The Reality of Augmented Reality Mark Billinghurst

8/3/2019 The Reality of Augmented Reality Mark Billinghurst

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The Reality of Augmented Reality

Mark [email protected]

The HIT Lab NZ, University of Canterbury

December 2011


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Falling in Love

1989


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Virtual Reality Was COOL!


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Joining the HIT Lab in Seattle

Only $250K for 1500 polygons/sec!


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My VR Predictions

I knew everyone would use VR when:

HMDs were cheap (


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Cheap HMDs


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Gartner Hype Cycle


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1990-95

1995-2000


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April 2007 Computer World VR Voted 7th on list of 21 biggest technology

flops- MS Bob Winner


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Back to Reality

1999 Fred BrooksWhats Real about VirtualReality

In 1994 VR barely works

In 1999 VR is now really real

3 stages of application maturity: Demonstration

Pilot

Production

There are successful VR application domains


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VR Business Today

> $3-5 Billion VR business (+ > $150 Billion GraphicsIndustry) Visualization, simulation, gaming, CAD/CAE, multimedia, graphics

arts


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> $3-5 Billion


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Lessons learned

Dont believe the hype

Many factors determine technologyacceptance

- Design for users

Need to move from Demo to Production

- Profitable niche markets

Follow the money


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Whats Real About

Augmented Reality?


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Key Questions

Where is AR technology today?

What are the key opportunities?

What are research obstacles? Where will the technology be in 5-10

years?


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AR History

1960s 80s: EarlyExperiments

1980s 90s: Basic

Research Tracking, displays

1995 2005:Tools/Applications Interaction, usability, theory

2005 - : CommercialApplications Games, Medical, Industry


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2007 - AR Reaches Mainstream

MIT Technology Review

March 2007

list of the 10 most

exciting technologies Economist

Dec 6th 2007

Reality, only better


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Google Searches for AR

2009 Key crossover point More people interested in AR than VR


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Gartners top 10 disruptive technologies 2008-2012: Multicore and hybrid processors

Virtualisation and fabric computing

Social networks and social software

Cloud computing and cloud/Web platforms

Web mashups

User Interface

Ubiquitous computing

Contextual computing

Augmented reality

Semantics


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AR Technology Today


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1977 Star Wars


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Key Features Classic Augmented Reality (Azuma 97)

Combines Real and Virtual Images- Display technology

Interactive in Real-Time

- Real time graphics

Content Registered in 3D- Viewpoint tracking

Other Features Shared 3D viewing

- Individual views


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HMD, HMD, HMD...


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Tracking, Tracking, Tracking

ContoursFeature Points

Surfaces


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1999 - HIT Lab US Shared

Space


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AR Conferencing

Moves conferencing from thedesktop to the workspace


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Virtual Viewpoint Generation


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3D Live System


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2008 - CNN


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The Red Planet (2000)

Outdoor AR

Flexible Lens Surface Bimanual interaction

Digital paper analogy


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AR FlexiLens

Real handles/controllers with flexible AR lens


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2008: Location Aware Phones

Nokia NavigatorMotorola Droid


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HIT Lab NZ Outdoor AR Platform

Cross platform

Android, iPhone

3D onsite visualization

Intuitive user interface

Positions content in space

Camera, GPS, compass

Client/Server software architecture

Targeting museum guide/outdoor site

applications


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Earthquake Reconstruction

See past, present and future building designs

Earthquake survivor stories shown on mapview

Collect user comments

Android platform


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IronMan2


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Natural Hand Interaction (2011)

Using bare hands to interact with AR

content MS Kinect depth sensing

Real time hand tracking

Physics based simulation model


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AR Today Key Technologies Available

- Robust tracking (Computer Vision,GPS/sensors)

- Display (Handheld HMDs)- Input Devices (Kinect, etc)

- Developer tools (Qualcomm, Metaio, ARTW)

Commercial Business Growing- Gaming, GPS/Mobile, Online Advertisement

>$5 Billion USD by 2016 (MarketsandMarkets)

>$1.5 Billion USD in Mobile AR by 2014 (Juniper Research)


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AR Business Today

Marketing Web-based, mobile

Mobile AR

Geo-located information and service Driving demand for high end phones

Gaming

Mobile, Physical input (Kinect, PS Move) Upcoming areas

Manufacturing, Medical, Military


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Research Directions


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Important Research Directions

Fundamental Technologies

Unobtrusive displays

Ubiquitous tracking

Improving the user experience

Interaction, Information management

Social networking + AR

Standards (Content, interaction)

Integrating with related technologies


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AR User Experience


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Future Displays

Always on, unobtrusive


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Contact Lens Display

Babak Parviz University Washington

MEMS components Transparent elements Micro-sensors

Challenges

Miniaturization Assembly

Eye-safe


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Contact Lens Prototype


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Information Presentation

Public and private annotations

Aid recognition, extended memory


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Wikitude www.mobilizy.com

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Information Filtering


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Information Filtering Information Filtering (Julier et al. 00)

Remove clutter by goal- and distance based filteringUsers task is route finding: Sniper and relevant buildings aredisplayed; objects, which are determined to be unnecessary,removed


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Metaverse

Neal Stephensons SnowCrash

The Metaverse is the convergence of:

1) virtually enhanced physical reality

2) physically persistent virtual space

Metaverse Roadmap

http://metaverseroadmap.org/


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Metaverse Dimensions

Augmentationtechnologies that layer informationonto our perception of the physical environment.

Simulationrefers to technologies that model

reality Intimatetechnologies are focused inwardly, on

the identity and actions of the individual orobject;

Externaltechnologies are focused outwardly,towards the world at large;


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Mirror Worlds

Mirror worlds are informationally-enhancedvirtual models or reflections of the physical

world.

Google Earth, MS Street View, Google Maps


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LifeLogging

Technologies record and report theintimate states and life histories of objectsand users

Nokia LifeBlog, Nike+


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Ubiquitous AR (GIST, Korea)

How does your AR device work with other devices?

How is content delivered?


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ubiHome @ GIST

ubiHome

What/When/How

Where/When

Media services

Who/What/When/How

ubiKey

Couch SensorPDA

Tag-it

Door Sensor

ubiTrack

When/HowWhen/HowWho/What/When/How

Light service MR window


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CAMAR GIST

(Context-Aware Mobile Augmented Reality)


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Conclusions


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Conclusions

AR is becoming a real industry

Key areas of everyday use include

Location Based, Gaming

Web-based, Mobile AR

Important research for the future

Tracking, Interaction, Displays, User experience


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More Information

Mark Billinghurst [email protected]

Website

http://www.hitlabnz.org/

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The Reality of Augmented Reality Mark Billinghurst

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