat.weather.gov

    E-mail:[email protected]

    http://www.weather.gov/bostonhttps://nwschat.weather.gov/https://nwschat.weather.gov/http://www.weather.gov/boston

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