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The RCOA Process

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How do we find the best opportunities to support Regional Species of Greatest Conservation Need across the entire Northeast? Start by erasing state boundaries, and using regional-scale data to look for priority habitat across a continuous landscape.
124
context | vision | overview Introduction Northeast Regional Conservation Opportunity Areas RCOA INTRODUCTION | 2015 NALCC
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Page 1: The RCOA Process

context | vision | overview

IntroductionNortheast Regional Conservation Opportunity Areas

RCOA INTRODUCTION | 2015 NALCC

Page 2: The RCOA Process

Vision

To identify and map a connected network of resilient

and ecologically intact habitats that will support

biodiversity under changing conditions

RCOA INTRODUCTION | 2015 NALCC

Engage the collective wisdom and common interest of partners

Page 3: The RCOA Process

Why is this project important?

RCOA INTRODUCTION | 2015 NALCC

Page 4: The RCOA Process

Geographic scale

Presenter
Presentation Notes
conservation at scale we've never seen before
Page 5: The RCOA Process

Ecological scope

Page 6: The RCOA Process

Partner networksKey partners

Page 8: The RCOA Process

Timeliness

RCOA INTRODUCTION | 2015 NALCC

Page 9: The RCOA Process

EfficiencyRegional patterns focus conservation efforts

RCOA INTRODUCTION | 2015 NALCC

Where can we hedge our investments in the face of change?

Habitats that appear secure locally may be in trouble elsewhere

Opportunities to pre-empt listing may be where species are not on the radar

Which species and habitats is my state/org most “responsible” for?

Is my state the battleground or sideshow for species or habitat x?

Page 10: The RCOA Process

Jonathan Brooks MA F&WKate Moran CT DEEP Katie Callahan NH Fish and GameKevin Ruddock RI TNCMark Anderson, Arlene Olivero & Melissa Clark TNCMichale Glennon WCSPatrick Woerner NJ DEPSteve Fuller, Scott Schwenk, Renee Farnsworth & Stéphanie Cuénoud North Atlantic LCC

Team

RCOA INTRODUCTION | 2015 NALCC

Andrew Milliken USFWS & North Atlantic LCCAndy Cutko ME DOCBrian Hall Harvard ForestBJ Richardson USFWSBrad Compton UMass AmherstChad Rittenhouse University of ConnecticutChris Burkett VA DGIF Chris Tracey PA Natural Heritage ProgramDan Rosenblatt NYS DECGwen Brewer MD DNRJeff Allenby Chesapeake Conservancy

Page 11: The RCOA Process

ProcessLeveraging investments

RCN&

LCC SCIENCE

CORE AREAS

RSGCN HABITATS

RESTORATION

CONNECTIVITY

Inclusive collaboration

RCOA INTRODUCTION | 2015 NALCC

Page 12: The RCOA Process

RegionalConservationOpportunityAreas

ProcessLeveraging investments

RCN&

LCC SCIENCE

CORE AREAS

RSGCN HABITATS

RESTORATION

CONNECTIVITY

Inclusive collaboration

Relevantscience

RCOA INTRODUCTION | 2015 NALCC

Page 13: The RCOA Process

RegionalConservationOpportunityAreas

ProcessLeveraging investments

RCN&

LCC SCIENCE

CORE AREAS

RSGCN HABITATS

RESTORATION

CONNECTIVITY Coordinate partners for

success

Inclusive collaboration

Relevantscience

Better implementatio

n

RCOA INTRODUCTION | 2015 NALCC

Page 14: The RCOA Process

Leveraging investmentsTo address the long-term needs of game species

$$$ LCC products REGIONAL DATA | INTEGRITY | CONNECTIVITY | SPECIES MODELS | OPTIMIZATION

$$$ Natural heritage SPECIES DATA | SPECIES RANKS

$$$ Bear, moose and other representative species

$$$ RCN products HABITAT MAPS | RESILIENCE | SWAP SYNTHESIS

$$$ Land management priorities

$$$ Cultural resources

$$$ Partner productsSWAPs

NortheastRCOAAtlas

RCOA INTRODUCTION | 2015 NALCC

Page 15: The RCOA Process

VisionProducts

An atlas with methodology documentation

RCOA INTRODUCTION | 2015 NALCC

Page 16: The RCOA Process

VisionProducts

Prioritize restoration & land management

Inform land protection

Identify core areas for all species

Complement/Confirm state priority areas

Regional context for state decisions

Monitor changes in landscape over time

Inform policy and listing decisions

Grant applications

Guide SWAP implementation and RCNs

An atlas with methodology documentation

Uses

RCOA INTRODUCTION | 2015 NALCC

Page 17: The RCOA Process

A year in review

ALL PARTNERSreview maps as they are produced

GIS EXPERTSReview potential data sets

DIVERSITY TECHReview timeline

GIS EXPERTSAnalyze and evaluate data sets; Identify key decision points

ROUND 1 SWAPSRCOA process is using and unifying the products from the first round of SWAPs

NEFWDTC & LCC STEERING COMMITTEEApproval to implement draft methodology with continued input

2015

OTHER PARTNERS & EXPERTSprovide input on key decisions points such as priority threats, plants, restoration, and aquatic systems

JULMARJAN OCT 2016 MAR

VERSION 1MAPS

REVISE METHODS

EVALUATE DATA

EVALUATE METHODS

DRAFT METHODS

RCOA INTRODUCTION | 2015 NALCC

Page 18: The RCOA Process

Methods overview

RCOA INTRODUCTION | 2015 NALCC

Page 19: The RCOA Process

COREAREAS

RCOA INTRODUCTION | 2015 NALCC

Page 20: The RCOA Process

COREAREAS

RCOA INTRODUCTION | 2015 NALCC

Page 21: The RCOA Process

COREAREAS

RSGCN HABITATS

RCOA INTRODUCTION | 2015 NALCC

Page 22: The RCOA Process

COREAREAS

RSGCN HABITATS

RCOA INTRODUCTION | 2015 NALCC

Page 23: The RCOA Process

COREAREAS

RSGCN HABITATS RESTORATIO

N

RCOA INTRODUCTION | 2015 NALCC

Page 24: The RCOA Process

COREAREAS

RSGCN HABITATS RESTORATIO

N

RCOA INTRODUCTION | 2015 NALCC

Page 25: The RCOA Process

COREAREAS

RSGCN HABITATS RESTORATIO

NCONNECTIVITY

RCOA INTRODUCTION | 2015 NALCC

Page 26: The RCOA Process

COREAREAS

RSGCN HABITATS RESTORATIO

NCONNECTIVITY

RCOA INTRODUCTION | 2015 NALCC

Page 27: The RCOA Process

Core areas

RCOA INTRODUCTION | 2015 NALCC

Page 28: The RCOA Process

Core areas analysisIdentifies land wherewe can protect high ecological integrity and high resilience

RCOA INTRODUCTION | 2015 NALCC

Page 29: The RCOA Process

Core areas analysisCreate weighted selection index

Grow terrestrial and wetland core areas

Start

RCOA INTRODUCTION | 2015 NALCC

Page 30: The RCOA Process

Core areas analysisCreate weighted selection index

Grow terrestrial and wetland core areas

Create representative species selection index

Start

RCOA INTRODUCTION | 2015 NALCC

Page 31: The RCOA Process

Core areas analysisCreate weighted selection index

Grow terrestrial and wetland core areas

Create representative species selection index

Start Optimization

Optimized terrestrial

and wetland core areas

RCOA INTRODUCTION | 2015 NALCC

Page 32: The RCOA Process

Core areas analysisCreate weighted selection index

Grow terrestrial and wetland core areas

Create representative species selection index

Optimization

Create aquatic core areas

Optimized terrestrial

and wetland core areas

Start

Aquaticcore areas

Page 33: The RCOA Process

RSGCN habitats

RCOA INTRODUCTION | 2015 NALCC

Presenter
Presentation Notes
The objective of the RSGCN habitat analysis is to identify the best opportunities to protect rare and threatened RSGCN and their habitats. The analysis will identify important locations for the most threatened species, habitats, and natural communities that may be excluded from intact core landscapes identified in the core areas portion of the analysis. If protected in their current intact condition, these locations would contribute significantly to the security of the most threatened RSGCN and their habitats in the Northeast.
Page 34: The RCOA Process

RSGCN: species status

Original

Threatened

Extirpated

Secure outside the region External risk Internal riskSpecies x distribution

Distribution analysis will weight species based on status

RCOA INTRODUCTION | 2015 NALCC

Presenter
Presentation Notes
Some species reside wholly or completely within the Northeast, making them dependent on our region for conservation. We’ve developed an analysis that uses NatureServe rank status information to help inform the priority for conservation in the region The species status ranks may be combined with each species-habitat association, then evaluated across all species to add importance to habitats used by the greatest number of species in need of conservation in the Northeast. Ranking the status of the species of greatest conservation need helps satisfy the required elements of Wildlife Action Plans.
Page 35: The RCOA Process

RSGCN habitat associationsHabitat importance weights will be based on biodiversity, threat, etc.

DIVERSITY ENDEMICS PRIORITIESGLOBALLY SMALL-

RANGEDUSA

SMALL-RANGED THREATENED

ⓒ 2015 NALCC

Amphibians

Birds

Mammals

Jenk

ins,

CN

, KS

Van

Hou

tan,

SL

Pim

m, J

O S

exto

n (2

015)

US

prot

ecte

d la

nds

mis

mat

ch

biod

iver

sity

prio

ritie

s. P

NAS

(Ear

ly Ed

ition

) ww

w.pn

as.o

rg/c

gi/d

oi/1

0.10

73/p

nas.

1418

0341

12

Presenter
Presentation Notes
Pattern to biodiversity
Page 36: The RCOA Process

RSGCN habitat conditionIEI and resilience could measure condition of weighted habitats

Weighted for RSGCN

Unweighted Weighted forcores

RCOA INTRODUCTION | 2015 NALCC

Presenter
Presentation Notes
This is one way that we envision developing a condition index
Page 37: The RCOA Process

RSGCN habitats analysisSecond tier

habitat opportunities

Develop opportunity screen

Screen RSGCN habitat opportunities

Develop status and importance weights

Best habitat opportunities

Start

RCOA INTRODUCTION | 2015 NALCC

Develop importance and condition index

Presenter
Presentation Notes
Opportunity screens could be parcel size, landscape context.
Page 38: The RCOA Process

Restoration

RCOA INTRODUCTION | 2015 NALCC

Page 39: The RCOA Process

Restoration analysisIdentifying restoration opportunities for RSGCN in strategic locations

RCOA INTRODUCTION | 2015 NALCC

Page 40: The RCOA Process

Restoration analysisIdentifying restoration opportunities for RSGCN in strategic locations

RCOA INTRODUCTION | 2015 NALCC

Page 41: The RCOA Process

Restoration analysisIdentifying restoration opportunities for RSGCN in strategic locations

RCOA INTRODUCTION | 2015 NALCC

Page 42: The RCOA Process

Restoration analysisIdentifying restoration opportunities for RSGCN in strategic locations

RCOA INTRODUCTION | 2015 NALCC

Page 43: The RCOA Process

SWAPs identify key restoration opportunities...

Rare ecological systems

Early successional habitats

Agricultural lands

Degraded watersheds

Fragmented waterways

RCOA INTRODUCTION | 2015 NALCC

Which habitats and actions?

Page 44: The RCOA Process

● Small enough to guide action to priority regions

Restoration analysisMapping at the HUC12 scale

RCOA INTRODUCTION | 2015 NALCC

Page 45: The RCOA Process

● Small enough to guide action to priority regions

● Coarse enough to protect the anonymity of individual

landowners

Restoration analysisMapping at the HUC12 scale

RCOA INTRODUCTION | 2015 NALCC

Page 46: The RCOA Process

● Small enough to guide action to priority regions

● Coarse enough to protect the anonymity of individual

landowners

● Many analysis already available using HUC12s

Restoration analysisMapping at the HUC12 scale

RCOA INTRODUCTION | 2015 NALCC

Page 47: The RCOA Process

Second, develop restoration scenarios with partners and peers

First, summarize data on HUC12s

Restoration analysisThree step process

RCOA INTRODUCTION | 2015 NALCC

Page 48: The RCOA Process

Restoration analysisThird, team applies scenarios to weight and map factors

RCOA INTRODUCTION | 2015 NALCC

Restoration Priorities

Presenter
Presentation Notes
can either do a “straight” analysis of existing data or, as circumstances demand, can manipulate the analysis to emphasize special needs or concerns – such as prioritizing Chesapeake Bay restoration or the conservation of high elevation spruce/fir communities
Page 49: The RCOA Process

Restoration analysisFive HUC12 restoration opportunity maps for...

Ecological systems

Early successional habitats

Watershed and riparian buffers

Agricultural land

In-stream connectivity

RCOA INTRODUCTION | 2015 NALCC

Page 50: The RCOA Process

Restoration analysisAND users can customize weights for their own scenarios

RCOA INTRODUCTION | 2015 NALCC

CUSTOMIZED MAP

Presenter
Presentation Notes
can either do a “straight” analysis of existing data or, as circumstances demand, can manipulate the analysis to emphasize special needs or concerns – such as prioritizing Chesapeake Bay restoration or the conservation of high elevation spruce/fir communities
Page 51: The RCOA Process

Connectivity

RCOA INTRODUCTION | 2015 NALCC

Page 52: The RCOA Process

Connectivity analysisNode to node corridors Global wall to wall permeability

Presenter
Presentation Notes
TNC permeability UMass regional connectivity corridors SC note: first two then transition to third then transition to 4th Node to note connection -compete but sometime seem forced independant of nodes combine to create network respects node to node and regional pattern
Page 53: The RCOA Process

Connectivity analysisNode to node corridors versus global wall to wall permeability

Presenter
Presentation Notes
TNC permeability UMass regional connectivity corridors SC note: first two then transition to third then transition to 4th Node to note connection -compete but sometime seem forced independant of nodes combine to create network respects node to node and regional pattern
Page 54: The RCOA Process

Connectivity analysisRegional connectivity corridors connecting nearby forest cores

RCOA INTRODUCTION | 2015 NALCC

Forest in a core area

Corridors based on UMass resistance

Corridors with resistance modified by TNC permeability

Presenter
Presentation Notes
illustration of how we combine TNC permeability to adjust the resistance of the UMass connectivity work to be done still on calibrating the effect -example not final product (can turn up or down the effect) = gives us a connected network
Page 55: The RCOA Process

Connectivity analysisRiparian climate corridors

Page 56: The RCOA Process

Connectivity analysisRegional pinch points bottlenecks for species flow

RCOA INTRODUCTION | 2015 NALCC

Presenter
Presentation Notes
driven by climate pinch point regional scale (highlight critical large scale areas)
Page 57: The RCOA Process

Connectivity analysisTidal marsh opportunities5 foot sea level rise model

RCOA INTRODUCTION | 2015 NALCC

Restoration opportunity: marsh at risk of loss to inundation

Restoration opportunity: marsh migration path over developed land

Conservation opportunity: upland migration corridor

Presenter
Presentation Notes
use best available salt marsh migration model for whole region that anticipates movement of marshes with sea level rise
Page 58: The RCOA Process

Connectivity analysisRegional connectivity analysis

Marsh migration opportunities

Pinch-point analysis

FINAL OUTPUTSRegional core connectivity

corridors

FINAL OUTPUT

Upland marsh migration zones

FINAL OUTPUT

Regional pinch-points

Start

Page 59: The RCOA Process

Next steps

RCOA INTRODUCTION | 2015 NALCC

Page 60: The RCOA Process

Implementation1. Begin reviewing methods

2. Team call 12/9

3. Participation on sub-teams to plan/implement mapping

4. Monthly calls through July 2016

5. 2 workshops to review results

Page 61: The RCOA Process

How you can be involvedHelp integrate ongoing partner efforts and products. Examples:

SWAPs

PARCAs

North Atlantic Aquatic Connectivity Collaborative

Brook Trout Joint Venture/Brook Trout Projects

Brook trout patches, catchments

Brook trout probability of occurrence under current and increased temps

Page 62: The RCOA Process

How you can be involvedProvide collaborative GIS support.

Assist with mapping and management of data.Facilitate technical support within your organization.

Page 63: The RCOA Process

How you can be involvedServe on a working sub-team.

Restoration Team: help develop restoration scenarios

In-stream connectivity Riparian zones and water qualityEarly successional habitatAgricultural land restorationUnique ecological systems

Page 64: The RCOA Process

How you can be involvedServe on a working sub-team.

RSGCN Habitat Team:

Evaluate species status weightingDevelop habitat weightsIdentify threat and opportunity metricsHelp review of draft results

Page 65: The RCOA Process

How you can be involvedServe on a working sub-team.

Connectivity Team:

Develop methods to simplify and map results of complex modelsProvide input on salt marsh migrationHelp review draft results

Page 66: The RCOA Process

How you can be involvedServe on a working sub-team.

Terrestrial Cores Team:

Develop ecosystem weights that reflect biodiversity and ecosystem services

Review representative species models

Help review draft results

Page 67: The RCOA Process

How you can be involvedServe on a working sub-team.

Aquatic Cores Team:

Evaluate datasets proposed for core areas

ecological integrity

resilient networks

fish species occurrence or probability

Help review of draft results

Page 68: The RCOA Process

Questions ?

RCOA INTRODUCTION | 2015 NALCC

Page 69: The RCOA Process
Page 70: The RCOA Process

print version below

Page 71: The RCOA Process

context | vision | overview

IntroductionNortheast Regional Conservation Opportunity Areas

RCOA INTRODUCTION | 2015 NALCC

Page 72: The RCOA Process

Vision

To identify and map a connected network of resilient

and ecologically intact habitats that will support

biodiversity under changing conditions

RCOA INTRODUCTION | 2015 NALCC

Engage the collective wisdom and common interest of partners

Page 73: The RCOA Process

Why is this project important?

RCOA INTRODUCTION | 2015 NALCC

Page 74: The RCOA Process

Geographic scale

Presenter
Presentation Notes
conservation at scale we've never seen before
Page 75: The RCOA Process

Ecological scope

Page 76: The RCOA Process

Partner networksKey partners

Page 78: The RCOA Process

Timeliness

RCOA INTRODUCTION | 2015 NALCC

Page 79: The RCOA Process

EfficiencyRegional patterns focus conservation efforts

RCOA INTRODUCTION | 2015 NALCC

Where can we hedge our investments in the face of change?

Habitats that appear secure locally may be in trouble elsewhere

Opportunities to pre-empt listing may be where species are not on the radar

Which species and habitats is my state/org most “responsible” for?

Is my state the battleground or sideshow for species or habitat x?

Page 80: The RCOA Process

Jonathan Brooks MA F&WKate Moran CT DEEP Katie Callahan NH Fish and GameKevin Ruddock RI TNCMark Anderson, Arlene Olivero & Melissa Clark TNCMichale Glennon WCSPatrick Woerner NJ DEPSteve Fuller, Scott Schwenk, Renee Farnsworth & Stéphanie Cuénoud North Atlantic LCC

Team

RCOA INTRODUCTION | 2015 NALCC

Andrew Milliken USFWS & North Atlantic LCCAndy Cutko ME DOCBrian Hall Harvard ForestBJ Richardson USFWSBrad Compton UMass AmherstChad Rittenhouse University of ConnecticutChris Burkett VA DGIF Chris Tracey PA Natural Heritage ProgramDan Rosenblatt NYS DECGwen Brewer MD DNRJeff Allenby Chesapeake Conservancy

Page 81: The RCOA Process

RegionalConservationOpportunityAreas

ProcessLeveraging investments

RCN&

LCC SCIENCE

CORE AREAS

RSGCN HABITATS

RESTORATION

CONNECTIVITY Coordinate partners for

success

Inclusive collaboration

Relevantscience

Better implementatio

n

RCOA INTRODUCTION | 2015 NALCC

Page 82: The RCOA Process

Leveraging investmentsTo address the long-term needs of game species

$$$ LCC products REGIONAL DATA | INTEGRITY | CONNECTIVITY | SPECIES MODELS | OPTIMIZATION

$$$ Natural heritage SPECIES DATA | SPECIES RANKS

$$$ Bear, moose and other representative species

$$$ RCN products HABITAT MAPS | RESILIENCE | SWAP SYNTHESIS

$$$ Land management priorities

$$$ Cultural resources

$$$ Partner productsSWAPs

NortheastRCOAAtlas

RCOA INTRODUCTION | 2015 NALCC

Page 83: The RCOA Process

VisionProducts

Prioritize restoration & land management

Inform land protection

Identify core areas for all species

Complement/Confirm state priority areas

Regional context for state decisions

Monitor changes in landscape over time

Inform policy and listing decisions

Grant applications

Guide SWAP implementation and RCNs

An atlas with methodology documentation

Uses

RCOA INTRODUCTION | 2015 NALCC

Page 84: The RCOA Process

A year in review

ALL PARTNERSreview maps as they are produced

GIS EXPERTSReview potential data sets

DIVERSITY TECHReview timeline

GIS EXPERTSAnalyze and evaluate data sets; Identify key decision points

ROUND 1 SWAPSRCOA process is using and unifying the products from the first round of SWAPs

NEFWDTC & LCC STEERING COMMITTEEApproval to implement draft methodology with continued input

2015

OTHER PARTNERS & EXPERTSprovide input on key decisions points such as priority threats, plants, restoration, and aquatic systems

JULMARJAN OCT 2016 MAR

VERSION 1MAPS

REVISE METHODS

EVALUATE DATA

EVALUATE METHODS

DRAFT METHODS

RCOA INTRODUCTION | 2015 NALCC

Page 85: The RCOA Process

Methods overview

RCOA INTRODUCTION | 2015 NALCC

Page 86: The RCOA Process

COREAREAS

RSGCN HABITATS RESTORATIO

NCONNECTIVITY

RCOA INTRODUCTION | 2015 NALCC

Page 87: The RCOA Process

COREAREAS

RSGCN HABITATS RESTORATIO

NCONNECTIVITY

RCOA INTRODUCTION | 2015 NALCC

Page 88: The RCOA Process

Core areas

RCOA INTRODUCTION | 2015 NALCC

Page 89: The RCOA Process

Core areas analysisIdentifies land wherewe can protect high ecological integrity and high resilience

RCOA INTRODUCTION | 2015 NALCC

Page 90: The RCOA Process

Core areas analysisCreate weighted selection index

Grow terrestrial and wetland core areas

Start

RCOA INTRODUCTION | 2015 NALCC

Page 91: The RCOA Process

Core areas analysisCreate weighted selection index

Grow terrestrial and wetland core areas

Create representative species selection index

Start

RCOA INTRODUCTION | 2015 NALCC

Page 92: The RCOA Process

Core areas analysisCreate weighted selection index

Grow terrestrial and wetland core areas

Create representative species selection index

Start Optimization

Optimized terrestrial

and wetland core areas

RCOA INTRODUCTION | 2015 NALCC

Page 93: The RCOA Process

Core areas analysisCreate weighted selection index

Grow terrestrial and wetland core areas

Create representative species selection index

Optimization

Create aquatic core areas

Optimized terrestrial

and wetland core areas

Start

Aquaticcore areas

Page 94: The RCOA Process

RSGCN habitats

RCOA INTRODUCTION | 2015 NALCC

Presenter
Presentation Notes
The objective of the RSGCN habitat analysis is to identify the best opportunities to protect rare and threatened RSGCN and their habitats. The analysis will identify important locations for the most threatened species, habitats, and natural communities that may be excluded from intact core landscapes identified in the core areas portion of the analysis. If protected in their current intact condition, these locations would contribute significantly to the security of the most threatened RSGCN and their habitats in the Northeast.
Page 95: The RCOA Process

RSGCN: species status

Original

Threatened

Extirpated

Secure outside the region External risk Internal riskSpecies x distribution

Distribution analysis will weight species based on status

RCOA INTRODUCTION | 2015 NALCC

Presenter
Presentation Notes
Some species reside wholly or completely within the Northeast, making them dependent on our region for conservation. We’ve developed an analysis that uses NatureServe rank status information to help inform the priority for conservation in the region The species status ranks may be combined with each species-habitat association, then evaluated across all species to add importance to habitats used by the greatest number of species in need of conservation in the Northeast. Ranking the status of the species of greatest conservation need helps satisfy the required elements of Wildlife Action Plans.
Page 96: The RCOA Process

RSGCN habitat associationsHabitat importance weights will be based on biodiversity, threat, etc.

DIVERSITY ENDEMICS PRIORITIESGLOBALLY SMALL-

RANGEDUSA

SMALL-RANGED THREATENED

ⓒ 2015 NALCC

Amphibians

Birds

Mammals

Jenk

ins,

CN

, KS

Van

Hou

tan,

SL

Pim

m, J

O S

exto

n (2

015)

US

prot

ecte

d la

nds

mis

mat

ch

biod

iver

sity

prio

ritie

s. P

NAS

(Ear

ly Ed

ition

) ww

w.pn

as.o

rg/c

gi/d

oi/1

0.10

73/p

nas.

1418

0341

12

Presenter
Presentation Notes
Pattern to biodiversity
Page 97: The RCOA Process

RSGCN habitat conditionIEI and resilience could measure condition of weighted habitats

Weighted for RSGCN

Unweighted Weighted forcores

RCOA INTRODUCTION | 2015 NALCC

Presenter
Presentation Notes
This is one way that we envision developing a condition index
Page 98: The RCOA Process

RSGCN habitats analysisSecond tier

habitat opportunities

Develop opportunity screen

Screen RSGCN habitat opportunities

Develop status and importance weights

Best habitat opportunities

Start

RCOA INTRODUCTION | 2015 NALCC

Develop importance and condition index

Presenter
Presentation Notes
Opportunity screens could be parcel size, landscape context.
Page 99: The RCOA Process

Restoration

RCOA INTRODUCTION | 2015 NALCC

Page 100: The RCOA Process

Restoration analysisIdentifying restoration opportunities for RSGCN in strategic locations

RCOA INTRODUCTION | 2015 NALCC

Page 101: The RCOA Process

SWAPs identify key restoration opportunities...

Rare ecological systems

Early successional habitats

Agricultural lands

Degraded watersheds

Fragmented waterways

RCOA INTRODUCTION | 2015 NALCC

Which habitats and actions?

Page 102: The RCOA Process

● Small enough to guide action to priority regions

● Coarse enough to protect the anonymity of individual

landowners

● Many analysis already available using HUC12s

Restoration analysisMapping at the HUC12 scale

RCOA INTRODUCTION | 2015 NALCC

Page 103: The RCOA Process

Second, develop restoration scenarios with partners and peers

First, summarize data on HUC12s

Restoration analysisThree step process

RCOA INTRODUCTION | 2015 NALCC

Page 104: The RCOA Process

Restoration analysisThird, team applies scenarios to weight and map factors

RCOA INTRODUCTION | 2015 NALCC

Restoration Priorities

Presenter
Presentation Notes
can either do a “straight” analysis of existing data or, as circumstances demand, can manipulate the analysis to emphasize special needs or concerns – such as prioritizing Chesapeake Bay restoration or the conservation of high elevation spruce/fir communities
Page 105: The RCOA Process

Restoration analysisFive HUC12 restoration opportunity maps for...

Ecological systems

Early successional habitats

Watershed and riparian buffers

Agricultural land

In-stream connectivity

RCOA INTRODUCTION | 2015 NALCC

Page 106: The RCOA Process

Restoration analysisAND users can customize weights for their own scenarios

RCOA INTRODUCTION | 2015 NALCC

CUSTOMIZED MAP

Presenter
Presentation Notes
can either do a “straight” analysis of existing data or, as circumstances demand, can manipulate the analysis to emphasize special needs or concerns – such as prioritizing Chesapeake Bay restoration or the conservation of high elevation spruce/fir communities
Page 107: The RCOA Process

Connectivity

RCOA INTRODUCTION | 2015 NALCC

Page 108: The RCOA Process

Connectivity analysisNode to node corridors Global wall to wall permeability

Presenter
Presentation Notes
TNC permeability UMass regional connectivity corridors SC note: first two then transition to third then transition to 4th Node to note connection -compete but sometime seem forced independant of nodes combine to create network respects node to node and regional pattern
Page 109: The RCOA Process

Connectivity analysisNode to node corridors versus global wall to wall permeability

Presenter
Presentation Notes
TNC permeability UMass regional connectivity corridors SC note: first two then transition to third then transition to 4th Node to note connection -compete but sometime seem forced independant of nodes combine to create network respects node to node and regional pattern
Page 110: The RCOA Process

Connectivity analysisRegional connectivity corridors connecting nearby forest cores

RCOA INTRODUCTION | 2015 NALCC

Forest in a core area

Corridors based on UMass resistance

Corridors with resistance modified by TNC permeability

Presenter
Presentation Notes
illustration of how we combine TNC permeability to adjust the resistance of the UMass connectivity work to be done still on calibrating the effect -example not final product (can turn up or down the effect) = gives us a connected network
Page 111: The RCOA Process

Connectivity analysisRiparian climate corridors

Page 112: The RCOA Process

Connectivity analysisRegional pinch points bottlenecks for species flow

RCOA INTRODUCTION | 2015 NALCC

Presenter
Presentation Notes
driven by climate pinch point regional scale (highlight critical large scale areas)
Page 113: The RCOA Process

Connectivity analysisTidal marsh opportunities5 foot sea level rise model

RCOA INTRODUCTION | 2015 NALCC

Restoration opportunity: marsh at risk of loss to inundation

Restoration opportunity: marsh migration path over developed land

Conservation opportunity: upland migration corridor

Presenter
Presentation Notes
use best available salt marsh migration model for whole region that anticipates movement of marshes with sea level rise
Page 114: The RCOA Process

Connectivity analysisRegional connectivity analysis

Marsh migration opportunities

Pinch-point analysis

FINAL OUTPUTSRegional core connectivity

corridors

FINAL OUTPUT

Upland marsh migration zones

FINAL OUTPUT

Regional pinch-points

Start

Page 115: The RCOA Process

Next steps

RCOA INTRODUCTION | 2015 NALCC

Page 116: The RCOA Process

Implementation1. Begin reviewing methods

2. Team call 12/9

3. Participation on sub-teams to plan/implement mapping

4. Monthly calls through July 2016

5. 2 workshops to review results

RCOA INTRODUCTION | 2015 NALCC

Page 117: The RCOA Process

How you can be involvedHelp integrate ongoing partner efforts and products. Examples:

SWAPs

PARCAs

North Atlantic Aquatic Connectivity Collaborative

Brook Trout Joint Venture/Brook Trout Projects

Brook trout patches, catchments

Brook trout probability of occurrence under current and increased tempsRCOA INTRODUCTION | 2015 NALCC

Page 118: The RCOA Process

How you can be involvedProvide collaborative GIS support.

Assist with mapping and management of data.Facilitate technical support within your organization.

RCOA INTRODUCTION | 2015 NALCC

Page 119: The RCOA Process

How you can be involvedServe on a working sub-team.

Restoration Team: help develop restoration scenarios

In-stream connectivity Riparian zones and water qualityEarly successional habitatAgricultural land restorationUnique ecological systems

RCOA INTRODUCTION | 2015 NALCC

Page 120: The RCOA Process

How you can be involvedServe on a working sub-team.

RSGCN Habitat Team:

Evaluate species status weightingDevelop habitat weightsIdentify threat and opportunity metricsHelp review of draft results

RCOA INTRODUCTION | 2015 NALCC

Page 121: The RCOA Process

How you can be involvedServe on a working sub-team.

Connectivity Team:

Develop methods to simplify and map results of complex modelsProvide input on salt marsh migrationHelp review draft results

RCOA INTRODUCTION | 2015 NALCC

Page 122: The RCOA Process

How you can be involvedServe on a working sub-team.

Terrestrial Cores Team:

Develop ecosystem weights that reflect biodiversity and ecosystem services

Review representative species models

Help review draft results

RCOA INTRODUCTION | 2015 NALCC

Page 123: The RCOA Process

How you can be involvedServe on a working sub-team.

Aquatic Cores Team:

Evaluate datasets proposed for core areas

ecological integrity

resilient networks

fish species occurrence or probability

Help review of draft resultsRCOA INTRODUCTION | 2015 NALCC

Page 124: The RCOA Process

Questions ?

RCOA INTRODUCTION | 2015 NALCC


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