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The Lower Mon Project
William A. Karaffa, P.E.
Project Manager
Briefing to
Waterways Association of PittsburghApril 14, 2004
The Lower Mon Project
Demolition of Old Dam #2
Braddock Dam
The Lower Mon ProjectBraddock Dam
Demolition of Old Dam #2
The Lower Mon Project
Charleroi Locks
Independent ValueEngineering Study
Project Status
Price
De
sig
n Q
ualit
y
De
sig
n E
xecu
tion
Wor
k A
reas
& L
ogi
stic
s
Env
ironm
enta
l Com
plia
nce
Co
nstr
uctio
n E
xecu
tion
Co
ntra
cto
r E
xper
tise
Co
nstr
uctio
n S
afe
ty
Qua
lity
Con
tro
l
CG
- P
roje
ct M
ana
gem
ent
Pos
t P
roje
ct O
pera
tions
Pos
t P
roje
ct M
aint
enan
ce
Co
st G
row
th P
ote
ntia
l
Loc
ks a
nd D
ams
3
Loc
ks a
nd D
ams
4
Sub 1 Sub 2 Sub 3 Sub 4 Sub 1 Sub 2 Sub 3 Sub 4 Sub 1 Sub 2 Sub 3 Sub 4 Sub 1 Sub 2 Price
Current Design
ML L L L LML
ML L MH MH M L L L ML L H MH MH $415M
Independent VE Proposal
MH MH MH M MH ML ML ML L ML L MH L ML M MH ML MH $390M
Factors Not Included in this Technical Evaluation
LRD & HQ PerspectiveNavigation Industry & Partners PerspectiveCongressional Perspective
Blue Exceptional
Green Acceptable
Yellow Marginal
Red Unacceptable
Low
Predicted Level of Risk
High
Factor D Reliability
Ove
rall
Rat
ing
Ove
rall
Rat
ing
Ove
rall
Rat
ing
Medium
Medium Low
Final Evaluation
Medium High
Color Legend Rating
Factor A Technical Approach
Factor B Construction Activities
Factor C Life Cycle Management
Ove
rall
Rat
ing
Amount of Risk likely to cause disruption of schedule, increase in cost, degradation of performance, or reduces safety. Risk Level indicates perceived level of contractor emphasis and/or Government monitoring that may be required to overcome difficulties.
The Lower Mon ProjectCharleroi Locks
Independent Value Engineering StudyBest Value Trade-Off Evaluation
The Lower Mon Project
Charleroi LocksIndependent Value Engineering Study
Final Recommendation
● The Evaluation Team and the PRB acknowledged the potential cost savings of $25M was very speculative, due to the preliminary nature of the VE design.
● The PRB concluded that the risks associated with the long term operability, maintainability, and navigation safety of the VE to be unacceptable, regardless of the potential cost savings.
The Lower Mon Project
Charleroi Locks
Project Status
● Right Bank Work Features - Ongoing
● River Chamber Demolition – Ongoing
● New River Wall Construction – Advertise April 26, 2004
● Waterways Site Visit – April 22, 2004
Lower Monongahela River ProjectEfficient & Constrained Funding Streams
0
20000
40000
60000
80000
100000
120000
FY-01
FY-02
FY-03
FY-04
FY-05
FY-06
FY-07
FY-08
FY-09
FY-10
FY-11
FY-12
FY-13
FY-14
FY-15
FY-16
FY-17
FY-18
FY-19
FY-20
Efficient $80M Maximum Constrained Actual Original Project Schedule
Contract delivery at the rate suggested by the ceilings has not been adequately evaluated. The only accurate forecast is that the constrained schedule will delay project completion by at least seven years, to 2019 or beyond.
Efficient = $60 M / Year (Average)
Lower Monongahela River ProjectCurrent Schedule ($30 M / Year)
Remove L/D 3
Braddock Dam - Prior Contracts
Charleroi Locks - Site Development
Charleroi Locks - River Chamber Demolition
Braddock Dam
Charleroi Locks - River Wall
Charleroi Locks - Upper and Lower G-Walls
Charleroi Locks - Middle Wall
Charleroi Locks - River Chamber; Control Tower, Stilling Basin
Charleroi Locks - Land Wall and Chamber
Pool 3 Dredging
Relocations
Lower Monongahela River ProjectImpacts of Constrained Funding
•Completion of Charleroi Locks is delayed 6 years
•Risk of failure at L/D 3 increases significantly; major rehabilitation may be required to extend project life until 2016 when Dam 3 is removed.
•Increased O&M costs to maintain depreciated lock operating equipment at Locks 3 & 4
•Total benefits foregone with FY-05 constrained schedule are estimated at $1.2 billion.
Lower Monongahela River Project
Additional O&M Requirements
•Locks 3 & 4 (Normal Maintenance Schedule)2007 Repair Valves & Gate Miter Sills $2.0 M2010 Lock Gate Replacement or Rehab $1.5 M2017 Repair Valves & Gate Miter Sills $2.2 M
Total (Each Project)
$5.7 M
•Dam 3•Significant potential for foundation failure without major Rehabilitation. Pool 3 could be lost, resulting in significant impacts to Locks 4 stability, Municipal water intakes, and private facilities.