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THE ROLE OF STANDARDS IN THE EVOLUTION OF TELECOMMUNICATIONS

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THE ROLE OF STANDARDS IN THE EVOLUTION OF TELECOMMUNICATIONS Luis Jorge Romero, ETSI Director General for WTC 2012, 4-7 March 2012, Japan © ETSI 2012. All rights reserved
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Page 1: THE ROLE OF STANDARDS IN THE EVOLUTION OF TELECOMMUNICATIONS

THE ROLE OF STANDARDS IN THE EVOLUTION OF TELECOMMUNICATIONS

Luis Jorge Romero, ETSI Director General for WTC 2012, 4-7 March 2012, Japan

© ETSI 2012. All rights reserved

Page 2: THE ROLE OF STANDARDS IN THE EVOLUTION OF TELECOMMUNICATIONS

Social networks…

© ETSI 2012. All rights reserved 2

Page 3: THE ROLE OF STANDARDS IN THE EVOLUTION OF TELECOMMUNICATIONS

… and what about this one?

© ETSI 2012. All rights reserved 3

Page 4: THE ROLE OF STANDARDS IN THE EVOLUTION OF TELECOMMUNICATIONS

Go back in time for a moment

1900: 20 000 telephone companies in US • Islands of connectivity

Geographical (national) monopolies for operators

Operator provided the terminals, matched for his network

Preferred (national) equipment provider built network to unique national characteristics

Key characteristic of telephone type approval: impedance matching and switch manufacturer • Impedance depended on average line length in each country

• Average line length depended on geography and urbanisation

No real standardization inside networks

© ETSI 2012. All rights reserved 4

Page 5: THE ROLE OF STANDARDS IN THE EVOLUTION OF TELECOMMUNICATIONS

Standards existed

For international interconnection: CCITT / ITU

Building bridges between the islands

© ETSI 2012. All rights reserved 5

Page 6: THE ROLE OF STANDARDS IN THE EVOLUTION OF TELECOMMUNICATIONS

It really started in the 1980s

Deregulation, liberalisation, privatisation, open market, competition

1982 in US: AT&T split into Baby Bells: deregulation and competition

Europe: GSM license regime forced competition, new entrants • Multiple operators required per country

1988: ETSI created to provide standards for open European market • Standards for core network equipment market

• Standards for interconnection

• Standards for terminal equipment

© ETSI 2012. All rights reserved 6

Page 7: THE ROLE OF STANDARDS IN THE EVOLUTION OF TELECOMMUNICATIONS

Benefits of standards

Lower development & production costs, enable specialisation and commoditisation

Allow access to new markets

Increase competition - good for the customer

Give improved product confidence and Interop

Encourage innovative cooperation

Turn good ideas into commercial success

© ETSI 2012. All rights reserved 7

Page 8: THE ROLE OF STANDARDS IN THE EVOLUTION OF TELECOMMUNICATIONS

THE case study

© ETSI 2012. All rights reserved 8

Page 9: THE ROLE OF STANDARDS IN THE EVOLUTION OF TELECOMMUNICATIONS

Growth of telecoms access (fixed & mobile)

(*) Total communication access paths: Analogue lines + ISDN lines + DSL + cable modem + fibre + other + mobile

(**) Fixed communication access paths: Analogue lines + ISDN lines + DSL + cable modem + other + fibre

Source: OECD Communications Outlook 2011 [www.oecd.org/sti/telecom/outlook] © ETSI 2012. All rights reserved 9

300

500

700

900

1 100

1 300

1 500

1 700

1 900

2 100

1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

Access paths (Millions)

Total communication access paths* Fixed communication access paths**

Page 10: THE ROLE OF STANDARDS IN THE EVOLUTION OF TELECOMMUNICATIONS

Telecommunications industry revenue

Source: OECD Communications Outlook 2009 [www.oecd.org/sti/telecom/outlook]

© ETSI 2012. All rights reserved 10

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1000

1100

1200

1300

1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

bn USD

Page 11: THE ROLE OF STANDARDS IN THE EVOLUTION OF TELECOMMUNICATIONS

Growth of ETSI & 3GPP standards

© ETSI 2012. All rights reserved 11

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

1800

2000

2200

2400

2600

2800

3000

3200

3400

3600

Num

ber

of d

eliv

erab

les

1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011

PE Vote OAP MAP Publication

Page 12: THE ROLE OF STANDARDS IN THE EVOLUTION OF TELECOMMUNICATIONS

Importance of ICT to country wealth

Contributions of ICT investment to GDP growth, 1990-95 and 1995-2003, in percentage points

(1) 1995-2002 for Australia, France, Japan, New Zealand and Spain.

Source: OECD Productivity Database, September 2005, [www.oecd.org/statistics/productivity]

© ETSI 2012. All rights reserved 12

0,0

0,1

0,2

0,3

0,4

0,5

0,6

0,7

0,8

0,9

1,0

Au

stra

lia

Un

ited

Sta

tes

Sw

ed

en

De

nm

ark

Un

ited

K

ing

do

m

Belg

ium

Ca

na

da

Jap

an

Ne

w Z

ea

lan

d

Sp

ain

Ne

the

rlan

ds

Po

rtug

al

Fin

lan

d

Irela

nd

Gre

ece

Italy

Ge

rma

ny

Fra

nc

e

Au

stria

%

1990-95 1995-2003 (1)

Page 13: THE ROLE OF STANDARDS IN THE EVOLUTION OF TELECOMMUNICATIONS

3G Standardization: Large-scale industrial project

3GPP: Third Generation Partnership Project • Japan, Korea, China, US & Europe

• 6 standards bodies, c. 400 companies

17 working groups, 4 Plenary groups

Meeting 4-8 times/year across the globe, 1 week meetings • some delegates spend >3 months/year sitting in meetings!

Up to 300 delegates, 1 000 documents for EACH meeting

Average 4 000 delegate days per month in meetings

14 delegate centuries since creation of 3GPP in 1998

Approx 2 000 specifications published each year

And still growing...

© ETSI 2012. All rights reserved 13

Page 14: THE ROLE OF STANDARDS IN THE EVOLUTION OF TELECOMMUNICATIONS

AND there are ALSO other cases…

Some tested and developed (and huge success stories)

• DECT

• TETRA

• Ethernet

• TCP/IP

• IEEE 802.11x, 16x families

• …

And some more to come…

© ETSI 2012. All rights reserved 14

Page 15: THE ROLE OF STANDARDS IN THE EVOLUTION OF TELECOMMUNICATIONS

M2M “concept”

© ETSI 2012. All rights reserved 15

M2M

Gateway

Client

Application

M2M Application M2M Area Network

Service

Capabilities

M2M

Core

DIRECT

CONNEC

T

15

DIRECT

CONNEC

T

M2M Area Networks

• PLC

• SRD

• UWB

• ZigBee

• M-BUS

• Wireless M-BUS

• IEEE 802.15

Core Networks

• 3GPP (GPRS, EPC)

• ETSI TISPAN

• ATTM

• NGN

Access Networks

• xDSL

• Hybrid FiberCoax

• PLC

• Satellite

• GERAN, UTRAN, eUTRAN

• WLAN

• SRDs

• UWB

• WiMAX

Smart Metering

eHealth

Connected

Consumer

City Automation

Automotive

Smart Grid

Page 16: THE ROLE OF STANDARDS IN THE EVOLUTION OF TELECOMMUNICATIONS

M2M standard arch. Rel. 1

© ETSI 2012. All rights reserved 16

M2M Service

Capabilities

Layer (M2M

NSCL)

M2M Gateway M2M Device

M2M Device

Service

Capability

(DSCL)

M2M Device

WIRELESS

MOBILE

FIXED

.. OTHER

M2M

AREA

NETWORK

M2M Gateway

Service

Capability

(GSCL) M2M

Application

M2M

Application

Proprietary

M2M Device

WIDE AREA NETWORK

mId

mId

16

mIa

dIa dIa

dIa

mIa

mIa

M2M App. M2M App.

M2M App.

M2M

Application

M2M Network Domain M2M Device & Gateway Domain

REFERENCE POINTS

Network Application

(NA)

Device Application

(DA)

Page 17: THE ROLE OF STANDARDS IN THE EVOLUTION OF TELECOMMUNICATIONS

STANDARDS IN THE CLOUD?

© ETSI 2012. All rights reserved 17

Page 18: THE ROLE OF STANDARDS IN THE EVOLUTION OF TELECOMMUNICATIONS

Telecoms networks as social networks?

Hot news from Barcelona

© ETSI 2012. All rights reserved 18

Page 19: THE ROLE OF STANDARDS IN THE EVOLUTION OF TELECOMMUNICATIONS

However, what if...

...we didn’t have open standards?

• 1 network – 1 user/network interface specification

• 1 network – 1 preferred terminal vendor

App stores?

Chipset price and miniaturisation?

Handset size and price?

Handset brand competition? • No Sony, no Samsung, no HTC, no iPhone in Europe!

Colour displays?

© ETSI 2012. All rights reserved 19

Page 20: THE ROLE OF STANDARDS IN THE EVOLUTION OF TELECOMMUNICATIONS

THANK YOU!

20 © ETSI 2012. All rights reserved


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