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© 2012 75 Cours Emile Zola, F-69100 Villeurbanne - Lyon, France Tel: +33 472 83 01 80 - Fax: +33 472 83 01 83 Web: http://www.yole.fr The growth of the MEMS Market - SEMI Networking Day Italy, 20 Sept 2012 -
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Page 1: The growth of the MEMS Market day... · Global Trends Driving Consumer MEMS Video / Music consumption Global Trends Driving Needs Driving MEMS Diversity of users/tasks: communicate,

© 2012

75 Cours Emile Zola, F-69100 Villeurbanne - Lyon, France

Tel: +33 472 83 01 80 - Fax: +33 472 83 01 83

Web: http://www.yole.fr

The growth of the MEMS Market

- SEMI Networking Day Italy, 20 Sept 2012 -

Page 2: The growth of the MEMS Market day... · Global Trends Driving Consumer MEMS Video / Music consumption Global Trends Driving Needs Driving MEMS Diversity of users/tasks: communicate,

© 2012• 2

Outline

• Status of MEMS industry in 2012

• Back to the past… Inertial industry in 2002

• Current business trends in mobile devices

• Impact of MEMS in the traditional inertial industry

(industrial/defense/aero end-markets)

• Next wave of MEMS

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© 2012• 3

Fields of Research Activity

Founded in 1998, Yole Developpement is a global market, technology and strategy consulting company involved in :

Our research is performed by in-house personnel conducting open-ended discussions based on interviews.

32 full time analysts with technical and marketing degrees

Primary research including over 3,500 interviews per year

Wafers and substrates

MEMS &

image sensors

Photovoltaics

Advanced

Packaging

Microfluidic

& Medical

Technologies

Power

Electronics

HB LED, LED & LD

Page 4: The growth of the MEMS Market day... · Global Trends Driving Consumer MEMS Video / Music consumption Global Trends Driving Needs Driving MEMS Diversity of users/tasks: communicate,

© 2012• 4

Yole Développement Services

1. Strategy & Technology Consulting Services

• Market research and marketing analysis

• Strategy analysis

• Technology evaluation

• Reverse costing

• Financial services with Yole Finance

2. Publication of Market & Technology Reports

• >30 reports per year

3. Custom Workshops

• Get data and information on any of Yole’s expertise: MEMS, Compound

Semiconductors, Advanced Packaging, Photovoltaic …

4. Yole Media & Communication Support

• Micronews magazine and website

• Technology magazines: MEMS Trends…

Page 5: The growth of the MEMS Market day... · Global Trends Driving Consumer MEMS Video / Music consumption Global Trends Driving Needs Driving MEMS Diversity of users/tasks: communicate,

© 2012• 5

$0M

$5 000M

$10 000M

$15 000M

$20 000M

$25 000M

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

MEMS Market forecast 2009-2017 value (in M$)

Oscillators

RF MEMS

Microdispensers (microfluidics)

Microfluidics for IVD

Microfluidics for Research

Other optical MEMS

Projection systems

Micro displays

PIR & Thermopiles

Microbolometers

Inertial combos

Digital Compass

Gyroscopes

Accelerometers

Microphones

Pressure Sensors

InkJet Heads

Other

Continued Strong Growth 2011-2017 Forecast (in US$M)

Yole Developpement © March 2012

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© 2012• 6

TOP 30 MEMS Players

91

3

90

7

76

2

73

8

36

2

33

6

28

4

27

9

26

1

25

5

25

1

25

0

23

7

17

4

15

3

15

0

14

4

14

4

13

6

12

1

11

0

10

2

90

77

76

75

62

56

55

51

$0

$200

$400

$600

$800

$1 000

$1 200

US$

M

2011 TOP 30 MEMS Players Yole Développement March 2012 Yole Developpement © April 2012

Page 7: The growth of the MEMS Market day... · Global Trends Driving Consumer MEMS Video / Music consumption Global Trends Driving Needs Driving MEMS Diversity of users/tasks: communicate,

© 2012• 7

Many Changes in 10 years

• In 2002 the inertial MEMS market was < $600M

– The TOTAL MEMS market was just $3.4B

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

Consumer /mobile

Automotive Industrial,medical,

aerospace,defense

Consumer /mobile

Automotive Industrial,medical,

aerospace,defense

MEMS accelerometers MEMS gyroscopes

Mar

ket

($M

)

Inertial MEMS 2002-2011 market evolution ($M)

2002

2011

Yole développement © Aug. 2012

Page 8: The growth of the MEMS Market day... · Global Trends Driving Consumer MEMS Video / Music consumption Global Trends Driving Needs Driving MEMS Diversity of users/tasks: communicate,

© 2012• 8

Cell Phone Market Expectations in 2004

Page 9: The growth of the MEMS Market day... · Global Trends Driving Consumer MEMS Video / Music consumption Global Trends Driving Needs Driving MEMS Diversity of users/tasks: communicate,

© 2012• 9

Cell Phone Market Expectations in 2004

Page 10: The growth of the MEMS Market day... · Global Trends Driving Consumer MEMS Video / Music consumption Global Trends Driving Needs Driving MEMS Diversity of users/tasks: communicate,

© 2012• 10

Inertial Sensors Driven by Mobile Devices

• Consumer / mobile is now the largest market for inertial MEMS

• Smartphone & tablets will drive the market for the next few years

Mobile phone

Tablets

Gaming

Cameras & camcorders Laptop

Ebooks & PMP Remote controls

Other consumer

Automotive

Indus., med. & defense

Global inertial MEMS market breakdown by application segment

- 2011 - total = $3.4B

Yole développement © Aug. 2012

Mobile phone

Tablets

Gaming

Cameras & camcorders Laptop

Ebooks & PMP Remote controls

Other consumer

Automotive

Indus., med. & defense

Global inertial MEMS market breakdown by application segment

- 2017 - total = $5.3B

Yole développement © Aug. 2012

Page 11: The growth of the MEMS Market day... · Global Trends Driving Consumer MEMS Video / Music consumption Global Trends Driving Needs Driving MEMS Diversity of users/tasks: communicate,

© 2012• 11

Global Trends Driving Consumer MEMS

Video / Music

consumption

Global Trends Driving Needs Driving MEMS

Diversity of users/tasks: communicate, inform, play

work, home, health, fun

Multiple platforms, variety

of form factors and

architectures

More Apps use more data

Smart… getting smarter

Social networking

Sensor / Data fusion

More demanding

specifications

Cost pressure

Size pressure

More sensors Internet everywhere

Data consumption

Advertising Location-based services

New entertainment and

gaming experiences

Broader performance (inertial, acoustic…)

Integrated solutions combos sensors

Integration with

processing

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© 2012• 12

Penetration Rate: New Function

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012e 2013e 2014e 2015e 2016e 2017e

Pe

net

rati

on

in m

ob

ile p

ho

ne

s an

d t

able

ts (

%)

Magnetometer penetration - % (historical data)MEMS gyroscopes penetration - % (historical data)MEMS accelerometers penetration - % (historical data)

Yole développement © May 2012

Page 13: The growth of the MEMS Market day... · Global Trends Driving Consumer MEMS Video / Music consumption Global Trends Driving Needs Driving MEMS Diversity of users/tasks: communicate,

© 2012• 13

Leaders in Distinct MEMS Categories

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

20

11

Sal

es

($M

)

Top MEMS Suppliers in the Mobile Phone and Tablet Market - 2011 Revenue ($M) - Breakdown by Product Type -

MEMS accelerometers MEMS Gyroscopes Magnetometers

Combos Accelerometers Gyroscopes Combos Accelerometers Magnetometers BAW filters & Duplexers

RF MEMS Switch / Variable capacitors Silicon Microphones Other emerging MEMS

Yole développement © May 2012

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© 2012• 14

Global Consumer Motion Sensor Leaders

• ST Microelectronics is the global leader

• Other players are generally (still) specialized in only one type of sensor

ST Microelectron

ics 39.5%

AKM 16.9% InvenSense

8.7%

Bosch Sensortec

6.7%

Kionix 4.7%

Panasonic 4.4%

Epson Toyocom

3.4%

Memsic 2.3%

Freescale 1.8%

Sony 1.7%

Aichi MI 1.6%

Murata 1.6%

Yamaha 1.4%

Analog Devices

1.1%

VTI 0.2%

Others 4.0%

Consumer motion sensors (accel, gyro, magneto & combos)

- 2011 market shares - total = $1.7B

Yole développement © Aug. 2012

Page 15: The growth of the MEMS Market day... · Global Trends Driving Consumer MEMS Video / Music consumption Global Trends Driving Needs Driving MEMS Diversity of users/tasks: communicate,

© 2012• 15

Inertial Combos: Driving Opportunities

0

1500

3000

4500

2009 2010 2011 2012e 2013e 2014e 2015e 2016e 2017e

Mar

ket

(M U

nit

s)

Motion sensors for mobile phones and tablets - 2009-2017 market (M Units)

Discrete MEMS accelerometers Discrete MEMS gyroscopes

Discrete Magnetometers Combos accelerometers magnetometers

Combos accelerometers gyroscopes Combos 9DOF

Yole développement © Aug. 2012

InvenSense MPU-9150

Bosch BMC050, 6-Axis Electronic Compass

ST Micro LSM330DLC

ST Micro LSM330DLC

Page 16: The growth of the MEMS Market day... · Global Trends Driving Consumer MEMS Video / Music consumption Global Trends Driving Needs Driving MEMS Diversity of users/tasks: communicate,

© 2012• 16

High-Performance Side:

Gyroscope Technology Breakdown

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Industrial (>6°/h)

Tactical (0.5-5%/h)

Short termnavigation

(0.05-0.5°/h)

High-endnavigation /

strategic(<0.04°/h)

Shar

e in

val

ue

(%

)

Gyro bias stability

2011 High-Perf Gyro Market ($M) - Techno breakdown - Total = $1289M -

- Bias stability -

HRG / others

Other mechanical / vibrating gyros

DTG

RLG

FOG

Si / Quartz MEMS

Yole Developpement © Aug. 2012

Page 17: The growth of the MEMS Market day... · Global Trends Driving Consumer MEMS Video / Music consumption Global Trends Driving Needs Driving MEMS Diversity of users/tasks: communicate,

© 2012• 17

Inertial Industry: 2003 to 2022

2003 2012 2022

(realistic scenario)

Devices • 1 & 2 axis sensors

• 3-axis accel emerging

• 3-axis sensors

• IMUs emerging

• 9 & 10 DOF + software

• IMU (auto, high-perf)

Markets • Automotive

• 1. Consumer

• 2. Automotive

• 3. High-performance

• 1. Mobile/Sports/Health

• 2. High-performance

• 3. Automotive

$ Value • $600M • $3.8B • $6B

Players • Bosch / Systron Donner /

ADI, Delphi, Denso

• ST / Bosch / InvenSense

+ many challengers and

start-ups

• Bosch / Panasonic /

Murata / Freescale /

Denso / ADI

• 3 global leaders

(Consumer / Auto)

• Challengers: niche markets

• 5-10 large system

integrators (high-perf)

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© 2012• 18

Split of the Added-Value in MEMS

Gross Margin

MEMS die (s) R&D / design

ASIC die(s) design

FE assembly, test

Final assembly & packaging

Final test, calibration

ASIC die(s) manufacturing

MEMS die (s) front-end

manufacturing

Other dies (MCU / RF …)

Software / IP

Gross Margin

IC design

Fabless companies

Final assembly & packaging

OSAT

IC manufacturing

Foundry companies

MEMS industry value chain today Traditionnal IC semiconductor industry

value chain

Page 19: The growth of the MEMS Market day... · Global Trends Driving Consumer MEMS Video / Music consumption Global Trends Driving Needs Driving MEMS Diversity of users/tasks: communicate,

© 2012• 19

•MEMS timing devices

•MEMS switch / variable capacitors

•BAW filters

•BAW duplexers

•Accelerometers

•Magnetometers

•Gyroscopes

•6 to 9DOF inertial combos

•Auto-Focus

•Microdisplay

•Micro-mirror for

picroprojectors

•Energy harvesting

•Environmental sensors

(temperature, humidity…)

•Micro fuel cells

•Microspeakers

•Touchscreen

•Joystick

•…

MEMS Product Mix Evolution in Mobile Device

•Silicon microphones

•Pressure sensors

Page 20: The growth of the MEMS Market day... · Global Trends Driving Consumer MEMS Video / Music consumption Global Trends Driving Needs Driving MEMS Diversity of users/tasks: communicate,

© 2012• 20

Next Wave of MEMS

Sensirion Humidity Sensor

AudioPixel microspeaker

NextInput SoftTouch

interface

TI temperature sensor versus a

competing thermopile sensor Polight MEMS autofocus

Samsung Galaxy Beam features

TI DLP

Sand 9 MEMS Oscillator DelfMEMS switch Freescale pressure sensor

Oscillators + micromirrors + displays +

switches & variable capacitors + temperature

sensors + AF + microspeakers + other

emerging MEMS

From $13M to $2.3B market (2017)

(in cell phones and tablets)

Wispry antenna tuner on

cell phone board

Page 21: The growth of the MEMS Market day... · Global Trends Driving Consumer MEMS Video / Music consumption Global Trends Driving Needs Driving MEMS Diversity of users/tasks: communicate,

© 2012• 21

The Growing Billion Unit Club

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

MEMS cumulative shipments by selected companies (Munits)

Knowles microphones Avago FBAR shipments Freescale MEMS

ST MEMS Bosch MEMS SiTime MEMS oscillators

Poly. (Knowles microphones) Poly. (Avago FBAR shipments) Linéaire (Freescale MEMS)

Poly. (ST MEMS) Poly. (Bosch MEMS) Linéaire (SiTime MEMS oscillators)

Yole développement © May 2012

Page 22: The growth of the MEMS Market day... · Global Trends Driving Consumer MEMS Video / Music consumption Global Trends Driving Needs Driving MEMS Diversity of users/tasks: communicate,

© 2012• 22

For more information:

Thank you!

Q&A

www.yole.fr www.i-micronews.com


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