The global energy landscape and its impact on Bangladesh

Dr. Boris Gehring

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Global energy outlook

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Source: International Energy Outlook, 2013

Quadrillion Btu49.5% growth in

consumption in 20 years

43.3% growth in consumption projected by

2040

Demand fuelled by coal, oil, gas, and nuclear

renewables

1995

1998

2001

2004

2007

2010

2013

2016

2019

2022

2025

2028

2031

2034

2037

2040

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

World energy consumption

Liquids Coal Natural gas Renewables Nuclear

49.5%

43.3%

Energy landscape in Bangladesh

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82% increase in energy demand from 2010 to 2030

95% of energy generation from coal, oil and gas

Energy demand 20% higher than capacity in 2014

90 GW of capacity to be installed from 2014 to 2019 Source: Power System Master Plan 2010

Energy landscape in Bangladesh

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Source: Enipedia, Energy & Industry group, Delft University of Technology

49% of total capacity of conventional plants near or

beyond lifespan

Increasing emphasis on clean coal and gas technologies

Power plant efficiency levels below world average

Middle East Africa Asia Europe Bangladesh North America0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

≥ 20 years old <20 years old

Proportion of aging conventional plants

Energy efficiency – the fifth fuel

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The potential of energy efficiency in BangladeshThermal Power Plants Average efficiency: 28.57% 8 – 10% more power can be generated

through better processes and technologies

1% improvement in country-level average gas generation efficiency can translate into USD 66 million in fuel cost savings over 15 years

Source: World Energy Council, 2013

Efficiency of Thermal Power Plants

Middle East Africa Asia Europe Bangladesh North America0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

34.2

38

34.5

37.9

28.57

40.2

%

Objectives

Balancing operational efficiency, availability and compliance to environmental standards

Efficiency: Minimising energy loss in power generation and maximising output• 7 - 15 % of the power generated in fossil-fuel

plants is consumed by the plant’s auxiliary systems.

Availability: Minimising downtime due to unforeseen repairs or maintenance needed due to breakdowns

Compliance to standards: Minimising emissions and ensuring safety to meet national and international standards

Solutions

Integrated solutions that focus on operation and implementation synergies

Renovation & Modernisation • Include NDT, performance tests, energy audits• Increase lifetime of plants by 15 to 20 years• Increase rated capacity by 4 – 8%• Increase efficiency by 8 – 10%

Asset Integrity Management, Operation & Maintenance • Include in-service inspections, preventive &

predictive maintenance• Maximise productivity, avoid unnecessary

shutdown

Independent inspection and assessment• Ensure adherance to environmental and safety

standards

Achieving operational efficiency in existing plants

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Challenges

Managing risk and maximizing investment certainty

Prevention or minimization of project delays• Main causes of delays include inaccurate

time estimation, poor site quality assurance, delayed approvals and quality control problems

• 1- year delay in project completion directly led to USD 40 million in cost overrun in Middle East

Uncertainty project costs• A study by the US Department of Energy

estimates that scope and labour changes, delays, plant performance deviations and other unforeseen costs may add an additional 15% to 20% to plant construction costs

Solutions

Having adequate Due diligence services• Ensures detail due diligence focusing on

technical, environmental, sustainability and commercial

Comprehensive owner’s engineering and supply chain service• Ensures smooth project management and

quality assurance from project conception to plant commissioning

Comprehensive understanding of grid services • To optimise electrical interconnection of your

power plants, it is important to analyze grid connection conditions; grid connection application; technical requirements for grid connection and device grid compatibility

Ensuring smooth development of new-built plants

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Supply chain solutions for new build plants

QAinspection

(IQC)Loading/unloading

supervision

Pre-shipmentinspection

Finalinspection

Verification ofConformity & Procurement

certification Stageinspection

Siteassessment

Supplychain audits

Marketsurveillance

management

Tender & contractmanagement

Vendor Qualification &

Supplier Valuation

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Post-shipment inspection

ProcurementAssurance

Customised end-to-end solutions

From feasibility and planning through to procurement, construction, commissioning, operation, maintenance, and decommissioning, TÜV SÜD ensures improved operational safety, reliability and overall performance of power plants for investors, engineering, procurement and construction contractors, and operators.

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Your business benefits

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Increase availability, optimize performanceTÜV SÜD’s experts help you obtain professional advice in performance optimization to reduce outage time

and increase your return on investment.

Promote efficiency, reduce emissions

Our experts’ impartial perspective fosters cost

efficiency in your organisation, while their comprehensive

knowledge contributes to your emissions goals.

Minimise risk, improve reliability

We help you to reduce the risk of conventional power plant incidents, enhance safety for people and the

environment, increase process transparency and eliminate

interface problems.

Strengthenyour competitive

edgeLeverage on our expertise in safety and statutory compliance for legal

certainty. Third-party certification by TÜV SÜD demonstrates your

commitment to quality.

http://www.tuv-sud.com.bd/bd-en/industry/power-energy/conventional-power

Thank you for your attention.

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