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PROMOTING EXCELLENCE IN GOVERNMENT The New Face of Georgia: Changing Demographics Matt Hauer Applied Demography Program
P R O M O T I N G E X C E L L E N C E I N G O V E R N M E N T
The New Face of Georgia: Changing Demographics
Matt Hauer Applied Demography Program
Pop Quiz!
There are ___ counties in Georgia.
1. 155
2. 157
3. 159
4. 161
What percent of the state’s population
was born in Georgia?
1. 16.2%
2. 22.8%
3. 43.1%
4. 55.3%
More people move to Georgia from
__________ than any other state.
1. Alabama
2. Florida
3. Texas
4. Michigan
______ people in Georgia speak a
foreign language in their home.
1. Fewer than 500,000
2. Between 500,000 and 750,000
3. Between 750,000 and 1,000,000
4. More than 1,200,000
Georgia ranks ____ in the nation in
terms of household income.
1. 13th
2. 18th
3. 26th
4. 32nd
Population of Georgia, 1900–2010 M
illio
ns
Source: US Census Bureau
Components of Change, 1940–2009
1,020,304
Source: US Census Bureau
Fastest Growing Counties
• Of the fastest growing counties in the
United States, Georgia has
– 3 of the top 20,
– 6 of the top 50, and
– 9 of the top 100
Source: US Census Bureau
Fastest Growing Counties: 9 of 100
Change in Population, 2000–2010
Source: US Census Bureau
Change in Population, 2010–2013
Source: US Census Bureau
82 Counties
have lost
population since
2010.
35 Counties
have negative
natural increase.
93 Counties
have negative
net migration.
6 counties
account for 2/3
of all Pop growth
since 2010.
Atlanta Housing Growth
Atlanta Housing Growth
Atlanta Housing Growth
05-09
Atlanta Housing Growth
Atlanta Housing Growth
05-09
Georgia’s Race Distribution, 1980
72%
26%
1% 1%
White Black Hispanic Other
Georgia’s Race Distribution, 2010
1980 2010
72%
26%
1% 1%
White Black Hispanic Other
56% 30%
9%
5%
Georgia’s Race Distribution, 1980–2030
72%
26%
1% 1% White Black Hispanic Other
56% 30%
9% 5%
1980 2010
44% 32%
16% 8%
2030
Source: US Census Bureau, and internal population projections
Race and Ethnic Population Change, 1980–2010
0
2,000,000
4,000,000
6,000,000
8,000,000
10,000,000
12,000,000
1980 1990 2000 2010
Po
pu
lati
on
Other
Hispanic
Black
White
Source: US Census Bureau
Gwinnett County has the largest New Immigrant
Asian population.
Percent Asian Percent
Change
County 1990 2000 2010 1990–2010
Henry 0.6% 1.8% 3.0% 1,753%
Gwinnett 2.9% 7.2% 10.7% 739%
Fulton 1.3% 3.0% 5.6% 519%
Cobb 1.8% 3.1% 4.5% 291%
Henry County is one of the four fastest growing counties in the
U.S.
Source: US Census Bureau
Growth, 2000–2010
Number
Change
White 285,259
Black 579,335
Other 218,144
Hispanic 418,462
Source: US Census Bureau
Growth, 2000–2010
Number
Change
Percent
Change
White 285,259 5.6%
Black 579,335 24.8%
Other 218,144 74.9%
Hispanic 418,462 96.1%
Source: US Census Bureau
Growth, 2000–2010
Number
Change
Percent
Change
Annual Growth
Rate
White 285,259 5.6% 0.6%
Black 579,335 24.8% 2.5%
Other 218,144 74.9% 6.4%
Hispanic 418,462 96.1% 7.8%
Source: US Census Bureau
Growth, 2000–2010
Number
Change
Percent
Change
Annual Growth
Rate Doubling Time
White 285,259 5.6% 0.6% 116.67 years
Black 579,335 24.8% 2.5% 28 years
Other 218,144 74.9% 6.4% 10.94 years
Hispanic 418,462 96.1% 7.8% 8.97 years
Source: US Census Bureau
Change in White Population, 2000–2010
Source: US Census Bureau
Change in Black Population, 2000–2010
Source: US Census Bureau
Change in Hispanic Population, 2000–2010
Source: US Census Bureau
Where Do Babies Come From?
Demographic
Perspective
Number of Women of
Childbearing Age
Total Fertility Rate, 2000
Total Fertility Rate
Statewide 2.13
Source: GA Vital Statistics
Total Fertility Rate, 2000
Total Fertility Rate
Statewide 2.13
White 1.96
Black 2.22
Other 1.44
Hispanic 3.53
Source: GA Vital Statistics
Total Fertility Rates 2000–2009
1.4
1.5
1.6
1.7
1.8
1.9
2.0
2.1
2.2
2.3
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Black
White
Source: Internal Estimates
Source: Pew Hispanic Center
Educational Attainment Below poverty level, population aged 25 and older,
2007–2009
% below
poverty
% in
educational
group
Less than high school diploma 39% 28%
High school diploma, GED, or
alternative
34% 14%
Some college or associate’s degree 19% 8%
Bachelor’s degree 6% 4%
Graduate or professional degree 2% 3%
Median Income by Educational Attainment
$0 $10,000 $20,000 $30,000 $40,000 $50,000 $60,000 $70,000
Less than high school diploma
High school diploma, GED, or alternative
Some college or associate's degree
Population average
Bachelor's degree
Graduate or professional degree
Unemployment by Educational
Attainment
Percent Aged 18–24 Not Enrolled and Not Having
a High School Diploma or Equivalent, 2010–2012
Educational Attainment, Population
Aged 25 and Older, 2007–2009
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
60.0%
70.0%
80.0%
90.0%
100.0%
Less than highschool diploma
High schoolgraduate or
Higher
Some college orHigher
Bachelor'sdegree or Higher
White
Black
Hispanic
Projected Jobs in Georgia requiring
Associate’s Degree or Higher, 2010-2020
Source: Georgetown University’s Help Wanted and the Author’s own
calculations
-
500,000
1,000,000
1,500,000
2,000,000
2,500,000
3,000,000
3,500,000
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Projected Jobs
Current Trajectory
720,000 Jobs }
Population Change 1990–2010
% Increase
1990-2010
Under 25 51%
25–44 25%
45–64 111%
65–80 53%
80+ 76%
Source: US Census Bureau
Mock Projection
1990
5–24 2.0
25–44 2.2
45–64 1.2
65–80 0.6
Mock Projection
1990 2010
5–24 2.0 2.7
25–44 2.2 2.7
45–64 1.2 2.4
65–80 0.6 0.9
Mock Projection
1990 2010 2030
5–24 2.0 2.7
25–44 2.2 2.7 2.7
45–64 1.2 2.4 2.7
65–80 0.6 0.9 2.4
Baby Boom
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1000
0-4
5-9
10
-14
15
-19
20
-24
25
-29
30
-34
35
-39
40
-44
45
-49
50
-54
55
-59
60
-64
65-6
9
70
-74
75
-79
80
-84
85+
1990
Baby Boom
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1000
0-4
5-9
10
-14
15
-19
20
-24
25
-29
30
-34
35
-39
40
-44
45
-49
50
-54
55
-59
60
-64
65-6
9
70
-74
75
-79
80
-84
85+
1990
2000
Baby Boom
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1000
0-4
5-9
10
-14
15
-19
20
-24
25
-29
30
-34
35
-39
40
-44
45
-49
50
-54
55
-59
60
-64
65-6
9
70
-74
75
-79
80
-84
85+
1990
2000
2010
Baby Boom
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1000
0-4
5-9
10
-14
15
-19
20
-24
25
-29
30
-34
35
-39
40
-44
45
-49
50
-54
55
-59
60
-64
65-6
9
70
-74
75
-79
80
-84
85+
1990
2000
2010
2020
• Population over age
65 is expected to
more than double
over the next 50
years.
Change in Population 18-64
• Working Age Adult growth will occur.
• Growth will occur in Non-White
populations. Millions %
Total Growth 8.3 4.3%
White -14.5 -11.7%
Black 2.2 9.1%
Hispanic 14.7 45.4%
Asian 3.7 35.3%
Source: US Census Bureau, Vintage 2012 Projections
Conclusions
Most rapid growth
among youngest and
oldest individuals
The middle-aged
population growing the
least
Conclusions
Georgia is no longer a black and white state.
