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Water for a food-secure world

 ReSAKSS-Africa Lead Training Workshop

20th June 2012Birchwood Hotel  

Johannesburg, South Africa

Strengthening Capacity for Strategic Agricultural Policy and Investment Planning and Implementation in the SADC Region

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Water for a food-secure world

• About IWMI and ReSAKSS-SA

• Highlights of the 2011 trends and outlook report

Outline of Presentation

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Water for a food-secure world

• Strategic focusIdentification of realistic, socially equitable and environmentally sustainable agricultural water management investment options that respond to regional needs and priorities, and contribute to increasing agricultural productivity and reducing poverty

Egypt

SudanEritrea

Ethiopia

Kenya

Uganda

Tanzania

RwandaBurundi

Zimbabwe

Botswana

Mozambique

South Africa

Mad

agas

car

Gh

ana

CoteD'Ivoire

Burkin

a

Tog

oB

enin

NigerMali

Nigeria

Faso

Sierra Leone

Cameroon

Chad

D.R. Congo

Zambia

0 800 1,600400Kilometers

Namibia

Angola

Swaziland

Lesotho

Ma

law

i

Algeria

Libya

Tun

isia

Morocco

Mauritania

Senegal

W. S

ahar

a

Guinea

Gabon

Con

go

C. A. R

Legend

Regional office, Ghana

Sub regional office, Ethiopia

Sub regional office, South Africa

Other Countries

Collaboration and partnerships

IWMI in Africa and Southern Africa

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Water for a food-secure world

• CAADP aims to stimulate agriculture-led development that eliminates hunger and reduces poverty and food insecurity.

• CAADP directs investment to four mutually reinforcing and interlinked pillars:

– Pillar I: Extending the area under sustainable land management and reliable water control systems;

• SADC Regional Indicative Strategic Plan (RISDP) calls for efficient irrigation systems in the region and has set out targets to increase food production and productivity for food security– Target 2: Double cropland under irrigation from 3.5% to 7% as

percentage of the total by 2015

IWMI Supporting regionally shared goals

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Water for a food-secure world

ReSAKSS-SA

• Is Part of an Africa wide initiative supporting CAADP and regionally shared goals – COMESA, SADC, ECOWAS

• Provides Analysis and knowledge support for planning, review and policy dialogue for agricultural growth and poverty reduction

• 3 Sub-Regional programmes launched in Sept 2006

• ReSAKSS-SA is facilitated by IWMI and IFPRI, and steering committee chaired by SADC FANR

• Multi-donor initiative (USAID, Gates, (MDTF – potential))

Mission: To improve the management of land and water resources for food, livelihoods and the environment

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Water for a food-secure world

Addressing 3 Regional Challenges

• Increasing agricultural growth to reach an average annual growth rate of 6% as envisioned by CAADP/SADC RISDP as necessary for attaining overall economic growth, poverty reduction and food security.

• Enhancing the contribution of agriculture to the achievement of the MDG 1 by 2015 (halving hunger and poverty in the region)

• Assessing of policy and investment alternatives that will yield the highest payoffs given commitments of increasing national agricultural budgets (Maputo Declaration 2003)

Mission: To improve the management of land and water resources for food, livelihoods and the environment

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Water for a food-secure world

1. Strategic analysis

• M&E of CAADP and SADC RISDP; data collection and analysis

• Annual trends and outlook reports• Specific strategic analysis and production (occasional

publications)

2. Knowledge Support Systems –• e-Resource Centre (Website); Knowledge Products

(Publications); Knowledge Sharing Platforms (workshops)

• 3. Capacity building

• Support to SADC• Establishing and supporting SAKSS nodes• Strengthening of local institutions

ReSAKSS-SA Strategic Components

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Water for a food-secure world

ReSAKSS-SA Support to SADC• CCARDESA Study - Exploring Strategic Priorities for Regional Agricultural

R&D Investments in Southern Africa• Conducted strategic analysis that will support SADC MAPP and

its partners in revising, reviewing and prioritizing the regional agricultural research strategy in Southern Africa and;

• An early action activity for identifying and ranking agricultural research and development priorities in Southern Africa (evidence-based).

• Providing on-going Support to SADC Regional Agricultural Policy – member if the RAP Working Group

• Conducting study on ‘Options for up-scaling high performance irrigation investments in Southern Africa’

• Providing an annual SADC-wide M&E report on agricultural sector performance in the region in the context of CAADP and SADC-RISDP (CAADP M&E framework)

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Water for a food-secure world

Highlights of the 2011 trends and outlook report

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Water for a food-secure world

SADC wide GDP growth rates yet to reach SADC-RISDP target…..

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Water for a food-secure world

…however, GDP growth yet to translate into reduction in poverty

Lesotho Madagascar Malawi Mauritius Mozambique South Africa Tanzania Zambia Zimbabwe -

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90 National poverty headcount ratio (%) linear estimates

1990 2009 MDG1 2015 target

Perc

ent

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Water for a food-secure world

…Mixed prospects for achieving MDG 1 targets on poverty reduction (based on the international poverty ($1.25/day) headcount ratio

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Water for a food-secure world

Agriculture is most important in 7 low income countries out of 15 SADC countries

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Water for a food-secure world

Yet, for most countries, public budget allocation and expenditure in agriculture remains low and far below the 10 percent target set under the Maputo Declaration in 2003

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Water for a food-secure world

Agriculture share in total budget, 2000-2010

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Water for a food-secure world

The same trend prevails for the share of agriculture in total spending

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Water for a food-secure world

Share of agriculture in total spending

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Water for a food-secure world

…the gap between AgGDP and GDP in the region has been widening in the last decades

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Water for a food-secure world

Progress towards the 6 percent agriculture GDP CAADP growth target

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Water for a food-secure world

Progress towards the 6 percent agriculture GDP CAADP growth target

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Water for a food-secure world

AgGDP growth outlook to 2015: poor prospects for low income countries

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Water for a food-secure world

…some countries likely to reach/surpass the 6 percent CAADP target by 2015

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Water for a food-secure world

On average, cereal yields fall short of the 2000kg/ha SADC RISDP target

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Water for a food-secure world

On average, maize yields fall short of the 2000kg/ha SADC RISDP target

Source: ReSAKSS-SA Country Surveys 2011

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Water for a food-secure world

…cereal production has been failing to match population growth in the region over the last decades

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Water for a food-secure world

Maize Production and Kg/capita - (1)

Source: ReSAKSS-SA Country Surveys 2011

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Water for a food-secure world

Maize Production and Kg/capita - (2)

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Water for a food-secure world

Annual growth rate in livestock production in SADC countries, 2003 to 2010

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Water for a food-secure world

Annual production growth rate by livestock type to achieve the SADC-RISDP 4% target

Source: ReSAKSS-SA Country Surveys 2011

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Water for a food-secure world

Net importer of cereals

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Water for a food-secure world

Fertilizer consumption yet to achieve SADC RISDP target of 65kg/ha

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Water for a food-secure world

Fertilizer consumption yet to achieve SADC RISDP target of 65kg/ha

Source: FAOSTAT and ReSAKSS-SA Country Survey 2011

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Water for a food-secure world

A SADC wide need exists to increase area under irrigation

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Water for a food-secure world

• Future Outlook: • AgGDP: as a group middle income countries are, on average and based on

trends observed between 2003 and 2008, on track to meeting the CAADP target, low income countries are not

• Poverty: most SADC countries are off-track to reaching the MDG1 target of halving 1990 poverty rates by 2015

• Mixed progress in meeting both goals of MDG1 – Poverty and Hunger

– Challenges:– stabilizing and enhancing agricultural growth rates– Increasing agricultural productivity (e.g. Irrigation, Fertiliser use etc.)– Translating agriculture and total economic growth into poverty reduction

Conclusions