Sustainable development of forest landscapes in thelowlands of North-Eastern Germany – NEWAL-NET
The NEWAL-NET research and implementation strategy
Hans-Peter Ende, Martin Jenssen, Hans Papen, Reinhard Klenke, Peter Elsasser, Thomas Aenis; Hubert Jochheim, Jörg Steidl, Uwe Heinrich, Martin Wegehenkel, Kenneth Anders, Rainer Gasche, Wolfgang Vogler, Michael Köhl, Uwe Jens Nagel, Karl-Otto Wenkel, Hubert Wiggering
Sustainable development of forest landscapes in thelowlands of North-Eastern Germany – NEWAL-NET
Society for Nature Conservation and Landscape Ecology
Kratzeburg
• Universities• Research
centres• Institutes
• End users• Stakeholders
• Fundingagencies
• Project manager
Changing boundary conditions forforestry
Climate change is here
The end of the old oaks
Groundwaterdescreasesdramatically
Positive balance forpine wood
The timber jackis a machine
“Wood harvestkills birds“Forest ownersneed advice
Even biofuelmore expensiveNo money for
forestconversion
National wood
sourcesendangered,
plywoodindustry says
(fiction)
Changing demands on forestry
• Income and employment
• Carbon sequestration
• Groundwater restoration
• Protection of species and habitats
• Flexible wood supply
• More efficient production
Sustainable
Sustainable development
development??
Change of the air temperature compared with period 1961 to 1990 in Germany. The corridors (orange: A1B and A2, green: B1) represent theaverage of 10 WETTREG simulations and the REMO run. The grey areaindicates the overall span of all three emission szenarios (Federal Environmental Agency of Germany UBA, October 2006).
Tem
pera
ture
chan
ge[K
]
2000 2050 2100
A1B A2
B1
4
3
2
1
0
4
3
2
1
0
MeanMean temperaturetemperature
Number of characteristic meteorological events per period:• frost days (minimum temperature <0 °C) • hot days (maximum temperature >30 °C)• tropical nights (minimum temperature >20 °C) for period 2071-2100 compared with period 1961-90 in Berlin-Dahlem (WETTREG simulation, Federal Environmental Agency of Germany UBA, October 2006).
[day
spe
r per
iod]
frost days hot days tropical nights
Extreme Extreme eventsevents
Emission scenario A1B
winter
sprin
gsummer
fall
Precipitation trend forGermany, period2071/2100 compared withperiod 1961/1990 in per cent (WETTREG simulation, Federal Environmental Agency of Germany UBA, October2006).
Temporal Temporal distributiondistribution of of precipitationprecipitation
Summer precipitation trend, period 2071/2100 compared withperiod 1961/1990 in per cent(WETTREG simulation, Federal EnvironmentalAgency of Germany UBA, October2006).
Emission scenario A1B
SpatialSpatialdistributiondistributionof of precipitationprecipitation
The vision of a ‘climate plastic‘ forest
(Tree) species rich beechdominated mixed forestwithin a climatic gradient
Natural high diversity of treespecies:
• Beech
• Hornbeam
• Oaks
• Linden
in changing mixtures with:
• Ash,
• Maple,
• Wild Cherry,
• Sorbus species Jens
sen
et a
l. 20
05
atlantic
continental
Challenges for sustainable forestmanagement
Consequences of adaptation to climate change - ?
• Groundwater restoration• Carbon sequestration• Trace gas emissions• Habitat quality• Wood assortments and markets
Project schedule (simplified)
Forest ecology
knowledge,
data, facts
Discussion
of the vision
with experts
A scientific vision
of future forest
management
Agreement on
scenarios
Discussion of
potential impacts
with experts
Simulation and
assessment of
impacts
Derivation of
options for action
Valuation
of results
Transformation for
education and pract-
ical implementation
a) Every-day reception: Subject sees thelandscape as a physical ensemble
b) Real-life complexity: Landscape as multitude of receptionmechanisms
c) Objective of Landscape communication: Making landscapevisible as a workingspace
Landscape – a ‘rich‘ environmental issue
The Module ‘Landscape Workshop‘
PRODUCTS
• Exhibition• Special
workshops• Documentation
Wood-working
Hunting Nature protection
Forestry
The wholeproject
Wood industry
Inhabitants, farmers
Old and newforest owners Kunst
LANDSCAPE WORKSHOP
• Mediation• Knowledge transfer
(internal)• Representation (external)• Environmental education
Science
EnvironmentaleducationRecreation
Tourism
First versionof landscapeexhibition as a frame and basis for theworkshops: Segments with forestperspectivesof all participants:
contrasts, no synthesis!
Special workshops: commonpositions, local and structuraldivergences of interests, supply of thematerial forenvironmentaleducation:
analysis, mediation, rearrange-ment
Second version of landscapeexhibitionwith theresults of theworkshop; publicpresentation
synthesis, topicaltheses
TRA
NS
FER
( LOC
AL P
AR
TNE
R)
Landscape Workshop: Methodology
The climate-plastic mixed forest –the NEWAL-NET vision
Ecological effects in the landscape
context
Economical effects through product
diversity
Social effects in the region
Nachhaltige Entwicklung von Waldlandschaften im Nordostdeutschen Tiefland (NEWAL-NET)
NatNatüürliche Baumarten auf grundwasserfernen Standorten im rliche Baumarten auf grundwasserfernen Standorten im nordmitteleuropnordmitteleuropääischen Tieflandischen Tiefland
ozeanisch-subozeanisches
Tieflandklima (über 580 mm
Jahresniederschlag)
subozeanisch-subkontinentales
Tieflandklima (580 bis 530 mm
Jahresniederschlag)
subkontinentales
Tieflandklima (unter 530 mm
Jahresniederschlag)mittlere bis nährstoffschwache Sande
Obere Baumschicht Rotbuche Stiel-Eiche Trauben-Eiche Wald-Kiefer Untere Baumschicht Stechpalme Eberesche Sand-Birke
nährstoffkräftige Sand-Lehme
Obere Baumschicht Berg-Ahorn Rotbuche Hainbuche Winter-Linde Stiel-Eiche Trauben-Eiche Flatterulme Untere Baumschicht Elsbeere Eberesche Weißdorn Hainbuche Wildapfel Wildbirne
Externer DatenflussNEWAL-NET-Modellierer-Workshop
Zentral bereitgestellte oder allgemein
verfügbare Geodaten
Barba-stellus-
HSI
Mengen KostenWerte
Rohholz-potenziale
Kohlen-stoff-
speiche-rung
Erholungs-leistungen
Wasser-haushalt
Flora/Fauna
Wasser-flüsse
Wasser-speicher
WaSiM-ETH
Daten laufender
Messungen
Forest-DNDC
N-/C-Emis-sionsraten
BIOME-BGC
C-Pools und -flüsse
FESTUS
Ökosystem-verteilungen
THESEUS
Limitiert verfügb.
Geodaten
Habitat-eignung